Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 28 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 April 2017, Man_City 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 33 78 +40 14.75 96.84 10.90 88.65 2.56 46.31 88.97 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 74 +47 7.72 83.56 12.79 83.44 2.91 50.88 11.03 97.66 99.69 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 66 +28 6.64 78.09 7.12 73.70 2.55 31.45 0.00 0.21 24.01 64.91 99.73 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 65 +28 2.56 61.98 -0.26 75.83 2.67 34.32 0.00 1.82 63.66 87.32 99.93 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 64 +26 4.52 70.50 5.08 71.99 2.73 27.83 0.00 0.25 8.47 30.53 98.30 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 60 +24 0.41 51.34 -1.42 70.15 3.11 27.12 0.00 0.07 4.17 17.17 89.48 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 58 +23 2.01 59.21 8.67 64.16 2.54 24.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 12.56 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 44 -3 3.57 67.71 4.74 49.42 2.74 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 32 40 -5 -5.95 23.56 -7.65 48.95 3.12 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 40 -17 3.08 65.63 -2.49 43.58 2.50 -22.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 34 39 -13 -0.69 47.45 -1.29 43.53 2.54 -14.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 38 -8 -2.32 39.74 3.02 42.69 2.32 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Bournemouth 34 38 -14 1.02 55.35 4.94 43.48 2.62 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 West_Ham 34 38 -15 -5.27 27.02 -7.70 42.51 2.57 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Leicester 33 37 -13 -7.40 18.82 -10.49 43.69 2.78 -13.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Burnley 34 36 -16 -1.11 45.83 -0.82 41.10 2.58 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18R 0.00 Hull 34 33 -31 0.60 54.42 -5.64 36.87 2.34 -33.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.65R 0.01 Swansea 34 31 -29 -4.49 29.63 -8.55 35.27 2.46 -31.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.82R 0.19 Middlesbrough 34 27 -19 -8.48 14.52 -3.24 29.90 2.14 -23.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.84R 7.22 Sunderland 33 21 -33 -9.21 11.17 -7.73 25.67 2.54 -37.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 92.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 April 2017, Cardiff 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 44 92 +35 13.07 90.91 7.44 95.66 1.74 36.43 84.59 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 45 91 +42 5.01 68.30 4.56 93.29 1.13 43.50 15.41 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 81 +3 22.50 98.72 6.03 83.89 1.84 3.23 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.26P 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 79 +1 20.04 97.77 3.49 82.09 1.83 1.52 0.00 0.00 99.33 18.28P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 78 +15 9.27 82.41 2.56 81.04 1.84 15.47 0.00 0.00 96.82 32.05P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 44 76 +27 7.01 75.36 13.84 78.81 1.83 27.13 0.00 0.00 91.87 28.31P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 73 +14 9.74 83.36 9.44 75.86 1.84 14.20 0.00 0.00 11.99 3.10P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 44 66 +12 -4.73 32.56 -4.06 69.20 1.82 12.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 63 +12 -3.89 35.27 2.21 65.96 1.81 12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 63 +2 -3.39 36.83 -7.14 66.63 1.83 3.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 61 +2 0.84 53.58 2.38 64.38 1.71 3.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 44 61 +0 -0.08 50.02 -1.75 63.46 1.78 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 59 -4 -1.86 42.85 -2.69 60.13 1.26 -4.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 57 +0 1.40 56.00 7.77 59.29 1.63 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 44 55 -3 -4.57 32.65 -1.94 57.55 1.78 -3.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 55 -6 -3.78 35.61 -4.08 57.55 1.81 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 51 -6 -4.17 34.17 2.78 53.36 1.67 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 51 -12 1.69 57.59 3.41 53.39 1.78 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 QPR 44 50 -12 -6.89 24.45 -6.84 52.49 1.77 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 48 -11 -7.62 22.19 -3.21 50.63 1.82 -11.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.80R 0.00 Birmingham 44 47 -22 -4.10 34.14 -8.51 49.47 1.80 -22.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.82R 0.00 Blackburn 44 45 -15 -9.93 15.63 -7.10 47.31 1.76 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.52R 0.00 Wigan 44 41 -16 -11.19 12.49 -4.89 43.32 1.76 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.33R 0.00 Rotherham 44 21 -58 -13.98 4.53 -13.71 22.48 1.57 -60.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Walsall 0 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 45 97 +44 15.21 93.66 13.19 99.36 1.09 45.64 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 45 83 +29 6.24 72.58 6.93 84.91 1.27 29.79 0.00 88.06 100.00 91.88P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 45 81 +21 12.92 89.83 11.43 82.98 1.24 21.87 0.00 11.94 100.00 33.12P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 45 79 +24 6.50 73.61 7.71 81.03 1.23 24.99 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.02P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 78 +19 6.41 73.94 4.54 79.27 1.28 18.86 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.30P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 45 70 +8 -0.26 49.10 -4.71 71.41 1.32 8.05 0.00 0.00 49.94 11.73P 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 69 +16 3.11 62.21 9.83 70.93 1.27 16.85 0.00 0.00 39.63 7.89P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 68 +9 1.07 54.39 1.36 69.46 1.30 9.14 0.00 0.00 10.43 2.07P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 66 +11 1.64 56.37 6.97 67.89 1.27 11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 66 -1 8.11 78.49 5.30 67.33 1.31 -1.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 62 +3 -3.49 37.05 -2.37 62.85 1.16 2.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 58 -1 -6.21 27.70 -4.75 59.13 1.25 -1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 45 58 -4 -5.22 30.42 -6.67 59.59 1.30 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 45 57 +4 -7.75 22.74 -0.64 58.82 1.28 4.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 45 56 -3 2.72 61.26 8.90 57.57 1.26 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 45 52 -13 -1.31 45.71 1.03 53.61 1.34 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 45 52 -13 -0.19 50.03 -1.79 53.11 1.20 -13.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 45 51 -15 -1.31 45.44 -1.05 51.87 1.17 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bury 45 50 -11 -3.87 35.68 1.99 50.85 1.18 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.25R 0.00 Gillingham 45 49 -20 -7.44 23.64 -10.73 50.17 1.30 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.20R 0.00 Port_Vale 45 48 -25 -2.89 38.99 -8.67 48.78 1.11 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.55R 0.00 Swindon 45 44 -19 -11.07 13.35 -9.06 44.92 1.19 -19.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 45 39 -29 -13.57 7.76 -16.23 39.74 1.11 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 6.45 Chesterfield 45 37 -34 -10.75 13.26 -12.51 37.48 0.94 -35.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.55League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2017, Blackpool 3 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 44 85 +33 3.97 64.57 1.21 88.88 1.81 34.76 81.69 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 83 +24 7.94 78.11 2.34 86.58 1.83 25.22 14.57 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 81 +33 2.77 60.59 6.58 84.62 1.79 34.26 3.74 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 44 71 +22 1.12 54.35 7.97 74.35 1.82 22.91 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.02P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 68 +18 0.71 52.95 7.61 70.61 1.81 17.75 0.00 0.00 83.91 17.83P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 44 67 +22 -7.32 23.89 1.58 70.92 1.78 23.74 0.00 0.00 89.02 30.63P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 66 +7 4.11 66.03 4.84 68.89 1.86 7.23 0.00 0.00 46.90 8.25P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 65 +5 4.05 65.75 3.58 67.60 1.80 4.84 0.00 0.00 16.91 3.16P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 65 +4 2.27 58.98 -0.01 67.99 1.85 4.38 0.00 0.00 23.74 4.81P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 65 -1 5.11 69.21 0.22 67.89 1.83 -0.83 0.00 0.00 18.17 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 63 +7 -0.32 49.12 2.45 66.06 1.81 7.49 0.00 0.00 9.17 1.86P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 44 63 +6 -2.33 41.33 -1.39 66.42 1.86 6.99 0.00 0.00 10.96 2.24P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 62 +3 -2.02 42.37 -2.54 64.62 1.83 2.84 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 61 -2 4.70 67.88 4.00 63.32 1.80 -2.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 54 -6 -2.17 42.20 0.26 56.74 1.85 -6.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 44 53 -22 3.95 66.24 -3.83 55.21 1.77 -22.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 44 52 -11 -4.76 32.60 -5.54 54.34 1.76 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 51 -18 0.68 53.40 -1.66 53.02 1.73 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 50 -16 0.30 52.01 0.24 52.19 1.77 -16.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 44 49 -13 -3.49 36.88 -2.28 51.26 1.78 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 44 47 -16 -5.65 29.14 -5.11 49.38 1.72 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.00 Newport_County 44 45 -22 -2.11 42.29 -2.33 47.42 1.81 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.57R 0.00 Hartlepool 44 43 -21 -3.61 36.34 0.42 44.87 1.70 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.21R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 36 -36 -13.30 8.99 -18.63 37.84 1.69 -37.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Dover_Athletic 2 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 45 98 +43 19.06 97.13 16.71 100.06 1.24 44.10 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 92 +39 7.84 78.00 5.50 93.95 1.26 39.85 0.00 100.00 35.29P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 85 +32 3.80 64.23 1.60 86.63 1.32 32.38 0.00 100.00 25.40P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 83 +26 3.23 61.63 -1.74 85.09 1.24 27.17 0.00 100.00 24.24P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 79 +27 9.23 81.89 15.00 80.80 1.27 27.60 0.00 99.68 15.02P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 76 +21 1.54 55.81 1.35 77.32 1.32 20.91 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 75 +20 7.38 76.52 11.30 76.44 1.33 20.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 70 +23 -0.16 49.40 10.36 71.87 1.29 23.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 67 +7 -0.79 47.03 -2.06 68.78 1.29 7.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 45 59 -9 2.16 58.95 -0.72 59.90 1.20 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 45 58 -15 6.65 74.51 2.28 58.82 1.15 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 45 57 -2 -0.24 49.45 5.26 57.97 1.21 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 57 -14 -2.45 40.69 -10.91 58.15 1.26 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 56 -7 -6.30 27.29 -7.70 57.58 1.31 -6.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 45 55 -1 -2.82 39.24 3.39 56.20 1.26 -1.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 45 54 -13 1.62 56.90 2.75 55.29 1.30 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 52 -6 -5.98 28.36 0.75 53.51 1.30 -5.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 52 -14 -6.64 26.26 -7.87 52.73 1.13 -15.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.38R 0.00 Torquay 45 50 -9 -6.16 27.44 -0.55 52.00 1.23 -8.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23R 0.00 Guiseley 45 50 -17 1.01 54.98 2.28 51.46 1.32 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.19R 0.00 York 45 49 -15 -12.32 11.54 -14.14 50.13 1.27 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.61R 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 48 -23 -8.42 20.23 -15.12 48.93 1.18 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.59R 0.00 North_Ferriby 45 39 -48 3.28 65.50 -7.24 39.76 1.11 -48.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 26.49 Southport 45 38 -45 -3.71 35.45 -10.46 38.73 1.12 -46.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 73.51