Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 May 2017, Arsenal 3 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   93  +52      17.13    98.09    12.82    93.00     0.00    52.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   86  +60       7.23    80.21    16.07    86.00     0.00    60.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   78  +41       2.51    60.77     2.03    78.00     0.00    41.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   76  +36       7.26    79.11     9.12    76.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +33       3.07    63.12     0.86    75.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   69  +25       2.77    61.94     4.38    69.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   61  +18       0.75    53.30     6.05    61.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   46   -7      -7.72    19.87    -8.85    46.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   46  -12       2.69    62.69     5.59    46.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   45   -8      -0.01    50.52     3.42    45.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   45  -17      -2.72    38.45    -8.04    45.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   44  -15      -6.40    24.17   -10.76    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   44  -15       0.01    50.84    -1.40    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   41  -13      -3.01    37.20     1.53    41.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   41  -25      -0.72    47.56    -6.12    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   40  -16      -2.59    39.31    -0.51    40.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   40  -28       1.13    56.19    -4.68    40.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   34  -43       1.02    56.02    -8.39    34.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   28  -26      -9.49    12.84    -4.21    28.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland       38   24  -40      -9.98    10.78    -8.92    24.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.18    69.18     5.20    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.42    87.26     6.63    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      22.14    98.33     4.87    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.43    82.15     2.40    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.66    98.39     3.95    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.67    76.64    13.92    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       8.98    81.05     9.41    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.37    30.72    -3.15    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.59    36.18    -7.11    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -5.12    31.04     1.28    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.65    47.90     1.62    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.17    45.80    -1.00    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.62    48.15    -1.21    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.67    53.07     6.59    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.68    36.22    -2.02    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -5.20    30.61    -6.18    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -4.02    35.18     2.53    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.92    28.35    -7.61    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.86    43.33    -7.16    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       1.04    54.95     3.34    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.58    22.89    -2.63    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.62    22.77    -5.45    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.48    10.52    -5.46    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -13.90     5.22   -12.78    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.03    94.58    12.70   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.34    72.86     7.64    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       7.23    75.64     8.43    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.23    88.45    11.00    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       5.92    71.82     4.34    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       0.95    53.54    -4.35    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.32    66.28    10.24    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.21    58.45     7.44    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.65    52.61     1.39    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.27    75.67     5.37    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.67    36.70    -3.47    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -5.96    28.81    -3.77    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.66    23.31     0.12    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.77    28.68    -8.34    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.41    59.72     8.97    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.38    45.41     1.45    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.38    49.11    -1.76    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.64    44.07    -1.50    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.70    32.72     1.75    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.39    24.03   -10.19    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.02    38.73    -8.56    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.28    12.97   -10.23    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.92     7.68   -16.56    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.48    11.83   -12.13    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.30    62.00     8.28    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.74    80.02     2.74    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.02    56.87    -0.49    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.21    58.19     9.75    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.33    51.15     7.79    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.40    75.65     0.76    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.84    22.80     1.41    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.57P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.22    45.53    -0.62    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.90    61.37     0.10    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.62    63.73     3.77    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.50    48.20     2.73    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.87    61.39     3.33    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.71    43.69    -2.42    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.24    65.98     3.93    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.77    43.50    -0.29    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.62    68.18    -3.21    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.32    30.79    -4.64    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20       0.19    51.59    -1.68    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.69    47.99    -0.48    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.59    32.86    -3.39    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.62    36.86    -6.24    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -2.08    42.41    -2.54    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -3.07    38.66     0.88    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.21     7.60   -19.47    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.25    96.29    16.08    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.78    80.88     5.57    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.42    62.58     1.66    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.82    60.24    -1.73    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.67    82.75    15.32    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.75    60.28     1.59    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.30    72.96    10.72    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -0.92    46.39     9.32    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.17    45.53    -2.05    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.38    63.30     0.37    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.27    41.45     3.90    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.64    47.90     5.00    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.95    39.16   -11.15    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       6.18    72.79     2.55    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.48    26.92    -7.39    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.33    55.90     2.86    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.44    29.78     0.07    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -6.94    25.68    -7.74    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.69    26.15    -0.19    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.49    52.97     2.01    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.58    11.34   -13.93    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.72    19.41   -15.67    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.62    36.22    -9.87    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.20    65.05    -7.30    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00