Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 5 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 May 2017, West_Ham 1 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          34   81  +43      15.21    97.27    12.04    90.34     2.15    49.50    98.98   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   77  +48       7.14    80.78    13.04    82.69     2.20    50.34     1.02    99.65    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   69  +29       7.63    80.91     7.27    74.88     2.18    31.73     0.00     0.15    44.29    87.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   66  +28       2.01    58.89    -0.40    74.86     2.35    33.49     0.00     0.20    51.16    87.86    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   65  +26       3.96    67.80     4.88    70.64     2.46    26.30     0.00     0.00     3.02    14.80    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22      -0.07    49.15    -1.72    69.26     2.86    25.88     0.00     0.00     1.58     9.50    92.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   58  +20       1.68    57.74     7.53    62.75     2.16    20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   44   -4       2.34    61.69     3.82    47.83     2.38    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   42  -14      -4.07    32.46    -7.14    44.41     1.83   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   41   -5      -6.67    21.48    -8.19    47.76     2.89    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13       2.42    62.14     5.38    45.14     2.24   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   40  -12      -5.84    24.91    -9.72    45.48     2.45   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   40  -13      -1.02    45.90    -1.50    42.99     2.13   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          34   40  -18       2.28    61.70    -2.80    42.63     2.14   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          35   39  -14      -0.10    50.39     0.03    43.13     2.25   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   38  -10      -3.27    35.72     1.66    40.94     1.88   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Hull             35   34  -31       0.82    55.40    -5.17    37.25     2.07   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.24R    0.00  
Swansea          35   32  -29      -4.22    30.84    -7.67    35.85     2.25   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.05R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    35   28  -19      -8.71    14.08    -3.02    30.11     1.80   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R    0.98  
Sunderland       34   21  -34     -10.14     8.94    -8.33    24.18     2.15   -38.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        45   92  +34      11.90    88.52     6.79    93.48     1.28    34.17    51.18   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       45   91  +42       5.07    68.85     4.72    93.31     1.12    43.52    48.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   82   +2      21.37    98.22     4.00    83.32     1.29     1.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   81  +16      10.36    84.67     2.77    82.73     1.31    16.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   81   +1      21.92    98.38     5.20    82.61     1.31     1.34     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   77  +27       6.57    73.85    13.75    78.03     1.24    26.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   74  +14       9.20    82.01     9.24    75.35     1.27    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   67  +12      -4.80    32.31    -3.64    68.96     1.27    12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   66   +4      -2.72    39.59    -6.46    67.86     1.28     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +12      -4.26    34.09     2.25    65.92     1.28    12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   62   +2      -0.09    49.99     1.49    63.14     1.26     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   61   -1      -0.63    48.07    -1.70    62.21     1.24    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -4      -1.80    43.50    -2.54    60.13     1.26    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   58   +0       0.88    54.03     7.56    58.52     0.97    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -5      -5.09    30.63    -2.69    56.59     1.30    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   55   -7      -4.74    32.18    -4.54    56.18     1.27    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   54   -5      -2.75    39.86     3.37    55.72     1.30    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   53  -10      -6.20    27.04    -6.23    53.83     1.18   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   45   52  -12       1.69    57.52     3.93    53.40     1.29   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   50  -20      -3.35    37.33    -7.88    51.02     1.23   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.61R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   48  -13      -7.98    21.40    -3.79    49.55     1.31   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.19R    0.00  
Blackburn       45   48  -14      -8.76    18.97    -6.87    48.86     1.18   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.20R    0.00  
Wigan           45   41  -17     -12.22    10.71    -5.53    42.34     1.27   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   22  -58     -13.96     4.98   -13.21    22.89     1.18   -58.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.37    94.99    13.26   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.50    73.19     7.96    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       7.11    75.11     8.16    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.19    88.42    10.89    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       6.10    72.37     4.64    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.16P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.23    54.90    -3.94    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.12    65.59     9.85    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.22    58.52     7.45    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.71    52.84     1.43    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.00    75.03     5.06    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.44    37.41    -3.18    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -5.78    29.20    -3.52    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.67    23.41     0.13    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.74    29.18    -8.35    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.07    58.62     8.33    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.52    44.93     1.20    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.24    49.82    -1.57    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.69    44.09    -1.58    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.37    33.97     2.30    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.78    22.78   -10.75    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.18    38.17    -8.74    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -10.94    13.93    -9.75    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -14.09     7.19   -16.85    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.71    11.49   -12.43    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             45   86  +25       9.11    81.35     2.69    87.71     1.30    25.48    54.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   85  +31       3.64    63.43     0.84    87.03     1.25    32.01    33.40   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   84  +34       3.86    64.42     6.77    86.00     1.23    34.91    11.91   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   74  +25       1.45    55.43     9.12    75.98     1.26    25.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   71  +20       1.38    55.23     8.21    72.69     1.32    20.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   68   +0       6.03    72.00     0.12    69.08     1.27    -0.48     0.00     0.00    36.37     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   67  +21      -8.31    21.35     1.19    69.05     1.23    22.00     0.00     0.00    66.82    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   67   +7       3.72    63.99     4.82    68.47     1.32     7.15     0.00     0.00    36.78     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   66   +9       0.37    51.74     3.06    67.27     1.27     8.88     0.00     0.00    16.75     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           45   66   +8      -1.73    43.81    -0.91    67.79     1.29     8.60     0.00     0.00    26.60     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   66   +4       1.76    57.10    -0.15    67.44     1.29     4.12     0.00     0.00    14.67     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   65   +4       3.29    63.08     3.31    66.50     1.30     4.19     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   62   +0      -2.25    41.64    -3.82    63.27     1.30    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   61   -4       4.46    66.83     3.72    62.03     1.23    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   57   -4      -1.57    44.60     0.85    58.29     1.30    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   56  -21       5.43    71.09    -3.20    57.30     1.30   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   52  -12      -5.36    30.74    -5.34    53.45     1.32   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   52  -18       0.50    52.94    -1.50    52.80     1.15   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   50  -13      -4.00    34.74    -2.54    50.97     1.21   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   50  -15      -4.52    33.46    -4.99    50.76     1.11   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   50  -18      -0.29    49.65    -0.57    51.22     1.27   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   45  -23      -3.25    37.89    -2.83    46.44     1.32   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool           45   43  -22      -4.30    33.83     0.28    43.76     1.14   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.65R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   36  -38     -13.77     8.12   -19.11    36.73     1.10   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.37    96.46    16.28    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.62    80.39     5.40    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.62P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.38    62.52     1.60    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.57    59.31    -2.15    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.84    82.94    15.58    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.78    60.30     1.63    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.32    72.50    10.77    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -1.02    46.21     9.18    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -0.92    46.53    -1.66    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.28    63.13     0.40    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.38    41.00     3.75    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.53    48.63     5.20    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.77    39.72   -10.83    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.67    71.15     1.71    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.52    26.69    -7.48    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.51    56.57     3.04    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.67    29.25    -0.30    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.08    25.07    -7.99    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.48    26.80     0.09    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.45    52.83     1.95    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.39    11.66   -13.64    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.50    20.29   -15.29    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.75    35.68   -10.12    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.36    65.83    -7.11    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00