Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 April 2017, Crystal_Palace 3 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          31   75  +40      14.64    97.36    11.27    89.01     3.18    47.23    92.56    99.88   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   68  +42       6.72    80.56    11.69    81.87     3.37    48.82     7.40    90.77    98.02    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   63  +28       6.88    79.86     7.71    74.58     3.16    33.30     0.00     3.82    45.47    85.51    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   61  +25       2.47    61.74    -1.46    74.96     3.33    31.91     0.04     5.05    48.84    84.38    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   57  +22       2.98    64.34     3.08    68.94     3.61    23.59     0.00     0.32     4.57    16.25    87.42     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   54  +22      -1.60    41.43    -1.56    68.21     3.61    27.18     0.00     0.16     3.05    13.41    82.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   54  +21       1.62    57.51     8.01    63.75     3.16    23.26     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.71    30.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   44   -2       4.38    71.22     4.95    50.58     3.08    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   40   +0      -5.17    26.06    -5.77    51.02     3.63    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   37  -16       2.69    64.32    -1.59    43.58     3.18   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Leicester        31   36  -12      -6.04    23.19   -10.24    44.58     3.32   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Burnley          32   36  -12      -0.16    50.04     0.30    42.94     3.11   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Stoke            32   36  -13      -0.71    47.18    -1.03    43.64     3.19   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
West_Ham         32   36  -15      -4.68    28.68    -7.93    43.24     3.24   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   35  -14       0.76    54.49     4.36    42.45     3.07   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.74    36.89     1.94    41.53     3.15   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.00  
Hull             32   30  -31       0.29    53.03    -5.78    36.26     2.99   -34.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.17R    0.85  
Swansea          32   28  -30      -4.22    29.93    -8.43    34.77     3.11   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.41R    2.68  
Middlesbrough    31   24  -15      -9.20    11.17    -2.08    30.62     3.12   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   18.82  
Sunderland       31   20  -32      -7.93    13.88    -7.45    27.02     3.15   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   77.66  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 April 2017, Wigan 3 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        41   86  +34      12.00    90.25     7.45    94.68     2.84    36.72    53.96    99.90   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       41   84  +39       5.74    72.47     4.91    93.75     2.81    43.38    46.03    99.75   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   74   +4      20.48    98.39     6.14    81.89     3.21     3.54     0.01     0.31    98.05    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   73   -1      19.07    97.56     2.81    80.52     2.82     0.15     0.00     0.03    97.53    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   72  +16      12.28    90.06    10.47    78.75     2.84    15.85     0.00     0.01    92.57    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   69  +12       5.80    72.71     1.48    76.78     2.93    13.41     0.00     0.00    73.33    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          41   67  +20       4.77    68.64    10.98    73.65     2.94    19.51     0.00     0.00    32.92     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   62   +7      -2.23    40.79    -4.97    69.95     2.89     8.62     0.00     0.00     4.08     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   61   +8       2.35    59.88     4.31    67.86     2.76     8.11     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         41   60  +10      -5.41    29.26    -4.24    67.57     2.97    11.14     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     41   58   +3       0.20    51.26    -0.07    65.07     2.88     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   56   +6      -4.14    33.85     0.32    63.59     2.98     6.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        42   56   +1       2.56    60.83     7.72    60.94     2.50    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   55   -2      -1.52    44.14    -2.15    61.15     2.86    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   40   51   -1      -3.86    34.74    -0.93    59.18     3.17    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             41   50   -8      -4.53    32.06    -5.66    56.08     2.86    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ipswich         41   49   -8      -5.26    29.31    -5.49    55.59     2.90    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   46  -19      -2.26    41.17    -7.32    52.69     2.88   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.38R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   45  -10      -6.85    23.76    -2.84    51.94     2.93    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   41   45  -14       0.51    53.13     2.42    50.97     2.84   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.69R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   44   -8      -6.24    25.81     1.87    50.60     2.86    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.97R    0.00  
Wigan           42   40  -15     -10.31    14.09    -5.16    44.42     2.43   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.54R    0.00  
Blackburn       41   40  -16     -10.72    12.50    -7.73    45.96     2.83   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.09R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   17  -58     -14.51     3.22   -14.32    21.24     2.62   -62.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 April 2017, Bury 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        42   88  +35      14.35    93.03    10.52    95.10     2.56    37.45    99.20   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           42   79  +28       7.38    76.94     7.37    86.40     2.54    30.88     0.80    98.21   100.00    98.78P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   42   72  +18       9.25    83.06    10.19    78.01     2.61    18.76     0.00     0.75    96.87    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   72  +18       5.03    69.88     4.22    78.00     2.55    18.72     0.00     0.66    97.82    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   70  +20       3.48    63.88     6.58    76.85     2.57    22.07     0.00     0.38    95.78    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   67   +9       0.84    53.45    -3.68    73.35     2.60    10.33     0.00     0.00    54.23    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   66  +14       5.28    70.60     9.39    72.51     2.64    15.54     0.00     0.00    47.46     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   64   +7       0.71    53.02     0.77    68.80     2.24     8.04     0.00     0.00     3.65     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   63   +2       7.87    78.64     5.94    68.24     2.59     1.53     0.00     0.00     3.65     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       42   60   +7       1.36    55.47     5.42    65.62     2.52     7.24     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   58   +2      -2.80    39.31    -2.48    63.51     2.58     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   55   +2      -6.56    25.97    -3.86    60.07     2.61     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    42   54   +0       3.08    63.07     9.69    58.91     2.52    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   54   -3      -4.13    33.77    -6.08    62.09     2.93    -1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   51   -7      -0.54    48.52     3.26    56.35     2.59    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Charlton         42   50   +0      -8.71    19.02    -1.84    56.38     2.63     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Oldham           42   48  -13      -0.60    48.18    -2.27    52.44     2.47   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.66R    0.00  
Bury             43   46  -14      -3.96    34.73     0.99    49.01     2.08   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.68R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   46  -16      -2.12    41.69    -1.77    50.53     2.54   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.18R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   46  -18      -6.88    24.29    -9.85    51.06     2.62   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    0.00  
Port_Vale        41   45  -19      -3.59    35.62    -7.32    49.71     2.72   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.65R    0.01  
Swindon          42   43  -17      -9.02    17.54    -8.49    47.80     2.54   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.60R    0.04  
Chesterfield     42   37  -27      -9.77    14.73   -10.69    40.80     2.37   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   34.76  
Coventry         42   35  -28     -14.09     6.54   -16.01    39.27     2.46   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   65.19  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            41   84  +35       6.50    74.26     2.12    92.92     2.97    38.15    95.33   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   78  +19       9.47    83.18     0.96    86.13     2.92    20.86     3.94    99.70   100.00    99.78P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   74  +30       1.40    55.19     5.89    82.86     2.91    32.91     0.73    97.50   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                41   66  +21       1.40    55.60     8.73    74.68     2.91    23.71     0.00     2.32    97.19    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   65   +9       6.52    74.44     5.90    72.61     2.99    10.11     0.00     0.43    84.55    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62  +16      -0.13    49.55     7.23    69.44     2.94    16.83     0.00     0.02    55.45    13.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   62   -1       6.13    73.41     0.01    69.44     3.00    -0.19     0.00     0.01    46.04     8.51P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   60  +18      -8.25    20.28     0.32    68.52     2.91    20.42     0.00     0.01    45.64    15.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   60   +8       0.24    50.96     2.71    66.95     2.91     8.16     0.00     0.00    21.87     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           41   60   +6      -1.24    45.42    -1.32    67.43     2.99     6.80     0.00     0.00    25.12     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   59   +2       0.90    53.87    -1.13    65.92     2.92     2.14     0.00     0.00    11.26     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   58   +3      -1.91    42.46    -2.39    65.10     2.94     3.38     0.00     0.00     8.19     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   58   +3       1.63    57.09     2.43    64.23     2.89     2.24     0.00     0.00     4.35     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -4       3.99    66.15     3.57    61.37     2.90    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   52  -19       5.62    72.62    -3.19    57.02     2.78   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -5      -1.62    43.80     0.50    57.68     2.97    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   48  -11      -4.27    33.57    -5.05    55.07     2.94   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   48  -15       1.52    57.12     0.05    53.81     2.88   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   47  -17      -0.15    50.32    -2.07    52.01     2.81   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   46  -13      -2.41    40.60    -2.43    52.14     2.90   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   43  -14      -6.46    25.90    -4.37    48.98     2.84   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.18R    0.04  
Hartlepool           41   42  -18      -1.85    43.13     1.34    47.51     2.86   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.02R    0.42  
Newport_County       41   39  -19      -5.55    27.90    -1.66    44.67     2.82   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.70R    2.40  
Leyton_Orient        41   32  -34     -14.08     6.75   -18.12    37.35     2.81   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   97.14  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2017, Lincoln_City 1 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       41   88  +40      16.34    95.73    16.30    97.11     2.91    43.44    84.76   100.00    88.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           42   85  +35       7.41    78.02     5.48    93.15     2.45    39.07    14.43   100.00    43.37P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   81  +32       4.67    67.98     2.75    89.18     2.50    36.37     0.81    99.99    28.87P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   76  +23       2.12    58.14    -2.06    83.34     2.57    25.90     0.00    94.24    21.65P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   72  +23       8.04    79.34    13.49    78.02     2.54    23.76     0.00    29.77     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   72  +20       3.88    65.09     1.67    80.60     2.89    22.85     0.00    65.51    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   69  +19       6.03    72.99    11.03    75.56     2.60    20.60     0.00     7.78     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67  +23       0.89    53.70    10.27    73.22     2.63    24.12     0.00     1.10     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       41   66  +11       2.31    59.54    -0.20    73.47     2.90    11.89     0.00     1.61     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   55   +6      -1.96    42.44     5.94    60.18     2.58     5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55  -11       3.08    63.11    -1.58    59.84     2.55   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   54  -13      -1.74    43.02   -10.52    59.20     2.58   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   53   -5      -5.20    30.15    -5.86    59.66     2.64    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            42   52   +0      -4.52    32.76     2.18    57.22     2.58    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      42   50   -8      -0.66    47.94     2.70    54.16     2.49   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   41   50  -18       4.71    69.34     0.40    54.43     2.66   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.00  
Guiseley           42   49  -14       2.11    59.54     2.37    53.47     2.50   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   48  -16       0.92    54.66     1.75    52.58     2.58   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.00  
York               42   45  -14     -12.43    10.45   -13.57    50.39     2.64   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.91R    0.00  
Woking             42   45  -16      -9.20    17.60    -9.31    49.58     2.57   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.39R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   45  -21      -7.99    20.38   -14.15    50.18     2.57   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.53R    0.00  
Torquay            42   44  -11      -7.46    21.91    -1.93    49.01     2.44   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.87R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      42   36  -44       2.51    62.66    -6.53    39.10     2.24   -47.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   31.49  
Southport          42   35  -41      -4.78    30.93   -10.62    37.34     2.07   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   68.51