Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 2 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 April 2017, Arsenal 2 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 29 69 +37 12.87 96.08 10.75 86.52 3.78 45.35 84.99 97.55 99.59 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 62 +36 6.26 79.68 10.59 80.14 3.81 45.29 12.93 74.25 91.22 97.73 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 59 +27 6.45 78.98 8.27 74.77 3.66 34.84 0.56 11.09 45.26 80.75 99.64 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 58 +24 2.87 64.05 -1.03 75.57 3.75 32.51 1.47 14.96 51.83 82.85 99.67 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 53 +19 3.31 66.38 2.34 68.52 4.12 21.77 0.02 0.80 4.62 14.68 84.57 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 51 +22 -1.21 42.91 -0.47 69.50 4.11 29.69 0.02 1.35 7.43 23.35 90.91 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 50 +19 1.06 55.21 7.32 62.58 3.68 21.41 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.67 25.09 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 30 44 +1 6.03 78.29 6.26 53.44 3.66 -1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 36 -11 1.11 56.63 -0.45 45.93 3.71 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Southampton 28 34 -3 -7.19 17.69 -6.84 48.04 4.11 -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11R 0.00 Bournemouth 30 34 -12 1.09 56.53 3.56 42.61 3.48 -16.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.01 Watford 29 34 -14 1.43 58.49 -1.66 42.54 3.62 -20.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.72R 0.01 Leicester 29 33 -12 -6.10 22.21 -10.12 44.44 3.80 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.00 West_Ham 30 33 -13 -5.47 24.84 -7.06 42.78 3.71 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.16R 0.01 Burnley 30 32 -13 -1.09 45.53 0.11 41.66 3.66 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.89R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 29 31 -9 -3.01 35.36 0.79 40.14 3.63 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.70R 0.13 Swansea 30 28 -27 -3.07 34.99 -8.23 36.40 3.58 -31.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.69R 3.56 Hull 30 27 -31 -0.07 51.05 -6.90 34.92 3.39 -36.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.46R 8.79 Middlesbrough 29 23 -13 -8.06 13.55 -1.14 32.46 3.67 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.40R 19.30 Sunderland 29 20 -27 -7.36 15.28 -6.10 28.88 3.63 -33.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.16R 68.17Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Aston_Villa 2 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 39 81 +39 5.70 72.87 5.33 94.68 3.31 45.22 72.62 99.58 100.00 99.74P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 39 80 +31 10.44 87.08 7.19 92.27 3.41 34.92 27.27 98.25 100.00 98.87P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 38 71 +3 20.49 98.59 5.48 81.46 3.77 2.25 0.09 1.55 97.45 20.20P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 70 +3 17.56 96.68 4.60 80.28 3.42 4.09 0.01 0.42 97.00 21.42P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 69 +15 12.36 90.73 9.92 78.45 3.44 14.77 0.00 0.20 91.97 24.59P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 39 64 +20 4.55 68.33 10.99 73.64 3.50 19.96 0.00 0.00 52.63 15.57P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 63 +9 3.91 66.41 0.58 73.72 3.50 10.72 0.00 0.00 48.00 15.29P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 58 +6 2.97 62.81 3.45 67.69 3.35 6.23 0.00 0.00 3.76 1.12P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 57 +7 -4.27 32.88 -4.78 67.58 3.56 8.52 0.00 0.00 5.07 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 56 +4 -4.01 33.49 -5.80 67.05 3.48 6.16 0.00 0.00 3.37 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 39 54 +2 -0.52 48.33 -0.31 64.05 3.48 2.71 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 53 +5 -3.98 33.76 -0.09 63.34 3.57 5.93 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 52 +0 2.96 62.73 7.16 60.71 3.42 -1.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Cardiff 39 51 -3 -2.51 40.03 -2.82 59.99 3.48 -3.87 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.00 QPR 39 50 -6 -2.59 39.47 -4.78 58.39 3.42 -7.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 48 +0 -4.41 31.69 -0.48 59.23 3.73 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.14R 0.00 Ipswich 39 46 -9 -4.95 29.71 -5.92 55.20 3.45 -9.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45R 0.00 Birmingham 39 46 -16 -0.85 47.21 -6.62 54.68 3.35 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.30R 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 44 -13 1.57 57.72 2.32 51.62 3.28 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.10R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 42 -11 -6.66 24.13 -3.29 51.33 3.52 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.80R 0.00 Bristol_City 39 41 -5 -7.67 20.74 2.79 50.08 3.44 -5.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.60R 0.00 Blackburn 39 40 -12 -9.54 15.00 -6.26 48.87 3.46 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.11R 0.00 Wigan 39 34 -14 -12.31 8.70 -4.68 43.04 3.33 -14.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.36R 0.00 Rotherham 39 17 -55 -13.07 4.58 -13.98 22.87 3.12 -60.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Bolton 0 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 40 82 +32 12.57 90.72 9.72 92.86 3.18 36.01 92.52 99.98 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 40 76 +28 6.86 75.97 6.93 86.02 3.20 30.71 7.47 95.20 100.00 96.57P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 40 69 +18 9.00 82.70 10.22 77.64 3.20 18.66 0.00 2.41 93.38 23.53P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 41 69 +16 4.19 66.89 3.36 76.46 2.90 16.86 0.00 0.70 89.94 25.42P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 67 +19 2.24 59.02 6.24 75.33 2.91 21.25 0.00 0.80 86.20 23.44P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 66 +16 7.10 77.15 10.06 75.11 3.24 17.36 0.00 0.87 80.43 18.15P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 63 +8 0.15 50.56 -3.92 72.30 3.25 9.63 0.00 0.04 38.41 10.39P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 60 +1 6.52 74.65 5.58 66.38 2.91 0.18 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 59 +9 2.07 58.37 5.94 67.31 3.14 9.20 0.00 0.00 5.21 1.20P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 40 58 +4 0.51 52.28 0.45 67.57 3.25 6.01 0.00 0.00 4.60 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 58 +3 -1.85 42.81 -2.18 64.95 2.93 3.11 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.07P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 54 +1 3.99 66.64 10.09 60.56 2.87 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 40 53 -3 -3.57 35.68 -5.81 62.72 3.23 -0.83 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 51 +0 -7.17 23.56 -4.88 58.39 3.23 -1.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Northampton 41 51 -6 0.28 51.91 3.38 57.54 2.94 -6.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Charlton 40 47 +1 -9.42 16.50 -1.50 56.73 3.27 3.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.02R 0.00 Bury 41 46 -11 -2.54 40.33 1.97 51.61 2.82 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.22R 0.00 Port_Vale 39 45 -15 -2.47 40.10 -5.75 51.91 3.31 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.26R 0.00 Oldham 41 45 -15 -1.57 44.16 -3.23 50.61 2.77 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.23R 0.00 Gillingham 41 45 -18 -6.58 25.06 -9.88 51.34 2.94 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.46R 0.01 Shrewsbury 40 43 -16 -2.45 40.31 -1.67 49.96 3.18 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.52R 0.02 Swindon 41 42 -17 -8.59 18.64 -8.33 48.20 2.87 -17.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.14R 0.04 Chesterfield 41 34 -28 -10.68 12.21 -10.46 39.23 2.73 -30.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 41.92 Coventry 40 32 -27 -15.25 4.52 -16.34 38.23 3.01 -30.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 58.01League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Cheltenham 3 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 40 81 +34 5.53 71.12 1.96 91.86 3.24 38.00 93.56 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 40 75 +18 8.55 81.32 1.01 84.99 3.22 20.57 5.23 98.49 100.00 98.92P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 40 71 +28 0.86 53.13 5.54 81.77 3.18 31.65 1.21 92.53 99.99 94.97P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 65 +13 6.28 74.25 7.44 74.09 3.30 14.24 0.00 4.16 87.95 21.85P 0.00 0.00 Luton 40 63 +20 0.18 50.64 8.33 73.23 3.23 22.99 0.00 2.91 86.13 26.51P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 62 +17 1.15 54.65 8.09 71.47 3.24 18.80 0.00 0.86 68.77 17.00P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 62 +0 7.66 78.33 1.19 71.23 3.30 1.45 0.00 0.57 58.56 10.83P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 60 +20 -7.53 22.04 1.41 70.53 3.18 23.33 0.00 0.46 61.78 21.93P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 58 +4 2.32 59.53 2.42 65.05 3.12 2.37 0.00 0.00 5.63 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 58 +2 1.59 56.99 -0.78 66.55 3.22 2.52 0.00 0.01 11.76 2.54P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 57 +5 -0.02 50.23 1.68 65.59 3.22 5.58 0.00 0.01 8.27 1.84P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 57 +2 -1.20 45.52 -2.82 65.68 3.30 2.60 0.00 0.00 8.13 1.83P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 55 +2 -3.08 37.84 -2.80 63.65 3.24 2.61 0.00 0.00 2.94 0.71P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 52 -6 3.08 63.03 2.59 59.06 3.15 -7.61 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 51 -4 -0.69 47.64 0.96 58.89 3.23 -4.50 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 49 -20 4.13 67.46 -4.01 54.93 3.05 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Crewe 40 48 -10 -3.57 36.31 -5.12 56.18 3.23 -10.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 48 -14 2.54 61.34 0.42 54.79 3.14 -16.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Yeovil 40 46 -11 -2.16 41.44 -2.10 53.04 3.13 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Morecambe 40 46 -17 0.33 52.30 -1.94 52.59 3.13 -19.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 42 -14 -6.39 25.66 -4.94 49.09 3.09 -15.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.21R 0.16 Hartlepool 40 41 -18 -1.48 44.59 1.39 47.65 3.16 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.90R 1.07 Newport_County 40 36 -20 -7.22 22.12 -2.63 42.47 3.09 -22.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.84R 14.90 Leyton_Orient 40 32 -31 -14.08 6.56 -17.30 38.46 3.09 -33.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.11R 83.87National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Boreham_Wood 2 4 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 38 79 +36 13.38 92.73 15.15 92.95 3.78 40.62 54.13 99.98 65.68P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 39 79 +26 9.86 85.64 3.27 92.69 3.34 32.09 42.67 99.99 60.41P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 75 +30 2.25 58.71 2.07 86.16 3.13 34.81 2.89 98.65 31.07P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 40 73 +22 2.27 58.70 -2.29 82.86 3.22 24.53 0.31 85.28 21.62P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 71 +23 8.53 81.11 13.69 78.91 2.87 24.52 0.00 43.63 7.40P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 69 +19 2.93 61.75 1.84 79.09 3.19 22.04 0.00 44.86 8.89P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 68 +19 6.98 76.34 11.98 76.42 2.93 21.36 0.00 15.12 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 67 +24 2.07 58.41 11.01 75.45 2.91 26.46 0.00 9.44 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 38 60 +10 1.31 55.68 0.17 72.72 3.74 12.55 0.00 3.06 0.64P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 54 -12 -0.63 48.05 -10.01 60.59 2.90 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 41 53 -4 -4.45 32.86 -5.75 60.89 2.95 -2.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 52 +4 -2.43 40.40 5.33 58.77 2.88 3.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 40 52 +3 -2.85 38.89 3.48 59.73 3.21 1.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 40 49 -7 0.78 53.76 2.95 55.68 3.04 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19R 0.00 Guiseley 41 49 -13 2.91 62.97 2.53 54.42 2.80 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.09R 0.00 Bromley 40 49 -14 1.11 55.31 -2.84 56.09 3.14 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.69R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 41 48 -7 -1.80 43.46 3.57 53.51 2.81 -9.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.92R 0.00 Maidstone_United 39 47 -16 3.56 65.13 0.97 52.94 3.17 -22.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.61R 0.00 Braintree_Town 41 45 -20 -7.07 22.99 -13.84 51.38 2.87 -20.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.78R 0.00 Woking 41 44 -16 -8.99 17.96 -9.62 49.48 2.86 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.07R 0.01 Torquay 41 43 -11 -7.41 22.07 -2.34 48.90 2.74 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.49R 0.02 York 40 42 -14 -12.81 9.20 -13.72 50.28 3.29 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.24R 0.01 North_Ferriby 41 36 -42 2.95 64.68 -6.65 40.13 2.55 -45.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 32.26 Southport 40 34 -40 -3.86 34.40 -10.95 38.23 2.75 -47.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 67.70