Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 2 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 May 2017, Watford 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 34 81 +43 15.39 97.26 12.41 90.32 2.17 49.43 94.07 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 77 +49 8.34 85.19 13.46 84.63 2.56 52.21 5.93 99.94 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 35 69 +29 7.62 81.05 7.29 74.88 2.17 31.75 0.00 0.03 44.22 88.03 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 66 +28 1.93 58.64 -0.53 74.86 2.35 33.49 0.00 0.03 51.13 87.90 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 65 +26 3.96 67.99 4.85 70.63 2.49 26.30 0.00 0.00 3.09 14.64 99.30 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 60 +22 -0.31 48.10 -2.11 69.28 2.84 25.90 0.00 0.00 1.58 9.44 93.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 58 +20 1.73 57.84 7.53 62.74 2.16 20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 34 44 -4 2.44 62.20 3.94 47.85 2.39 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 41 -5 -6.64 21.33 -8.07 47.73 2.87 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -13 2.48 62.31 5.39 45.13 2.23 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 40 -12 -5.92 24.83 -9.81 45.45 2.47 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 40 -13 -1.14 45.25 -1.61 42.99 2.14 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Watford 34 40 -18 2.36 61.87 -2.66 42.64 2.16 -23.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 35 39 -14 0.11 51.52 0.41 43.14 2.25 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 West_Ham 35 39 -15 -5.65 25.78 -7.88 42.28 2.20 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 38 -10 -3.06 36.56 1.99 40.92 1.89 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.00 Hull 35 34 -31 0.69 54.54 -5.40 37.26 2.09 -32.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.66R 0.00 Swansea 35 32 -29 -4.24 31.00 -7.69 35.84 2.26 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.52R 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 28 -19 -8.56 14.73 -2.79 30.11 1.80 -22.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.60R 0.98 Sunderland 34 21 -34 -10.37 8.30 -8.71 24.19 2.14 -38.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.02Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 45 92 +34 11.80 88.25 6.66 93.48 1.28 34.17 51.88 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 45 91 +42 5.30 69.56 5.07 93.28 1.13 43.49 48.12 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 82 +2 21.24 98.08 3.80 83.33 1.29 1.95 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.23P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 81 +16 10.45 85.12 2.88 82.73 1.31 16.52 0.00 0.00 100.00 34.01P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 81 +1 22.12 98.53 5.58 82.59 1.31 1.32 0.00 0.00 100.00 17.44P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 45 77 +27 6.36 72.73 13.37 78.03 1.25 26.48 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.32P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 74 +14 9.47 82.77 9.65 75.35 1.27 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 45 67 +12 -5.11 31.15 -4.10 68.97 1.27 12.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 66 +4 -2.96 38.65 -6.80 67.86 1.28 4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 64 +12 -4.22 34.39 2.41 65.93 1.27 12.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 62 +2 -0.05 50.28 1.55 63.14 1.26 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 45 61 -1 -0.43 48.61 -1.37 62.21 1.25 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 59 -4 -1.98 42.55 -2.85 60.15 1.27 -4.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 45 58 +0 0.77 53.33 7.46 58.54 0.99 -1.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 45 55 -5 -5.05 31.09 -2.60 56.59 1.30 -4.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 55 -7 -5.10 30.85 -5.06 56.18 1.27 -7.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 54 -5 -2.76 39.48 3.42 55.73 1.30 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 53 -10 -6.13 27.36 -6.18 53.82 1.17 -10.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 52 -12 1.80 58.16 4.12 53.40 1.30 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 45 50 -20 -3.14 38.24 -7.58 51.02 1.23 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.74R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 48 -13 -8.19 20.84 -4.06 49.56 1.31 -12.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.76R 0.00 Blackburn 45 48 -14 -8.62 19.22 -6.67 48.85 1.17 -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.50R 0.00 Wigan 45 41 -17 -11.87 11.51 -5.07 42.35 1.27 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Rotherham 45 22 -58 -14.16 4.82 -13.64 22.90 1.19 -58.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 46 100 +45 16.01 94.47 12.73 100.00 0.00 45.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 86 +32 6.27 72.40 7.64 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 82 +26 6.88 74.17 7.89 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.57P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 82 +21 12.51 89.00 11.34 82.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.51P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 79 +19 5.98 72.14 4.42 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.01P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 73 +9 1.01 53.93 -4.29 73.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.92P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 4.43 66.31 10.35 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 69 +13 2.22 58.53 7.43 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 69 +9 0.87 53.56 1.72 69.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 66 -2 7.16 75.39 5.23 66.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 62 +0 -3.54 36.90 -3.30 62.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 61 +2 -5.95 28.77 -3.77 61.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 +7 -7.71 23.35 0.09 60.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 -7 -5.75 28.98 -8.38 58.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 57 -3 2.19 59.23 8.60 57.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -13 -1.31 45.60 1.47 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 53 -13 -0.34 49.25 -1.67 53.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 51 -17 -1.59 44.50 -1.44 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 50 -12 -4.43 33.59 2.20 50.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 50 -20 -7.57 23.21 -10.42 50.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 49 -25 -3.08 38.44 -8.64 49.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Swindon 46 44 -22 -11.05 13.55 -9.89 44.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 46 39 -31 -14.10 7.41 -16.83 39.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 46 37 -35 -11.70 11.32 -12.48 37.00 0.00 -35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 45 86 +25 9.16 81.33 2.76 87.71 1.30 25.49 54.40 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 45 85 +31 3.18 61.57 0.11 87.03 1.25 32.01 33.51 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 84 +34 3.83 64.33 6.78 86.01 1.23 34.93 12.08 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 45 74 +25 1.58 56.27 9.27 75.97 1.26 25.92 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.84P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 71 +20 1.60 56.10 8.53 72.70 1.33 20.49 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.82P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 45 68 +0 5.95 71.81 0.01 69.07 1.27 -0.49 0.00 0.00 36.13 5.95P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 67 +21 -8.13 21.89 1.43 69.05 1.23 22.01 0.00 0.00 67.15 21.46P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 67 +7 3.71 64.06 4.72 68.48 1.32 7.15 0.00 0.00 36.81 6.53P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 66 +9 0.32 51.34 3.05 67.26 1.27 8.88 0.00 0.00 16.57 3.41P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 66 +8 -1.62 43.84 -0.77 67.77 1.30 8.58 0.00 0.00 26.42 5.74P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 45 66 +4 1.53 56.17 -0.50 67.45 1.29 4.12 0.00 0.00 14.81 2.90P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 65 +4 3.26 62.87 3.31 66.50 1.30 4.20 0.00 0.00 2.11 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 62 +0 -2.16 41.84 -3.70 63.26 1.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 61 -4 4.67 67.83 4.02 62.03 1.23 -4.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 57 -4 -1.52 44.64 0.90 58.28 1.30 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 56 -21 5.39 71.06 -3.28 57.32 1.31 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 45 52 -12 -5.33 30.66 -5.38 53.47 1.32 -11.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 52 -18 0.59 53.03 -1.29 52.81 1.15 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 45 50 -13 -4.16 34.20 -2.73 50.98 1.22 -13.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 50 -15 -4.55 33.46 -5.05 50.75 1.10 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 50 -18 -0.32 49.54 -0.65 51.22 1.27 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 45 45 -23 -2.93 39.10 -2.40 46.42 1.32 -22.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.22R 0.00 Hartlepool 45 43 -22 -4.56 33.08 -0.04 43.76 1.13 -23.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.78R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 36 -38 -13.75 7.97 -19.09 36.73 1.10 -39.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 46 99 +43 18.43 96.56 16.32 99.00 0.00 43.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 95 +40 8.91 81.46 5.86 95.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 100.00 35.11P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 86 +32 3.21 61.58 1.37 86.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 100.00 25.91P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 84 +26 2.88 60.53 -1.66 84.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 23.18P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 82 +29 9.61 82.53 15.30 82.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 15.80P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 79 +22 2.67 59.77 1.47 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 46 75 +19 6.26 72.46 10.63 75.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 70 +21 -0.99 46.24 9.23 70.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 68 +7 -1.29 45.25 -2.21 68.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 46 62 -7 3.26 62.90 0.28 62.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 46 58 +1 -2.09 42.12 4.09 58.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 46 58 -2 -0.54 48.32 5.24 58.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 58 -14 -2.55 40.54 -10.58 58.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 46 58 -16 5.96 72.33 2.17 58.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 57 -7 -6.50 26.87 -7.43 57.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 46 55 -13 1.57 56.81 3.17 55.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 53 -7 -5.42 30.26 0.11 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 53 -14 -7.08 25.17 -7.97 53.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 52 -8 -6.66 26.09 -0.18 52.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Guiseley 46 51 -17 0.25 51.84 1.64 51.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 50 -15 -12.52 11.50 -13.85 50.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 48 -25 -8.62 19.58 -15.47 48.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Southport 46 39 -45 -3.81 35.48 -10.17 39.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 North_Ferriby 46 39 -50 3.25 65.33 -7.36 39.00 0.00 -50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00