Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 7 March 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 March 2017, West_Ham 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 27 66 +37 13.40 97.18 11.91 88.23 4.17 48.59 90.41 97.99 99.70 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 56 +33 4.49 72.93 9.80 78.01 4.28 43.96 4.00 44.80 77.08 91.19 99.93 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 55 +24 4.67 73.89 -0.33 78.10 4.44 34.93 5.02 41.19 72.31 88.46 99.86 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 52 +24 4.96 74.16 7.42 72.72 4.35 33.19 0.24 7.45 23.92 54.97 97.86 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 50 +24 0.36 51.44 1.04 72.20 4.59 33.17 0.30 7.47 22.18 49.86 96.94 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 49 +17 3.22 66.79 2.01 68.11 4.56 20.91 0.03 1.09 4.72 14.69 85.06 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 44 +14 1.41 57.36 5.77 61.23 4.36 17.11 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.88 19.88 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 27 40 +2 5.08 75.81 5.73 51.78 4.28 -3.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.00 0.00 Stoke 27 35 -8 2.46 63.90 -0.23 47.22 4.30 -12.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11R 0.00 Southampton 26 33 -2 -5.82 21.84 -6.47 49.93 4.51 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03R 0.00 West_Ham 27 33 -10 -2.09 39.59 -5.52 47.64 4.53 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21R 0.00 Burnley 27 31 -10 0.27 52.54 0.49 43.65 4.36 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.86R 0.04 Watford 27 31 -14 1.22 57.84 -1.36 42.46 4.17 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.62R 0.14 Bournemouth 27 27 -15 -0.95 45.76 2.23 39.09 4.24 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.38R 1.26 Leicester 27 27 -15 -8.51 13.01 -11.83 41.26 4.31 -16.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.27R 0.34 Swansea 27 27 -24 -1.08 45.03 -6.97 39.75 4.40 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.46R 1.43 Crystal_Palace 27 25 -11 -5.97 21.31 -0.81 35.90 4.00 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.87R 4.51 Middlesbrough 27 22 -11 -7.44 14.88 -0.56 33.68 4.13 -15.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.58R 13.81 Hull 27 21 -29 -2.93 34.92 -6.80 32.11 4.14 -35.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.72R 30.85 Sunderland 27 19 -26 -6.12 18.74 -5.52 30.27 4.16 -32.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.88R 47.62Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Birmingham 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 36 77 +40 6.39 76.36 6.94 97.22 3.99 49.94 84.59 99.38 100.00 99.67P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 36 74 +29 9.81 86.88 6.98 91.75 4.14 34.88 14.98 92.16 100.00 95.13P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 35 68 +7 20.27 98.97 7.49 82.94 4.49 6.67 0.39 6.40 96.75 24.34P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 36 65 +14 12.52 91.90 9.11 78.65 4.17 13.89 0.03 1.09 85.20 21.37P 0.00 0.00 Reading 36 64 +3 15.46 95.69 4.36 77.81 4.17 3.25 0.01 0.49 78.78 16.15P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 62 +13 5.73 73.89 2.80 77.52 4.23 15.74 0.00 0.42 78.52 25.31P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 35 57 +19 3.88 66.50 11.24 72.71 4.45 19.65 0.00 0.06 37.05 10.45P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 36 53 +7 -3.91 33.52 -4.47 68.99 4.31 10.59 0.00 0.00 11.74 4.02P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 53 +3 3.49 65.53 2.47 67.10 4.13 3.68 0.00 0.00 4.36 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Derby 36 52 +6 -4.65 30.13 -4.75 67.43 4.19 8.58 0.00 0.00 5.39 1.84P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 36 50 +2 4.12 67.66 7.70 62.40 4.17 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 35 47 +3 -3.20 36.17 -0.06 64.30 4.58 6.24 0.00 0.00 1.71 0.53P 0.01R 0.00 Cardiff 36 47 -3 -2.18 40.74 -2.51 60.37 4.26 -3.51 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.12R 0.00 QPR 36 46 -9 -1.60 43.31 -6.25 58.32 4.10 -10.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.44R 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 45 -4 -3.04 37.08 -2.86 58.67 4.18 -3.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.42R 0.00 Ipswich 36 44 -7 -3.66 34.65 -5.07 57.21 4.19 -7.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.14R 0.00 Birmingham 36 43 -16 -0.34 49.11 -7.13 54.47 4.03 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 40 -10 -5.41 27.46 -3.38 53.10 4.23 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.71R 0.00 Burton_Albion 36 38 -13 -0.46 48.68 1.96 49.07 4.01 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.65R 0.00 Blackburn 35 37 -11 -7.76 18.79 -6.56 49.78 4.33 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.78R 0.00 Wolverhampton 34 36 -6 -8.58 15.96 -2.93 52.50 4.65 -5.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.55R 0.00 Bristol_City 36 35 -8 -8.76 16.39 1.13 47.48 4.19 -10.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.74R 0.00 Wigan 36 34 -10 -9.88 13.48 -3.08 46.79 4.06 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.29R 0.01 Rotherham 36 17 -49 -11.91 5.55 -13.13 25.18 3.77 -58.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Charlton 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 36 72 +27 10.60 88.02 8.61 89.59 4.23 32.78 87.01 97.30 100.00 98.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 64 +20 10.12 87.29 11.22 80.85 4.46 22.63 6.72 45.13 97.57 57.63P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 36 61 +21 2.60 61.28 7.39 76.84 4.26 24.20 1.22 15.13 88.45 34.92P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 34 60 +17 4.65 69.57 4.26 79.30 4.68 21.37 4.19 31.41 94.00 48.37P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 36 59 +13 2.61 61.55 2.55 73.81 4.16 14.64 0.25 3.34 67.16 19.66P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 35 58 +9 1.62 57.11 -3.41 74.79 4.52 11.63 0.58 6.38 71.73 23.68P 0.00 0.00 Southend 35 54 +10 4.61 70.11 7.88 70.05 4.49 11.45 0.02 0.73 32.38 7.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 36 52 +0 -0.81 46.69 -5.23 66.69 4.19 1.55 0.00 0.03 8.82 2.11P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 51 +0 5.13 71.50 5.64 64.85 4.28 0.02 0.00 0.01 4.50 0.84P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 36 50 +1 -1.66 42.98 -2.33 64.77 4.29 2.47 0.00 0.01 4.28 0.90P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 49 +6 1.88 58.48 5.05 65.31 4.65 6.00 0.00 0.09 7.85 1.66P 0.03R 0.00 Rochdale 33 49 +2 2.21 60.27 -0.07 68.38 5.00 4.32 0.02 0.44 21.11 4.83P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 35 47 +2 4.60 70.14 10.39 61.66 4.48 1.47 0.00 0.00 1.49 0.22P 0.21R 0.00 Charlton 36 45 +4 -7.38 21.45 -0.70 59.88 4.29 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.12P 0.41R 0.00 MK_Dons 35 43 +0 -7.89 19.29 -4.34 58.48 4.53 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 1.37R 0.00 Northampton 36 43 -7 -0.81 47.13 2.52 55.18 4.22 -9.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 7.08R 0.01 Gillingham 36 42 -10 -5.95 26.10 -7.47 54.72 4.30 -11.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 8.36R 0.03 Shrewsbury 36 42 -11 -0.37 49.12 -0.28 53.78 4.19 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.95R 0.06 Bury 36 40 -10 -2.65 38.89 1.73 51.43 4.15 -13.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.91R 0.24 Oldham 36 39 -13 -2.11 40.78 -3.04 50.38 4.01 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.80R 0.47 Swindon 36 36 -15 -9.19 15.02 -8.65 47.34 4.08 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.46R 3.16 Port_Vale 33 35 -17 -3.44 34.59 -6.66 50.06 4.81 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.92R 2.25 Chesterfield 36 31 -25 -8.47 16.62 -10.19 42.02 4.03 -29.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.86R 30.32 Coventry 35 26 -24 -15.58 3.08 -14.89 38.95 4.32 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.63R 63.46League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Crawley_Town 0 2 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 35 69 +24 5.55 72.51 0.28 88.82 4.51 31.21 79.04 98.36 100.00 98.89P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 35 65 +15 6.86 77.68 0.13 82.75 4.44 18.94 14.94 81.91 99.70 86.85P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 59 +20 -0.04 49.74 3.82 78.44 4.43 26.30 3.33 50.34 96.89 65.17P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 58 +5 8.37 82.11 2.98 75.10 4.61 8.04 0.55 19.23 84.08 31.58P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 57 +22 1.69 57.42 9.27 76.85 4.77 27.05 1.99 37.47 92.22 53.18P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 55 +8 4.64 69.61 4.83 69.62 4.54 7.20 0.03 3.01 43.86 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 54 +15 1.32 56.02 8.11 71.08 4.51 17.90 0.10 5.43 61.13 18.53P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 52 +5 2.78 62.38 2.89 65.77 4.44 3.21 0.00 0.43 16.23 3.52P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 51 +7 -2.19 40.80 -0.69 67.46 4.64 9.01 0.02 1.26 28.17 7.61P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 50 +17 -8.89 16.66 0.95 69.21 4.47 23.08 0.00 2.15 46.28 17.17P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 35 50 -1 1.81 58.41 -1.67 65.50 4.48 -0.28 0.00 0.22 13.36 2.97P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 34 47 +3 -0.98 45.92 1.04 64.15 4.75 4.09 0.00 0.14 10.84 2.40P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 35 47 -1 2.42 61.03 3.71 60.05 4.37 -3.80 0.00 0.01 1.38 0.25P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 35 46 -4 1.26 56.20 0.97 61.40 4.53 -3.60 0.00 0.01 2.75 0.52P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 34 46 -8 5.07 72.17 1.43 61.00 4.69 -10.48 0.00 0.03 2.76 0.41P 0.05R 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 43 -13 3.80 67.43 0.60 56.15 4.42 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.85R 0.04 Yeovil 35 40 -11 -1.61 43.33 -2.75 52.89 4.36 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.59R 0.38 Cheltenham 35 39 -8 -5.30 28.19 -3.01 52.11 4.36 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 4.66R 0.40 Crewe 35 39 -15 -3.50 35.53 -6.80 53.50 4.52 -15.89 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 4.16R 0.47 Accrington_Stanley 33 38 -9 -6.20 23.82 -7.43 55.48 4.91 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 1.71R 0.18 Hartlepool 35 38 -13 -0.53 48.33 2.19 49.52 4.32 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.72R 2.05 Notts_County 35 37 -23 -0.45 48.93 -6.14 47.94 4.23 -29.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.06R 5.51 Leyton_Orient 35 32 -15 -13.59 6.18 -11.21 45.71 4.42 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.93R 9.85 Newport_County 34 26 -20 -9.69 12.06 -3.52 38.43 4.44 -26.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.24R 81.11National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 March 2017, Barrow 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 34 72 +35 12.84 93.27 15.67 92.96 4.71 41.97 61.99 99.84 71.27P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 66 +29 3.25 64.19 3.83 88.35 4.51 38.45 19.82 98.59 43.56P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 34 66 +20 6.83 78.75 1.59 88.62 4.54 28.98 16.56 98.15 40.35P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 35 64 +19 1.92 57.84 -2.45 81.94 4.51 23.38 1.41 77.51 20.53P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 60 +18 1.45 56.28 1.84 78.08 4.48 22.82 0.16 47.84 10.15P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 36 59 +16 6.50 76.70 11.25 73.63 4.20 17.38 0.00 12.59 2.01P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 58 +23 2.26 59.87 11.56 75.62 4.47 26.94 0.03 28.18 5.42P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 35 58 +18 5.77 74.33 11.77 74.98 4.54 20.77 0.02 21.94 3.56P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 53 +11 1.32 56.37 1.55 73.64 4.91 15.09 0.01 15.23 3.14P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 52 -6 1.62 57.47 -7.65 64.98 4.18 -6.97 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 46 +4 -2.47 39.64 3.84 60.92 4.49 3.41 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Bromley 36 46 -14 3.00 63.79 -3.61 57.73 4.11 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 44 +0 -0.78 47.08 3.39 58.56 4.38 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 35 44 -4 1.11 55.38 4.01 57.53 4.39 -6.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.26R 0.00 Eastleigh 36 43 -4 -8.01 18.70 -6.33 57.04 4.28 -3.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.16R 0.00 Sutton_United 33 43 -7 4.56 70.71 2.98 57.79 4.74 -11.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82R 0.01 Guiseley 36 41 -11 0.19 51.99 2.54 51.77 4.08 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.39R 0.18 Braintree_Town 36 41 -16 -5.58 26.99 -11.93 54.41 4.19 -16.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.76R 0.05 Maidstone_United 36 40 -19 1.65 58.31 -0.63 49.12 3.92 -26.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.42R 0.90 Woking 36 37 -16 -8.92 16.43 -9.35 49.57 4.20 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.49R 1.06 Torquay 35 35 -11 -7.71 18.90 -2.73 48.24 4.37 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.50R 3.21 North_Ferriby 36 33 -30 0.85 55.78 -5.09 41.82 3.78 -36.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.63R 34.63 York 35 32 -20 -13.48 6.32 -16.10 46.30 4.46 -21.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.82R 7.76 Southport 35 31 -35 -2.41 39.76 -9.96 40.94 4.12 -43.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.28R 52.20