Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2017, Tottenham 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          20   49  +27      10.82    96.38     9.84    84.08     5.67    44.24    56.62    78.00    89.60    95.87    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        20   44  +25       7.42    88.41     9.51    77.27     5.86    39.36    13.43    34.06    54.71    74.08    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   42  +25       4.35    75.84     8.24    76.92     5.73    41.02    11.00    31.64    52.97    73.13    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   42  +19       2.96    67.77    -0.34    76.68     5.73    35.83    10.43    29.28    49.70    70.34    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   41  +22       2.01    61.88     3.08    75.51     5.66    38.34     7.71    23.04    42.47    64.12    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   39  +12       4.70    76.60     1.89    69.75     5.77    21.35     0.81     3.96    10.45    22.08    92.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton          20   30   +5       0.35    52.30     1.97    56.84     5.88     7.99     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.35     8.40     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   29   +4       3.30    70.45     7.08    51.18     5.80     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.38     0.15R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   25   -5       2.94    68.90     5.28    45.99     5.73   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.31R    0.08  
Southampton      20   24   -6      -4.64    23.45    -7.57    50.04     5.85    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.46R    0.01  
Stoke            20   24   -8       0.40    53.52    -1.17    44.49     5.73   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     4.06R    0.18  
Burnley          20   23   -9       0.55    54.37    -0.48    42.88     5.85   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.43R    0.59  
West_Ham         20   22  -12      -3.23    30.36    -7.28    45.24     5.95   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.73R    0.24  
Watford          20   22  -13       0.61    55.20    -2.61    40.99     5.55   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.57R    1.11  
Leicester        20   21   -7      -7.19    12.85    -7.53    46.01     5.88    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.45R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    20   19   -5      -3.80    27.38     1.61    39.39     5.70   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.64R    2.02  
Crystal_Palace   20   16   -7      -7.00    12.77     0.80    36.11     5.61   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.09R    6.13  
Sunderland       20   15  -18      -4.46    22.66    -3.77    33.24     5.53   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.44R   16.33  
Swansea          20   15  -22      -5.52    18.20    -9.52    32.89     5.57   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.61R   18.98  
Hull             20   13  -27      -3.94    25.97    -9.04    28.49     5.25   -44.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.06R   54.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2017, Birmingham 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        24   54  +25      10.42    93.63     9.23    93.80     6.56    38.92    51.41    93.23    99.91    95.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   52  +28       3.16    65.90     5.63    92.82     6.35    46.90    46.87    92.13    99.83    95.28P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   46   +4      13.30    96.74     4.51    75.99     6.68     3.92     0.63     4.54    66.17    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   46   +2      13.49    96.74     4.72    72.97     6.50    -0.68     0.22     1.75    48.33     9.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    25   45  +10       9.37    90.06     7.71    73.69     6.45     9.99     0.27     2.26    55.09    13.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   42   +4       4.90    75.23    -0.40    73.57     6.50     8.31     0.20     2.09    53.74    16.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           25   40   +6      -0.14    49.11    -2.61    73.67     6.43    13.26     0.22     2.04    56.41    20.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        25   38   +6       5.13    75.33     8.45    64.78     6.66     2.28     0.01     0.13    12.48     2.61P    0.41R    0.00  
Norwich         25   37   +4      -2.41    37.66    -3.80    71.31     6.79    12.48     0.13     1.27    42.93    14.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Fulham          24   36  +11       1.52    58.55     8.70    67.70     6.87    12.91     0.04     0.35    24.92     6.21P    0.11R    0.00  
Preston         25   36   +1       2.00    61.15     1.14    64.07     6.41     0.22     0.01     0.06     9.34     2.18P    0.39R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   35   +2      -0.33    48.82    -0.08    64.84     6.54     3.78     0.00     0.09    12.14     3.24P    0.29R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   35   -5       2.52    64.27    -2.41    61.90     6.42    -7.64     0.00     0.03     4.81     0.94P    1.13R    0.01  
Brentford       25   33   +1      -2.67    36.23    -0.88    63.50     6.61     3.63     0.00     0.03     8.87     2.34P    0.66R    0.00  
Ipswich         25   31   -4      -3.16    33.47    -4.23    58.77     6.45    -5.22     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.48P    3.15R    0.03  
Wolverhampton   25   29   -2      -4.89    25.48    -1.43    57.71     6.55    -2.15     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.37P    4.57R    0.04  
QPR             25   29  -12      -2.58    36.64    -8.18    55.28     6.34   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P    9.62R    0.13  
Bristol_City    25   27   -2      -4.33    28.23     2.79    53.96     6.41    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   12.14R    0.24  
Cardiff         24   27  -11      -3.40    32.09    -7.12    54.31     6.66   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   13.65R    0.28  
Nott'm_Forest   25   26   -8      -5.33    23.17    -3.06    53.44     6.56   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   15.31R    0.37  
Burton_Albion   25   25   -8      -2.03    40.07     1.94    47.28     6.21   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   48.06R    1.94  
Blackburn       25   24  -11      -7.15    15.95    -6.54    50.54     6.44   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   28.08R    0.88  
Wigan           25   19  -11     -10.60     6.62    -4.86    44.63     6.42   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R    5.44  
Rotherham       25   13  -30      -9.15     7.79    -9.20    31.24     5.93   -48.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   90.63  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Sheff_Utd        26   56  +24      10.61    92.79     8.95    89.91     6.34    33.72    50.44    77.07    99.49    83.64P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       26   52  +26       7.00    82.58    11.61    85.93     6.36    35.87    25.00    55.59    97.94    67.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           25   50  +17       8.04    86.23     5.86    85.19     6.50    26.70    19.89    46.78    96.69    61.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         26   45  +12       3.56    68.68     3.45    75.39     6.25    16.46     1.22     5.40    65.89    21.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   45  +10       6.36    80.72     3.39    76.88     6.63    14.60     2.25     8.90    72.13    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   25   40   +8       4.03    71.03     5.42    68.95     6.48     8.40     0.12     0.76    26.58     5.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend         26   39   +4       3.81    69.95     4.71    65.72     6.28     2.91     0.01     0.12    12.53     2.34P    0.25R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   39   +1       5.23    75.18     4.63    63.80     6.38    -3.68     0.01     0.09     7.86     1.25P    0.62R    0.01  
Peterborough     24   38  +12      -0.28    48.34     3.71    72.82     6.85    19.00     0.72     3.38    51.45    15.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         25   38   +2      -1.06    44.30    -5.17    70.79     6.58     8.17     0.27     1.39    36.75    10.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         25   35   +7      -3.05    34.17     1.27    66.95     6.65    11.70     0.07     0.44    19.73     5.59P    0.18R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd       25   34   +1       0.94    55.64     2.65    61.17     6.51    -1.11     0.00     0.03     4.18     0.76P    1.77R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon    25   33   +4       2.48    63.80     9.70    59.01     6.50    -0.36     0.00     0.01     2.18     0.38P    3.59R    0.15  
Walsall          25   31   -7      -3.56    31.80    -7.60    60.74     6.40    -5.45     0.00     0.01     2.98     0.64P    2.40R    0.09  
Port_Vale        25   31  -10       0.12    51.44    -4.82    56.16     6.36   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.09P   10.03R    0.55  
Northampton      26   30   -6      -0.55    47.97     2.46    54.93     6.37   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   12.95R    1.05  
Gillingham       25   30   -8      -3.43    32.42    -6.33    58.69     6.58    -8.41     0.00     0.01     1.80     0.36P    5.14R    0.30  
MK_Dons          25   28   -5      -6.95    17.64    -5.96    56.21     6.60    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.17P    9.20R    0.60  
Swindon          26   26  -14      -6.20    20.02    -8.41    50.49     6.23   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   33.81R    4.45  
Shrewsbury       26   22  -15      -6.32    18.69    -3.57    44.77     6.11   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.19R   20.17  
Bury             26   22  -16      -5.59    22.17    -1.76    45.06     6.29   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.04R   19.75  
Chesterfield     26   22  -18      -7.17    16.07    -7.87    45.82     6.17   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   63.50R   16.32  
Coventry         25   21  -14     -10.78     5.92   -10.44    48.52     6.42   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.27R    7.99  
Oldham           24   19  -15      -6.94    14.49    -5.87    43.27     6.30   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.99R   28.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Colchester 4 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            25   52  +17       6.83    81.67     0.09    90.27     6.70    31.70    62.73    92.27    99.54    94.29P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             24   48  +12       7.60    85.48     1.02    84.73     6.76    21.75    22.70    73.09    96.98    79.55P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             25   46  +11       8.35    86.39     6.12    78.20     6.75    16.21     5.15    35.98    82.75    45.50P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           25   42  +13       0.63    53.33     2.45    78.28     6.57    24.05     4.79    38.17    85.09    52.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   41   +6       5.44    77.69     1.90    73.25     6.76     9.26     1.09    13.43    58.33    23.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester           25   39  +10      -0.77    45.88     1.71    72.41     6.86    17.00     1.11    12.28    56.27    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               25   39   +2       5.43    76.75     3.20    67.82     6.69     1.81     0.15     3.03    27.64     7.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                24   38  +12       1.15    56.17     6.15    72.42     6.78    18.29     1.01    12.10    56.28    23.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        24   38   +9       2.00    60.76     4.41    70.36     6.90    12.27     0.54     7.54    42.99    15.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby              25   36   +5       2.74    64.57     6.35    63.71     6.66     3.62     0.04     0.92    12.29     3.22P    0.10R    0.02  
Blackpool            24   34  +11      -6.13    20.46     0.46    70.97     6.89    21.07     0.64     9.23    49.26    22.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               24   33   +6      -1.19    44.02     4.06    64.63     6.86     8.17     0.06     1.41    16.75     4.86P    0.09R    0.02  
Stevenage            25   33   -2       0.21    51.62     0.57    60.56     6.61    -4.06     0.01     0.23     5.42     1.27P    0.49R    0.06  
Mansfield            25   33   -3       0.70    54.14    -0.52    59.97     6.50    -5.36     0.00     0.15     4.09     0.88P    0.57R    0.10  
Crawley_Town         24   32   -8       4.55    74.47     0.51    57.23     6.67   -15.69     0.00     0.07     2.06     0.33P    2.17R    0.44  
Yeovil               24   30   -3      -0.41    48.34     0.08    57.14     6.57    -6.83     0.00     0.04     1.74     0.34P    1.91R    0.37  
Morecambe            24   30  -11       2.52    64.42    -1.71    54.60     6.69   -20.72     0.00     0.03     0.82     0.14P    5.34R    1.45  
Crewe                25   28  -10      -3.42    32.78    -6.02    54.07     6.53   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P    5.43R    1.39  
Hartlepool           25   27  -10       0.00    51.13     1.61    49.33     6.35   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   18.01R    6.12  
Accrington_Stanley   24   25   -8      -7.44    15.26    -7.42    54.15     6.76    -9.39     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.18P    5.28R    1.45  
Leyton_Orient        25   25  -10      -8.43    12.83    -8.72    52.72     6.59   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    7.84R    2.23  
Notts_County         25   22  -20      -4.13    28.92    -6.62    43.61     6.30   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.61R   27.14  
Cheltenham           24   21  -13      -7.18    16.04    -6.19    46.93     6.71   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   30.18R   12.69  
Newport_County       24   17  -16      -7.84    12.64    -3.49    40.54     6.50   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.95R   46.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Aldershot 2 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Lincoln_City       26   55  +29      10.10    91.30    14.42    89.30     6.49    39.70    38.58    94.08    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           27   53  +16       6.03    78.79     1.38    87.45     6.01    28.16    22.30    90.85    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   52  +24       1.94    59.32     3.65    86.85     5.99    37.98    22.59    90.65    43.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          28   52  +16       1.86    58.63    -1.79    83.38     5.95    26.63     8.67    76.27    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     27   49  +16       3.16    65.64     2.06    80.84     6.23    25.26     4.47    61.42    16.85P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             25   46  +17       8.26    87.03    12.03    78.38     6.69    22.44     2.83    44.45     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          28   45   +8       6.10    78.61     7.23    70.11     5.95     8.71     0.04     6.09     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   42  +16      -1.25    43.75     8.98    69.52     5.96    20.42     0.02     6.30     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chester            28   42  +10       0.96    55.00     6.12    66.56     5.98     9.32     0.01     2.26     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       28   41   +5       3.58    68.58     5.76    65.36     5.79     4.89     0.00     1.09     0.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield       25   40  +10       0.58    53.29     2.27    73.56     6.51    16.97     0.40    19.06     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          26   39   +7      -1.69    40.98    -0.66    69.65     6.46    11.63     0.09     7.18     1.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            28   38   -6       2.83    64.83    -0.57    60.64     5.76    -9.73     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.47R    0.00  
Sutton_United      26   35   -4       3.80    69.81     2.87    58.51     6.25    -9.83     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.92R    0.04  
Wrexham            28   35  -10      -2.93    35.63    -9.47    58.92     5.79   -11.11     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.21R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     27   33   -7       1.82    60.33     2.95    55.73     6.20   -12.90     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.05R    0.14  
Torquay            27   30   -8      -2.84    36.01    -1.35    54.50     6.10   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.84R    0.31  
Braintree_Town     27   27  -18      -6.96    17.89   -13.42    52.30     6.03   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.84R    0.88  
Southport          27   27  -23      -0.69    47.64    -6.91    45.82     5.73   -35.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.07R    8.37  
Maidstone_United   28   26  -22      -1.10    45.70    -2.69    42.48     5.57   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.61R   19.12  
Guiseley           28   25  -13      -5.23    24.59     0.22    43.87     5.55   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   11.20  
Woking             27   24  -14     -10.95     7.87    -9.87    47.49     6.09   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.54R    4.78  
North_Ferriby      28   24  -28       0.20    52.96    -6.41    39.06     5.28   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.59R   44.72  
York               28   22  -21     -13.80     3.69   -16.79    44.57     5.92   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.92R   10.42