Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 22 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2017, Arsenal 2 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 55 +32 12.08 97.49 11.44 86.17 5.27 47.07 72.41 89.73 96.32 98.87 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 47 +27 2.93 66.71 4.04 77.54 5.26 41.39 10.05 36.77 62.69 82.57 99.32 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +29 4.32 74.45 10.01 78.11 5.33 45.10 11.28 43.12 68.20 85.41 99.40 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 45 +24 5.52 79.84 8.21 73.90 5.57 35.35 3.60 15.75 34.53 58.26 96.82 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 43 +15 2.07 61.67 -2.80 73.77 5.34 29.92 2.46 12.72 31.30 56.43 96.93 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 41 +12 3.69 70.68 1.51 68.34 5.31 20.32 0.20 1.86 6.51 16.75 82.60 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 36 +10 2.18 62.64 4.70 61.15 5.37 14.76 0.00 0.06 0.45 1.69 22.89 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 22 32 +2 4.21 74.25 6.27 51.44 5.40 -1.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.00 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 22 28 -6 1.27 58.58 0.16 46.56 5.36 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.81R 0.02 West_Ham 22 28 -7 -1.51 41.52 -4.88 49.00 5.57 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.33R 0.01 Southampton 22 27 -4 -5.00 22.88 -6.56 50.24 5.45 -2.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.15R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 26 -7 1.44 59.33 4.01 43.40 5.23 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.38R 0.15 Burnley 22 26 -9 1.32 59.10 0.33 44.55 5.48 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.65R 0.14 Watford 22 24 -13 0.05 51.59 -2.38 40.50 5.15 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.44R 0.96 Leicester 22 21 -13 -7.99 11.54 -10.40 42.74 5.48 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.31R 0.46 Middlesbrough 22 20 -7 -4.91 22.48 0.47 37.29 5.20 -13.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.73R 3.43 Swansea 22 18 -25 -3.85 27.88 -9.50 34.84 5.25 -34.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.79R 10.45 Crystal_Palace 22 16 -11 -8.37 9.55 -0.99 33.39 5.14 -19.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.83R 13.39 Hull 22 16 -27 -3.33 30.78 -8.19 30.42 4.98 -40.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.89R 36.10 Sunderland 22 15 -22 -5.89 17.10 -5.44 30.29 5.08 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.64R 34.90Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Aston_Villa 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 27 58 +33 4.08 70.01 6.48 95.06 5.97 50.04 60.88 97.14 99.97 98.33P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 26 57 +24 10.65 93.03 8.19 92.97 6.20 36.44 38.50 94.41 99.92 96.31P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 49 +2 13.83 96.65 4.88 73.68 6.12 -0.06 0.14 1.61 54.71 11.16P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 48 +10 9.75 90.15 7.89 74.02 6.10 10.01 0.13 1.60 59.41 14.14P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 46 +2 11.23 93.16 3.60 72.93 6.29 1.32 0.08 1.23 50.47 10.46P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 45 +5 4.95 74.59 0.32 74.20 6.12 9.74 0.11 1.60 60.43 17.72P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 43 +6 -0.20 48.84 -3.07 73.38 5.97 12.43 0.09 1.29 56.87 20.04P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 27 41 +5 5.69 76.62 8.10 65.31 6.19 1.72 0.00 0.08 13.05 2.62P 0.16R 0.00 Fulham 26 40 +13 2.09 60.88 9.59 68.79 6.43 14.56 0.02 0.35 30.57 7.89P 0.02R 0.00 Norwich 27 40 +5 -2.97 35.23 -4.03 70.40 6.33 11.72 0.04 0.56 38.99 12.63P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 27 40 +3 2.91 65.56 2.58 66.36 6.09 3.52 0.01 0.09 16.48 4.00P 0.08R 0.00 Birmingham 27 37 -5 1.70 59.53 -2.65 61.05 5.98 -7.77 0.00 0.00 3.31 0.70P 1.02R 0.01 Aston_Villa 27 36 +1 -1.80 41.11 -0.72 62.87 6.18 2.41 0.00 0.01 6.94 1.81P 0.61R 0.00 Ipswich 27 34 -5 -2.66 36.40 -4.84 58.64 5.99 -6.87 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.36P 2.84R 0.03 Brentford 27 33 -1 -4.54 28.32 -1.48 60.78 6.19 1.67 0.00 0.01 3.77 1.00P 1.29R 0.01 Cardiff 26 33 -9 -1.04 44.65 -6.37 57.75 6.20 -12.85 0.00 0.00 1.23 0.26P 4.44R 0.05 QPR 27 33 -11 -1.45 42.96 -7.43 56.93 5.92 -14.05 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.14P 5.46R 0.08 Wolverhampton 27 32 -3 -4.18 29.27 -1.75 58.21 6.08 -2.68 0.00 0.00 1.31 0.33P 3.63R 0.04 Nott'm_Forest 27 30 -7 -4.27 29.12 -2.46 54.83 6.12 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 10.00R 0.18 Bristol_City 27 27 -4 -6.48 19.92 1.76 50.83 6.01 -7.76 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 24.86R 0.98 Wigan 27 25 -8 -8.54 12.87 -3.54 48.85 6.01 -10.95 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.36R 1.87 Burton_Albion 27 25 -11 -3.47 32.44 0.73 44.46 5.74 -20.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.57R 6.09 Blackburn 27 25 -12 -8.46 12.85 -6.79 48.75 6.00 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 39.71R 1.97 Rotherham 27 16 -33 -7.36 14.09 -8.98 33.08 5.69 -47.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.92R 88.70League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Bradford 1 1 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 28 57 +21 9.47 89.04 6.69 86.78 6.01 28.56 37.33 70.31 98.96 78.28P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 55 +27 8.23 86.13 11.96 87.42 6.11 36.61 45.30 75.40 99.18 82.52P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 26 50 +16 6.90 81.73 5.18 82.38 6.30 23.62 14.32 38.17 94.04 54.38P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 46 +11 6.23 79.05 6.81 72.39 6.05 11.60 0.61 3.19 49.81 13.04P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 28 46 +11 1.95 60.09 2.57 72.87 5.82 14.36 0.61 3.16 54.03 16.88P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 27 45 +5 4.98 73.72 0.64 72.69 6.22 7.39 0.76 3.61 50.15 13.45P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 27 42 +5 4.79 73.72 4.82 67.44 6.05 4.08 0.05 0.45 19.92 4.13P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 26 41 +9 0.69 53.64 1.90 72.11 6.37 14.55 0.64 3.34 49.59 14.96P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 27 40 +2 -1.40 43.06 -4.60 70.68 6.18 9.05 0.28 1.69 39.03 11.39P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 39 -3 4.29 70.85 3.62 61.29 5.99 -7.43 0.00 0.04 3.57 0.68P 1.75R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +5 3.45 67.81 10.23 60.76 6.10 1.46 0.00 0.03 3.70 0.64P 1.73R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 27 37 +4 0.39 52.59 4.56 63.10 6.16 4.26 0.01 0.09 7.57 1.68P 0.81R 0.01 Walsall 27 37 -2 -2.31 38.39 -5.50 64.56 6.05 0.34 0.03 0.11 9.81 2.45P 0.46R 0.01 Charlton 26 36 +7 -3.39 32.86 1.30 66.05 6.40 10.93 0.05 0.39 17.51 4.88P 0.25R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 32 -10 -0.29 49.13 -4.82 55.17 6.14 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.08P 14.72R 1.07 MK_Dons 26 31 -3 -6.40 20.04 -5.50 57.70 6.35 -4.12 0.00 0.01 1.44 0.34P 6.57R 0.43 Gillingham 27 31 -9 -4.60 27.93 -6.37 57.64 6.25 -8.24 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.21P 7.20R 0.47 Northampton 28 30 -9 -2.19 40.13 1.47 52.48 5.94 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00P 24.45R 2.96 Swindon 28 29 -14 -5.63 23.41 -8.03 51.58 5.87 -17.17 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 30.62R 3.89 Shrewsbury 28 28 -13 -3.75 31.36 -2.83 48.39 5.77 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.24R 9.86 Bury 28 26 -12 -5.25 24.95 0.82 47.98 5.89 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 51.98R 11.53 Chesterfield 28 26 -17 -6.34 20.45 -7.76 46.84 5.71 -23.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.45R 15.76 Oldham 26 22 -15 -6.35 17.92 -5.55 43.89 5.93 -21.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.69R 31.92 Coventry 27 21 -16 -12.85 3.68 -11.62 45.43 6.03 -18.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.00R 22.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 27 58 +21 8.09 84.90 0.92 93.07 6.27 35.04 69.91 97.42 99.94 98.19P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 26 54 +15 9.53 89.50 1.99 87.40 6.37 23.90 23.94 85.98 99.24 89.60P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 27 48 +11 7.29 81.85 5.69 76.45 6.33 14.56 1.29 25.12 79.70 36.75P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 45 +14 1.65 58.37 2.57 79.69 6.42 24.73 3.60 47.66 91.22 60.69P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 43 +6 4.52 72.94 1.67 72.31 6.35 8.95 0.32 9.27 57.28 20.61P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 42 +13 2.04 60.55 6.60 73.68 6.43 19.30 0.62 14.57 67.75 28.33P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 40 +7 -1.66 42.00 0.12 69.33 6.42 11.93 0.08 4.56 40.72 14.02P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 27 40 +0 4.30 71.23 2.24 65.52 6.25 -0.94 0.01 1.06 18.68 4.32P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 26 39 +12 0.21 51.15 7.33 69.31 6.41 16.28 0.08 4.97 41.83 13.81P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 39 +7 0.65 53.45 3.02 68.03 6.44 9.42 0.06 3.17 32.86 10.05P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 27 39 +4 3.14 66.20 5.56 63.43 6.20 1.80 0.01 0.50 11.60 2.68P 0.04R 0.01 Mansfield 27 37 -1 1.22 56.93 0.39 61.78 6.10 -2.58 0.00 0.20 6.88 1.54P 0.11R 0.00 Blackpool 26 36 +11 -6.82 19.11 0.55 69.38 6.51 19.80 0.10 5.34 43.19 17.70P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 35 -7 5.90 79.27 1.08 58.88 6.44 -14.59 0.00 0.10 3.43 0.58P 0.90R 0.14 Stevenage 27 33 -6 -1.13 44.98 -1.07 57.47 6.22 -8.62 0.00 0.03 2.02 0.43P 1.15R 0.22 Yeovil 26 32 -3 -0.62 47.45 0.79 57.34 6.27 -5.64 0.00 0.02 1.90 0.34P 1.27R 0.25 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.41 63.45 -1.35 54.74 6.49 -19.77 0.00 0.02 1.02 0.17P 4.21R 1.10 Hartlepool 27 30 -9 -0.14 50.24 1.86 50.21 5.95 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 12.67R 3.84 Crewe 27 28 -13 -4.81 27.42 -6.90 51.82 6.20 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 8.78R 2.51 Accrington_Stanley 26 26 -11 -8.21 13.74 -8.99 51.80 6.31 -13.32 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 8.50R 2.58 Leyton_Orient 26 25 -11 -9.26 10.81 -8.90 51.82 6.37 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.06P 8.86R 2.54 Cheltenham 26 24 -11 -7.25 16.70 -4.68 48.10 6.36 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 21.44R 7.90 Notts_County 27 23 -22 -5.06 25.54 -7.54 42.14 5.85 -33.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.28R 35.37 Newport_County 26 19 -16 -8.06 12.99 -2.95 40.68 6.08 -24.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.75R 43.54National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2017, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 27 58 +31 10.87 92.53 15.03 91.12 6.27 42.00 53.35 98.37 64.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 54 +24 0.69 53.06 3.01 85.08 5.58 36.32 13.82 91.97 37.30P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.09 79.22 1.49 87.44 5.97 28.15 22.31 94.46 43.63P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 2.00 59.08 -1.52 83.28 5.97 26.40 8.58 83.35 28.87P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 49 +13 1.74 58.32 1.43 78.09 5.84 22.22 1.20 55.06 11.96P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 27 46 +15 5.87 77.82 10.49 74.03 6.20 17.93 0.45 27.53 4.82P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 29 46 +8 6.05 77.92 7.69 70.05 5.72 9.17 0.03 8.92 1.44P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 43 +16 -1.93 40.67 8.55 68.80 5.77 19.92 0.02 7.60 1.41P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 29 43 +10 0.50 52.84 5.95 65.88 5.78 8.88 0.01 2.85 0.45P 0.04R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 43 +10 0.33 51.69 1.51 72.74 6.12 15.37 0.22 20.59 4.37P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 29 42 +5 3.05 65.75 5.42 64.45 5.59 4.23 0.00 1.19 0.17P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 28 41 +7 -2.52 37.57 -0.81 68.79 6.07 11.49 0.02 7.64 1.52P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 30 39 -9 -2.21 39.55 -9.34 59.98 5.40 -10.30 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.78R 0.01 Bromley 28 38 -6 2.81 64.41 -0.67 60.65 5.76 -9.69 0.00 0.26 0.02P 0.93R 0.00 Sutton_United 28 36 -5 2.99 65.46 3.00 56.94 5.85 -10.55 0.00 0.06 0.01P 4.38R 0.13 Solihull_Moors 28 34 -7 1.57 58.46 2.86 55.76 5.97 -12.20 0.00 0.04 0.01P 6.88R 0.30 Braintree_Town 29 31 -17 -5.72 23.58 -12.50 54.10 5.71 -17.20 0.00 0.00 0.00P 11.00R 0.65 Torquay 29 30 -10 -5.10 26.09 -2.69 50.95 5.62 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.90R 1.85 Southport 29 30 -24 0.01 51.05 -7.04 46.27 5.37 -36.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.59R 11.24 Maidstone_United 29 29 -21 0.20 52.43 -2.36 44.52 5.36 -34.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.37R 18.04 Guiseley 29 28 -12 -3.45 33.28 1.30 46.58 5.47 -19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.40R 8.68 Woking 28 27 -13 -9.49 11.55 -9.22 49.53 5.82 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.37R 4.03 North_Ferriby 30 27 -27 0.57 54.57 -5.27 40.90 4.99 -38.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.91R 44.95 York 29 25 -20 -12.47 5.80 -16.31 46.39 5.69 -22.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.38R 10.12