Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 9 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 May 2017, Chelsea 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 35 84 +46 15.63 97.44 12.96 90.95 1.86 50.91 99.73 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 77 +48 7.28 81.18 13.13 82.66 2.20 50.30 0.27 99.69 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 36 70 +29 7.07 78.83 7.16 73.88 1.74 30.75 0.00 0.00 20.62 82.66 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 69 +33 1.56 56.71 0.84 75.60 2.04 37.01 0.00 0.31 76.59 95.78 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 35 65 +24 3.41 65.23 4.12 69.54 2.11 24.70 0.00 0.00 0.45 4.63 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 34 63 +24 0.86 53.45 -0.85 70.66 2.50 27.56 0.00 0.00 2.34 16.93 99.59 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 58 +19 0.49 52.24 6.85 61.05 1.67 19.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 45 -4 2.07 60.32 4.04 47.60 1.99 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 35 43 -9 -5.61 26.15 -8.93 46.58 2.07 -10.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 42 -5 -6.66 21.80 -7.52 47.99 2.59 -4.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 36 42 -13 1.57 57.84 4.68 44.51 1.77 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 36 42 -14 -4.17 31.75 -7.25 44.43 1.84 -14.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 41 -13 -1.42 43.98 -1.41 42.85 1.69 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burnley 36 40 -14 -0.49 48.35 0.23 42.59 1.83 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 35 40 -21 2.13 60.99 -3.79 41.72 1.75 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 38 -15 -2.50 39.07 0.63 40.45 1.62 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.87R 0.00 Swansea 36 35 -28 -3.01 36.89 -7.47 37.78 1.84 -27.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.21R 0.00 Hull 36 34 -33 -0.18 50.49 -6.39 35.54 1.59 -34.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.92R 0.00 Middlesbrough 36 28 -22 -8.69 14.44 -3.63 29.69 1.56 -23.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 3.77 Sunderland 35 24 -32 -9.04 12.53 -7.39 26.14 1.74 -35.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.23Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 46 94 +45 5.28 69.25 5.38 94.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 93 +34 11.47 87.32 6.65 93.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 85 +4 22.24 98.42 4.95 85.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 81 +15 9.48 82.12 2.48 81.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 35.23P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 81 -2 21.60 98.28 3.86 81.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.10P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 80 +28 7.79 76.98 14.03 80.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.77P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 75 +14 9.02 81.10 9.46 75.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 70 +16 -5.24 30.85 -2.96 70.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 67 +4 -3.58 36.29 -7.13 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 64 +10 -5.15 31.22 1.12 64.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 62 +1 -0.82 47.05 1.36 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -1 -1.48 44.61 -1.57 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 46 62 -1 -0.73 47.44 -1.34 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 58 -3 0.85 53.70 6.92 58.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 58 -4 -4.01 35.05 -2.45 58.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 55 -10 -5.15 30.94 -6.05 55.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 54 -6 -3.94 35.42 2.66 54.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 53 -14 -5.80 28.63 -7.47 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 53 -19 -1.83 43.36 -7.13 53.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 52 -14 0.82 54.26 2.98 52.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 51 -10 -7.54 23.18 -2.58 51.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 51 -12 -7.61 22.67 -5.48 51.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 42 -17 -12.29 10.61 -5.14 42.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 46 23 -58 -13.88 5.43 -12.55 23.00 0.00 -58.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.06 94.58 12.79 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.59 73.48 8.07 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 6.84 74.36 7.81 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.63P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.37 88.54 11.17 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.29P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 6.09 72.51 4.58 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.02P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 0.96 53.52 -4.38 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.05P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.36 66.39 10.22 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 2.24 58.66 7.47 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.90 53.51 1.78 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.23 75.75 5.32 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.63 36.69 -3.40 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -6.20 27.92 -4.10 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.79 23.22 -0.05 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.47 29.87 -7.98 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.31 59.54 8.73 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.57 44.57 1.17 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.27 49.76 -1.59 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.69 44.06 -1.47 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.56 33.03 2.03 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.83 22.64 -10.81 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -2.90 39.30 -8.41 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -11.17 13.38 -10.14 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -13.93 7.56 -16.58 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.54 11.58 -12.23 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Portsmouth 46 87 +39 3.30 62.11 8.33 87.00 0.00 39.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 87 +25 8.63 79.61 2.54 87.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 85 +30 2.08 57.27 -0.50 85.00 0.00 30.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 77 +27 2.08 57.77 9.56 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.58P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 71 +19 0.60 52.02 8.18 71.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.69P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 71 +1 7.42 75.68 0.85 71.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.46P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 46 70 +23 -7.68 23.48 1.65 70.00 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.27P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 69 +10 -1.01 46.16 -0.28 69.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 69 +5 2.99 61.45 0.18 69.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 67 +4 3.26 62.64 3.22 67.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 66 +8 -0.67 47.57 2.57 66.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 66 +4 2.75 60.89 3.17 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 65 +3 -1.85 43.37 -2.70 65.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 62 -4 4.24 66.04 3.89 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 57 -7 -1.60 44.43 0.03 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 56 -22 4.57 67.89 -3.38 56.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 55 -9 -5.13 31.80 -4.37 55.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 52 -20 -0.04 50.57 -1.91 52.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 51 -18 -0.55 48.65 -0.28 51.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 46 50 -15 -4.61 32.76 -3.39 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 50 -20 -3.64 36.97 -6.31 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 48 -22 -1.87 43.17 -2.19 48.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 46 -21 -3.16 38.34 0.72 46.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 36 -40 -14.32 7.39 -19.59 36.00 0.00 -40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.57 96.61 16.56 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.86 81.04 5.78 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.71P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.26 61.88 1.36 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.76 60.32 -1.89 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.57P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.76 82.89 15.51 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.51P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.50 59.04 1.22 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.46 72.95 11.00 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -1.08 45.92 9.11 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -1.20 45.41 -2.13 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.17 62.60 0.16 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.17 41.83 4.06 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.42 48.96 5.35 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.77 39.77 -10.84 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 5.90 71.72 2.11 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.35 27.24 -7.29 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.37 55.91 2.90 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.56 29.77 -0.02 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -7.12 25.14 -8.04 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.68 26.05 -0.21 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.49 52.75 1.91 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.51 11.75 -13.81 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.63 19.90 -15.48 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.65 35.89 -9.91 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.14 64.78 -7.40 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00