Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 20 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 60 +34 11.84 95.96 11.90 86.39 4.58 48.03 84.97 95.54 98.74 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +22 3.75 69.60 -1.23 77.13 4.66 34.03 7.01 38.72 64.60 82.58 99.57 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 50 +28 3.57 68.94 8.75 75.95 4.74 40.72 4.48 31.71 58.37 78.93 99.14 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 50 +26 1.11 55.59 2.00 73.74 4.82 35.46 2.00 17.65 37.14 60.64 97.83 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 49 +24 4.87 74.87 7.72 72.92 4.86 33.87 1.27 12.87 30.41 53.56 96.80 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 48 +17 3.98 70.58 2.69 69.65 4.76 22.84 0.26 3.46 10.46 23.49 88.93 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 41 +13 1.70 59.02 5.55 61.08 4.78 16.25 0.00 0.04 0.27 1.08 16.92 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 25 37 +3 4.98 76.32 6.85 52.76 4.79 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.00 0.00 Stoke 25 32 -6 1.43 58.59 0.27 46.55 4.71 -11.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.45R 0.00 West_Ham 25 32 -9 -0.93 45.41 -5.59 49.09 4.98 -10.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.16R 0.01 Southampton 25 30 -3 -6.97 16.90 -6.76 48.19 4.76 -2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.17R 0.01 Burnley 25 30 -9 1.81 61.26 0.96 45.15 4.83 -13.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.31R 0.06 Watford 25 30 -13 2.68 65.82 -1.02 44.24 4.65 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.83R 0.09 Bournemouth 25 26 -14 -0.19 50.18 1.64 39.42 4.59 -22.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.91R 1.69 Swansea 25 24 -23 -1.81 40.60 -7.38 38.43 4.72 -29.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.71R 3.56 Middlesbrough 25 22 -8 -6.06 19.27 0.54 36.20 4.64 -13.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.37R 6.89 Leicester 25 21 -19 -10.10 7.67 -13.34 37.85 4.78 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.97R 4.47 Hull 25 20 -27 -2.12 38.73 -6.50 33.50 4.65 -34.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.52R 22.75 Crystal_Palace 25 19 -14 -8.43 11.37 -2.50 32.04 4.41 -22.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.91R 26.67 Sunderland 25 19 -22 -5.22 22.08 -4.57 31.72 4.52 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.69R 33.81Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 February 2017, Newcastle 2 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 32 69 +37 5.66 74.95 6.82 96.32 4.90 49.61 68.54 96.89 100.00 98.29P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 68 +28 10.54 90.30 7.80 93.13 5.00 36.71 30.37 91.53 99.98 94.67P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 31 61 +7 18.73 98.84 7.48 81.33 5.37 6.47 0.64 5.49 88.34 20.89P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 60 +6 15.34 96.45 5.07 78.63 5.01 5.20 0.17 2.05 77.29 16.66P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 58 +11 10.55 89.26 7.45 75.09 4.86 9.92 0.02 0.45 52.82 11.97P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 58 +11 8.41 84.40 2.50 80.17 5.11 15.44 0.26 3.26 85.42 28.29P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 33 51 +11 -3.18 35.82 -2.72 72.28 5.01 16.39 0.00 0.14 34.46 11.38P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 49 +15 2.83 62.98 9.50 70.21 5.36 15.56 0.00 0.05 22.32 5.74P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 33 49 +4 6.29 76.34 8.25 64.98 4.84 0.69 0.00 0.00 2.80 0.59P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 33 49 +4 3.03 64.09 2.67 66.79 4.81 4.03 0.00 0.00 6.11 1.58P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 31 47 +7 -2.35 38.86 -3.15 71.60 5.27 12.96 0.00 0.11 28.98 9.57P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 45 -2 -0.48 48.20 -2.14 62.49 4.91 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.18P 0.12R 0.00 Ipswich 33 41 -7 -2.67 37.80 -5.12 58.14 4.86 -8.02 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.03P 1.35R 0.00 Birmingham 33 40 -14 -0.03 50.45 -6.33 55.50 4.74 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.11R 0.00 Brentford 31 37 -1 -6.26 23.06 -1.53 59.75 5.42 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.14P 1.04R 0.00 QPR 32 37 -11 -4.23 31.11 -7.03 54.97 5.00 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 6.50R 0.00 Aston_Villa 32 36 -8 -4.76 28.85 -4.05 54.82 5.13 -8.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 7.34R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 36 -12 -4.83 28.76 -4.51 52.43 4.88 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.48R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 35 -4 -6.35 22.14 -2.15 55.81 5.27 -3.60 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 4.79R 0.00 Burton_Albion 32 34 -13 0.15 51.87 1.28 48.68 4.81 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.41R 0.05 Bristol_City 31 32 -4 -6.76 20.85 2.18 50.83 5.26 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.05R 0.03 Wigan 32 30 -9 -9.28 13.32 -2.98 47.95 4.97 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.76R 0.14 Blackburn 31 29 -13 -9.71 11.32 -7.47 47.21 5.21 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.05R 0.12 Rotherham 33 17 -43 -10.48 7.74 -11.79 27.71 4.36 -54.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 99.65League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Bradford 2 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 33 65 +24 9.00 85.57 7.63 86.50 4.92 29.46 50.38 78.26 99.74 84.41P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 32 60 +25 6.11 76.29 9.81 82.96 5.09 30.69 23.11 53.72 98.09 66.59P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 31 58 +19 6.19 76.87 5.44 82.93 5.29 25.72 22.43 49.45 97.70 63.80P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 58 +15 9.22 85.96 9.58 77.08 4.83 16.98 2.45 10.59 83.66 26.46P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 33 52 +11 0.82 53.85 2.08 71.55 4.82 13.59 0.21 1.18 45.15 12.85P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 50 +8 5.39 73.88 6.84 69.89 5.15 9.01 0.11 0.70 30.98 6.45P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +7 0.72 53.14 -3.11 74.06 5.35 12.39 1.08 4.72 62.77 20.04P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 31 48 +4 3.01 64.17 0.41 70.01 5.39 6.11 0.18 0.93 31.61 7.43P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 32 47 +4 -0.32 48.71 -1.13 67.44 5.16 5.79 0.03 0.24 17.89 4.16P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 46 -2 4.53 70.22 4.31 62.44 4.94 -4.41 0.00 0.01 2.51 0.48P 0.21R 0.00 Walsall 33 46 -2 -1.16 44.98 -5.06 65.87 4.85 1.03 0.00 0.02 8.74 2.10P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 43 +4 2.17 60.83 4.28 64.28 5.50 3.26 0.01 0.08 7.84 1.68P 0.14R 0.00 Charlton 31 42 +7 -4.18 30.86 1.33 65.56 5.40 11.38 0.01 0.11 12.12 3.30P 0.06R 0.00 Northampton 33 40 -4 -1.17 45.58 3.09 56.57 4.91 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 4.43R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 31 39 +0 2.16 61.05 8.63 56.99 5.22 -3.93 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 4.08R 0.06 MK_Dons 32 39 +0 -7.89 17.98 -4.48 58.30 5.15 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.14P 2.16R 0.01 Shrewsbury 33 38 -11 -0.49 48.27 -0.79 53.44 4.82 -14.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.63R 0.50 Gillingham 32 35 -10 -7.40 18.97 -7.36 53.52 5.19 -11.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.66R 0.57 Oldham 33 35 -12 -2.88 36.72 -3.03 49.61 4.63 -15.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.32R 2.25 Bury 33 34 -11 -4.28 31.20 1.26 49.25 4.80 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.79R 3.37 Port_Vale 31 34 -16 -2.49 38.67 -6.74 51.25 5.15 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.19R 2.40 Swindon 33 30 -18 -9.96 11.62 -9.92 45.57 4.75 -21.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.31R 14.85 Chesterfield 32 27 -21 -9.44 12.21 -9.65 42.13 4.88 -27.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.87R 39.36 Coventry 32 25 -21 -13.59 4.44 -13.44 42.21 5.00 -24.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.12R 36.59League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 32 64 +23 5.55 73.86 0.54 89.60 5.16 32.85 65.32 96.83 99.98 97.81P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 31 61 +17 7.97 83.05 1.49 85.74 5.31 23.33 26.34 85.74 99.72 89.67P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 58 +11 10.27 87.93 5.46 79.59 5.26 14.60 4.02 45.57 95.93 55.92P 0.00 0.00 Luton 32 53 +18 1.93 59.00 7.42 75.38 5.19 22.73 0.86 19.20 85.68 37.53P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 31 52 +16 0.63 52.92 2.86 78.55 5.32 24.75 3.22 41.29 94.50 57.90P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 32 50 +16 1.38 56.46 8.95 72.01 5.18 20.14 0.18 6.99 67.64 21.56P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 47 +4 2.27 60.78 2.53 65.12 5.07 2.54 0.00 0.37 16.22 3.50P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 46 +1 2.68 62.76 2.29 64.68 5.19 0.07 0.00 0.30 14.58 2.85P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 31 46 +0 2.94 64.15 -1.13 67.37 5.35 1.35 0.02 0.87 28.60 6.75P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 32 45 -2 3.54 66.52 1.88 64.17 5.19 -2.10 0.00 0.15 12.28 2.20P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 31 44 +6 -3.01 36.50 -0.66 67.05 5.56 9.67 0.02 1.23 30.02 8.53P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 44 +0 3.09 64.67 4.17 61.03 5.09 -3.03 0.00 0.04 4.20 0.80P 0.02R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 43 +3 -0.94 46.12 0.86 64.02 5.40 3.68 0.01 0.27 13.23 3.08P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 31 42 +12 -8.71 15.23 0.04 67.10 5.37 18.67 0.01 1.10 31.80 10.98P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 30 41 -7 4.71 72.04 1.21 60.48 5.50 -11.21 0.00 0.05 4.37 0.71P 0.16R 0.03 Crawley_Town 31 39 -11 3.80 68.60 0.60 55.92 5.26 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.06P 1.41R 0.24 Yeovil 32 38 -7 -1.27 44.59 -1.01 55.11 5.02 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 1.46R 0.29 Crewe 32 36 -11 -4.20 31.63 -5.48 54.60 5.18 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 2.72R 0.71 Accrington_Stanley 30 33 -10 -6.89 20.22 -8.17 53.92 5.53 -11.58 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 3.70R 1.00 Notts_County 32 33 -21 -1.77 42.39 -6.09 46.91 4.82 -29.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.70R 13.25 Cheltenham 32 32 -10 -7.77 18.48 -4.16 48.74 5.05 -13.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.54R 5.89 Hartlepool 32 32 -18 -1.21 45.24 -0.98 45.81 4.88 -26.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.82R 17.35 Leyton_Orient 32 29 -15 -12.27 7.17 -10.96 46.96 5.14 -16.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 29.38R 12.37 Newport_County 31 25 -15 -8.69 13.87 -1.66 41.56 5.16 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.07R 48.88National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Barrow 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 30 64 +30 12.69 94.03 14.05 91.44 5.60 38.44 53.21 98.87 62.96P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 32 61 +21 2.77 62.24 -1.05 85.47 5.11 29.35 11.01 90.52 33.26P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 60 +25 1.93 58.48 3.07 86.16 4.94 36.23 15.02 94.41 37.79P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 60 +19 5.92 76.67 2.10 87.77 5.15 29.40 19.40 95.66 41.74P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 56 +16 2.53 61.34 1.19 79.39 5.19 22.77 1.03 56.74 12.29P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 32 54 +18 6.00 76.14 11.91 75.83 5.15 21.90 0.22 28.53 4.95P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 33 54 +12 6.66 78.46 8.88 72.51 4.86 13.05 0.01 9.36 1.53P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 33 52 +20 -0.05 49.80 10.03 72.14 4.93 23.59 0.02 10.58 2.10P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 50 +13 0.04 50.10 2.02 73.33 5.31 17.04 0.07 15.01 3.32P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 34 46 -8 -1.08 45.66 -8.74 61.19 4.58 -9.66 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.10R 0.00 Bromley 32 45 -4 3.48 66.41 0.01 61.98 4.96 -7.91 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.12R 0.00 Chester 33 43 +4 -2.66 38.07 3.95 60.53 4.96 3.20 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.28R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 43 +2 1.26 56.83 4.14 61.70 4.98 1.64 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.15R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 33 43 -3 2.15 60.14 4.12 58.78 4.89 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64R 0.00 Eastleigh 32 42 +2 -5.66 25.10 -3.63 61.92 5.17 2.84 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.12R 0.00 Braintree_Town 32 37 -16 -4.02 31.79 -11.80 56.29 5.07 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.13R 0.03 Sutton_United 30 36 -9 1.96 60.36 1.61 53.84 5.32 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.19R 0.22 Torquay 33 35 -9 -5.43 26.37 -1.68 51.90 4.82 -10.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.55R 0.35 Guiseley 33 35 -12 -1.49 43.69 2.07 49.60 4.74 -16.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.49R 1.02 Woking 33 34 -15 -8.36 16.68 -9.52 50.03 4.79 -18.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.75R 0.93 Maidstone_United 33 33 -23 0.18 52.07 -2.11 44.46 4.47 -34.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.61R 9.34 Southport 33 31 -32 -0.69 47.95 -8.56 43.48 4.58 -41.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.92R 15.86 York 32 28 -20 -13.35 5.34 -16.23 45.40 5.08 -22.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.41R 7.44 North_Ferriby 33 27 -31 -1.14 45.67 -5.86 38.11 4.32 -40.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.55R 64.82