Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 19 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 18 May 2017, Leicester 1 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 37 90 +48 17.44 98.31 12.50 92.58 0.92 50.17 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 37 83 +54 8.05 83.44 14.80 85.23 1.16 55.36 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 37 75 +36 2.84 62.28 0.63 77.02 1.25 37.02 0.00 0.00 80.80 98.28 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 37 73 +33 6.98 78.29 8.27 75.33 1.09 34.50 0.00 0.00 18.47 83.34 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 37 72 +31 2.44 60.59 0.59 73.95 1.27 31.90 0.00 0.00 0.73 18.38 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 37 66 +23 2.05 58.85 3.66 68.16 1.17 24.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 37 61 +20 1.32 55.92 6.67 61.83 1.18 19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 37 46 -6 -6.37 23.66 -7.97 47.89 1.26 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 45 -7 1.10 55.66 3.87 46.21 1.27 -7.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 45 -12 2.83 63.29 5.23 45.89 1.21 -12.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 37 43 -15 -6.08 24.86 -10.78 44.90 1.29 -14.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 37 42 -18 -3.99 32.77 -8.50 43.22 1.28 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 37 41 -11 -2.63 39.19 1.87 41.62 1.02 -12.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 37 41 -16 -1.53 43.60 -2.17 41.86 1.15 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burnley 37 40 -15 -1.34 44.67 0.13 41.52 1.31 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 37 40 -23 0.59 53.64 -3.24 40.77 1.14 -24.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 38 -26 -1.74 42.87 -6.27 39.52 1.31 -25.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 34 -37 0.00 51.11 -7.46 34.58 1.01 -38.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 28 -23 -9.33 12.72 -3.44 28.48 0.92 -24.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Sunderland 37 24 -36 -10.13 10.10 -8.40 24.30 0.76 -38.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 46 94 +45 5.15 68.79 5.29 94.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 93 +34 11.52 87.40 6.79 93.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 85 +4 21.99 98.31 4.62 85.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.03P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 81 +15 9.25 81.77 2.20 81.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.71P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 81 -2 21.87 98.28 4.26 81.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.05P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 80 +28 7.75 77.06 14.02 80.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.21P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 75 +14 8.79 80.58 9.20 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 70 +16 -5.29 30.69 -3.03 70.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 67 +4 -3.11 38.18 -6.50 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 64 +10 -5.09 31.37 1.28 64.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +1 -0.70 47.70 1.51 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -1 -1.29 45.37 -1.18 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 46 62 -1 -0.81 47.28 -1.42 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 58 -3 0.79 53.71 6.89 58.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -4 -3.64 36.45 -1.98 58.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 55 -10 -5.09 30.98 -6.04 55.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 54 -6 -3.98 35.31 2.58 54.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 53 -14 -5.83 28.90 -7.49 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 53 -19 -2.09 42.23 -7.54 53.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 52 -14 0.93 54.65 3.12 52.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 51 -10 -7.60 22.67 -2.71 51.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 51 -12 -7.45 23.08 -5.19 51.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 42 -17 -12.51 10.51 -5.49 42.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 46 23 -58 -14.14 5.08 -13.19 23.00 0.00 -58.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.14 94.58 12.91 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.52 73.19 7.97 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 6.93 74.58 7.88 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.77P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.27 88.41 11.04 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.59P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 6.02 72.16 4.56 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.66P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 0.91 53.55 -4.35 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.98P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.36 66.46 10.30 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 2.25 58.79 7.49 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.84 53.28 1.61 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.17 75.51 5.25 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.59 36.87 -3.36 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -6.05 28.53 -3.89 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.81 23.17 -0.08 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.76 28.89 -8.40 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.34 60.06 8.80 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.27 46.01 1.52 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.34 49.31 -1.62 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.84 43.36 -1.80 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.53 33.31 2.02 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.69 22.88 -10.67 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -3.08 38.52 -8.59 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -11.01 13.49 -9.81 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -13.88 7.57 -16.51 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.59 11.77 -12.29 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Portsmouth 46 87 +39 3.26 61.91 8.27 87.00 0.00 39.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 87 +25 8.43 79.11 2.30 87.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 85 +30 2.25 57.86 -0.17 85.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 77 +27 2.04 57.70 9.52 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.01P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 71 +19 0.49 51.95 8.04 71.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.49P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 71 +1 7.29 75.50 0.55 71.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.07P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 46 70 +23 -7.75 23.22 1.56 70.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.43P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 69 +10 -0.90 46.70 -0.12 69.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 69 +5 2.88 61.26 0.14 69.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 67 +4 3.52 63.59 3.62 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 66 +8 -0.46 48.55 2.84 66.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 66 +4 2.74 60.74 3.18 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 65 +3 -1.93 43.17 -2.79 65.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 62 -4 4.36 66.56 4.04 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 57 -7 -1.62 44.18 -0.03 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 56 -22 4.45 67.43 -3.53 56.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 55 -9 -5.07 32.11 -4.29 55.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 52 -20 0.10 51.14 -1.80 52.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 51 -18 -0.55 48.63 -0.37 51.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 50 -15 -4.41 33.49 -3.14 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 50 -20 -3.69 36.72 -6.42 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 48 -22 -2.14 42.38 -2.54 48.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 46 -21 -3.12 38.39 0.74 46.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 36 -40 -14.31 7.35 -19.57 36.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.31 96.38 16.17 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.63 80.42 5.35 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.60P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.12 61.53 1.22 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.80P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.87 60.43 -1.66 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.23P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.70 82.47 15.41 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.37P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.58 59.51 1.27 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.40 73.00 10.92 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -0.92 46.52 9.36 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -1.08 46.14 -1.97 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.36 63.37 0.45 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.33 41.24 3.80 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.42 49.00 5.40 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.76 39.81 -10.77 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 6.04 72.43 2.31 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.71 25.80 -7.77 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.18 55.17 2.54 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.45 30.06 0.02 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -6.94 25.70 -7.75 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.56 26.61 0.01 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.64 53.55 2.28 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.54 11.57 -13.83 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.39 20.61 -15.17 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.72 35.72 -10.08 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.09 64.73 -7.46 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00