Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 9 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 February 2017, Leicester 0 3 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 24 59 +34 12.61 97.31 12.30 87.49 4.79 49.14 86.66 96.64 99.20 99.81 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 50 +30 4.31 73.36 9.65 77.66 4.96 43.27 7.27 47.70 73.52 88.43 99.53 0.00 0.00 Man_City 24 49 +20 2.99 66.13 -1.78 76.10 4.88 33.05 3.99 29.12 58.85 80.30 99.11 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 47 +24 0.52 52.24 1.71 73.32 4.98 35.55 1.44 15.84 36.72 63.08 96.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 46 +22 3.89 70.58 6.84 71.08 5.13 31.53 0.52 7.92 21.95 43.53 93.01 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 45 +15 3.30 67.45 2.12 68.75 4.93 21.93 0.12 2.70 9.27 22.53 84.87 0.00 0.00 Everton 24 40 +13 2.11 61.30 5.54 61.65 5.03 16.51 0.00 0.07 0.50 2.29 25.09 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 24 36 +3 5.31 78.16 6.77 52.78 5.01 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 1.16 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 24 31 -9 -0.21 49.48 -5.07 49.63 5.21 -10.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.23R 0.01 Watford 24 30 -11 3.13 68.24 -0.50 44.99 4.84 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.93R 0.10 Stoke 24 29 -7 0.17 51.71 -0.07 45.30 4.94 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.71R 0.08 Burnley 24 29 -9 1.81 61.32 0.48 44.86 5.04 -14.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.37R 0.17 Southampton 24 27 -7 -7.24 15.24 -8.72 46.20 4.98 -7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.01R 0.06 Bournemouth 24 26 -12 0.19 52.10 2.01 40.45 4.81 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.20R 1.57 Middlesbrough 24 21 -8 -5.82 19.60 0.60 36.31 4.87 -13.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.74R 9.23 Leicester 24 21 -17 -9.44 8.74 -12.47 39.46 5.01 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.55R 3.34 Swansea 24 21 -25 -2.96 33.72 -8.39 36.44 4.97 -31.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.27R 11.00 Hull 24 20 -25 -1.73 41.13 -6.25 33.82 4.77 -34.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.78R 25.30 Crystal_Palace 24 19 -13 -7.54 13.65 -2.06 33.17 4.68 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.94R 24.09 Sunderland 24 19 -18 -5.07 22.73 -2.73 33.41 4.76 -26.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.28R 25.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2017, Wigan 2 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 29 62 +34 4.47 71.05 6.34 94.72 5.56 48.56 67.60 95.89 99.96 97.50P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 29 61 +23 10.29 90.66 6.78 91.34 5.58 33.21 30.93 89.01 99.84 92.66P 0.00 0.00 Reading 30 56 +5 14.64 96.42 4.90 77.92 5.43 5.01 0.43 4.13 73.82 17.77P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 29 55 +5 16.09 97.87 6.36 77.76 5.76 4.07 0.50 3.96 71.90 16.05P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 54 +12 10.69 90.74 8.54 76.19 5.47 12.38 0.25 2.53 64.50 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 29 49 +6 5.81 77.22 0.76 75.61 5.72 10.90 0.14 1.85 60.37 17.98P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 30 47 +8 -1.53 42.52 -3.27 73.11 5.64 14.43 0.05 0.99 44.60 14.97P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 46 +8 -0.29 48.51 -1.55 74.69 5.62 15.89 0.09 1.52 56.21 20.02P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 30 45 +4 5.97 76.24 7.69 64.10 5.50 -0.90 0.00 0.01 4.36 0.84P 0.14R 0.00 Fulham 29 43 +13 0.87 54.56 9.48 67.79 5.79 14.83 0.01 0.10 15.70 3.93P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 30 42 +1 1.49 57.86 1.51 63.76 5.39 0.86 0.00 0.00 3.39 0.79P 0.13R 0.00 Birmingham 30 40 -7 1.41 57.76 -3.43 59.84 5.36 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.12P 1.25R 0.00 Brentford 29 37 +2 -4.42 29.29 -0.12 62.49 5.81 5.35 0.00 0.00 3.05 0.86P 0.46R 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 36 -3 -2.61 37.74 -1.94 59.57 5.74 -2.42 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.20P 1.85R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 36 -6 -2.99 36.23 -2.47 56.26 5.54 -8.57 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 5.81R 0.00 Ipswich 30 36 -8 -3.69 32.57 -6.26 56.15 5.37 -10.53 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 5.35R 0.01 Cardiff 30 36 -10 -2.68 37.60 -6.23 56.15 5.43 -12.46 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 5.71R 0.01 Wolverhampton 29 35 -2 -4.29 29.82 -1.21 58.85 5.67 -1.23 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.12P 2.05R 0.01 QPR 30 34 -13 -3.72 32.41 -7.97 54.26 5.39 -15.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 10.77R 0.03 Bristol_City 29 31 -3 -5.80 23.43 1.83 51.46 5.59 -7.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.72R 0.13 Burton_Albion 30 31 -11 -1.22 44.83 1.26 47.23 5.14 -19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.59R 0.60 Blackburn 29 28 -12 -8.42 13.90 -7.15 48.65 5.56 -16.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.20R 0.62 Wigan 29 26 -9 -9.61 11.09 -3.62 47.19 5.60 -11.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.04R 1.13 Rotherham 30 16 -37 -9.53 8.64 -10.19 30.22 5.01 -49.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.89R 97.46League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2017, MK_Dons 1 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 30 60 +23 8.38 84.88 6.77 86.03 5.64 29.07 40.64 73.97 99.01 80.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 58 +26 8.23 84.93 10.54 86.37 5.75 33.67 45.43 77.10 99.02 83.43P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 28 51 +15 5.21 74.19 4.27 80.13 5.93 21.85 10.17 29.78 89.36 46.85P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 30 51 +13 6.74 79.96 8.22 74.21 5.47 14.97 1.06 5.38 61.04 17.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 30 50 +12 2.52 62.23 2.62 73.71 5.44 14.72 0.99 4.71 58.10 19.17P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 46 +7 5.83 76.69 6.39 69.63 5.78 7.47 0.16 1.09 28.76 6.50P 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 28 46 +5 4.54 71.80 0.47 71.60 6.00 6.22 0.69 2.99 40.43 10.93P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 29 44 +6 0.18 50.96 -0.06 69.50 5.79 9.26 0.19 1.25 29.62 7.93P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 29 44 +4 -0.81 46.10 -3.60 71.59 5.80 10.59 0.49 2.52 42.51 13.32P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 43 -2 5.41 74.59 4.20 63.16 5.60 -5.14 0.00 0.05 4.56 0.76P 0.29R 0.00 Walsall 30 42 -1 -1.73 41.82 -4.94 65.34 5.44 1.14 0.01 0.10 8.61 2.12P 0.08R 0.00 Charlton 28 40 +8 -2.46 37.84 1.80 67.75 6.04 12.57 0.13 0.78 22.10 6.61P 0.04R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 40 +5 1.53 57.89 4.80 64.94 5.99 5.63 0.04 0.23 10.54 2.45P 0.18R 0.00 MK_Dons 29 38 +2 -5.46 25.23 -3.43 61.74 5.90 2.66 0.01 0.04 4.06 1.07P 0.78R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 28 37 +1 3.75 69.16 8.97 59.27 5.89 -2.66 0.00 0.01 1.67 0.29P 2.21R 0.05 Northampton 30 33 -7 -2.76 37.55 2.14 53.55 5.54 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 14.12R 0.92 Gillingham 29 33 -9 -5.10 26.15 -6.07 56.78 5.81 -8.47 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 6.14R 0.29 Shrewsbury 30 32 -12 -2.45 38.41 -1.89 49.98 5.33 -18.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.20R 3.56 Port_Vale 28 32 -14 -1.58 42.52 -6.45 52.77 5.79 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 20.67R 1.75 Swindon 30 29 -16 -7.68 16.79 -8.97 48.68 5.44 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.14R 6.64 Oldham 30 28 -14 -5.25 24.72 -4.11 46.02 5.20 -18.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.82R 12.73 Bury 30 27 -13 -6.59 20.77 0.61 46.19 5.49 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.71R 13.55 Chesterfield 29 26 -18 -7.49 16.38 -8.41 44.93 5.53 -25.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.47R 20.34 Coventry 29 21 -21 -13.72 3.21 -13.88 41.95 5.60 -24.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.15R 40.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2017, Blackpool 0 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 29 62 +24 7.74 82.79 1.39 93.24 5.85 36.19 75.20 98.43 99.98 98.91P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 28 57 +15 9.60 88.80 1.80 87.09 5.93 23.07 21.29 87.78 99.44 90.83P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 29 52 +12 8.03 83.57 5.84 77.46 5.86 15.18 1.38 33.18 85.55 44.14P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 29 48 +19 2.50 62.01 10.49 75.31 5.83 24.98 0.75 22.64 79.09 37.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 29 46 +14 1.24 56.09 6.63 72.65 5.79 18.96 0.23 11.29 63.20 24.75P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 46 +5 5.27 75.09 1.36 72.66 5.97 8.02 0.20 10.05 59.70 21.00P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 28 45 +12 -0.54 47.31 1.47 76.04 5.98 21.31 0.82 26.30 81.34 42.91P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 43 +3 3.20 65.97 2.53 65.69 5.71 2.29 0.01 0.96 17.24 4.27P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 28 41 +7 -2.00 40.41 0.15 69.64 6.18 12.94 0.08 5.08 42.33 14.66P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 29 41 -2 3.16 65.47 1.14 63.75 5.79 -2.97 0.00 0.38 10.38 2.26P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 29 40 +2 2.35 61.75 4.91 61.52 5.76 -0.42 0.00 0.17 5.61 1.22P 0.06R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 28 39 +4 -0.77 46.39 1.90 64.99 6.06 5.99 0.02 0.93 16.37 4.37P 0.03R 0.00 Stevenage 29 39 -3 1.18 56.40 0.41 61.12 5.80 -5.01 0.00 0.12 4.99 1.06P 0.12R 0.02 Blackpool 28 38 +11 -7.99 16.07 -0.03 67.49 6.06 18.06 0.02 2.64 30.77 11.82P 0.01R 0.00 Yeovil 29 36 -5 0.31 52.27 0.26 57.59 5.68 -7.19 0.00 0.01 1.18 0.27P 0.68R 0.13 Crawley_Town 28 36 -9 3.86 69.83 0.59 55.96 5.81 -16.17 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.12P 1.65R 0.40 Morecambe 27 35 -10 3.88 69.81 0.03 57.44 6.11 -16.00 0.00 0.04 1.67 0.26P 1.27R 0.25 Hartlepool 29 31 -11 -1.17 44.89 0.97 48.25 5.48 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.98R 7.13 Accrington_Stanley 27 29 -9 -7.32 17.10 -8.10 53.25 6.09 -11.59 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.07P 5.06R 1.38 Cheltenham 29 29 -10 -6.83 20.01 -4.47 49.74 5.71 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 12.66R 4.20 Crewe 29 29 -17 -4.74 28.42 -8.21 49.62 5.74 -20.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 15.08R 5.39 Notts_County 29 26 -23 -4.38 29.50 -7.94 42.75 5.46 -33.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.15R 36.32 Leyton_Orient 29 25 -15 -12.17 6.04 -11.21 46.86 5.72 -17.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.93R 11.61 Newport_County 28 23 -14 -7.41 16.46 -1.92 42.65 5.71 -21.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.28R 33.17National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2017, Bromley 1 0 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 29 61 +29 11.76 93.04 14.20 90.40 5.80 38.47 44.02 97.98 55.32P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 58 +19 3.97 68.02 -0.66 86.73 5.47 29.77 17.18 93.23 38.19P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 57 +25 2.02 59.26 3.44 86.74 5.35 37.48 19.09 94.57 41.65P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 56 +17 5.80 77.01 1.69 87.12 5.57 28.32 17.73 93.37 39.73P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 52 +15 2.56 61.94 2.00 79.33 5.58 23.63 1.39 58.09 12.84P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 31 50 +10 6.12 77.22 7.88 70.92 5.28 10.66 0.02 7.36 1.18P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 29 49 +17 5.36 74.86 11.35 74.86 5.79 20.83 0.31 26.09 4.69P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 46 +17 -2.31 39.18 8.51 68.15 5.36 19.44 0.00 3.44 0.73P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 46 +12 1.06 55.26 2.23 74.24 5.95 17.19 0.26 22.04 4.97P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 32 45 -6 -0.30 48.79 -8.21 62.91 5.03 -7.82 0.00 0.21 0.02P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 30 44 -3 4.52 71.13 -0.03 63.49 5.35 -7.28 0.00 0.45 0.05P 0.05R 0.00 Chester 31 43 +7 -0.94 45.84 5.26 63.99 5.39 7.38 0.00 0.60 0.09P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 42 +4 2.05 60.72 4.87 63.26 5.39 3.38 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 29 41 +6 -3.68 32.29 -1.45 66.37 5.80 8.82 0.00 2.14 0.45P 0.02R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 37 -6 1.58 58.35 3.27 55.86 5.48 -11.23 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.96R 0.06 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.86 64.90 2.82 57.12 5.85 -10.29 0.00 0.04 0.01P 3.24R 0.06 Torquay 31 33 -9 -5.10 26.93 -2.12 51.87 5.25 -11.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.92R 0.48 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.86 23.08 -12.65 54.21 5.62 -16.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.58R 0.33 Woking 30 30 -15 -8.09 16.25 -9.45 50.50 5.43 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.01R 1.41 Southport 31 30 -29 -0.54 48.41 -8.12 44.24 4.97 -39.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.84R 13.81 Maidstone_United 31 29 -25 -0.45 49.05 -3.04 41.79 4.84 -38.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.18R 26.07 Guiseley 30 28 -14 -4.03 30.65 0.60 45.36 5.29 -21.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.68R 8.45 North_Ferriby 31 27 -29 -0.03 51.52 -6.13 39.84 4.74 -40.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.52R 43.08 York 30 26 -20 -12.72 5.60 -16.25 46.55 5.47 -22.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.86R 6.24