Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 May 2017, Crystal_Palace 4 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          36   87  +47      16.51    97.88    12.97    92.08     1.35    51.15   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   80  +49       8.23    83.98    13.14    83.93     1.77    50.81     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   73  +33       7.23    79.28     8.68    75.34     1.09    34.50     0.00     0.00    30.35    86.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   72  +34       2.29    59.50     0.38    76.34     1.67    36.50     0.00     0.00    66.99    91.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   69  +29       1.87    57.86     0.36    73.50     1.60    32.00     0.00     0.00     2.65    21.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   65  +23       2.59    61.45     3.86    68.58     1.74    24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   61  +20       1.30    55.65     6.62    61.82     1.17    19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   45   -5       1.39    56.99     3.98    46.71     1.59    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   45   -6      -6.08    24.53    -8.03    48.19     1.80    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       2.88    63.72     5.35    45.84     1.19   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   43  -10      -6.30    23.90    -8.59    45.98     1.80    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   42  -18      -3.97    32.99    -8.58    43.23     1.28   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   41  -11      -2.69    38.73     1.74    41.61     1.01   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   41  -16      -1.54    43.69    -2.25    41.85     1.15   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -15      -1.17    45.48     0.37    41.51     1.31   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   40  -22       1.53    57.91    -3.61    41.12     1.40   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   38  -26      -1.88    42.22    -6.55    39.53     1.31   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   34  -37      -0.01    51.37    -7.56    34.61     1.03   -38.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   28  -23      -9.42    12.57    -3.69    28.48     0.92   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.41  
Sunderland       36   24  -34      -9.96    10.51    -8.57    24.64     1.10   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.59  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.19    68.99     5.28    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.31    86.68     6.46    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      21.81    98.16     4.31    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.52    82.49     2.52    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.70    98.24     3.98    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.65    76.47    13.87    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       8.97    80.94     9.42    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.34    30.80    -3.08    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.36    37.15    -6.83    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -5.06    31.65     1.25    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.74    47.55     1.44    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.60    44.42    -1.72    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.94    46.59    -1.65    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.77    53.52     6.88    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.65    36.19    -2.04    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -4.94    31.77    -5.77    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.75    36.19     3.05    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.74    29.06    -7.28    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.72    43.84    -6.96    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       1.11    55.33     3.46    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.67    23.06    -2.72    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.59    23.01    -5.42    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.45    10.45    -5.38    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -14.04     5.18   -13.08    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.23    94.72    13.05   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.48    73.17     7.87    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.99    74.93     8.02    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.26    88.19    11.08    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       6.19    72.58     4.71    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.13    54.19    -4.08    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.39    66.61    10.27    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.12    58.30     7.33    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.64    52.56     1.36    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.12    75.34     5.21    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.46    37.32    -3.18    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -6.14    28.43    -4.02    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.68    23.51     0.05    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.64    29.51    -8.20    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.16    59.15     8.56    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.36    45.54     1.42    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.60    48.22    -2.02    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.71    44.00    -1.61    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.48    33.24     2.19    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.46    23.62   -10.28    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.03    38.88    -8.64    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.18    13.24   -10.06    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.84     7.67   -16.53    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.69    11.37   -12.49    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.20    62.02     8.14    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.52    79.50     2.39    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.15    57.65    -0.37    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.30    58.46     9.87    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.40    51.70     7.83    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.37    75.83     0.73    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.19P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -8.01    22.41     1.18    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.17    45.81    -0.55    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.72    60.68    -0.08    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.57    63.55     3.65    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.78    47.30     2.31    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.94    61.63     3.41    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -2.07    42.23    -2.93    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.31    66.24     4.10    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.62    44.46    -0.03    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.68    68.56    -3.15    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.32    31.34    -4.67    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20       0.16    51.37    -1.68    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.54    48.60    -0.23    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.55    32.98    -3.22    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.73    36.61    -6.44    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -1.87    43.25    -2.20    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -2.72    40.24     1.40    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.22     7.38   -19.45    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.38    96.44    16.24    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.80    80.86     5.69    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.13    61.56     1.28    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.69    59.53    -1.97    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.94P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.91    83.08    15.71    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.71    60.13     1.50    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.30    72.61    10.84    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -1.02    46.23     9.15    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.16    45.63    -2.07    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.22    62.83     0.25    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.24    41.65     3.98    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.55    48.60     5.13    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.56    40.47   -10.56    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.98    72.29     2.16    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.68    25.93    -7.67    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.26    55.52     2.70    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.55    29.90    -0.06    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.02    25.23    -7.83    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.88    25.26    -0.51    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.43    52.57     1.87    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.56    11.68   -13.96    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.40    20.66   -15.10    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.61    36.26    -9.95    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.46    66.39    -6.84    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00