Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 May 2017, Watford 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          34   81  +43      15.21    97.08    12.05    90.33     2.16    49.48    94.16   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   77  +49       8.44    85.69    13.62    84.62     2.59    52.18     5.84    99.89    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   69  +29       7.70    81.29     7.48    74.89     2.17    31.74     0.00     0.05    44.56    87.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   66  +28       1.91    58.57    -0.52    74.85     2.35    33.46     0.00     0.06    50.75    87.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   65  +26       4.13    68.64     5.13    70.64     2.47    26.30     0.00     0.00     3.03    14.79    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22       0.02    49.61    -1.48    69.22     2.86    25.84     0.00     0.00     1.67     9.48    92.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   58  +20       1.68    57.49     7.49    62.76     2.16    20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   44   -4       2.56    62.73     4.07    47.84     2.38    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   41   -5      -6.62    21.33    -8.03    47.75     2.84    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13       2.30    61.63     5.12    45.17     2.24   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   40  -12      -6.06    24.08    -9.95    45.48     2.45   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            35   40  -13      -0.93    46.48    -1.33    42.98     2.13   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          34   40  -18       2.24    61.52    -2.87    42.62     2.14   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          35   39  -14       0.14    51.72     0.44    43.12     2.26   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         35   39  -15      -5.55    25.95    -7.79    42.27     2.20   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   38  -10      -3.43    35.16     1.37    40.94     1.90   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Hull             35   34  -31       0.49    53.38    -5.76    37.27     2.09   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.19R    0.00  
Swansea          35   32  -29      -4.20    30.90    -7.65    35.84     2.26   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.96R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   28  -19      -8.73    14.14    -3.02    30.12     1.79   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R    1.02  
Sunderland       34   21  -34     -10.18     8.80    -8.36    24.17     2.16   -38.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        45   92  +34      11.99    88.69     6.98    93.48     1.28    34.17    51.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       45   91  +42       5.26    69.57     4.97    93.29     1.13    43.50    48.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   82   +2      21.31    98.13     3.92    83.33     1.29     1.96     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   81  +16      10.54    85.33     3.05    82.72     1.31    16.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   81   +1      22.12    98.52     5.49    82.61     1.31     1.34     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.55P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   77  +27       6.26    72.78    13.29    78.04     1.25    26.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   74  +14       9.41    82.29     9.57    75.35     1.27    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   67  +12      -5.16    30.88    -4.15    68.97     1.27    12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   66   +4      -2.94    38.61    -6.72    67.86     1.28     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +12      -4.18    34.16     2.42    65.92     1.28    12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   62   +2       0.18    50.96     1.86    63.13     1.25     1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   61   -1      -0.70    47.73    -1.85    62.21     1.25    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -4      -1.93    42.86    -2.75    60.14     1.27    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   58   +0       0.51    52.58     7.02    58.53     0.98    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -5      -4.86    31.88    -2.32    56.60     1.30    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   55   -7      -5.26    30.23    -5.26    56.20     1.27    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   54   -5      -2.61    40.27     3.57    55.73     1.30    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   53  -10      -6.19    27.44    -6.25    53.82     1.17   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   45   52  -12       1.60    57.34     3.82    53.39     1.29   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   50  -20      -3.19    37.67    -7.65    51.02     1.23   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.64R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   48  -13      -8.08    21.05    -3.93    49.53     1.31   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.55R    0.00  
Blackburn       45   48  -14      -8.61    19.50    -6.65    48.86     1.18   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.81R    0.00  
Wigan           45   41  -17     -11.84    11.54    -5.04    42.35     1.27   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   22  -58     -14.04     4.95   -13.38    22.90     1.19   -58.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.28    94.61    13.11   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.32    72.90     7.64    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.97    75.08     7.99    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.95P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.40    88.62    11.20    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       5.82    71.65     4.19    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.92P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.08    54.42    -4.18    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.32    66.38    10.22    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.34    58.95     7.64    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.57    52.42     1.26    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.05    75.01     5.07    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.61    36.90    -3.39    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -5.98    28.75    -3.82    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.63    23.49     0.16    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.88    28.28    -8.52    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.24    59.36     8.71    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.34    45.65     1.52    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.43    49.15    -1.77    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.49    44.79    -1.32    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.41    33.56     2.25    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.67    23.02   -10.63    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -2.85    39.30    -8.29    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.06    13.28    -9.91    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -13.92     7.69   -16.59    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.76    11.29   -12.54    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             45   86  +25       9.19    81.44     2.78    87.71     1.30    25.48    54.37   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   85  +31       3.46    62.53     0.57    87.02     1.25    32.00    33.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   84  +34       3.99    64.93     6.95    86.02     1.23    34.93    12.10   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   74  +25       1.50    55.67     9.16    75.97     1.26    25.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   71  +20       1.98    57.77     9.17    72.69     1.32    20.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   68   +0       6.27    72.53     0.47    69.08     1.27    -0.48     0.00     0.00    36.02     6.11P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   67  +21      -8.36    21.04     1.10    69.06     1.22    22.02     0.00     0.00    67.24    21.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   67   +7       3.84    64.69     4.99    68.46     1.32     7.13     0.00     0.00    36.53     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   66   +9       0.17    50.88     2.77    67.27     1.27     8.89     0.00     0.00    16.92     3.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           45   66   +8      -1.60    44.13    -0.73    67.79     1.30     8.60     0.00     0.00    26.70     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   66   +4       1.69    56.73    -0.27    67.44     1.29     4.11     0.00     0.00    14.52     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   65   +4       2.96    61.75     2.88    66.51     1.30     4.21     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   62   +0      -2.37    41.30    -4.02    63.28     1.30    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   61   -4       4.53    67.29     3.88    62.04     1.23    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   57   -4      -1.67    44.02     0.69    58.28     1.30    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   56  -21       5.60    71.70    -2.95    57.30     1.30   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   52  -12      -5.47    30.20    -5.59    53.47     1.32   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   52  -18       0.24    51.72    -1.83    52.80     1.15   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   50  -13      -3.83    35.49    -2.29    50.97     1.22   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   50  -15      -4.70    33.03    -5.20    50.75     1.10   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   50  -18      -0.20    49.99    -0.52    51.21     1.27   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   45  -23      -3.15    38.24    -2.73    46.44     1.32   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47R    0.00  
Hartlepool           45   43  -22      -4.61    32.44    -0.17    43.77     1.14   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.53R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   36  -38     -13.78     7.90   -19.11    36.72     1.09   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.48    96.48    16.47    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.71    80.65     5.57    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.55P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.34    62.32     1.59    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.69    59.74    -1.94    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.73P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.83    82.88    15.60    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.63    59.46     1.39    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.30    72.52    10.68    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -1.42    44.73     8.55    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.28    45.30    -2.21    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.76    64.77     1.05    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.12    41.85     4.08    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.59    48.37     5.07    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.71    39.92   -10.78    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.90    71.79     2.15    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.50    26.75    -7.47    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.26    55.58     2.63    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.65    29.26    -0.24    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -6.91    25.79    -7.72    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.71    25.98    -0.21    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.46    52.55     1.96    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.63    11.37   -14.02    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.46    20.33   -15.21    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.90    35.21   -10.31    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.56    66.61    -6.69    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00