Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Crystal_Palace 2 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          31   75  +40      14.86    97.61    11.54    88.98     3.17    47.18    90.75    99.81    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   71  +46       6.65    80.31    12.55    82.48     3.19    50.94     9.18    90.84    98.49    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   64  +28       3.17    64.89    -0.11    76.59     3.00    34.95     0.06     6.85    64.46    92.80    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   63  +28       6.82    79.69     7.60    74.60     3.15    33.38     0.01     2.29    32.47    83.75    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   57  +23       2.33    60.69     8.46    64.66     2.91    24.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.75    37.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   57  +22       3.06    64.61     3.13    68.90     3.58    23.51     0.00     0.17     2.82    12.17    84.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   54  +22      -1.66    41.00    -1.61    68.18     3.66    27.14     0.00     0.05     1.75    10.66    79.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   44   -2       4.56    71.92     5.26    50.56     3.06    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   40   -3      -5.54    24.78    -7.20    49.65     3.34    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   40  -15       3.71    68.62    -1.64    44.90     2.87   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            33   39  -11      -0.00    50.89    -0.29    44.92     2.90   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   37  -12      -6.56    21.63   -10.36    44.32     3.00   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         33   37  -15      -5.15    26.90    -7.93    42.75     2.93   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -14      -0.65    47.80    -0.12    42.25     2.89   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   35   -8      -3.28    34.82     1.84    41.04     2.80   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   35  -18       0.75    54.62     3.24    41.98     2.93   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Hull             33   30  -33      -0.13    50.65    -6.03    35.27     2.71   -35.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.40R    0.92  
Swansea          33   28  -31      -5.37    25.13    -9.21    33.71     2.81   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.66R    3.30  
Middlesbrough    31   24  -15      -9.06    11.75    -1.84    30.61     3.09   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.48R   16.23  
Sunderland       32   21  -32      -8.27    13.26    -7.27    26.79     2.86   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   79.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        42   89  +36      12.88    91.36     8.40    96.26     2.50    38.65    81.07    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       42   85  +39       5.13    69.78     4.74    92.65     2.52    42.30    18.93    99.26   100.00    99.60P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   77   +5      21.52    98.69     6.35    83.42     2.92     4.39     0.00     0.65    98.96    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   76   +1      20.38    98.19     4.39    82.59     2.54     2.77     0.00     0.11    99.08    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   73  +16      12.00    89.08    10.65    79.12     2.60    16.97     0.00     0.00    88.50    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   72  +13       6.94    76.48     1.88    77.99     2.60    13.80     0.00     0.00    71.10    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          42   70  +22       5.72    71.65    11.96    75.77     2.63    22.39     0.00     0.00    42.29    13.05P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   62   +3      -2.28    40.86    -7.04    68.62     2.56     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   61   +7       1.17    54.99     3.60    66.72     2.46     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         42   60   +8      -6.24    27.00    -5.27    65.63     2.62     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   59  +10      -4.26    33.52     1.49    65.17     2.64    10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   58   +1      -0.18    49.74    -0.63    63.23     2.54     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        42   56   +1       2.51    60.42     7.73    60.93     2.49    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         42   55   -3      -2.37    40.54    -2.51    60.23     2.57    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   52   -7      -3.85    34.91    -4.81    57.30     2.57    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   41   51   -3      -4.38    32.82    -1.72    57.87     2.87    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             42   50   -9      -5.25    29.76    -5.66    54.84     2.53   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   47   -7      -5.27    29.65     1.88    52.06     2.49    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   47  -19      -2.60    39.94    -7.32    52.17     2.53   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   45  -11      -7.99    20.24    -3.55    50.19     2.59   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.25R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   42   45  -15      -0.15    50.44     2.51    49.50     2.49   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.64R    0.00  
Blackburn       42   43  -15      -9.36    16.63    -7.27    47.96     2.53   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.83R    0.00  
Wigan           42   40  -15     -10.32    14.07    -5.14    44.35     2.42   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.62R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   18  -58     -14.95     3.09   -14.68    21.06     2.25   -62.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 April 2017, Oldham 1 0 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        43   91  +38      14.53    93.01    11.23    96.47     2.17    40.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           43   79  +27       6.29    73.23     6.82    84.79     2.18    29.51     0.00    91.51   100.00    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   75  +19      10.39    85.19    10.48    79.86     2.25    20.06     0.00     4.21    98.53    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         43   75  +19       6.20    73.53     4.59    79.20     2.18    19.13     0.00     2.22    98.64    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   73  +21       4.55    67.62     6.80    78.67     2.19    23.36     0.00     2.07    98.04    27.13P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   70  +12       1.19    54.66    -2.64    74.43     2.25    12.49     0.00     0.00    49.78    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   69  +18       5.48    70.81    11.27    74.10     2.27    19.49     0.00     0.00    54.15    11.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   64   +7       1.00    54.22     1.14    68.79     2.24     8.02     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   63   +0       7.28    76.48     5.25    67.00     2.23    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       43   60   +6       0.85    53.69     5.60    64.64     2.19     6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   58   +1      -3.67    35.95    -2.74    61.94     2.20     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   55   +1      -7.48    23.27    -4.32    58.49     2.23     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    43   55   +0       2.64    61.06     9.42    58.84     2.15    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   55   -3      -4.57    32.22    -6.22    61.71     2.59    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   51   +0      -9.13    18.36    -1.92    56.03     2.28     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Northampton      43   51  -10      -0.58    48.24     2.44    55.49     2.32    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -12       0.96    54.79    -1.49    54.39     2.14   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   49  -16      -6.34    26.58    -9.51    52.54     2.24   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       43   47  -16      -2.51    40.14    -1.75    50.22     2.16   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.10R    0.00  
Bury             43   46  -14      -4.13    34.16     0.65    49.03     2.07   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.63R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   45  -22      -3.62    35.64    -8.28    48.61     2.39   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.19R    0.00  
Swindon          43   44  -17      -9.37    17.15    -8.55    47.13     2.15   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.95R    0.00  
Chesterfield     43   37  -31      -9.39    16.14   -11.97    39.43     1.95   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   48.15  
Coventry         43   36  -28     -14.61     6.03   -16.31    38.91     2.07   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.85  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Blackpool 0 0 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            42   85  +35       6.15    72.69     2.32    92.24     2.61    37.65    96.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   79  +19       9.05    81.76     0.93    85.97     2.59    21.15     3.12    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   75  +30       1.16    54.44     6.12    82.28     2.57    32.58     0.18    99.14   100.00    99.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                42   67  +21       0.56    52.24     8.05    73.73     2.59    22.87     0.00     0.80    97.54    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   65  +17       0.92    53.81     7.36    70.79     2.61    17.41     0.00     0.05    79.37    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65   +8       5.41    70.47     5.17    70.77     2.67     8.41     0.00     0.03    73.43    14.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             42   63   -1       6.05    73.14     0.37    68.80     2.66    -0.59     0.00     0.00    43.39     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   61  +18      -8.58    19.69     0.45    67.79     2.56    19.89     0.00     0.00    40.73    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           42   61   +6      -1.51    44.20    -1.17    67.32     2.67     7.24     0.00     0.00    28.16     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   61   +4       2.94    62.18     2.85    66.08     2.58     3.52     0.00     0.00    13.34     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   60   +7      -0.88    46.80     2.05    65.47     2.59     7.03     0.00     0.00    11.04     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   59   +3      -2.11    42.12    -2.17    65.05     2.63     3.82     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   59   +1      -0.01    50.15    -1.55    64.39     2.60     0.89     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              42   58   -3       5.30    70.32     4.01    63.17     2.60    -3.41     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   53  -19       5.16    70.55    -3.35    56.96     2.46   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   51   -6      -2.50    40.54     0.25    56.56     2.66    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -16       1.49    56.72    -1.26    54.08     2.50   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                42   49  -11      -4.83    32.20    -5.24    54.40     2.60   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   49  -15       1.51    57.08     0.35    53.38     2.52   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil               42   46  -14      -3.42    36.90    -2.98    50.77     2.57   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   44  -14      -6.94    24.66    -4.63    48.63     2.49   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.28R    0.02  
Hartlepool           42   43  -18      -2.06    42.38     1.53    47.34     2.52   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.51R    0.26  
Newport_County       42   42  -18      -4.32    33.04    -1.47    46.33     2.48   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R    0.32  
Leyton_Orient        42   33  -34     -14.43     6.32   -17.98    37.56     2.55   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   99.40  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 April 2017, Boreham_Wood 1 3 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       42   91  +41      17.34    96.47    16.31    98.08     2.63    43.43    94.68   100.00    96.07P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           43   86  +35       6.88    76.08     5.21    92.32     2.08    38.46     4.72   100.00    35.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   84  +34       5.39    70.38     3.32    90.12     2.13    37.27     0.59   100.00    28.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   79  +25       2.87    60.88    -1.53    84.82     2.20    27.69     0.00    98.96    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   75  +23       4.13    65.88     2.33    81.33     2.64    24.28     0.00    74.80    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          43   73  +23       7.96    78.82    13.86    78.06     2.24    24.34     0.00    25.51     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   69  +16       5.90    72.16     9.93    73.97     2.22    17.29     0.00     0.61     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   67  +20       0.65    52.47     9.05    71.53     2.27    20.66     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       42   66  +10       1.04    54.20    -0.98    71.91     2.56    10.61     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   58   -8       3.79    65.30     0.06    61.70     2.19    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   55   +4      -2.53    40.07     5.07    58.99     2.24     3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   54  -15      -2.66    39.70   -11.75    57.35     2.19   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   53   -5      -0.35    49.22     3.66    56.07     2.11    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          43   53   -6      -6.60    25.41    -6.79    57.82     2.30    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   42   53  -16       5.74    72.21     1.53    56.56     2.37   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Chester            43   52   -2      -4.73    32.14     2.16    56.42     2.30    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Guiseley           43   49  -16       1.82    58.42     2.07    52.40     2.16   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.13R    0.00  
York               43   48  -13     -11.24    13.22   -13.18    51.98     2.28   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.73R    0.00  
Woking             43   48  -15      -7.90    21.53    -8.92    51.34     2.20   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.63R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   48  -17      -0.06    50.80     1.40    51.28     2.18   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.77R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   48  -19      -7.24    23.41   -13.47    51.57     2.21   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.99R    0.00  
Torquay            43   44  -12      -8.31    20.00    -2.02    48.22     2.16   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.69R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      43   39  -43       3.65    66.82    -6.36    41.28     1.92   -45.75     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.86  
Southport          43   35  -44      -4.77    31.07   -10.94    36.80     1.80   -48.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.14