Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 13 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 April 2017, Crystal_Palace 3 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 31 75 +40 14.64 97.36 11.27 89.01 3.18 47.23 92.56 99.88 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 68 +42 6.72 80.56 11.69 81.87 3.37 48.82 7.40 90.77 98.02 99.74 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 63 +28 6.88 79.86 7.71 74.58 3.16 33.30 0.00 3.82 45.47 85.51 99.75 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 61 +25 2.47 61.74 -1.46 74.96 3.33 31.91 0.04 5.05 48.84 84.38 99.65 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 57 +22 2.98 64.34 3.08 68.94 3.61 23.59 0.00 0.32 4.57 16.25 87.42 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 54 +22 -1.60 41.43 -1.56 68.21 3.61 27.18 0.00 0.16 3.05 13.41 82.76 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 54 +21 1.62 57.51 8.01 63.75 3.16 23.26 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.71 30.40 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 32 44 -2 4.38 71.22 4.95 50.58 3.08 -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 40 +0 -5.17 26.06 -5.77 51.02 3.63 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Watford 31 37 -16 2.69 64.32 -1.59 43.58 3.18 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Leicester 31 36 -12 -6.04 23.19 -10.24 44.58 3.32 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Burnley 32 36 -12 -0.16 50.04 0.30 42.94 3.11 -13.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Stoke 32 36 -13 -0.71 47.18 -1.03 43.64 3.19 -13.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.00 West_Ham 32 36 -15 -4.68 28.68 -7.93 43.24 3.24 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 35 -14 0.76 54.49 4.36 42.45 3.07 -15.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.90R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 31 34 -8 -2.74 36.89 1.94 41.53 3.15 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.18R 0.00 Hull 32 30 -31 0.29 53.03 -5.78 36.26 2.99 -34.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.17R 0.85 Swansea 32 28 -30 -4.22 29.93 -8.43 34.77 3.11 -32.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.41R 2.68 Middlesbrough 31 24 -15 -9.20 11.17 -2.08 30.62 3.12 -19.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.58R 18.82 Sunderland 31 20 -32 -7.93 13.88 -7.45 27.02 3.15 -36.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.59R 77.66Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 April 2017, Wigan 3 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 41 86 +34 12.00 90.25 7.45 94.68 2.84 36.72 53.96 99.90 100.00 99.94P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 41 84 +39 5.74 72.47 4.91 93.75 2.81 43.38 46.03 99.75 100.00 99.87P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 40 74 +4 20.48 98.39 6.14 81.89 3.21 3.54 0.01 0.31 98.05 19.66P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 73 -1 19.07 97.56 2.81 80.52 2.82 0.15 0.00 0.03 97.53 19.64P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 72 +16 12.28 90.06 10.47 78.75 2.84 15.85 0.00 0.01 92.57 24.99P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 69 +12 5.80 72.71 1.48 76.78 2.93 13.41 0.00 0.00 73.33 24.09P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 41 67 +20 4.77 68.64 10.98 73.65 2.94 19.51 0.00 0.00 32.92 9.84P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 62 +7 -2.23 40.79 -4.97 69.95 2.89 8.62 0.00 0.00 4.08 1.49P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 61 +8 2.35 59.88 4.31 67.86 2.76 8.11 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 41 60 +10 -5.41 29.26 -4.24 67.57 2.97 11.14 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 41 58 +3 0.20 51.26 -0.07 65.07 2.88 3.35 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 56 +6 -4.14 33.85 0.32 63.59 2.98 6.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 42 56 +1 2.56 60.83 7.72 60.94 2.50 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 55 -2 -1.52 44.14 -2.15 61.15 2.86 -2.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 40 51 -1 -3.86 34.74 -0.93 59.18 3.17 -1.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 QPR 41 50 -8 -4.53 32.06 -5.66 56.08 2.86 -9.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Ipswich 41 49 -8 -5.26 29.31 -5.49 55.59 2.90 -8.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Birmingham 41 46 -19 -2.26 41.17 -7.32 52.69 2.88 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.38R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 45 -10 -6.85 23.76 -2.84 51.94 2.93 -9.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 45 -14 0.51 53.13 2.42 50.97 2.84 -15.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.69R 0.00 Bristol_City 41 44 -8 -6.24 25.81 1.87 50.60 2.86 -8.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.97R 0.00 Wigan 42 40 -15 -10.31 14.09 -5.16 44.42 2.43 -16.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.54R 0.00 Blackburn 41 40 -16 -10.72 12.50 -7.73 45.96 2.83 -17.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.09R 0.00 Rotherham 41 17 -58 -14.51 3.22 -14.32 21.24 2.62 -62.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 April 2017, Bury 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 42 88 +35 14.35 93.03 10.52 95.10 2.56 37.45 99.20 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 42 79 +28 7.38 76.94 7.37 86.40 2.54 30.88 0.80 98.21 100.00 98.78P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 72 +18 9.25 83.06 10.19 78.01 2.61 18.76 0.00 0.75 96.87 22.60P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 72 +18 5.03 69.88 4.22 78.00 2.55 18.72 0.00 0.66 97.82 28.10P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 42 70 +20 3.48 63.88 6.58 76.85 2.57 22.07 0.00 0.38 95.78 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 42 67 +9 0.84 53.45 -3.68 73.35 2.60 10.33 0.00 0.00 54.23 13.87P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 66 +14 5.28 70.60 9.39 72.51 2.64 15.54 0.00 0.00 47.46 9.71P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 43 64 +7 0.71 53.02 0.77 68.80 2.24 8.04 0.00 0.00 3.65 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 42 63 +2 7.87 78.64 5.94 68.24 2.59 1.53 0.00 0.00 3.65 0.67P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 60 +7 1.36 55.47 5.42 65.62 2.52 7.24 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 58 +2 -2.80 39.31 -2.48 63.51 2.58 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 55 +2 -6.56 25.97 -3.86 60.07 2.61 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 54 +0 3.08 63.07 9.69 58.91 2.52 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 54 -3 -4.13 33.77 -6.08 62.09 2.93 -1.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 42 51 -7 -0.54 48.52 3.26 56.35 2.59 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Charlton 42 50 +0 -8.71 19.02 -1.84 56.38 2.63 1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Oldham 42 48 -13 -0.60 48.18 -2.27 52.44 2.47 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.66R 0.00 Bury 43 46 -14 -3.96 34.73 0.99 49.01 2.08 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.68R 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 46 -16 -2.12 41.69 -1.77 50.53 2.54 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.18R 0.00 Gillingham 42 46 -18 -6.88 24.29 -9.85 51.06 2.62 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.07R 0.00 Port_Vale 41 45 -19 -3.59 35.62 -7.32 49.71 2.72 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.65R 0.01 Swindon 42 43 -17 -9.02 17.54 -8.49 47.80 2.54 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.60R 0.04 Chesterfield 42 37 -27 -9.77 14.73 -10.69 40.80 2.37 -29.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 34.76 Coventry 42 35 -28 -14.09 6.54 -16.01 39.27 2.46 -29.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 65.19League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 41 84 +35 6.50 74.26 2.12 92.92 2.97 38.15 95.33 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 41 78 +19 9.47 83.18 0.96 86.13 2.92 20.86 3.94 99.70 100.00 99.78P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 74 +30 1.40 55.19 5.89 82.86 2.91 32.91 0.73 97.50 100.00 98.42P 0.00 0.00 Luton 41 66 +21 1.40 55.60 8.73 74.68 2.91 23.71 0.00 2.32 97.19 29.93P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 65 +9 6.52 74.44 5.90 72.61 2.99 10.11 0.00 0.43 84.55 17.52P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 62 +16 -0.13 49.55 7.23 69.44 2.94 16.83 0.00 0.02 55.45 13.63P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 41 62 -1 6.13 73.41 0.01 69.44 3.00 -0.19 0.00 0.01 46.04 8.51P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 41 60 +18 -8.25 20.28 0.32 68.52 2.91 20.42 0.00 0.01 45.64 15.61P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 60 +8 0.24 50.96 2.71 66.95 2.91 8.16 0.00 0.00 21.87 5.13P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 60 +6 -1.24 45.42 -1.32 67.43 2.99 6.80 0.00 0.00 25.12 5.98P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 59 +2 0.90 53.87 -1.13 65.92 2.92 2.14 0.00 0.00 11.26 2.55P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 58 +3 -1.91 42.46 -2.39 65.10 2.94 3.38 0.00 0.00 8.19 2.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 58 +3 1.63 57.09 2.43 64.23 2.89 2.24 0.00 0.00 4.35 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 55 -4 3.99 66.15 3.57 61.37 2.90 -4.62 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 41 52 -19 5.62 72.62 -3.19 57.02 2.78 -21.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 41 51 -5 -1.62 43.80 0.50 57.68 2.97 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 41 48 -11 -4.27 33.57 -5.05 55.07 2.94 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Crawley_Town 41 48 -15 1.52 57.12 0.05 53.81 2.88 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Morecambe 41 47 -17 -0.15 50.32 -2.07 52.01 2.81 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88R 0.00 Yeovil 41 46 -13 -2.41 40.60 -2.43 52.14 2.90 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.32R 0.00 Cheltenham 41 43 -14 -6.46 25.90 -4.37 48.98 2.84 -15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.18R 0.04 Hartlepool 41 42 -18 -1.85 43.13 1.34 47.51 2.86 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.02R 0.42 Newport_County 41 39 -19 -5.55 27.90 -1.66 44.67 2.82 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.70R 2.40 Leyton_Orient 41 32 -34 -14.08 6.75 -18.12 37.35 2.81 -36.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.67R 97.14National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2017, Lincoln_City 1 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 41 88 +40 16.34 95.73 16.30 97.11 2.91 43.44 84.76 100.00 88.62P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 85 +35 7.41 78.02 5.48 93.15 2.45 39.07 14.43 100.00 43.37P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 81 +32 4.67 67.98 2.75 89.18 2.50 36.37 0.81 99.99 28.87P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 76 +23 2.12 58.14 -2.06 83.34 2.57 25.90 0.00 94.24 21.65P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 42 72 +23 8.04 79.34 13.49 78.02 2.54 23.76 0.00 29.77 4.50P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 72 +20 3.88 65.09 1.67 80.60 2.89 22.85 0.00 65.51 11.41P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 69 +19 6.03 72.99 11.03 75.56 2.60 20.60 0.00 7.78 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 67 +23 0.89 53.70 10.27 73.22 2.63 24.12 0.00 1.10 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 66 +11 2.31 59.54 -0.20 73.47 2.90 11.89 0.00 1.61 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 42 55 +6 -1.96 42.44 5.94 60.18 2.58 5.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 55 -11 3.08 63.11 -1.58 59.84 2.55 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 54 -13 -1.74 43.02 -10.52 59.20 2.58 -13.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 42 53 -5 -5.20 30.15 -5.86 59.66 2.64 -3.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 42 52 +0 -4.52 32.76 2.18 57.22 2.58 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 42 50 -8 -0.66 47.94 2.70 54.16 2.49 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14R 0.00 Maidstone_United 41 50 -18 4.71 69.34 0.40 54.43 2.66 -22.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.22R 0.00 Guiseley 42 49 -14 2.11 59.54 2.37 53.47 2.50 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.07R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 42 48 -16 0.92 54.66 1.75 52.58 2.58 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.86R 0.00 York 42 45 -14 -12.43 10.45 -13.57 50.39 2.64 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.91R 0.00 Woking 42 45 -16 -9.20 17.60 -9.31 49.58 2.57 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.39R 0.00 Braintree_Town 42 45 -21 -7.99 20.38 -14.15 50.18 2.57 -21.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.53R 0.00 Torquay 42 44 -11 -7.46 21.91 -1.93 49.01 2.44 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.87R 0.00 North_Ferriby 42 36 -44 2.51 62.66 -6.53 39.10 2.24 -47.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 31.49 Southport 42 35 -41 -4.78 30.93 -10.62 37.34 2.07 -46.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 68.51