Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 10 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 May 2017, Southampton 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 35 84 +46 15.56 97.36 12.86 90.93 1.87 50.89 99.75 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 77 +48 7.21 80.97 13.05 82.70 2.20 50.34 0.25 99.63 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 36 70 +29 7.09 78.86 7.18 73.89 1.73 30.76 0.00 0.00 19.26 72.08 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 69 +33 1.49 56.58 0.70 75.62 2.04 37.04 0.00 0.37 75.19 93.11 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 66 +26 1.67 57.19 -0.26 72.25 2.08 29.49 0.00 0.00 5.17 31.29 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 35 65 +24 3.45 65.30 4.18 69.54 2.10 24.70 0.00 0.00 0.38 3.51 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 58 +19 0.32 51.53 6.54 61.04 1.67 19.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 45 -4 2.10 60.32 4.05 47.61 1.99 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 35 43 -9 -5.53 26.42 -8.70 46.55 2.06 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 42 -7 -7.36 19.74 -8.49 46.65 2.22 -6.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 36 42 -13 1.72 58.78 4.96 44.49 1.77 -13.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 36 42 -14 -4.11 32.35 -7.13 44.42 1.85 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 41 -13 -1.35 44.27 -1.22 42.84 1.69 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burnley 36 40 -14 -0.53 48.11 0.22 42.61 1.83 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 35 40 -21 2.10 60.79 -3.82 41.72 1.75 -25.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 38 -15 -2.50 39.05 0.56 40.45 1.63 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.89R 0.00 Swansea 36 35 -28 -2.88 37.49 -7.28 37.75 1.84 -27.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.48R 0.00 Hull 36 34 -33 -0.11 50.51 -6.24 35.55 1.59 -34.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.63R 0.00 Middlesbrough 36 28 -22 -8.66 14.12 -3.62 29.70 1.56 -23.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 3.68 Sunderland 35 24 -32 -9.11 12.09 -7.53 26.15 1.73 -35.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.32Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 46 94 +45 5.00 68.36 5.00 94.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 93 +34 11.46 87.29 6.67 93.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 85 +4 21.99 98.21 4.64 85.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.77P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 81 +15 9.37 81.78 2.36 81.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.60P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 81 -2 21.83 98.33 4.20 81.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.13P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 80 +28 7.72 76.85 14.00 80.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.50P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 75 +14 9.14 81.71 9.67 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 70 +16 -5.25 30.97 -2.94 70.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 67 +4 -3.38 37.01 -6.88 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 64 +10 -4.92 31.95 1.51 64.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +1 -0.81 47.33 1.39 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -1 -1.33 45.12 -1.26 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 46 62 -1 -0.89 46.91 -1.61 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 58 -3 0.67 52.90 6.67 58.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -4 -3.73 36.11 -2.07 58.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 55 -10 -5.07 30.94 -6.00 55.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 54 -6 -3.99 35.32 2.64 54.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 53 -14 -5.54 29.47 -7.03 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 53 -19 -1.96 42.81 -7.28 53.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 52 -14 1.00 54.98 3.12 52.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 51 -10 -7.92 22.18 -3.19 51.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 51 -12 -7.58 22.86 -5.46 51.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 42 -17 -12.42 10.62 -5.26 42.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 46 23 -58 -13.96 5.23 -12.89 23.00 0.00 -58.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.18 94.73 13.01 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.44 73.06 7.85 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 7.10 75.17 8.12 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.05P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.17 88.35 10.90 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.57P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 5.84 71.63 4.22 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.31P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 1.05 54.22 -4.22 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.07P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.17 65.60 10.03 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 1.94 57.54 7.05 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.74 53.12 1.45 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.23 75.52 5.26 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.54 37.08 -3.30 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -6.18 28.10 -4.06 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.84 22.93 -0.13 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.70 28.93 -8.25 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.11 58.71 8.52 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.45 44.90 1.33 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.24 49.51 -1.49 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.60 44.39 -1.44 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.34 33.64 2.39 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.61 23.13 -10.51 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -2.88 39.25 -8.35 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -11.04 13.37 -9.89 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -13.73 8.04 -16.28 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.56 11.86 -12.19 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Portsmouth 46 87 +39 3.01 61.04 7.87 87.00 0.00 39.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 87 +25 8.68 79.90 2.63 87.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 85 +30 2.29 58.09 -0.16 85.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 77 +27 2.10 57.90 9.57 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.72P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 71 +19 0.53 52.11 8.00 71.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.81P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 71 +1 7.39 75.91 0.79 71.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.27P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 46 70 +23 -7.76 22.93 1.52 70.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.20P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 69 +10 -1.11 45.98 -0.47 69.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 69 +5 2.97 61.44 0.18 69.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 67 +4 3.28 62.28 3.30 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 66 +8 -0.50 48.05 2.72 66.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 66 +4 3.01 61.78 3.51 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 65 +3 -1.77 43.56 -2.47 65.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 62 -4 3.87 64.97 3.32 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 57 -7 -1.86 43.38 -0.43 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 56 -22 4.58 68.22 -3.28 56.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 55 -9 -5.16 31.98 -4.38 55.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 52 -20 -0.02 50.81 -2.02 52.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 51 -18 -0.60 48.69 -0.39 51.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 50 -15 -4.58 32.95 -3.26 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 50 -20 -3.64 37.09 -6.19 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 48 -22 -1.83 43.45 -2.12 48.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 46 -21 -2.99 39.32 1.02 46.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 36 -40 -14.09 7.76 -19.26 36.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.30 96.39 16.14 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.94 81.35 5.80 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.17P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.18 61.57 1.34 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.54P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.83 60.35 -1.79 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.62P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.84 83.00 15.60 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.67P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.67 59.97 1.48 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.26 72.41 10.73 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -1.20 45.52 8.94 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -1.17 45.65 -2.09 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.25 62.98 0.25 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.05 42.26 4.19 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.64 48.20 5.05 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.54 40.83 -10.52 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 5.90 71.84 2.12 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.66 26.31 -7.68 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.38 55.69 2.85 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.47 29.93 -0.01 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -7.25 24.49 -8.25 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.58 26.42 0.02 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.54 52.99 2.03 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.49 11.62 -13.79 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.58 19.94 -15.47 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.67 35.87 -9.96 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.36 65.76 -7.00 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00