Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 18 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Middlesbrough 1 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 32 75 +38 14.01 96.28 10.43 87.65 2.89 45.17 86.11 99.57 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 71 +46 6.77 81.05 12.69 82.43 3.20 50.85 13.70 89.23 97.51 99.64 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 66 +29 7.96 83.07 7.91 76.00 2.82 34.01 0.05 4.00 42.91 87.42 99.92 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 64 +28 3.08 64.43 -0.35 76.58 3.01 34.97 0.13 6.73 53.84 88.05 99.88 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 31 60 +24 3.92 68.22 3.95 70.62 3.31 25.63 0.00 0.34 3.89 15.00 91.85 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 57 +23 -0.53 46.92 -1.33 69.36 3.36 27.52 0.00 0.11 1.87 9.64 83.62 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 57 +23 2.34 60.77 8.46 64.68 2.92 24.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 24.73 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 44 -3 3.56 67.12 4.75 49.43 2.76 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 40 -3 -5.46 25.21 -7.05 49.64 3.33 -3.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 40 -15 3.75 68.77 -1.60 44.91 2.86 -20.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 33 39 -11 -0.04 50.60 -0.43 44.91 2.88 -12.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 32 37 -12 -6.48 22.29 -10.27 44.29 2.99 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 33 37 -15 -5.11 27.23 -7.85 42.72 2.93 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Burnley 33 36 -14 -0.75 47.40 -0.34 42.29 2.88 -14.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 35 -8 -3.06 36.10 2.17 40.98 2.81 -12.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 35 -18 0.70 54.45 3.15 41.98 2.93 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Hull 33 30 -33 -0.14 50.57 -6.08 35.28 2.71 -35.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.73R 0.65 Swansea 33 28 -31 -5.22 25.63 -8.96 33.67 2.80 -32.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.23R 2.65 Middlesbrough 32 24 -16 -9.85 9.96 -1.93 29.71 2.84 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.15R 20.98 Sunderland 32 21 -32 -8.37 13.05 -7.32 26.80 2.86 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.25R 75.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 43 92 +37 13.67 92.22 8.21 97.11 2.19 38.54 97.46 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 43 85 +37 4.51 67.15 3.94 90.95 2.14 39.83 2.54 98.57 100.00 99.20P 0.00 0.00 Reading 43 79 +2 21.06 98.30 3.82 83.32 2.24 2.29 0.00 0.36 99.76 19.59P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 42 78 +5 21.50 98.55 6.81 83.52 2.62 5.07 0.00 1.07 99.02 20.37P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 75 +14 7.92 78.81 1.90 79.69 2.25 14.85 0.00 0.00 84.93 28.15P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 43 73 +24 6.67 74.61 12.93 77.00 2.28 23.82 0.00 0.00 57.73 17.10P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 73 +15 10.96 86.63 10.18 77.33 2.26 15.36 0.00 0.00 58.55 15.58P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 43 63 +10 -5.47 29.66 -4.65 67.50 2.25 10.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 63 +3 -2.54 39.94 -6.86 67.73 2.21 3.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 43 61 +5 0.72 53.28 3.04 65.10 2.04 5.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 43 60 +10 -4.69 32.14 1.44 64.88 2.25 11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 43 58 -1 -0.94 46.57 -1.68 62.20 2.21 -0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 43 58 -2 -1.09 45.98 -2.06 61.50 2.21 -2.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 43 57 +1 2.26 59.37 7.82 60.45 2.09 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 43 55 -5 -3.05 38.27 -3.91 59.29 2.26 -4.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 42 54 -2 -2.88 38.71 -1.02 59.93 2.58 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 43 50 -10 -6.37 26.25 -6.23 53.43 2.16 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00 Bristol_City 43 48 -7 -5.42 29.51 2.12 51.98 2.14 -7.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63R 0.00 Burton_Albion 43 48 -13 0.50 52.81 2.96 51.58 2.19 -13.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87R 0.00 Birmingham 43 47 -21 -3.28 37.36 -8.24 50.41 2.16 -21.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.40R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 45 -12 -8.69 18.91 -3.61 49.15 2.25 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.57R 0.00 Blackburn 43 44 -15 -9.86 15.96 -7.47 47.31 2.16 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.19R 0.00 Wigan 43 40 -16 -11.12 12.61 -5.29 43.76 2.20 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.96R 0.00 Rotherham 43 18 -59 -15.44 2.66 -14.17 20.48 2.00 -61.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2017, Bolton 0 0 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 44 94 +41 14.91 93.48 12.30 97.77 1.72 42.69 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 44 80 +27 5.86 71.50 6.73 83.58 1.82 28.21 0.00 80.58 100.00 86.28P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 78 +20 11.59 87.79 10.83 81.36 1.81 20.89 0.00 14.82 100.00 34.78P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 44 76 +23 5.13 69.00 7.10 79.55 1.81 24.20 0.00 4.32 100.00 30.14P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 75 +16 6.26 73.78 3.61 78.14 1.79 16.54 0.00 0.28 99.66 25.74P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 44 70 +11 0.11 50.30 -3.23 73.19 1.85 11.67 0.00 0.00 52.76 13.33P 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 69 +17 4.22 66.15 10.45 72.43 1.83 18.05 0.00 0.00 41.38 8.52P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 67 +9 1.64 56.69 1.71 69.90 1.84 9.26 0.00 0.00 5.25 1.08P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 66 +1 8.55 79.91 5.70 68.32 1.80 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 63 +8 1.30 55.06 5.85 65.83 1.76 8.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 59 +1 -3.95 35.25 -2.61 61.63 1.76 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 58 +2 -6.50 26.59 -4.20 60.43 1.81 1.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 43 58 -2 -3.20 37.59 -5.63 62.90 2.23 -0.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 56 +0 2.46 60.34 9.50 58.42 1.69 -0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 44 54 +3 -8.70 19.92 -0.72 57.31 1.85 3.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 44 52 -10 -0.88 47.27 2.57 54.79 1.86 -9.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 51 -13 0.10 51.08 -1.92 53.38 1.75 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Gillingham 44 49 -19 -6.32 27.10 -10.34 51.48 1.84 -19.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.45R 0.00 Shrewsbury 44 48 -16 -2.47 40.44 -1.25 50.16 1.76 -16.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.16R 0.00 Bury 44 47 -14 -4.21 34.22 1.07 49.42 1.78 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.66R 0.00 Port_Vale 43 45 -24 -4.20 33.59 -9.13 47.69 2.04 -26.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.45R 0.00 Swindon 44 44 -18 -10.36 14.80 -9.00 46.18 1.77 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.25R 0.00 Chesterfield 44 37 -33 -9.90 15.15 -12.37 38.73 1.61 -34.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 44.11 Coventry 44 36 -30 -15.09 5.52 -17.03 38.04 1.69 -31.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 55.89League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 43 85 +34 4.72 67.88 1.22 90.56 2.24 36.21 88.97 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 43 82 +24 8.58 80.54 2.73 87.12 2.27 25.46 10.43 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 43 78 +32 1.65 56.03 6.38 83.37 2.22 33.80 0.59 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 43 68 +21 0.18 50.65 7.97 73.27 2.23 22.74 0.00 0.00 97.99 28.36P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 43 66 +8 5.04 69.22 5.19 70.40 2.29 8.42 0.00 0.00 71.16 13.49P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 43 65 +16 -0.03 50.06 6.99 69.43 2.23 16.42 0.00 0.00 63.14 14.53P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 43 64 +19 -7.26 23.80 1.07 69.69 2.22 21.30 0.00 0.00 70.86 23.91P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 43 64 -1 5.42 70.60 0.01 68.43 2.28 -0.56 0.00 0.00 34.58 6.03P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 43 63 +8 0.45 52.06 2.60 67.03 2.19 7.92 0.00 0.00 19.64 4.21P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 43 62 +6 -2.06 42.40 -1.52 66.61 2.29 6.74 0.00 0.00 14.77 3.42P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 62 +4 -1.05 46.09 -2.13 66.30 2.27 4.29 0.00 0.00 11.56 2.49P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 62 +4 2.83 61.48 3.15 65.85 2.23 3.66 0.00 0.00 7.93 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 43 62 +3 0.56 52.51 -1.06 66.06 2.24 2.95 0.00 0.00 8.37 1.91P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 43 58 -4 4.31 66.89 3.60 61.77 2.23 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 43 53 -21 4.89 69.75 -3.52 56.07 2.14 -22.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 51 -8 -2.93 39.12 -0.36 55.23 2.29 -7.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 43 51 -16 1.13 55.41 -1.24 53.97 2.13 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Yeovil 43 49 -11 -3.03 38.50 -1.72 52.50 2.20 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crewe 43 49 -14 -4.79 32.53 -6.15 52.94 2.21 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 49 -16 0.73 53.68 0.12 52.40 2.20 -17.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Cheltenham 43 47 -13 -5.71 28.95 -4.22 50.24 2.10 -14.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88R 0.00 Hartlepool 43 43 -19 -3.22 37.52 0.96 46.15 2.15 -20.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.10R 0.38 Newport_County 43 42 -23 -3.46 36.62 -2.75 45.49 2.21 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.03R 1.10 Leyton_Orient 43 36 -33 -13.01 8.77 -17.34 39.05 2.14 -34.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 98.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Aldershot 1 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 43 94 +42 18.74 97.28 16.93 99.66 2.24 44.39 98.58 100.00 98.95P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 44 89 +36 7.43 77.32 4.63 93.38 1.64 38.63 1.42 100.00 35.55P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 84 +32 4.47 67.13 2.24 87.89 1.76 33.87 0.00 100.00 26.75P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 80 +25 2.28 58.59 -1.82 83.70 1.81 26.52 0.00 96.92 22.14P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 44 76 +24 9.21 81.69 14.35 79.68 1.79 25.31 0.00 51.46 7.79P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 43 75 +22 3.21 62.28 2.08 80.02 2.27 23.37 0.00 50.77 8.71P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 44 72 +18 6.43 73.74 10.32 74.80 1.88 18.09 0.00 0.85 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 67 +19 -0.15 49.42 8.87 70.19 1.82 19.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 43 66 +8 0.56 52.33 -1.68 69.84 2.20 7.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 44 58 -9 2.87 61.80 -0.30 60.65 1.79 -9.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 44 57 -13 -1.78 43.33 -10.87 59.26 1.79 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 44 56 -5 -5.57 29.52 -6.64 59.06 1.87 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 43 56 -15 6.94 75.85 1.66 58.32 1.98 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 44 55 +3 -3.53 36.56 4.52 57.58 1.80 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 44 54 -5 -0.54 48.78 4.10 56.44 1.80 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 44 52 -3 -5.84 28.64 1.68 54.76 1.85 -2.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Woking 44 51 -14 -6.35 27.00 -8.01 53.23 1.76 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.96R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 44 51 -15 1.02 54.72 2.48 53.54 1.85 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.73R 0.00 Guiseley 44 49 -17 1.10 55.58 1.97 51.53 1.82 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.03R 0.00 York 44 48 -15 -11.92 12.35 -14.10 50.37 1.84 -15.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.36R 0.00 Braintree_Town 44 48 -21 -7.81 21.61 -14.22 50.28 1.77 -21.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.61R 0.00 Torquay 44 47 -10 -7.73 21.96 -1.50 49.82 1.70 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.29R 0.00 North_Ferriby 44 39 -45 3.21 64.99 -6.65 40.61 1.59 -46.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 28.40 Southport 44 38 -42 -3.66 35.68 -10.03 39.18 1.44 -44.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 71.60