Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 May 2017, Arsenal 3 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   93  +52      17.14    98.17    12.82    93.00     0.00    52.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   86  +60       7.32    81.02    16.24    86.00     0.00    60.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   78  +41       2.51    60.65     2.20    78.00     0.00    41.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   76  +36       7.18    78.73     9.00    76.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +33       3.15    63.34     1.05    75.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   69  +25       2.79    62.22     4.40    69.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   61  +18       0.75    53.43     6.05    61.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   46   -7      -7.76    19.31    -8.91    46.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   46  -12       2.63    62.46     5.48    46.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   45   -8      -0.08    50.40     3.34    45.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   45  -17      -2.70    38.49    -8.00    45.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   44  -15      -6.53    23.50   -10.91    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   44  -15      -0.07    50.34    -1.58    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   41  -13      -2.96    37.60     1.55    41.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   41  -25      -0.59    48.31    -5.82    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   40  -16      -2.42    39.84    -0.26    40.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   40  -28       1.05    55.68    -4.83    40.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   34  -43       1.03    56.20    -8.44    34.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   28  -26      -9.42    12.78    -4.16    28.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland       38   24  -40     -10.10    10.33    -9.21    24.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.07    68.95     5.06    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.38    87.15     6.57    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      22.26    98.39     5.00    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.25    81.66     2.11    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.86    98.28     4.27    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.71    76.75    13.99    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       8.82    80.83     9.21    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.38    30.70    -3.20    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.31    37.30    -6.80    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -5.06    31.46     1.31    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.92    46.57     1.26    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.38    44.91    -1.31    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.60    48.15    -1.11    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.78    53.61     6.80    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.85    35.63    -2.27    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -4.98    31.21    -5.80    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.71    36.36     3.08    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.77    28.86    -7.37    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.96    42.91    -7.28    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       1.10    55.17     3.30    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.75    22.45    -2.90    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.64    22.89    -5.53    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.42    10.18    -5.36    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -14.08     4.96   -13.03    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.18    94.63    13.01   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.46    73.13     7.92    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.83    74.30     7.80    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.40    88.78    11.20    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       5.99    72.09     4.49    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.03    54.24    -4.26    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.54    67.18    10.52    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       1.99    57.64     7.08    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.53    51.96     1.15    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.11    75.19     5.20    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.23    38.04    -2.86    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -6.03    28.52    -3.84    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.86    22.76    -0.17    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.73    28.85    -8.29    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.45    60.02     8.94    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.43    45.18     1.38    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.56    48.31    -1.94    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.73    43.74    -1.59    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.60    32.99     1.91    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.56    23.75   -10.53    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -2.96    39.00    -8.45    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -10.99    13.54    -9.81    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.95     7.60   -16.65    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.52    12.00   -12.23    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.09    61.51     8.06    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.70    79.91     2.62    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.10    57.39    -0.46    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.23    58.34     9.83    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.58    52.13     8.18    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.36    75.82     0.65    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.80    22.97     1.51    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.17P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.20    45.59    -0.57    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.83    61.45     0.04    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.57    63.67     3.72    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.64    47.90     2.59    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.82    60.86     3.29    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.75    43.69    -2.49    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.18    65.83     3.89    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.67    44.14    -0.09    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.46    67.58    -3.46    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.30    31.12    -4.58    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20      -0.00    50.67    -1.93    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.61    48.31    -0.37    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.42    33.60    -3.14    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.56    36.92    -6.24    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -1.68    44.08    -1.89    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -3.26    37.85     0.48    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.32     7.32   -19.65    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.44    96.53    16.39    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.82    81.02     5.68    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.12    61.70     1.25    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       3.04    61.19    -1.51    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    22.86P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.79    82.58    15.57    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.43    59.26     1.11    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       5.92    71.53    10.25    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -0.98    46.15     9.28    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.25    45.48    -2.13    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.17    62.80     0.21    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.25    41.57     3.90    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.45    48.77     5.35    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.54    40.67   -10.57    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.82    71.87     1.89    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.29    27.13    -7.14    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.31    55.67     2.82    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.59    29.55    -0.15    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -6.84    25.85    -7.65    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.46    27.05     0.19    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.51    52.95     2.06    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.65    11.68   -14.08    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.61    19.90   -15.35    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.68    36.03   -10.08    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.23    65.01    -7.27    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00