Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 May 2017, Arsenal 3 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   93  +52      17.16    98.17    12.89    93.00     0.00    52.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   86  +60       7.34    80.56    16.23    86.00     0.00    60.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   78  +41       2.56    61.09     2.20    78.00     0.00    41.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   76  +36       7.34    79.48     9.21    76.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +33       3.15    63.55     1.02    75.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   69  +25       2.60    61.23     4.16    69.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   61  +18       0.80    53.46     6.09    61.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   46   -7      -7.75    19.56    -8.88    46.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   46  -12       2.67    62.41     5.56    46.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   45   -8       0.05    50.96     3.54    45.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   45  -17      -2.70    38.45    -8.04    45.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   44  -15      -6.59    23.39   -11.00    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   44  -15      -0.03    50.88    -1.46    44.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   41  -13      -3.01    37.17     1.51    41.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   41  -25      -0.67    47.86    -6.01    41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   40  -16      -2.49    39.61    -0.34    40.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   40  -28       1.09    56.05    -4.83    40.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   34  -43       0.91    55.87    -8.60    34.00     0.00   -43.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   28  -26      -9.46    12.82    -4.25    28.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland       38   24  -40     -10.01    10.71    -9.03    24.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.14    69.19     5.21    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.39    87.05     6.67    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      22.00    98.15     4.64    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.30    81.98     2.21    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.13P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.67    98.21     4.00    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.87    77.34    14.20    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       9.03    81.13     9.50    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.24    31.26    -3.00    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.41    37.19    -6.98    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -4.90    32.21     1.57    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.82    47.38     1.40    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.35    45.01    -1.28    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.62    48.11    -1.22    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.77    53.50     6.75    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.98    35.37    -2.41    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -4.93    31.54    -5.81    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.95    35.48     2.66    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.64    29.58    -7.18    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.88    42.97    -7.16    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       0.88    54.39     3.04    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.61    22.98    -2.72    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.83    22.14    -5.78    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.40    10.79    -5.34    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -14.02     5.19   -12.97    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.20    94.66    13.12   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.54    73.43     8.00    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       7.02    74.98     8.08    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.30    88.54    11.07    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       6.08    72.19     4.60    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       0.88    53.25    -4.46    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.38    66.80    10.32    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.20    58.31     7.42    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.70    52.90     1.35    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.02    74.94     4.96    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.71    36.28    -3.51    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -5.63    29.99    -3.28    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.69    23.30     0.07    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.87    28.66    -8.51    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.16    58.91     8.51    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.32    45.43     1.54    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.58    48.47    -1.99    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.61    44.49    -1.45    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.37    34.07     2.34    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.53    23.48   -10.42    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.02    38.48    -8.57    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.09    13.38    -9.99    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -14.03     7.41   -16.79    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.64    11.59   -12.40    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.19    62.04     8.16    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.69    79.73     2.62    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.08    57.41    -0.50    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.11    57.90     9.65    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.37    51.49     7.71    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.84P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.30    75.47     0.61    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.97    22.63     1.26    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.08    46.02    -0.40    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.83    60.87    -0.03    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.57    63.57     3.72    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.64    47.87     2.58    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.76    61.00     3.16    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.81    43.37    -2.54    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.05    65.40     3.65    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.64    44.29    -0.06    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.50    67.68    -3.42    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.24    31.43    -4.49    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20      -0.02    50.83    -1.99    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.55    48.75    -0.32    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.48    33.38    -3.15    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.61    36.99    -6.14    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -1.70    44.16    -1.95    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -2.92    39.34     1.07    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.04     7.70   -19.21    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.45    96.50    16.37    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.90    81.12     5.83    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.73P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.35    62.37     1.61    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.60P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.79    60.48    -1.83    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.66    82.61    15.30    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.49P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.71    60.17     1.55    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.28    72.68    10.72    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -0.98    46.28     9.27    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.29    45.26    -2.27    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.26    63.18     0.29    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.41    41.07     3.69    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.49    48.73     5.28    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.44    40.96   -10.37    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.79    71.28     1.87    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.41    27.06    -7.35    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.48    56.51     3.06    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.58    29.82    -0.02    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.15    24.75    -8.14    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.59    26.79     0.00    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.59    53.23     2.10    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.92    11.22   -14.43    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.43    20.46   -15.19    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.59    36.63    -9.83    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.07    64.60    -7.51    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00