Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 16 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 April 2017, Man_Utd 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 32 75 +38 14.05 96.44 10.45 87.64 2.90 45.18 86.18 99.53 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 71 +46 6.72 80.52 12.61 82.45 3.18 50.89 13.64 89.50 97.61 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 66 +29 8.03 83.31 8.04 76.00 2.82 34.00 0.04 3.98 42.89 89.01 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 64 +28 3.16 65.10 -0.20 76.60 3.00 34.97 0.15 6.66 54.56 89.39 99.92 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 31 60 +24 4.07 68.94 4.23 70.55 3.31 25.54 0.00 0.31 3.86 15.20 92.56 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 57 +23 2.17 60.03 8.28 64.69 2.91 24.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23 30.80 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 54 +22 -1.56 41.58 -1.44 68.16 3.62 27.10 0.00 0.03 1.10 6.46 76.78 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 44 -3 3.58 67.35 4.76 49.44 2.75 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 40 -3 -5.51 25.00 -7.15 49.65 3.34 -3.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 40 -15 3.65 68.20 -1.72 44.92 2.86 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 33 39 -11 0.04 50.95 -0.24 44.88 2.87 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 32 37 -12 -6.56 21.63 -10.38 44.32 3.00 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 West_Ham 33 37 -15 -5.18 27.20 -8.00 42.72 2.92 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Burnley 33 36 -14 -0.54 48.07 -0.01 42.23 2.89 -14.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 35 -8 -3.10 35.71 2.07 41.01 2.82 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 35 -18 0.80 54.92 3.27 42.02 2.94 -17.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Hull 33 30 -33 -0.26 50.10 -6.32 35.30 2.73 -35.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.10R 0.95 Swansea 33 28 -31 -5.40 25.08 -9.22 33.69 2.80 -32.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.69R 3.39 Middlesbrough 31 24 -15 -9.03 11.81 -1.79 30.61 3.10 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.52R 16.50 Sunderland 32 21 -32 -8.28 13.20 -7.27 26.79 2.85 -36.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.58R 79.16Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 42 89 +36 12.82 91.39 8.24 96.26 2.50 38.66 80.78 99.99 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 42 85 +39 4.99 69.29 4.52 92.67 2.52 42.35 19.21 99.28 100.00 99.59P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 41 77 +5 21.61 98.68 6.51 83.41 2.91 4.37 0.00 0.63 98.92 19.70P 0.00 0.00 Reading 42 76 +1 20.29 98.05 4.25 82.57 2.53 2.73 0.00 0.10 99.04 20.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 73 +16 11.95 89.07 10.61 79.14 2.60 16.98 0.00 0.00 88.71 24.49P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 72 +13 7.05 76.68 1.98 77.98 2.61 13.78 0.00 0.00 71.15 23.10P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 42 70 +22 5.77 71.87 12.05 75.75 2.63 22.38 0.00 0.00 42.10 12.96P 0.00 0.00 Derby 42 62 +3 -2.15 41.37 -6.84 68.61 2.57 4.68 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 61 +7 1.45 56.03 4.05 66.69 2.45 7.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 42 60 +8 -6.12 27.59 -5.06 65.63 2.63 8.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 59 +10 -4.22 33.62 1.60 65.17 2.63 10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 42 58 +1 -0.42 48.68 -1.00 63.24 2.54 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 42 56 +1 2.71 61.47 7.96 60.90 2.50 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 42 55 -3 -2.34 40.66 -2.44 60.20 2.59 -3.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 42 52 -7 -4.15 33.73 -5.25 57.34 2.58 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 41 51 -3 -4.52 32.13 -1.92 57.90 2.88 -2.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 50 -9 -5.29 29.64 -5.82 54.84 2.52 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Bristol_City 42 47 -7 -5.25 29.65 1.92 52.05 2.49 -7.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.53R 0.00 Birmingham 42 47 -19 -2.41 40.55 -6.98 52.14 2.52 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.37R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 42 45 -11 -8.12 20.25 -3.78 50.20 2.57 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.92R 0.00 Burton_Albion 42 45 -15 -0.38 49.08 2.20 49.55 2.50 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.54R 0.00 Blackburn 42 43 -15 -9.27 16.65 -7.15 47.98 2.53 -15.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.93R 0.00 Wigan 42 40 -15 -10.45 13.49 -5.30 44.38 2.44 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.49R 0.00 Rotherham 42 18 -58 -14.75 3.10 -14.36 21.03 2.25 -62.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Oldham 1 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 43 91 +38 14.45 93.10 11.12 96.46 2.18 40.11 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 43 79 +27 6.31 73.36 6.86 84.76 2.19 29.48 0.00 91.37 100.00 94.07P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 75 +19 10.40 85.35 10.52 79.85 2.25 20.06 0.00 4.16 98.46 25.55P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 43 75 +19 6.24 73.77 4.61 79.20 2.18 19.13 0.00 2.30 98.72 28.63P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 43 73 +21 4.62 67.52 6.90 78.68 2.19 23.38 0.00 2.17 97.99 27.60P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 43 70 +12 1.00 53.82 -2.92 74.42 2.26 12.46 0.00 0.00 49.41 12.64P 0.00 0.00 Southend 43 69 +18 5.25 70.11 10.88 74.13 2.27 19.53 0.00 0.00 54.49 11.34P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 43 64 +7 1.18 54.87 1.52 68.77 2.24 7.98 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 43 63 +0 7.32 76.73 5.29 67.01 2.23 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 60 +6 0.46 52.16 4.97 64.66 2.19 6.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 58 +1 -3.82 35.67 -2.97 61.96 2.21 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 43 55 +1 -7.60 23.07 -4.42 58.51 2.22 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 43 55 +0 2.70 61.24 9.54 58.83 2.16 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 55 -3 -4.39 33.00 -5.98 61.67 2.60 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 43 51 +0 -9.01 18.51 -1.76 56.03 2.28 1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Northampton 43 51 -10 -0.56 48.45 2.44 55.51 2.32 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21R 0.00 Oldham 43 51 -12 0.82 54.25 -1.61 54.41 2.15 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Gillingham 43 49 -16 -6.27 26.59 -9.40 52.52 2.25 -16.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.79R 0.00 Shrewsbury 43 47 -16 -2.45 40.68 -1.69 50.22 2.17 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.30R 0.00 Bury 43 46 -14 -4.01 34.61 0.87 49.01 2.07 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.59R 0.00 Port_Vale 42 45 -22 -3.46 36.82 -8.04 48.58 2.37 -24.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.50R 0.00 Swindon 43 44 -17 -9.31 17.25 -8.48 47.15 2.16 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.48R 0.00 Chesterfield 43 37 -31 -9.48 15.91 -12.01 39.41 1.94 -33.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 48.81 Coventry 43 36 -28 -14.52 6.05 -16.23 38.93 2.08 -29.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 51.19League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Blackpool 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 42 85 +35 6.00 72.33 2.02 92.26 2.61 37.69 96.81 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 42 79 +19 9.13 82.37 1.07 85.96 2.59 21.13 3.03 99.98 100.00 99.99P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 42 75 +30 1.12 53.83 6.09 82.26 2.58 32.58 0.17 99.10 100.00 99.43P 0.00 0.00 Luton 42 67 +21 0.62 52.48 8.14 73.71 2.61 22.84 0.00 0.85 97.37 29.66P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 42 65 +17 0.97 53.60 7.49 70.77 2.63 17.38 0.00 0.03 79.15 19.35P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 42 65 +8 5.37 70.64 5.19 70.74 2.66 8.36 0.00 0.04 73.16 15.02P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 42 63 -1 5.80 72.14 0.05 68.83 2.66 -0.55 0.00 0.00 43.87 8.14P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 42 61 +18 -8.54 19.80 0.55 67.76 2.58 19.86 0.00 0.00 40.71 13.41P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 42 61 +6 -1.57 44.27 -1.23 67.31 2.67 7.23 0.00 0.00 28.15 6.77P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 61 +4 3.22 63.31 3.29 66.09 2.57 3.51 0.00 0.00 13.48 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 60 +7 -0.81 47.07 2.16 65.46 2.57 7.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 2.57P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 42 59 +3 -2.08 42.15 -2.19 65.07 2.63 3.86 0.00 0.00 7.85 1.85P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 42 59 +1 0.01 50.55 -1.49 64.35 2.61 0.86 0.00 0.00 4.01 0.87P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 42 58 -3 5.28 70.47 4.10 63.17 2.60 -3.42 0.00 0.00 1.24 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 42 53 -19 5.34 71.34 -3.14 56.96 2.44 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 42 51 -6 -2.44 40.80 0.39 56.56 2.65 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 42 50 -16 1.28 56.00 -1.58 54.11 2.51 -18.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crewe 42 49 -11 -4.68 32.60 -5.07 54.39 2.61 -11.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 49 -15 1.50 57.03 0.30 53.40 2.53 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Yeovil 42 46 -14 -3.56 36.06 -3.22 50.77 2.56 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.02R 0.00 Cheltenham 42 44 -14 -6.81 24.71 -4.55 48.65 2.48 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.17R 0.02 Hartlepool 42 43 -18 -2.35 41.16 1.12 47.38 2.53 -19.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.23R 0.25 Newport_County 42 42 -18 -4.26 33.53 -1.37 46.32 2.51 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.48R 0.34 Leyton_Orient 42 33 -34 -14.48 6.51 -18.14 37.55 2.55 -35.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 99.40National League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Boreham_Wood 1 3 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 42 91 +41 17.28 96.40 16.24 98.08 2.61 43.46 94.96 100.00 96.24P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 43 86 +35 6.72 75.34 4.99 92.33 2.06 38.46 4.45 100.00 35.89P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 43 84 +34 5.45 70.78 3.56 90.09 2.13 37.25 0.60 100.00 27.82P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 43 79 +25 2.71 60.36 -1.75 84.87 2.19 27.74 0.00 98.91 23.13P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 75 +23 4.04 65.42 2.19 81.33 2.64 24.28 0.00 74.65 12.98P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 43 73 +23 7.72 78.15 13.47 78.10 2.24 24.38 0.00 25.72 3.86P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 43 69 +16 6.07 72.89 10.23 73.94 2.22 17.25 0.00 0.62 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 43 67 +20 0.46 51.83 8.79 71.55 2.26 20.68 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 42 66 +10 1.32 55.57 -0.64 71.93 2.55 10.64 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 43 58 -8 3.62 64.56 -0.19 61.71 2.20 -8.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 43 55 +4 -2.50 40.18 5.07 58.97 2.23 3.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 54 -15 -2.47 40.35 -11.48 57.33 2.19 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 43 53 -5 -0.25 49.65 3.80 56.04 2.11 -6.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 43 53 -6 -6.72 24.99 -7.01 57.83 2.30 -4.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidstone_United 42 53 -16 5.68 72.35 1.41 56.56 2.38 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Chester 43 52 -2 -4.86 31.85 1.90 56.44 2.29 -1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Guiseley 43 49 -16 1.89 58.64 2.09 52.39 2.15 -17.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.20R 0.00 York 43 48 -13 -11.22 13.54 -13.20 51.99 2.27 -13.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.52R 0.00 Woking 43 48 -15 -7.75 22.25 -8.69 51.31 2.19 -16.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.76R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 43 48 -17 0.08 51.17 1.67 51.28 2.19 -18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.64R 0.00 Braintree_Town 43 48 -19 -6.93 24.37 -12.99 51.54 2.20 -19.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.57R 0.00 Torquay 43 44 -12 -8.39 19.71 -2.07 48.24 2.16 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.26R 0.00 North_Ferriby 43 39 -43 3.74 67.29 -6.18 41.28 1.92 -45.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 5.80 Southport 43 35 -44 -4.94 30.15 -11.20 36.80 1.80 -48.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 94.20