Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 14 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Burnley 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 21 52 +30 11.59 97.20 11.35 85.91 5.42 47.70 63.88 83.85 93.04 97.48 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 21 45 +29 4.54 76.31 9.84 78.23 5.50 44.67 10.86 34.85 57.54 77.54 99.75 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 21 44 +26 2.14 62.17 4.42 76.97 5.40 42.21 7.83 26.24 47.93 69.95 99.57 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 20 44 +25 7.26 88.03 9.24 77.29 5.88 39.50 9.51 28.58 49.39 70.01 99.38 0.00 0.00
Man_City 20 42 +19 3.01 68.32 -0.29 76.74 5.69 35.98 7.37 23.68 43.97 66.15 99.32 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 20 39 +12 4.67 76.82 1.82 69.81 5.73 21.48 0.54 2.79 8.10 18.65 92.73 0.00 0.00
Everton 20 30 +5 0.33 52.11 1.92 56.86 5.85 7.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 7.77 0.00R 0.00
West_Brom 21 29 +0 3.51 71.58 5.69 50.07 5.55 -3.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.17R 0.00
Stoke 21 27 -6 1.56 60.46 0.17 46.53 5.50 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 1.04R 0.03
Burnley 21 26 -8 2.06 63.51 0.28 44.78 5.64 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 2.71R 0.12
Bournemouth 21 25 -7 2.02 63.52 4.26 44.26 5.48 -15.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.01R 0.15
West_Ham 21 25 -9 -2.53 35.16 -5.72 46.81 5.77 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.33R 0.08
Southampton 21 24 -7 -5.75 18.95 -8.25 48.40 5.67 -5.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.61R 0.03
Watford 21 23 -13 0.22 52.59 -2.74 40.47 5.32 -23.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 11.37R 1.17
Leicester 21 21 -10 -7.63 12.05 -8.92 44.30 5.66 -10.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.23R 0.23
Middlesbrough 21 20 -5 -4.00 26.42 1.72 39.15 5.44 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.30R 1.89
Crystal_Palace 21 16 -10 -7.47 11.83 -0.68 34.72 5.37 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.02R 9.28
Hull 21 16 -25 -3.03 32.41 -8.13 30.65 5.07 -41.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.31R 34.29
Sunderland 21 15 -20 -5.41 18.71 -4.84 31.42 5.26 -31.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.63R 26.42
Swansea 21 15 -26 -5.66 17.72 -11.14 31.70 5.32 -38.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.26R 26.30
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Birmingham 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Newcastle 26 55 +29 4.36 71.60 6.02 94.27 6.10 47.58 61.22 95.64 99.96 97.40P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 25 54 +23 9.32 90.60 7.62 91.89 6.34 36.17 37.47 90.90 99.84 94.11P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 26 48 +11 10.76 92.63 8.37 75.48 6.33 11.21 0.39 3.89 67.67 17.92P 0.00 0.00
Reading 25 46 +3 12.18 95.02 3.88 73.85 6.47 1.74 0.25 2.35 56.27 12.54P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 26 46 +0 12.88 95.90 3.83 71.85 6.35 -2.35 0.13 1.26 43.43 8.53P 0.00R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 26 45 +6 5.68 77.88 0.42 75.25 6.27 10.35 0.36 3.36 66.74 21.18P 0.00 0.00
Derby 26 40 +5 -1.25 43.41 -3.25 72.15 6.21 12.00 0.10 1.21 49.17 17.02P 0.00R 0.00
Fulham 25 39 +13 2.29 62.21 9.28 69.17 6.67 14.61 0.06 0.67 32.97 8.47P 0.04R 0.00
Preston 26 39 +3 3.06 66.26 2.24 66.56 6.26 3.41 0.00 0.12 17.87 4.33P 0.10R 0.00
Barnsley 26 38 +4 4.64 73.01 7.91 63.43 6.42 0.47 0.00 0.04 9.00 1.86P 0.56R 0.01
Norwich 26 37 +3 -3.62 32.37 -4.57 68.82 6.56 9.77 0.03 0.49 30.40 9.97P 0.07R 0.00
Birmingham 26 36 -5 2.01 61.27 -2.74 61.07 6.19 -8.19 0.00 0.01 3.63 0.79P 1.30R 0.01
Aston_Villa 26 35 +1 -1.18 44.18 -0.39 63.34 6.34 2.64 0.00 0.04 8.48 2.32P 0.50R 0.01
Ipswich 26 34 -3 -2.00 39.69 -3.84 60.26 6.26 -4.48 0.00 0.01 3.13 0.74P 1.75R 0.02
Brentford 26 33 +0 -3.52 32.34 -1.02 62.18 6.40 2.71 0.00 0.02 6.24 1.62P 0.97R 0.02
Wolverhampton 26 32 -1 -3.67 31.57 -1.09 59.50 6.31 -0.87 0.00 0.01 2.82 0.70P 2.39R 0.03
QPR 26 32 -11 -1.14 44.51 -7.54 57.54 6.15 -13.70 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.18P 4.95R 0.08
Cardiff 25 30 -10 -1.96 39.96 -6.37 56.41 6.45 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.21P 7.48R 0.18
Bristol_City 26 27 -3 -5.44 23.78 2.24 52.04 6.24 -7.02 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 19.30R 0.82
Nott'm_Forest 26 27 -8 -5.50 23.04 -2.88 53.33 6.32 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 15.43R 0.55
Burton_Albion 26 25 -10 -2.74 36.10 0.88 45.44 5.98 -19.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.45R 5.50
Blackburn 26 24 -12 -8.07 13.38 -6.82 49.40 6.24 -15.09 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 34.68R 2.20
Wigan 26 22 -9 -9.70 9.14 -3.94 46.85 6.22 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 49.62R 4.45
Rotherham 26 16 -29 -7.46 13.65 -8.24 33.71 5.83 -45.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.41R 86.14
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Sheff_Utd 27 56 +21 10.21 91.10 7.30 87.95 6.16 29.86 42.46 73.90 99.20 81.01P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 27 55 +27 8.31 86.43 12.04 87.36 6.08 36.63 40.66 72.74 99.25 80.52P 0.00 0.00
Bolton 26 50 +16 6.78 81.34 5.03 82.49 6.34 23.78 13.26 35.84 94.28 52.73P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 27 45 +11 2.31 62.18 2.58 73.65 5.98 14.95 0.76 3.86 59.96 19.01P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 26 45 +9 5.32 75.82 2.87 75.53 6.40 13.62 1.91 7.73 69.07 21.41P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 26 43 +10 4.83 74.09 6.22 70.37 6.26 10.07 0.26 1.64 37.48 9.07P 0.03R 0.00
Southend 27 42 +5 4.84 73.97 4.82 67.45 6.07 4.06 0.06 0.42 20.35 4.07P 0.08R 0.00
Millwall 26 39 +2 -1.27 43.34 -4.94 70.66 6.39 8.57 0.27 1.63 40.09 11.52P 0.02R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 27 39 -1 4.69 72.87 4.08 62.48 6.19 -5.73 0.01 0.06 5.85 0.96P 1.45R 0.04
Peterborough 25 38 +8 -0.70 46.26 1.28 70.22 6.59 13.14 0.31 1.73 39.00 10.84P 0.05R 0.00
Charlton 26 36 +7 -3.29 33.41 1.44 66.04 6.37 10.92 0.04 0.34 17.73 4.97P 0.31R 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 26 36 +5 3.74 69.41 10.29 60.64 6.27 0.58 0.00 0.03 3.97 0.68P 2.62R 0.08
Oxford_Utd 26 34 +0 -0.06 50.35 2.25 59.78 6.28 -2.17 0.00 0.01 2.99 0.61P 3.72R 0.17
Walsall 26 34 -4 -3.03 34.71 -6.16 63.27 6.23 -1.17 0.00 0.04 7.39 1.86P 1.15R 0.03
Port_Vale 25 31 -10 0.18 51.96 -4.71 56.21 6.39 -15.51 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.12P 13.30R 1.11
Northampton 27 30 -7 -1.80 41.70 1.60 53.76 6.10 -11.10 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.06P 20.54R 2.33
Gillingham 26 30 -9 -4.33 28.59 -6.60 57.09 6.34 -9.73 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.25P 9.64R 0.79
Swindon 27 29 -13 -4.65 27.15 -7.48 53.32 6.05 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 23.66R 2.71
MK_Dons 25 28 -5 -7.17 16.73 -6.28 56.32 6.59 -5.69 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.28P 11.95R 1.05
Bury 27 25 -12 -4.99 25.74 0.70 47.83 6.13 -17.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 55.84R 14.22
Shrewsbury 27 25 -14 -4.76 25.93 -2.80 46.86 5.96 -20.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.38R 18.16
Chesterfield 27 25 -17 -5.86 22.20 -7.41 47.55 5.98 -23.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 59.76R 15.51
Oldham 25 22 -14 -5.54 20.60 -5.23 45.16 6.07 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.71R 26.93
Coventry 26 21 -15 -11.74 4.96 -10.90 47.13 6.30 -16.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 59.80R 16.86
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Barnet 1 3 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Doncaster 26 55 +19 7.66 83.92 0.82 91.76 6.45 33.47 66.96 95.19 99.82 96.55P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 25 51 +14 8.53 87.66 1.92 86.02 6.59 23.25 23.04 78.83 98.29 84.00P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 26 47 +11 7.77 84.03 5.75 76.93 6.54 14.77 2.44 27.21 79.31 38.16P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 26 45 +14 1.78 59.03 2.71 79.61 6.38 24.61 4.80 45.46 90.18 58.90P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 25 42 +6 4.95 74.99 1.75 72.57 6.56 8.80 0.51 10.43 55.45 20.84P 0.00 0.00
Luton 25 41 +13 2.29 62.30 6.46 74.07 6.61 19.35 1.13 15.88 66.98 29.01P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 26 40 +10 -1.49 42.68 1.18 71.57 6.62 16.26 0.45 9.06 52.45 20.66P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 25 39 +9 1.58 58.43 4.34 70.26 6.67 12.64 0.30 6.33 43.33 14.87P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 26 39 +0 4.77 73.70 2.44 66.46 6.47 -0.15 0.02 1.61 21.37 5.23P 0.03R 0.00
Exeter 25 36 +9 -0.48 47.76 5.70 66.94 6.68 12.17 0.08 2.58 26.67 8.08P 0.02R 0.00
Grimsby 26 36 +2 2.34 62.37 4.74 61.70 6.46 -0.33 0.00 0.31 7.20 1.60P 0.19R 0.03
Blackpool 25 35 +11 -6.17 20.60 0.94 70.24 6.68 20.47 0.26 6.75 45.91 19.54P 0.01R 0.00
Crawley_Town 25 35 -7 5.89 79.55 1.05 58.84 6.44 -14.67 0.00 0.09 2.88 0.52P 0.97R 0.21
Mansfield 26 34 -3 0.24 51.77 -0.75 59.38 6.29 -5.59 0.00 0.08 3.25 0.65P 0.53R 0.08
Stevenage 26 33 -4 -0.26 49.40 0.15 59.32 6.45 -5.93 0.00 0.10 3.61 0.78P 0.76R 0.14
Yeovil 25 31 -3 -0.56 47.87 0.37 57.12 6.44 -6.37 0.00 0.04 1.74 0.33P 1.73R 0.36
Morecambe 25 31 -11 2.41 63.62 -1.33 54.87 6.49 -19.51 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.10P 4.71R 1.21
Crewe 26 28 -11 -4.52 28.39 -6.58 52.86 6.36 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 7.33R 2.11
Hartlepool 26 27 -11 -1.09 45.17 0.98 47.87 6.09 -21.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.26R 9.08
Leyton_Orient 26 25 -11 -9.33 10.82 -9.02 51.73 6.38 -11.91 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 9.41R 2.91
Accrington_Stanley 25 25 -11 -7.94 14.04 -9.14 52.05 6.52 -13.55 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.04P 8.97R 2.83
Cheltenham 25 24 -10 -6.48 19.33 -4.56 49.41 6.55 -14.89 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 17.63R 6.36
Notts_County 26 23 -20 -4.57 27.17 -6.84 43.55 6.11 -31.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 54.60R 28.20
Newport_County 25 18 -16 -7.90 12.72 -3.11 40.68 6.33 -25.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.86R 46.47
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2017, Torquay 1 2 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Lincoln_City 26 55 +29 10.19 91.68 14.55 89.28 6.43 39.73 40.70 95.12 52.89P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 28 53 +24 1.40 56.71 3.38 86.44 5.79 37.92 22.11 91.88 43.46P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.13 79.35 1.59 87.34 5.99 28.02 23.50 91.86 42.98P 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 2.00 59.17 -1.48 83.20 5.94 26.32 8.85 77.67 27.55P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 28 49 +15 2.28 60.95 1.89 79.45 5.99 24.14 2.78 56.46 14.44P 0.00 0.00
Barrow 26 46 +16 6.70 81.42 10.68 75.89 6.43 19.61 1.20 32.60 6.82P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 28 45 +8 6.06 78.51 7.23 70.23 5.90 8.86 0.05 7.36 1.21P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 26 43 +11 1.69 58.85 2.54 75.23 6.29 18.03 0.71 28.32 7.02P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 28 42 +16 -1.28 43.58 8.95 69.55 5.96 20.45 0.04 7.28 1.52P 0.00R 0.00
Chester 28 42 +10 0.94 55.02 6.12 66.53 6.01 9.24 0.01 2.73 0.46P 0.03R 0.00
Boreham_Wood 28 41 +5 3.61 68.78 5.73 65.28 5.79 4.84 0.00 1.13 0.20P 0.03R 0.00
Eastleigh 27 40 +7 -2.13 39.09 -0.73 69.43 6.27 11.90 0.05 7.27 1.40P 0.01R 0.00
Bromley 28 38 -6 2.92 65.16 -0.46 60.58 5.74 -9.86 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.68R 0.00
Wrexham 29 38 -9 -2.10 40.01 -9.64 60.11 5.62 -10.71 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.80R 0.00
Sutton_United 27 35 -5 3.02 65.84 2.58 57.23 6.08 -10.71 0.00 0.04 0.01P 3.47R 0.07
Solihull_Moors 27 33 -7 1.68 59.52 2.74 55.87 6.19 -12.66 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.02R 0.18
Torquay 28 30 -9 -4.01 30.68 -2.12 52.65 5.89 -12.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.01R 0.53
Braintree_Town 28 30 -17 -5.65 23.39 -12.91 53.60 5.80 -18.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.91R 0.41
Southport 28 30 -22 1.10 56.91 -5.85 48.46 5.62 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.18R 3.16
Woking 28 27 -13 -9.65 11.04 -9.37 49.66 5.85 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.91R 2.12
Maidstone_United 28 26 -22 -0.93 46.61 -2.48 42.37 5.60 -36.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.80R 19.16
Guiseley 28 25 -13 -5.24 24.65 0.20 43.94 5.60 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.08R 11.11
North_Ferriby 29 24 -29 -0.36 49.78 -6.43 38.19 5.07 -41.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.00R 52.95
York 28 22 -21 -13.73 3.54 -16.70 44.53 5.94 -24.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.04R 10.30
