Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          25   60  +34      11.90    95.94    11.98    86.38     4.58    48.00    85.22    95.63    98.73    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   52  +22       3.73    69.62    -1.21    77.12     4.68    33.96     7.20    38.91    64.39    82.51    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   50  +28       3.64    69.39     8.94    75.87     4.73    40.56     4.19    31.30    57.89    78.56    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   50  +26       1.17    55.81     2.12    73.75     4.84    35.46     1.95    17.96    38.10    60.96    97.68     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   49  +24       4.90    74.85     7.77    72.85     4.88    33.79     1.19    12.67    30.11    53.25    96.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   48  +17       4.07    71.19     2.79    69.65     4.75    22.82     0.25     3.47    10.50    23.78    89.23     0.00     0.00  
Everton          25   41  +13       1.58    58.28     5.36    61.12     4.78    16.37     0.00     0.05     0.27     1.25    16.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        25   37   +3       5.12    76.71     7.11    52.64     4.76    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            25   32   -6       1.35    58.36     0.11    46.57     4.70   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38R    0.01  
West_Ham         25   32   -9      -0.82    45.92    -5.50    49.07     4.97   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      25   30   -3      -7.01    16.47    -6.83    48.27     4.80    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          25   30   -9       1.59    59.74     0.65    45.27     4.85   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.21R    0.04  
Watford          25   30  -13       2.63    65.53    -1.09    44.32     4.69   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.93R    0.07  
Bournemouth      25   26  -14      -0.12    50.62     1.76    39.47     4.64   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.94R    1.64  
Swansea          25   24  -23      -1.91    39.88    -7.58    38.38     4.73   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.86R    3.42  
Middlesbrough    25   22   -8      -5.92    19.81     0.76    36.15     4.63   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.85R    7.10  
Leicester        25   21  -19     -10.15     7.59   -13.48    37.85     4.80   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    4.43  
Hull             25   20  -27      -2.15    38.68    -6.58    33.47     4.61   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.74R   22.71  
Crystal_Palace   25   19  -14      -8.47    11.08    -2.58    32.05     4.43   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.41R   26.72  
Sunderland       25   19  -22      -5.18    22.38    -4.51    31.71     4.53   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.41R   33.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 February 2017, Burton_Albion 1 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       32   69  +37       5.43    74.27     6.40    96.41     4.91    49.72    68.42    97.03   100.00    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        32   68  +28      10.39    89.83     7.63    93.25     5.03    36.92    30.44    91.96    99.99    94.87P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    32   64   +8      19.70    99.06     7.45    82.84     5.13     7.36     1.01     7.98    94.31    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         33   60   +5      14.57    95.33     4.91    77.40     4.79     4.38     0.05     0.98    70.99    14.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    33   58  +11      10.68    89.70     7.69    75.04     4.82     9.85     0.01     0.45    53.64    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   58  +10       7.20    80.15     1.72    78.14     4.89    13.49     0.07     1.31    76.48    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   52  +17       3.95    67.57    10.74    72.18     5.15    18.14     0.01     0.15    34.90     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   51  +11      -3.35    35.34    -3.00    72.30     5.02    16.40     0.00     0.09    36.15    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   49   +4       6.20    76.07     8.09    65.02     4.86     0.79     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         33   49   +4       3.00    64.11     2.63    66.84     4.77     4.13     0.00     0.00     6.63     1.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           32   48   +7      -3.19    35.04    -3.76    70.34     5.11    11.69     0.00     0.05    21.50     7.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   45   -2      -0.44    48.49    -2.07    62.41     4.94    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.24P    0.09R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   43  -13       1.43    57.42    -5.62    57.70     4.54   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.08R    0.00  
Ipswich         33   41   -7      -2.70    37.73    -5.19    58.15     4.87    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    1.13R    0.00  
Brentford       32   40   +0      -4.59    29.93    -0.59    61.98     5.23     4.26     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.35P    0.18R    0.00  
QPR             33   40  -10      -2.92    37.04    -6.40    56.41     4.79   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    2.56R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   36   -8      -4.90    28.36    -4.29    54.87     5.08    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    5.96R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   36  -12      -4.71    29.30    -4.31    52.38     4.87   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.74R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   34   36  -13      -0.13    50.35     1.57    48.72     4.44   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.81R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   32   35   -5      -7.50    18.61    -2.75    53.86     5.08    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.58R    0.01  
Bristol_City    32   32   -6      -7.23    19.49     1.56    48.97     5.01    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.12R    0.04  
Wigan           33   30  -10     -10.20    11.20    -3.33    46.77     4.77   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.83R    0.20  
Blackburn       32   30  -13      -9.90    11.41    -7.27    46.82     5.00   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.92R    0.12  
Rotherham       33   17  -43     -10.43     7.75   -11.83    27.70     4.38   -54.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Charlton 0 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        33   65  +24       9.09    85.54     7.74    86.52     4.93    29.45    50.27    78.56    99.70    84.56P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       32   60  +25       6.13    76.63     9.87    82.96     5.12    30.66    23.01    53.67    98.02    66.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           31   58  +19       6.23    76.84     5.49    82.96     5.32    25.73    22.76    50.01    97.59    64.16P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   33   58  +15       8.97    85.41     9.20    77.19     4.88    17.12     2.80    10.96    83.91    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   53  +11       6.25    77.07     8.76    72.30     4.96    13.22     0.27     1.67    50.50    11.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   52  +11       0.88    54.24     2.20    71.56     4.80    13.59     0.14     1.20    44.94    12.81P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   51   +7      -0.01    49.85    -3.70    72.83     5.19    11.02     0.56     2.65    53.17    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         31   48   +4       2.99    64.09     0.34    70.11     5.38     6.24     0.17     0.96    32.17     7.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     33   47   +1      -0.98    45.75    -2.95    65.34     4.90     1.66     0.00     0.03     8.04     1.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       31   46   +5       3.45    66.23     4.67    66.67     5.36     5.40     0.03     0.24    14.42     3.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -2       4.74    71.10     4.61    62.40     4.95    -4.51     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.43P    0.20R    0.00  
Walsall          33   46   -2      -1.33    44.23    -5.28    65.75     4.85     0.89     0.00     0.02     8.51     1.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         32   42   +6      -5.41    26.61     0.60    63.49     5.21     9.41     0.00     0.01     5.49     1.51P    0.17R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    32   40   +0       1.95    59.73     8.90    57.09     5.04    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    3.25R    0.02  
Northampton      33   40   -4      -0.96    46.17     3.42    56.52     4.94    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    4.66R    0.06  
MK_Dons          32   39   +0      -7.91    18.11    -4.52    58.26     5.15     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.14P    2.09R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       33   38  -11      -0.32    49.28    -0.55    53.34     4.82   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.56R    0.56  
Gillingham       33   36  -10      -7.84    18.32    -7.45    52.63     4.95   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.54R    0.87  
Oldham           33   35  -12      -2.79    37.30    -2.97    49.51     4.65   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.81R    2.47  
Bury             33   34  -11      -4.31    31.09     1.18    49.25     4.78   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.39R    3.52  
Port_Vale        31   34  -16      -2.45    38.87    -6.73    51.20     5.19   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.17R    2.69  
Swindon          33   30  -18      -9.97    11.57   -10.03    45.59     4.78   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.92R   15.67  
Chesterfield     33   28  -21      -9.35    12.79    -9.03    42.53     4.69   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.79R   36.30  
Coventry         32   25  -21     -13.75     4.21   -13.77    42.27     5.01   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.39R   37.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Colchester 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            32   64  +23       5.65    73.93     0.69    89.56     5.17    32.75    64.94    96.74    99.97    97.75P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             31   61  +17       8.07    83.18     1.60    85.74     5.36    23.34    26.66    85.42    99.73    89.28P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             32   58  +11      10.21    87.97     5.36    79.65     5.22    14.70     3.97    46.34    96.05    56.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   53  +18       2.20    60.17     7.82    75.26     5.18    22.59     0.82    18.86    85.19    36.63P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           31   52  +16       0.55    52.45     2.81    78.58     5.33    24.76     3.37    40.78    94.50    57.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   50  +16       1.30    55.96     8.77    72.12     5.18    20.33     0.18     7.31    68.21    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           32   47   +7      -1.87    41.84    -0.40    68.55     5.29    10.51     0.03     1.93    39.01    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   47   +4       2.29    60.92     2.57    65.19     5.10     2.61     0.00     0.42    16.42     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            32   46   +1       2.66    62.34     2.26    64.74     5.18     0.12     0.00     0.30    14.74     2.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              32   46   -1       1.84    59.12    -1.77    66.20     5.15     0.62     0.01     0.39    20.60     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               32   45   -2       3.47    65.97     1.74    64.25     5.20    -2.00     0.00     0.17    12.52     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby              32   44   +0       2.97    64.11     4.06    61.07     5.10    -3.01     0.00     0.04     4.16     0.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        31   43   +3      -1.16    44.89     0.57    64.03     5.40     3.70     0.00     0.25    13.36     3.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            31   42  +12      -8.65    15.61     0.14    67.05     5.33    18.62     0.01     1.02    31.36    10.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            31   42   -7       4.60    71.40     1.60    60.00     5.23   -11.31     0.00     0.01     2.96     0.45P    0.16R    0.01  
Crawley_Town         31   39  -11       3.78    68.79     0.57    55.89     5.24   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.06P    1.31R    0.25  
Yeovil               32   38   -7      -1.25    44.48    -0.96    55.04     5.02    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    1.44R    0.29  
Crewe                32   36  -11      -4.25    31.35    -5.54    54.57     5.22   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    2.58R    0.65  
Accrington_Stanley   30   33  -10      -6.98    20.00    -8.33    53.94     5.53   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    3.69R    1.00  
Notts_County         32   33  -21      -1.61    43.08    -5.90    46.86     4.84   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.94R   12.46  
Cheltenham           32   32  -10      -7.76    18.36    -4.12    48.74     5.03   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.78R    5.39  
Hartlepool           32   32  -18      -1.21    45.10    -0.98    45.81     4.85   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.13R   16.39  
Leyton_Orient        32   29  -15     -12.38     6.93   -11.12    46.94     5.10   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.28R   11.59  
Newport_County       32   26  -15      -8.83    13.97    -1.43    41.11     4.91   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.65R   51.96  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2017, Dag_&_Red 2 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       31   67  +31      13.65    95.23    14.19    92.45     5.39    38.54    55.20    99.15    64.53P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          33   64  +22       3.69    65.90    -1.09    86.35     4.90    29.12    10.70    91.98    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           32   63  +20       6.97    80.11     2.27    88.94     4.96    29.78    20.94    96.71    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       32   60  +25       1.83    58.08     2.91    86.27     4.92    36.34    12.23    93.39    35.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   56  +16       2.70    61.76     1.41    79.32     5.18    22.64     0.67    51.73    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   55  +22       1.00    54.33    11.11    73.88     4.68    25.74     0.01    14.26     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             32   54  +18       5.95    75.90    11.87    75.84     5.22    21.91     0.16    25.17     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          33   54  +12       6.71    78.51     8.95    72.50     4.87    13.06     0.01     7.72     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       32   53  +14       1.51    57.07     2.80    75.10     5.10    18.27     0.09    19.80     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   46   -8      -1.34    44.19    -9.13    61.34     4.60    -9.50     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bromley            33   45   -5       2.80    63.34     0.18    61.32     4.83    -7.63     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Chester            33   43   +4      -2.76    37.88     3.83    60.56     4.94     3.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.24R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       33   43   +1       0.59    53.33     4.13    60.71     4.86     1.11     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.13R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     33   43   -3       2.05    59.96     4.04    58.80     4.87    -6.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Eastleigh          33   42   +1      -6.70    21.87    -4.17    60.33     4.98     1.55     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.20R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   37  -16      -4.04    31.59   -11.82    56.26     5.07   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.47R    0.02  
Sutton_United      30   36   -9       1.86    59.97     1.49    53.88     5.36   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.16  
Torquay            33   35   -9      -5.38    26.53    -1.56    51.89     4.80   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.08R    0.23  
Guiseley           33   35  -12      -1.33    44.56     2.30    49.51     4.71   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.85R    0.72  
Woking             33   34  -15      -8.48    16.54    -9.71    50.12     4.84   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.13R    0.75  
Maidstone_United   33   33  -23       0.23    52.27    -2.08    44.42     4.46   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R    7.72  
Southport          33   31  -32      -0.86    47.15    -8.81    43.56     4.61   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.91R   12.61  
York               33   28  -22     -13.91     4.94   -16.97    43.83     4.84   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.84R    9.37  
North_Ferriby      34   27  -32      -1.88    41.98    -6.13    37.32     4.15   -40.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.19R   68.43