Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 10 March 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 March 2017, Man_City 0 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 27 66 +37 13.51 97.22 12.09 88.14 4.17 48.45 92.21 98.47 99.75 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 56 +33 4.53 72.84 9.87 78.03 4.27 44.01 4.45 51.90 79.03 91.99 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 27 56 +24 3.66 68.33 -1.15 76.62 4.24 33.02 2.72 30.44 63.21 83.58 99.72 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 52 +24 4.95 74.14 7.46 72.70 4.34 33.17 0.29 8.83 27.19 56.49 97.82 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 50 +24 0.25 50.68 0.87 72.20 4.57 33.16 0.29 9.00 25.26 51.42 96.88 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 49 +17 3.30 67.22 2.14 68.09 4.53 20.92 0.04 1.34 5.42 15.50 85.02 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 44 +14 1.43 57.32 5.73 61.27 4.37 17.20 0.00 0.02 0.14 1.06 20.14 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 27 40 +2 4.97 75.12 5.55 51.87 4.30 -2.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 28 36 -8 2.52 63.77 0.44 47.89 4.18 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06R 0.00 Southampton 26 33 -2 -5.86 21.63 -6.54 49.94 4.54 -1.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04R 0.00 West_Ham 27 33 -10 -2.09 39.39 -5.61 47.66 4.55 -11.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.23R 0.00 Burnley 27 31 -10 0.26 52.39 0.38 43.60 4.35 -13.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.04 Watford 27 31 -14 1.24 57.68 -1.40 42.46 4.13 -20.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.57R 0.13 Bournemouth 27 27 -15 -1.00 45.62 2.13 39.12 4.20 -21.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.93R 1.30 Leicester 27 27 -15 -8.53 12.80 -11.84 41.23 4.33 -16.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.51R 0.38 Swansea 27 27 -24 -0.91 46.23 -6.69 39.62 4.38 -28.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.97R 1.48 Crystal_Palace 27 25 -11 -5.86 21.64 -0.70 35.88 4.01 -18.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.95R 4.53 Middlesbrough 27 22 -11 -7.46 14.86 -0.61 33.69 4.15 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.15R 13.90 Hull 27 21 -29 -2.86 35.46 -6.75 32.11 4.15 -35.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.82R 30.63 Sunderland 27 19 -26 -6.01 19.49 -5.35 30.28 4.14 -32.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.96R 47.61Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 March 2017, Brighton 3 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 36 77 +40 6.34 76.09 6.86 97.20 4.02 49.93 78.70 99.24 100.00 99.58P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 37 77 +32 9.92 86.60 7.67 93.24 3.87 37.71 20.97 95.95 100.00 97.51P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 35 68 +7 20.36 98.92 7.63 82.89 4.51 6.61 0.28 3.75 96.88 22.43P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 36 65 +14 12.58 92.05 9.22 78.61 4.19 13.83 0.03 0.59 85.36 20.95P 0.00 0.00 Reading 36 64 +3 15.49 95.81 4.43 77.82 4.14 3.26 0.01 0.25 79.63 16.24P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 62 +13 5.80 74.25 2.86 77.56 4.24 15.80 0.02 0.21 79.12 26.09P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 35 57 +19 3.97 67.06 11.34 72.74 4.44 19.67 0.00 0.01 37.35 10.37P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 36 53 +7 -3.82 34.15 -4.35 69.01 4.33 10.56 0.00 0.00 12.22 4.22P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 53 +3 3.40 65.04 2.41 67.13 4.13 3.71 0.00 0.00 4.52 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 52 +3 -4.87 29.57 -6.22 66.31 4.00 5.89 0.00 0.00 2.64 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 36 50 +2 4.02 67.33 7.55 62.44 4.17 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.09P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 35 47 +3 -3.05 36.95 0.23 64.30 4.57 6.25 0.00 0.00 1.73 0.50P 0.01R 0.00 Cardiff 36 47 -3 -2.18 40.97 -2.46 60.33 4.21 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.10R 0.00 QPR 36 46 -9 -1.43 44.04 -5.96 58.24 4.08 -11.07 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.41R 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 45 -4 -2.92 37.50 -2.67 58.60 4.19 -3.90 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.46R 0.00 Ipswich 36 44 -7 -3.67 34.20 -5.04 57.17 4.20 -7.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00 Birmingham 36 43 -16 -0.50 48.39 -7.36 54.51 4.05 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.91R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 40 -10 -5.23 28.36 -3.05 53.08 4.24 -10.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.97R 0.00 Burton_Albion 36 38 -13 -0.46 49.05 1.88 49.08 4.02 -16.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.74R 0.00 Blackburn 35 37 -11 -7.82 18.58 -6.58 49.71 4.31 -14.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.36R 0.00 Wolverhampton 34 36 -6 -8.76 15.60 -3.24 52.59 4.64 -5.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.20R 0.00 Bristol_City 36 35 -8 -8.77 15.98 1.11 47.49 4.15 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.60R 0.00 Wigan 36 34 -10 -9.97 13.07 -3.19 46.81 4.02 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.98R 0.01 Rotherham 36 17 -49 -11.96 5.52 -13.06 25.21 3.76 -57.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Charlton 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 36 72 +27 10.57 87.72 8.53 89.55 4.26 32.71 86.88 97.26 100.00 98.05P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 64 +20 10.43 88.18 11.66 80.78 4.44 22.55 6.64 44.43 97.59 56.90P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 36 61 +21 2.47 60.50 7.17 76.86 4.25 24.21 1.35 15.43 88.53 35.01P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 34 60 +17 4.52 69.26 4.10 79.32 4.68 21.38 4.29 31.96 94.10 49.29P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 36 59 +13 2.58 61.30 2.48 73.77 4.17 14.59 0.22 3.33 66.88 19.83P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 35 58 +9 1.74 57.80 -3.26 74.75 4.51 11.58 0.59 6.31 71.33 23.23P 0.00 0.00 Southend 35 54 +10 4.63 69.94 7.99 70.03 4.50 11.43 0.03 0.71 32.07 7.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 52 +0 -0.60 47.35 -4.97 66.69 4.19 1.54 0.00 0.03 8.78 2.08P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 51 +0 5.06 71.06 5.55 64.86 4.31 0.03 0.00 0.01 4.51 0.74P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 36 50 +1 -1.75 42.34 -2.49 64.76 4.30 2.51 0.00 0.00 4.36 0.93P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 49 +6 1.74 58.09 4.91 65.37 4.66 6.08 0.00 0.08 8.31 1.79P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 33 49 +2 2.07 59.36 -0.28 68.41 4.98 4.36 0.00 0.45 21.26 4.71P 0.02R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 47 +2 4.38 69.15 10.11 61.67 4.52 1.48 0.00 0.00 1.60 0.27P 0.21R 0.00 Charlton 36 45 +4 -7.41 20.96 -0.72 59.93 4.27 5.76 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.11P 0.41R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 43 +0 -7.93 19.17 -4.37 58.51 4.53 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 1.49R 0.00 Northampton 36 43 -7 -0.81 47.14 2.56 55.18 4.22 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.22R 0.01 Gillingham 36 42 -10 -5.86 26.07 -7.26 54.71 4.27 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 8.32R 0.02 Shrewsbury 36 42 -11 -0.25 49.71 -0.18 53.73 4.19 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.26R 0.06 Bury 36 40 -10 -2.57 39.27 1.84 51.40 4.13 -13.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.13R 0.25 Oldham 36 39 -13 -2.00 41.33 -2.97 50.38 4.00 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.65R 0.45 Swindon 36 36 -15 -9.04 15.51 -8.41 47.34 4.11 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.49R 3.29 Port_Vale 33 35 -17 -3.38 35.04 -6.59 50.09 4.81 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 44.44R 2.22 Chesterfield 36 31 -25 -8.51 16.49 -10.28 42.04 4.04 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.74R 30.31 Coventry 35 26 -24 -15.74 2.90 -15.14 39.00 4.31 -27.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.59R 63.40League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Crawley_Town 0 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 35 69 +24 5.41 72.05 0.09 88.89 4.51 31.32 79.19 98.51 100.00 98.96P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 35 65 +15 6.92 77.97 0.21 82.69 4.47 18.88 14.69 81.46 99.66 86.50P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 59 +20 -0.29 48.19 3.46 78.55 4.45 26.44 3.42 51.38 97.01 66.37P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 58 +5 8.52 82.43 3.20 75.06 4.59 7.95 0.55 18.70 83.97 31.27P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 57 +22 1.89 58.14 9.56 76.86 4.76 27.05 2.01 37.32 92.35 52.97P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 55 +8 4.71 69.91 4.94 69.63 4.51 7.15 0.02 2.84 43.91 10.86P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 54 +15 1.23 55.54 7.92 71.15 4.54 18.01 0.10 5.64 61.69 18.56P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 52 +5 2.84 63.24 2.98 65.70 4.43 3.13 0.00 0.47 16.01 3.42P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 51 +7 -2.14 41.14 -0.62 67.49 4.60 9.04 0.01 1.11 28.32 7.64P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 50 +17 -8.60 17.44 1.39 69.06 4.46 22.86 0.00 2.09 44.96 16.63P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 35 50 -1 1.52 57.15 -2.09 65.61 4.49 -0.13 0.00 0.25 14.30 3.27P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 47 +3 -0.93 46.09 1.10 64.10 4.72 4.01 0.00 0.19 10.52 2.32P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 47 -1 2.37 60.95 3.59 60.09 4.38 -3.75 0.00 0.01 1.40 0.25P 0.03R 0.00 Barnet 35 46 -4 1.35 56.63 1.17 61.29 4.53 -3.74 0.00 0.01 2.77 0.47P 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 34 46 -8 5.20 72.81 1.67 60.96 4.69 -10.56 0.00 0.02 2.73 0.44P 0.02R 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 43 -13 3.75 67.42 0.58 56.20 4.45 -15.79 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.77R 0.05 Yeovil 35 40 -11 -1.59 43.47 -2.69 52.85 4.35 -13.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.48R 0.38 Cheltenham 35 39 -8 -5.48 27.43 -3.36 52.18 4.35 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.59R 0.45 Crewe 35 39 -15 -3.56 35.15 -6.81 53.55 4.51 -15.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 4.03R 0.48 Accrington_Stanley 33 38 -9 -6.29 23.76 -7.53 55.51 4.91 -9.49 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 1.76R 0.23 Hartlepool 35 38 -13 -0.69 47.81 1.86 49.53 4.31 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.34R 2.19 Notts_County 35 37 -23 -0.41 49.11 -6.02 47.88 4.24 -29.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.51R 5.49 Leyton_Orient 35 32 -15 -13.40 6.13 -10.99 45.64 4.41 -17.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.28R 10.03 Newport_County 34 26 -20 -9.79 11.83 -3.62 38.46 4.44 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.17R 80.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Barrow 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 34 72 +35 12.80 92.89 15.54 92.98 4.75 42.03 61.67 99.85 70.89P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 66 +29 3.18 63.77 3.64 88.46 4.55 38.61 20.50 98.66 44.15P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 34 66 +20 6.98 79.16 1.82 88.56 4.56 28.93 16.15 98.06 39.81P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 35 64 +19 1.80 57.57 -2.56 81.97 4.53 23.41 1.51 77.54 20.95P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 60 +18 1.47 56.31 1.94 78.08 4.45 22.83 0.11 48.03 9.77P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 36 59 +16 6.22 75.50 10.88 73.70 4.20 17.47 0.00 12.84 2.13P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 58 +23 2.28 60.00 11.59 75.57 4.47 26.88 0.03 27.52 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 35 58 +18 5.66 73.71 11.59 75.04 4.52 20.85 0.01 22.41 3.79P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 53 +11 1.33 56.16 1.49 73.60 4.91 15.07 0.01 14.97 3.15P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 52 -6 1.40 56.28 -8.03 65.04 4.19 -6.88 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 46 +4 -2.42 39.93 3.90 60.89 4.54 3.36 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.09R 0.00 Bromley 36 46 -14 3.01 63.66 -3.64 57.81 4.09 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.76R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 44 +0 -0.67 47.39 3.57 58.53 4.41 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 35 44 -4 1.25 56.07 4.17 57.44 4.40 -6.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 43 -4 -7.88 19.25 -6.08 56.99 4.27 -3.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 43 -7 4.17 69.08 2.37 57.96 4.79 -11.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.70R 0.01 Guiseley 36 41 -11 0.39 52.67 2.94 51.70 4.07 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.59R 0.20 Braintree_Town 36 41 -16 -5.85 26.00 -12.29 54.51 4.17 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.35R 0.05 Maidstone_United 36 40 -19 1.68 58.60 -0.55 49.12 3.91 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.07R 0.90 Woking 36 37 -16 -8.74 16.68 -9.09 49.51 4.19 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.46R 1.07 Torquay 35 35 -11 -7.73 18.92 -2.81 48.22 4.34 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.30R 3.19 North_Ferriby 36 33 -30 1.05 56.56 -4.75 41.72 3.75 -37.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.70R 35.28 York 35 32 -20 -13.18 6.63 -15.62 46.20 4.45 -21.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.56R 7.85 Southport 35 31 -35 -2.44 39.62 -10.02 40.94 4.05 -43.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.27R 51.43