Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 24 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 55 +32 12.12 97.57 11.51 86.24 5.29 47.18 73.07 89.95 96.28 98.94 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 47 +27 2.95 66.84 4.06 77.52 5.24 41.35 9.86 36.84 62.99 82.14 99.30 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +29 4.26 74.23 9.90 78.10 5.31 45.11 11.09 43.03 68.26 85.41 99.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 45 +24 5.48 79.55 8.11 73.92 5.55 35.34 3.46 15.86 34.71 58.56 96.82 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +15 2.06 61.42 -2.82 73.75 5.29 29.80 2.29 12.40 30.64 55.90 97.03 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 41 +12 3.65 70.41 1.45 68.39 5.32 20.40 0.22 1.85 6.73 17.40 82.71 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +10 2.32 63.23 4.89 61.05 5.39 14.64 0.00 0.07 0.40 1.63 22.61 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 22 32 +2 4.24 74.54 6.29 51.45 5.38 -1.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 22 28 -6 1.21 58.02 0.09 46.59 5.36 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.82R 0.02 West_Ham 22 28 -7 -1.41 42.07 -4.71 48.99 5.63 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.37R 0.01 Southampton 22 27 -4 -5.09 22.58 -6.68 50.26 5.44 -2.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.14R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 26 -7 1.49 59.70 4.07 43.31 5.22 -15.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.50R 0.17 Burnley 22 26 -9 1.40 59.48 0.54 44.41 5.50 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.83R 0.12 Watford 22 24 -13 0.01 50.75 -2.50 40.52 5.12 -22.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.29R 0.91 Leicester 22 21 -13 -7.98 11.45 -10.39 42.79 5.44 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.93R 0.37 Middlesbrough 22 20 -7 -5.00 22.47 0.39 37.37 5.22 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.31R 3.33 Swansea 22 18 -25 -3.90 27.38 -9.59 34.85 5.29 -34.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.89R 10.88 Crystal_Palace 22 16 -11 -8.36 9.58 -0.93 33.38 5.13 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.78R 13.24 Hull 22 16 -27 -3.28 31.17 -8.09 30.39 4.98 -40.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.16R 36.36 Sunderland 22 15 -22 -5.96 16.85 -5.61 30.32 5.08 -33.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.94R 34.59Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2017, Brighton 1 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 27 60 +25 11.53 94.38 8.15 93.96 6.01 36.50 41.83 95.75 99.98 97.25P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 58 +33 4.17 70.40 6.59 95.15 5.91 50.21 57.69 97.11 99.98 98.29P 0.00 0.00 Reading 27 49 +3 12.43 94.58 3.90 74.56 6.08 2.33 0.13 1.59 60.77 12.92P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.81 96.55 4.84 73.71 6.13 -0.02 0.09 1.24 54.56 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 48 +10 9.69 89.88 7.80 74.06 6.05 10.07 0.09 1.40 59.65 14.37P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 45 +5 4.86 74.20 0.20 74.26 6.11 9.85 0.08 1.23 60.88 18.17P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 43 +6 -0.20 48.80 -3.07 73.41 5.97 12.46 0.06 0.99 56.79 19.38P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 27 41 +5 6.04 78.18 8.63 65.01 6.17 1.27 0.01 0.06 11.98 2.23P 0.21R 0.00 Fulham 27 40 +12 0.91 54.88 8.89 67.51 6.21 13.78 0.01 0.12 23.11 5.69P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 27 40 +5 -2.96 35.61 -4.04 70.36 6.34 11.68 0.02 0.45 38.30 12.40P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +3 2.81 65.05 2.47 66.43 6.02 3.70 0.00 0.04 16.20 3.86P 0.08R 0.00 Birmingham 27 37 -5 1.62 59.01 -2.75 61.10 5.97 -7.71 0.00 0.00 3.24 0.66P 1.10R 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 36 +1 -1.64 41.81 -0.55 62.70 6.13 2.20 0.00 0.01 6.34 1.78P 0.55R 0.00 Ipswich 27 34 -5 -2.81 35.91 -5.04 58.69 6.04 -6.79 0.00 0.00 1.57 0.40P 2.77R 0.02 Brentford 27 33 -1 -4.69 27.23 -1.73 60.85 6.17 1.74 0.00 0.00 3.68 0.97P 1.28R 0.01 Cardiff 27 33 -10 -1.57 42.35 -6.17 56.96 6.05 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.15P 5.38R 0.06 QPR 27 33 -11 -1.43 42.99 -7.44 56.93 5.92 -14.10 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.15P 5.53R 0.07 Wolverhampton 27 32 -3 -4.30 28.86 -1.88 58.32 6.05 -2.57 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.34P 3.24R 0.07 Nott'm_Forest 27 30 -7 -4.29 29.01 -2.51 54.79 6.07 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.11P 9.90R 0.21 Bristol_City 27 27 -4 -6.20 21.08 2.15 50.73 5.98 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 24.78R 0.98 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.30 13.66 -3.22 48.75 6.00 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.64R 1.80 Burton_Albion 27 25 -11 -3.51 32.55 0.72 44.40 5.73 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.79R 6.12 Blackburn 27 25 -12 -8.51 12.61 -6.90 48.78 6.03 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.69R 2.13 Rotherham 27 16 -33 -7.37 13.92 -9.04 33.12 5.66 -47.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.99R 88.54League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2017, Oldham 2 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 29 57 +19 8.51 85.84 5.50 84.40 5.79 25.08 25.73 57.78 97.74 68.55P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 55 +27 8.27 86.08 11.98 87.39 6.09 36.57 51.83 78.03 99.22 84.21P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 26 50 +16 6.71 81.11 4.90 82.55 6.31 23.89 18.23 43.58 94.39 58.29P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 28 49 +13 7.51 83.34 8.28 74.95 5.88 15.01 1.71 7.32 66.83 20.31P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 28 46 +11 2.01 60.17 2.67 72.75 5.81 14.23 0.73 3.87 53.17 16.99P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 5.19 74.83 0.88 72.59 6.16 7.25 0.85 4.04 49.35 13.82P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 27 42 +5 4.87 74.07 4.96 67.27 6.11 3.85 0.10 0.54 19.17 4.09P 0.07R 0.00 Peterborough 27 41 +7 -0.08 49.54 0.92 69.98 6.16 11.37 0.28 1.81 35.86 10.25P 0.03R 0.00 Millwall 27 40 +2 -1.39 42.78 -4.59 70.72 6.19 9.13 0.41 2.09 39.14 12.06P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 39 -3 4.41 71.21 3.80 61.28 6.01 -7.44 0.01 0.04 3.50 0.63P 2.05R 0.08 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.46 67.83 10.22 60.78 6.03 1.50 0.00 0.05 3.63 0.66P 1.85R 0.06 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.24 51.58 4.32 63.16 6.14 4.45 0.01 0.09 7.62 1.82P 0.83R 0.02 Walsall 27 37 -2 -2.34 38.34 -5.57 64.47 6.06 0.23 0.02 0.16 9.25 2.30P 0.50R 0.01 Charlton 26 36 +7 -3.48 32.53 1.18 66.16 6.42 11.12 0.09 0.59 17.90 5.31P 0.31R 0.01 Port_Vale 26 32 -10 -0.42 48.46 -5.12 55.40 6.12 -16.20 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.10P 14.50R 1.20 MK_Dons 26 31 -3 -6.42 20.28 -5.55 57.68 6.40 -4.15 0.00 0.01 1.54 0.34P 7.23R 0.51 Gillingham 27 31 -9 -4.61 27.35 -6.35 57.70 6.19 -8.13 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.25P 7.53R 0.50 Northampton 28 30 -9 -2.22 39.63 1.35 52.44 5.94 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 26.27R 3.52 Swindon 28 29 -14 -5.76 22.87 -8.23 51.64 5.87 -17.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 31.34R 4.82 Shrewsbury 28 28 -13 -3.45 33.13 -2.44 48.25 5.73 -19.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.93R 12.21 Bury 28 26 -12 -5.39 24.63 0.54 47.98 5.92 -16.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 53.78R 13.63 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.31 20.62 -7.71 46.81 5.71 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.23R 18.20 Oldham 27 25 -13 -5.35 22.85 -4.54 46.30 5.72 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.94R 19.86 Coventry 27 21 -16 -12.70 3.74 -11.40 45.40 6.03 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 69.60R 25.35League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 27 58 +21 8.14 85.04 0.98 93.01 6.26 34.93 69.57 97.22 99.95 98.05P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 26 54 +15 9.62 89.79 2.16 87.35 6.39 23.84 24.00 85.55 99.23 89.12P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 27 48 +11 7.14 81.58 5.43 76.57 6.29 14.75 1.42 25.65 80.59 37.40P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 45 +14 1.65 58.28 2.56 79.76 6.37 24.79 3.73 47.90 91.56 61.34P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 43 +6 4.61 73.35 1.78 72.20 6.38 8.80 0.28 9.12 56.17 19.91P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 42 +13 1.96 59.97 6.45 73.71 6.42 19.37 0.58 14.33 68.17 28.45P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.70 41.71 0.06 69.40 6.41 12.04 0.10 4.67 41.29 14.08P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 27 40 +0 4.32 71.37 2.27 65.50 6.27 -1.00 0.01 1.10 18.63 4.30P 0.03R 0.00 Exeter 26 39 +12 0.18 51.12 7.30 69.34 6.41 16.31 0.13 5.02 41.56 13.85P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 39 +7 0.70 53.88 3.03 68.01 6.47 9.41 0.07 3.23 32.77 9.97P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 27 39 +4 3.34 66.83 5.85 63.22 6.17 1.54 0.01 0.50 10.79 2.47P 0.05R 0.00 Mansfield 27 37 -1 1.23 57.05 0.40 61.82 6.09 -2.53 0.00 0.20 6.86 1.54P 0.13R 0.01 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -6.87 18.74 0.45 69.42 6.49 19.86 0.12 5.36 43.85 17.91P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 35 -7 6.07 80.14 1.28 58.75 6.39 -14.78 0.00 0.09 3.19 0.53P 0.92R 0.14 Stevenage 27 33 -6 -1.18 44.75 -1.15 57.45 6.23 -8.67 0.00 0.02 1.94 0.42P 1.21R 0.20 Yeovil 26 32 -3 -0.69 46.77 0.70 57.34 6.25 -5.64 0.00 0.02 1.80 0.36P 1.25R 0.25 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.45 63.84 -1.24 54.80 6.45 -19.63 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.14P 4.23R 1.05 Hartlepool 27 30 -9 -0.10 50.48 1.92 50.14 5.95 -18.26 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 12.73R 3.85 Crewe 27 28 -13 -4.88 26.80 -6.98 51.86 6.19 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 8.80R 2.54 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.24 13.75 -9.01 51.79 6.30 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.05P 8.58R 2.56 Leyton_Orient 26 25 -11 -9.34 10.71 -9.02 51.84 6.39 -11.80 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.06P 8.80R 2.69 Cheltenham 26 24 -11 -7.40 16.53 -4.86 48.28 6.34 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 20.62R 7.38 Notts_County 27 23 -22 -5.11 25.21 -7.56 42.17 5.86 -33.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.53R 35.19 Newport_County 26 19 -16 -7.98 12.98 -2.80 40.65 6.11 -24.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.11R 44.13National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2017, Barrow 3 0 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 28 58 +28 10.49 91.15 13.71 89.05 6.04 37.92 42.23 96.79 54.67P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 54 +24 0.65 52.61 2.91 85.07 5.61 36.32 17.76 91.07 39.98P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.32 79.72 1.79 87.21 6.00 27.88 25.97 93.25 45.36P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 1.88 58.83 -1.70 83.36 5.97 26.56 11.02 82.05 30.88P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 28 49 +18 6.45 79.46 11.85 76.35 6.02 21.99 1.16 39.97 7.86P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 49 +13 1.77 58.39 1.44 78.01 5.79 22.09 1.52 51.90 12.04P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 46 +8 5.90 77.49 7.48 70.10 5.71 9.25 0.04 8.14 1.37P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 43 +16 -1.78 41.17 8.76 68.83 5.78 19.95 0.03 6.84 1.42P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 29 43 +10 0.48 52.35 5.99 65.87 5.80 8.87 0.01 2.62 0.36P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 43 +10 0.28 51.63 1.46 72.75 6.09 15.39 0.25 19.23 4.42P 0.00R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 42 +5 2.94 65.02 5.29 64.60 5.59 4.41 0.00 1.08 0.19P 0.06R 0.00 Eastleigh 28 41 +7 -2.32 38.43 -0.51 68.66 6.03 11.29 0.02 6.63 1.39P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 30 39 -9 -2.16 39.79 -9.24 59.99 5.42 -10.31 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.79R 0.00 Bromley 28 38 -6 2.78 64.09 -0.78 60.68 5.80 -9.59 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.93R 0.01 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.91 65.29 2.93 56.90 5.83 -10.59 0.00 0.05 0.00P 4.43R 0.15 Solihull_Moors 28 34 -7 1.45 57.99 2.69 55.87 5.94 -12.03 0.00 0.03 0.01P 6.57R 0.30 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.78 23.02 -12.59 54.16 5.64 -17.09 0.00 0.01 0.00 10.50R 0.58 Torquay 29 30 -10 -5.19 25.77 -2.84 50.98 5.62 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.92R 1.92 Southport 29 30 -24 0.07 51.57 -6.97 46.32 5.40 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.34R 11.38 Maidstone_United 29 29 -21 0.19 52.29 -2.42 44.50 5.37 -34.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.23R 17.95 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.62 32.42 1.05 46.60 5.46 -19.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.23R 8.56 Woking 28 27 -13 -9.40 11.69 -9.00 49.50 5.86 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.93R 4.25 North_Ferriby 30 27 -27 0.61 55.09 -5.19 40.89 4.98 -38.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.05R 44.47 York 29 25 -20 -12.34 5.95 -16.10 46.37 5.72 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.98R 10.43