Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 19 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2017, Everton 4 0 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          21   52  +30      11.60    97.18    11.34    85.89     5.40    47.74    67.41    86.22    94.57    98.17    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   45  +29       4.62    76.73     9.93    78.17     5.45    44.55    11.17    38.47    62.38    81.47    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        21   45  +25       7.20    87.18     9.77    77.04     5.65    39.59     9.15    30.00    52.46    74.17    99.05     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          21   44  +26       2.23    62.73     4.48    76.88     5.44    42.14     8.70    29.09    52.53    74.62    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   42  +15       2.57    64.90    -2.59    74.35     5.50    30.22     3.25    14.12    30.87    53.61    97.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          21   40  +12       4.27    73.86     1.80    69.03     5.52    20.87     0.32     2.08     7.05    17.26    87.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton          21   33   +9       1.05    56.46     4.47    59.44     5.63    13.65     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.68    15.51     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        21   29   +0       3.48    71.34     5.65    50.16     5.60    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.16R    0.00  
Stoke            21   27   -6       1.35    59.04    -0.12    46.72     5.52   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.95R    0.04  
Burnley          21   26   -8       1.85    62.39    -0.07    44.79     5.59   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.62R    0.15  
Bournemouth      21   25   -7       2.08    63.77     4.37    44.20     5.47   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.13R    0.19  
West_Ham         21   25   -9      -2.64    34.26    -5.94    46.80     5.76   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.21R    0.09  
Southampton      21   24   -7      -5.64    19.26    -8.06    48.47     5.63    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.56R    0.02  
Watford          21   23  -13       0.12    52.03    -2.91    40.55     5.34   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.64R    1.13  
Leicester        21   21  -10      -7.65    11.96    -9.02    44.32     5.63   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.35R    0.28  
Middlesbrough    21   20   -5      -4.10    26.15     1.60    39.22     5.50   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    15.24R    1.96  
Crystal_Palace   21   16  -10      -7.50    11.72    -0.67    34.73     5.38   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.88R    9.11  
Hull             21   16  -25      -2.99    32.51    -8.19    30.71     5.03   -41.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.08R   33.59  
Sunderland       21   15  -20      -5.37    18.91    -4.80    31.43     5.30   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.24R   26.43  
Swansea          21   15  -26      -5.63    17.88   -11.07    31.62     5.28   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R   27.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       26   55  +29       4.26    71.11     5.82    94.28     6.11    47.73    62.05    95.81    99.95    97.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        25   54  +23       9.55    91.26     7.97    91.77     6.39    35.95    36.63    90.69    99.81    93.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    26   48  +11      10.74    92.58     8.29    75.55     6.30    11.27     0.42     3.82    68.19    18.24P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         25   46   +3      12.11    94.98     3.82    73.87     6.47     1.78     0.29     2.50    56.05    12.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    26   46   +0      12.84    95.65     3.76    71.90     6.33    -2.31     0.08     1.16    43.53     8.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       26   45   +6       5.71    78.19     0.49    75.21     6.25    10.30     0.37     3.32    66.58    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           26   40   +5      -1.30    43.11    -3.33    72.17     6.20    12.02     0.08     1.25    49.46    17.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          25   39  +13       2.24    61.87     9.25    69.16     6.68    14.60     0.04     0.69    32.63     8.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         26   39   +3       3.16    66.66     2.37    66.44     6.26     3.27     0.00     0.11    17.25     4.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley        26   38   +4       4.54    72.60     7.77    63.46     6.42     0.54     0.00     0.05     9.18     1.90P    0.56R    0.00  
Norwich         26   37   +3      -3.72    31.70    -4.70    68.89     6.56     9.85     0.02     0.52    30.74     9.76P    0.07R    0.00  
Birmingham      26   36   -5       1.99    61.22    -2.75    61.11     6.18    -8.19     0.00     0.01     3.69     0.86P    1.35R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   35   +1      -1.09    44.73    -0.31    63.26     6.41     2.57     0.00     0.04     8.39     2.23P    0.59R    0.00  
Ipswich         26   34   -3      -1.94    40.02    -3.75    60.21     6.25    -4.52     0.00     0.01     3.13     0.75P    1.75R    0.02  
Brentford       26   33   +0      -3.38    33.14    -0.81    62.10     6.44     2.58     0.00     0.02     6.37     1.64P    1.02R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   26   32   -1      -3.58    31.92    -1.02    59.48     6.32    -0.88     0.00     0.01     2.62     0.64P    2.41R    0.02  
QPR             26   32  -11      -1.03    45.26    -7.40    57.52     6.18   -13.73     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.20P    4.96R    0.10  
Cardiff         25   30  -10      -1.94    40.13    -6.34    56.44     6.43   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.21P    7.44R    0.18  
Bristol_City    26   27   -3      -5.49    23.50     2.14    52.06     6.20    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   19.14R    0.76  
Nott'm_Forest   26   27   -8      -5.46    23.51    -2.83    53.27     6.31    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   15.56R    0.59  
Burton_Albion   26   25  -10      -2.69    36.31     0.98    45.41     5.98   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R    5.68  
Blackburn       26   24  -12      -8.20    13.06    -6.97    49.45     6.26   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   34.49R    2.23  
Wigan           26   22   -9      -9.63     9.16    -3.87    46.87     6.20   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.82R    4.38  
Rotherham       26   16  -29      -7.66    12.91    -8.56    33.85     5.80   -45.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.37R   86.01  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        27   56  +21      10.23    91.30     7.36    87.96     6.16    29.82    42.05    73.69    99.28    80.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       27   55  +27       8.18    85.92    11.90    87.47     6.07    36.77    41.04    73.48    99.23    80.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           26   50  +16       6.72    81.12     4.96    82.55     6.30    23.85    13.35    35.90    94.42    52.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         27   45  +11       2.53    63.23     2.90    73.51     5.97    14.74     0.69     3.60    59.08    18.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         26   45   +9       5.39    76.20     3.01    75.44     6.41    13.50     1.90     7.54    68.57    21.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   26   43  +10       4.87    74.43     6.24    70.35     6.24    10.03     0.28     1.61    37.84     9.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend         27   42   +5       5.06    74.78     5.19    67.31     6.11     3.84     0.06     0.34    20.09     4.07P    0.12R    0.00  
Millwall         26   39   +2      -1.25    43.64    -4.93    70.73     6.34     8.59     0.27     1.54    40.18    11.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   -1       4.87    73.63     4.32    62.38     6.18    -5.91     0.00     0.04     5.97     0.96P    1.51R    0.03  
Peterborough     25   38   +8      -0.71    46.06     1.29    70.23     6.60    13.18     0.29     1.77    39.44    11.16P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton         26   36   +7      -3.33    33.25     1.40    66.01     6.36    10.90     0.06     0.35    17.72     4.90P    0.31R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon    26   36   +5       3.61    68.99    10.03    60.86     6.26     0.93     0.00     0.04     4.26     0.77P    2.37R    0.09  
Oxford_Utd       26   34   +0      -0.10    49.96     2.16    59.87     6.30    -2.08     0.00     0.02     3.09     0.58P    3.64R    0.18  
Walsall          26   34   -4      -2.92    35.06    -6.02    63.16     6.24    -1.36     0.00     0.07     7.42     1.76P    1.18R    0.03  
Port_Vale        25   31  -10       0.19    51.72    -4.69    56.13     6.36   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.13P   13.30R    1.14  
Northampton      27   30   -7      -1.61    42.62     1.93    53.55     6.11   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   21.79R    2.48  
Gillingham       26   30   -9      -4.42    28.12    -6.75    57.17     6.31    -9.61     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.25P    9.58R    0.75  
Swindon          27   29  -13      -4.74    26.67    -7.63    53.42     6.07   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   23.27R    2.71  
MK_Dons          25   28   -5      -7.13    17.00    -6.26    56.34     6.63    -5.62     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.25P   11.89R    1.15  
Bury             27   25  -12      -5.20    24.58     0.35    47.95     6.10   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.05R   13.96  
Shrewsbury       27   25  -14      -4.79    25.86    -2.79    46.82     5.91   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.68R   18.12  
Chesterfield     27   25  -17      -5.93    21.35    -7.54    47.49     5.93   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.90R   16.06  
Oldham           25   22  -14      -5.62    20.43    -5.35    45.24     6.10   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.25R   26.54  
Coventry         26   21  -15     -11.89     4.77   -11.09    47.20     6.28   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.04R   16.75  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Barnet 1 3 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            26   55  +19       7.47    83.17     0.50    91.93     6.50    33.74    66.95    95.24    99.86    96.51P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             25   51  +14       8.30    86.85     1.58    86.23     6.55    23.58    23.48    80.05    98.39    84.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             26   47  +11       7.66    83.90     5.66    76.98     6.51    14.79     2.39    27.30    79.63    38.23P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           26   45  +14       1.69    58.48     2.64    79.61     6.43    24.63     4.59    45.18    89.92    58.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   42   +6       5.00    75.23     1.80    72.56     6.53     8.76     0.51    10.03    55.43    20.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                25   41  +13       2.43    62.94     6.71    73.95     6.59    19.21     0.97    15.42    66.45    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           26   40  +10      -1.41    42.83     1.30    71.52     6.63    16.18     0.44     8.97    52.24    20.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        25   39   +9       1.64    58.77     4.39    70.25     6.68    12.67     0.30     6.31    43.52    15.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               26   39   +0       4.75    73.49     2.41    66.51     6.49    -0.05     0.02     1.67    21.54     5.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               25   36   +9      -0.58    47.15     5.59    67.03     6.66    12.33     0.07     2.56    27.01     8.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   36   +2       2.48    63.07     5.01    61.51     6.41    -0.62     0.01     0.27     6.58     1.50P    0.21R    0.02  
Blackpool            25   35  +11      -6.32    20.29     0.70    70.31     6.64    20.56     0.26     6.69    46.50    20.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town         25   35   -7       5.83    79.23     1.00    58.87     6.41   -14.60     0.00     0.08     2.73     0.40P    0.85R    0.16  
Mansfield            26   34   -3       0.25    52.19    -0.71    59.34     6.24    -5.65     0.00     0.07     3.09     0.64P    0.48R    0.07  
Stevenage            26   33   -4      -0.32    48.85     0.01    59.34     6.48    -5.89     0.00     0.09     3.70     0.78P    0.73R    0.13  
Yeovil               25   31   -3      -0.59    47.35     0.32    57.16     6.43    -6.35     0.00     0.04     1.75     0.36P    1.63R    0.35  
Morecambe            25   31  -11       2.37    63.41    -1.41    54.86     6.48   -19.51     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.16P    4.43R    1.18  
Crewe                26   28  -11      -4.34    29.05    -6.33    52.66     6.32   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    7.61R    2.09  
Hartlepool           26   27  -11      -1.03    45.58     1.07    47.84     6.12   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.31R    9.05  
Leyton_Orient        26   25  -11      -9.28    11.07    -8.91    51.82     6.39   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    9.16R    2.93  
Accrington_Stanley   25   25  -11      -7.91    14.06    -9.14    52.02     6.56   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    8.98R    2.75  
Cheltenham           25   24  -10      -6.46    19.64    -4.53    49.46     6.58   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.50R    6.31  
Notts_County         26   23  -20      -4.35    28.20    -6.52    43.38     6.09   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.39R   29.01  
Newport_County       25   18  -16      -7.97    12.82    -3.15    40.71     6.38   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.67R   45.94  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Torquay 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       26   55  +29      10.00    91.14    14.27    89.50     6.42    39.98    41.80    95.25    53.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   53  +24       1.36    56.28     3.37    86.45     5.73    37.94    21.42    92.06    42.92P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           27   53  +16       6.21    79.59     1.66    87.40     6.01    28.07    23.49    91.85    43.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          28   52  +16       1.88    58.85    -1.66    83.24     5.94    26.38     8.70    78.01    27.58P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     28   49  +15       2.31    61.15     1.95    79.44     6.00    24.14     2.66    56.14    14.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             26   46  +16       6.83    82.00    10.86    75.79     6.42    19.49     1.14    31.65     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          28   45   +8       6.06    78.47     7.23    70.19     5.92     8.82     0.04     7.50     1.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       26   43  +11       1.59    58.56     2.35    75.35     6.26    18.19     0.66    28.77     6.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          28   42  +16      -1.36    43.00     8.86    69.57     5.99    20.48     0.04     7.34     1.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester            28   42  +10       0.82    54.50     5.91    66.55     5.99     9.27     0.01     2.85     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       28   41   +5       3.57    68.75     5.69    65.28     5.74     4.85     0.00     1.16     0.17P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          27   40   +7      -2.09    39.24    -0.69    69.40     6.25    11.86     0.04     7.08     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            28   38   -6       2.85    64.68    -0.51    60.60     5.75    -9.81     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.69R    0.00  
Wrexham            29   38   -9      -1.90    40.81    -9.36    60.08     5.64   -10.77     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.75R    0.00  
Sutton_United      27   35   -5       2.99    65.73     2.58    57.18     6.09   -10.77     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.59R    0.07  
Solihull_Moors     27   33   -7       1.89    60.57     3.05    55.75     6.15   -12.84     0.00     0.02     0.01P    6.09R    0.14  
Torquay            28   30   -9      -4.06    30.34    -2.18    52.70     5.86   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.51R    0.51  
Braintree_Town     28   30  -17      -5.62    23.30   -12.89    53.59     5.78   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.81R    0.34  
Southport          28   30  -22       1.14    57.28    -5.78    48.47     5.59   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.94R    3.13  
Woking             28   27  -13      -9.56    11.47    -9.20    49.52     5.82   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.48R    2.01  
Maidstone_United   28   26  -22      -0.91    46.51    -2.42    42.37     5.56   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.79R   19.25  
Guiseley           28   25  -13      -5.24    24.44     0.15    43.92     5.59   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.33R   11.13  
North_Ferriby      29   24  -29      -0.34    49.62    -6.38    38.20     5.07   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.99R   53.20  
York               28   22  -21     -13.79     3.52   -16.86    44.56     5.93   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R   10.20