Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          25   60  +34      11.84    95.96    11.90    86.39     4.58    48.03    84.97    95.54    98.74    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   52  +22       3.75    69.60    -1.23    77.13     4.66    34.03     7.01    38.72    64.60    82.58    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   50  +28       3.57    68.94     8.75    75.95     4.74    40.72     4.48    31.71    58.37    78.93    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   50  +26       1.11    55.59     2.00    73.74     4.82    35.46     2.00    17.65    37.14    60.64    97.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   49  +24       4.87    74.87     7.72    72.92     4.86    33.87     1.27    12.87    30.41    53.56    96.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   48  +17       3.98    70.58     2.69    69.65     4.76    22.84     0.26     3.46    10.46    23.49    88.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton          25   41  +13       1.70    59.02     5.55    61.08     4.78    16.25     0.00     0.04     0.27     1.08    16.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        25   37   +3       4.98    76.32     6.85    52.76     4.79    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            25   32   -6       1.43    58.59     0.27    46.55     4.71   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45R    0.00  
West_Ham         25   32   -9      -0.93    45.41    -5.59    49.09     4.98   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.16R    0.01  
Southampton      25   30   -3      -6.97    16.90    -6.76    48.19     4.76    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.17R    0.01  
Burnley          25   30   -9       1.81    61.26     0.96    45.15     4.83   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.31R    0.06  
Watford          25   30  -13       2.68    65.82    -1.02    44.24     4.65   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.83R    0.09  
Bournemouth      25   26  -14      -0.19    50.18     1.64    39.42     4.59   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.91R    1.69  
Swansea          25   24  -23      -1.81    40.60    -7.38    38.43     4.72   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.71R    3.56  
Middlesbrough    25   22   -8      -6.06    19.27     0.54    36.20     4.64   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.37R    6.89  
Leicester        25   21  -19     -10.10     7.67   -13.34    37.85     4.78   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.97R    4.47  
Hull             25   20  -27      -2.12    38.73    -6.50    33.50     4.65   -34.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.52R   22.75  
Crystal_Palace   25   19  -14      -8.43    11.37    -2.50    32.04     4.41   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.91R   26.67  
Sunderland       25   19  -22      -5.22    22.08    -4.57    31.72     4.52   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.69R   33.81  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 February 2017, Newcastle 2 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       32   69  +37       5.66    74.95     6.82    96.32     4.90    49.61    68.54    96.89   100.00    98.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        32   68  +28      10.54    90.30     7.80    93.13     5.00    36.71    30.37    91.53    99.98    94.67P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   61   +7      18.73    98.84     7.48    81.33     5.37     6.47     0.64     5.49    88.34    20.89P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         32   60   +6      15.34    96.45     5.07    78.63     5.01     5.20     0.17     2.05    77.29    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    33   58  +11      10.55    89.26     7.45    75.09     4.86     9.92     0.02     0.45    52.82    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       32   58  +11       8.41    84.40     2.50    80.17     5.11    15.44     0.26     3.26    85.42    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   51  +11      -3.18    35.82    -2.72    72.28     5.01    16.39     0.00     0.14    34.46    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   49  +15       2.83    62.98     9.50    70.21     5.36    15.56     0.00     0.05    22.32     5.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        33   49   +4       6.29    76.34     8.25    64.98     4.84     0.69     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         33   49   +4       3.03    64.09     2.67    66.79     4.81     4.03     0.00     0.00     6.11     1.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           31   47   +7      -2.35    38.86    -3.15    71.60     5.27    12.96     0.00     0.11    28.98     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         33   45   -2      -0.48    48.20    -2.14    62.49     4.91    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.18P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich         33   41   -7      -2.67    37.80    -5.12    58.14     4.86    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    1.35R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   40  -14      -0.03    50.45    -6.33    55.50     4.74   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.11R    0.00  
Brentford       31   37   -1      -6.26    23.06    -1.53    59.75     5.42     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.14P    1.04R    0.00  
QPR             32   37  -11      -4.23    31.11    -7.03    54.97     5.00   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.50R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   36   -8      -4.76    28.85    -4.05    54.82     5.13    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.34R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   36  -12      -4.83    28.76    -4.51    52.43     4.88   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.48R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   35   -4      -6.35    22.14    -2.15    55.81     5.27    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.79R    0.00  
Burton_Albion   32   34  -13       0.15    51.87     1.28    48.68     4.81   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.41R    0.05  
Bristol_City    31   32   -4      -6.76    20.85     2.18    50.83     5.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.05R    0.03  
Wigan           32   30   -9      -9.28    13.32    -2.98    47.95     4.97   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.76R    0.14  
Blackburn       31   29  -13      -9.71    11.32    -7.47    47.21     5.21   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.05R    0.12  
Rotherham       33   17  -43     -10.48     7.74   -11.79    27.71     4.36   -54.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Bradford 2 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        33   65  +24       9.00    85.57     7.63    86.50     4.92    29.46    50.38    78.26    99.74    84.41P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       32   60  +25       6.11    76.29     9.81    82.96     5.09    30.69    23.11    53.72    98.09    66.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           31   58  +19       6.19    76.87     5.44    82.93     5.29    25.72    22.43    49.45    97.70    63.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   33   58  +15       9.22    85.96     9.58    77.08     4.83    16.98     2.45    10.59    83.66    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         33   52  +11       0.82    53.85     2.08    71.55     4.82    13.59     0.21     1.18    45.15    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         32   50   +8       5.39    73.88     6.84    69.89     5.15     9.01     0.11     0.70    30.98     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   50   +7       0.72    53.14    -3.11    74.06     5.35    12.39     1.08     4.72    62.77    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         31   48   +4       3.01    64.17     0.41    70.01     5.39     6.11     0.18     0.93    31.61     7.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   47   +4      -0.32    48.71    -1.13    67.44     5.16     5.79     0.03     0.24    17.89     4.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -2       4.53    70.22     4.31    62.44     4.94    -4.41     0.00     0.01     2.51     0.48P    0.21R    0.00  
Walsall          33   46   -2      -1.16    44.98    -5.06    65.87     4.85     1.03     0.00     0.02     8.74     2.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       30   43   +4       2.17    60.83     4.28    64.28     5.50     3.26     0.01     0.08     7.84     1.68P    0.14R    0.00  
Charlton         31   42   +7      -4.18    30.86     1.33    65.56     5.40    11.38     0.01     0.11    12.12     3.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Northampton      33   40   -4      -1.17    45.58     3.09    56.57     4.91    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    4.43R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon    31   39   +0       2.16    61.05     8.63    56.99     5.22    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    4.08R    0.06  
MK_Dons          32   39   +0      -7.89    17.98    -4.48    58.30     5.15     0.25     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    2.16R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       33   38  -11      -0.49    48.27    -0.79    53.44     4.82   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.63R    0.50  
Gillingham       32   35  -10      -7.40    18.97    -7.36    53.52     5.19   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.66R    0.57  
Oldham           33   35  -12      -2.88    36.72    -3.03    49.61     4.63   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.32R    2.25  
Bury             33   34  -11      -4.28    31.20     1.26    49.25     4.80   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.79R    3.37  
Port_Vale        31   34  -16      -2.49    38.67    -6.74    51.25     5.15   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.19R    2.40  
Swindon          33   30  -18      -9.96    11.62    -9.92    45.57     4.75   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.31R   14.85  
Chesterfield     32   27  -21      -9.44    12.21    -9.65    42.13     4.88   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.87R   39.36  
Coventry         32   25  -21     -13.59     4.44   -13.44    42.21     5.00   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   36.59  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            32   64  +23       5.55    73.86     0.54    89.60     5.16    32.85    65.32    96.83    99.98    97.81P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             31   61  +17       7.97    83.05     1.49    85.74     5.31    23.33    26.34    85.74    99.72    89.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             32   58  +11      10.27    87.93     5.46    79.59     5.26    14.60     4.02    45.57    95.93    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   53  +18       1.93    59.00     7.42    75.38     5.19    22.73     0.86    19.20    85.68    37.53P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           31   52  +16       0.63    52.92     2.86    78.55     5.32    24.75     3.22    41.29    94.50    57.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   50  +16       1.38    56.46     8.95    72.01     5.18    20.14     0.18     6.99    67.64    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            32   47   +4       2.27    60.78     2.53    65.12     5.07     2.54     0.00     0.37    16.22     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            32   46   +1       2.68    62.76     2.29    64.68     5.19     0.07     0.00     0.30    14.58     2.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              31   46   +0       2.94    64.15    -1.13    67.37     5.35     1.35     0.02     0.87    28.60     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               32   45   -2       3.54    66.52     1.88    64.17     5.19    -2.10     0.00     0.15    12.28     2.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester           31   44   +6      -3.01    36.50    -0.66    67.05     5.56     9.67     0.02     1.23    30.02     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              32   44   +0       3.09    64.67     4.17    61.03     5.09    -3.03     0.00     0.04     4.20     0.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        31   43   +3      -0.94    46.12     0.86    64.02     5.40     3.68     0.01     0.27    13.23     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            31   42  +12      -8.71    15.23     0.04    67.10     5.37    18.67     0.01     1.10    31.80    10.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            30   41   -7       4.71    72.04     1.21    60.48     5.50   -11.21     0.00     0.05     4.37     0.71P    0.16R    0.03  
Crawley_Town         31   39  -11       3.80    68.60     0.60    55.92     5.26   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    1.41R    0.24  
Yeovil               32   38   -7      -1.27    44.59    -1.01    55.11     5.02    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    1.46R    0.29  
Crewe                32   36  -11      -4.20    31.63    -5.48    54.60     5.18   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    2.72R    0.71  
Accrington_Stanley   30   33  -10      -6.89    20.22    -8.17    53.92     5.53   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    3.70R    1.00  
Notts_County         32   33  -21      -1.77    42.39    -6.09    46.91     4.82   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.70R   13.25  
Cheltenham           32   32  -10      -7.77    18.48    -4.16    48.74     5.05   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.54R    5.89  
Hartlepool           32   32  -18      -1.21    45.24    -0.98    45.81     4.88   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.82R   17.35  
Leyton_Orient        32   29  -15     -12.27     7.17   -10.96    46.96     5.14   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.38R   12.37  
Newport_County       31   25  -15      -8.69    13.87    -1.66    41.56     5.16   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.07R   48.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2017, Barrow 0 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       30   64  +30      12.69    94.03    14.05    91.44     5.60    38.44    53.21    98.87    62.96P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          32   61  +21       2.77    62.24    -1.05    85.47     5.11    29.35    11.01    90.52    33.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       32   60  +25       1.93    58.48     3.07    86.16     4.94    36.23    15.02    94.41    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           31   60  +19       5.92    76.67     2.10    87.77     5.15    29.40    19.40    95.66    41.74P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     32   56  +16       2.53    61.34     1.19    79.39     5.19    22.77     1.03    56.74    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             32   54  +18       6.00    76.14    11.91    75.83     5.15    21.90     0.22    28.53     4.95P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          33   54  +12       6.66    78.46     8.88    72.51     4.86    13.05     0.01     9.36     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          33   52  +20      -0.05    49.80    10.03    72.14     4.93    23.59     0.02    10.58     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       31   50  +13       0.04    50.10     2.02    73.33     5.31    17.04     0.07    15.01     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   46   -8      -1.08    45.66    -8.74    61.19     4.58    -9.66     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Bromley            32   45   -4       3.48    66.41     0.01    61.98     4.96    -7.91     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Chester            33   43   +4      -2.66    38.07     3.95    60.53     4.96     3.20     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.28R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       32   43   +2       1.26    56.83     4.14    61.70     4.98     1.64     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     33   43   -3       2.15    60.14     4.12    58.78     4.89    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Eastleigh          32   42   +2      -5.66    25.10    -3.63    61.92     5.17     2.84     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.12R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   37  -16      -4.02    31.79   -11.80    56.29     5.07   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.03  
Sutton_United      30   36   -9       1.96    60.36     1.61    53.84     5.32   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.19R    0.22  
Torquay            33   35   -9      -5.43    26.37    -1.68    51.90     4.82   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55R    0.35  
Guiseley           33   35  -12      -1.49    43.69     2.07    49.60     4.74   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    1.02  
Woking             33   34  -15      -8.36    16.68    -9.52    50.03     4.79   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.75R    0.93  
Maidstone_United   33   33  -23       0.18    52.07    -2.11    44.46     4.47   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.61R    9.34  
Southport          33   31  -32      -0.69    47.95    -8.56    43.48     4.58   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.92R   15.86  
York               32   28  -20     -13.35     5.34   -16.23    45.40     5.08   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.41R    7.44  
North_Ferriby      33   27  -31      -1.14    45.67    -5.86    38.11     4.32   -40.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.55R   64.82