Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 March 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2017, West_Ham 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          27   66  +37      13.40    97.18    11.91    88.23     4.17    48.59    90.41    97.99    99.70    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   56  +33       4.49    72.93     9.80    78.01     4.28    43.96     4.00    44.80    77.08    91.19    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   55  +24       4.67    73.89    -0.33    78.10     4.44    34.93     5.02    41.19    72.31    88.46    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        27   52  +24       4.96    74.16     7.42    72.72     4.35    33.19     0.24     7.45    23.92    54.97    97.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   50  +24       0.36    51.44     1.04    72.20     4.59    33.17     0.30     7.47    22.18    49.86    96.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   49  +17       3.22    66.79     2.01    68.11     4.56    20.91     0.03     1.09     4.72    14.69    85.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          27   44  +14       1.41    57.36     5.77    61.23     4.36    17.11     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.88    19.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        27   40   +2       5.08    75.81     5.73    51.78     4.28    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   35   -8       2.46    63.90    -0.23    47.22     4.30   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11R    0.00  
Southampton      26   33   -2      -5.82    21.84    -6.47    49.93     4.51    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         27   33  -10      -2.09    39.59    -5.52    47.64     4.53   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21R    0.00  
Burnley          27   31  -10       0.27    52.54     0.49    43.65     4.36   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.04  
Watford          27   31  -14       1.22    57.84    -1.36    42.46     4.17   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.62R    0.14  
Bournemouth      27   27  -15      -0.95    45.76     2.23    39.09     4.24   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.38R    1.26  
Leicester        27   27  -15      -8.51    13.01   -11.83    41.26     4.31   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.27R    0.34  
Swansea          27   27  -24      -1.08    45.03    -6.97    39.75     4.40   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.46R    1.43  
Crystal_Palace   27   25  -11      -5.97    21.31    -0.81    35.90     4.00   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.87R    4.51  
Middlesbrough    27   22  -11      -7.44    14.88    -0.56    33.68     4.13   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.58R   13.81  
Hull             27   21  -29      -2.93    34.92    -6.80    32.11     4.14   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.72R   30.85  
Sunderland       27   19  -26      -6.12    18.74    -5.52    30.27     4.16   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.88R   47.62  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Birmingham 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       36   77  +40       6.39    76.36     6.94    97.22     3.99    49.94    84.59    99.38   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        36   74  +29       9.81    86.88     6.98    91.75     4.14    34.88    14.98    92.16   100.00    95.13P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   68   +7      20.27    98.97     7.49    82.94     4.49     6.67     0.39     6.40    96.75    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   65  +14      12.52    91.90     9.11    78.65     4.17    13.89     0.03     1.09    85.20    21.37P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         36   64   +3      15.46    95.69     4.36    77.81     4.17     3.25     0.01     0.49    78.78    16.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   62  +13       5.73    73.89     2.80    77.52     4.23    15.74     0.00     0.42    78.52    25.31P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   57  +19       3.88    66.50    11.24    72.71     4.45    19.65     0.00     0.06    37.05    10.45P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   53   +7      -3.91    33.52    -4.47    68.99     4.31    10.59     0.00     0.00    11.74     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   53   +3       3.49    65.53     2.47    67.10     4.13     3.68     0.00     0.00     4.36     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   52   +6      -4.65    30.13    -4.75    67.43     4.19     8.58     0.00     0.00     5.39     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        36   50   +2       4.12    67.66     7.70    62.40     4.17    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       35   47   +3      -3.20    36.17    -0.06    64.30     4.58     6.24     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff         36   47   -3      -2.18    40.74    -2.51    60.37     4.26    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
QPR             36   46   -9      -1.60    43.31    -6.25    58.32     4.10   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.44R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   45   -4      -3.04    37.08    -2.86    58.67     4.18    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
Ipswich         36   44   -7      -3.66    34.65    -5.07    57.21     4.19    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      36   43  -16      -0.34    49.11    -7.13    54.47     4.03   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.14R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   40  -10      -5.41    27.46    -3.38    53.10     4.23   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.71R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   36   38  -13      -0.46    48.68     1.96    49.07     4.01   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   37  -11      -7.76    18.79    -6.56    49.78     4.33   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.78R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   36   -6      -8.58    15.96    -2.93    52.50     4.65    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.55R    0.00  
Bristol_City    36   35   -8      -8.76    16.39     1.13    47.48     4.19   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.74R    0.00  
Wigan           36   34  -10      -9.88    13.48    -3.08    46.79     4.06   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.29R    0.01  
Rotherham       36   17  -49     -11.91     5.55   -13.13    25.18     3.77   -58.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Charlton 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        36   72  +27      10.60    88.02     8.61    89.59     4.23    32.78    87.01    97.30   100.00    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   35   64  +20      10.12    87.29    11.22    80.85     4.46    22.63     6.72    45.13    97.57    57.63P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   61  +21       2.60    61.28     7.39    76.84     4.26    24.20     1.22    15.13    88.45    34.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           34   60  +17       4.65    69.57     4.26    79.30     4.68    21.37     4.19    31.41    94.00    48.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         36   59  +13       2.61    61.55     2.55    73.81     4.16    14.64     0.25     3.34    67.16    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   58   +9       1.62    57.11    -3.41    74.79     4.52    11.63     0.58     6.38    71.73    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         35   54  +10       4.61    70.11     7.88    70.05     4.49    11.45     0.02     0.73    32.38     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   52   +0      -0.81    46.69    -5.23    66.69     4.19     1.55     0.00     0.03     8.82     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   51   +0       5.13    71.50     5.64    64.85     4.28     0.02     0.00     0.01     4.50     0.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     36   50   +1      -1.66    42.98    -2.33    64.77     4.29     2.47     0.00     0.01     4.28     0.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       34   49   +6       1.88    58.48     5.05    65.31     4.65     6.00     0.00     0.09     7.85     1.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale         33   49   +2       2.21    60.27    -0.07    68.38     5.00     4.32     0.02     0.44    21.11     4.83P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    35   47   +2       4.60    70.14    10.39    61.66     4.48     1.47     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.22P    0.21R    0.00  
Charlton         36   45   +4      -7.38    21.45    -0.70    59.88     4.29     5.70     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.12P    0.41R    0.00  
MK_Dons          35   43   +0      -7.89    19.29    -4.34    58.48     4.53     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    1.37R    0.00  
Northampton      36   43   -7      -0.81    47.13     2.52    55.18     4.22    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.08R    0.01  
Gillingham       36   42  -10      -5.95    26.10    -7.47    54.72     4.30   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.36R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       36   42  -11      -0.37    49.12    -0.28    53.78     4.19   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.95R    0.06  
Bury             36   40  -10      -2.65    38.89     1.73    51.43     4.15   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.91R    0.24  
Oldham           36   39  -13      -2.11    40.78    -3.04    50.38     4.01   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.80R    0.47  
Swindon          36   36  -15      -9.19    15.02    -8.65    47.34     4.08   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.46R    3.16  
Port_Vale        33   35  -17      -3.44    34.59    -6.66    50.06     4.81   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.92R    2.25  
Chesterfield     36   31  -25      -8.47    16.62   -10.19    42.02     4.03   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.86R   30.32  
Coventry         35   26  -24     -15.58     3.08   -14.89    38.95     4.32   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   63.46  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Crawley_Town 0 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            35   69  +24       5.55    72.51     0.28    88.82     4.51    31.21    79.04    98.36   100.00    98.89P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             35   65  +15       6.86    77.68     0.13    82.75     4.44    18.94    14.94    81.91    99.70    86.85P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   59  +20      -0.04    49.74     3.82    78.44     4.43    26.30     3.33    50.34    96.89    65.17P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             35   58   +5       8.37    82.11     2.98    75.10     4.61     8.04     0.55    19.23    84.08    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                34   57  +22       1.69    57.42     9.27    76.85     4.77    27.05     1.99    37.47    92.22    53.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   55   +8       4.64    69.61     4.83    69.62     4.54     7.20     0.03     3.01    43.86    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               35   54  +15       1.32    56.02     8.11    71.08     4.51    17.90     0.10     5.43    61.13    18.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            35   52   +5       2.78    62.38     2.89    65.77     4.44     3.21     0.00     0.43    16.23     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           35   51   +7      -2.19    40.80    -0.69    67.46     4.64     9.01     0.02     1.26    28.17     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   50  +17      -8.89    16.66     0.95    69.21     4.47    23.08     0.00     2.15    46.28    17.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   50   -1       1.81    58.41    -1.67    65.50     4.48    -0.28     0.00     0.22    13.36     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        34   47   +3      -0.98    45.92     1.04    64.15     4.75     4.09     0.00     0.14    10.84     2.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby              35   47   -1       2.42    61.03     3.71    60.05     4.37    -3.80     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               35   46   -4       1.26    56.20     0.97    61.40     4.53    -3.60     0.00     0.01     2.75     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            34   46   -8       5.07    72.17     1.43    61.00     4.69   -10.48     0.00     0.03     2.76     0.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         35   43  -13       3.80    67.43     0.60    56.15     4.42   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.85R    0.04  
Yeovil               35   40  -11      -1.61    43.33    -2.75    52.89     4.36   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.59R    0.38  
Cheltenham           35   39   -8      -5.30    28.19    -3.01    52.11     4.36   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    4.66R    0.40  
Crewe                35   39  -15      -3.50    35.53    -6.80    53.50     4.52   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.16R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   33   38   -9      -6.20    23.82    -7.43    55.48     4.91    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    1.71R    0.18  
Hartlepool           35   38  -13      -0.53    48.33     2.19    49.52     4.32   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.72R    2.05  
Notts_County         35   37  -23      -0.45    48.93    -6.14    47.94     4.23   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.06R    5.51  
Leyton_Orient        35   32  -15     -13.59     6.18   -11.21    45.71     4.42   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.93R    9.85  
Newport_County       34   26  -20      -9.69    12.06    -3.52    38.43     4.44   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.24R   81.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Barrow 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       34   72  +35      12.84    93.27    15.67    92.96     4.71    41.97    61.99    99.84    71.27P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       34   66  +29       3.25    64.19     3.83    88.35     4.51    38.45    19.82    98.59    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           34   66  +20       6.83    78.75     1.59    88.62     4.54    28.98    16.56    98.15    40.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   64  +19       1.92    57.84    -2.45    81.94     4.51    23.38     1.41    77.51    20.53P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   60  +18       1.45    56.28     1.84    78.08     4.48    22.82     0.16    47.84    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          36   59  +16       6.50    76.70    11.25    73.63     4.20    17.38     0.00    12.59     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   58  +23       2.26    59.87    11.56    75.62     4.47    26.94     0.03    28.18     5.42P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             35   58  +18       5.77    74.33    11.77    74.98     4.54    20.77     0.02    21.94     3.56P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   53  +11       1.32    56.37     1.55    73.64     4.91    15.09     0.01    15.23     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   52   -6       1.62    57.47    -7.65    64.98     4.18    -6.97     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chester            35   46   +4      -2.47    39.64     3.84    60.92     4.49     3.41     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Bromley            36   46  -14       3.00    63.79    -3.61    57.73     4.11   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   44   +0      -0.78    47.08     3.39    58.56     4.38    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   44   -4       1.11    55.38     4.01    57.53     4.39    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Eastleigh          36   43   -4      -8.01    18.70    -6.33    57.04     4.28    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Sutton_United      33   43   -7       4.56    70.71     2.98    57.79     4.74   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.01  
Guiseley           36   41  -11       0.19    51.99     2.54    51.77     4.08   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    0.18  
Braintree_Town     36   41  -16      -5.58    26.99   -11.93    54.41     4.19   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    0.05  
Maidstone_United   36   40  -19       1.65    58.31    -0.63    49.12     3.92   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.42R    0.90  
Woking             36   37  -16      -8.92    16.43    -9.35    49.57     4.20   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.49R    1.06  
Torquay            35   35  -11      -7.71    18.90    -2.73    48.24     4.37   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.50R    3.21  
North_Ferriby      36   33  -30       0.85    55.78    -5.09    41.82     3.78   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.63R   34.63  
York               35   32  -20     -13.48     6.32   -16.10    46.30     4.46   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.82R    7.76  
Southport          35   31  -35      -2.41    39.76    -9.96    40.94     4.12   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.28R   52.20