Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 10 March 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 March 2017, Man_City 0 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          27   66  +37      13.51    97.22    12.09    88.14     4.17    48.45    92.21    98.47    99.75    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   56  +33       4.53    72.84     9.87    78.03     4.27    44.01     4.45    51.90    79.03    91.99    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   56  +24       3.66    68.33    -1.15    76.62     4.24    33.02     2.72    30.44    63.21    83.58    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   52  +24       4.95    74.14     7.46    72.70     4.34    33.17     0.29     8.83    27.19    56.49    97.82     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   50  +24       0.25    50.68     0.87    72.20     4.57    33.16     0.29     9.00    25.26    51.42    96.88     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   49  +17       3.30    67.22     2.14    68.09     4.53    20.92     0.04     1.34     5.42    15.50    85.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton          27   44  +14       1.43    57.32     5.73    61.27     4.37    17.20     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.06    20.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        27   40   +2       4.97    75.12     5.55    51.87     4.30    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   36   -8       2.52    63.77     0.44    47.89     4.18   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06R    0.00  
Southampton      26   33   -2      -5.86    21.63    -6.54    49.94     4.54    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham         27   33  -10      -2.09    39.39    -5.61    47.66     4.55   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23R    0.00  
Burnley          27   31  -10       0.26    52.39     0.38    43.60     4.35   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.04  
Watford          27   31  -14       1.24    57.68    -1.40    42.46     4.13   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.57R    0.13  
Bournemouth      27   27  -15      -1.00    45.62     2.13    39.12     4.20   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.93R    1.30  
Leicester        27   27  -15      -8.53    12.80   -11.84    41.23     4.33   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.38  
Swansea          27   27  -24      -0.91    46.23    -6.69    39.62     4.38   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.97R    1.48  
Crystal_Palace   27   25  -11      -5.86    21.64    -0.70    35.88     4.01   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.95R    4.53  
Middlesbrough    27   22  -11      -7.46    14.86    -0.61    33.69     4.15   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R   13.90  
Hull             27   21  -29      -2.86    35.46    -6.75    32.11     4.15   -35.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.82R   30.63  
Sunderland       27   19  -26      -6.01    19.49    -5.35    30.28     4.14   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.96R   47.61  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 March 2017, Brighton 3 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       36   77  +40       6.34    76.09     6.86    97.20     4.02    49.93    78.70    99.24   100.00    99.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        37   77  +32       9.92    86.60     7.67    93.24     3.87    37.71    20.97    95.95   100.00    97.51P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   68   +7      20.36    98.92     7.63    82.89     4.51     6.61     0.28     3.75    96.88    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   65  +14      12.58    92.05     9.22    78.61     4.19    13.83     0.03     0.59    85.36    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         36   64   +3      15.49    95.81     4.43    77.82     4.14     3.26     0.01     0.25    79.63    16.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   62  +13       5.80    74.25     2.86    77.56     4.24    15.80     0.02     0.21    79.12    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   57  +19       3.97    67.06    11.34    72.74     4.44    19.67     0.00     0.01    37.35    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   53   +7      -3.82    34.15    -4.35    69.01     4.33    10.56     0.00     0.00    12.22     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   53   +3       3.40    65.04     2.41    67.13     4.13     3.71     0.00     0.00     4.52     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   52   +3      -4.87    29.57    -6.22    66.31     4.00     5.89     0.00     0.00     2.64     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   50   +2       4.02    67.33     7.55    62.44     4.17    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       35   47   +3      -3.05    36.95     0.23    64.30     4.57     6.25     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         36   47   -3      -2.18    40.97    -2.46    60.33     4.21    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
QPR             36   46   -9      -1.43    44.04    -5.96    58.24     4.08   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.41R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   45   -4      -2.92    37.50    -2.67    58.60     4.19    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.46R    0.00  
Ipswich         36   44   -7      -3.67    34.20    -5.04    57.17     4.20    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   43  -16      -0.50    48.39    -7.36    54.51     4.05   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   40  -10      -5.23    28.36    -3.05    53.08     4.24   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.97R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   36   38  -13      -0.46    49.05     1.88    49.08     4.02   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.74R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   37  -11      -7.82    18.58    -6.58    49.71     4.31   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.36R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   36   -6      -8.76    15.60    -3.24    52.59     4.64    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    0.00  
Bristol_City    36   35   -8      -8.77    15.98     1.11    47.49     4.15   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R    0.00  
Wigan           36   34  -10      -9.97    13.07    -3.19    46.81     4.02   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.98R    0.01  
Rotherham       36   17  -49     -11.96     5.52   -13.06    25.21     3.76   -57.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Charlton 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        36   72  +27      10.57    87.72     8.53    89.55     4.26    32.71    86.88    97.26   100.00    98.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   35   64  +20      10.43    88.18    11.66    80.78     4.44    22.55     6.64    44.43    97.59    56.90P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   61  +21       2.47    60.50     7.17    76.86     4.25    24.21     1.35    15.43    88.53    35.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           34   60  +17       4.52    69.26     4.10    79.32     4.68    21.38     4.29    31.96    94.10    49.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   59  +13       2.58    61.30     2.48    73.77     4.17    14.59     0.22     3.33    66.88    19.83P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58   +9       1.74    57.80    -3.26    74.75     4.51    11.58     0.59     6.31    71.33    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         35   54  +10       4.63    69.94     7.99    70.03     4.50    11.43     0.03     0.71    32.07     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   52   +0      -0.60    47.35    -4.97    66.69     4.19     1.54     0.00     0.03     8.78     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   51   +0       5.06    71.06     5.55    64.86     4.31     0.03     0.00     0.01     4.51     0.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     36   50   +1      -1.75    42.34    -2.49    64.76     4.30     2.51     0.00     0.00     4.36     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       34   49   +6       1.74    58.09     4.91    65.37     4.66     6.08     0.00     0.08     8.31     1.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         33   49   +2       2.07    59.36    -0.28    68.41     4.98     4.36     0.00     0.45    21.26     4.71P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    35   47   +2       4.38    69.15    10.11    61.67     4.52     1.48     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.27P    0.21R    0.00  
Charlton         36   45   +4      -7.41    20.96    -0.72    59.93     4.27     5.76     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.11P    0.41R    0.00  
MK_Dons          35   43   +0      -7.93    19.17    -4.37    58.51     4.53     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    1.49R    0.00  
Northampton      36   43   -7      -0.81    47.14     2.56    55.18     4.22    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.22R    0.01  
Gillingham       36   42  -10      -5.86    26.07    -7.26    54.71     4.27   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.32R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       36   42  -11      -0.25    49.71    -0.18    53.73     4.19   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.26R    0.06  
Bury             36   40  -10      -2.57    39.27     1.84    51.40     4.13   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.13R    0.25  
Oldham           36   39  -13      -2.00    41.33    -2.97    50.38     4.00   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R    0.45  
Swindon          36   36  -15      -9.04    15.51    -8.41    47.34     4.11   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.49R    3.29  
Port_Vale        33   35  -17      -3.38    35.04    -6.59    50.09     4.81   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   44.44R    2.22  
Chesterfield     36   31  -25      -8.51    16.49   -10.28    42.04     4.04   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.74R   30.31  
Coventry         35   26  -24     -15.74     2.90   -15.14    39.00     4.31   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   63.40  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Crawley_Town 0 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            35   69  +24       5.41    72.05     0.09    88.89     4.51    31.32    79.19    98.51   100.00    98.96P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +15       6.92    77.97     0.21    82.69     4.47    18.88    14.69    81.46    99.66    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   59  +20      -0.29    48.19     3.46    78.55     4.45    26.44     3.42    51.38    97.01    66.37P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   58   +5       8.52    82.43     3.20    75.06     4.59     7.95     0.55    18.70    83.97    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                34   57  +22       1.89    58.14     9.56    76.86     4.76    27.05     2.01    37.32    92.35    52.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   55   +8       4.71    69.91     4.94    69.63     4.51     7.15     0.02     2.84    43.91    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   54  +15       1.23    55.54     7.92    71.15     4.54    18.01     0.10     5.64    61.69    18.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   52   +5       2.84    63.24     2.98    65.70     4.43     3.13     0.00     0.47    16.01     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           35   51   +7      -2.14    41.14    -0.62    67.49     4.60     9.04     0.01     1.11    28.32     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   50  +17      -8.60    17.44     1.39    69.06     4.46    22.86     0.00     2.09    44.96    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   50   -1       1.52    57.15    -2.09    65.61     4.49    -0.13     0.00     0.25    14.30     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        34   47   +3      -0.93    46.09     1.10    64.10     4.72     4.01     0.00     0.19    10.52     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   47   -1       2.37    60.95     3.59    60.09     4.38    -3.75     0.00     0.01     1.40     0.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet               35   46   -4       1.35    56.63     1.17    61.29     4.53    -3.74     0.00     0.01     2.77     0.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            34   46   -8       5.20    72.81     1.67    60.96     4.69   -10.56     0.00     0.02     2.73     0.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   43  -13       3.75    67.42     0.58    56.20     4.45   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.77R    0.05  
Yeovil               35   40  -11      -1.59    43.47    -2.69    52.85     4.35   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.48R    0.38  
Cheltenham           35   39   -8      -5.48    27.43    -3.36    52.18     4.35   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.45  
Crewe                35   39  -15      -3.56    35.15    -6.81    53.55     4.51   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.03R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   33   38   -9      -6.29    23.76    -7.53    55.51     4.91    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    1.76R    0.23  
Hartlepool           35   38  -13      -0.69    47.81     1.86    49.53     4.31   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.34R    2.19  
Notts_County         35   37  -23      -0.41    49.11    -6.02    47.88     4.24   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.51R    5.49  
Leyton_Orient        35   32  -15     -13.40     6.13   -10.99    45.64     4.41   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.28R   10.03  
Newport_County       34   26  -20      -9.79    11.83    -3.62    38.46     4.44   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.17R   80.70  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Barrow 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       34   72  +35      12.80    92.89    15.54    92.98     4.75    42.03    61.67    99.85    70.89P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   66  +29       3.18    63.77     3.64    88.46     4.55    38.61    20.50    98.66    44.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           34   66  +20       6.98    79.16     1.82    88.56     4.56    28.93    16.15    98.06    39.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   64  +19       1.80    57.57    -2.56    81.97     4.53    23.41     1.51    77.54    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   60  +18       1.47    56.31     1.94    78.08     4.45    22.83     0.11    48.03     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   59  +16       6.22    75.50    10.88    73.70     4.20    17.47     0.00    12.84     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   58  +23       2.28    60.00    11.59    75.57     4.47    26.88     0.03    27.52     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             35   58  +18       5.66    73.71    11.59    75.04     4.52    20.85     0.01    22.41     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   53  +11       1.33    56.16     1.49    73.60     4.91    15.07     0.01    14.97     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   52   -6       1.40    56.28    -8.03    65.04     4.19    -6.88     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester            35   46   +4      -2.42    39.93     3.90    60.89     4.54     3.36     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Bromley            36   46  -14       3.01    63.66    -3.64    57.81     4.09   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   44   +0      -0.67    47.39     3.57    58.53     4.41    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   44   -4       1.25    56.07     4.17    57.44     4.40    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   43   -4      -7.88    19.25    -6.08    56.99     4.27    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   43   -7       4.17    69.08     2.37    57.96     4.79   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.01  
Guiseley           36   41  -11       0.39    52.67     2.94    51.70     4.07   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.59R    0.20  
Braintree_Town     36   41  -16      -5.85    26.00   -12.29    54.51     4.17   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.35R    0.05  
Maidstone_United   36   40  -19       1.68    58.60    -0.55    49.12     3.91   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.07R    0.90  
Woking             36   37  -16      -8.74    16.68    -9.09    49.51     4.19   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.46R    1.07  
Torquay            35   35  -11      -7.73    18.92    -2.81    48.22     4.34   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.30R    3.19  
North_Ferriby      36   33  -30       1.05    56.56    -4.75    41.72     3.75   -37.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.70R   35.28  
York               35   32  -20     -13.18     6.63   -15.62    46.20     4.45   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.56R    7.85  
Southport          35   31  -35      -2.44    39.62   -10.02    40.94     4.05   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   51.43