Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 May 2017, Southampton 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          35   84  +46      15.56    97.36    12.86    90.93     1.87    50.89    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   77  +48       7.21    80.97    13.05    82.70     2.20    50.34     0.25    99.63   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   70  +29       7.09    78.86     7.18    73.89     1.73    30.76     0.00     0.00    19.26    72.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   69  +33       1.49    56.58     0.70    75.62     2.04    37.04     0.00     0.37    75.19    93.11   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   66  +26       1.67    57.19    -0.26    72.25     2.08    29.49     0.00     0.00     5.17    31.29   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   65  +24       3.45    65.30     4.18    69.54     2.10    24.70     0.00     0.00     0.38     3.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   58  +19       0.32    51.53     6.54    61.04     1.67    19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   45   -4       2.10    60.32     4.05    47.61     1.99    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   43   -9      -5.53    26.42    -8.70    46.55     2.06   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   42   -7      -7.36    19.74    -8.49    46.65     2.22    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13       1.72    58.78     4.96    44.49     1.77   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   42  -14      -4.11    32.35    -7.13    44.42     1.85   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   41  -13      -1.35    44.27    -1.22    42.84     1.69   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   40  -14      -0.53    48.11     0.22    42.61     1.83   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   40  -21       2.10    60.79    -3.82    41.72     1.75   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   38  -15      -2.50    39.05     0.56    40.45     1.63   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Swansea          36   35  -28      -2.88    37.49    -7.28    37.75     1.84   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.48R    0.00  
Hull             36   34  -33      -0.11    50.51    -6.24    35.55     1.59   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.63R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   28  -22      -8.66    14.12    -3.62    29.70     1.56   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.68  
Sunderland       35   24  -32      -9.11    12.09    -7.53    26.15     1.73   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.00    68.36     5.00    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.46    87.29     6.67    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      21.99    98.21     4.64    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.37    81.78     2.36    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.60P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.83    98.33     4.20    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.72    76.85    14.00    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       9.14    81.71     9.67    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.25    30.97    -2.94    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.38    37.01    -6.88    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -4.92    31.95     1.51    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.81    47.33     1.39    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.33    45.12    -1.26    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.89    46.91    -1.61    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.67    52.90     6.67    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -3.73    36.11    -2.07    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -5.07    30.94    -6.00    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.99    35.32     2.64    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.54    29.47    -7.03    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.96    42.81    -7.28    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       1.00    54.98     3.12    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.92    22.18    -3.19    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.58    22.86    -5.46    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.42    10.62    -5.26    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -13.96     5.23   -12.89    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.18    94.73    13.01   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.44    73.06     7.85    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       7.10    75.17     8.12    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.17    88.35    10.90    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       5.84    71.63     4.22    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.05    54.22    -4.22    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.17    65.60    10.03    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       1.94    57.54     7.05    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.74    53.12     1.45    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.23    75.52     5.26    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.54    37.08    -3.30    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -6.18    28.10    -4.06    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.84    22.93    -0.13    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.70    28.93    -8.25    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.11    58.71     8.52    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.45    44.90     1.33    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.24    49.51    -1.49    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.60    44.39    -1.44    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.34    33.64     2.39    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.61    23.13   -10.51    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -2.88    39.25    -8.35    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.04    13.37    -9.89    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.73     8.04   -16.28    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.56    11.86   -12.19    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.01    61.04     7.87    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.68    79.90     2.63    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.29    58.09    -0.16    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.10    57.90     9.57    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.72P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.53    52.11     8.00    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.81P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.39    75.91     0.79    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.76    22.93     1.52    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.20P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.11    45.98    -0.47    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.97    61.44     0.18    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.28    62.28     3.30    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.50    48.05     2.72    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       3.01    61.78     3.51    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.77    43.56    -2.47    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       3.87    64.97     3.32    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.86    43.38    -0.43    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.58    68.22    -3.28    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.16    31.98    -4.38    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20      -0.02    50.81    -2.02    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.60    48.69    -0.39    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.58    32.95    -3.26    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.64    37.09    -6.19    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -1.83    43.45    -2.12    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -2.99    39.32     1.02    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.09     7.76   -19.26    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.30    96.39    16.14    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.94    81.35     5.80    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.18    61.57     1.34    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.83    60.35    -1.79    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.84    83.00    15.60    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.67    59.97     1.48    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.26    72.41    10.73    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -1.20    45.52     8.94    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.17    45.65    -2.09    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.25    62.98     0.25    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.05    42.26     4.19    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.64    48.20     5.05    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.54    40.83   -10.52    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.90    71.84     2.12    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.66    26.31    -7.68    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.38    55.69     2.85    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.47    29.93    -0.01    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.25    24.49    -8.25    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.58    26.42     0.02    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.54    52.99     2.03    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.49    11.62   -13.79    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.58    19.94   -15.47    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.67    35.87    -9.96    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.36    65.76    -7.00    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00