Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Arsenal 3 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          30   72  +38      14.03    97.02    11.03    87.92     3.49    46.00    89.53    99.64    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   65  +38       6.92    81.71    10.90    81.10     3.57    46.26    10.29    87.66    96.63    99.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   60  +27       5.46    74.84     7.10    73.33     3.44    32.92     0.04     3.89    35.77    71.77    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   58  +23       1.89    59.09    -1.53    74.52     3.48    32.09     0.12     6.84    50.37    79.62    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   54  +25      -0.86    44.74     0.21    70.40     3.89    31.40     0.01     1.69    13.63    36.61    94.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   54  +19       2.78    63.64     2.14    67.65     3.86    21.03     0.00     0.27     3.58    12.09    82.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   51  +19       1.05    54.94     7.67    62.54     3.46    21.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.67    24.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   44   -1       5.36    75.20     5.36    52.04     3.37    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   37   -1      -6.43    20.66    -6.16    49.24     3.86    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          30   37  -12       2.50    63.08    -0.53    44.14     3.34   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Leicester        30   36  -10      -5.76    24.05   -10.12    45.50     3.58   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Stoke            31   36  -12       0.22    51.69    -0.82    44.67     3.42   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Bournemouth      31   35  -12       1.06    56.26     4.37    43.31     3.33   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Burnley          31   35  -12       0.16    51.62     0.52    43.20     3.39   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
West_Ham         31   33  -16      -5.77    23.91    -8.01    42.21     3.52   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -11      -3.54    33.18     0.31    39.22     3.40   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.01R    0.08  
Hull             31   30  -29       0.73    54.80    -5.90    36.62     3.13   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.20R    1.51  
Swansea          31   28  -29      -3.46    33.18    -8.39    35.63     3.37   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.04R    3.23  
Middlesbrough    30   23  -15      -8.73    11.94    -1.76    31.04     3.39   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.96R   23.26  
Sunderland       30   20  -29      -7.67    14.29    -6.39    27.98     3.40   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.46R   71.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Huddersfield 3 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       40   84  +40       6.53    75.43     5.12    95.29     3.13    44.64    70.92    99.65   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   83  +33      10.91    88.47     7.33    93.27     3.16    36.03    28.96    98.51   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   74   +6      21.01    98.79     6.79    83.13     3.51     5.33     0.11     1.52    99.57    21.44P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   73   +5      18.36    97.25     5.42    81.69     3.11     5.79     0.01     0.31    99.39    21.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   69  +13      11.60    88.99     8.84    77.28     3.13    13.09     0.00     0.01    86.69    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   66  +11       4.52    68.60     1.04    74.96     3.22    12.17     0.00     0.00    64.23    20.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          40   64  +18       4.19    67.04    10.60    72.45     3.24    18.17     0.00     0.00    35.76    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   61  +11       2.27    59.46     5.19    69.15     3.04    11.06     0.00     0.00     7.09     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   59   +6      -3.64    34.95    -5.70    68.39     3.19     7.75     0.00     0.00     4.78     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         40   57   +4      -4.30    33.18    -5.74    66.09     3.27     5.33     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     40   57   +3       0.48    52.37    -0.14    65.43     3.17     3.40     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   56   +7      -3.23    36.95     0.56    64.83     3.29     7.77     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        40   53   +0       2.64    61.43     7.22    60.17     3.11    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         40   52   -3      -2.69    39.24    -2.58    59.72     3.19    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   39   51   +1      -3.19    36.84    -0.11    60.45     3.45     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   50   -7      -3.43    35.91    -5.13    57.32     3.17    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Ipswich         40   49   -6      -4.68    31.06    -4.76    56.66     3.17    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Birmingham      40   46  -18      -1.18    45.53    -6.88    54.00     3.18   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   40   44  -14       0.88    54.70     2.41    51.17     3.11   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.83R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   42  -12      -7.57    21.00    -3.54    50.31     3.24   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.80R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   41  -10      -7.09    22.84     0.96    48.95     3.18   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.85R    0.00  
Blackburn       40   40  -14      -9.86    14.43    -6.57    47.75     3.19   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.14R    0.00  
Wigan           40   34  -17     -12.20     9.14    -5.60    41.88     3.06   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   17  -57     -13.73     3.66   -14.71    21.89     2.81   -62.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 April 2017, Oxford_Utd 1 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        41   85  +34      13.16    91.48    10.07    93.74     2.91    36.87    92.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           41   79  +29       7.99    79.26     7.23    87.75     2.88    31.84     7.87    97.74   100.00    98.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   41   72  +20       9.70    84.21    10.89    79.56     2.90    21.05     0.00     1.96    98.60    25.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   69  +16       4.20    66.95     3.37    76.50     2.90    16.91     0.00     0.16    88.56    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   67  +19       2.21    58.79     6.18    75.28     2.91    21.16     0.00     0.12    83.68    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   66  +15       6.30    74.25     9.93    73.67     2.95    16.26     0.00     0.02    62.06    12.78P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   66   +9       1.26    55.31    -3.64    73.82     2.95    10.48     0.00     0.01    56.56    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   61   +7       0.77    53.18     1.29    68.75     2.97     8.32     0.00     0.00     7.68     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   60   +1       6.66    74.99     5.65    66.40     2.91     0.16     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       41   59   +7       1.85    57.65     5.63    65.68     2.83     6.80     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   58   +3      -2.05    41.92    -2.39    64.95     2.93     3.11     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   54   +2      -6.28    26.25    -4.03    60.44     2.96     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    41   54   +1       4.11    67.10    10.24    60.53     2.87     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   53   -3      -3.43    36.06    -5.61    62.75     3.24    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   51   -6       0.20    51.40     3.29    57.48     2.93    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Charlton         41   47   -1      -9.87    15.81    -2.10    54.92     2.97     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Bury             41   46  -11      -2.57    40.09     1.98    51.60     2.83   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.23R    0.00  
Oldham           41   45  -15      -1.39    44.55    -3.02    50.50     2.75   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.43R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   45  -18      -6.65    24.69    -9.99    51.35     2.96   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.19R    0.00  
Port_Vale        40   45  -18      -2.52    40.43    -6.70    50.90     3.04   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.69R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       41   43  -17      -3.57    35.81    -2.32    48.81     2.88   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.77R    0.01  
Swindon          41   42  -17      -8.63    18.43    -8.33    48.17     2.89   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.95R    0.04  
Chesterfield     41   34  -28     -11.05    11.56   -11.12    39.35     2.74   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   33.66  
Coventry         41   32  -29     -15.44     4.48   -16.51    37.55     2.80   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.30  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Cheltenham 3 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            40   81  +34       5.73    72.03     2.27    91.85     3.25    37.97    93.45   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   75  +18       8.51    81.28     0.96    84.98     3.21    20.55     5.25    98.45   100.00    98.85P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   71  +28       1.03    53.95     5.80    81.74     3.19    31.59     1.30    92.39    99.99    94.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   65  +13       6.28    74.14     7.41    74.05     3.30    14.21     0.00     4.19    87.72    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                40   63  +20       0.11    50.39     8.23    73.20     3.22    22.95     0.00     2.91    85.92    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   62  +17       1.24    55.25     8.19    71.44     3.26    18.77     0.00     0.92    68.42    17.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             40   62   +0       7.52    77.75     1.00    71.23     3.31     1.45     0.00     0.70    58.35    10.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   60  +20      -7.50    22.55     1.50    70.55     3.20    23.37     0.00     0.44    61.97    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   58   +4       2.39    60.28     2.50    65.08     3.12     2.39     0.00     0.00     5.75     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   58   +2       1.60    56.97    -0.76    66.57     3.23     2.55     0.00     0.00    12.17     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   57   +5      -0.11    49.94     1.54    65.62     3.23     5.63     0.00     0.01     8.52     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           40   57   +2      -1.05    46.04    -2.60    65.67     3.30     2.58     0.00     0.00     8.15     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   55   +2      -3.23    37.06    -2.96    63.64     3.24     2.63     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   52   -6       3.10    63.19     2.56    59.06     3.14    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -4      -1.06    46.13     0.31    58.90     3.23    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   49  -20       4.08    67.53    -4.11    54.96     3.07   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                40   48  -10      -3.51    36.52    -5.04    56.18     3.23   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   48  -14       2.71    62.16     0.69    54.78     3.15   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   46  -11      -2.24    41.24    -2.21    53.05     3.14   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -17       0.43    52.50    -1.73    52.59     3.13   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   42  -14      -6.18    26.54    -4.66    49.05     3.10   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.52R    0.15  
Hartlepool           40   41  -18      -1.68    44.01     1.15    47.70     3.18   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.33R    1.01  
Newport_County       40   36  -20      -7.21    22.02    -2.67    42.45     3.09   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.08R   15.26  
Leyton_Orient        40   32  -31     -14.15     6.38   -17.36    38.47     3.09   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   83.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 April 2017, Southport 1 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       39   82  +38      14.18    93.64    15.85    94.52     3.48    42.53    60.60   100.00    70.98P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           40   82  +27      10.53    87.07     2.78    93.65     3.10    32.12    38.09   100.00    57.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   75  +30       2.39    59.41     2.26    86.21     3.13    34.88     1.31    98.78    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          41   73  +20       1.68    56.54    -2.89    81.56     2.90    22.66     0.00    76.93    18.33P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          41   71  +23       8.60    81.11    13.73    78.90     2.88    24.50     0.00    45.70     7.90P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   69  +19       2.85    61.43     1.65    79.09     3.19    22.06     0.00    46.63     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   68  +19       6.97    76.11    11.88    76.37     2.93    21.28     0.00    16.46     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   67  +24       2.24    59.26    11.31    75.39     2.91    26.35     0.00    10.34     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       39   63  +11       2.18    59.21     0.07    73.88     3.48    12.88     0.00     5.15     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   54  -12      -0.56    48.21    -9.95    60.60     2.90   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          41   53   -4      -4.47    32.71    -5.78    60.83     2.95    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   52   +4      -2.63    39.36     5.07    58.80     2.88     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            40   52   +3      -2.93    38.52     3.29    59.75     3.18     1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            41   52  -12       1.98    59.17    -2.04    58.17     2.87   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      41   49   -8      -0.05    50.35     3.06    54.99     2.83    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Guiseley           41   49  -13       3.00    63.33     2.67    54.36     2.81   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   48   -7      -1.79    43.38     3.63    53.56     2.82    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.34R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   39   47  -16       3.44    64.94     0.68    52.93     3.15   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.74R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   45  -20      -6.85    23.70   -13.59    51.38     2.90   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.37R    0.00  
Woking             41   44  -16      -9.04    17.80    -9.71    49.54     2.88   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.50R    0.00  
Torquay            41   43  -11      -7.45    22.11    -2.42    48.90     2.73   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.65R    0.01  
York               41   42  -16     -13.05     9.07   -13.99    48.37     2.95   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.27R    0.01  
North_Ferriby      41   36  -42       2.85    64.20    -6.68    40.18     2.57   -45.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   22.89  
Southport          41   34  -41      -4.58    31.45   -10.86    37.29     2.44   -47.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.09