Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2017, Bournemouth 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          25   60  +34      11.84    96.17    11.85    86.42     4.59    48.07    85.01    95.54    98.74    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   52  +22       3.75    69.53    -1.21    77.10     4.65    33.98     7.01    38.49    63.84    82.37    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   50  +28       3.53    68.63     8.68    75.95     4.73    40.74     4.50    31.88    58.53    78.70    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   50  +26       1.00    54.98     1.85    73.77     4.84    35.50     1.89    17.74    37.51    60.84    97.68     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   49  +24       4.86    74.60     7.67    72.98     4.88    33.92     1.33    13.08    30.97    54.08    96.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   48  +17       4.03    71.06     2.75    69.61     4.74    22.79     0.27     3.23    10.17    23.18    88.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton          25   41  +13       1.53    58.13     5.28    61.17     4.79    16.43     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.13    17.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        25   37   +3       4.99    76.02     6.89    52.75     4.75    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            25   32   -6       1.32    57.90     0.10    46.57     4.69   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39R    0.01  
West_Ham         25   32   -9      -0.87    45.51    -5.49    49.08     4.97   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.17R    0.00  
Southampton      25   30   -3      -6.90    17.20    -6.63    48.17     4.75    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.14R    0.00  
Burnley          25   30   -9       1.71    60.78     0.83    45.19     4.83   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.30R    0.04  
Watford          25   30  -13       2.82    66.66    -0.82    44.19     4.66   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.93R    0.11  
Bournemouth      25   26  -14      -0.10    50.46     1.87    39.42     4.60   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.94R    1.61  
Swansea          25   24  -23      -1.79    40.77    -7.37    38.38     4.76   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.95R    3.63  
Middlesbrough    25   22   -8      -5.92    19.54     0.74    36.16     4.60   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.65R    6.83  
Leicester        25   21  -19     -10.31     7.38   -13.68    37.91     4.77   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.30R    4.42  
Hull             25   20  -27      -1.96    39.85    -6.25    33.43     4.62   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.17R   23.08  
Crystal_Palace   25   19  -14      -8.39    11.27    -2.44    32.04     4.42   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.56R   26.60  
Sunderland       25   19  -22      -5.21    22.03    -4.61    31.71     4.50   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.51R   33.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Aston_Villa 1 3 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       31   66  +35       4.97    72.39     6.26    95.44     5.10    48.69    70.69    96.21    99.99    97.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        31   65  +26       9.49    88.10     6.68    91.54     5.26    34.77    27.67    87.28    99.89    91.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   61   +7      18.75    98.90     7.53    81.25     5.36     6.38     1.07     7.93    87.09    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         32   60   +6      15.40    96.48     5.14    78.54     5.00     5.03     0.24     3.18    75.02    16.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    32   57  +11      11.15    90.79     7.85    75.23     5.05     9.61     0.04     0.96    51.77    11.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   55  +10       7.10    80.63     2.02    78.55     5.35    14.46     0.26     3.33    75.18    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         32   51  +12      -2.02    40.66    -2.09    74.28     5.25    18.30     0.02     0.79    48.47    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   49  +15       3.02    63.80     9.84    70.23     5.35    15.53     0.01     0.11    21.60     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        32   49   +6       6.59    78.01     8.68    66.44     5.10     2.88     0.00     0.02     5.72     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         32   48   +4       3.34    65.84     2.65    67.04     5.00     3.88     0.00     0.01     6.76     1.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           31   47   +7      -2.52    38.13    -3.34    71.59     5.26    12.95     0.00     0.18    27.33     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         32   42   -7       0.09    51.27    -3.79    61.00     5.12    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.12P    0.34R    0.00  
Ipswich         32   40   -7      -2.39    39.02    -5.17    58.68     5.08    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    1.19R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   40  -11       0.43    52.84    -4.82    57.54     4.99   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.07R    0.00  
Brentford       31   37   -1      -5.96    23.84    -1.04    59.73     5.38     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.13P    0.93R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   36   -6      -4.57    29.29    -3.79    55.58     5.25    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   36  -11      -3.66    33.42    -3.81    53.92     5.14   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.43R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   31   35   -4      -6.40    21.92    -2.25    55.83     5.28    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.05R    0.00  
QPR             31   34  -14      -4.87    27.82    -8.57    52.54     5.16   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.51R    0.04  
Bristol_City    31   32   -4      -6.73    21.02     2.26    50.82     5.23    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.05R    0.04  
Burton_Albion   31   31  -14      -1.34    44.34     0.46    46.43     5.02   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.01R    0.34  
Wigan           31   29   -9      -9.07    13.51    -3.07    48.47     5.16   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.08R    0.25  
Blackburn       31   29  -13      -9.70    11.44    -7.46    47.21     5.21   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.29R    0.28  
Rotherham       32   17  -38     -10.81     7.03   -10.14    28.83     4.59   -50.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        32   64  +24       9.46    87.26     7.65    87.25     5.13    30.04    53.91    80.74    99.72    86.14P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       31   59  +25       6.25    77.48     9.41    83.03     5.29    30.15    22.08    53.09    97.66    65.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           30   57  +19       6.50    78.30     5.39    83.11     5.47    25.49    21.12    50.61    97.15    64.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   32   55  +14       7.54    81.67     8.50    75.14     5.06    15.51     1.10     5.92    70.28    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         32   51  +11       1.34    56.54     2.30    71.97     5.05    13.70     0.29     1.88    46.81    13.67P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   50   +7       0.74    53.47    -3.09    73.98     5.36    12.27     0.96     4.41    60.33    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         31   49   +8       6.04    77.31     7.26    70.85     5.33     9.93     0.18     1.16    37.11     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   47   +6       0.13    50.65    -0.56    68.88     5.34     7.86     0.06     0.53    25.72     6.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   47   +4       3.49    66.62     0.44    70.54     5.62     6.32     0.26     1.38    34.19     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   45   -2       4.99    72.46     4.48    62.51     5.12    -4.90     0.00     0.01     2.74     0.48P    0.32R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       30   43   +4       2.01    59.94     4.07    64.37     5.48     3.44     0.01     0.09     7.32     1.58P    0.11R    0.00  
Walsall          32   43   -4      -2.07    40.72    -5.94    64.33     5.10    -0.80     0.00     0.02     5.53     1.35P    0.10R    0.00  
Charlton         30   41   +7      -3.86    32.20     1.27    65.62     5.63    10.94     0.02     0.16    12.79     3.43P    0.07R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon    30   39   +1       3.05    65.36     8.83    58.23     5.45    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P    2.90R    0.03  
MK_Dons          31   39   +1      -6.91    20.67    -4.11    60.08     5.36     1.87     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.39P    1.03R    0.00  
Northampton      32   39   -4      -0.65    47.70     3.30    56.32     5.08    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    5.31R    0.07  
Gillingham       31   35   -9      -6.43    21.94    -7.00    54.86     5.42   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   10.14R    0.46  
Shrewsbury       32   35  -12      -1.58    43.02    -0.91    51.89     5.05   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.74R    1.25  
Oldham           32   34  -12      -2.61    37.68    -3.01    49.57     4.82   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.23R    2.57  
Port_Vale        30   33  -16      -2.00    40.69    -6.50    51.87     5.39   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.20R    1.94  
Bury             32   31  -12      -5.81    24.36     0.48    47.31     5.00   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.69R    7.74  
Swindon          32   29  -18      -9.35    12.47    -9.50    46.19     4.99   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.63R   12.09  
Chesterfield     31   27  -20      -8.15    15.49    -8.79    43.92     5.13   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.27R   24.00  
Coventry         31   22  -22     -14.86     2.55   -13.95    40.65     5.22   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R   49.86  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Carlisle 2 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            31   63  +23       6.21    76.61     0.95    90.35     5.40    33.36    63.88    96.81    99.97    97.77P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             30   60  +17       8.52    84.78     1.72    86.89     5.54    24.51    29.51    88.79    99.69    91.85P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             31   55  +10       8.91    85.28     4.89    77.69     5.42    13.20     1.69    30.86    88.98    42.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                31   52  +18       2.50    61.82     7.68    75.07     5.36    21.75     0.88    17.81    80.27    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   51  +16       1.17    55.51     3.11    79.23     5.53    25.18     3.61    46.43    93.77    61.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49  +16       1.81    58.48     9.06    72.88     5.40    20.94     0.26     9.99    67.83    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            31   47   +7       2.48    61.80     3.90    67.06     5.32     6.34     0.02     1.13    24.07     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   46   +1       3.93    68.73    -0.74    69.08     5.58     2.82     0.05     2.25    35.92     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            31   45   +1       2.87    63.47     2.05    64.65     5.40    -0.57     0.00     0.39    12.80     2.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester           30   44   +7      -1.98    40.66    -0.19    68.74     5.78    11.20     0.08     2.89    36.96    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               31   44   -2       3.52    66.61     1.33    64.39     5.38    -2.28     0.00     0.24    11.41     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            30   41  +12      -8.15    16.63     0.34    68.17     5.59    19.72     0.02     2.18    35.06    13.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby              31   41   -3       2.65    62.94     2.94    58.77     5.28    -6.95     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.26P    0.15R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd        30   40   +2      -1.86    41.54     0.83    62.73     5.59     3.19     0.00     0.18     8.12     2.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         30   39   -9       4.52    71.94     1.47    57.72     5.46   -13.90     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.15P    0.54R    0.11  
Yeovil               31   38   -5      -0.76    46.86    -0.17    56.77     5.29    -7.36     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.14P    0.71R    0.12  
Morecambe            29   38   -9       3.84    68.90     0.40    58.25     5.66   -14.16     0.00     0.02     1.64     0.23P    0.62R    0.10  
Crewe                31   35  -11      -4.03    31.82    -5.87    54.30     5.39   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    2.89R    0.75  
Hartlepool           31   31  -18      -1.10    45.33    -1.28    45.57     5.04   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.94R   17.82  
Accrington_Stanley   29   30  -11      -8.27    14.96    -8.83    51.99     5.73   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    7.15R    2.31  
Notts_County         31   30  -22      -3.23    35.28    -6.94    44.61     5.01   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.48R   24.86  
Cheltenham           31   29  -12      -8.59    15.35    -4.95    46.83     5.24   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.33R   10.86  
Leyton_Orient        31   29  -14     -10.92     8.99   -10.11    49.01     5.34   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.15R    6.22  
Newport_County       30   25  -14      -7.79    15.99    -1.57    42.56     5.33   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.01R   36.82  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2017, Eastleigh 0 2 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       30   64  +30      12.59    94.14    13.88    91.46     5.61    38.45    47.12    99.05    58.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   61  +22       4.13    68.44    -0.08    88.10     5.26    32.38    20.51    96.53    42.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   60  +27       2.66    62.11     3.96    87.97     5.13    38.91    21.56    97.31    43.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           30   57  +17       5.03    73.25     1.10    85.99     5.38    27.22    10.01    92.38    32.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     31   53  +15       1.83    58.61     1.57    78.41     5.37    22.77     0.53    53.91    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   51  +10       5.66    75.21     7.81    70.47     5.12    10.50     0.01     6.30     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             30   50  +17       5.04    73.10    11.44    74.67     5.58    21.07     0.16    26.25     4.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          32   49  +18      -0.98    45.52     9.06    70.05     5.14    20.89     0.00     6.78     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       29   47  +12       0.62    52.91     2.14    73.63     5.72    16.88     0.10    20.04     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   46   -6      -0.62    47.48    -8.03    62.98     4.81    -7.10     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Bromley            31   45   -3       4.41    70.50     0.35    63.88     5.23    -6.07     0.00     0.45     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester            32   43   +6      -1.84    41.85     5.00    62.48     5.19     6.12     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Eastleigh          31   42   +4      -5.11    27.00    -2.89    63.43     5.37     5.10     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   42   +2       1.65    58.73     4.30    62.36     5.23     2.05     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     32   40   -4       0.70    53.83     3.55    56.73     5.09    -8.23     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.79R    0.01  
Braintree_Town     31   37  -14      -3.57    33.52   -11.03    57.55     5.28   -13.80     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.08R    0.02  
Sutton_United      30   36   -9       1.91    60.35     1.62    53.89     5.33   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.16  
Torquay            32   34   -9      -5.07    27.43    -1.53    51.66     5.01   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    0.34  
Woking             32   33  -15      -7.92    17.70    -9.31    51.25     5.00   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.59  
Guiseley           32   32  -13      -3.01    35.95     1.25    46.88     4.84   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.68R    3.36  
Maidstone_United   32   30  -25      -0.64    48.22    -3.01    42.21     4.64   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R   19.92  
Southport          32   30  -32      -0.68    47.69    -8.77    43.29     4.75   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.35R   16.66  
York               31   27  -20     -13.31     5.24   -16.56    45.38     5.29   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.23R    7.40  
North_Ferriby      32   27  -30      -0.39    49.51    -5.82    38.86     4.53   -40.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.72R   51.54