Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 30 March 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2017, Man_City 1 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          28   69  +38      14.35    97.89    11.77    89.29     3.92    48.77    95.23    99.42    99.93    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        28   59  +34       5.38    76.79     9.61    79.01     4.05    44.04     3.80    65.35    86.33    95.12    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         28   57  +24       3.28    66.44    -0.97    75.67     4.00    32.05     0.79    20.16    56.20    79.80    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   56  +25       5.63    76.27     7.55    73.56     3.91    33.53     0.11     9.24    34.35    67.54    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   52  +19       3.97    69.96     2.64    69.66     4.31    22.90     0.04     2.27     9.38    23.77    85.65     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   50  +22      -0.72    45.38    -0.41    70.14     4.39    30.15     0.03     3.52    13.44    31.56    88.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton          29   50  +21       1.76    58.45     8.05    63.49     3.93    22.66     0.00     0.04     0.37     2.21    28.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   43   +1       6.06    78.66     5.99    53.07     3.86    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   36   -9       1.64    59.27     0.27    47.03     3.95   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Southampton      27   33   -3      -6.43    19.89    -6.27    49.25     4.35    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   33  -12       1.06    56.34     3.13    42.24     3.67   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93R    0.02  
West_Ham         29   33  -12      -4.46    28.45    -6.68    44.40     3.97   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.01  
Burnley          29   32  -11      -0.66    47.66     0.68    42.65     3.88   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.02  
Watford          28   31  -15       0.29    52.52    -1.70    41.27     3.89   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08R    0.16  
Leicester        28   30  -14      -7.22    17.66   -11.25    43.23     4.09   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   28   28  -10      -4.71    27.10    -0.50    37.36     3.74   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.62R    1.49  
Swansea          29   27  -27      -2.67    36.85    -8.00    36.99     3.84   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.81R    3.36  
Hull             29   24  -32      -1.34    44.26    -7.25    33.02     3.67   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.30R   21.65  
Middlesbrough    28   22  -13      -7.81    14.14    -1.03    32.56     3.90   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.12R   20.14  
Sunderland       28   20  -26      -6.46    18.32    -5.64    29.89     3.86   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.55R   53.10  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       38   78  +38       4.63    68.93     5.19    93.91     3.56    45.48    71.40    98.10   100.00    98.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   77  +30       9.48    85.07     7.08    91.39     3.65    34.98    27.72    93.01   100.00    95.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   71   +4      21.77    99.18     6.33    83.37     4.03     4.04     0.79     7.25    98.90    25.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   69  +16      13.16    92.25    10.19    79.80     3.68    15.74     0.08     1.12    94.74    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         38   67   +2      16.57    96.18     4.57    78.76     3.69     3.27     0.01     0.49    90.69    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   62   +9       4.16    67.59     0.39    74.15     3.76    10.78     0.00     0.02    53.73    16.81P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          38   61  +19       3.52    64.51    11.04    72.56     3.78    19.81     0.00     0.01    40.59    12.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         38   57   +9      -3.84    34.44    -4.35    69.03     3.83    10.64     0.00     0.00    11.67     3.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +6       3.21    63.81     3.32    68.50     3.60     6.91     0.00     0.00     6.99     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   53   +3      -5.03    29.31    -5.95    65.83     3.75     5.75     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        38   51   +0       3.04    63.20     6.73    61.10     3.70    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   51   +0      -1.20    45.17    -0.93    62.34     3.73     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff         38   51   -1      -1.57    43.46    -1.50    61.16     3.76    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       38   50   +3      -4.89    30.33    -0.85    62.11     3.86     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   50   -5      -1.85    42.55    -4.65    59.36     3.65    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   45   -2      -5.28    28.23    -1.33    57.64     4.00    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.79R    0.00  
Ipswich         38   45   -9      -4.48    31.46    -5.77    55.95     3.71    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Birmingham      38   45  -16      -0.58    48.25    -6.69    54.71     3.62   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.00  
Bristol_City    38   41   -3      -7.32    21.44     3.12    51.14     3.68    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.79R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   41  -11      -6.59    23.67    -3.59    51.27     3.75   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.19R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   38   41  -14       0.19    52.00     1.80    49.43     3.50   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   40  -11      -8.49    17.72    -5.74    49.53     3.64   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R    0.00  
Wigan           38   34  -13     -11.63     9.95    -4.74    43.56     3.49   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R    0.01  
Rotherham       38   17  -54     -12.21     5.35   -13.65    23.77     3.37   -60.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        40   82  +32      12.28    90.39     9.29    92.96     3.18    36.18    87.29    99.85   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           39   75  +28       7.63    78.59     7.42    87.33     3.42    32.19    12.61    93.61   100.00    95.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   39   69  +19      10.24    86.36    11.02    79.65     3.48    20.57     0.10     4.75    98.20    27.40P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   67  +21       2.67    61.00     6.75    76.62     3.19    23.13     0.00     1.42    93.52    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         40   66  +15       3.14    62.79     3.11    75.08     3.20    16.21     0.00     0.20    83.14    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   63  +13       6.80    76.27     8.99    73.77     3.50    14.73     0.00     0.17    71.20    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   60   +6      -0.74    47.09    -4.76    70.80     3.56     7.83     0.00     0.00    30.25     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd       40   59   +9       2.22    59.15     6.18    67.29     3.16     9.18     0.00     0.00     7.81     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   57   +4       0.88    53.88     0.55    68.47     3.55     6.89     0.00     0.00    13.39     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   57   -1       6.00    73.35     5.14    65.08     3.23    -1.35     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   55   +1      -2.48    40.08    -2.67    63.40     3.24     1.23     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    40   54   +3       4.34    67.78    10.59    61.88     3.19     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   53   -2      -2.86    38.37    -5.70    63.83     3.48    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   50   -6       0.42    52.19     3.07    57.35     3.21    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
MK_Dons          39   48   -1      -7.97    20.43    -4.70    57.16     3.50    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Charlton         39   47   +3      -8.67    18.47    -0.38    57.91     3.55     4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Bury             41   46  -11      -2.66    39.75     1.78    51.65     2.84   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.59R    0.00  
Oldham           40   45  -12      -1.69    43.01    -2.34    51.57     3.03   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.48R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   45  -17      -5.69    28.14    -9.75    52.35     3.21   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       39   43  -14      -1.79    42.88    -0.77    51.06     3.44   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.95R    0.00  
Port_Vale        38   42  -17      -3.33    36.32    -6.58    50.32     3.57   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.10R    0.04  
Swindon          40   39  -18     -10.14    14.22    -9.05    45.91     3.12   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.49R    0.60  
Chesterfield     40   33  -28     -10.75    12.08   -11.02    38.78     2.94   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   46.86  
Coventry         40   32  -27     -15.14     4.63   -16.17    38.23     3.03   -30.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   52.50  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            39   78  +30       5.75    72.33     1.06    90.45     3.54    34.28    79.01    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   75  +19       9.57    84.35     1.49    86.72     3.47    22.09    19.38    99.56   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   68  +26       0.11    50.08     4.84    80.67     3.45    30.44     1.61    88.67    99.94    92.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   62  +12       5.06    70.05     6.98    72.66     3.60    13.56     0.00     4.02    80.39    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   60  +21      -6.22    26.12     2.28    71.98     3.48    24.48     0.00     3.44    80.28    30.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                39   60  +19      -1.29    44.43     7.53    71.54     3.49    21.91     0.00     2.64    75.13    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   59  +16      -0.13    49.52     7.64    69.87     3.53    17.87     0.00     0.89    56.66    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             39   59   -2       6.55    75.40     0.02    69.56     3.58    -0.60     0.00     0.55    45.58     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   58   +5       3.40    64.10     3.01    66.49     3.43     3.48     0.00     0.13    18.14     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           39   57   +4      -0.64    47.70    -2.06    67.50     3.58     5.28     0.00     0.13    26.52     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   55   +0       0.66    53.16    -1.76    65.03     3.51     0.67     0.00     0.01     8.78     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   54   +4      -1.36    44.48     1.06    63.93     3.50     4.56     0.00     0.00     5.94     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   52   +1      -4.45    32.32    -3.39    61.60     3.48     1.02     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              39   52   -2       2.96    62.58     4.16    60.11     3.40    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   51   -3       0.07    50.70     1.07    59.99     3.52    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   48   -9      -2.42    40.86    -4.45    57.59     3.52    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   48  -13       3.48    65.35     0.86    56.24     3.48   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil               39   46   -9      -1.63    43.59    -1.26    54.43     3.42   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Morecambe            39   46  -15       1.04    55.20    -1.08    53.89     3.44   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Notts_County         39   46  -22       3.14    64.05    -5.08    52.93     3.33   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.01  
Hartlepool           39   41  -16      -1.26    45.48     1.74    48.63     3.41   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.38R    0.84  
Cheltenham           39   39  -16      -7.08    22.79    -5.69    47.43     3.39   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.69R    1.26  
Newport_County       39   33  -21      -8.22    18.24    -2.63    40.79     3.37   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.55R   36.52  
Leyton_Orient        39   32  -29     -13.42     7.06   -16.34    39.72     3.38   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.77R   61.36  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, Chester 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       37   76  +35      12.39    91.28    15.09    92.11     4.00    40.86    50.08    99.92    62.50P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           38   76  +25       8.52    82.38     2.58    91.31     3.64    31.44    33.95    99.87    54.84P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   75  +31       3.84    65.40     3.29    88.88     3.29    38.15    15.80    99.77    42.26P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          39   70  +18       2.62    60.64    -3.23    81.44     3.50    20.84     0.17    73.05    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          40   68  +21       7.70    79.08    12.76    77.33     3.20    22.60     0.00    28.55     4.89P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   68  +20       8.06    79.75    12.42    78.19     3.23    22.98     0.00    38.68     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   67  +26       2.67    60.77    11.79    76.69     3.22    28.26     0.00    25.61     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   66  +17       1.80    57.38     0.46    77.58     3.50    20.21     0.00    32.69     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       37   57   +8       0.47    52.19    -0.65    70.88     3.98    10.30     0.00     1.86     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   54  -11       0.07    50.80    -9.84    61.76     3.18   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          40   53   +0      -4.83    31.04    -4.48    61.99     3.22     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       40   52   +6      -1.76    42.94     6.28    60.27     3.17     6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester            39   49   +2      -4.19    33.12     2.99    57.92     3.45     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Sutton_United      39   49   -6       1.83    58.08     3.53    56.80     3.34    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Bromley            39   49  -13       1.94    58.98    -2.65    56.74     3.37   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     40   48   -5      -1.55    44.39     3.86    54.92     3.15    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Guiseley           40   46  -14       1.70    58.28     2.28    52.68     3.13   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   45  -17      -6.79    23.61   -12.53    52.67     3.18   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.22R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   38   44  -17       2.15    59.82     0.24    50.93     3.40   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.73R    0.00  
Torquay            40   43  -10      -6.51    24.98    -1.96    50.43     3.08   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.94R    0.01  
Woking             40   41  -17     -10.03    14.60    -9.75    48.20     3.18   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.13R    0.04  
York               39   39  -17     -12.92     8.55   -14.49    48.64     3.54   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.36R    0.09  
Southport          39   34  -39      -2.83    38.20   -10.43    39.67     3.08   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   27.82  
North_Ferriby      40   33  -43       1.21    57.22    -7.53    37.34     2.66   -49.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   72.03