Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 April 2017, Man_Utd 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          32   75  +38      14.05    96.44    10.45    87.64     2.90    45.18    86.18    99.53    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   71  +46       6.72    80.52    12.61    82.45     3.18    50.89    13.64    89.50    97.61    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   66  +29       8.03    83.31     8.04    76.00     2.82    34.00     0.04     3.98    42.89    89.01    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   64  +28       3.16    65.10    -0.20    76.60     3.00    34.97     0.15     6.66    54.56    89.39    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   60  +24       4.07    68.94     4.23    70.55     3.31    25.54     0.00     0.31     3.86    15.20    92.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   57  +23       2.17    60.03     8.28    64.69     2.91    24.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    30.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   54  +22      -1.56    41.58    -1.44    68.16     3.62    27.10     0.00     0.03     1.10     6.46    76.78     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   44   -3       3.58    67.35     4.76    49.44     2.75    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   40   -3      -5.51    25.00    -7.15    49.65     3.34    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   40  -15       3.65    68.20    -1.72    44.92     2.86   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            33   39  -11       0.04    50.95    -0.24    44.88     2.87   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        32   37  -12      -6.56    21.63   -10.38    44.32     3.00   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         33   37  -15      -5.18    27.20    -8.00    42.72     2.92   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -14      -0.54    48.07    -0.01    42.23     2.89   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   35   -8      -3.10    35.71     2.07    41.01     2.82   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   35  -18       0.80    54.92     3.27    42.02     2.94   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Hull             33   30  -33      -0.26    50.10    -6.32    35.30     2.73   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.10R    0.95  
Swansea          33   28  -31      -5.40    25.08    -9.22    33.69     2.80   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.69R    3.39  
Middlesbrough    31   24  -15      -9.03    11.81    -1.79    30.61     3.10   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.52R   16.50  
Sunderland       32   21  -32      -8.28    13.20    -7.27    26.79     2.85   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   79.16  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        42   89  +36      12.82    91.39     8.24    96.26     2.50    38.66    80.78    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       42   85  +39       4.99    69.29     4.52    92.67     2.52    42.35    19.21    99.28   100.00    99.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   77   +5      21.61    98.68     6.51    83.41     2.91     4.37     0.00     0.63    98.92    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   76   +1      20.29    98.05     4.25    82.57     2.53     2.73     0.00     0.10    99.04    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   73  +16      11.95    89.07    10.61    79.14     2.60    16.98     0.00     0.00    88.71    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   72  +13       7.05    76.68     1.98    77.98     2.61    13.78     0.00     0.00    71.15    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          42   70  +22       5.77    71.87    12.05    75.75     2.63    22.38     0.00     0.00    42.10    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   62   +3      -2.15    41.37    -6.84    68.61     2.57     4.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   61   +7       1.45    56.03     4.05    66.69     2.45     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         42   60   +8      -6.12    27.59    -5.06    65.63     2.63     8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   59  +10      -4.22    33.62     1.60    65.17     2.63    10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   58   +1      -0.42    48.68    -1.00    63.24     2.54     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        42   56   +1       2.71    61.47     7.96    60.90     2.50    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         42   55   -3      -2.34    40.66    -2.44    60.20     2.59    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   52   -7      -4.15    33.73    -5.25    57.34     2.58    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   51   -3      -4.52    32.13    -1.92    57.90     2.88    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   50   -9      -5.29    29.64    -5.82    54.84     2.52   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   47   -7      -5.25    29.65     1.92    52.05     2.49    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   47  -19      -2.41    40.55    -6.98    52.14     2.52   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   45  -11      -8.12    20.25    -3.78    50.20     2.57   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.92R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   42   45  -15      -0.38    49.08     2.20    49.55     2.50   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.54R    0.00  
Blackburn       42   43  -15      -9.27    16.65    -7.15    47.98     2.53   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.93R    0.00  
Wigan           42   40  -15     -10.45    13.49    -5.30    44.38     2.44   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.49R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   18  -58     -14.75     3.10   -14.36    21.03     2.25   -62.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Oldham 1 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        43   91  +38      14.45    93.10    11.12    96.46     2.18    40.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   79  +27       6.31    73.36     6.86    84.76     2.19    29.48     0.00    91.37   100.00    94.07P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   75  +19      10.40    85.35    10.52    79.85     2.25    20.06     0.00     4.16    98.46    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   75  +19       6.24    73.77     4.61    79.20     2.18    19.13     0.00     2.30    98.72    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   73  +21       4.62    67.52     6.90    78.68     2.19    23.38     0.00     2.17    97.99    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   70  +12       1.00    53.82    -2.92    74.42     2.26    12.46     0.00     0.00    49.41    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   69  +18       5.25    70.11    10.88    74.13     2.27    19.53     0.00     0.00    54.49    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   64   +7       1.18    54.87     1.52    68.77     2.24     7.98     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   63   +0       7.32    76.73     5.29    67.01     2.23    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       43   60   +6       0.46    52.16     4.97    64.66     2.19     6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   58   +1      -3.82    35.67    -2.97    61.96     2.21     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   55   +1      -7.60    23.07    -4.42    58.51     2.22     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    43   55   +0       2.70    61.24     9.54    58.83     2.16    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   55   -3      -4.39    33.00    -5.98    61.67     2.60    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   51   +0      -9.01    18.51    -1.76    56.03     2.28     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Northampton      43   51  -10      -0.56    48.45     2.44    55.51     2.32    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -12       0.82    54.25    -1.61    54.41     2.15   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   49  -16      -6.27    26.59    -9.40    52.52     2.25   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   47  -16      -2.45    40.68    -1.69    50.22     2.17   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.30R    0.00  
Bury             43   46  -14      -4.01    34.61     0.87    49.01     2.07   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.59R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   45  -22      -3.46    36.82    -8.04    48.58     2.37   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.50R    0.00  
Swindon          43   44  -17      -9.31    17.25    -8.48    47.15     2.16   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   37  -31      -9.48    15.91   -12.01    39.41     1.94   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   48.81  
Coventry         43   36  -28     -14.52     6.05   -16.23    38.93     2.08   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.19  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Blackpool 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            42   85  +35       6.00    72.33     2.02    92.26     2.61    37.69    96.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   79  +19       9.13    82.37     1.07    85.96     2.59    21.13     3.03    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   75  +30       1.12    53.83     6.09    82.26     2.58    32.58     0.17    99.10   100.00    99.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                42   67  +21       0.62    52.48     8.14    73.71     2.61    22.84     0.00     0.85    97.37    29.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   65  +17       0.97    53.60     7.49    70.77     2.63    17.38     0.00     0.03    79.15    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65   +8       5.37    70.64     5.19    70.74     2.66     8.36     0.00     0.04    73.16    15.02P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             42   63   -1       5.80    72.14     0.05    68.83     2.66    -0.55     0.00     0.00    43.87     8.14P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   61  +18      -8.54    19.80     0.55    67.76     2.58    19.86     0.00     0.00    40.71    13.41P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           42   61   +6      -1.57    44.27    -1.23    67.31     2.67     7.23     0.00     0.00    28.15     6.77P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   61   +4       3.22    63.31     3.29    66.09     2.57     3.51     0.00     0.00    13.48     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   60   +7      -0.81    47.07     2.16    65.46     2.57     7.00     0.00     0.00    11.00     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   59   +3      -2.08    42.15    -2.19    65.07     2.63     3.86     0.00     0.00     7.85     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   59   +1       0.01    50.55    -1.49    64.35     2.61     0.86     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              42   58   -3       5.28    70.47     4.10    63.17     2.60    -3.42     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   53  -19       5.34    71.34    -3.14    56.96     2.44   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   51   -6      -2.44    40.80     0.39    56.56     2.65    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -16       1.28    56.00    -1.58    54.11     2.51   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                42   49  -11      -4.68    32.60    -5.07    54.39     2.61   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   49  -15       1.50    57.03     0.30    53.40     2.53   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil               42   46  -14      -3.56    36.06    -3.22    50.77     2.56   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   44  -14      -6.81    24.71    -4.55    48.65     2.48   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.17R    0.02  
Hartlepool           42   43  -18      -2.35    41.16     1.12    47.38     2.53   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.23R    0.25  
Newport_County       42   42  -18      -4.26    33.53    -1.37    46.32     2.51   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.48R    0.34  
Leyton_Orient        42   33  -34     -14.48     6.51   -18.14    37.55     2.55   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   99.40  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Boreham_Wood 1 3 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       42   91  +41      17.28    96.40    16.24    98.08     2.61    43.46    94.96   100.00    96.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           43   86  +35       6.72    75.34     4.99    92.33     2.06    38.46     4.45   100.00    35.89P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   84  +34       5.45    70.78     3.56    90.09     2.13    37.25     0.60   100.00    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   79  +25       2.71    60.36    -1.75    84.87     2.19    27.74     0.00    98.91    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   75  +23       4.04    65.42     2.19    81.33     2.64    24.28     0.00    74.65    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   73  +23       7.72    78.15    13.47    78.10     2.24    24.38     0.00    25.72     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   69  +16       6.07    72.89    10.23    73.94     2.22    17.25     0.00     0.62     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   67  +20       0.46    51.83     8.79    71.55     2.26    20.68     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       42   66  +10       1.32    55.57    -0.64    71.93     2.55    10.64     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   58   -8       3.62    64.56    -0.19    61.71     2.20    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   55   +4      -2.50    40.18     5.07    58.97     2.23     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   54  -15      -2.47    40.35   -11.48    57.33     2.19   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      43   53   -5      -0.25    49.65     3.80    56.04     2.11    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          43   53   -6      -6.72    24.99    -7.01    57.83     2.30    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidstone_United   42   53  -16       5.68    72.35     1.41    56.56     2.38   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Chester            43   52   -2      -4.86    31.85     1.90    56.44     2.29    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Guiseley           43   49  -16       1.89    58.64     2.09    52.39     2.15   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.20R    0.00  
York               43   48  -13     -11.22    13.54   -13.20    51.99     2.27   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.52R    0.00  
Woking             43   48  -15      -7.75    22.25    -8.69    51.31     2.19   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.76R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   48  -17       0.08    51.17     1.67    51.28     2.19   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   48  -19      -6.93    24.37   -12.99    51.54     2.20   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.57R    0.00  
Torquay            43   44  -12      -8.39    19.71    -2.07    48.24     2.16   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.26R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      43   39  -43       3.74    67.29    -6.18    41.28     1.92   -45.76     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.80  
Southport          43   35  -44      -4.94    30.15   -11.20    36.80     1.80   -48.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.20