Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 April 2017, Crystal_Palace 3 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          31   75  +40      14.70    97.48    11.42    88.98     3.18    47.18    92.43    99.89    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   68  +42       6.67    80.59    11.59    81.85     3.37    48.82     7.55    90.70    97.94    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   63  +28       6.79    79.26     7.60    74.61     3.15    33.36     0.01     3.83    45.94    85.64    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   61  +25       2.60    62.25    -1.18    74.92     3.33    31.83     0.01     5.13    48.51    84.06    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   57  +22       2.98    64.48     3.03    68.97     3.61    23.61     0.00     0.31     4.54    16.39    87.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   54  +22      -1.61    41.38    -1.44    68.18     3.63    27.13     0.00     0.14     3.03    13.47    82.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   54  +21       1.82    58.27     8.31    63.69     3.18    23.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.73    29.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   44   -2       4.53    72.03     5.12    50.59     3.06    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   40   +0      -5.08    26.08    -5.64    51.03     3.62    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   37  -16       2.68    64.19    -1.68    43.63     3.19   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Leicester        31   36  -12      -6.26    22.36   -10.56    44.58     3.33   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          32   36  -12      -0.18    50.01     0.29    42.94     3.10   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Stoke            32   36  -13      -0.66    47.45    -1.00    43.64     3.17   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
West_Ham         32   36  -15      -4.57    28.78    -7.71    43.24     3.24   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bournemouth      32   35  -14       0.64    54.08     4.08    42.47     3.07   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   34   -8      -2.82    36.70     1.84    41.52     3.17   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.09R    0.00  
Hull             32   30  -31       0.18    52.42    -5.96    36.28     2.99   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.23R    0.80  
Swansea          32   28  -30      -4.43    29.08    -8.79    34.80     3.12   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.13R    2.59  
Middlesbrough    31   24  -15      -8.97    12.05    -1.82    30.59     3.12   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.64R   19.03  
Sunderland       31   20  -32      -7.96    13.80    -7.50    27.02     3.16   -36.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.68R   77.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Birmingham 1 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        41   86  +34      12.00    89.86     7.45    94.69     2.85    36.75    54.11    99.92   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       41   84  +39       5.73    72.20     4.79    93.72     2.83    43.32    45.88    99.72   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   74   +4      20.53    98.46     6.26    81.88     3.20     3.52     0.00     0.31    98.12    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   73   -1      19.21    97.77     3.06    80.50     2.82     0.14     0.00     0.03    97.54    19.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   72  +16      12.06    89.48    10.14    78.79     2.86    15.90     0.00     0.02    92.64    25.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   69  +12       5.83    72.75     1.58    76.77     2.93    13.40     0.00     0.00    73.06    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          41   67  +20       4.78    68.71    11.01    73.64     2.95    19.49     0.00     0.00    32.84     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   62   +7      -2.22    40.90    -5.02    69.98     2.89     8.67     0.00     0.00     4.22     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   61   +8       2.23    59.45     4.15    67.88     2.76     8.13     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         41   60  +10      -5.56    28.72    -4.43    67.58     2.98    11.13     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     41   58   +3       0.13    50.80    -0.15    65.09     2.89     3.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   56   +6      -4.34    32.86    -0.01    63.59     2.95     6.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        41   56   +2       3.36    63.88     7.79    62.17     2.81     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         41   55   -2      -1.26    45.28    -1.81    61.16     2.86    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   40   51   -1      -3.77    34.69    -0.79    59.14     3.17    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             41   50   -8      -4.46    32.32    -5.56    56.03     2.87    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Ipswich         41   49   -8      -5.11    29.90    -5.32    55.57     2.89    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   46  -19      -2.22    41.45    -7.26    52.69     2.87   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   45  -10      -6.77    24.39    -2.78    51.98     2.92    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.27R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   41   45  -14       0.37    52.52     2.24    50.98     2.85   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.58R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   44   -8      -6.28    26.02     1.93    50.62     2.85    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       41   40  -16     -10.64    13.08    -7.64    45.95     2.83   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.53R    0.00  
Wigan           41   37  -16     -11.28    11.18    -5.38    42.89     2.78   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.54R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   17  -58     -14.46     3.15   -14.25    21.22     2.59   -62.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        42   88  +35      14.16    92.65    10.16    95.11     2.58    37.47    99.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           42   79  +28       7.31    76.95     7.24    86.38     2.54    30.85     0.84    98.20   100.00    98.76P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   42   72  +18       9.26    82.93    10.18    78.02     2.60    18.79     0.00     0.74    96.95    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   72  +18       5.31    70.70     4.59    78.01     2.55    18.72     0.00     0.70    97.86    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   70  +20       3.23    62.63     6.25    76.89     2.57    22.13     0.00     0.37    95.98    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   67   +9       0.92    53.93    -3.63    73.35     2.59    10.34     0.00     0.00    55.44    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   66  +14       5.47    71.23     9.64    72.48     2.64    15.51     0.00     0.00    47.55     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   63   +2       7.92    78.99     6.02    68.23     2.61     1.52     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   61   +6      -0.26    49.35     0.77    67.21     2.64     7.10     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       42   60   +7       1.41    55.90     5.56    65.61     2.51     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   58   +2      -2.82    39.02    -2.54    63.50     2.58     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   55   +2      -6.55    25.87    -3.90    60.05     2.61     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    42   54   +0       2.95    62.47     9.53    58.94     2.52    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   54   -3      -4.24    33.43    -6.25    62.09     2.93    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   51   -7      -0.59    48.24     3.18    56.39     2.61    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Charlton         42   50   +0      -8.58    19.51    -1.67    56.38     2.63     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           42   48  -13      -0.71    47.77    -2.34    52.44     2.47   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.13R    0.00  
Bury             42   46  -13      -3.16    37.78     1.15    50.39     2.48   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       42   46  -16      -2.13    41.71    -1.72    50.52     2.53   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.49R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   46  -18      -6.99    23.85    -9.98    51.06     2.60   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.50R    0.00  
Port_Vale        41   45  -19      -3.58    35.86    -7.29    49.71     2.72   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.05R    0.00  
Swindon          42   43  -17      -8.78    17.99    -8.04    47.77     2.54   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.45R    0.05  
Chesterfield     42   37  -27      -9.80    14.94   -10.73    40.82     2.38   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   34.20  
Coventry         42   35  -28     -14.19     6.34   -16.18    39.25     2.46   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   65.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 April 2017, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            41   84  +35       6.35    74.14     1.85    92.94     2.96    38.18    95.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   78  +19       9.42    83.44     0.93    86.17     2.91    20.92     3.82    99.75   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   74  +30       1.69    56.57     6.31    82.81     2.90    32.84     0.73    97.32   100.00    98.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                41   66  +21       0.94    53.63     8.14    74.73     2.89    23.77     0.00     2.46    97.42    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   65   +9       6.46    74.46     5.80    72.65     2.99    10.16     0.00     0.41    84.78    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   62  +16       0.05    50.21     7.51    69.46     2.95    16.83     0.00     0.03    55.58    13.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             41   62   -1       6.41    74.28     0.46    69.42     3.01    -0.22     0.00     0.02    45.89     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   60  +18      -8.01    21.30     0.71    68.45     2.90    20.33     0.00     0.01    45.12    14.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   60   +8       0.19    51.01     2.60    66.94     2.90     8.19     0.00     0.00    21.81     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           41   60   +6      -1.33    44.78    -1.47    67.44     3.01     6.82     0.00     0.00    25.42     6.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   59   +2       1.05    54.60    -1.00    65.92     2.91     2.14     0.00     0.00    11.08     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   58   +3      -2.09    41.88    -2.65    65.12     2.93     3.39     0.00     0.00     8.31     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   58   +3       1.68    57.11     2.50    64.23     2.88     2.21     0.00     0.00     4.27     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -4       4.08    66.64     3.66    61.33     2.90    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   52  -19       5.43    71.80    -3.52    57.04     2.78   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -5      -1.65    43.93     0.51    57.65     2.94    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   48  -11      -4.32    33.74    -5.12    55.06     2.94   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   48  -15       1.79    58.26     0.37    53.76     2.86   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   47  -17      -0.02    50.85    -1.89    52.00     2.80   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Yeovil               41   46  -13      -2.45    40.45    -2.38    52.15     2.89   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   43  -14      -6.65    25.16    -4.67    49.03     2.83   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.74R    0.06  
Hartlepool           41   42  -18      -2.11    41.96     1.00    47.55     2.88   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    0.39  
Newport_County       41   39  -19      -5.34    29.02    -1.39    44.63     2.81   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.65R    2.44  
Leyton_Orient        41   32  -34     -14.16     6.45   -18.26    37.35     2.80   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   97.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 April 2017, Lincoln_City 1 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       41   88  +40      16.27    95.57    16.16    97.11     2.91    43.46    84.47   100.00    88.25P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           42   85  +35       7.51    78.31     5.64    93.15     2.43    39.09    14.66   100.00    43.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   81  +32       4.73    68.20     2.78    89.18     2.48    36.38     0.87    99.99    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   76  +23       2.03    57.60    -2.20    83.36     2.56    25.92     0.00    94.44    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          42   72  +23       7.93    79.03    13.30    77.99     2.55    23.73     0.00    29.61     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   72  +20       4.11    66.15     1.95    80.58     2.90    22.83     0.00    65.56    11.43P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   69  +19       6.18    73.52    11.31    75.54     2.59    20.58     0.00     7.63     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67  +23       0.82    53.30    10.18    73.22     2.63    24.14     0.00     1.19     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       41   66  +11       2.33    59.41    -0.13    73.48     2.90    11.90     0.00     1.57     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   55   +6      -2.12    41.58     5.68    60.21     2.58     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55  -11       3.25    63.49    -1.34    59.82     2.56   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   54  -13      -1.80    43.12   -10.60    59.21     2.58   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   53   -5      -5.47    29.39    -6.27    59.69     2.65    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            42   52   +0      -4.38    33.20     2.41    57.22     2.58    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      42   50   -8      -0.44    48.87     2.98    54.11     2.46   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   41   50  -18       4.97    70.04     0.84    54.41     2.66   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.00  
Guiseley           42   49  -14       2.17    59.94     2.40    53.51     2.51   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.85R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   48  -16       0.93    54.77     1.79    52.57     2.57   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.16R    0.00  
York               42   45  -14     -12.57    10.36   -13.81    50.43     2.66   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.34R    0.00  
Woking             42   45  -16      -9.07    18.08    -9.09    49.57     2.56   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.56R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   45  -21      -7.99    20.33   -14.15    50.19     2.57   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.63R    0.00  
Torquay            42   44  -11      -7.75    21.33    -2.30    49.01     2.45   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.96R    0.00  
North_Ferriby      42   36  -44       2.23    61.47    -6.92    39.12     2.24   -47.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   31.14  
Southport          42   35  -41      -4.82    30.78   -10.65    37.33     2.07   -46.84     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   68.86