Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 17 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 60 +34 11.89 96.08 11.92 86.40 4.57 48.04 85.27 95.54 98.79 99.75 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +22 3.74 69.58 -1.24 77.12 4.63 33.99 6.74 38.67 64.13 82.36 99.58 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 50 +28 3.41 68.25 8.51 76.02 4.70 40.80 4.50 31.84 59.17 79.36 99.19 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 50 +26 0.93 54.32 1.74 73.83 4.82 35.56 1.92 18.22 38.31 61.76 97.70 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 49 +24 4.96 75.28 7.89 72.89 4.83 33.81 1.27 12.63 29.70 52.70 96.88 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 48 +17 4.07 71.09 2.80 69.61 4.71 22.80 0.30 3.09 9.68 22.92 89.10 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 41 +13 1.67 58.90 5.46 61.12 4.77 16.33 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.14 16.71 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 25 37 +3 5.06 76.64 6.98 52.73 4.77 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.00 0.00 Stoke 25 32 -6 1.40 58.63 0.22 46.55 4.70 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.42R 0.00 West_Ham 25 32 -9 -0.84 45.77 -5.39 49.06 4.98 -10.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.17R 0.00 Southampton 25 30 -3 -7.04 16.54 -6.86 48.20 4.74 -2.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.19R 0.00 Burnley 25 30 -9 1.74 60.90 0.90 45.15 4.83 -13.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.16R 0.05 Watford 25 30 -13 2.66 65.72 -1.09 44.27 4.66 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.96R 0.11 Bournemouth 25 26 -14 -0.23 49.84 1.59 39.45 4.57 -22.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.73R 1.59 Swansea 25 24 -23 -1.70 41.31 -7.23 38.31 4.70 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.29R 3.61 Middlesbrough 25 22 -8 -6.07 19.14 0.57 36.20 4.62 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.33R 6.67 Leicester 25 21 -19 -10.17 7.28 -13.48 37.86 4.76 -21.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.62R 4.31 Hull 25 20 -27 -2.06 39.50 -6.40 33.44 4.57 -34.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.23R 22.86 Crystal_Palace 25 19 -14 -8.30 11.61 -2.28 31.97 4.42 -22.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.94R 27.64 Sunderland 25 19 -22 -5.23 22.49 -4.62 31.78 4.51 -30.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.96R 33.15Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 31 66 +35 4.94 72.28 6.15 95.50 5.10 48.79 70.61 96.08 100.00 97.70P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 65 +26 9.53 88.28 6.74 91.56 5.24 34.80 27.61 87.23 99.89 91.68P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 31 61 +7 18.57 98.73 7.29 81.34 5.37 6.51 1.11 8.15 87.30 22.58P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 60 +6 15.44 96.59 5.19 78.60 5.01 5.11 0.30 3.35 75.31 16.97P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 57 +11 11.10 90.84 7.83 75.20 5.03 9.58 0.06 0.89 51.59 11.76P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 55 +10 7.08 80.81 1.97 78.53 5.33 14.44 0.28 3.19 75.23 24.54P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 32 51 +12 -1.97 40.86 -2.04 74.27 5.22 18.28 0.02 0.78 47.97 16.89P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 49 +15 3.08 64.19 9.92 70.20 5.35 15.48 0.00 0.13 21.22 5.44P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 32 49 +6 6.52 77.61 8.57 66.45 5.09 2.87 0.00 0.01 5.64 1.17P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 32 48 +4 3.38 65.78 2.67 67.00 5.02 3.82 0.00 0.00 6.92 1.70P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 31 47 +7 -2.51 37.83 -3.33 71.62 5.29 12.97 0.01 0.19 27.81 9.30P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 32 42 -7 0.14 51.25 -3.69 60.91 5.08 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.10P 0.37R 0.00 Ipswich 32 40 -7 -2.32 39.26 -5.10 58.64 5.09 -7.81 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.04P 1.14R 0.00 Birmingham 32 40 -11 0.49 53.17 -4.74 57.54 4.99 -13.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 2.14R 0.00 Brentford 31 37 -1 -6.14 23.26 -1.33 59.80 5.39 2.38 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.12P 0.90R 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 36 -6 -4.49 29.59 -3.69 55.52 5.24 -7.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 5.14R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 36 -11 -3.71 33.23 -3.85 53.93 5.16 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 9.38R 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 35 -4 -6.40 22.03 -2.28 55.86 5.30 -3.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 4.05R 0.01 QPR 31 34 -14 -4.93 27.45 -8.64 52.63 5.19 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 14.20R 0.03 Bristol_City 31 32 -4 -6.68 21.14 2.32 50.78 5.24 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.18R 0.05 Burton_Albion 31 31 -14 -1.16 45.20 0.71 46.38 5.02 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.26R 0.33 Wigan 31 29 -9 -9.21 12.93 -3.25 48.52 5.21 -10.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.09R 0.23 Blackburn 31 29 -13 -9.72 11.41 -7.51 47.21 5.23 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.16R 0.33 Rotherham 32 17 -38 -10.66 7.11 -9.90 28.77 4.58 -50.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 99.02League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 32 64 +24 9.40 86.90 7.55 87.23 5.16 30.02 54.09 80.92 99.73 86.38P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 31 59 +25 6.35 77.63 9.58 82.90 5.34 30.02 21.42 52.18 97.40 64.99P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 30 57 +19 6.40 77.89 5.29 83.12 5.50 25.49 21.70 51.15 97.14 64.66P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 55 +14 7.62 81.76 8.62 75.11 5.04 15.48 1.14 5.99 70.43 19.93P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 32 51 +11 1.38 56.74 2.39 71.96 5.03 13.66 0.28 1.81 46.71 13.75P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +7 0.75 53.39 -3.13 74.01 5.35 12.30 0.86 4.47 60.84 19.81P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 49 +8 5.80 76.13 6.95 70.89 5.36 9.99 0.19 1.26 37.55 8.58P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 47 +6 0.28 51.47 -0.31 68.75 5.36 7.71 0.06 0.53 24.69 5.98P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 30 47 +4 3.52 67.05 0.48 70.57 5.61 6.36 0.24 1.43 34.81 8.60P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 45 -2 4.92 72.04 4.39 62.51 5.11 -4.91 0.00 0.01 2.83 0.50P 0.30R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 43 +4 2.14 60.81 4.25 64.39 5.48 3.44 0.00 0.08 7.68 1.74P 0.14R 0.00 Walsall 32 43 -4 -2.05 40.69 -5.89 64.28 5.05 -0.86 0.00 0.02 5.16 1.20P 0.09R 0.00 Charlton 30 41 +7 -3.76 32.50 1.40 65.58 5.58 10.88 0.02 0.13 12.29 3.25P 0.09R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 30 39 +1 2.98 65.04 8.75 58.29 5.43 -2.98 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.13P 2.71R 0.03 MK_Dons 31 39 +1 -6.98 20.50 -4.21 60.10 5.36 1.90 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.45P 1.00R 0.01 Northampton 32 39 -4 -0.70 47.45 3.20 56.33 5.11 -7.42 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 5.32R 0.09 Gillingham 31 35 -9 -6.49 21.69 -7.06 54.89 5.41 -10.17 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 10.07R 0.37 Shrewsbury 32 35 -12 -1.56 43.09 -0.95 51.86 5.04 -15.41 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 23.14R 1.23 Oldham 32 34 -12 -2.69 37.24 -3.13 49.66 4.80 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.54R 2.52 Port_Vale 30 33 -16 -2.03 40.78 -6.53 51.90 5.36 -20.49 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.22R 1.91 Bury 32 31 -12 -5.72 24.81 0.61 47.29 5.00 -16.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.83R 7.81 Swindon 32 29 -18 -9.39 12.70 -9.56 46.28 4.98 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.39R 11.81 Chesterfield 31 27 -20 -8.17 15.42 -8.80 43.91 5.09 -25.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.66R 23.77 Coventry 31 22 -22 -14.79 2.63 -13.89 40.61 5.20 -24.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.50R 50.46League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Carlisle 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 31 63 +23 6.10 76.35 0.72 90.38 5.39 33.46 64.30 96.91 99.98 97.87P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 60 +17 8.60 85.20 1.86 86.83 5.55 24.42 28.96 88.47 99.75 91.60P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 31 55 +10 8.89 85.17 4.84 77.74 5.43 13.25 1.65 31.15 89.00 43.14P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 52 +18 2.43 61.18 7.60 75.16 5.37 21.84 0.88 18.41 80.47 34.83P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 51 +16 1.02 54.83 2.94 79.26 5.53 25.25 3.81 46.06 93.91 61.03P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 49 +16 1.65 57.67 8.76 72.99 5.40 21.06 0.27 9.95 68.22 24.17P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 47 +7 2.65 62.65 4.11 66.95 5.31 6.20 0.01 1.05 23.25 5.66P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 46 +1 3.89 68.50 -0.70 69.05 5.55 2.79 0.05 2.32 35.55 9.54P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 31 45 +1 2.85 63.70 1.98 64.62 5.40 -0.63 0.00 0.41 12.77 2.68P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 30 44 +7 -2.07 40.44 -0.32 68.82 5.76 11.30 0.05 2.82 37.61 11.50P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 31 44 -2 3.53 66.66 1.35 64.43 5.39 -2.27 0.00 0.23 11.39 2.20P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 30 41 +12 -8.02 17.14 0.46 68.18 5.57 19.71 0.02 2.02 34.83 12.88P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 41 -3 2.67 63.28 2.99 58.73 5.25 -6.98 0.00 0.01 1.50 0.28P 0.14R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 30 40 +2 -1.85 41.56 0.90 62.72 5.60 3.19 0.00 0.16 8.03 2.01P 0.04R 0.01 Crawley_Town 30 39 -9 4.47 71.64 1.42 57.78 5.48 -13.78 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.15P 0.59R 0.10 Yeovil 31 38 -5 -0.62 47.73 0.00 56.72 5.26 -7.41 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.10P 0.64R 0.12 Morecambe 29 38 -9 3.78 68.69 0.33 58.32 5.71 -14.06 0.00 0.02 1.79 0.30P 0.64R 0.12 Crewe 31 35 -11 -4.13 31.58 -6.02 54.34 5.36 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 2.81R 0.70 Hartlepool 31 31 -18 -0.98 46.22 -1.14 45.51 5.06 -27.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.92R 18.01 Accrington_Stanley 29 30 -11 -8.44 14.34 -9.07 52.09 5.71 -12.89 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 6.44R 2.07 Notts_County 31 30 -22 -3.04 36.17 -6.60 44.48 5.02 -32.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.17R 25.16 Cheltenham 31 29 -12 -8.53 15.30 -4.81 46.81 5.24 -16.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.00R 10.62 Leyton_Orient 31 29 -14 -10.94 9.25 -10.13 48.97 5.33 -14.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 15.99R 6.04 Newport_County 30 25 -14 -7.72 16.34 -1.48 42.44 5.27 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.62R 37.03National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2017, Macclesfield 0 1 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 30 64 +30 12.65 94.28 14.00 91.43 5.61 38.46 46.44 98.93 57.63P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 61 +22 3.97 67.81 -0.30 88.18 5.26 32.52 20.87 96.49 43.06P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 60 +27 2.63 62.03 3.87 88.03 5.17 39.00 21.88 97.14 44.53P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 57 +17 5.13 73.51 1.26 85.94 5.40 27.15 9.97 91.77 33.03P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 31 53 +18 6.41 77.84 12.05 76.82 5.40 22.81 0.28 38.89 6.50P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 53 +15 1.75 57.97 1.48 78.46 5.35 22.79 0.52 52.48 10.72P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 51 +10 5.84 75.72 8.06 70.38 5.06 10.40 0.00 5.55 0.79P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 49 +18 -1.06 44.98 8.93 70.12 5.17 21.02 0.00 6.49 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 30 47 +11 -0.53 47.41 1.52 71.73 5.49 15.08 0.03 10.78 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 46 -6 -0.64 47.24 -8.07 62.98 4.85 -7.09 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.03R 0.00 Bromley 31 45 -3 4.63 71.40 0.69 63.78 5.19 -6.29 0.00 0.38 0.04P 0.03R 0.00 Chester 32 43 +6 -1.85 41.62 4.97 62.51 5.19 6.15 0.00 0.22 0.03P 0.08R 0.00 Eastleigh 31 42 +4 -5.09 27.14 -2.87 63.41 5.40 5.06 0.00 0.52 0.09P 0.03R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 42 +2 1.73 59.19 4.36 62.31 5.23 2.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.10R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 32 40 -4 0.71 54.14 3.60 56.71 5.08 -8.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.85R 0.01 Braintree_Town 31 37 -14 -3.65 33.02 -11.15 57.65 5.27 -13.64 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.92R 0.01 Sutton_United 30 36 -9 1.97 60.36 1.69 53.91 5.33 -15.18 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.74R 0.15 Torquay 32 34 -9 -5.17 27.22 -1.69 51.68 5.05 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.09R 0.39 Woking 32 33 -15 -7.66 18.40 -8.91 51.13 5.02 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.85R 0.70 Guiseley 32 32 -13 -3.15 35.61 0.93 46.85 4.83 -19.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.04R 3.41 Maidstone_United 32 30 -25 -0.68 47.90 -3.03 42.19 4.65 -37.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.82R 20.54 Southport 32 30 -32 -0.76 47.39 -8.98 43.30 4.80 -42.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.05R 16.76 York 31 27 -20 -13.32 5.26 -16.59 45.41 5.30 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.86R 7.34 North_Ferriby 32 27 -30 -0.37 49.39 -5.83 38.89 4.57 -40.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.51R 50.67