Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 31 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Arsenal 1 2 Watford; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 23 56 +32 11.77 96.70 11.65 85.89 5.04 47.10 79.96 93.28 97.76 99.37 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 47 +29 3.56 70.09 9.77 76.74 5.10 43.40 8.61 42.07 66.45 83.58 99.30 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 47 +26 1.26 56.41 2.63 74.53 5.14 37.46 4.77 23.99 46.96 69.48 98.13 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 46 +24 4.93 76.45 7.93 73.57 5.32 35.39 3.02 19.17 39.57 61.89 96.92 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +15 2.08 61.50 -2.72 73.79 5.31 29.85 3.37 18.36 39.23 61.95 97.17 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 41 +12 3.68 70.46 1.51 68.44 5.32 20.44 0.26 3.01 9.47 21.55 83.30 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +10 2.17 62.43 4.64 61.10 5.41 14.73 0.01 0.11 0.57 2.16 23.58 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 23 33 +2 3.87 72.30 6.16 51.30 5.18 -1.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.06R 0.00 Burnley 23 29 -8 2.62 65.99 0.68 46.24 5.26 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.40R 0.06 Stoke 22 28 -6 1.40 59.26 0.33 46.57 5.34 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.34R 0.03 West_Ham 22 28 -7 -1.47 41.37 -4.77 48.98 5.61 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.48R 0.02 Southampton 23 27 -5 -6.33 17.74 -7.48 48.49 5.17 -3.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.42R 0.01 Watford 23 27 -12 1.87 62.07 -0.93 43.51 5.05 -19.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.33R 0.21 Bournemouth 23 26 -9 0.47 53.56 2.63 41.31 4.98 -19.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09R 0.59 Middlesbrough 23 21 -7 -5.18 21.91 0.55 36.82 4.97 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.09R 4.88 Leicester 23 21 -14 -8.97 9.21 -10.90 41.23 5.22 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.20R 0.99 Swansea 23 21 -24 -2.33 37.24 -8.80 36.82 5.07 -32.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.84R 6.32 Crystal_Palace 23 19 -9 -7.04 14.71 0.35 35.62 4.95 -16.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.93R 7.27 Sunderland 23 16 -22 -5.82 17.96 -5.14 30.73 4.94 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.68R 35.99 Hull 22 16 -27 -3.25 31.12 -8.09 30.28 4.94 -40.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.13R 43.64Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Barnsley 1 3 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 27 60 +25 11.58 94.35 8.26 93.87 5.99 36.30 41.52 93.92 99.94 95.91P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 58 +33 4.20 70.63 6.72 95.16 5.90 50.19 57.61 96.04 99.96 97.59P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 55 +5 14.98 96.88 4.85 77.98 5.63 4.65 0.32 3.50 77.81 17.59P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 28 51 +12 10.47 91.05 8.62 75.58 5.86 11.95 0.18 1.92 65.12 15.66P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.83 96.52 4.82 73.71 6.10 -0.04 0.13 1.14 50.02 9.57P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +9 0.54 52.68 -1.33 75.68 5.82 16.34 0.14 1.84 67.86 24.76P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 46 +5 4.43 71.86 0.09 73.88 5.93 9.81 0.06 0.94 53.81 15.39P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 29 44 +4 6.28 78.13 7.66 64.69 5.71 -0.62 0.00 0.03 7.31 1.36P 0.13R 0.00 Norwich 28 43 +7 -2.29 38.79 -3.50 71.87 6.08 13.43 0.03 0.55 42.65 13.58P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 29 41 +1 1.67 58.82 1.26 64.04 5.63 0.72 0.00 0.01 5.91 1.32P 0.20R 0.00 Fulham 27 40 +12 1.01 55.29 9.02 67.50 6.19 13.72 0.01 0.10 19.05 4.67P 0.06R 0.00 Birmingham 29 37 -8 0.10 50.94 -3.92 58.11 5.55 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.10P 3.04R 0.01 Brentford 28 36 +2 -4.10 30.13 -0.25 62.75 5.96 5.17 0.00 0.01 4.80 1.23P 0.60R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 36 -2 -1.69 42.03 -1.67 61.01 5.91 -1.31 0.00 0.00 2.24 0.62P 1.15R 0.00 Cardiff 29 36 -9 -1.47 43.31 -5.36 57.60 5.66 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.08P 3.94R 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 35 -1 -3.11 35.10 -0.51 60.42 5.93 0.14 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.46P 1.51R 0.00 Ipswich 29 35 -8 -3.42 33.39 -6.43 56.79 5.61 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 4.83R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 29 33 -7 -4.32 29.68 -3.01 54.62 5.70 -9.57 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 10.15R 0.04 QPR 28 33 -12 -2.82 36.30 -8.35 54.87 5.71 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 10.39R 0.06 Bristol_City 28 28 -4 -6.83 19.18 1.85 50.53 5.79 -7.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 27.21R 0.53 Burton_Albion 28 28 -10 -2.10 39.86 1.36 46.82 5.56 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.08R 1.28 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.08 14.20 -2.94 48.72 5.99 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.91R 1.06 Blackburn 27 25 -12 -8.68 12.10 -7.10 48.79 6.00 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.05R 1.03 Rotherham 29 16 -36 -8.83 10.32 -10.15 30.94 5.23 -49.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 95.96League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2017, Bolton 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 28 58 +28 9.12 87.97 11.76 88.11 5.92 36.26 58.87 83.52 99.53 88.22P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 57 +19 8.63 86.13 5.64 84.35 5.81 24.95 25.99 61.33 97.67 71.32P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 27 50 +15 5.68 76.34 4.37 80.38 6.15 21.70 10.77 32.17 90.12 48.62P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 50 +13 7.00 81.08 8.10 74.09 5.67 14.31 1.24 5.88 61.62 17.78P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 49 +12 3.23 66.13 3.08 74.56 5.63 15.41 1.35 6.92 65.11 22.64P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 5.02 73.84 0.67 72.66 6.22 7.35 0.99 4.79 49.66 14.56P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 28 43 +5 4.78 73.26 5.36 67.42 5.96 4.60 0.07 0.54 19.35 4.14P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 42 -2 5.60 75.64 4.05 62.86 5.75 -6.35 0.01 0.06 4.89 0.85P 0.60R 0.01 Peterborough 28 41 +3 -0.45 47.97 -1.46 67.42 5.97 5.51 0.07 0.63 20.08 4.98P 0.08R 0.00 Millwall 27 40 +2 -1.55 42.06 -4.82 70.84 6.21 9.31 0.42 2.57 39.66 12.50P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 27 39 +8 -1.94 40.42 2.01 68.48 6.24 13.09 0.19 1.26 27.91 8.58P 0.04R 0.00 Walsall 28 38 -2 -2.75 36.57 -5.57 64.16 5.84 0.23 0.01 0.11 8.02 2.03P 0.39R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.54 68.06 10.36 60.64 6.05 1.36 0.01 0.05 3.47 0.60P 1.64R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.14 51.24 4.18 63.11 6.19 4.30 0.01 0.12 7.46 1.83P 0.75R 0.01 MK_Dons 27 34 +1 -6.26 21.61 -3.84 61.11 6.24 2.56 0.00 0.04 4.41 1.15P 1.82R 0.06 Northampton 29 33 -6 -1.71 42.42 2.58 54.46 5.74 -9.49 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 13.95R 1.00 Gillingham 28 32 -9 -4.98 26.39 -6.46 56.48 6.00 -9.48 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.12P 8.87R 0.55 Port_Vale 27 32 -11 -1.03 45.21 -4.70 54.64 6.01 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 15.71R 1.10 Shrewsbury 29 29 -13 -3.71 32.00 -2.26 48.53 5.61 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.58R 8.64 Swindon 29 29 -15 -6.65 19.98 -8.53 50.28 5.67 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.65R 5.42 Bury 29 27 -12 -5.66 23.63 0.94 47.40 5.69 -17.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 55.58R 12.45 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.37 20.67 -7.82 46.97 5.76 -23.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 61.23R 14.78 Oldham 28 25 -14 -6.11 20.25 -4.71 44.80 5.58 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.57R 23.94 Coventry 28 21 -19 -13.14 3.74 -12.95 43.66 5.82 -21.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.45R 31.99League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Exeter 4 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 28 61 +24 8.47 85.94 1.91 94.84 5.97 38.37 83.55 99.06 99.99 99.33P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 27 54 +14 8.20 85.32 1.04 85.66 6.20 22.38 13.46 82.85 98.78 87.07P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 28 49 +11 6.63 79.58 5.24 75.75 6.06 14.05 0.77 24.93 78.13 36.19P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 45 +15 2.51 62.28 8.91 73.43 6.06 20.58 0.31 15.74 68.35 28.72P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 45 +14 1.64 58.03 6.67 73.30 6.02 19.41 0.29 14.86 67.26 28.30P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 27 45 +13 0.56 52.87 2.07 77.65 6.19 22.72 1.27 38.69 86.87 53.02P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 27 43 +4 3.98 70.00 0.84 70.54 6.20 6.34 0.09 6.76 46.07 15.62P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 28 41 +0 4.09 69.95 2.53 65.50 6.03 -0.34 0.00 1.17 17.91 4.23P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.68 41.88 0.10 69.63 6.42 12.38 0.13 6.24 43.35 15.87P 0.01R 0.00 Mansfield 28 40 +1 2.19 61.41 1.46 63.71 5.92 -0.22 0.00 0.55 11.29 2.78P 0.03R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 27 39 +5 0.14 50.97 2.28 66.42 6.24 7.03 0.01 2.15 23.77 7.10P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 28 39 +2 2.81 64.23 5.12 61.48 5.97 -1.04 0.00 0.24 6.32 1.31P 0.14R 0.03 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -6.84 18.99 0.53 69.39 6.45 19.82 0.11 6.58 43.57 18.84P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 28 36 -4 -0.10 49.96 -0.06 59.44 6.00 -6.05 0.00 0.09 3.42 0.75P 0.51R 0.09 Yeovil 28 35 -5 0.50 53.20 0.09 58.14 5.90 -6.91 0.00 0.03 1.86 0.39P 1.06R 0.21 Crawley_Town 26 35 -8 4.77 74.45 0.47 57.26 6.21 -15.98 0.00 0.04 1.74 0.25P 1.68R 0.38 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.48 63.90 -1.12 54.63 6.45 -20.00 0.00 0.02 0.90 0.13P 5.76R 1.81 Hartlepool 28 30 -11 -0.80 46.94 1.09 48.45 5.72 -20.88 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 22.96R 8.66 Crewe 28 29 -13 -5.27 25.70 -7.06 51.35 5.92 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 11.48R 3.83 Cheltenham 28 28 -10 -6.28 21.64 -4.14 50.46 5.95 -13.31 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 13.54R 5.02 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.26 13.65 -9.04 51.82 6.29 -13.33 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 10.46R 3.71 Notts_County 28 26 -21 -3.64 32.66 -6.79 43.81 5.63 -32.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.10R 33.14 Leyton_Orient 27 25 -13 -10.04 9.25 -10.04 50.20 6.15 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 15.33R 5.89 Newport_County 27 22 -14 -7.23 16.57 -2.09 42.79 5.95 -22.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.91R 37.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2017, Solihull_Moors 0 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 29 61 +29 11.71 93.20 14.13 90.47 5.81 38.56 45.61 98.10 57.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 57 +25 2.05 59.41 3.48 86.67 5.33 37.34 19.38 94.82 41.51P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 56 +17 5.85 77.15 1.75 87.07 5.56 28.27 18.11 93.91 39.63P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 55 +18 2.93 63.77 -0.68 85.78 5.65 29.74 14.67 90.70 36.35P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 52 +15 2.48 61.31 1.93 79.39 5.58 23.72 1.63 59.53 13.40P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 29 49 +17 5.34 74.66 11.28 74.95 5.82 20.92 0.32 27.77 4.88P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 30 47 +8 5.43 75.14 7.26 69.21 5.50 8.53 0.00 4.98 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 46 +12 0.97 55.09 2.13 74.24 5.92 17.21 0.28 23.17 5.24P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 30 43 +14 -2.69 37.35 7.47 67.01 5.51 17.30 0.00 2.63 0.48P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 30 43 +8 -0.08 49.88 5.32 64.78 5.54 7.40 0.00 1.00 0.17P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 42 +4 2.06 61.08 4.88 63.24 5.39 3.37 0.00 0.41 0.04P 0.07R 0.00 Wrexham 31 42 -8 -1.14 44.89 -9.11 61.64 5.24 -9.29 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.32R 0.00 Eastleigh 29 41 +6 -3.80 31.88 -1.62 66.41 5.81 8.95 0.00 2.48 0.45P 0.04R 0.00 Bromley 29 41 -4 3.56 67.51 0.05 61.92 5.60 -8.22 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.34R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 37 -6 1.41 57.49 3.05 56.00 5.54 -11.10 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.78R 0.09 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.84 64.74 2.73 57.09 5.86 -10.36 0.00 0.04 0.01P 4.07R 0.10 Torquay 30 33 -8 -4.25 30.33 -1.84 53.12 5.44 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.23R 0.46 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.77 23.12 -12.52 54.14 5.67 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.00P 10.44R 0.45 Woking 30 30 -15 -8.14 16.08 -9.36 50.46 5.46 -18.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.90R 1.83 Southport 30 30 -26 -0.30 49.87 -7.14 45.11 5.17 -37.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.15R 12.58 Maidstone_United 30 29 -23 -0.01 51.37 -2.58 43.23 5.08 -36.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.61R 20.37 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.42 33.56 1.31 46.50 5.46 -19.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.12R 7.11 North_Ferriby 31 27 -29 0.07 52.29 -5.99 39.77 4.76 -40.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.06R 49.42 York 30 26 -20 -12.53 5.93 -15.94 46.43 5.49 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.81R 7.59