Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 24 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 60 +34 11.90 95.94 11.98 86.38 4.58 48.00 85.22 95.63 98.73 99.68 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +22 3.73 69.62 -1.21 77.12 4.68 33.96 7.20 38.91 64.39 82.51 99.58 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 50 +28 3.64 69.39 8.94 75.87 4.73 40.56 4.19 31.30 57.89 78.56 99.18 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 50 +26 1.17 55.81 2.12 73.75 4.84 35.46 1.95 17.96 38.10 60.96 97.68 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 49 +24 4.90 74.85 7.77 72.85 4.88 33.79 1.19 12.67 30.11 53.25 96.62 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 48 +17 4.07 71.19 2.79 69.65 4.75 22.82 0.25 3.47 10.50 23.78 89.23 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 41 +13 1.58 58.28 5.36 61.12 4.78 16.37 0.00 0.05 0.27 1.25 16.98 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 25 37 +3 5.12 76.71 7.11 52.64 4.76 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 25 32 -6 1.35 58.36 0.11 46.57 4.70 -11.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.38R 0.01 West_Ham 25 32 -9 -0.82 45.92 -5.50 49.07 4.97 -10.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.17R 0.00 Southampton 25 30 -3 -7.01 16.47 -6.83 48.27 4.80 -2.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.15R 0.00 Burnley 25 30 -9 1.59 59.74 0.65 45.27 4.85 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.21R 0.04 Watford 25 30 -13 2.63 65.53 -1.09 44.32 4.69 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.93R 0.07 Bournemouth 25 26 -14 -0.12 50.62 1.76 39.47 4.64 -22.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.94R 1.64 Swansea 25 24 -23 -1.91 39.88 -7.58 38.38 4.73 -29.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.86R 3.42 Middlesbrough 25 22 -8 -5.92 19.81 0.76 36.15 4.63 -13.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.85R 7.10 Leicester 25 21 -19 -10.15 7.59 -13.48 37.85 4.80 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.95R 4.43 Hull 25 20 -27 -2.15 38.68 -6.58 33.47 4.61 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.74R 22.71 Crystal_Palace 25 19 -14 -8.47 11.08 -2.58 32.05 4.43 -22.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.41R 26.72 Sunderland 25 19 -22 -5.18 22.38 -4.51 31.71 4.53 -31.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.41R 33.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 February 2017, Burton_Albion 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 32 69 +37 5.43 74.27 6.40 96.41 4.91 49.72 68.42 97.03 100.00 98.28P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 68 +28 10.39 89.83 7.63 93.25 5.03 36.92 30.44 91.96 99.99 94.87P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 32 64 +8 19.70 99.06 7.45 82.84 5.13 7.36 1.01 7.98 94.31 24.29P 0.00 0.00 Reading 33 60 +5 14.57 95.33 4.91 77.40 4.79 4.38 0.05 0.98 70.99 14.57P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 58 +11 10.68 89.70 7.69 75.04 4.82 9.85 0.01 0.45 53.64 12.34P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 58 +10 7.20 80.15 1.72 78.14 4.89 13.49 0.07 1.31 76.48 23.61P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 32 52 +17 3.95 67.57 10.74 72.18 5.15 18.14 0.01 0.15 34.90 9.05P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 33 51 +11 -3.35 35.34 -3.00 72.30 5.02 16.40 0.00 0.09 36.15 12.54P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 33 49 +4 6.20 76.07 8.09 65.02 4.86 0.79 0.00 0.00 3.13 0.68P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 33 49 +4 3.00 64.11 2.63 66.84 4.77 4.13 0.00 0.00 6.63 1.68P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 32 48 +7 -3.19 35.04 -3.76 70.34 5.11 11.69 0.00 0.05 21.50 7.47P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 45 -2 -0.44 48.49 -2.07 62.41 4.94 -2.63 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.24P 0.09R 0.00 Birmingham 34 43 -13 1.43 57.42 -5.62 57.70 4.54 -15.49 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.08R 0.00 Ipswich 33 41 -7 -2.70 37.73 -5.19 58.15 4.87 -8.02 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03P 1.13R 0.00 Brentford 32 40 +0 -4.59 29.93 -0.59 61.98 5.23 4.26 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.35P 0.18R 0.00 QPR 33 40 -10 -2.92 37.04 -6.40 56.41 4.79 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 2.56R 0.00 Aston_Villa 32 36 -8 -4.90 28.36 -4.29 54.87 5.08 -8.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 5.96R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 36 -12 -4.71 29.30 -4.31 52.38 4.87 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.74R 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 36 -13 -0.13 50.35 1.57 48.72 4.44 -18.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.81R 0.01 Wolverhampton 32 35 -5 -7.50 18.61 -2.75 53.86 5.08 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.58R 0.01 Bristol_City 32 32 -6 -7.23 19.49 1.56 48.97 5.01 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.12R 0.04 Wigan 33 30 -10 -10.20 11.20 -3.33 46.77 4.77 -11.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.83R 0.20 Blackburn 32 30 -13 -9.90 11.41 -7.27 46.82 5.00 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.92R 0.12 Rotherham 33 17 -43 -10.43 7.75 -11.83 27.70 4.38 -54.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 99.61League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Charlton 0 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 33 65 +24 9.09 85.54 7.74 86.52 4.93 29.45 50.27 78.56 99.70 84.56P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 32 60 +25 6.13 76.63 9.87 82.96 5.12 30.66 23.01 53.67 98.02 66.25P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 31 58 +19 6.23 76.84 5.49 82.96 5.32 25.73 22.76 50.01 97.59 64.16P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 58 +15 8.97 85.41 9.20 77.19 4.88 17.12 2.80 10.96 83.91 27.41P 0.00 0.00 Southend 33 53 +11 6.25 77.07 8.76 72.30 4.96 13.22 0.27 1.67 50.50 11.47P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 33 52 +11 0.88 54.24 2.20 71.56 4.80 13.59 0.14 1.20 44.94 12.81P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 32 51 +7 -0.01 49.85 -3.70 72.83 5.19 11.02 0.56 2.65 53.17 16.46P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 31 48 +4 2.99 64.09 0.34 70.11 5.38 6.24 0.17 0.96 32.17 7.75P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 33 47 +1 -0.98 45.75 -2.95 65.34 4.90 1.66 0.00 0.03 8.04 1.79P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 46 +5 3.45 66.23 4.67 66.67 5.36 5.40 0.03 0.24 14.42 3.25P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 46 -2 4.74 71.10 4.61 62.40 4.95 -4.51 0.00 0.01 2.46 0.43P 0.20R 0.00 Walsall 33 46 -2 -1.33 44.23 -5.28 65.75 4.85 0.89 0.00 0.02 8.51 1.93P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 32 42 +6 -5.41 26.61 0.60 63.49 5.21 9.41 0.00 0.01 5.49 1.51P 0.17R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 32 40 +0 1.95 59.73 8.90 57.09 5.04 -3.22 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.04P 3.25R 0.02 Northampton 33 40 -4 -0.96 46.17 3.42 56.52 4.94 -6.49 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 4.66R 0.06 MK_Dons 32 39 +0 -7.91 18.11 -4.52 58.26 5.15 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.14P 2.09R 0.03 Shrewsbury 33 38 -11 -0.32 49.28 -0.55 53.34 4.82 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.56R 0.56 Gillingham 33 36 -10 -7.84 18.32 -7.45 52.63 4.95 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.54R 0.87 Oldham 33 35 -12 -2.79 37.30 -2.97 49.51 4.65 -16.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.81R 2.47 Bury 33 34 -11 -4.31 31.09 1.18 49.25 4.78 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.39R 3.52 Port_Vale 31 34 -16 -2.45 38.87 -6.73 51.20 5.19 -20.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.17R 2.69 Swindon 33 30 -18 -9.97 11.57 -10.03 45.59 4.78 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.92R 15.67 Chesterfield 33 28 -21 -9.35 12.79 -9.03 42.53 4.69 -26.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.79R 36.30 Coventry 32 25 -21 -13.75 4.21 -13.77 42.27 5.01 -23.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.39R 37.79League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Colchester 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 32 64 +23 5.65 73.93 0.69 89.56 5.17 32.75 64.94 96.74 99.97 97.75P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 31 61 +17 8.07 83.18 1.60 85.74 5.36 23.34 26.66 85.42 99.73 89.28P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 58 +11 10.21 87.97 5.36 79.65 5.22 14.70 3.97 46.34 96.05 56.80P 0.00 0.00 Luton 32 53 +18 2.20 60.17 7.82 75.26 5.18 22.59 0.82 18.86 85.19 36.63P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 31 52 +16 0.55 52.45 2.81 78.58 5.33 24.76 3.37 40.78 94.50 57.60P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 32 50 +16 1.30 55.96 8.77 72.12 5.18 20.33 0.18 7.31 68.21 22.16P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 32 47 +7 -1.87 41.84 -0.40 68.55 5.29 10.51 0.03 1.93 39.01 10.88P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 47 +4 2.29 60.92 2.57 65.19 5.10 2.61 0.00 0.42 16.42 3.51P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 46 +1 2.66 62.34 2.26 64.74 5.18 0.12 0.00 0.30 14.74 2.87P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 32 46 -1 1.84 59.12 -1.77 66.20 5.15 0.62 0.01 0.39 20.60 4.58P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 32 45 -2 3.47 65.97 1.74 64.25 5.20 -2.00 0.00 0.17 12.52 2.39P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 32 44 +0 2.97 64.11 4.06 61.07 5.10 -3.01 0.00 0.04 4.16 0.76P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 43 +3 -1.16 44.89 0.57 64.03 5.40 3.70 0.00 0.25 13.36 3.21P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 31 42 +12 -8.65 15.61 0.14 67.05 5.33 18.62 0.01 1.02 31.36 10.92P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 31 42 -7 4.60 71.40 1.60 60.00 5.23 -11.31 0.00 0.01 2.96 0.45P 0.16R 0.01 Crawley_Town 31 39 -11 3.78 68.79 0.57 55.89 5.24 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.06P 1.31R 0.25 Yeovil 32 38 -7 -1.25 44.48 -0.96 55.04 5.02 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 1.44R 0.29 Crewe 32 36 -11 -4.25 31.35 -5.54 54.57 5.22 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 2.58R 0.65 Accrington_Stanley 30 33 -10 -6.98 20.00 -8.33 53.94 5.53 -11.56 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 3.69R 1.00 Notts_County 32 33 -21 -1.61 43.08 -5.90 46.86 4.84 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.94R 12.46 Cheltenham 32 32 -10 -7.76 18.36 -4.12 48.74 5.03 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.78R 5.39 Hartlepool 32 32 -18 -1.21 45.10 -0.98 45.81 4.85 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.13R 16.39 Leyton_Orient 32 29 -15 -12.38 6.93 -11.12 46.94 5.10 -16.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.28R 11.59 Newport_County 32 26 -15 -8.83 13.97 -1.43 41.11 4.91 -21.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.65R 51.96National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Dag_&_Red 2 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 31 67 +31 13.65 95.23 14.19 92.45 5.39 38.54 55.20 99.15 64.53P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 33 64 +22 3.69 65.90 -1.09 86.35 4.90 29.12 10.70 91.98 32.97P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 63 +20 6.97 80.11 2.27 88.94 4.96 29.78 20.94 96.71 43.23P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 60 +25 1.83 58.08 2.91 86.27 4.92 36.34 12.23 93.39 35.54P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 56 +16 2.70 61.76 1.41 79.32 5.18 22.64 0.67 51.73 10.81P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 55 +22 1.00 54.33 11.11 73.88 4.68 25.74 0.01 14.26 2.84P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 32 54 +18 5.95 75.90 11.87 75.84 5.22 21.91 0.16 25.17 4.42P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 33 54 +12 6.71 78.51 8.95 72.50 4.87 13.06 0.01 7.72 1.23P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 53 +14 1.51 57.07 2.80 75.10 5.10 18.27 0.09 19.80 4.42P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 34 46 -8 -1.34 44.19 -9.13 61.34 4.60 -9.50 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Bromley 33 45 -5 2.80 63.34 0.18 61.32 4.83 -7.63 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.10R 0.00 Chester 33 43 +4 -2.76 37.88 3.83 60.56 4.94 3.27 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.24R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 33 43 +1 0.59 53.33 4.13 60.71 4.86 1.11 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.13R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 33 43 -3 2.05 59.96 4.04 58.80 4.87 -6.46 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.52R 0.00 Eastleigh 33 42 +1 -6.70 21.87 -4.17 60.33 4.98 1.55 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.20R 0.00 Braintree_Town 32 37 -16 -4.04 31.59 -11.82 56.26 5.07 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.47R 0.02 Sutton_United 30 36 -9 1.86 59.97 1.49 53.88 5.36 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.02R 0.16 Torquay 33 35 -9 -5.38 26.53 -1.56 51.89 4.80 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.08R 0.23 Guiseley 33 35 -12 -1.33 44.56 2.30 49.51 4.71 -17.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.85R 0.72 Woking 33 34 -15 -8.48 16.54 -9.71 50.12 4.84 -18.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.13R 0.75 Maidstone_United 33 33 -23 0.23 52.27 -2.08 44.42 4.46 -34.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.27R 7.72 Southport 33 31 -32 -0.86 47.15 -8.81 43.56 4.61 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.91R 12.61 York 33 28 -22 -13.91 4.94 -16.97 43.83 4.84 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.84R 9.37 North_Ferriby 34 27 -32 -1.88 41.98 -6.13 37.32 4.15 -40.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.19R 68.43