Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 5 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Arsenal 3 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 30 72 +38 14.03 97.02 11.03 87.92 3.49 46.00 89.53 99.64 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 65 +38 6.92 81.71 10.90 81.10 3.57 46.26 10.29 87.66 96.63 99.24 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 60 +27 5.46 74.84 7.10 73.33 3.44 32.92 0.04 3.89 35.77 71.77 99.31 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 58 +23 1.89 59.09 -1.53 74.52 3.48 32.09 0.12 6.84 50.37 79.62 99.60 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 54 +25 -0.86 44.74 0.21 70.40 3.89 31.40 0.01 1.69 13.63 36.61 94.29 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 54 +19 2.78 63.64 2.14 67.65 3.86 21.03 0.00 0.27 3.58 12.09 82.74 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 51 +19 1.05 54.94 7.67 62.54 3.46 21.90 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.67 24.05 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 31 44 -1 5.36 75.20 5.36 52.04 3.37 -3.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Southampton 29 37 -1 -6.43 20.66 -6.16 49.24 3.86 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Watford 30 37 -12 2.50 63.08 -0.53 44.14 3.34 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.00 Leicester 30 36 -10 -5.76 24.05 -10.12 45.50 3.58 -12.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Stoke 31 36 -12 0.22 51.69 -0.82 44.67 3.42 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Bournemouth 31 35 -12 1.06 56.26 4.37 43.31 3.33 -14.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.00 Burnley 31 35 -12 0.16 51.62 0.52 43.20 3.39 -13.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.00 West_Ham 31 33 -16 -5.77 23.91 -8.01 42.21 3.52 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.69R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 30 31 -11 -3.54 33.18 0.31 39.22 3.40 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.01R 0.08 Hull 31 30 -29 0.73 54.80 -5.90 36.62 3.13 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.20R 1.51 Swansea 31 28 -29 -3.46 33.18 -8.39 35.63 3.37 -32.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.04R 3.23 Middlesbrough 30 23 -15 -8.73 11.94 -1.76 31.04 3.39 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.96R 23.26 Sunderland 30 20 -29 -7.67 14.29 -6.39 27.98 3.40 -34.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.46R 71.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Huddersfield 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 40 84 +40 6.53 75.43 5.12 95.29 3.13 44.64 70.92 99.65 100.00 99.81P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 83 +33 10.91 88.47 7.33 93.27 3.16 36.03 28.96 98.51 100.00 99.03P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 39 74 +6 21.01 98.79 6.79 83.13 3.51 5.33 0.11 1.52 99.57 21.44P 0.00 0.00 Reading 40 73 +5 18.36 97.25 5.42 81.69 3.11 5.79 0.01 0.31 99.39 21.70P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 40 69 +13 11.60 88.99 8.84 77.28 3.13 13.09 0.00 0.01 86.69 22.37P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 66 +11 4.52 68.60 1.04 74.96 3.22 12.17 0.00 0.00 64.23 20.74P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 40 64 +18 4.19 67.04 10.60 72.45 3.24 18.17 0.00 0.00 35.76 10.34P 0.00 0.00 Preston 40 61 +11 2.27 59.46 5.19 69.15 3.04 11.06 0.00 0.00 7.09 2.07P 0.00 0.00 Derby 40 59 +6 -3.64 34.95 -5.70 68.39 3.19 7.75 0.00 0.00 4.78 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 40 57 +4 -4.30 33.18 -5.74 66.09 3.27 5.33 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 40 57 +3 0.48 52.37 -0.14 65.43 3.17 3.40 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 40 56 +7 -3.23 36.95 0.56 64.83 3.29 7.77 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 40 53 +0 2.64 61.43 7.22 60.17 3.11 -1.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 40 52 -3 -2.69 39.24 -2.58 59.72 3.19 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 51 +1 -3.19 36.84 -0.11 60.45 3.45 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.00 0.00 QPR 40 50 -7 -3.43 35.91 -5.13 57.32 3.17 -8.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Ipswich 40 49 -6 -4.68 31.06 -4.76 56.66 3.17 -6.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Birmingham 40 46 -18 -1.18 45.53 -6.88 54.00 3.18 -18.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.00 Burton_Albion 40 44 -14 0.88 54.70 2.41 51.17 3.11 -15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.83R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 40 42 -12 -7.57 21.00 -3.54 50.31 3.24 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.80R 0.00 Bristol_City 40 41 -10 -7.09 22.84 0.96 48.95 3.18 -10.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.85R 0.00 Blackburn 40 40 -14 -9.86 14.43 -6.57 47.75 3.19 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.14R 0.00 Wigan 40 34 -17 -12.20 9.14 -5.60 41.88 3.06 -17.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.83R 0.00 Rotherham 40 17 -57 -13.73 3.66 -14.71 21.89 2.81 -62.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Oxford_Utd 1 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 41 85 +34 13.16 91.48 10.07 93.74 2.91 36.87 92.13 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 41 79 +29 7.99 79.26 7.23 87.75 2.88 31.84 7.87 97.74 100.00 98.45P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 72 +20 9.70 84.21 10.89 79.56 2.90 21.05 0.00 1.96 98.60 25.44P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 41 69 +16 4.20 66.95 3.37 76.50 2.90 16.91 0.00 0.16 88.56 24.08P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 67 +19 2.21 58.79 6.18 75.28 2.91 21.16 0.00 0.12 83.68 21.77P 0.00 0.00 Southend 41 66 +15 6.30 74.25 9.93 73.67 2.95 16.26 0.00 0.02 62.06 12.78P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 41 66 +9 1.26 55.31 -3.64 73.82 2.95 10.48 0.00 0.01 56.56 15.21P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 41 61 +7 0.77 53.18 1.29 68.75 2.97 8.32 0.00 0.00 7.68 1.67P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 60 +1 6.66 74.99 5.65 66.40 2.91 0.16 0.00 0.00 1.42 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 59 +7 1.85 57.65 5.63 65.68 2.83 6.80 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 58 +3 -2.05 41.92 -2.39 64.95 2.93 3.11 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.08P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 54 +2 -6.28 26.25 -4.03 60.44 2.96 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 54 +1 4.11 67.10 10.24 60.53 2.87 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 40 53 -3 -3.43 36.06 -5.61 62.75 3.24 -0.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 41 51 -6 0.20 51.40 3.29 57.48 2.93 -6.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Charlton 41 47 -1 -9.87 15.81 -2.10 54.92 2.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.69R 0.00 Bury 41 46 -11 -2.57 40.09 1.98 51.60 2.83 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.23R 0.00 Oldham 41 45 -15 -1.39 44.55 -3.02 50.50 2.75 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.43R 0.00 Gillingham 41 45 -18 -6.65 24.69 -9.99 51.35 2.96 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.19R 0.00 Port_Vale 40 45 -18 -2.52 40.43 -6.70 50.90 3.04 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.69R 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 43 -17 -3.57 35.81 -2.32 48.81 2.88 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.77R 0.01 Swindon 41 42 -17 -8.63 18.43 -8.33 48.17 2.89 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.95R 0.04 Chesterfield 41 34 -28 -11.05 11.56 -11.12 39.35 2.74 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 33.66 Coventry 41 32 -29 -15.44 4.48 -16.51 37.55 2.80 -30.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 66.30League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Cheltenham 3 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 40 81 +34 5.73 72.03 2.27 91.85 3.25 37.97 93.45 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 75 +18 8.51 81.28 0.96 84.98 3.21 20.55 5.25 98.45 100.00 98.85P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 40 71 +28 1.03 53.95 5.80 81.74 3.19 31.59 1.30 92.39 99.99 94.85P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 65 +13 6.28 74.14 7.41 74.05 3.30 14.21 0.00 4.19 87.72 22.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 40 63 +20 0.11 50.39 8.23 73.20 3.22 22.95 0.00 2.91 85.92 26.11P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 62 +17 1.24 55.25 8.19 71.44 3.26 18.77 0.00 0.92 68.42 17.06P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 62 +0 7.52 77.75 1.00 71.23 3.31 1.45 0.00 0.70 58.35 10.83P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 60 +20 -7.50 22.55 1.50 70.55 3.20 23.37 0.00 0.44 61.97 21.88P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 58 +4 2.39 60.28 2.50 65.08 3.12 2.39 0.00 0.00 5.75 1.19P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 58 +2 1.60 56.97 -0.76 66.57 3.23 2.55 0.00 0.00 12.17 2.60P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 57 +5 -0.11 49.94 1.54 65.62 3.23 5.63 0.00 0.01 8.52 1.94P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 57 +2 -1.05 46.04 -2.60 65.67 3.30 2.58 0.00 0.00 8.15 1.86P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 55 +2 -3.23 37.06 -2.96 63.64 3.24 2.63 0.00 0.00 2.94 0.73P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 52 -6 3.10 63.19 2.56 59.06 3.14 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 51 -4 -1.06 46.13 0.31 58.90 3.23 -4.49 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 49 -20 4.08 67.53 -4.11 54.96 3.07 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crewe 40 48 -10 -3.51 36.52 -5.04 56.18 3.23 -10.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 48 -14 2.71 62.16 0.69 54.78 3.15 -16.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Yeovil 40 46 -11 -2.24 41.24 -2.21 53.05 3.14 -12.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36R 0.00 Morecambe 40 46 -17 0.43 52.50 -1.73 52.59 3.13 -19.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 42 -14 -6.18 26.54 -4.66 49.05 3.10 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.52R 0.15 Hartlepool 40 41 -18 -1.68 44.01 1.15 47.70 3.18 -20.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.33R 1.01 Newport_County 40 36 -20 -7.21 22.02 -2.67 42.45 3.09 -22.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.08R 15.26 Leyton_Orient 40 32 -31 -14.15 6.38 -17.36 38.47 3.09 -33.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.11R 83.58National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2017, Southport 1 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 39 82 +38 14.18 93.64 15.85 94.52 3.48 42.53 60.60 100.00 70.98P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 82 +27 10.53 87.07 2.78 93.65 3.10 32.12 38.09 100.00 57.72P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 75 +30 2.39 59.41 2.26 86.21 3.13 34.88 1.31 98.78 30.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 73 +20 1.68 56.54 -2.89 81.56 2.90 22.66 0.00 76.93 18.33P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 71 +23 8.60 81.11 13.73 78.90 2.88 24.50 0.00 45.70 7.90P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 69 +19 2.85 61.43 1.65 79.09 3.19 22.06 0.00 46.63 9.19P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 68 +19 6.97 76.11 11.88 76.37 2.93 21.28 0.00 16.46 2.55P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 67 +24 2.24 59.26 11.31 75.39 2.91 26.35 0.00 10.34 2.09P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 39 63 +11 2.18 59.21 0.07 73.88 3.48 12.88 0.00 5.15 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 54 -12 -0.56 48.21 -9.95 60.60 2.90 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 41 53 -4 -4.47 32.71 -5.78 60.83 2.95 -2.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 52 +4 -2.63 39.36 5.07 58.80 2.88 4.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 40 52 +3 -2.93 38.52 3.29 59.75 3.18 1.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 41 52 -12 1.98 59.17 -2.04 58.17 2.87 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Sutton_United 41 49 -8 -0.05 50.35 3.06 54.99 2.83 -9.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.12R 0.00 Guiseley 41 49 -13 3.00 63.33 2.67 54.36 2.81 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.07R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 41 48 -7 -1.79 43.38 3.63 53.56 2.82 -9.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.34R 0.00 Maidstone_United 39 47 -16 3.44 64.94 0.68 52.93 3.15 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.74R 0.00 Braintree_Town 41 45 -20 -6.85 23.70 -13.59 51.38 2.90 -20.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.37R 0.00 Woking 41 44 -16 -9.04 17.80 -9.71 49.54 2.88 -18.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.50R 0.00 Torquay 41 43 -11 -7.45 22.11 -2.42 48.90 2.73 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.65R 0.01 York 41 42 -16 -13.05 9.07 -13.99 48.37 2.95 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.27R 0.01 North_Ferriby 41 36 -42 2.85 64.20 -6.68 40.18 2.57 -45.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 22.89 Southport 41 34 -41 -4.58 31.45 -10.86 37.29 2.44 -47.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 77.09