Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 30 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 55 +32 11.94 97.42 11.18 86.34 5.26 47.42 73.84 90.27 96.62 98.95 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 47 +27 2.83 66.26 3.91 77.61 5.27 41.53 10.07 37.35 63.11 82.57 99.31 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +29 4.45 75.34 10.25 78.00 5.29 44.92 10.48 42.01 67.54 85.12 99.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 45 +24 5.53 79.93 8.15 73.92 5.51 35.38 3.18 15.76 34.50 58.31 96.92 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +15 2.02 61.16 -2.79 73.76 5.30 29.90 2.24 12.69 31.15 56.15 97.07 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 41 +12 3.62 70.19 1.41 68.43 5.30 20.46 0.19 1.86 6.69 17.20 82.86 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +10 2.21 62.55 4.74 61.09 5.38 14.71 0.00 0.06 0.39 1.68 22.41 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 22 32 +2 4.22 74.38 6.26 51.48 5.37 -1.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.01 0.05R 0.00 Stoke 22 28 -6 1.31 58.81 0.25 46.56 5.35 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.80R 0.02 West_Ham 22 28 -7 -1.42 41.76 -4.70 48.91 5.60 -9.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.35R 0.01 Southampton 22 27 -4 -4.97 23.06 -6.51 50.18 5.40 -2.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.13R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 26 -7 1.47 59.55 4.01 43.40 5.24 -15.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.39R 0.13 Burnley 22 26 -9 1.34 58.98 0.44 44.50 5.48 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.72R 0.13 Watford 22 24 -13 -0.04 50.82 -2.55 40.53 5.11 -22.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.10R 0.90 Leicester 22 21 -13 -8.08 11.16 -10.51 42.82 5.47 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 5.10R 0.46 Middlesbrough 22 20 -7 -4.83 23.23 0.59 37.25 5.19 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.09R 3.35 Swansea 22 18 -25 -3.88 27.52 -9.60 34.87 5.26 -34.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.47R 10.28 Crystal_Palace 22 16 -11 -8.34 9.85 -0.93 33.36 5.15 -19.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.67R 13.69 Hull 22 16 -27 -3.31 30.75 -8.11 30.38 4.98 -40.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.18R 36.22 Sunderland 22 15 -22 -5.89 17.17 -5.50 30.28 5.12 -33.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.94R 34.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2017, Norwich 2 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 27 60 +25 11.63 94.66 8.32 93.83 5.98 36.24 41.75 94.77 99.98 96.62P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 58 +33 4.14 70.52 6.58 95.06 5.92 50.04 57.68 96.75 99.96 98.07P 0.00 0.00 Reading 28 52 +4 13.63 95.86 4.29 75.91 5.86 2.93 0.18 2.08 66.60 14.31P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 28 51 +12 10.43 91.35 8.52 75.65 5.88 12.03 0.14 2.11 67.08 16.78P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.78 96.53 4.73 73.75 6.10 0.06 0.11 1.19 52.05 10.32P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 45 +5 4.99 74.66 0.36 74.15 6.10 9.67 0.06 1.24 56.72 16.48P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 28 44 +6 7.23 81.67 8.83 66.62 5.97 2.33 0.00 0.08 14.65 2.88P 0.06R 0.00 Norwich 28 43 +7 -2.31 38.62 -3.53 71.75 6.11 13.29 0.03 0.62 44.12 14.39P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 27 43 +6 -0.21 48.66 -3.11 73.47 5.98 12.58 0.05 1.01 53.83 18.80P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 41 +3 2.36 62.44 2.30 65.69 5.85 3.13 0.00 0.02 11.49 2.67P 0.08R 0.00 Fulham 27 40 +12 1.12 56.04 9.23 67.35 6.27 13.48 0.00 0.10 20.19 5.23P 0.06R 0.00 Birmingham 28 37 -7 1.16 56.62 -3.34 59.89 5.80 -9.33 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.36P 1.76R 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 36 +1 -1.65 42.03 -0.51 62.75 6.16 2.23 0.00 0.01 5.65 1.52P 0.64R 0.00 Ipswich 28 35 -5 -2.92 35.83 -4.69 58.69 5.87 -6.32 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.28P 2.68R 0.01 Brentford 27 33 -1 -4.66 27.30 -1.69 60.87 6.21 1.84 0.00 0.01 3.33 0.90P 1.37R 0.01 Cardiff 28 33 -11 -2.59 37.72 -6.61 55.88 5.86 -13.47 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 7.42R 0.06 QPR 28 33 -12 -2.86 36.36 -8.46 54.89 5.74 -16.05 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 9.98R 0.08 Wolverhampton 27 32 -3 -4.07 29.77 -1.55 58.15 6.09 -2.79 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.27P 3.68R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 28 30 -9 -4.79 27.11 -3.23 53.47 5.90 -10.81 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 14.48R 0.23 Burton_Albion 28 28 -10 -2.00 40.53 1.49 46.90 5.60 -18.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.30R 1.75 Bristol_City 27 27 -4 -6.37 20.54 1.91 50.81 5.98 -7.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 25.69R 0.73 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.48 13.16 -3.49 48.91 6.03 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.49R 1.42 Blackburn 27 25 -12 -8.51 12.40 -6.87 48.70 6.04 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 40.82R 1.56 Rotherham 28 16 -34 -8.33 11.15 -9.47 31.85 5.43 -48.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.48R 94.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2017, Bolton 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 28 58 +28 9.03 87.65 11.64 88.20 5.96 36.37 58.97 83.68 99.51 88.26P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 57 +19 8.48 85.58 5.45 84.43 5.84 25.11 26.05 61.71 97.66 71.63P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 27 50 +15 5.41 75.32 4.04 80.48 6.15 21.84 10.74 32.48 90.28 49.30P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 50 +13 7.14 81.60 8.32 74.02 5.66 14.18 1.07 5.48 61.25 17.39P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 49 +12 3.14 65.61 2.99 74.60 5.66 15.45 1.42 6.93 65.45 22.64P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 5.19 74.86 0.92 72.54 6.19 7.13 0.89 4.32 48.86 13.75P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 28 43 +5 4.88 73.53 5.45 67.39 5.93 4.57 0.06 0.53 19.30 4.15P 0.04R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 42 -2 5.42 74.84 3.74 62.96 5.82 -6.20 0.01 0.08 5.21 0.95P 0.65R 0.01 Peterborough 28 41 +3 -0.44 47.91 -1.46 67.44 6.03 5.56 0.07 0.65 20.74 5.20P 0.06R 0.00 Millwall 27 40 +2 -1.38 43.15 -4.59 70.72 6.25 9.15 0.48 2.49 38.98 12.26P 0.03R 0.00 Charlton 27 39 +8 -2.10 39.50 1.79 68.57 6.24 13.19 0.19 1.31 28.47 8.57P 0.08R 0.00 Walsall 28 38 -2 -2.77 36.45 -5.60 64.21 5.85 0.30 0.02 0.14 8.15 2.18P 0.37R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.42 67.70 10.18 60.72 6.08 1.44 0.01 0.03 3.57 0.66P 1.81R 0.04 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.31 52.07 4.44 62.95 6.14 4.09 0.01 0.13 7.08 1.63P 0.73R 0.02 MK_Dons 27 34 +1 -6.31 21.27 -3.88 61.15 6.28 2.60 0.00 0.05 4.43 1.23P 1.81R 0.06 Northampton 29 33 -6 -1.73 42.58 2.57 54.40 5.75 -9.54 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 14.28R 1.06 Gillingham 28 32 -9 -5.25 25.24 -6.82 56.60 6.01 -9.25 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.11P 8.35R 0.49 Port_Vale 27 32 -11 -0.88 45.99 -4.51 54.61 5.98 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 15.52R 1.23 Shrewsbury 29 29 -13 -3.68 32.24 -2.18 48.49 5.59 -18.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.58R 8.68 Swindon 29 29 -15 -6.52 20.30 -8.37 50.22 5.69 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.00R 5.41 Bury 29 27 -12 -5.68 23.48 0.87 47.45 5.72 -17.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.28R 12.51 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.22 21.12 -7.54 46.87 5.76 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.62R 14.93 Oldham 28 25 -14 -6.13 20.23 -4.77 44.89 5.56 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.85R 23.04 Coventry 28 21 -19 -12.96 4.05 -12.68 43.55 5.83 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.96R 32.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2017, Carlisle 1 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 28 61 +24 8.32 85.41 1.66 94.88 5.98 38.42 78.51 98.92 99.98 99.23P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 26 54 +15 9.57 89.92 2.08 87.47 6.35 23.97 18.66 86.99 99.24 90.38P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 28 49 +11 6.83 79.86 5.53 75.65 6.06 13.92 0.56 22.10 76.82 33.46P 0.00 0.00 Luton 27 45 +15 2.85 64.20 7.41 75.50 6.19 21.58 0.71 22.98 77.83 37.42P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 27 45 +13 0.65 53.11 2.08 77.74 6.17 22.82 1.11 35.87 86.58 51.12P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 43 +6 4.61 73.09 1.77 72.22 6.35 8.80 0.16 9.84 55.82 20.48P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 27 42 +13 1.70 58.80 8.11 71.43 6.26 18.00 0.15 8.92 54.19 19.81P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 28 41 +0 3.92 69.04 2.25 65.60 6.04 -0.24 0.00 1.00 17.64 3.95P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.67 41.80 0.11 69.52 6.42 12.19 0.05 5.36 41.36 14.47P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 40 +1 2.22 61.74 1.49 63.68 5.92 -0.23 0.00 0.47 10.70 2.46P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 39 +5 0.08 50.63 2.22 66.52 6.24 7.17 0.01 1.72 23.65 6.61P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 28 39 +2 2.77 63.89 5.01 61.46 5.96 -1.03 0.00 0.19 5.99 1.29P 0.11R 0.01 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -7.00 18.28 0.28 69.46 6.42 19.92 0.07 5.51 43.35 18.00P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 28 36 -4 -0.17 49.70 -0.16 59.35 6.01 -6.19 0.00 0.06 3.10 0.64P 0.52R 0.08 Crawley_Town 26 35 -8 4.88 74.68 0.63 57.15 6.19 -16.13 0.00 0.04 1.69 0.28P 1.58R 0.36 Yeovil 27 32 -6 -0.84 46.33 -0.52 55.88 6.05 -8.75 0.00 0.01 0.82 0.16P 2.32R 0.63 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.35 63.10 -1.38 54.68 6.46 -19.82 0.00 0.01 0.83 0.14P 5.00R 1.51 Hartlepool 28 30 -11 -0.80 46.77 1.07 48.47 5.72 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.00R 7.88 Crewe 28 29 -13 -5.11 26.05 -6.88 51.38 5.95 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 10.18R 3.58 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.30 13.51 -9.17 51.85 6.31 -13.26 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 9.59R 3.51 Notts_County 28 26 -21 -3.70 32.25 -6.95 43.84 5.62 -32.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.10R 30.92 Cheltenham 27 25 -11 -7.68 15.85 -4.91 47.96 6.09 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 23.30R 10.11 Leyton_Orient 27 25 -13 -9.96 9.70 -9.88 50.12 6.16 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 14.46R 5.64 Newport_County 27 22 -14 -7.06 17.14 -1.83 42.75 5.94 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 57.76R 35.75National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2017, Aldershot 0 0 York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 28 58 +28 10.54 91.18 13.82 89.03 6.01 37.83 40.73 96.85 52.71P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 57 +25 1.91 58.59 3.26 86.75 5.35 37.47 24.06 95.25 45.57P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 55 +18 2.94 63.62 -0.68 85.72 5.73 29.61 17.74 90.89 38.88P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 28 53 +14 5.26 75.24 0.27 85.32 5.81 25.06 14.50 89.12 35.18P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 52 +15 2.46 61.79 1.88 79.43 5.58 23.77 2.12 61.60 14.42P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 29 49 +17 5.46 75.33 11.48 74.80 5.82 20.75 0.39 28.55 5.15P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 30 47 +8 5.29 74.69 7.11 69.32 5.49 8.70 0.03 5.56 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 46 +12 0.88 54.38 2.02 74.20 5.90 17.17 0.41 24.20 5.65P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 30 43 +14 -2.67 37.34 7.56 67.01 5.54 17.27 0.00 3.11 0.62P 0.02R 0.00 Chester 30 43 +8 -0.02 50.12 5.43 64.70 5.58 7.25 0.00 1.20 0.17P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 42 +4 2.09 60.99 4.94 63.21 5.37 3.32 0.00 0.36 0.06P 0.12R 0.00 Wrexham 31 42 -8 -1.06 45.32 -8.93 61.62 5.21 -9.34 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.30R 0.00 Eastleigh 29 41 +6 -3.61 32.61 -1.27 66.38 5.85 8.89 0.00 2.73 0.62P 0.03R 0.00 Bromley 29 41 -4 3.45 66.86 -0.15 62.04 5.57 -8.05 0.00 0.34 0.03P 0.35R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 29 37 -5 2.11 60.78 3.03 57.30 5.75 -10.27 0.00 0.05 0.00P 3.53R 0.06 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 3.03 65.78 3.10 56.96 5.83 -10.51 0.00 0.05 0.01P 4.48R 0.08 Torquay 30 33 -8 -4.08 30.97 -1.55 53.09 5.42 -11.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.07R 0.41 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.49 24.34 -12.08 54.03 5.66 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.33R 0.50 Woking 29 30 -12 -7.91 16.46 -8.30 52.01 5.66 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.15R 1.10 Southport 30 30 -26 -0.49 48.95 -7.52 45.16 5.17 -37.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.49R 12.23 Maidstone_United 30 29 -23 0.05 51.68 -2.48 43.23 5.09 -36.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.99R 20.61 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.55 32.82 1.12 46.59 5.46 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.04R 7.05 North_Ferriby 31 27 -29 0.13 52.49 -5.85 39.73 4.74 -40.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.68R 50.63 York 30 26 -20 -12.70 5.68 -16.21 46.50 5.48 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.38R 7.32