Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 April 2017, Arsenal 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          33   78  +40      14.81    96.92    10.96    88.62     2.58    46.31    88.68    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   74  +47       7.82    83.83    13.01    83.47     2.90    50.92    11.30    95.87    99.67    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   66  +28       6.57    77.93     6.98    73.70     2.54    31.43     0.00     0.15    18.62    64.59    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   64  +28       3.24    64.99    -0.05    76.60     2.99    34.95     0.01     3.70    68.72    88.07    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   63  +26       4.81    71.97     4.92    71.93     3.01    27.21     0.00     0.30     9.70    30.57    97.53     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   60  +24       0.39    51.07    -1.44    70.15     3.10    27.13     0.00     0.05     3.29    16.69    89.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   58  +23       1.80    58.25     8.41    64.19     2.54    24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    13.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   44   -3       3.36    66.54     4.43    49.47     2.75    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   40   -5      -5.96    23.63    -7.60    48.96     3.13    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          33   40  -17       3.01    65.02    -2.58    43.59     2.50   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            34   39  -13      -0.70    47.18    -1.27    43.51     2.52   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   38   -8      -2.32    39.63     3.01    42.69     2.30    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bournemouth      34   38  -14       0.87    55.25     4.70    43.51     2.62   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham         34   38  -15      -5.37    26.43    -7.79    42.52     2.58   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Leicester        33   37  -13      -7.36    19.14   -10.34    43.69     2.80   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          34   36  -16      -1.04    45.90    -0.71    41.07     2.58   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Hull             34   33  -31       0.69    54.60    -5.44    36.87     2.35   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.35R    0.02  
Swansea          34   31  -29      -4.32    30.05    -8.21    35.26     2.46   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.13R    0.20  
Middlesbrough    34   27  -19      -8.47    14.37    -3.17    29.91     2.13   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R    7.32  
Sunderland       33   21  -33      -9.23    11.11    -7.81    25.66     2.55   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   92.46  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Wolverhampton 0 1 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        44   92  +35      13.10    91.04     7.46    95.66     1.74    36.42    92.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       44   88  +40       4.58    67.43     4.39    91.92     1.74    41.87     7.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   81   +3      22.76    98.88     6.37    83.85     1.84     3.18     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   79   +1      20.04    97.64     3.54    82.08     1.84     1.50     0.00     0.00    99.28    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   78  +15       9.22    82.17     2.45    81.04     1.83    15.46     0.00     0.00    96.83    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   76  +27       6.90    74.93    13.66    78.82     1.84    27.14     0.00     0.00    91.80    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   73  +14       9.73    83.51     9.40    75.85     1.85    14.19     0.00     0.00    12.09     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   66  +12      -4.80    32.16    -4.14    69.21     1.82    12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   63  +12      -3.87    35.35     2.14    65.96     1.81    12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   63   +2      -3.37    37.17    -7.14    66.63     1.82     3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   61   +2       0.82    53.76     2.33    64.39     1.72     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   61   +0       0.12    50.92    -1.46    63.47     1.78    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   59   -2      -1.56    44.30    -2.22    61.25     1.80    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        44   57   +0       1.33    55.55     7.71    59.29     1.64    -0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   55   -3      -4.41    33.17    -1.74    57.55     1.77    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   55   -6      -4.19    34.11    -4.65    57.56     1.81    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   51   -6      -4.16    34.14     2.81    53.34     1.67    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   44   51  -12       1.66    57.55     3.40    53.40     1.79   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
QPR             44   50  -12      -6.74    25.01    -6.56    52.47     1.77   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   48  -11      -7.68    21.99    -3.34    50.63     1.82   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   47  -22      -4.20    33.85    -8.63    49.49     1.80   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.60R    0.00  
Blackburn       44   45  -15      -9.72    16.04    -6.84    47.31     1.75   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.65R    0.00  
Wigan           44   41  -16     -11.42    11.91    -5.29    43.33     1.76   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   21  -58     -13.93     4.69   -13.66    22.47     1.56   -60.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Walsall 0 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        45   97  +44      15.24    93.64    13.27    99.36     1.09    45.64   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           45   83  +29       6.31    72.72     7.04    84.91     1.27    29.80     0.00    88.37   100.00    92.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   81  +21      12.84    89.47    11.30    82.98     1.24    21.87     0.00    11.63   100.00    32.62P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   79  +24       6.38    73.35     7.55    81.04     1.23    24.99     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   78  +19       6.22    73.17     4.25    79.26     1.28    18.86     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   70   +8       0.04    49.96    -4.31    71.38     1.31     8.01     0.00     0.00    48.95    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   69  +16       3.44    63.30    10.34    70.92     1.28    16.83     0.00     0.00    40.13     7.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   68   +9       1.11    54.32     1.49    69.46     1.31     9.14     0.00     0.00    10.92     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       45   66  +11       1.46    56.00     6.73    67.89     1.27    11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   66   -1       7.98    78.23     5.08    67.36     1.31    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62   +3      -3.35    37.51    -2.20    62.85     1.16     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   58   -1      -6.40    26.95    -5.00    59.13     1.25    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   58   -4      -5.36    30.04    -6.85    59.60     1.30    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   57   +4      -7.64    23.29    -0.51    58.83     1.28     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    45   56   -3       2.72    61.42     8.93    57.58     1.27    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   52  -13      -1.05    46.81     1.51    53.59     1.34   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   52  -13      -0.10    50.43    -1.58    53.10     1.20   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       45   51  -15      -1.35    45.51    -1.15    51.87     1.17   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   50  -11      -3.74    36.06     2.17    50.86     1.19   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.00  
Gillingham       45   49  -20      -7.41    23.47   -10.69    50.18     1.30   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.30R    0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -25      -2.99    38.88    -8.90    48.78     1.11   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.55R    0.00  
Swindon          45   44  -19     -11.17    13.30    -9.18    44.92     1.19   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   39  -29     -13.72     7.83   -16.52    39.74     1.11   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.30  
Chesterfield     45   37  -34     -10.88    12.93   -12.75    37.47     0.93   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.70  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 April 2017, Blackpool 3 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            44   85  +33       3.67    63.44     0.71    88.90     1.80    34.79    82.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   83  +24       7.95    78.30     2.38    86.59     1.82    25.23    14.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   81  +33       2.83    60.78     6.61    84.63     1.78    34.28     3.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   71  +22       1.27    54.87     8.20    74.33     1.81    22.90     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   68  +18       0.77    52.92     7.71    70.59     1.80    17.70     0.00     0.00    83.64    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   67  +22      -7.28    24.06     1.66    70.90     1.78    23.72     0.00     0.00    88.89    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   66   +7       4.08    65.73     4.81    68.91     1.86     7.25     0.00     0.00    46.83     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   65   +5       3.96    65.47     3.42    67.61     1.80     4.85     0.00     0.00    16.97     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   65   +4       2.11    58.72    -0.26    68.01     1.85     4.40     0.00     0.00    23.78     4.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   65   -1       5.04    69.01     0.09    67.90     1.83    -0.81     0.00     0.00    18.37     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   63   +7      -0.31    49.16     2.45    66.06     1.82     7.48     0.00     0.00     9.47     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           44   63   +6      -2.26    41.74    -1.24    66.41     1.87     6.98     0.00     0.00    10.89     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   62   +3      -1.96    42.54    -2.44    64.62     1.83     2.84     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   61   -2       5.09    69.51     4.57    63.28     1.79    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   54   -6      -2.13    42.14     0.33    56.75     1.85    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   53  -22       4.07    66.43    -3.70    55.20     1.77   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   52  -11      -4.72    32.79    -5.45    54.35     1.76   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -18       0.79    53.79    -1.47    53.02     1.74   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   50  -16       0.16    51.26     0.07    52.18     1.76   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil               44   49  -13      -3.65    36.09    -2.55    51.25     1.78   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           44   47  -16      -5.75    29.07    -5.30    49.36     1.71   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Newport_County       44   45  -22      -2.16    42.20    -2.25    47.42     1.81   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    0.00  
Hartlepool           44   43  -21      -3.58    36.40     0.44    44.86     1.69   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.22R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient        44   36  -36     -13.44     8.45   -18.79    37.85     1.70   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 April 2017, Dover_Athletic 2 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       45   98  +43      19.14    97.18    16.84   100.07     1.23    44.11   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           45   92  +39       7.81    78.17     5.49    93.95     1.26    39.84     0.00   100.00    35.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   85  +32       3.91    64.52     1.82    86.63     1.32    32.38     0.00   100.00    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   83  +26       3.30    62.02    -1.69    85.08     1.24    27.17     0.00   100.00    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   79  +27       9.01    80.93    14.68    80.82     1.27    27.63     0.00    99.62    14.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   76  +21       1.43    55.21     1.17    77.33     1.32    20.92     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   75  +20       7.29    75.79    11.19    76.43     1.33    20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   70  +23      -0.15    49.69    10.39    71.87     1.28    23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       45   67   +7      -0.67    47.75    -1.88    68.77     1.30     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   59   -9       2.46    60.17    -0.32    59.90     1.19    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   58  -15       6.68    74.46     2.31    58.82     1.15   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   57   -2      -0.42    48.95     4.96    57.99     1.22    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   57  -14      -2.26    41.70   -10.61    58.15     1.26   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   56   -7      -6.12    27.90    -7.40    57.58     1.31    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   55   -1      -3.15    37.91     2.94    56.21     1.27    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   54  -13       1.41    56.12     2.40    55.27     1.30   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            45   52   -6      -6.09    27.98     0.58    53.51     1.30    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking             45   52  -14      -6.74    25.93    -8.09    52.73     1.13   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.00  
Torquay            45   50   -9      -5.91    28.17    -0.13    52.00     1.23    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.23R    0.00  
Guiseley           45   50  -17       0.89    54.48     2.07    51.47     1.32   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.73R    0.00  
York               45   49  -15     -12.23    11.83   -13.95    50.12     1.27   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.80R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   48  -23      -8.64    19.80   -15.40    48.92     1.17   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.81R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      45   39  -48       3.33    65.75    -7.19    39.76     1.11   -48.90     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.29  
Southport          45   38  -45      -3.50    36.54   -10.17    38.73     1.12   -46.11     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.71