Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 April 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 April 2017, Arsenal 2 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          29   69  +37      12.87    96.08    10.75    86.52     3.78    45.35    84.99    97.55    99.59    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   62  +36       6.26    79.68    10.59    80.14     3.81    45.29    12.93    74.25    91.22    97.73    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   59  +27       6.45    78.98     8.27    74.77     3.66    34.84     0.56    11.09    45.26    80.75    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   58  +24       2.87    64.05    -1.03    75.57     3.75    32.51     1.47    14.96    51.83    82.85    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   53  +19       3.31    66.38     2.34    68.52     4.12    21.77     0.02     0.80     4.62    14.68    84.57     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   51  +22      -1.21    42.91    -0.47    69.50     4.11    29.69     0.02     1.35     7.43    23.35    90.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton          30   50  +19       1.06    55.21     7.32    62.58     3.68    21.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.67    25.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        30   44   +1       6.03    78.29     6.26    53.44     3.66    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   36  -11       1.11    56.63    -0.45    45.93     3.71   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34   -3      -7.19    17.69    -6.84    48.04     4.11    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   34  -12       1.09    56.53     3.56    42.61     3.48   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.01  
Watford          29   34  -14       1.43    58.49    -1.66    42.54     3.62   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.01  
Leicester        29   33  -12      -6.10    22.21   -10.12    44.44     3.80   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
West_Ham         30   33  -13      -5.47    24.84    -7.06    42.78     3.71   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.01  
Burnley          30   32  -13      -1.09    45.53     0.11    41.66     3.66   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   29   31   -9      -3.01    35.36     0.79    40.14     3.63   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.70R    0.13  
Swansea          30   28  -27      -3.07    34.99    -8.23    36.40     3.58   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.69R    3.56  
Hull             30   27  -31      -0.07    51.05    -6.90    34.92     3.39   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.46R    8.79  
Middlesbrough    29   23  -13      -8.06    13.55    -1.14    32.46     3.67   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.40R   19.30  
Sunderland       29   20  -27      -7.36    15.28    -6.10    28.88     3.63   -33.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.16R   68.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Aston_Villa 2 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       39   81  +39       5.70    72.87     5.33    94.68     3.31    45.22    72.62    99.58   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        39   80  +31      10.44    87.08     7.19    92.27     3.41    34.92    27.27    98.25   100.00    98.87P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71   +3      20.49    98.59     5.48    81.46     3.77     2.25     0.09     1.55    97.45    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   70   +3      17.56    96.68     4.60    80.28     3.42     4.09     0.01     0.42    97.00    21.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    39   69  +15      12.36    90.73     9.92    78.45     3.44    14.77     0.00     0.20    91.97    24.59P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          39   64  +20       4.55    68.33    10.99    73.64     3.50    19.96     0.00     0.00    52.63    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   63   +9       3.91    66.41     0.58    73.72     3.50    10.72     0.00     0.00    48.00    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   58   +6       2.97    62.81     3.45    67.69     3.35     6.23     0.00     0.00     3.76     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         39   57   +7      -4.27    32.88    -4.78    67.58     3.56     8.52     0.00     0.00     5.07     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   56   +4      -4.01    33.49    -5.80    67.05     3.48     6.16     0.00     0.00     3.37     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     39   54   +2      -0.52    48.33    -0.31    64.05     3.48     2.71     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   53   +5      -3.98    33.76    -0.09    63.34     3.57     5.93     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        39   52   +0       2.96    62.73     7.16    60.71     3.42    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         39   51   -3      -2.51    40.03    -2.82    59.99     3.48    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR             39   50   -6      -2.59    39.47    -4.78    58.39     3.42    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   48   +0      -4.41    31.69    -0.48    59.23     3.73     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Ipswich         39   46   -9      -4.95    29.71    -5.92    55.20     3.45    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Birmingham      39   46  -16      -0.85    47.21    -6.62    54.68     3.35   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.30R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   39   44  -13       1.57    57.72     2.32    51.62     3.28   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.10R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   42  -11      -6.66    24.13    -3.29    51.33     3.52   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.80R    0.00  
Bristol_City    39   41   -5      -7.67    20.74     2.79    50.08     3.44    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.60R    0.00  
Blackburn       39   40  -12      -9.54    15.00    -6.26    48.87     3.46   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.11R    0.00  
Wigan           39   34  -14     -12.31     8.70    -4.68    43.04     3.33   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.36R    0.00  
Rotherham       39   17  -55     -13.07     4.58   -13.98    22.87     3.12   -60.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Bolton 0 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        40   82  +32      12.57    90.72     9.72    92.86     3.18    36.01    92.52    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           40   76  +28       6.86    75.97     6.93    86.02     3.20    30.71     7.47    95.20   100.00    96.57P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   40   69  +18       9.00    82.70    10.22    77.64     3.20    18.66     0.00     2.41    93.38    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         41   69  +16       4.19    66.89     3.36    76.46     2.90    16.86     0.00     0.70    89.94    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   67  +19       2.24    59.02     6.24    75.33     2.91    21.25     0.00     0.80    86.20    23.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   66  +16       7.10    77.15    10.06    75.11     3.24    17.36     0.00     0.87    80.43    18.15P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   63   +8       0.15    50.56    -3.92    72.30     3.25     9.63     0.00     0.04    38.41    10.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   60   +1       6.52    74.65     5.58    66.38     2.91     0.18     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       40   59   +9       2.07    58.37     5.94    67.31     3.14     9.20     0.00     0.00     5.21     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   58   +4       0.51    52.28     0.45    67.57     3.25     6.01     0.00     0.00     4.60     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   58   +3      -1.85    42.81    -2.18    64.95     2.93     3.11     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    41   54   +1       3.99    66.64    10.09    60.56     2.87     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   53   -3      -3.57    35.68    -5.81    62.72     3.23    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   51   +0      -7.17    23.56    -4.88    58.39     3.23    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Northampton      41   51   -6       0.28    51.91     3.38    57.54     2.94    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Charlton         40   47   +1      -9.42    16.50    -1.50    56.73     3.27     3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Bury             41   46  -11      -2.54    40.33     1.97    51.61     2.82   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.22R    0.00  
Port_Vale        39   45  -15      -2.47    40.10    -5.75    51.91     3.31   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.26R    0.00  
Oldham           41   45  -15      -1.57    44.16    -3.23    50.61     2.77   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.23R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   45  -18      -6.58    25.06    -9.88    51.34     2.94   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.46R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       40   43  -16      -2.45    40.31    -1.67    49.96     3.18   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.52R    0.02  
Swindon          41   42  -17      -8.59    18.64    -8.33    48.20     2.87   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.14R    0.04  
Chesterfield     41   34  -28     -10.68    12.21   -10.46    39.23     2.73   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   41.92  
Coventry         40   32  -27     -15.25     4.52   -16.34    38.23     3.01   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   58.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Cheltenham 3 1 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            40   81  +34       5.53    71.12     1.96    91.86     3.24    38.00    93.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   75  +18       8.55    81.32     1.01    84.99     3.22    20.57     5.23    98.49   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   71  +28       0.86    53.13     5.54    81.77     3.18    31.65     1.21    92.53    99.99    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   65  +13       6.28    74.25     7.44    74.09     3.30    14.24     0.00     4.16    87.95    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                40   63  +20       0.18    50.64     8.33    73.23     3.23    22.99     0.00     2.91    86.13    26.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   62  +17       1.15    54.65     8.09    71.47     3.24    18.80     0.00     0.86    68.77    17.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             40   62   +0       7.66    78.33     1.19    71.23     3.30     1.45     0.00     0.57    58.56    10.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   60  +20      -7.53    22.04     1.41    70.53     3.18    23.33     0.00     0.46    61.78    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   58   +4       2.32    59.53     2.42    65.05     3.12     2.37     0.00     0.00     5.63     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   58   +2       1.59    56.99    -0.78    66.55     3.22     2.52     0.00     0.01    11.76     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   57   +5      -0.02    50.23     1.68    65.59     3.22     5.58     0.00     0.01     8.27     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           40   57   +2      -1.20    45.52    -2.82    65.68     3.30     2.60     0.00     0.00     8.13     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   55   +2      -3.08    37.84    -2.80    63.65     3.24     2.61     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   52   -6       3.08    63.03     2.59    59.06     3.15    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   51   -4      -0.69    47.64     0.96    58.89     3.23    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   49  -20       4.13    67.46    -4.01    54.93     3.05   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                40   48  -10      -3.57    36.31    -5.12    56.18     3.23   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   48  -14       2.54    61.34     0.42    54.79     3.14   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil               40   46  -11      -2.16    41.44    -2.10    53.04     3.13   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -17       0.33    52.30    -1.94    52.59     3.13   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   42  -14      -6.39    25.66    -4.94    49.09     3.09   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.16  
Hartlepool           40   41  -18      -1.48    44.59     1.39    47.65     3.16   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.90R    1.07  
Newport_County       40   36  -20      -7.22    22.12    -2.63    42.47     3.09   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.84R   14.90  
Leyton_Orient        40   32  -31     -14.08     6.56   -17.30    38.46     3.09   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   83.87  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 April 2017, Boreham_Wood 2 4 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       38   79  +36      13.38    92.73    15.15    92.95     3.78    40.62    54.13    99.98    65.68P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           39   79  +26       9.86    85.64     3.27    92.69     3.34    32.09    42.67    99.99    60.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   75  +30       2.25    58.71     2.07    86.16     3.13    34.81     2.89    98.65    31.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          40   73  +22       2.27    58.70    -2.29    82.86     3.22    24.53     0.31    85.28    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          41   71  +23       8.53    81.11    13.69    78.91     2.87    24.52     0.00    43.63     7.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   69  +19       2.93    61.75     1.84    79.09     3.19    22.04     0.00    44.86     8.89P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   68  +19       6.98    76.34    11.98    76.42     2.93    21.36     0.00    15.12     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   67  +24       2.07    58.41    11.01    75.45     2.91    26.46     0.00     9.44     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       38   60  +10       1.31    55.68     0.17    72.72     3.74    12.55     0.00     3.06     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   54  -12      -0.63    48.05   -10.01    60.59     2.90   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          41   53   -4      -4.45    32.86    -5.75    60.89     2.95    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   52   +4      -2.43    40.40     5.33    58.77     2.88     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            40   52   +3      -2.85    38.89     3.48    59.73     3.21     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      40   49   -7       0.78    53.76     2.95    55.68     3.04    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Guiseley           41   49  -13       2.91    62.97     2.53    54.42     2.80   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.00  
Bromley            40   49  -14       1.11    55.31    -2.84    56.09     3.14   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   48   -7      -1.80    43.46     3.57    53.51     2.81    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.92R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   39   47  -16       3.56    65.13     0.97    52.94     3.17   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.61R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   45  -20      -7.07    22.99   -13.84    51.38     2.87   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.78R    0.00  
Woking             41   44  -16      -8.99    17.96    -9.62    49.48     2.86   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.07R    0.01  
Torquay            41   43  -11      -7.41    22.07    -2.34    48.90     2.74   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.49R    0.02  
York               40   42  -14     -12.81     9.20   -13.72    50.28     3.29   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.24R    0.01  
North_Ferriby      41   36  -42       2.95    64.68    -6.65    40.13     2.55   -45.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   32.26  
Southport          40   34  -40      -3.86    34.40   -10.95    38.23     2.75   -47.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   67.70