Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 May 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 May 2017, Watford 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          34   81  +43      15.39    97.26    12.41    90.32     2.17    49.43    94.07   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   77  +49       8.34    85.19    13.46    84.63     2.56    52.21     5.93    99.94    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   69  +29       7.62    81.05     7.29    74.88     2.17    31.75     0.00     0.03    44.22    88.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   66  +28       1.93    58.64    -0.53    74.86     2.35    33.49     0.00     0.03    51.13    87.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   65  +26       3.96    67.99     4.85    70.63     2.49    26.30     0.00     0.00     3.09    14.64    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   60  +22      -0.31    48.10    -2.11    69.28     2.84    25.90     0.00     0.00     1.58     9.44    93.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   58  +20       1.73    57.84     7.53    62.74     2.16    20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   44   -4       2.44    62.20     3.94    47.85     2.39    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   41   -5      -6.64    21.33    -8.07    47.73     2.87    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13       2.48    62.31     5.39    45.13     2.23   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   40  -12      -5.92    24.83    -9.81    45.45     2.47   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   40  -13      -1.14    45.25    -1.61    42.99     2.14   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          34   40  -18       2.36    61.87    -2.66    42.64     2.16   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          35   39  -14       0.11    51.52     0.41    43.14     2.25   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         35   39  -15      -5.65    25.78    -7.88    42.28     2.20   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   38  -10      -3.06    36.56     1.99    40.92     1.89   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Hull             35   34  -31       0.69    54.54    -5.40    37.26     2.09   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.66R    0.00  
Swansea          35   32  -29      -4.24    31.00    -7.69    35.84     2.26   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.52R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   28  -19      -8.56    14.73    -2.79    30.11     1.80   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R    0.98  
Sunderland       34   21  -34     -10.37     8.30    -8.71    24.19     2.14   -38.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        45   92  +34      11.80    88.25     6.66    93.48     1.28    34.17    51.88   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       45   91  +42       5.30    69.56     5.07    93.28     1.13    43.49    48.12   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   82   +2      21.24    98.08     3.80    83.33     1.29     1.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   81  +16      10.45    85.12     2.88    82.73     1.31    16.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   81   +1      22.12    98.53     5.58    82.59     1.31     1.32     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   77  +27       6.36    72.73    13.37    78.03     1.25    26.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   74  +14       9.47    82.77     9.65    75.35     1.27    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   67  +12      -5.11    31.15    -4.10    68.97     1.27    12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   66   +4      -2.96    38.65    -6.80    67.86     1.28     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +12      -4.22    34.39     2.41    65.93     1.27    12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   62   +2      -0.05    50.28     1.55    63.14     1.26     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   61   -1      -0.43    48.61    -1.37    62.21     1.25    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -4      -1.98    42.55    -2.85    60.15     1.27    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        45   58   +0       0.77    53.33     7.46    58.54     0.99    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   55   -5      -5.05    31.09    -2.60    56.59     1.30    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   55   -7      -5.10    30.85    -5.06    56.18     1.27    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   54   -5      -2.76    39.48     3.42    55.73     1.30    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   53  -10      -6.13    27.36    -6.18    53.82     1.17   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion   45   52  -12       1.80    58.16     4.12    53.40     1.30   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   50  -20      -3.14    38.24    -7.58    51.02     1.23   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.74R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   48  -13      -8.19    20.84    -4.06    49.56     1.31   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.76R    0.00  
Blackburn       45   48  -14      -8.62    19.22    -6.67    48.85     1.17   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.50R    0.00  
Wigan           45   41  -17     -11.87    11.51    -5.07    42.35     1.27   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       45   22  -58     -14.16     4.82   -13.64    22.90     1.19   -58.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        46  100  +45      16.01    94.47    12.73   100.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           46   86  +32       6.27    72.40     7.64    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   82  +26       6.88    74.17     7.89    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   82  +21      12.51    89.00    11.34    82.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   79  +19       5.98    72.14     4.42    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   73   +9       1.01    53.93    -4.29    73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   72  +17       4.43    66.31    10.35    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       46   69  +13       2.22    58.53     7.43    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   69   +9       0.87    53.56     1.72    69.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   66   -2       7.16    75.39     5.23    66.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   62   +0      -3.54    36.90    -3.30    62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   61   +2      -5.95    28.77    -3.77    61.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   60   +7      -7.71    23.35     0.09    60.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   58   -7      -5.75    28.98    -8.38    58.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    46   57   -3       2.19    59.23     8.60    57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   53  -13      -1.31    45.60     1.47    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   53  -13      -0.34    49.25    -1.67    53.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       46   51  -17      -1.59    44.50    -1.44    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   50  -12      -4.43    33.59     2.20    50.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -20      -7.57    23.21   -10.42    50.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -25      -3.08    38.44    -8.64    49.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Swindon          46   44  -22     -11.05    13.55    -9.89    44.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   39  -31     -14.10     7.41   -16.83    39.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield     46   37  -35     -11.70    11.32   -12.48    37.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 4 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             45   86  +25       9.16    81.33     2.76    87.71     1.30    25.49    54.40   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   85  +31       3.18    61.57     0.11    87.03     1.25    32.01    33.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   84  +34       3.83    64.33     6.78    86.01     1.23    34.93    12.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   74  +25       1.58    56.27     9.27    75.97     1.26    25.92     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   71  +20       1.60    56.10     8.53    72.70     1.33    20.49     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   68   +0       5.95    71.81     0.01    69.07     1.27    -0.49     0.00     0.00    36.13     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   67  +21      -8.13    21.89     1.43    69.05     1.23    22.01     0.00     0.00    67.15    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   67   +7       3.71    64.06     4.72    68.48     1.32     7.15     0.00     0.00    36.81     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   66   +9       0.32    51.34     3.05    67.26     1.27     8.88     0.00     0.00    16.57     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           45   66   +8      -1.62    43.84    -0.77    67.77     1.30     8.58     0.00     0.00    26.42     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   66   +4       1.53    56.17    -0.50    67.45     1.29     4.12     0.00     0.00    14.81     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   65   +4       3.26    62.87     3.31    66.50     1.30     4.20     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   62   +0      -2.16    41.84    -3.70    63.26     1.30    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   61   -4       4.67    67.83     4.02    62.03     1.23    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   57   -4      -1.52    44.64     0.90    58.28     1.30    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   56  -21       5.39    71.06    -3.28    57.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   52  -12      -5.33    30.66    -5.38    53.47     1.32   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   52  -18       0.59    53.03    -1.29    52.81     1.15   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               45   50  -13      -4.16    34.20    -2.73    50.98     1.22   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   50  -15      -4.55    33.46    -5.05    50.75     1.10   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   50  -18      -0.32    49.54    -0.65    51.22     1.27   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   45  -23      -2.93    39.10    -2.40    46.42     1.32   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.22R    0.00  
Hartlepool           45   43  -22      -4.56    33.08    -0.04    43.76     1.13   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.78R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        45   36  -38     -13.75     7.97   -19.09    36.73     1.10   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 April 2017, Aldershot 2 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       46   99  +43      18.43    96.56    16.32    99.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           46   95  +40       8.91    81.46     5.86    95.00     0.00    40.00     0.00   100.00    35.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   86  +32       3.21    61.58     1.37    86.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   84  +26       2.88    60.53    -1.66    84.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   82  +29       9.61    82.53    15.30    82.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00    15.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   79  +22       2.67    59.77     1.47    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   75  +19       6.26    72.46    10.63    75.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   70  +21      -0.99    46.24     9.23    70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       46   68   +7      -1.29    45.25    -2.21    68.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   62   -7       3.26    62.90     0.28    62.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   58   +1      -2.09    42.12     4.09    58.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   58   -2      -0.54    48.32     5.24    58.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   58  -14      -2.55    40.54   -10.58    58.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   58  -16       5.96    72.33     2.17    58.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   57   -7      -6.50    26.87    -7.43    57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   55  -13       1.57    56.81     3.17    55.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay            46   53   -7      -5.42    30.26     0.11    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             46   53  -14      -7.08    25.17    -7.97    53.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            46   52   -8      -6.66    26.09    -0.18    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Guiseley           46   51  -17       0.25    51.84     1.64    51.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               46   50  -15     -12.52    11.50   -13.85    50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   48  -25      -8.62    19.58   -15.47    48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southport          46   39  -45      -3.81    35.48   -10.17    39.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      46   39  -50       3.25    65.33    -7.36    39.00     0.00   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00