Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 23 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 55 +32 12.12 97.54 11.46 86.21 5.30 47.16 72.86 89.92 96.20 98.85 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 47 +27 2.94 66.86 4.11 77.53 5.25 41.32 9.74 36.45 62.50 82.00 99.32 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +29 4.34 74.58 10.02 78.11 5.31 45.11 11.26 43.00 68.44 85.53 99.45 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 45 +24 5.52 79.90 8.18 73.92 5.56 35.37 3.48 15.87 34.62 58.48 96.86 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +15 1.96 60.99 -2.96 73.79 5.32 29.96 2.46 12.74 31.20 56.34 97.08 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 41 +12 3.58 69.99 1.36 68.42 5.29 20.47 0.18 1.95 6.65 17.21 83.09 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +10 2.28 63.08 4.87 61.02 5.37 14.57 0.01 0.07 0.39 1.56 22.17 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 22 32 +2 4.27 74.75 6.36 51.42 5.39 -1.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.01 0.04R 0.00 Stoke 22 28 -6 1.25 58.36 0.14 46.54 5.38 -11.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.80R 0.02 West_Ham 22 28 -7 -1.52 41.18 -4.79 48.99 5.61 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.30R 0.01 Southampton 22 27 -4 -5.12 22.20 -6.71 50.25 5.44 -2.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.16R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 26 -7 1.47 59.68 4.02 43.43 5.27 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.58R 0.15 Burnley 22 26 -9 1.32 59.25 0.36 44.57 5.47 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.50R 0.12 Watford 22 24 -13 0.14 52.11 -2.27 40.45 5.12 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.54R 0.97 Leicester 22 21 -13 -7.97 11.66 -10.36 42.74 5.50 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 5.34R 0.45 Middlesbrough 22 20 -7 -4.96 22.63 0.42 37.31 5.25 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.88R 3.44 Swansea 22 18 -25 -3.91 27.37 -9.56 34.84 5.25 -34.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.52R 10.51 Crystal_Palace 22 16 -11 -8.45 9.30 -1.14 33.44 5.15 -19.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.95R 13.16 Hull 22 16 -27 -3.19 31.62 -8.02 30.37 4.97 -40.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.38R 36.41 Sunderland 22 15 -22 -5.88 17.11 -5.48 30.27 5.06 -33.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.01R 34.74Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Aston_Villa 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 27 58 +33 4.20 70.93 6.70 95.12 5.90 50.08 60.64 97.26 99.98 98.45P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 26 57 +24 10.50 92.74 7.91 93.10 6.18 36.63 38.78 94.18 99.92 96.21P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.75 96.47 4.73 73.85 6.17 0.17 0.11 1.54 55.91 10.97P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 48 +10 9.62 89.69 7.73 74.09 6.08 10.09 0.14 1.77 59.78 14.27P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 46 +2 11.25 93.16 3.65 72.99 6.28 1.40 0.09 1.28 50.60 10.63P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 45 +5 4.91 74.36 0.22 74.21 6.14 9.77 0.09 1.61 60.77 18.17P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 43 +6 -0.25 48.48 -3.17 73.42 6.01 12.53 0.08 1.27 57.01 20.02P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 27 41 +5 5.98 77.95 8.57 65.09 6.22 1.35 0.00 0.07 12.47 2.58P 0.24R 0.00 Fulham 26 40 +13 2.03 60.53 9.49 68.80 6.41 14.61 0.03 0.32 30.07 7.50P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 27 40 +5 -2.86 36.00 -3.92 70.33 6.31 11.60 0.03 0.59 38.18 12.31P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +3 2.88 65.13 2.54 66.34 6.08 3.54 0.00 0.07 16.54 4.12P 0.08R 0.00 Birmingham 27 37 -5 1.70 59.25 -2.64 61.04 5.97 -7.83 0.00 0.01 3.23 0.66P 1.10R 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 36 +1 -1.65 41.89 -0.49 62.74 6.14 2.22 0.00 0.02 6.64 1.82P 0.58R 0.00 Ipswich 27 34 -5 -2.81 35.94 -5.01 58.69 6.04 -6.79 0.00 0.00 1.45 0.35P 2.81R 0.03 Brentford 27 33 -1 -4.63 27.50 -1.61 60.81 6.19 1.68 0.00 0.00 3.76 1.02P 1.25R 0.00 Cardiff 26 33 -9 -0.88 45.96 -6.16 57.60 6.19 -13.08 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.28P 4.48R 0.07 QPR 27 33 -11 -1.59 42.34 -7.65 56.97 5.88 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.16P 5.33R 0.07 Wolverhampton 27 32 -3 -4.25 29.33 -1.79 58.28 6.13 -2.65 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.38P 3.43R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 27 30 -7 -4.24 29.29 -2.45 54.82 6.09 -8.83 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.09P 9.87R 0.19 Bristol_City 27 27 -4 -6.52 19.99 1.74 50.84 6.01 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 24.56R 0.90 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.35 13.47 -3.29 48.74 6.01 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 37.77R 1.88 Burton_Albion 27 25 -11 -3.39 33.06 0.87 44.40 5.74 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.05R 6.16 Blackburn 27 25 -12 -8.61 12.40 -6.98 48.79 6.08 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 39.46R 2.06 Rotherham 27 16 -33 -7.40 13.78 -8.98 33.11 5.69 -47.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.92R 88.60League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Bradford 1 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 28 57 +21 9.51 89.21 6.82 86.68 6.02 28.42 36.52 69.68 98.88 77.58P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 55 +27 8.23 85.99 11.95 87.39 6.12 36.60 45.24 75.28 99.20 82.41P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 26 50 +16 6.86 81.51 5.14 82.46 6.37 23.70 15.15 38.77 94.02 54.69P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 46 +11 6.29 79.50 6.83 72.38 6.06 11.59 0.67 3.28 49.92 13.12P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 28 46 +11 1.86 59.58 2.48 72.89 5.78 14.40 0.60 3.23 54.13 16.73P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 5.05 74.48 0.70 72.63 6.19 7.31 0.69 3.49 49.86 13.42P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 27 42 +5 4.82 73.85 4.81 67.41 6.10 3.99 0.07 0.46 19.93 4.18P 0.08R 0.00 Peterborough 26 41 +9 0.68 53.60 1.86 72.09 6.39 14.55 0.69 3.28 49.54 15.13P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 27 40 +2 -1.32 43.17 -4.51 70.67 6.21 9.04 0.28 1.76 39.26 11.61P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 39 -3 4.33 71.05 3.71 61.25 5.96 -7.47 0.00 0.03 3.35 0.54P 1.75R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.38 67.30 10.19 60.81 6.10 1.54 0.01 0.03 3.68 0.68P 1.79R 0.04 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.25 51.64 4.31 63.21 6.17 4.47 0.01 0.10 7.76 1.75P 0.76R 0.01 Walsall 27 37 -2 -2.29 38.41 -5.49 64.50 6.04 0.26 0.01 0.11 9.62 2.41P 0.49R 0.01 Charlton 26 36 +7 -3.33 33.20 1.39 66.04 6.38 10.93 0.05 0.47 17.48 4.95P 0.28R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 32 -10 -0.44 48.20 -5.04 55.31 6.17 -16.30 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.08P 14.14R 1.07 MK_Dons 26 31 -3 -6.60 19.78 -5.82 57.75 6.46 -4.08 0.00 0.01 1.65 0.44P 6.81R 0.49 Gillingham 27 31 -9 -4.48 28.49 -6.16 57.58 6.23 -8.32 0.00 0.01 1.07 0.23P 7.32R 0.51 Northampton 28 30 -9 -2.14 40.01 1.59 52.48 5.99 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 24.60R 3.05 Swindon 28 29 -14 -5.58 23.48 -7.88 51.52 5.86 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 30.78R 3.97 Shrewsbury 28 28 -13 -3.68 31.94 -2.73 48.33 5.76 -19.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.47R 9.92 Bury 28 26 -12 -5.30 24.68 0.77 48.07 5.91 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.52R 11.32 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.28 20.88 -7.69 46.78 5.74 -23.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.85R 16.10 Oldham 26 22 -15 -6.39 17.73 -5.66 43.93 5.92 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.56R 31.77 Coventry 27 21 -16 -12.83 3.62 -11.58 45.43 6.06 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.75R 21.69League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 27 58 +21 8.30 85.35 1.25 92.92 6.25 34.79 69.34 97.38 99.95 98.13P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 26 54 +15 9.39 89.12 1.81 87.50 6.35 24.05 24.46 86.57 99.26 90.10P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 27 48 +11 7.41 82.30 5.84 76.38 6.31 14.46 1.46 24.76 79.83 36.21P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 45 +14 1.72 58.66 2.68 79.61 6.38 24.62 3.52 47.29 91.17 60.78P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 43 +6 4.58 73.00 1.71 72.23 6.38 8.80 0.24 9.20 56.55 20.18P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 42 +13 1.94 60.05 6.46 73.69 6.43 19.30 0.54 14.60 67.89 28.71P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.63 41.90 0.15 69.40 6.45 12.00 0.12 4.77 41.01 14.02P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 27 40 +0 4.37 71.50 2.31 65.55 6.28 -0.94 0.01 1.14 18.70 4.32P 0.03R 0.00 Exeter 26 39 +12 0.08 50.69 7.14 69.40 6.42 16.44 0.10 4.96 42.31 13.86P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 39 +7 0.71 53.89 3.07 68.03 6.47 9.43 0.07 3.22 33.00 10.21P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 27 39 +4 3.01 65.16 5.38 63.43 6.25 1.82 0.01 0.53 11.62 2.76P 0.04R 0.01 Mansfield 27 37 -1 1.20 56.79 0.36 61.78 6.11 -2.56 0.00 0.21 6.88 1.61P 0.12R 0.02 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -6.79 18.78 0.60 69.36 6.46 19.75 0.12 5.19 43.06 17.43P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 35 -7 5.93 79.47 1.10 58.80 6.43 -14.68 0.00 0.09 3.22 0.60P 0.89R 0.17 Stevenage 27 33 -6 -1.16 44.66 -1.09 57.39 6.20 -8.75 0.00 0.03 1.93 0.36P 1.17R 0.20 Yeovil 26 32 -3 -0.58 47.62 0.88 57.27 6.30 -5.73 0.00 0.03 1.88 0.42P 1.25R 0.28 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.38 63.44 -1.35 54.82 6.52 -19.61 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.14P 4.32R 1.12 Hartlepool 27 30 -9 -0.01 51.13 2.07 50.09 5.90 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 12.91R 3.86 Crewe 27 28 -13 -4.88 27.01 -7.00 51.88 6.19 -16.13 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 8.75R 2.57 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.27 13.66 -9.08 51.83 6.33 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 8.38R 2.47 Leyton_Orient 26 25 -11 -9.40 10.42 -9.15 51.93 6.39 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 8.53R 2.56 Cheltenham 26 24 -11 -7.32 16.91 -4.79 48.27 6.37 -15.59 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 21.01R 7.54 Notts_County 27 23 -22 -5.02 25.49 -7.41 42.10 5.88 -33.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.18R 35.87 Newport_County 26 19 -16 -8.06 13.23 -2.94 40.73 6.11 -24.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.42R 43.35National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 27 58 +31 10.91 92.54 15.14 91.09 6.24 41.99 52.92 98.31 63.50P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 54 +24 0.74 52.99 3.10 85.08 5.59 36.32 13.90 91.88 37.35P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.09 79.43 1.52 87.46 5.99 28.15 22.45 94.42 43.30P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 1.87 58.66 -1.76 83.35 5.94 26.55 8.82 83.58 29.26P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 49 +13 1.68 57.99 1.25 78.09 5.81 22.23 1.16 54.87 11.94P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 27 46 +15 5.75 77.43 10.33 74.12 6.21 18.03 0.44 27.88 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 46 +8 5.86 77.27 7.37 70.09 5.75 9.24 0.03 9.04 1.39P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 43 +16 -1.74 41.46 8.80 68.75 5.79 19.83 0.03 7.33 1.43P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 29 43 +10 0.44 52.44 5.92 65.93 5.77 9.01 0.00 2.73 0.43P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 43 +10 0.32 51.52 1.50 72.76 6.17 15.38 0.21 20.96 4.69P 0.00R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 42 +5 3.18 66.50 5.59 64.38 5.57 4.13 0.00 1.15 0.18P 0.06R 0.00 Eastleigh 28 41 +7 -2.54 37.43 -0.81 68.76 6.06 11.41 0.04 7.36 1.53P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 30 39 -9 -2.18 39.53 -9.26 60.02 5.42 -10.28 0.00 0.12 0.01P 0.84R 0.01 Bromley 28 38 -6 2.84 64.57 -0.64 60.62 5.79 -9.71 0.00 0.25 0.02P 0.90R 0.01 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.76 64.36 2.70 56.98 5.88 -10.49 0.00 0.06 0.00P 4.22R 0.16 Solihull_Moors 28 34 -7 1.53 58.51 2.86 55.80 6.00 -12.16 0.00 0.04 0.01P 6.98R 0.32 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.66 23.88 -12.37 54.07 5.69 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00P 11.01R 0.70 Torquay 29 30 -10 -5.16 25.74 -2.75 51.02 5.64 -13.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.84R 1.87 Southport 29 30 -24 -0.05 50.95 -7.16 46.33 5.44 -35.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.96R 11.19 Maidstone_United 29 29 -21 0.35 53.26 -2.14 44.39 5.35 -34.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.85R 18.39 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.41 33.42 1.30 46.52 5.48 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.72R 8.65 Woking 28 27 -13 -9.46 11.71 -9.10 49.51 5.82 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.36R 4.06 North_Ferriby 30 27 -27 0.67 55.35 -5.04 40.88 5.00 -38.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.93R 44.75 York 29 25 -20 -12.51 5.83 -16.35 46.43 5.70 -22.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.29R 9.89