Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 19 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2017, Everton 4 0 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 52 +30 11.60 97.18 11.34 85.89 5.40 47.74 67.41 86.22 94.57 98.17 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 45 +29 4.62 76.73 9.93 78.17 5.45 44.55 11.17 38.47 62.38 81.47 99.54 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 21 45 +25 7.20 87.18 9.77 77.04 5.65 39.59 9.15 30.00 52.46 74.17 99.05 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 21 44 +26 2.23 62.73 4.48 76.88 5.44 42.14 8.70 29.09 52.53 74.62 99.15 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 42 +15 2.57 64.90 -2.59 74.35 5.50 30.22 3.25 14.12 30.87 53.61 97.75 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 40 +12 4.27 73.86 1.80 69.03 5.52 20.87 0.32 2.08 7.05 17.26 87.49 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 33 +9 1.05 56.46 4.47 59.44 5.63 13.65 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.68 15.51 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 21 29 +0 3.48 71.34 5.65 50.16 5.60 -3.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.16R 0.00 Stoke 21 27 -6 1.35 59.04 -0.12 46.72 5.52 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.95R 0.04 Burnley 21 26 -8 1.85 62.39 -0.07 44.79 5.59 -15.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 2.62R 0.15 Bournemouth 21 25 -7 2.08 63.77 4.37 44.20 5.47 -15.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.13R 0.19 West_Ham 21 25 -9 -2.64 34.26 -5.94 46.80 5.76 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.21R 0.09 Southampton 21 24 -7 -5.64 19.26 -8.06 48.47 5.63 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.56R 0.02 Watford 21 23 -13 0.12 52.03 -2.91 40.55 5.34 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 11.64R 1.13 Leicester 21 21 -10 -7.65 11.96 -9.02 44.32 5.63 -10.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.35R 0.28 Middlesbrough 21 20 -5 -4.10 26.15 1.60 39.22 5.50 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 15.24R 1.96 Crystal_Palace 21 16 -10 -7.50 11.72 -0.67 34.73 5.38 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.88R 9.11 Hull 21 16 -25 -2.99 32.51 -8.19 30.71 5.03 -41.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.08R 33.59 Sunderland 21 15 -20 -5.37 18.91 -4.80 31.43 5.30 -31.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.24R 26.43 Swansea 21 15 -26 -5.63 17.88 -11.07 31.62 5.28 -38.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.95R 27.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 26 55 +29 4.26 71.11 5.82 94.28 6.11 47.73 62.05 95.81 99.95 97.50P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 25 54 +23 9.55 91.26 7.97 91.77 6.39 35.95 36.63 90.69 99.81 93.92P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 26 48 +11 10.74 92.58 8.29 75.55 6.30 11.27 0.42 3.82 68.19 18.24P 0.00 0.00 Reading 25 46 +3 12.11 94.98 3.82 73.87 6.47 1.78 0.29 2.50 56.05 12.67P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 26 46 +0 12.84 95.65 3.76 71.90 6.33 -2.31 0.08 1.16 43.53 8.60P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 45 +6 5.71 78.19 0.49 75.21 6.25 10.30 0.37 3.32 66.58 20.94P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 40 +5 -1.30 43.11 -3.33 72.17 6.20 12.02 0.08 1.25 49.46 17.32P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 25 39 +13 2.24 61.87 9.25 69.16 6.68 14.60 0.04 0.69 32.63 8.37P 0.04R 0.00 Preston 26 39 +3 3.16 66.66 2.37 66.44 6.26 3.27 0.00 0.11 17.25 4.18P 0.14R 0.00 Barnsley 26 38 +4 4.54 72.60 7.77 63.46 6.42 0.54 0.00 0.05 9.18 1.90P 0.56R 0.00 Norwich 26 37 +3 -3.72 31.70 -4.70 68.89 6.56 9.85 0.02 0.52 30.74 9.76P 0.07R 0.00 Birmingham 26 36 -5 1.99 61.22 -2.75 61.11 6.18 -8.19 0.00 0.01 3.69 0.86P 1.35R 0.00 Aston_Villa 26 35 +1 -1.09 44.73 -0.31 63.26 6.41 2.57 0.00 0.04 8.39 2.23P 0.59R 0.00 Ipswich 26 34 -3 -1.94 40.02 -3.75 60.21 6.25 -4.52 0.00 0.01 3.13 0.75P 1.75R 0.02 Brentford 26 33 +0 -3.38 33.14 -0.81 62.10 6.44 2.58 0.00 0.02 6.37 1.64P 1.02R 0.01 Wolverhampton 26 32 -1 -3.58 31.92 -1.02 59.48 6.32 -0.88 0.00 0.01 2.62 0.64P 2.41R 0.02 QPR 26 32 -11 -1.03 45.26 -7.40 57.52 6.18 -13.73 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.20P 4.96R 0.10 Cardiff 25 30 -10 -1.94 40.13 -6.34 56.44 6.43 -13.46 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.21P 7.44R 0.18 Bristol_City 26 27 -3 -5.49 23.50 2.14 52.06 6.20 -7.02 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 19.14R 0.76 Nott'm_Forest 26 27 -8 -5.46 23.51 -2.83 53.27 6.31 -9.74 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 15.56R 0.59 Burton_Albion 26 25 -10 -2.69 36.31 0.98 45.41 5.98 -19.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.28R 5.68 Blackburn 26 24 -12 -8.20 13.06 -6.97 49.45 6.26 -14.99 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 34.49R 2.23 Wigan 26 22 -9 -9.63 9.16 -3.87 46.87 6.20 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 49.82R 4.38 Rotherham 26 16 -29 -7.66 12.91 -8.56 33.85 5.80 -45.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.37R 86.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 27 56 +21 10.23 91.30 7.36 87.96 6.16 29.82 42.05 73.69 99.28 80.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 55 +27 8.18 85.92 11.90 87.47 6.07 36.77 41.04 73.48 99.23 80.90P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 26 50 +16 6.72 81.12 4.96 82.55 6.30 23.85 13.35 35.90 94.42 52.88P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 27 45 +11 2.53 63.23 2.90 73.51 5.97 14.74 0.69 3.60 59.08 18.55P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 26 45 +9 5.39 76.20 3.01 75.44 6.41 13.50 1.90 7.54 68.57 21.35P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 26 43 +10 4.87 74.43 6.24 70.35 6.24 10.03 0.28 1.61 37.84 9.05P 0.02R 0.00 Southend 27 42 +5 5.06 74.78 5.19 67.31 6.11 3.84 0.06 0.34 20.09 4.07P 0.12R 0.00 Millwall 26 39 +2 -1.25 43.64 -4.93 70.73 6.34 8.59 0.27 1.54 40.18 11.50P 0.04R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 27 39 -1 4.87 73.63 4.32 62.38 6.18 -5.91 0.00 0.04 5.97 0.96P 1.51R 0.03 Peterborough 25 38 +8 -0.71 46.06 1.29 70.23 6.60 13.18 0.29 1.77 39.44 11.16P 0.05R 0.00 Charlton 26 36 +7 -3.33 33.25 1.40 66.01 6.36 10.90 0.06 0.35 17.72 4.90P 0.31R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 26 36 +5 3.61 68.99 10.03 60.86 6.26 0.93 0.00 0.04 4.26 0.77P 2.37R 0.09 Oxford_Utd 26 34 +0 -0.10 49.96 2.16 59.87 6.30 -2.08 0.00 0.02 3.09 0.58P 3.64R 0.18 Walsall 26 34 -4 -2.92 35.06 -6.02 63.16 6.24 -1.36 0.00 0.07 7.42 1.76P 1.18R 0.03 Port_Vale 25 31 -10 0.19 51.72 -4.69 56.13 6.36 -15.55 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.13P 13.30R 1.14 Northampton 27 30 -7 -1.61 42.62 1.93 53.55 6.11 -11.39 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 21.79R 2.48 Gillingham 26 30 -9 -4.42 28.12 -6.75 57.17 6.31 -9.61 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.25P 9.58R 0.75 Swindon 27 29 -13 -4.74 26.67 -7.63 53.42 6.07 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 23.27R 2.71 MK_Dons 25 28 -5 -7.13 17.00 -6.26 56.34 6.63 -5.62 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.25P 11.89R 1.15 Bury 27 25 -12 -5.20 24.58 0.35 47.95 6.10 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 55.05R 13.96 Shrewsbury 27 25 -14 -4.79 25.86 -2.79 46.82 5.91 -20.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.68R 18.12 Chesterfield 27 25 -17 -5.93 21.35 -7.54 47.49 5.93 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 60.90R 16.06 Oldham 25 22 -14 -5.62 20.43 -5.35 45.24 6.10 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.25R 26.54 Coventry 26 21 -15 -11.89 4.77 -11.09 47.20 6.28 -16.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 59.04R 16.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Barnet 1 3 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 26 55 +19 7.47 83.17 0.50 91.93 6.50 33.74 66.95 95.24 99.86 96.51P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 25 51 +14 8.30 86.85 1.58 86.23 6.55 23.58 23.48 80.05 98.39 84.89P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 26 47 +11 7.66 83.90 5.66 76.98 6.51 14.79 2.39 27.30 79.63 38.23P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 26 45 +14 1.69 58.48 2.64 79.61 6.43 24.63 4.59 45.18 89.92 58.68P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 42 +6 5.00 75.23 1.80 72.56 6.53 8.76 0.51 10.03 55.43 20.28P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 41 +13 2.43 62.94 6.71 73.95 6.59 19.21 0.97 15.42 66.45 28.14P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 26 40 +10 -1.41 42.83 1.30 71.52 6.63 16.18 0.44 8.97 52.24 20.30P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 39 +9 1.64 58.77 4.39 70.25 6.68 12.67 0.30 6.31 43.52 15.10P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 26 39 +0 4.75 73.49 2.41 66.51 6.49 -0.05 0.02 1.67 21.54 5.38P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 25 36 +9 -0.58 47.15 5.59 67.03 6.66 12.33 0.07 2.56 27.01 8.33P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 26 36 +2 2.48 63.07 5.01 61.51 6.41 -0.62 0.01 0.27 6.58 1.50P 0.21R 0.02 Blackpool 25 35 +11 -6.32 20.29 0.70 70.31 6.64 20.56 0.26 6.69 46.50 20.12P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 35 -7 5.83 79.23 1.00 58.87 6.41 -14.60 0.00 0.08 2.73 0.40P 0.85R 0.16 Mansfield 26 34 -3 0.25 52.19 -0.71 59.34 6.24 -5.65 0.00 0.07 3.09 0.64P 0.48R 0.07 Stevenage 26 33 -4 -0.32 48.85 0.01 59.34 6.48 -5.89 0.00 0.09 3.70 0.78P 0.73R 0.13 Yeovil 25 31 -3 -0.59 47.35 0.32 57.16 6.43 -6.35 0.00 0.04 1.75 0.36P 1.63R 0.35 Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.37 63.41 -1.41 54.86 6.48 -19.51 0.00 0.02 0.82 0.16P 4.43R 1.18 Crewe 26 28 -11 -4.34 29.05 -6.33 52.66 6.32 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 7.61R 2.09 Hartlepool 26 27 -11 -1.03 45.58 1.07 47.84 6.12 -21.35 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 24.31R 9.05 Leyton_Orient 26 25 -11 -9.28 11.07 -8.91 51.82 6.39 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 9.16R 2.93 Accrington_Stanley 25 25 -11 -7.91 14.06 -9.14 52.02 6.56 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 8.98R 2.75 Cheltenham 25 24 -10 -6.46 19.64 -4.53 49.46 6.58 -14.84 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 17.50R 6.31 Notts_County 26 23 -20 -4.35 28.20 -6.52 43.38 6.09 -31.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.39R 29.01 Newport_County 25 18 -16 -7.97 12.82 -3.15 40.71 6.38 -25.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.67R 45.94National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Torquay 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 26 55 +29 10.00 91.14 14.27 89.50 6.42 39.98 41.80 95.25 53.75P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 53 +24 1.36 56.28 3.37 86.45 5.73 37.94 21.42 92.06 42.92P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.21 79.59 1.66 87.40 6.01 28.07 23.49 91.85 43.44P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 1.88 58.85 -1.66 83.24 5.94 26.38 8.70 78.01 27.58P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 49 +15 2.31 61.15 1.95 79.44 6.00 24.14 2.66 56.14 14.02P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 26 46 +16 6.83 82.00 10.86 75.79 6.42 19.49 1.14 31.65 6.43P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 28 45 +8 6.06 78.47 7.23 70.19 5.92 8.82 0.04 7.50 1.22P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 26 43 +11 1.59 58.56 2.35 75.35 6.26 18.19 0.66 28.77 6.91P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 28 42 +16 -1.36 43.00 8.86 69.57 5.99 20.48 0.04 7.34 1.55P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 28 42 +10 0.82 54.50 5.91 66.55 5.99 9.27 0.01 2.85 0.52P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 28 41 +5 3.57 68.75 5.69 65.28 5.74 4.85 0.00 1.16 0.17P 0.03R 0.00 Eastleigh 27 40 +7 -2.09 39.24 -0.69 69.40 6.25 11.86 0.04 7.08 1.42P 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 28 38 -6 2.85 64.68 -0.51 60.60 5.75 -9.81 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.69R 0.00 Wrexham 29 38 -9 -1.90 40.81 -9.36 60.08 5.64 -10.77 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.75R 0.00 Sutton_United 27 35 -5 2.99 65.73 2.58 57.18 6.09 -10.77 0.00 0.07 0.01P 3.59R 0.07 Solihull_Moors 27 33 -7 1.89 60.57 3.05 55.75 6.15 -12.84 0.00 0.02 0.01P 6.09R 0.14 Torquay 28 30 -9 -4.06 30.34 -2.18 52.70 5.86 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.51R 0.51 Braintree_Town 28 30 -17 -5.62 23.30 -12.89 53.59 5.78 -18.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.81R 0.34 Southport 28 30 -22 1.14 57.28 -5.78 48.47 5.59 -32.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.94R 3.13 Woking 28 27 -13 -9.56 11.47 -9.20 49.52 5.82 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.48R 2.01 Maidstone_United 28 26 -22 -0.91 46.51 -2.42 42.37 5.56 -36.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.79R 19.25 Guiseley 28 25 -13 -5.24 24.44 0.15 43.92 5.59 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.33R 11.13 North_Ferriby 29 24 -29 -0.34 49.62 -6.38 38.20 5.07 -41.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.99R 53.20 York 28 22 -21 -13.79 3.52 -16.86 44.56 5.93 -24.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.98R 10.20