Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 26 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 April 2017, Arsenal 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 33 78 +40 14.81 96.92 10.96 88.62 2.58 46.31 88.68 99.93 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 74 +47 7.82 83.83 13.01 83.47 2.90 50.92 11.30 95.87 99.67 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 66 +28 6.57 77.93 6.98 73.70 2.54 31.43 0.00 0.15 18.62 64.59 99.71 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 64 +28 3.24 64.99 -0.05 76.60 2.99 34.95 0.01 3.70 68.72 88.07 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 63 +26 4.81 71.97 4.92 71.93 3.01 27.21 0.00 0.30 9.70 30.57 97.53 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 60 +24 0.39 51.07 -1.44 70.15 3.10 27.13 0.00 0.05 3.29 16.69 89.49 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 58 +23 1.80 58.25 8.41 64.19 2.54 24.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 13.33 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 44 -3 3.36 66.54 4.43 49.47 2.75 -5.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 32 40 -5 -5.96 23.63 -7.60 48.96 3.13 -3.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Watford 33 40 -17 3.01 65.02 -2.58 43.59 2.50 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 34 39 -13 -0.70 47.18 -1.27 43.51 2.52 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 38 -8 -2.32 39.63 3.01 42.69 2.30 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Bournemouth 34 38 -14 0.87 55.25 4.70 43.51 2.62 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 West_Ham 34 38 -15 -5.37 26.43 -7.79 42.52 2.58 -16.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Leicester 33 37 -13 -7.36 19.14 -10.34 43.69 2.80 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Burnley 34 36 -16 -1.04 45.90 -0.71 41.07 2.58 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.00 Hull 34 33 -31 0.69 54.60 -5.44 36.87 2.35 -33.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.35R 0.02 Swansea 34 31 -29 -4.32 30.05 -8.21 35.26 2.46 -31.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.13R 0.20 Middlesbrough 34 27 -19 -8.47 14.37 -3.17 29.91 2.13 -23.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.93R 7.32 Sunderland 33 21 -33 -9.23 11.11 -7.81 25.66 2.55 -37.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 92.46Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Wolverhampton 0 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 44 92 +35 13.10 91.04 7.46 95.66 1.74 36.42 92.01 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 44 88 +40 4.58 67.43 4.39 91.92 1.74 41.87 7.99 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 81 +3 22.76 98.88 6.37 83.85 1.84 3.18 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 79 +1 20.04 97.64 3.54 82.08 1.84 1.50 0.00 0.00 99.28 18.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 78 +15 9.22 82.17 2.45 81.04 1.83 15.46 0.00 0.00 96.83 32.13P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 44 76 +27 6.90 74.93 13.66 78.82 1.84 27.14 0.00 0.00 91.80 27.74P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 73 +14 9.73 83.51 9.40 75.85 1.85 14.19 0.00 0.00 12.09 3.30P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 44 66 +12 -4.80 32.16 -4.14 69.21 1.82 12.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 63 +12 -3.87 35.35 2.14 65.96 1.81 12.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 63 +2 -3.37 37.17 -7.14 66.63 1.82 3.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 61 +2 0.82 53.76 2.33 64.39 1.72 3.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 44 61 +0 0.12 50.92 -1.46 63.47 1.78 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 44 59 -2 -1.56 44.30 -2.22 61.25 1.80 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 57 +0 1.33 55.55 7.71 59.29 1.64 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 44 55 -3 -4.41 33.17 -1.74 57.55 1.77 -3.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 55 -6 -4.19 34.11 -4.65 57.56 1.81 -6.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 51 -6 -4.16 34.14 2.81 53.34 1.67 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 51 -12 1.66 57.55 3.40 53.40 1.79 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 QPR 44 50 -12 -6.74 25.01 -6.56 52.47 1.77 -12.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 48 -11 -7.68 21.99 -3.34 50.63 1.82 -11.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87R 0.00 Birmingham 44 47 -22 -4.20 33.85 -8.63 49.49 1.80 -22.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.60R 0.00 Blackburn 44 45 -15 -9.72 16.04 -6.84 47.31 1.75 -15.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.65R 0.00 Wigan 44 41 -16 -11.42 11.91 -5.29 43.33 1.76 -16.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.35R 0.00 Rotherham 44 21 -58 -13.93 4.69 -13.66 22.47 1.56 -60.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Walsall 0 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 45 97 +44 15.24 93.64 13.27 99.36 1.09 45.64 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 45 83 +29 6.31 72.72 7.04 84.91 1.27 29.80 0.00 88.37 100.00 92.01P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 45 81 +21 12.84 89.47 11.30 82.98 1.24 21.87 0.00 11.63 100.00 32.62P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 45 79 +24 6.38 73.35 7.55 81.04 1.23 24.99 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.93P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 78 +19 6.22 73.17 4.25 79.26 1.28 18.86 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.56P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 45 70 +8 0.04 49.96 -4.31 71.38 1.31 8.01 0.00 0.00 48.95 11.58P 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 69 +16 3.44 63.30 10.34 70.92 1.28 16.83 0.00 0.00 40.13 7.99P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 68 +9 1.11 54.32 1.49 69.46 1.31 9.14 0.00 0.00 10.92 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 66 +11 1.46 56.00 6.73 67.89 1.27 11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 66 -1 7.98 78.23 5.08 67.36 1.31 -1.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 62 +3 -3.35 37.51 -2.20 62.85 1.16 2.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 58 -1 -6.40 26.95 -5.00 59.13 1.25 -1.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 45 58 -4 -5.36 30.04 -6.85 59.60 1.30 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 45 57 +4 -7.64 23.29 -0.51 58.83 1.28 4.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 45 56 -3 2.72 61.42 8.93 57.58 1.27 -2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 45 52 -13 -1.05 46.81 1.51 53.59 1.34 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 45 52 -13 -0.10 50.43 -1.58 53.10 1.20 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 45 51 -15 -1.35 45.51 -1.15 51.87 1.17 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 45 50 -11 -3.74 36.06 2.17 50.86 1.19 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.15R 0.00 Gillingham 45 49 -20 -7.41 23.47 -10.69 50.18 1.30 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.30R 0.00 Port_Vale 45 48 -25 -2.99 38.88 -8.90 48.78 1.11 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.55R 0.00 Swindon 45 44 -19 -11.17 13.30 -9.18 44.92 1.19 -19.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Coventry 45 39 -29 -13.72 7.83 -16.52 39.74 1.11 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 6.30 Chesterfield 45 37 -34 -10.88 12.93 -12.75 37.47 0.93 -35.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.70League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2017, Blackpool 3 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 44 85 +33 3.67 63.44 0.71 88.90 1.80 34.79 82.17 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 83 +24 7.95 78.30 2.38 86.59 1.82 25.23 14.08 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 81 +33 2.83 60.78 6.61 84.63 1.78 34.28 3.75 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 44 71 +22 1.27 54.87 8.20 74.33 1.81 22.90 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.97P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 68 +18 0.77 52.92 7.71 70.59 1.80 17.70 0.00 0.00 83.64 17.75P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 44 67 +22 -7.28 24.06 1.66 70.90 1.78 23.72 0.00 0.00 88.89 30.55P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 66 +7 4.08 65.73 4.81 68.91 1.86 7.25 0.00 0.00 46.83 8.24P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 65 +5 3.96 65.47 3.42 67.61 1.80 4.85 0.00 0.00 16.97 3.19P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 65 +4 2.11 58.72 -0.26 68.01 1.85 4.40 0.00 0.00 23.78 4.83P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 65 -1 5.04 69.01 0.09 67.90 1.83 -0.81 0.00 0.00 18.37 3.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 63 +7 -0.31 49.16 2.45 66.06 1.82 7.48 0.00 0.00 9.47 1.85P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 44 63 +6 -2.26 41.74 -1.24 66.41 1.87 6.98 0.00 0.00 10.89 2.30P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 62 +3 -1.96 42.54 -2.44 64.62 1.83 2.84 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 61 -2 5.09 69.51 4.57 63.28 1.79 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 54 -6 -2.13 42.14 0.33 56.75 1.85 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 44 53 -22 4.07 66.43 -3.70 55.20 1.77 -22.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 44 52 -11 -4.72 32.79 -5.45 54.35 1.76 -11.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 51 -18 0.79 53.79 -1.47 53.02 1.74 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 50 -16 0.16 51.26 0.07 52.18 1.76 -16.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 44 49 -13 -3.65 36.09 -2.55 51.25 1.78 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 44 47 -16 -5.75 29.07 -5.30 49.36 1.71 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.16R 0.00 Newport_County 44 45 -22 -2.16 42.20 -2.25 47.42 1.81 -22.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.61R 0.00 Hartlepool 44 43 -21 -3.58 36.40 0.44 44.86 1.69 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.22R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 36 -36 -13.44 8.45 -18.79 37.85 1.70 -37.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Dover_Athletic 2 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 45 98 +43 19.14 97.18 16.84 100.07 1.23 44.11 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 92 +39 7.81 78.17 5.49 93.95 1.26 39.84 0.00 100.00 35.53P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 85 +32 3.91 64.52 1.82 86.63 1.32 32.38 0.00 100.00 25.46P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 83 +26 3.30 62.02 -1.69 85.08 1.24 27.17 0.00 100.00 24.13P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 79 +27 9.01 80.93 14.68 80.82 1.27 27.63 0.00 99.62 14.82P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 76 +21 1.43 55.21 1.17 77.33 1.32 20.92 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 75 +20 7.29 75.79 11.19 76.43 1.33 20.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 70 +23 -0.15 49.69 10.39 71.87 1.28 23.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 67 +7 -0.67 47.75 -1.88 68.77 1.30 7.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 45 59 -9 2.46 60.17 -0.32 59.90 1.19 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 45 58 -15 6.68 74.46 2.31 58.82 1.15 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 45 57 -2 -0.42 48.95 4.96 57.99 1.22 -2.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 57 -14 -2.26 41.70 -10.61 58.15 1.26 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 56 -7 -6.12 27.90 -7.40 57.58 1.31 -6.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 45 55 -1 -3.15 37.91 2.94 56.21 1.27 -1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 45 54 -13 1.41 56.12 2.40 55.27 1.30 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 52 -6 -6.09 27.98 0.58 53.51 1.30 -5.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 52 -14 -6.74 25.93 -8.09 52.73 1.13 -15.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.44R 0.00 Torquay 45 50 -9 -5.91 28.17 -0.13 52.00 1.23 -8.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23R 0.00 Guiseley 45 50 -17 0.89 54.48 2.07 51.47 1.32 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.73R 0.00 York 45 49 -15 -12.23 11.83 -13.95 50.12 1.27 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.80R 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 48 -23 -8.64 19.80 -15.40 48.92 1.17 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.81R 0.00 North_Ferriby 45 39 -48 3.33 65.75 -7.19 39.76 1.11 -48.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 26.29 Southport 45 38 -45 -3.50 36.54 -10.17 38.73 1.12 -46.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 73.71