Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 3 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 May 2017, Watford 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 34 81 +43 15.21 97.08 12.05 90.33 2.16 49.48 94.16 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 77 +49 8.44 85.69 13.62 84.62 2.59 52.18 5.84 99.89 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 35 69 +29 7.70 81.29 7.48 74.89 2.17 31.74 0.00 0.05 44.56 87.83 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 66 +28 1.91 58.57 -0.52 74.85 2.35 33.46 0.00 0.06 50.75 87.90 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 65 +26 4.13 68.64 5.13 70.64 2.47 26.30 0.00 0.00 3.03 14.79 99.39 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 60 +22 0.02 49.61 -1.48 69.22 2.86 25.84 0.00 0.00 1.67 9.48 92.43 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 58 +20 1.68 57.49 7.49 62.76 2.16 20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.19 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 34 44 -4 2.56 62.73 4.07 47.84 2.38 -6.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 41 -5 -6.62 21.33 -8.03 47.75 2.84 -5.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -13 2.30 61.63 5.12 45.17 2.24 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 40 -12 -6.06 24.08 -9.95 45.48 2.45 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 35 40 -13 -0.93 46.48 -1.33 42.98 2.13 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Watford 34 40 -18 2.24 61.52 -2.87 42.62 2.14 -23.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Burnley 35 39 -14 0.14 51.72 0.44 43.12 2.26 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 West_Ham 35 39 -15 -5.55 25.95 -7.79 42.27 2.20 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 38 -10 -3.43 35.16 1.37 40.94 1.90 -12.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.00 Hull 35 34 -31 0.49 53.38 -5.76 37.27 2.09 -32.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.19R 0.00 Swansea 35 32 -29 -4.20 30.90 -7.65 35.84 2.26 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.96R 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 28 -19 -8.73 14.14 -3.02 30.12 1.79 -22.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.67R 1.02 Sunderland 34 21 -34 -10.18 8.80 -8.36 24.17 2.16 -38.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 45 92 +34 11.99 88.69 6.98 93.48 1.28 34.17 51.83 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 45 91 +42 5.26 69.57 4.97 93.29 1.13 43.50 48.17 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 82 +2 21.31 98.13 3.92 83.33 1.29 1.96 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.45P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 81 +16 10.54 85.33 3.05 82.72 1.31 16.52 0.00 0.00 100.00 33.61P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 81 +1 22.12 98.52 5.49 82.61 1.31 1.34 0.00 0.00 100.00 17.55P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 45 77 +27 6.26 72.78 13.29 78.04 1.25 26.48 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.39P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 74 +14 9.41 82.29 9.57 75.35 1.27 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 45 67 +12 -5.16 30.88 -4.15 68.97 1.27 12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 66 +4 -2.94 38.61 -6.72 67.86 1.28 4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 64 +12 -4.18 34.16 2.42 65.92 1.28 12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 62 +2 0.18 50.96 1.86 63.13 1.25 1.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 45 61 -1 -0.70 47.73 -1.85 62.21 1.25 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 59 -4 -1.93 42.86 -2.75 60.14 1.27 -4.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 45 58 +0 0.51 52.58 7.02 58.53 0.98 -1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 45 55 -5 -4.86 31.88 -2.32 56.60 1.30 -4.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 55 -7 -5.26 30.23 -5.26 56.20 1.27 -7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 54 -5 -2.61 40.27 3.57 55.73 1.30 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 53 -10 -6.19 27.44 -6.25 53.82 1.17 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 52 -12 1.60 57.34 3.82 53.39 1.29 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 45 50 -20 -3.19 37.67 -7.65 51.02 1.23 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.64R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 48 -13 -8.08 21.05 -3.93 49.53 1.31 -12.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.55R 0.00 Blackburn 45 48 -14 -8.61 19.50 -6.65 48.86 1.18 -14.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.81R 0.00 Wigan 45 41 -17 -11.84 11.54 -5.04 42.35 1.27 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 45 22 -58 -14.04 4.95 -13.38 22.90 1.19 -58.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.28 94.61 13.11 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.32 72.90 7.64 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 6.97 75.08 7.99 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.95P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.40 88.62 11.20 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.16P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 5.82 71.65 4.19 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.92P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 1.08 54.42 -4.18 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.97P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.32 66.38 10.22 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 2.34 58.95 7.64 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.57 52.42 1.26 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.05 75.01 5.07 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.61 36.90 -3.39 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -5.98 28.75 -3.82 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.63 23.49 0.16 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.88 28.28 -8.52 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.24 59.36 8.71 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.34 45.65 1.52 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.43 49.15 -1.77 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.49 44.79 -1.32 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.41 33.56 2.25 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.67 23.02 -10.63 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -2.85 39.30 -8.29 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -11.06 13.28 -9.91 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -13.92 7.69 -16.59 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.76 11.29 -12.54 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 45 86 +25 9.19 81.44 2.78 87.71 1.30 25.48 54.37 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 45 85 +31 3.46 62.53 0.57 87.02 1.25 32.00 33.53 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 84 +34 3.99 64.93 6.95 86.02 1.23 34.93 12.10 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 45 74 +25 1.50 55.67 9.16 75.97 1.26 25.89 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.57P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 71 +20 1.98 57.77 9.17 72.69 1.32 20.48 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.10P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 45 68 +0 6.27 72.53 0.47 69.08 1.27 -0.48 0.00 0.00 36.02 6.11P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 67 +21 -8.36 21.04 1.10 69.06 1.22 22.02 0.00 0.00 67.24 21.19P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 67 +7 3.84 64.69 4.99 68.46 1.32 7.13 0.00 0.00 36.53 6.41P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 66 +9 0.17 50.88 2.77 67.27 1.27 8.89 0.00 0.00 16.92 3.56P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 66 +8 -1.60 44.13 -0.73 67.79 1.30 8.60 0.00 0.00 26.70 5.81P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 45 66 +4 1.69 56.73 -0.27 67.44 1.29 4.11 0.00 0.00 14.52 2.91P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 65 +4 2.96 61.75 2.88 66.51 1.30 4.21 0.00 0.00 2.06 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 62 +0 -2.37 41.30 -4.02 63.28 1.30 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 61 -4 4.53 67.29 3.88 62.04 1.23 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 57 -4 -1.67 44.02 0.69 58.28 1.30 -4.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 56 -21 5.60 71.70 -2.95 57.30 1.30 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 45 52 -12 -5.47 30.20 -5.59 53.47 1.32 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 52 -18 0.24 51.72 -1.83 52.80 1.15 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 45 50 -13 -3.83 35.49 -2.29 50.97 1.22 -13.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 50 -15 -4.70 33.03 -5.20 50.75 1.10 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 50 -18 -0.20 49.99 -0.52 51.21 1.27 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 45 45 -23 -3.15 38.24 -2.73 46.44 1.32 -22.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.47R 0.00 Hartlepool 45 43 -22 -4.61 32.44 -0.17 43.77 1.14 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.53R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 36 -38 -13.78 7.90 -19.11 36.72 1.09 -39.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.48 96.48 16.47 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.71 80.65 5.57 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.55P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.34 62.32 1.59 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.20P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.69 59.74 -1.94 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.73P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.83 82.88 15.60 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.51P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.63 59.46 1.39 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.30 72.52 10.68 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -1.42 44.73 8.55 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -1.28 45.30 -2.21 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.76 64.77 1.05 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.12 41.85 4.08 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.59 48.37 5.07 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.71 39.92 -10.78 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 5.90 71.79 2.15 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.50 26.75 -7.47 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.26 55.58 2.63 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.65 29.26 -0.24 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -6.91 25.79 -7.72 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.71 25.98 -0.21 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.46 52.55 1.96 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.63 11.37 -14.02 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.46 20.33 -15.21 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.90 35.21 -10.31 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.56 66.61 -6.69 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00