Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 April 2017, Man_City 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          33   78  +40      14.75    96.84    10.90    88.65     2.56    46.31    88.97    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   74  +47       7.72    83.56    12.79    83.44     2.91    50.88    11.03    97.66    99.69    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   66  +28       6.64    78.09     7.12    73.70     2.55    31.45     0.00     0.21    24.01    64.91    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   65  +28       2.56    61.98    -0.26    75.83     2.67    34.32     0.00     1.82    63.66    87.32    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +26       4.52    70.50     5.08    71.99     2.73    27.83     0.00     0.25     8.47    30.53    98.30     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   60  +24       0.41    51.34    -1.42    70.15     3.11    27.12     0.00     0.07     4.17    17.17    89.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   58  +23       2.01    59.21     8.67    64.16     2.54    24.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    12.56     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   44   -3       3.57    67.71     4.74    49.42     2.74    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   40   -5      -5.95    23.56    -7.65    48.95     3.12    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   40  -17       3.08    65.63    -2.49    43.58     2.50   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            34   39  -13      -0.69    47.45    -1.29    43.53     2.54   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   38   -8      -2.32    39.74     3.02    42.69     2.32    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Bournemouth      34   38  -14       1.02    55.35     4.94    43.48     2.62   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham         34   38  -15      -5.27    27.02    -7.70    42.51     2.57   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        33   37  -13      -7.40    18.82   -10.49    43.69     2.78   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          34   36  -16      -1.11    45.83    -0.82    41.10     2.58   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Hull             34   33  -31       0.60    54.42    -5.64    36.87     2.34   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R    0.01  
Swansea          34   31  -29      -4.49    29.63    -8.55    35.27     2.46   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.82R    0.19  
Middlesbrough    34   27  -19      -8.48    14.52    -3.24    29.90     2.14   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.84R    7.22  
Sunderland       33   21  -33      -9.21    11.17    -7.73    25.67     2.54   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   92.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 April 2017, Cardiff 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        44   92  +35      13.07    90.91     7.44    95.66     1.74    36.43    84.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       45   91  +42       5.01    68.30     4.56    93.29     1.13    43.50    15.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   81   +3      22.50    98.72     6.03    83.89     1.84     3.23     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.26P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   79   +1      20.04    97.77     3.49    82.09     1.83     1.52     0.00     0.00    99.33    18.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   78  +15       9.27    82.41     2.56    81.04     1.84    15.47     0.00     0.00    96.82    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   76  +27       7.01    75.36    13.84    78.81     1.83    27.13     0.00     0.00    91.87    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   73  +14       9.74    83.36     9.44    75.86     1.84    14.20     0.00     0.00    11.99     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   66  +12      -4.73    32.56    -4.06    69.20     1.82    12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   63  +12      -3.89    35.27     2.21    65.96     1.81    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   63   +2      -3.39    36.83    -7.14    66.63     1.83     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   61   +2       0.84    53.58     2.38    64.38     1.71     3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   61   +0      -0.08    50.02    -1.75    63.46     1.78    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -4      -1.86    42.85    -2.69    60.13     1.26    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   57   +0       1.40    56.00     7.77    59.29     1.63    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   55   -3      -4.57    32.65    -1.94    57.55     1.78    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   55   -6      -3.78    35.61    -4.08    57.55     1.81    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   51   -6      -4.17    34.17     2.78    53.36     1.67    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   44   51  -12       1.69    57.59     3.41    53.39     1.78   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
QPR             44   50  -12      -6.89    24.45    -6.84    52.49     1.77   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   48  -11      -7.62    22.19    -3.21    50.63     1.82   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   47  -22      -4.10    34.14    -8.51    49.47     1.80   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.82R    0.00  
Blackburn       44   45  -15      -9.93    15.63    -7.10    47.31     1.76   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.52R    0.00  
Wigan           44   41  -16     -11.19    12.49    -4.89    43.32     1.76   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   21  -58     -13.98     4.53   -13.71    22.48     1.57   -60.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Walsall 0 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        45   97  +44      15.21    93.66    13.19    99.36     1.09    45.64   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           45   83  +29       6.24    72.58     6.93    84.91     1.27    29.79     0.00    88.06   100.00    91.88P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   81  +21      12.92    89.83    11.43    82.98     1.24    21.87     0.00    11.94   100.00    33.12P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   79  +24       6.50    73.61     7.71    81.03     1.23    24.99     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   78  +19       6.41    73.94     4.54    79.27     1.28    18.86     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   70   +8      -0.26    49.10    -4.71    71.41     1.32     8.05     0.00     0.00    49.94    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   69  +16       3.11    62.21     9.83    70.93     1.27    16.85     0.00     0.00    39.63     7.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   68   +9       1.07    54.39     1.36    69.46     1.30     9.14     0.00     0.00    10.43     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   66  +11       1.64    56.37     6.97    67.89     1.27    11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   66   -1       8.11    78.49     5.30    67.33     1.31    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62   +3      -3.49    37.05    -2.37    62.85     1.16     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   58   -1      -6.21    27.70    -4.75    59.13     1.25    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   58   -4      -5.22    30.42    -6.67    59.59     1.30    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   57   +4      -7.75    22.74    -0.64    58.82     1.28     4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    45   56   -3       2.72    61.26     8.90    57.57     1.26    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   52  -13      -1.31    45.71     1.03    53.61     1.34   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   52  -13      -0.19    50.03    -1.79    53.11     1.20   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   51  -15      -1.31    45.44    -1.05    51.87     1.17   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury             45   50  -11      -3.87    35.68     1.99    50.85     1.18   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Gillingham       45   49  -20      -7.44    23.64   -10.73    50.17     1.30   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -25      -2.89    38.99    -8.67    48.78     1.11   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.55R    0.00  
Swindon          45   44  -19     -11.07    13.35    -9.06    44.92     1.19   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   39  -29     -13.57     7.76   -16.23    39.74     1.11   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.45  
Chesterfield     45   37  -34     -10.75    13.26   -12.51    37.48     0.94   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.55  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2017, Blackpool 3 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            44   85  +33       3.97    64.57     1.21    88.88     1.81    34.76    81.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   83  +24       7.94    78.11     2.34    86.58     1.83    25.22    14.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   81  +33       2.77    60.59     6.58    84.62     1.79    34.26     3.74   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   71  +22       1.12    54.35     7.97    74.35     1.82    22.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   68  +18       0.71    52.95     7.61    70.61     1.81    17.75     0.00     0.00    83.91    17.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   67  +22      -7.32    23.89     1.58    70.92     1.78    23.74     0.00     0.00    89.02    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   66   +7       4.11    66.03     4.84    68.89     1.86     7.23     0.00     0.00    46.90     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   65   +5       4.05    65.75     3.58    67.60     1.80     4.84     0.00     0.00    16.91     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   65   +4       2.27    58.98    -0.01    67.99     1.85     4.38     0.00     0.00    23.74     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   65   -1       5.11    69.21     0.22    67.89     1.83    -0.83     0.00     0.00    18.17     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   63   +7      -0.32    49.12     2.45    66.06     1.81     7.49     0.00     0.00     9.17     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           44   63   +6      -2.33    41.33    -1.39    66.42     1.86     6.99     0.00     0.00    10.96     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   62   +3      -2.02    42.37    -2.54    64.62     1.83     2.84     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   61   -2       4.70    67.88     4.00    63.32     1.80    -2.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   54   -6      -2.17    42.20     0.26    56.74     1.85    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   53  -22       3.95    66.24    -3.83    55.21     1.77   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   52  -11      -4.76    32.60    -5.54    54.34     1.76   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -18       0.68    53.40    -1.66    53.02     1.73   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   50  -16       0.30    52.01     0.24    52.19     1.77   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   49  -13      -3.49    36.88    -2.28    51.26     1.78   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           44   47  -16      -5.65    29.14    -5.11    49.38     1.72   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.00  
Newport_County       44   45  -22      -2.11    42.29    -2.33    47.42     1.81   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.57R    0.00  
Hartlepool           44   43  -21      -3.61    36.34     0.42    44.87     1.70   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.21R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   36  -36     -13.30     8.99   -18.63    37.84     1.69   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Dover_Athletic 2 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       45   98  +43      19.06    97.13    16.71   100.06     1.24    44.10   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           45   92  +39       7.84    78.00     5.50    93.95     1.26    39.85     0.00   100.00    35.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   85  +32       3.80    64.23     1.60    86.63     1.32    32.38     0.00   100.00    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   83  +26       3.23    61.63    -1.74    85.09     1.24    27.17     0.00   100.00    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   79  +27       9.23    81.89    15.00    80.80     1.27    27.60     0.00    99.68    15.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   76  +21       1.54    55.81     1.35    77.32     1.32    20.91     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   75  +20       7.38    76.52    11.30    76.44     1.33    20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   70  +23      -0.16    49.40    10.36    71.87     1.29    23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   67   +7      -0.79    47.03    -2.06    68.78     1.29     7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   59   -9       2.16    58.95    -0.72    59.90     1.20    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   58  -15       6.65    74.51     2.28    58.82     1.15   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   57   -2      -0.24    49.45     5.26    57.97     1.21    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   57  -14      -2.45    40.69   -10.91    58.15     1.26   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   56   -7      -6.30    27.29    -7.70    57.58     1.31    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   55   -1      -2.82    39.24     3.39    56.20     1.26    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   54  -13       1.62    56.90     2.75    55.29     1.30   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            45   52   -6      -5.98    28.36     0.75    53.51     1.30    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   52  -14      -6.64    26.26    -7.87    52.73     1.13   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.38R    0.00  
Torquay            45   50   -9      -6.16    27.44    -0.55    52.00     1.23    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.23R    0.00  
Guiseley           45   50  -17       1.01    54.98     2.28    51.46     1.32   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.19R    0.00  
York               45   49  -15     -12.32    11.54   -14.14    50.13     1.27   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.61R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   48  -23      -8.42    20.23   -15.12    48.93     1.18   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.59R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      45   39  -48       3.28    65.50    -7.24    39.76     1.11   -48.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.49  
Southport          45   38  -45      -3.71    35.45   -10.46    38.73     1.12   -46.10     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.51