Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 18 May 2017, Leicester 1 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          37   90  +48      17.44    98.31    12.50    92.58     0.92    50.17   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   83  +54       8.05    83.44    14.80    85.23     1.16    55.36     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   75  +36       2.84    62.28     0.63    77.02     1.25    37.02     0.00     0.00    80.80    98.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   73  +33       6.98    78.29     8.27    75.33     1.09    34.50     0.00     0.00    18.47    83.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   72  +31       2.44    60.59     0.59    73.95     1.27    31.90     0.00     0.00     0.73    18.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +23       2.05    58.85     3.66    68.16     1.17    24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   61  +20       1.32    55.92     6.67    61.83     1.18    19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   46   -6      -6.37    23.66    -7.97    47.89     1.26    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   45   -7       1.10    55.66     3.87    46.21     1.27    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       2.83    63.29     5.23    45.89     1.21   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   43  -15      -6.08    24.86   -10.78    44.90     1.29   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   42  -18      -3.99    32.77    -8.50    43.22     1.28   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   41  -11      -2.63    39.19     1.87    41.62     1.02   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   41  -16      -1.53    43.60    -2.17    41.86     1.15   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -15      -1.34    44.67     0.13    41.52     1.31   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   40  -23       0.59    53.64    -3.24    40.77     1.14   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   38  -26      -1.74    42.87    -6.27    39.52     1.31   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   34  -37       0.00    51.11    -7.46    34.58     1.01   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   28  -23      -9.33    12.72    -3.44    28.48     0.92   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Sunderland       37   24  -36     -10.13    10.10    -8.40    24.30     0.76   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.15    68.79     5.29    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.52    87.40     6.79    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      21.99    98.31     4.62    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.25    81.77     2.20    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.71P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.87    98.28     4.26    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.75    77.06    14.02    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       8.79    80.58     9.20    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.29    30.69    -3.03    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.11    38.18    -6.50    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -5.09    31.37     1.28    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.70    47.70     1.51    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.29    45.37    -1.18    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.81    47.28    -1.42    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.79    53.71     6.89    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.64    36.45    -1.98    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -5.09    30.98    -6.04    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.98    35.31     2.58    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.83    28.90    -7.49    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -2.09    42.23    -7.54    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       0.93    54.65     3.12    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.60    22.67    -2.71    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.45    23.08    -5.19    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.51    10.51    -5.49    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -14.14     5.08   -13.19    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.14    94.58    12.91   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.52    73.19     7.97    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.93    74.58     7.88    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.27    88.41    11.04    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       6.02    72.16     4.56    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       0.91    53.55    -4.35    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.36    66.46    10.30    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.25    58.79     7.49    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.84    53.28     1.61    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.17    75.51     5.25    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.59    36.87    -3.36    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -6.05    28.53    -3.89    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.81    23.17    -0.08    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.76    28.89    -8.40    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.34    60.06     8.80    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.27    46.01     1.52    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.34    49.31    -1.62    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.84    43.36    -1.80    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.53    33.31     2.02    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.69    22.88   -10.67    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.08    38.52    -8.59    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.01    13.49    -9.81    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.88     7.57   -16.51    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.59    11.77   -12.29    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.26    61.91     8.27    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.43    79.11     2.30    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.25    57.86    -0.17    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.04    57.70     9.52    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.49    51.95     8.04    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.49P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.29    75.50     0.55    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.07P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.75    23.22     1.56    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -0.90    46.70    -0.12    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.88    61.26     0.14    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.52    63.59     3.62    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.46    48.55     2.84    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.74    60.74     3.18    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.93    43.17    -2.79    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.36    66.56     4.04    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.62    44.18    -0.03    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.45    67.43    -3.53    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.07    32.11    -4.29    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20       0.10    51.14    -1.80    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.55    48.63    -0.37    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.41    33.49    -3.14    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.69    36.72    -6.42    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -2.14    42.38    -2.54    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -3.12    38.39     0.74    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.31     7.35   -19.57    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.31    96.38    16.17    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.63    80.42     5.35    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.12    61.53     1.22    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.87    60.43    -1.66    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.70    82.47    15.41    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.58    59.51     1.27    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.40    73.00    10.92    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -0.92    46.52     9.36    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.08    46.14    -1.97    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.36    63.37     0.45    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.33    41.24     3.80    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.42    49.00     5.40    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.76    39.81   -10.77    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       6.04    72.43     2.31    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.71    25.80    -7.77    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.18    55.17     2.54    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.45    30.06     0.02    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -6.94    25.70    -7.75    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.56    26.61     0.01    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.64    53.55     2.28    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.54    11.57   -13.83    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.39    20.61   -15.17    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.72    35.72   -10.08    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.09    64.73    -7.46    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00