Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 30 March 2017 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 March 2017, Man_City 1 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 69 +38 14.35 97.89 11.77 89.29 3.92 48.77 95.23 99.42 99.93 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 59 +34 5.38 76.79 9.61 79.01 4.05 44.04 3.80 65.35 86.33 95.12 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 57 +24 3.28 66.44 -0.97 75.67 4.00 32.05 0.79 20.16 56.20 79.80 99.32 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 56 +25 5.63 76.27 7.55 73.56 3.91 33.53 0.11 9.24 34.35 67.54 97.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 52 +19 3.97 69.96 2.64 69.66 4.31 22.90 0.04 2.27 9.38 23.77 85.65 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 50 +22 -0.72 45.38 -0.41 70.14 4.39 30.15 0.03 3.52 13.44 31.56 88.95 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 50 +21 1.76 58.45 8.05 63.49 3.93 22.66 0.00 0.04 0.37 2.21 28.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 29 43 +1 6.06 78.66 5.99 53.07 3.86 -2.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 Stoke 29 36 -9 1.64 59.27 0.27 47.03 3.95 -11.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Southampton 27 33 -3 -6.43 19.89 -6.27 49.25 4.35 -1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 33 -12 1.06 56.34 3.13 42.24 3.67 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.93R 0.02 West_Ham 29 33 -12 -4.46 28.45 -6.68 44.40 3.97 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.01 Burnley 29 32 -11 -0.66 47.66 0.68 42.65 3.88 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.87R 0.02 Watford 28 31 -15 0.29 52.52 -1.70 41.27 3.89 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.08R 0.16 Leicester 28 30 -14 -7.22 17.66 -11.25 43.23 4.09 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89R 0.06 Crystal_Palace 28 28 -10 -4.71 27.10 -0.50 37.36 3.74 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.62R 1.49 Swansea 29 27 -27 -2.67 36.85 -8.00 36.99 3.84 -31.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.81R 3.36 Hull 29 24 -32 -1.34 44.26 -7.25 33.02 3.67 -37.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.30R 21.65 Middlesbrough 28 22 -13 -7.81 14.14 -1.03 32.56 3.90 -17.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.12R 20.14 Sunderland 28 20 -26 -6.46 18.32 -5.64 29.89 3.86 -32.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.55R 53.10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 March 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 38 78 +38 4.63 68.93 5.19 93.91 3.56 45.48 71.40 98.10 100.00 98.91P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 77 +30 9.48 85.07 7.08 91.39 3.65 34.98 27.72 93.01 100.00 95.70P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 37 71 +4 21.77 99.18 6.33 83.37 4.03 4.04 0.79 7.25 98.90 25.10P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 69 +16 13.16 92.25 10.19 79.80 3.68 15.74 0.08 1.12 94.74 25.55P 0.00 0.00 Reading 38 67 +2 16.57 96.18 4.57 78.76 3.69 3.27 0.01 0.49 90.69 19.16P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 62 +9 4.16 67.59 0.39 74.15 3.76 10.78 0.00 0.02 53.73 16.81P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 38 61 +19 3.52 64.51 11.04 72.56 3.78 19.81 0.00 0.01 40.59 12.03P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 57 +9 -3.84 34.44 -4.35 69.03 3.83 10.64 0.00 0.00 11.67 3.92P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 57 +6 3.21 63.81 3.32 68.50 3.60 6.91 0.00 0.00 6.99 1.96P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 53 +3 -5.03 29.31 -5.95 65.83 3.75 5.75 0.00 0.00 2.11 0.69P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 38 51 +0 3.04 63.20 6.73 61.10 3.70 -1.58 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 51 +0 -1.20 45.17 -0.93 62.34 3.73 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.07P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 38 51 -1 -1.57 43.46 -1.50 61.16 3.76 -2.19 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 38 50 +3 -4.89 30.33 -0.85 62.11 3.86 4.56 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.06P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 38 50 -5 -1.85 42.55 -4.65 59.36 3.65 -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.07R 0.00 Wolverhampton 37 45 -2 -5.28 28.23 -1.33 57.64 4.00 -1.47 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.79R 0.00 Ipswich 38 45 -9 -4.48 31.46 -5.77 55.95 3.71 -9.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08R 0.00 Birmingham 38 45 -16 -0.58 48.25 -6.69 54.71 3.62 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.92R 0.00 Bristol_City 38 41 -3 -7.32 21.44 3.12 51.14 3.68 -4.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.79R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 41 -11 -6.59 23.67 -3.59 51.27 3.75 -12.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.19R 0.00 Burton_Albion 38 41 -14 0.19 52.00 1.80 49.43 3.50 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.81R 0.00 Blackburn 38 40 -11 -8.49 17.72 -5.74 49.53 3.64 -13.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.44R 0.00 Wigan 38 34 -13 -11.63 9.95 -4.74 43.56 3.49 -14.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.89R 0.01 Rotherham 38 17 -54 -12.21 5.35 -13.65 23.77 3.37 -60.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 3 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 40 82 +32 12.28 90.39 9.29 92.96 3.18 36.18 87.29 99.85 100.00 99.91P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 39 75 +28 7.63 78.59 7.42 87.33 3.42 32.19 12.61 93.61 100.00 95.65P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 69 +19 10.24 86.36 11.02 79.65 3.48 20.57 0.10 4.75 98.20 27.40P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 67 +21 2.67 61.00 6.75 76.62 3.19 23.13 0.00 1.42 93.52 27.02P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 40 66 +15 3.14 62.79 3.11 75.08 3.20 16.21 0.00 0.20 83.14 22.61P 0.00 0.00 Southend 39 63 +13 6.80 76.27 8.99 73.77 3.50 14.73 0.00 0.17 71.20 14.54P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 39 60 +6 -0.74 47.09 -4.76 70.80 3.56 7.83 0.00 0.00 30.25 7.81P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 59 +9 2.22 59.15 6.18 67.29 3.16 9.18 0.00 0.00 7.81 1.69P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 57 +4 0.88 53.88 0.55 68.47 3.55 6.89 0.00 0.00 13.39 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 57 -1 6.00 73.35 5.14 65.08 3.23 -1.35 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 55 +1 -2.48 40.08 -2.67 63.40 3.24 1.23 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 40 54 +3 4.34 67.78 10.59 61.88 3.19 2.54 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 39 53 -2 -2.86 38.37 -5.70 63.83 3.48 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 40 50 -6 0.42 52.19 3.07 57.35 3.21 -7.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48R 0.00 MK_Dons 39 48 -1 -7.97 20.43 -4.70 57.16 3.50 -1.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57R 0.00 Charlton 39 47 +3 -8.67 18.47 -0.38 57.91 3.55 4.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Bury 41 46 -11 -2.66 39.75 1.78 51.65 2.84 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.59R 0.00 Oldham 40 45 -12 -1.69 43.01 -2.34 51.57 3.03 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.48R 0.00 Gillingham 40 45 -17 -5.69 28.14 -9.75 52.35 3.21 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.05R 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 43 -14 -1.79 42.88 -0.77 51.06 3.44 -16.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.95R 0.00 Port_Vale 38 42 -17 -3.33 36.32 -6.58 50.32 3.57 -20.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.10R 0.04 Swindon 40 39 -18 -10.14 14.22 -9.05 45.91 3.12 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.49R 0.60 Chesterfield 40 33 -28 -10.75 12.08 -11.02 38.78 2.94 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 46.86 Coventry 40 32 -27 -15.14 4.63 -16.17 38.23 3.03 -30.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 52.50League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 39 78 +30 5.75 72.33 1.06 90.45 3.54 34.28 79.01 99.97 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 75 +19 9.57 84.35 1.49 86.72 3.47 22.09 19.38 99.56 100.00 99.68P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 68 +26 0.11 50.08 4.84 80.67 3.45 30.44 1.61 88.67 99.94 92.32P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 62 +12 5.06 70.05 6.98 72.66 3.60 13.56 0.00 4.02 80.39 20.01P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 39 60 +21 -6.22 26.12 2.28 71.98 3.48 24.48 0.00 3.44 80.28 30.14P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 60 +19 -1.29 44.43 7.53 71.54 3.49 21.91 0.00 2.64 75.13 22.37P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 59 +16 -0.13 49.52 7.64 69.87 3.53 17.87 0.00 0.89 56.66 13.83P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 59 -2 6.55 75.40 0.02 69.56 3.58 -0.60 0.00 0.55 45.58 8.24P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 58 +5 3.40 64.10 3.01 66.49 3.43 3.48 0.00 0.13 18.14 3.73P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 39 57 +4 -0.64 47.70 -2.06 67.50 3.58 5.28 0.00 0.13 26.52 6.04P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 55 +0 0.66 53.16 -1.76 65.03 3.51 0.67 0.00 0.01 8.78 1.79P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 54 +4 -1.36 44.48 1.06 63.93 3.50 4.56 0.00 0.00 5.94 1.28P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 39 52 +1 -4.45 32.32 -3.39 61.60 3.48 1.02 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 52 -2 2.96 62.58 4.16 60.11 3.40 -4.05 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 39 51 -3 0.07 50.70 1.07 59.99 3.52 -3.95 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 48 -9 -2.42 40.86 -4.45 57.59 3.52 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 48 -13 3.48 65.35 0.86 56.24 3.48 -15.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Yeovil 39 46 -9 -1.63 43.59 -1.26 54.43 3.42 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Morecambe 39 46 -15 1.04 55.20 -1.08 53.89 3.44 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Notts_County 39 46 -22 3.14 64.05 -5.08 52.93 3.33 -26.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33R 0.01 Hartlepool 39 41 -16 -1.26 45.48 1.74 48.63 3.41 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.38R 0.84 Cheltenham 39 39 -16 -7.08 22.79 -5.69 47.43 3.39 -17.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.69R 1.26 Newport_County 39 33 -21 -8.22 18.24 -2.63 40.79 3.37 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.55R 36.52 Leyton_Orient 39 32 -29 -13.42 7.06 -16.34 39.72 3.38 -31.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.77R 61.36National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 March 2017, Chester 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 37 76 +35 12.39 91.28 15.09 92.11 4.00 40.86 50.08 99.92 62.50P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 76 +25 8.52 82.38 2.58 91.31 3.64 31.44 33.95 99.87 54.84P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 75 +31 3.84 65.40 3.29 88.88 3.29 38.15 15.80 99.77 42.26P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 70 +18 2.62 60.64 -3.23 81.44 3.50 20.84 0.17 73.05 17.30P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 68 +21 7.70 79.08 12.76 77.33 3.20 22.60 0.00 28.55 4.89P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 68 +20 8.06 79.75 12.42 78.19 3.23 22.98 0.00 38.68 6.34P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 67 +26 2.67 60.77 11.79 76.69 3.22 28.26 0.00 25.61 5.04P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 39 66 +17 1.80 57.38 0.46 77.58 3.50 20.21 0.00 32.69 6.45P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 37 57 +8 0.47 52.19 -0.65 70.88 3.98 10.30 0.00 1.86 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 54 -11 0.07 50.80 -9.84 61.76 3.18 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 53 +0 -4.83 31.04 -4.48 61.99 3.22 1.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 40 52 +6 -1.76 42.94 6.28 60.27 3.17 6.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 39 49 +2 -4.19 33.12 2.99 57.92 3.45 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28R 0.00 Sutton_United 39 49 -6 1.83 58.08 3.53 56.80 3.34 -8.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.00 Bromley 39 49 -13 1.94 58.98 -2.65 56.74 3.37 -16.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 40 48 -5 -1.55 44.39 3.86 54.92 3.15 -6.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.05R 0.00 Guiseley 40 46 -14 1.70 58.28 2.28 52.68 3.13 -16.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 45 -17 -6.79 23.61 -12.53 52.67 3.18 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.22R 0.00 Maidstone_United 38 44 -17 2.15 59.82 0.24 50.93 3.40 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.73R 0.00 Torquay 40 43 -10 -6.51 24.98 -1.96 50.43 3.08 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.94R 0.01 Woking 40 41 -17 -10.03 14.60 -9.75 48.20 3.18 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.13R 0.04 York 39 39 -17 -12.92 8.55 -14.49 48.64 3.54 -17.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.36R 0.09 Southport 39 34 -39 -2.83 38.20 -10.43 39.67 3.08 -46.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.73R 27.82 North_Ferriby 40 33 -43 1.21 57.22 -7.53 37.34 2.66 -49.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 72.03