Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Middlesbrough 1 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          32   75  +38      14.01    96.28    10.43    87.65     2.89    45.17    86.11    99.57    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   71  +46       6.77    81.05    12.69    82.43     3.20    50.85    13.70    89.23    97.51    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   66  +29       7.96    83.07     7.91    76.00     2.82    34.01     0.05     4.00    42.91    87.42    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   64  +28       3.08    64.43    -0.35    76.58     3.01    34.97     0.13     6.73    53.84    88.05    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   60  +24       3.92    68.22     3.95    70.62     3.31    25.63     0.00     0.34     3.89    15.00    91.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   57  +23      -0.53    46.92    -1.33    69.36     3.36    27.52     0.00     0.11     1.87     9.64    83.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   57  +23       2.34    60.77     8.46    64.68     2.92    24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26    24.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   44   -3       3.56    67.12     4.75    49.43     2.76    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   40   -3      -5.46    25.21    -7.05    49.64     3.33    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   40  -15       3.75    68.77    -1.60    44.91     2.86   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   39  -11      -0.04    50.60    -0.43    44.91     2.88   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        32   37  -12      -6.48    22.29   -10.27    44.29     2.99   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         33   37  -15      -5.11    27.23    -7.85    42.72     2.93   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -14      -0.75    47.40    -0.34    42.29     2.88   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   35   -8      -3.06    36.10     2.17    40.98     2.81   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   35  -18       0.70    54.45     3.15    41.98     2.93   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Hull             33   30  -33      -0.14    50.57    -6.08    35.28     2.71   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.73R    0.65  
Swansea          33   28  -31      -5.22    25.63    -8.96    33.67     2.80   -32.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.23R    2.65  
Middlesbrough    32   24  -16      -9.85     9.96    -1.93    29.71     2.84   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.15R   20.98  
Sunderland       32   21  -32      -8.37    13.05    -7.32    26.80     2.86   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   75.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Barnsley 1 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        43   92  +37      13.67    92.22     8.21    97.11     2.19    38.54    97.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       43   85  +37       4.51    67.15     3.94    90.95     2.14    39.83     2.54    98.57   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   79   +2      21.06    98.30     3.82    83.32     2.24     2.29     0.00     0.36    99.76    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   78   +5      21.50    98.55     6.81    83.52     2.62     5.07     0.00     1.07    99.02    20.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   75  +14       7.92    78.81     1.90    79.69     2.25    14.85     0.00     0.00    84.93    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          43   73  +24       6.67    74.61    12.93    77.00     2.28    23.82     0.00     0.00    57.73    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   73  +15      10.96    86.63    10.18    77.33     2.26    15.36     0.00     0.00    58.55    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         43   63  +10      -5.47    29.66    -4.65    67.50     2.25    10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   63   +3      -2.54    39.94    -6.86    67.73     2.21     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   61   +5       0.72    53.28     3.04    65.10     2.04     5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   60  +10      -4.69    32.14     1.44    64.88     2.25    11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     43   58   -1      -0.94    46.57    -1.68    62.20     2.21    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   58   -2      -1.09    45.98    -2.06    61.50     2.21    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        43   57   +1       2.26    59.37     7.82    60.45     2.09    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   55   -5      -3.05    38.27    -3.91    59.29     2.26    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   42   54   -2      -2.88    38.71    -1.02    59.93     2.58    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   50  -10      -6.37    26.25    -6.23    53.43     2.16   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bristol_City    43   48   -7      -5.42    29.51     2.12    51.98     2.14    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   43   48  -13       0.50    52.81     2.96    51.58     2.19   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      43   47  -21      -3.28    37.36    -8.24    50.41     2.16   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.40R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   45  -12      -8.69    18.91    -3.61    49.15     2.25   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.57R    0.00  
Blackburn       43   44  -15      -9.86    15.96    -7.47    47.31     2.16   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.19R    0.00  
Wigan           43   40  -16     -11.12    12.61    -5.29    43.76     2.20   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.96R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   18  -59     -15.44     2.66   -14.17    20.48     2.00   -61.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 April 2017, Bolton 0 0 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        44   94  +41      14.91    93.48    12.30    97.77     1.72    42.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           44   80  +27       5.86    71.50     6.73    83.58     1.82    28.21     0.00    80.58   100.00    86.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   78  +20      11.59    87.79    10.83    81.36     1.81    20.89     0.00    14.82   100.00    34.78P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   76  +23       5.13    69.00     7.10    79.55     1.81    24.20     0.00     4.32   100.00    30.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   75  +16       6.26    73.78     3.61    78.14     1.79    16.54     0.00     0.28    99.66    25.74P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   70  +11       0.11    50.30    -3.23    73.19     1.85    11.67     0.00     0.00    52.76    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   69  +17       4.22    66.15    10.45    72.43     1.83    18.05     0.00     0.00    41.38     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   67   +9       1.64    56.69     1.71    69.90     1.84     9.26     0.00     0.00     5.25     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   66   +1       8.55    79.91     5.70    68.32     1.80     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       44   63   +8       1.30    55.06     5.85    65.83     1.76     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   59   +1      -3.95    35.25    -2.61    61.63     1.76     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   58   +2      -6.50    26.59    -4.20    60.43     1.81     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   58   -2      -3.20    37.59    -5.63    62.90     2.23    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    44   56   +0       2.46    60.34     9.50    58.42     1.69    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   54   +3      -8.70    19.92    -0.72    57.31     1.85     3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   52  -10      -0.88    47.27     2.57    54.79     1.86    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   51  -13       0.10    51.08    -1.92    53.38     1.75   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   49  -19      -6.32    27.10   -10.34    51.48     1.84   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       44   48  -16      -2.47    40.44    -1.25    50.16     1.76   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.16R    0.00  
Bury             44   47  -14      -4.21    34.22     1.07    49.42     1.78   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.66R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   45  -24      -4.20    33.59    -9.13    47.69     2.04   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.45R    0.00  
Swindon          44   44  -18     -10.36    14.80    -9.00    46.18     1.77   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.25R    0.00  
Chesterfield     44   37  -33      -9.90    15.15   -12.37    38.73     1.61   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.11  
Coventry         44   36  -30     -15.09     5.52   -17.03    38.04     1.69   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.89  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            43   85  +34       4.72    67.88     1.22    90.56     2.24    36.21    88.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   82  +24       8.58    80.54     2.73    87.12     2.27    25.46    10.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   78  +32       1.65    56.03     6.38    83.37     2.22    33.80     0.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   68  +21       0.18    50.65     7.97    73.27     2.23    22.74     0.00     0.00    97.99    28.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   66   +8       5.04    69.22     5.19    70.40     2.29     8.42     0.00     0.00    71.16    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   65  +16      -0.03    50.06     6.99    69.43     2.23    16.42     0.00     0.00    63.14    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            43   64  +19      -7.26    23.80     1.07    69.69     2.22    21.30     0.00     0.00    70.86    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             43   64   -1       5.42    70.60     0.01    68.43     2.28    -0.56     0.00     0.00    34.58     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   63   +8       0.45    52.06     2.60    67.03     2.19     7.92     0.00     0.00    19.64     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           43   62   +6      -2.06    42.40    -1.52    66.61     2.29     6.74     0.00     0.00    14.77     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   62   +4      -1.05    46.09    -2.13    66.30     2.27     4.29     0.00     0.00    11.56     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   62   +4       2.83    61.48     3.15    65.85     2.23     3.66     0.00     0.00     7.93     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   62   +3       0.56    52.51    -1.06    66.06     2.24     2.95     0.00     0.00     8.37     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              43   58   -4       4.31    66.89     3.60    61.77     2.23    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   53  -21       4.89    69.75    -3.52    56.07     2.14   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   51   -8      -2.93    39.12    -0.36    55.23     2.29    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   51  -16       1.13    55.41    -1.24    53.97     2.13   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil               43   49  -11      -3.03    38.50    -1.72    52.50     2.20   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                43   49  -14      -4.79    32.53    -6.15    52.94     2.21   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   49  -16       0.73    53.68     0.12    52.40     2.20   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   47  -13      -5.71    28.95    -4.22    50.24     2.10   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Hartlepool           43   43  -19      -3.22    37.52     0.96    46.15     2.15   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.10R    0.38  
Newport_County       43   42  -23      -3.46    36.62    -2.75    45.49     2.21   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.03R    1.10  
Leyton_Orient        43   36  -33     -13.01     8.77   -17.34    39.05     2.14   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   98.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 April 2017, Aldershot 1 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       43   94  +42      18.74    97.28    16.93    99.66     2.24    44.39    98.58   100.00    98.95P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           44   89  +36       7.43    77.32     4.63    93.38     1.64    38.63     1.42   100.00    35.55P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   84  +32       4.47    67.13     2.24    87.89     1.76    33.87     0.00   100.00    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   80  +25       2.28    58.59    -1.82    83.70     1.81    26.52     0.00    96.92    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          44   76  +24       9.21    81.69    14.35    79.68     1.79    25.31     0.00    51.46     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   75  +22       3.21    62.28     2.08    80.02     2.27    23.37     0.00    50.77     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   72  +18       6.43    73.74    10.32    74.80     1.88    18.09     0.00     0.85     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   67  +19      -0.15    49.42     8.87    70.19     1.82    19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       43   66   +8       0.56    52.33    -1.68    69.84     2.20     7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            44   58   -9       2.87    61.80    -0.30    60.65     1.79    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   57  -13      -1.78    43.33   -10.87    59.26     1.79   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   56   -5      -5.57    29.52    -6.64    59.06     1.87    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   43   56  -15       6.94    75.85     1.66    58.32     1.98   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   55   +3      -3.53    36.56     4.52    57.58     1.80     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   54   -5      -0.54    48.78     4.10    56.44     1.80    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            44   52   -3      -5.84    28.64     1.68    54.76     1.85    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Woking             44   51  -14      -6.35    27.00    -8.01    53.23     1.76   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     44   51  -15       1.02    54.72     2.48    53.54     1.85   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.73R    0.00  
Guiseley           44   49  -17       1.10    55.58     1.97    51.53     1.82   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.03R    0.00  
York               44   48  -15     -11.92    12.35   -14.10    50.37     1.84   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.36R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   48  -21      -7.81    21.61   -14.22    50.28     1.77   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.61R    0.00  
Torquay            44   47  -10      -7.73    21.96    -1.50    49.82     1.70   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.29R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      44   39  -45       3.21    64.99    -6.65    40.61     1.59   -46.61     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   28.40  
Southport          44   38  -42      -3.66    35.68   -10.03    39.18     1.44   -44.82     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   71.60