Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 May 2017, Chelsea 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          35   84  +46      15.63    97.44    12.96    90.95     1.86    50.91    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   77  +48       7.28    81.18    13.13    82.66     2.20    50.30     0.27    99.69   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   70  +29       7.07    78.83     7.16    73.88     1.74    30.75     0.00     0.00    20.62    82.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   69  +33       1.56    56.71     0.84    75.60     2.04    37.01     0.00     0.31    76.59    95.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   65  +24       3.41    65.23     4.12    69.54     2.11    24.70     0.00     0.00     0.45     4.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   63  +24       0.86    53.45    -0.85    70.66     2.50    27.56     0.00     0.00     2.34    16.93    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   58  +19       0.49    52.24     6.85    61.05     1.67    19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   45   -4       2.07    60.32     4.04    47.60     1.99    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   43   -9      -5.61    26.15    -8.93    46.58     2.07   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   42   -5      -6.66    21.80    -7.52    47.99     2.59    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13       1.57    57.84     4.68    44.51     1.77   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   42  -14      -4.17    31.75    -7.25    44.43     1.84   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   41  -13      -1.42    43.98    -1.41    42.85     1.69   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   40  -14      -0.49    48.35     0.23    42.59     1.83   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   40  -21       2.13    60.99    -3.79    41.72     1.75   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   38  -15      -2.50    39.07     0.63    40.45     1.62   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Swansea          36   35  -28      -3.01    36.89    -7.47    37.78     1.84   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.21R    0.00  
Hull             36   34  -33      -0.18    50.49    -6.39    35.54     1.59   -34.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.92R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    36   28  -22      -8.69    14.44    -3.63    29.69     1.56   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.77  
Sunderland       35   24  -32      -9.04    12.53    -7.39    26.14     1.74   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 May 2017, Aston_Villa 1 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       46   94  +45       5.28    69.25     5.38    94.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   93  +34      11.47    87.32     6.65    93.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   85   +4      22.24    98.42     4.95    85.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   81  +15       9.48    82.12     2.48    81.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81   -2      21.60    98.28     3.86    81.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   80  +28       7.79    76.98    14.03    80.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   75  +14       9.02    81.10     9.46    75.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   70  +16      -5.24    30.85    -2.96    70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   67   +4      -3.58    36.29    -7.13    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +10      -5.15    31.22     1.12    64.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   62   +1      -0.82    47.05     1.36    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -1      -1.48    44.61    -1.57    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   62   -1      -0.73    47.44    -1.34    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        46   58   -3       0.85    53.70     6.92    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   58   -4      -4.01    35.05    -2.45    58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   55  -10      -5.15    30.94    -6.05    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   54   -6      -3.94    35.42     2.66    54.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   53  -14      -5.80    28.63    -7.47    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   53  -19      -1.83    43.36    -7.13    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   46   52  -14       0.82    54.26     2.98    52.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   51  -10      -7.54    23.18    -2.58    51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   51  -12      -7.61    22.67    -5.48    51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   42  -17     -12.29    10.61    -5.14    42.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       46   23  -58     -13.88     5.43   -12.55    23.00     0.00   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.06    94.58    12.79   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.59    73.48     8.07    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.84    74.36     7.81    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.37    88.54    11.17    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       6.09    72.51     4.58    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       0.96    53.52    -4.38    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.36    66.39    10.22    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.24    58.66     7.47    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.90    53.51     1.78    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.23    75.75     5.32    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.63    36.69    -3.40    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -6.20    27.92    -4.10    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.79    23.22    -0.05    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.47    29.87    -7.98    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.31    59.54     8.73    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.57    44.57     1.17    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.27    49.76    -1.59    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.69    44.06    -1.47    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.56    33.03     2.03    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.83    22.64   -10.81    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -2.90    39.30    -8.41    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.17    13.38   -10.14    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.93     7.56   -16.58    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.54    11.58   -12.23    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 May 2017, Blackpool 3 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Portsmouth           46   87  +39       3.30    62.11     8.33    87.00     0.00    39.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   87  +25       8.63    79.61     2.54    87.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   85  +30       2.08    57.27    -0.50    85.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   77  +27       2.08    57.77     9.56    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   71  +19       0.60    52.02     8.18    71.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   71   +1       7.42    75.68     0.85    71.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   70  +23      -7.68    23.48     1.65    70.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           46   69  +10      -1.01    46.16    -0.28    69.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   69   +5       2.99    61.45     0.18    69.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   67   +4       3.26    62.64     3.22    67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   66   +8      -0.67    47.57     2.57    66.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   66   +4       2.75    60.89     3.17    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   65   +3      -1.85    43.37    -2.70    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   62   -4       4.24    66.04     3.89    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   57   -7      -1.60    44.43     0.03    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   56  -22       4.57    67.89    -3.38    56.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -9      -5.13    31.80    -4.37    55.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   52  -20      -0.04    50.57    -1.91    52.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   51  -18      -0.55    48.65    -0.28    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               46   50  -15      -4.61    32.76    -3.39    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   50  -20      -3.64    36.97    -6.31    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   48  -22      -1.87    43.17    -2.19    48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   46  -21      -3.16    38.34     0.72    46.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        46   36  -40     -14.32     7.39   -19.59    36.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.57    96.61    16.56    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.86    81.04     5.78    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.26    61.88     1.36    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.76    60.32    -1.89    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.57P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.76    82.89    15.51    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.50    59.04     1.22    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.46    72.95    11.00    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -1.08    45.92     9.11    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.20    45.41    -2.13    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.17    62.60     0.16    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.17    41.83     4.06    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.42    48.96     5.35    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.77    39.77   -10.84    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.90    71.72     2.11    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.35    27.24    -7.29    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.37    55.91     2.90    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.56    29.77    -0.02    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.12    25.14    -8.04    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.68    26.05    -0.21    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.49    52.75     1.91    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.51    11.75   -13.81    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.63    19.90   -15.48    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.65    35.89    -9.91    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.14    64.78    -7.40    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00