Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 11 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 April 2017, Crystal_Palace 3 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 31 75 +40 14.70 97.48 11.42 88.98 3.18 47.18 92.43 99.89 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 68 +42 6.67 80.59 11.59 81.85 3.37 48.82 7.55 90.70 97.94 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 63 +28 6.79 79.26 7.60 74.61 3.15 33.36 0.01 3.83 45.94 85.64 99.79 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 61 +25 2.60 62.25 -1.18 74.92 3.33 31.83 0.01 5.13 48.51 84.06 99.67 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 57 +22 2.98 64.48 3.03 68.97 3.61 23.61 0.00 0.31 4.54 16.39 87.70 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 54 +22 -1.61 41.38 -1.44 68.18 3.63 27.13 0.00 0.14 3.03 13.47 82.99 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 54 +21 1.82 58.27 8.31 63.69 3.18 23.18 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.73 29.83 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 32 44 -2 4.53 72.03 5.12 50.59 3.06 -4.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 40 +0 -5.08 26.08 -5.64 51.03 3.62 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 Watford 31 37 -16 2.68 64.19 -1.68 43.63 3.19 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.00 Leicester 31 36 -12 -6.26 22.36 -10.56 44.58 3.33 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Burnley 32 36 -12 -0.18 50.01 0.29 42.94 3.10 -13.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Stoke 32 36 -13 -0.66 47.45 -1.00 43.64 3.17 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63R 0.00 West_Ham 32 36 -15 -4.57 28.78 -7.71 43.24 3.24 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 35 -14 0.64 54.08 4.08 42.47 3.07 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 31 34 -8 -2.82 36.70 1.84 41.52 3.17 -11.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.09R 0.00 Hull 32 30 -31 0.18 52.42 -5.96 36.28 2.99 -34.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.23R 0.80 Swansea 32 28 -30 -4.43 29.08 -8.79 34.80 3.12 -32.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.13R 2.59 Middlesbrough 31 24 -15 -8.97 12.05 -1.82 30.59 3.12 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.64R 19.03 Sunderland 31 20 -32 -7.96 13.80 -7.50 27.02 3.16 -36.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.68R 77.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Birmingham 1 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 41 86 +34 12.00 89.86 7.45 94.69 2.85 36.75 54.11 99.92 100.00 99.94P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 41 84 +39 5.73 72.20 4.79 93.72 2.83 43.32 45.88 99.72 100.00 99.83P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 40 74 +4 20.53 98.46 6.26 81.88 3.20 3.52 0.00 0.31 98.12 19.75P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 73 -1 19.21 97.77 3.06 80.50 2.82 0.14 0.00 0.03 97.54 19.44P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 72 +16 12.06 89.48 10.14 78.79 2.86 15.90 0.00 0.02 92.64 25.16P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 69 +12 5.83 72.75 1.58 76.77 2.93 13.40 0.00 0.00 73.06 24.22P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 41 67 +20 4.78 68.71 11.01 73.64 2.95 19.49 0.00 0.00 32.84 9.74P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 62 +7 -2.22 40.90 -5.02 69.98 2.89 8.67 0.00 0.00 4.22 1.46P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 61 +8 2.23 59.45 4.15 67.88 2.76 8.13 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 41 60 +10 -5.56 28.72 -4.43 67.58 2.98 11.13 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.29P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 41 58 +3 0.13 50.80 -0.15 65.09 2.89 3.37 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 56 +6 -4.34 32.86 -0.01 63.59 2.95 6.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 41 56 +2 3.36 63.88 7.79 62.17 2.81 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 55 -2 -1.26 45.28 -1.81 61.16 2.86 -2.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 40 51 -1 -3.77 34.69 -0.79 59.14 3.17 -1.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 QPR 41 50 -8 -4.46 32.32 -5.56 56.03 2.87 -9.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Ipswich 41 49 -8 -5.11 29.90 -5.32 55.57 2.89 -8.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Birmingham 41 46 -19 -2.22 41.45 -7.26 52.69 2.87 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.76R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 45 -10 -6.77 24.39 -2.78 51.98 2.92 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.27R 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 45 -14 0.37 52.52 2.24 50.98 2.85 -15.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.58R 0.00 Bristol_City 41 44 -8 -6.28 26.02 1.93 50.62 2.85 -8.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.07R 0.00 Blackburn 41 40 -16 -10.64 13.08 -7.64 45.95 2.83 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.53R 0.00 Wigan 41 37 -16 -11.28 11.18 -5.38 42.89 2.78 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.54R 0.00 Rotherham 41 17 -58 -14.46 3.15 -14.25 21.22 2.59 -62.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 42 88 +35 14.16 92.65 10.16 95.11 2.58 37.47 99.16 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 42 79 +28 7.31 76.95 7.24 86.38 2.54 30.85 0.84 98.20 100.00 98.76P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 72 +18 9.26 82.93 10.18 78.02 2.60 18.79 0.00 0.74 96.95 22.46P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 72 +18 5.31 70.70 4.59 78.01 2.55 18.72 0.00 0.70 97.86 27.33P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 42 70 +20 3.23 62.63 6.25 76.89 2.57 22.13 0.00 0.37 95.98 26.23P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 42 67 +9 0.92 53.93 -3.63 73.35 2.59 10.34 0.00 0.00 55.44 14.28P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 66 +14 5.47 71.23 9.64 72.48 2.64 15.51 0.00 0.00 47.55 9.83P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 42 63 +2 7.92 78.99 6.02 68.23 2.61 1.52 0.00 0.00 3.87 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 42 61 +6 -0.26 49.35 0.77 67.21 2.64 7.10 0.00 0.00 1.73 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 60 +7 1.41 55.90 5.56 65.61 2.51 7.23 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 58 +2 -2.82 39.02 -2.54 63.50 2.58 1.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 55 +2 -6.55 25.87 -3.90 60.05 2.61 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 54 +0 2.95 62.47 9.53 58.94 2.52 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 54 -3 -4.24 33.43 -6.25 62.09 2.93 -1.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 42 51 -7 -0.59 48.24 3.18 56.39 2.61 -7.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Charlton 42 50 +0 -8.58 19.51 -1.67 56.38 2.63 1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Oldham 42 48 -13 -0.71 47.77 -2.34 52.44 2.47 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.13R 0.00 Bury 42 46 -13 -3.16 37.78 1.15 50.39 2.48 -14.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.05R 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 46 -16 -2.13 41.71 -1.72 50.52 2.53 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.49R 0.00 Gillingham 42 46 -18 -6.99 23.85 -9.98 51.06 2.60 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.50R 0.00 Port_Vale 41 45 -19 -3.58 35.86 -7.29 49.71 2.72 -22.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.05R 0.00 Swindon 42 43 -17 -8.78 17.99 -8.04 47.77 2.54 -18.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.45R 0.05 Chesterfield 42 37 -27 -9.80 14.94 -10.73 40.82 2.38 -29.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 34.20 Coventry 42 35 -28 -14.19 6.34 -16.18 39.25 2.46 -29.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 65.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 41 84 +35 6.35 74.14 1.85 92.94 2.96 38.18 95.46 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 41 78 +19 9.42 83.44 0.93 86.17 2.91 20.92 3.82 99.75 100.00 99.84P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 74 +30 1.69 56.57 6.31 82.81 2.90 32.84 0.73 97.32 100.00 98.27P 0.00 0.00 Luton 41 66 +21 0.94 53.63 8.14 74.73 2.89 23.77 0.00 2.46 97.42 30.92P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 65 +9 6.46 74.46 5.80 72.65 2.99 10.16 0.00 0.41 84.78 17.98P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 62 +16 0.05 50.21 7.51 69.46 2.95 16.83 0.00 0.03 55.58 13.43P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 41 62 -1 6.41 74.28 0.46 69.42 3.01 -0.22 0.00 0.02 45.89 8.29P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 41 60 +18 -8.01 21.30 0.71 68.45 2.90 20.33 0.00 0.01 45.12 14.74P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 60 +8 0.19 51.01 2.60 66.94 2.90 8.19 0.00 0.00 21.81 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 60 +6 -1.33 44.78 -1.47 67.44 3.01 6.82 0.00 0.00 25.42 6.20P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 59 +2 1.05 54.60 -1.00 65.92 2.91 2.14 0.00 0.00 11.08 2.43P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 58 +3 -2.09 41.88 -2.65 65.12 2.93 3.39 0.00 0.00 8.31 2.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 58 +3 1.68 57.11 2.50 64.23 2.88 2.21 0.00 0.00 4.27 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 55 -4 4.08 66.64 3.66 61.33 2.90 -4.67 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 41 52 -19 5.43 71.80 -3.52 57.04 2.78 -21.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 41 51 -5 -1.65 43.93 0.51 57.65 2.94 -5.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 41 48 -11 -4.32 33.74 -5.12 55.06 2.94 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Crawley_Town 41 48 -15 1.79 58.26 0.37 53.76 2.86 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Morecambe 41 47 -17 -0.02 50.85 -1.89 52.00 2.80 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95R 0.00 Yeovil 41 46 -13 -2.45 40.45 -2.38 52.15 2.89 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00 Cheltenham 41 43 -14 -6.65 25.16 -4.67 49.03 2.83 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.74R 0.06 Hartlepool 41 42 -18 -2.11 41.96 1.00 47.55 2.88 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.45R 0.39 Newport_County 41 39 -19 -5.34 29.02 -1.39 44.63 2.81 -20.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.65R 2.44 Leyton_Orient 41 32 -34 -14.16 6.45 -18.26 37.35 2.80 -36.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.73R 97.11National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2017, Lincoln_City 1 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 41 88 +40 16.27 95.57 16.16 97.11 2.91 43.46 84.47 100.00 88.25P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 85 +35 7.51 78.31 5.64 93.15 2.43 39.09 14.66 100.00 43.49P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 81 +32 4.73 68.20 2.78 89.18 2.48 36.38 0.87 99.99 29.06P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 76 +23 2.03 57.60 -2.20 83.36 2.56 25.92 0.00 94.44 21.62P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 42 72 +23 7.93 79.03 13.30 77.99 2.55 23.73 0.00 29.61 4.55P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 72 +20 4.11 66.15 1.95 80.58 2.90 22.83 0.00 65.56 11.43P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 69 +19 6.18 73.52 11.31 75.54 2.59 20.58 0.00 7.63 1.14P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 67 +23 0.82 53.30 10.18 73.22 2.63 24.14 0.00 1.19 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 66 +11 2.33 59.41 -0.13 73.48 2.90 11.90 0.00 1.57 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 42 55 +6 -2.12 41.58 5.68 60.21 2.58 5.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 55 -11 3.25 63.49 -1.34 59.82 2.56 -12.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 54 -13 -1.80 43.12 -10.60 59.21 2.58 -13.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 42 53 -5 -5.47 29.39 -6.27 59.69 2.65 -3.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 42 52 +0 -4.38 33.20 2.41 57.22 2.58 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 42 50 -8 -0.44 48.87 2.98 54.11 2.46 -10.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.00 Maidstone_United 41 50 -18 4.97 70.04 0.84 54.41 2.66 -22.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.31R 0.00 Guiseley 42 49 -14 2.17 59.94 2.40 53.51 2.51 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.85R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 42 48 -16 0.93 54.77 1.79 52.57 2.57 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.16R 0.00 York 42 45 -14 -12.57 10.36 -13.81 50.43 2.66 -14.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.34R 0.00 Woking 42 45 -16 -9.07 18.08 -9.09 49.57 2.56 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.56R 0.00 Braintree_Town 42 45 -21 -7.99 20.33 -14.15 50.19 2.57 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.63R 0.00 Torquay 42 44 -11 -7.75 21.33 -2.30 49.01 2.45 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.96R 0.00 North_Ferriby 42 36 -44 2.23 61.47 -6.92 39.12 2.24 -47.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 31.14 Southport 42 35 -41 -4.82 30.78 -10.65 37.33 2.07 -46.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 68.86