Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 1 February 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2017, Man_Utd 0 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 23 56 +32 11.70 96.66 11.61 85.98 5.05 47.22 78.72 92.56 97.54 99.39 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 47 +29 3.47 69.37 9.69 76.81 5.12 43.43 8.38 39.47 64.57 83.33 99.44 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 47 +26 1.19 56.13 2.58 74.60 5.15 37.51 4.54 22.52 44.90 68.88 98.65 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 46 +24 5.12 77.20 8.34 73.41 5.32 35.05 2.79 16.94 35.73 59.32 97.60 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 46 +19 2.33 62.75 -1.08 75.67 5.04 34.43 5.47 27.20 52.42 75.40 99.15 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 42 +12 2.69 65.00 0.59 66.75 5.19 18.31 0.09 1.28 4.56 12.35 78.53 0.00 0.00 Everton 23 37 +10 1.83 60.35 4.75 60.63 5.15 14.53 0.00 0.04 0.28 1.33 24.88 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 23 33 +2 4.06 73.24 6.44 51.17 5.21 -1.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.12 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 23 29 -6 0.99 56.64 0.20 46.38 5.13 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.20R 0.02 Burnley 23 29 -8 2.72 66.67 0.81 46.29 5.23 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.31R 0.04 West_Ham 23 28 -11 -1.45 41.98 -6.35 47.24 5.37 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.98R 0.04 Southampton 23 27 -5 -6.33 17.69 -7.48 48.54 5.18 -3.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.44R 0.01 Watford 23 27 -12 1.90 62.11 -0.84 43.49 5.03 -19.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.27R 0.27 Bournemouth 23 26 -9 0.52 53.97 2.71 41.34 4.96 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.05R 0.55 Middlesbrough 23 21 -7 -5.31 21.64 0.38 36.84 5.03 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.58R 5.34 Leicester 23 21 -14 -9.00 9.23 -10.97 41.25 5.24 -15.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.54R 1.14 Swansea 23 21 -24 -2.30 37.34 -8.86 36.85 5.05 -32.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.09R 7.00 Crystal_Palace 23 19 -9 -7.02 15.08 0.35 35.51 4.94 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.37R 8.61 Hull 23 17 -27 -3.15 32.22 -7.66 31.04 4.86 -38.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.07R 38.39 Sunderland 23 16 -22 -5.82 18.25 -5.20 30.74 4.92 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.06R 38.60Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2017, Blackburn 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 27 60 +25 11.61 94.36 8.31 93.92 6.03 36.39 48.51 93.43 99.95 95.63P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 59 +33 3.35 66.20 5.97 93.58 5.80 48.27 50.08 93.48 99.94 96.21P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 55 +5 14.93 96.74 4.72 78.13 5.68 4.81 0.52 4.17 76.26 17.71P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 29 54 +13 11.73 93.31 9.06 77.53 5.68 13.34 0.40 3.75 74.48 19.20P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.88 96.61 4.90 73.60 6.12 -0.18 0.13 1.16 46.63 9.13P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +9 0.67 53.20 -1.15 75.61 5.79 16.24 0.22 2.06 64.83 23.06P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 46 +5 4.52 72.40 0.24 73.84 5.91 9.70 0.06 1.00 51.04 14.48P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 29 44 +4 6.29 78.19 7.64 64.75 5.74 -0.52 0.00 0.02 6.92 1.37P 0.10R 0.00 Fulham 28 43 +14 1.87 59.37 9.88 69.35 6.03 16.14 0.01 0.27 25.72 6.60P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 28 43 +7 -2.36 38.33 -3.60 71.84 6.11 13.38 0.07 0.64 39.63 13.15P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 29 41 +1 1.66 58.48 1.25 64.05 5.65 0.72 0.00 0.01 5.24 1.18P 0.16R 0.00 Birmingham 29 37 -8 0.13 51.49 -3.86 58.12 5.58 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.09P 2.47R 0.00 Brentford 28 36 +2 -4.09 30.26 -0.24 62.71 6.00 5.15 0.00 0.01 4.21 1.05P 0.47R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 36 -2 -1.61 42.40 -1.51 60.96 5.94 -1.37 0.00 0.00 2.14 0.58P 0.97R 0.01 Cardiff 29 36 -9 -1.55 42.86 -5.52 57.63 5.63 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 3.01R 0.02 Wolverhampton 28 35 -1 -3.26 34.19 -0.70 60.55 5.90 0.29 0.00 0.00 1.74 0.37P 1.15R 0.00 Ipswich 29 35 -8 -3.22 34.34 -6.10 56.70 5.61 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 4.14R 0.01 QPR 29 34 -12 -2.87 36.32 -7.71 55.65 5.61 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 6.40R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 29 33 -7 -4.17 30.05 -2.87 54.54 5.72 -9.68 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 8.97R 0.04 Bristol_City 28 28 -4 -6.76 19.74 1.92 50.46 5.82 -7.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 24.43R 0.46 Burton_Albion 29 28 -12 -2.61 37.53 0.56 45.21 5.30 -20.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.54R 1.98 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.40 13.60 -3.33 48.91 6.03 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 35.09R 1.02 Blackburn 28 25 -13 -9.81 9.61 -7.72 47.15 5.78 -16.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 48.42R 1.58 Rotherham 29 16 -36 -8.80 10.26 -10.12 30.93 5.22 -49.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.69R 94.85League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2017, Millwall 0 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 28 58 +28 9.07 87.87 11.70 88.18 5.94 36.29 59.46 84.00 99.55 88.55P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 57 +19 8.50 85.77 5.51 84.40 5.84 25.08 25.95 61.91 97.75 71.43P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 27 50 +15 5.60 76.24 4.36 80.38 6.16 21.69 10.64 32.33 90.43 48.86P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 50 +13 7.14 81.55 8.25 74.09 5.63 14.31 1.09 5.78 62.54 18.19P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 49 +12 3.27 66.18 3.12 74.53 5.66 15.38 1.35 6.95 65.63 22.62P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 5.06 74.35 0.68 72.64 6.19 7.29 0.89 4.69 50.27 14.55P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 28 43 +5 4.81 73.32 5.35 67.47 5.95 4.67 0.05 0.58 19.91 4.41P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 42 -2 5.49 75.17 3.85 62.95 5.81 -6.25 0.00 0.05 5.60 1.00P 0.60R 0.01 Peterborough 28 41 +3 -0.35 48.40 -1.29 67.32 6.02 5.37 0.09 0.62 20.79 5.25P 0.07R 0.00 Millwall 28 41 +2 -2.07 39.77 -5.01 69.87 6.02 8.43 0.25 1.52 34.36 10.40P 0.03R 0.00 Charlton 27 39 +8 -2.13 39.46 1.76 68.56 6.23 13.19 0.20 1.29 28.93 8.90P 0.05R 0.00 Walsall 29 39 -2 -2.76 36.67 -5.07 64.16 5.64 0.82 0.00 0.06 7.65 1.93P 0.28R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.54 68.14 10.39 60.62 6.08 1.29 0.00 0.04 3.64 0.72P 1.72R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.27 51.64 4.36 63.05 6.17 4.23 0.00 0.12 7.41 1.74P 0.77R 0.02 MK_Dons 27 34 +1 -6.37 20.88 -3.98 61.16 6.28 2.63 0.01 0.06 4.46 1.23P 1.87R 0.05 Northampton 29 33 -6 -1.85 41.95 2.36 54.49 5.72 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 13.92R 0.96 Gillingham 28 32 -9 -5.10 25.91 -6.62 56.56 6.03 -9.33 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.14P 8.73R 0.52 Port_Vale 27 32 -11 -1.00 45.65 -4.73 54.68 6.04 -16.13 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 15.40R 1.22 Shrewsbury 29 29 -13 -3.65 32.15 -2.21 48.50 5.59 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 49.89R 8.83 Swindon 29 29 -15 -6.58 20.07 -8.51 50.25 5.63 -18.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 37.68R 5.40 Bury 29 27 -12 -5.62 24.01 0.97 47.44 5.72 -17.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 55.40R 12.16 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.32 20.76 -7.76 46.94 5.75 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 61.51R 14.95 Oldham 28 25 -14 -6.11 20.18 -4.67 44.82 5.57 -20.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.39R 23.56 Coventry 28 21 -19 -13.03 3.84 -12.83 43.60 5.85 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.62R 32.28League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Exeter 4 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 28 61 +24 8.53 85.87 2.03 94.83 5.96 38.33 84.01 99.19 100.00 99.44P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 27 54 +14 8.28 85.63 1.21 85.45 6.21 22.10 12.73 81.90 98.60 86.28P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 28 49 +11 6.78 79.81 5.51 75.71 6.13 13.99 0.84 24.99 77.60 35.97P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 45 +15 2.43 62.08 8.80 73.54 6.05 20.69 0.36 16.19 69.02 29.02P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 45 +14 1.51 57.51 6.54 73.36 6.03 19.49 0.34 15.39 67.44 29.05P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 27 45 +13 0.64 53.05 2.11 77.66 6.17 22.73 1.40 38.71 86.67 52.88P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 43 +4 3.83 69.26 0.67 70.61 6.19 6.44 0.07 6.83 46.27 15.63P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 28 41 +0 3.91 69.26 2.23 65.62 6.03 -0.20 0.01 1.10 18.42 4.36P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.50 42.85 0.36 69.51 6.44 12.15 0.11 6.14 42.38 15.45P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 40 +1 2.14 61.34 1.40 63.72 5.94 -0.19 0.00 0.53 11.32 2.74P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 39 +5 0.14 50.84 2.27 66.42 6.23 7.03 0.02 1.99 23.67 6.88P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 28 39 +2 2.53 62.89 4.71 61.69 5.95 -0.73 0.00 0.28 6.57 1.50P 0.13R 0.01 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -6.92 18.46 0.39 69.43 6.45 19.87 0.09 6.55 43.93 19.17P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 28 36 -4 -0.17 50.08 -0.14 59.40 6.01 -6.15 0.00 0.09 3.32 0.73P 0.57R 0.11 Yeovil 28 35 -5 0.75 54.70 0.45 58.01 5.87 -7.10 0.00 0.04 1.70 0.33P 1.00R 0.20 Crawley_Town 26 35 -8 4.78 74.69 0.49 57.28 6.22 -15.95 0.00 0.04 1.77 0.33P 1.87R 0.39 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.35 63.41 -1.45 54.76 6.46 -19.77 0.00 0.02 0.88 0.15P 5.50R 1.83 Hartlepool 28 30 -11 -0.78 47.00 1.10 48.48 5.74 -20.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 22.82R 8.47 Crewe 28 29 -13 -4.99 26.82 -6.69 51.26 5.97 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 11.81R 4.07 Cheltenham 28 28 -10 -6.15 22.09 -3.99 50.30 5.96 -13.53 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 14.41R 5.30 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.20 13.62 -8.96 51.74 6.32 -13.43 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.06P 10.86R 3.89 Notts_County 28 26 -21 -3.77 31.61 -7.02 43.94 5.68 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.76R 32.31 Leyton_Orient 27 25 -13 -9.97 9.60 -9.93 50.16 6.16 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 15.81R 6.14 Newport_County 27 22 -14 -7.30 16.50 -2.11 42.82 5.93 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 59.40R 37.26National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Solihull_Moors 0 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 29 61 +29 11.77 93.38 14.23 90.38 5.79 38.38 44.91 98.14 56.42P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 57 +25 1.97 59.04 3.28 86.78 5.34 37.49 20.01 94.87 41.93P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 56 +17 5.85 77.19 1.79 87.09 5.61 28.25 18.43 93.65 39.88P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 55 +18 2.91 63.52 -0.67 85.74 5.71 29.67 14.44 90.26 36.25P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 52 +15 2.39 61.33 1.75 79.48 5.59 23.84 1.57 60.39 13.32P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 29 49 +17 5.36 74.98 11.37 74.81 5.80 20.74 0.33 26.91 4.69P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 30 47 +8 5.44 75.22 7.33 69.32 5.48 8.66 0.01 5.03 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 46 +12 0.94 54.73 2.06 74.29 5.92 17.28 0.29 23.41 5.37P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 43 +14 -2.55 37.91 7.78 66.94 5.59 17.16 0.00 2.82 0.53P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 30 43 +8 -0.20 49.33 5.15 64.82 5.59 7.44 0.00 1.14 0.18P 0.06R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 42 +4 2.23 61.67 5.12 63.11 5.39 3.22 0.00 0.41 0.07P 0.09R 0.00 Wrexham 31 42 -8 -1.12 45.12 -9.05 61.60 5.22 -9.36 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.33R 0.00 Eastleigh 29 41 +6 -3.72 32.00 -1.51 66.47 5.82 9.05 0.01 2.49 0.51P 0.02R 0.00 Bromley 29 41 -4 3.49 67.18 -0.05 61.98 5.58 -8.11 0.00 0.28 0.04P 0.30R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 37 -6 1.46 57.64 3.02 55.95 5.54 -11.13 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.87R 0.09 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.87 64.98 2.85 57.08 5.84 -10.37 0.00 0.03 0.00P 3.96R 0.10 Torquay 30 33 -8 -4.04 31.03 -1.47 53.02 5.43 -11.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.44R 0.43 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.73 23.55 -12.43 54.09 5.68 -17.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.40R 0.43 Woking 30 30 -15 -8.36 15.34 -9.85 50.55 5.49 -18.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.42R 1.88 Southport 30 30 -26 -0.44 48.88 -7.41 45.19 5.15 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.94R 12.06 Maidstone_United 30 29 -23 -0.16 50.69 -2.82 43.28 5.13 -35.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.36R 20.25 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.41 33.45 1.36 46.45 5.45 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.55R 7.32 North_Ferriby 31 27 -29 0.23 52.77 -5.75 39.75 4.70 -40.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.35R 49.99 York 30 26 -20 -12.61 5.81 -16.07 46.45 5.52 -22.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.91R 7.45