Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 5 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 May 2017, West_Ham 1 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 34 81 +43 15.21 97.27 12.04 90.34 2.15 49.50 98.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 77 +48 7.14 80.78 13.04 82.69 2.20 50.34 1.02 99.65 99.95 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 35 69 +29 7.63 80.91 7.27 74.88 2.18 31.73 0.00 0.15 44.29 87.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 66 +28 2.01 58.89 -0.40 74.86 2.35 33.49 0.00 0.20 51.16 87.86 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 65 +26 3.96 67.80 4.88 70.64 2.46 26.30 0.00 0.00 3.02 14.80 99.33 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 60 +22 -0.07 49.15 -1.72 69.26 2.86 25.88 0.00 0.00 1.58 9.50 92.83 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 58 +20 1.68 57.74 7.53 62.75 2.16 20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.86 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 34 44 -4 2.34 61.69 3.82 47.83 2.38 -6.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 36 42 -14 -4.07 32.46 -7.14 44.41 1.83 -14.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 41 -5 -6.67 21.48 -8.19 47.76 2.89 -5.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -13 2.42 62.14 5.38 45.14 2.24 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 40 -12 -5.84 24.91 -9.72 45.48 2.45 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 40 -13 -1.02 45.90 -1.50 42.99 2.13 -14.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Watford 34 40 -18 2.28 61.70 -2.80 42.63 2.14 -23.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Burnley 35 39 -14 -0.10 50.39 0.03 43.13 2.25 -13.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 38 -10 -3.27 35.72 1.66 40.94 1.88 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06R 0.00 Hull 35 34 -31 0.82 55.40 -5.17 37.25 2.07 -32.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.24R 0.00 Swansea 35 32 -29 -4.22 30.84 -7.67 35.85 2.25 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.05R 0.01 Middlesbrough 35 28 -19 -8.71 14.08 -3.02 30.11 1.80 -22.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.58R 0.98 Sunderland 34 21 -34 -10.14 8.94 -8.33 24.18 2.15 -38.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 45 92 +34 11.90 88.52 6.79 93.48 1.28 34.17 51.18 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 45 91 +42 5.07 68.85 4.72 93.31 1.12 43.52 48.82 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 82 +2 21.37 98.22 4.00 83.32 1.29 1.95 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.39P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 81 +16 10.36 84.67 2.77 82.73 1.31 16.53 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.33P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 81 +1 21.92 98.38 5.20 82.61 1.31 1.34 0.00 0.00 100.00 17.67P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 45 77 +27 6.57 73.85 13.75 78.03 1.24 26.47 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.61P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 74 +14 9.20 82.01 9.24 75.35 1.27 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 45 67 +12 -4.80 32.31 -3.64 68.96 1.27 12.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 66 +4 -2.72 39.59 -6.46 67.86 1.28 4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 64 +12 -4.26 34.09 2.25 65.92 1.28 12.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 62 +2 -0.09 49.99 1.49 63.14 1.26 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 45 61 -1 -0.63 48.07 -1.70 62.21 1.24 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 59 -4 -1.80 43.50 -2.54 60.13 1.26 -4.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 45 58 +0 0.88 54.03 7.56 58.52 0.97 -1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 45 55 -5 -5.09 30.63 -2.69 56.59 1.30 -4.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 55 -7 -4.74 32.18 -4.54 56.18 1.27 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 54 -5 -2.75 39.86 3.37 55.72 1.30 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 53 -10 -6.20 27.04 -6.23 53.83 1.18 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 52 -12 1.69 57.52 3.93 53.40 1.29 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 45 50 -20 -3.35 37.33 -7.88 51.02 1.23 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.61R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 48 -13 -7.98 21.40 -3.79 49.55 1.31 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.19R 0.00 Blackburn 45 48 -14 -8.76 18.97 -6.87 48.86 1.18 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.20R 0.00 Wigan 45 41 -17 -12.22 10.71 -5.53 42.34 1.27 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 45 22 -58 -13.96 4.98 -13.21 22.89 1.18 -58.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.37 94.99 13.26 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.50 73.19 7.96 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 7.11 75.11 8.16 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.38P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.19 88.42 10.89 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.39P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 6.10 72.37 4.64 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.16P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 1.23 54.90 -3.94 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.07P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.12 65.59 9.85 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 2.22 58.52 7.45 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.71 52.84 1.43 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.00 75.03 5.06 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.44 37.41 -3.18 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -5.78 29.20 -3.52 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.67 23.41 0.13 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.74 29.18 -8.35 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.07 58.62 8.33 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.52 44.93 1.20 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.24 49.82 -1.57 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.69 44.09 -1.58 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.37 33.97 2.30 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.78 22.78 -10.75 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -3.18 38.17 -8.74 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -10.94 13.93 -9.75 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -14.09 7.19 -16.85 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.71 11.49 -12.43 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 45 86 +25 9.11 81.35 2.69 87.71 1.30 25.48 54.69 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 45 85 +31 3.64 63.43 0.84 87.03 1.25 32.01 33.40 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 84 +34 3.86 64.42 6.77 86.00 1.23 34.91 11.91 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 45 74 +25 1.45 55.43 9.12 75.98 1.26 25.91 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.69P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 71 +20 1.38 55.23 8.21 72.69 1.32 20.48 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.33P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 45 68 +0 6.03 72.00 0.12 69.08 1.27 -0.48 0.00 0.00 36.37 6.25P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 67 +21 -8.31 21.35 1.19 69.05 1.23 22.00 0.00 0.00 66.82 21.08P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 67 +7 3.72 63.99 4.82 68.47 1.32 7.15 0.00 0.00 36.78 6.43P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 66 +9 0.37 51.74 3.06 67.27 1.27 8.88 0.00 0.00 16.75 3.40P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 66 +8 -1.73 43.81 -0.91 67.79 1.29 8.60 0.00 0.00 26.60 5.64P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 45 66 +4 1.76 57.10 -0.15 67.44 1.29 4.12 0.00 0.00 14.67 2.86P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 65 +4 3.29 63.08 3.31 66.50 1.30 4.19 0.00 0.00 2.01 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 62 +0 -2.25 41.64 -3.82 63.27 1.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 61 -4 4.46 66.83 3.72 62.03 1.23 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 57 -4 -1.57 44.60 0.85 58.29 1.30 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 56 -21 5.43 71.09 -3.20 57.30 1.30 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 45 52 -12 -5.36 30.74 -5.34 53.45 1.32 -11.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 52 -18 0.50 52.94 -1.50 52.80 1.15 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 45 50 -13 -4.00 34.74 -2.54 50.97 1.21 -13.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 50 -15 -4.52 33.46 -4.99 50.76 1.11 -15.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 50 -18 -0.29 49.65 -0.57 51.22 1.27 -18.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 45 45 -23 -3.25 37.89 -2.83 46.44 1.32 -22.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.35R 0.00 Hartlepool 45 43 -22 -4.30 33.83 0.28 43.76 1.14 -23.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.65R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 36 -38 -13.77 8.12 -19.11 36.73 1.10 -39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.37 96.46 16.28 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.62 80.39 5.40 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.62P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.38 62.52 1.60 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.27P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.57 59.31 -2.15 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.88P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.84 82.94 15.58 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.22P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.78 60.30 1.63 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.32 72.50 10.77 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -1.02 46.21 9.18 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -0.92 46.53 -1.66 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.28 63.13 0.40 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.38 41.00 3.75 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.53 48.63 5.20 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.77 39.72 -10.83 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 5.67 71.15 1.71 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.52 26.69 -7.48 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.51 56.57 3.04 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.67 29.25 -0.30 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -7.08 25.07 -7.99 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.48 26.80 0.09 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.45 52.83 1.95 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.39 11.66 -13.64 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.50 20.29 -15.29 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.75 35.68 -10.12 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.36 65.83 -7.11 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00