Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 14 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 60 +34 11.84 96.17 11.85 86.42 4.59 48.07 85.01 95.54 98.74 99.68 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +22 3.75 69.53 -1.21 77.10 4.65 33.98 7.01 38.49 63.84 82.37 99.53 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 50 +28 3.53 68.63 8.68 75.95 4.73 40.74 4.50 31.88 58.53 78.70 99.20 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 50 +26 1.00 54.98 1.85 73.77 4.84 35.50 1.89 17.74 37.51 60.84 97.68 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 49 +24 4.86 74.60 7.67 72.98 4.88 33.92 1.33 13.08 30.97 54.08 96.75 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 48 +17 4.03 71.06 2.75 69.61 4.74 22.79 0.27 3.23 10.17 23.18 88.84 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 41 +13 1.53 58.13 5.28 61.17 4.79 16.43 0.00 0.04 0.23 1.13 17.20 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 25 37 +3 4.99 76.02 6.89 52.75 4.75 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 25 32 -6 1.32 57.90 0.10 46.57 4.69 -11.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.39R 0.01 West_Ham 25 32 -9 -0.87 45.51 -5.49 49.08 4.97 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.17R 0.00 Southampton 25 30 -3 -6.90 17.20 -6.63 48.17 4.75 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.14R 0.00 Burnley 25 30 -9 1.71 60.78 0.83 45.19 4.83 -12.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.30R 0.04 Watford 25 30 -13 2.82 66.66 -0.82 44.19 4.66 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.93R 0.11 Bournemouth 25 26 -14 -0.10 50.46 1.87 39.42 4.60 -22.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.94R 1.61 Swansea 25 24 -23 -1.79 40.77 -7.37 38.38 4.76 -29.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.95R 3.63 Middlesbrough 25 22 -8 -5.92 19.54 0.74 36.16 4.60 -13.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.65R 6.83 Leicester 25 21 -19 -10.31 7.38 -13.68 37.91 4.77 -21.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.30R 4.42 Hull 25 20 -27 -1.96 39.85 -6.25 33.43 4.62 -34.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.17R 23.08 Crystal_Palace 25 19 -14 -8.39 11.27 -2.44 32.04 4.42 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.56R 26.60 Sunderland 25 19 -22 -5.21 22.03 -4.61 31.71 4.50 -31.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.51R 33.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 31 66 +35 4.97 72.39 6.26 95.44 5.10 48.69 70.69 96.21 99.99 97.80P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 65 +26 9.49 88.10 6.68 91.54 5.26 34.77 27.67 87.28 99.89 91.70P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 31 61 +7 18.75 98.90 7.53 81.25 5.36 6.38 1.07 7.93 87.09 22.19P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 60 +6 15.40 96.48 5.14 78.54 5.00 5.03 0.24 3.18 75.02 16.73P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 57 +11 11.15 90.79 7.85 75.23 5.05 9.61 0.04 0.96 51.77 11.78P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 55 +10 7.10 80.63 2.02 78.55 5.35 14.46 0.26 3.33 75.18 24.71P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 32 51 +12 -2.02 40.66 -2.09 74.28 5.25 18.30 0.02 0.79 48.47 17.32P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 49 +15 3.02 63.80 9.84 70.23 5.35 15.53 0.01 0.11 21.60 5.46P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 32 49 +6 6.59 78.01 8.68 66.44 5.10 2.88 0.00 0.02 5.72 1.12P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 32 48 +4 3.34 65.84 2.65 67.04 5.00 3.88 0.00 0.01 6.76 1.58P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 31 47 +7 -2.52 38.13 -3.34 71.59 5.26 12.95 0.00 0.18 27.33 9.31P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 32 42 -7 0.09 51.27 -3.79 61.00 5.12 -7.19 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.12P 0.34R 0.00 Ipswich 32 40 -7 -2.39 39.02 -5.17 58.68 5.08 -7.76 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 1.19R 0.00 Birmingham 32 40 -11 0.43 52.84 -4.82 57.54 4.99 -13.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.07R 0.00 Brentford 31 37 -1 -5.96 23.84 -1.04 59.73 5.38 2.26 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.13P 0.93R 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 36 -6 -4.57 29.29 -3.79 55.58 5.25 -7.19 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 5.07R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 36 -11 -3.66 33.42 -3.81 53.92 5.14 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.43R 0.01 Wolverhampton 31 35 -4 -6.40 21.92 -2.25 55.83 5.28 -3.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 4.05R 0.00 QPR 31 34 -14 -4.87 27.82 -8.57 52.54 5.16 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.51R 0.04 Bristol_City 31 32 -4 -6.73 21.02 2.26 50.82 5.23 -7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.05R 0.04 Burton_Albion 31 31 -14 -1.34 44.34 0.46 46.43 5.02 -21.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.01R 0.34 Wigan 31 29 -9 -9.07 13.51 -3.07 48.47 5.16 -10.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.08R 0.25 Blackburn 31 29 -13 -9.70 11.44 -7.46 47.21 5.21 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.29R 0.28 Rotherham 32 17 -38 -10.81 7.03 -10.14 28.83 4.59 -50.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 99.04League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 32 64 +24 9.46 87.26 7.65 87.25 5.13 30.04 53.91 80.74 99.72 86.14P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 31 59 +25 6.25 77.48 9.41 83.03 5.29 30.15 22.08 53.09 97.66 65.85P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 30 57 +19 6.50 78.30 5.39 83.11 5.47 25.49 21.12 50.61 97.15 64.33P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 55 +14 7.54 81.67 8.50 75.14 5.06 15.51 1.10 5.92 70.28 19.72P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 32 51 +11 1.34 56.54 2.30 71.97 5.05 13.70 0.29 1.88 46.81 13.67P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 31 50 +7 0.74 53.47 -3.09 73.98 5.36 12.27 0.96 4.41 60.33 19.68P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 49 +8 6.04 77.31 7.26 70.85 5.33 9.93 0.18 1.16 37.11 8.25P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 47 +6 0.13 50.65 -0.56 68.88 5.34 7.86 0.06 0.53 25.72 6.42P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 30 47 +4 3.49 66.62 0.44 70.54 5.62 6.32 0.26 1.38 34.19 8.56P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 45 -2 4.99 72.46 4.48 62.51 5.12 -4.90 0.00 0.01 2.74 0.48P 0.32R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 43 +4 2.01 59.94 4.07 64.37 5.48 3.44 0.01 0.09 7.32 1.58P 0.11R 0.00 Walsall 32 43 -4 -2.07 40.72 -5.94 64.33 5.10 -0.80 0.00 0.02 5.53 1.35P 0.10R 0.00 Charlton 30 41 +7 -3.86 32.20 1.27 65.62 5.63 10.94 0.02 0.16 12.79 3.43P 0.07R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 30 39 +1 3.05 65.36 8.83 58.23 5.45 -3.06 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.12P 2.90R 0.03 MK_Dons 31 39 +1 -6.91 20.67 -4.11 60.08 5.36 1.87 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.39P 1.03R 0.00 Northampton 32 39 -4 -0.65 47.70 3.30 56.32 5.08 -7.42 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 5.31R 0.07 Gillingham 31 35 -9 -6.43 21.94 -7.00 54.86 5.42 -10.20 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 10.14R 0.46 Shrewsbury 32 35 -12 -1.58 43.02 -0.91 51.89 5.05 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 22.74R 1.25 Oldham 32 34 -12 -2.61 37.68 -3.01 49.57 4.82 -16.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.23R 2.57 Port_Vale 30 33 -16 -2.00 40.69 -6.50 51.87 5.39 -20.53 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.20R 1.94 Bury 32 31 -12 -5.81 24.36 0.48 47.31 5.00 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.69R 7.74 Swindon 32 29 -18 -9.35 12.47 -9.50 46.19 4.99 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.63R 12.09 Chesterfield 31 27 -20 -8.15 15.49 -8.79 43.92 5.13 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.27R 24.00 Coventry 31 22 -22 -14.86 2.55 -13.95 40.65 5.22 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.27R 49.86League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Carlisle 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 31 63 +23 6.21 76.61 0.95 90.35 5.40 33.36 63.88 96.81 99.97 97.77P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 60 +17 8.52 84.78 1.72 86.89 5.54 24.51 29.51 88.79 99.69 91.85P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 31 55 +10 8.91 85.28 4.89 77.69 5.42 13.20 1.69 30.86 88.98 42.75P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 52 +18 2.50 61.82 7.68 75.07 5.36 21.75 0.88 17.81 80.27 34.20P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 51 +16 1.17 55.51 3.11 79.23 5.53 25.18 3.61 46.43 93.77 61.15P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 49 +16 1.81 58.48 9.06 72.88 5.40 20.94 0.26 9.99 67.83 24.09P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 47 +7 2.48 61.80 3.90 67.06 5.32 6.34 0.02 1.13 24.07 6.09P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 46 +1 3.93 68.73 -0.74 69.08 5.58 2.82 0.05 2.25 35.92 9.51P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 45 +1 2.87 63.47 2.05 64.65 5.40 -0.57 0.00 0.39 12.80 2.76P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 30 44 +7 -1.98 40.66 -0.19 68.74 5.78 11.20 0.08 2.89 36.96 11.62P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 31 44 -2 3.52 66.61 1.33 64.39 5.38 -2.28 0.00 0.24 11.41 2.32P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 30 41 +12 -8.15 16.63 0.34 68.17 5.59 19.72 0.02 2.18 35.06 13.07P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 31 41 -3 2.65 62.94 2.94 58.77 5.28 -6.95 0.00 0.01 1.50 0.26P 0.15R 0.02 Cambridge_Utd 30 40 +2 -1.86 41.54 0.83 62.73 5.59 3.19 0.00 0.18 8.12 2.00P 0.03R 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 39 -9 4.52 71.94 1.47 57.72 5.46 -13.90 0.00 0.01 1.05 0.15P 0.54R 0.11 Yeovil 31 38 -5 -0.76 46.86 -0.17 56.77 5.29 -7.36 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.14P 0.71R 0.12 Morecambe 29 38 -9 3.84 68.90 0.40 58.25 5.66 -14.16 0.00 0.02 1.64 0.23P 0.62R 0.10 Crewe 31 35 -11 -4.03 31.82 -5.87 54.30 5.39 -12.89 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 2.89R 0.75 Hartlepool 31 31 -18 -1.10 45.33 -1.28 45.57 5.04 -27.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.94R 17.82 Accrington_Stanley 29 30 -11 -8.27 14.96 -8.83 51.99 5.73 -13.07 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 7.15R 2.31 Notts_County 31 30 -22 -3.23 35.28 -6.94 44.61 5.01 -31.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.48R 24.86 Cheltenham 31 29 -12 -8.59 15.35 -4.95 46.83 5.24 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.33R 10.86 Leyton_Orient 31 29 -14 -10.92 8.99 -10.11 49.01 5.34 -14.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 16.15R 6.22 Newport_County 30 25 -14 -7.79 15.99 -1.57 42.56 5.33 -20.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.01R 36.82National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Eastleigh 0 2 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 30 64 +30 12.59 94.14 13.88 91.46 5.61 38.45 47.12 99.05 58.39P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 61 +22 4.13 68.44 -0.08 88.10 5.26 32.38 20.51 96.53 42.36P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 60 +27 2.66 62.11 3.96 87.97 5.13 38.91 21.56 97.31 43.91P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 57 +17 5.03 73.25 1.10 85.99 5.38 27.22 10.01 92.38 32.95P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 53 +15 1.83 58.61 1.57 78.41 5.37 22.77 0.53 53.91 11.05P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 51 +10 5.66 75.21 7.81 70.47 5.12 10.50 0.01 6.30 0.98P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 30 50 +17 5.04 73.10 11.44 74.67 5.58 21.07 0.16 26.25 4.62P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 49 +18 -0.98 45.52 9.06 70.05 5.14 20.89 0.00 6.78 1.24P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 47 +12 0.62 52.91 2.14 73.63 5.72 16.88 0.10 20.04 4.30P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 46 -6 -0.62 47.48 -8.03 62.98 4.81 -7.10 0.00 0.12 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Bromley 31 45 -3 4.41 70.50 0.35 63.88 5.23 -6.07 0.00 0.45 0.05P 0.02R 0.00 Chester 32 43 +6 -1.84 41.85 5.00 62.48 5.19 6.12 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.09R 0.00 Eastleigh 31 42 +4 -5.11 27.00 -2.89 63.43 5.37 5.10 0.00 0.47 0.09P 0.03R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 42 +2 1.65 58.73 4.30 62.36 5.23 2.05 0.00 0.20 0.02P 0.10R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 32 40 -4 0.70 53.83 3.55 56.73 5.09 -8.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.79R 0.01 Braintree_Town 31 37 -14 -3.57 33.52 -11.03 57.55 5.28 -13.80 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.08R 0.02 Sutton_United 30 36 -9 1.91 60.35 1.62 53.89 5.33 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70R 0.16 Torquay 32 34 -9 -5.07 27.43 -1.53 51.66 5.01 -11.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.88R 0.34 Woking 32 33 -15 -7.92 17.70 -9.31 51.25 5.00 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.05R 0.59 Guiseley 32 32 -13 -3.01 35.95 1.25 46.88 4.84 -19.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.68R 3.36 Maidstone_United 32 30 -25 -0.64 48.22 -3.01 42.21 4.64 -37.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.25R 19.92 Southport 32 30 -32 -0.68 47.69 -8.77 43.29 4.75 -42.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.35R 16.66 York 31 27 -20 -13.31 5.24 -16.56 45.38 5.29 -23.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.23R 7.40 North_Ferriby 32 27 -30 -0.39 49.51 -5.82 38.86 4.53 -40.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.72R 51.54