Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 9 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2017, Tottenham 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 49 +27 10.82 96.38 9.84 84.08 5.67 44.24 56.62 78.00 89.60 95.87 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 44 +25 7.42 88.41 9.51 77.27 5.86 39.36 13.43 34.06 54.71 74.08 99.35 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 42 +25 4.35 75.84 8.24 76.92 5.73 41.02 11.00 31.64 52.97 73.13 99.39 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 42 +19 2.96 67.77 -0.34 76.68 5.73 35.83 10.43 29.28 49.70 70.34 99.19 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 41 +22 2.01 61.88 3.08 75.51 5.66 38.34 7.71 23.04 42.47 64.12 98.87 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 39 +12 4.70 76.60 1.89 69.75 5.77 21.35 0.81 3.96 10.45 22.08 92.09 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 30 +5 0.35 52.30 1.97 56.84 5.88 7.99 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.35 8.40 0.00R 0.00 West_Brom 20 29 +4 3.30 70.45 7.08 51.18 5.80 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 1.38 0.15R 0.00 Bournemouth 20 25 -5 2.94 68.90 5.28 45.99 5.73 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.31R 0.08 Southampton 20 24 -6 -4.64 23.45 -7.57 50.04 5.85 -4.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.46R 0.01 Stoke 20 24 -8 0.40 53.52 -1.17 44.49 5.73 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 4.06R 0.18 Burnley 20 23 -9 0.55 54.37 -0.48 42.88 5.85 -16.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 7.43R 0.59 West_Ham 20 22 -12 -3.23 30.36 -7.28 45.24 5.95 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 3.73R 0.24 Watford 20 22 -13 0.61 55.20 -2.61 40.99 5.55 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 12.57R 1.11 Leicester 20 21 -7 -7.19 12.85 -7.53 46.01 5.88 -6.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 2.45R 0.12 Middlesbrough 20 19 -5 -3.80 27.38 1.61 39.39 5.70 -11.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.64R 2.02 Crystal_Palace 20 16 -7 -7.00 12.77 0.80 36.11 5.61 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.09R 6.13 Sunderland 20 15 -18 -4.46 22.66 -3.77 33.24 5.53 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.44R 16.33 Swansea 20 15 -22 -5.52 18.20 -9.52 32.89 5.57 -34.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.61R 18.98 Hull 20 13 -27 -3.94 25.97 -9.04 28.49 5.25 -44.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.06R 54.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2017, Birmingham 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 24 54 +25 10.42 93.63 9.23 93.80 6.56 38.92 51.41 93.23 99.91 95.46P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 25 52 +28 3.16 65.90 5.63 92.82 6.35 46.90 46.87 92.13 99.83 95.28P 0.00 0.00 Reading 24 46 +4 13.30 96.74 4.51 75.99 6.68 3.92 0.63 4.54 66.17 16.36P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 46 +2 13.49 96.74 4.72 72.97 6.50 -0.68 0.22 1.75 48.33 9.84P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 25 45 +10 9.37 90.06 7.71 73.69 6.45 9.99 0.27 2.26 55.09 13.69P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 42 +4 4.90 75.23 -0.40 73.57 6.50 8.31 0.20 2.09 53.74 16.07P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 25 40 +6 -0.14 49.11 -2.61 73.67 6.43 13.26 0.22 2.04 56.41 20.11P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 25 38 +6 5.13 75.33 8.45 64.78 6.66 2.28 0.01 0.13 12.48 2.61P 0.41R 0.00 Norwich 25 37 +4 -2.41 37.66 -3.80 71.31 6.79 12.48 0.13 1.27 42.93 14.52P 0.03R 0.00 Fulham 24 36 +11 1.52 58.55 8.70 67.70 6.87 12.91 0.04 0.35 24.92 6.21P 0.11R 0.00 Preston 25 36 +1 2.00 61.15 1.14 64.07 6.41 0.22 0.01 0.06 9.34 2.18P 0.39R 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 35 +2 -0.33 48.82 -0.08 64.84 6.54 3.78 0.00 0.09 12.14 3.24P 0.29R 0.00 Birmingham 25 35 -5 2.52 64.27 -2.41 61.90 6.42 -7.64 0.00 0.03 4.81 0.94P 1.13R 0.01 Brentford 25 33 +1 -2.67 36.23 -0.88 63.50 6.61 3.63 0.00 0.03 8.87 2.34P 0.66R 0.00 Ipswich 25 31 -4 -3.16 33.47 -4.23 58.77 6.45 -5.22 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.48P 3.15R 0.03 Wolverhampton 25 29 -2 -4.89 25.48 -1.43 57.71 6.55 -2.15 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.37P 4.57R 0.04 QPR 25 29 -12 -2.58 36.64 -8.18 55.28 6.34 -15.69 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.10P 9.62R 0.13 Bristol_City 25 27 -2 -4.33 28.23 2.79 53.96 6.41 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 12.14R 0.24 Cardiff 24 27 -11 -3.40 32.09 -7.12 54.31 6.66 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.08P 13.65R 0.28 Nott'm_Forest 25 26 -8 -5.33 23.17 -3.06 53.44 6.56 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 15.31R 0.37 Burton_Albion 25 25 -8 -2.03 40.07 1.94 47.28 6.21 -17.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 48.06R 1.94 Blackburn 25 24 -11 -7.15 15.95 -6.54 50.54 6.44 -14.34 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 28.08R 0.88 Wigan 25 19 -11 -10.60 6.62 -4.86 44.63 6.42 -15.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.12R 5.44 Rotherham 25 13 -30 -9.15 7.79 -9.20 31.24 5.93 -48.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.28R 90.63League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Bradford 2 0 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 26 56 +24 10.61 92.79 8.95 89.91 6.34 33.72 50.44 77.07 99.49 83.64P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 26 52 +26 7.00 82.58 11.61 85.93 6.36 35.87 25.00 55.59 97.94 67.75P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 25 50 +17 8.04 86.23 5.86 85.19 6.50 26.70 19.89 46.78 96.69 61.33P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 26 45 +12 3.56 68.68 3.45 75.39 6.25 16.46 1.22 5.40 65.89 21.38P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 25 45 +10 6.36 80.72 3.39 76.88 6.63 14.60 2.25 8.90 72.13 22.62P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 40 +8 4.03 71.03 5.42 68.95 6.48 8.40 0.12 0.76 26.58 5.93P 0.02R 0.00 Southend 26 39 +4 3.81 69.95 4.71 65.72 6.28 2.91 0.01 0.12 12.53 2.34P 0.25R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 26 39 +1 5.23 75.18 4.63 63.80 6.38 -3.68 0.01 0.09 7.86 1.25P 0.62R 0.01 Peterborough 24 38 +12 -0.28 48.34 3.71 72.82 6.85 19.00 0.72 3.38 51.45 15.70P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 25 38 +2 -1.06 44.30 -5.17 70.79 6.58 8.17 0.27 1.39 36.75 10.00P 0.02R 0.00 Charlton 25 35 +7 -3.05 34.17 1.27 66.95 6.65 11.70 0.07 0.44 19.73 5.59P 0.18R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 34 +1 0.94 55.64 2.65 61.17 6.51 -1.11 0.00 0.03 4.18 0.76P 1.77R 0.07 AFC_Wimbledon 25 33 +4 2.48 63.80 9.70 59.01 6.50 -0.36 0.00 0.01 2.18 0.38P 3.59R 0.15 Walsall 25 31 -7 -3.56 31.80 -7.60 60.74 6.40 -5.45 0.00 0.01 2.98 0.64P 2.40R 0.09 Port_Vale 25 31 -10 0.12 51.44 -4.82 56.16 6.36 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.09P 10.03R 0.55 Northampton 26 30 -6 -0.55 47.97 2.46 54.93 6.37 -10.36 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.04P 12.95R 1.05 Gillingham 25 30 -8 -3.43 32.42 -6.33 58.69 6.58 -8.41 0.00 0.01 1.80 0.36P 5.14R 0.30 MK_Dons 25 28 -5 -6.95 17.64 -5.96 56.21 6.60 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.17P 9.20R 0.60 Swindon 26 26 -14 -6.20 20.02 -8.41 50.49 6.23 -18.49 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 33.81R 4.45 Shrewsbury 26 22 -15 -6.32 18.69 -3.57 44.77 6.11 -22.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.19R 20.17 Bury 26 22 -16 -5.59 22.17 -1.76 45.06 6.29 -23.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.04R 19.75 Chesterfield 26 22 -18 -7.17 16.07 -7.87 45.82 6.17 -24.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 63.50R 16.32 Coventry 25 21 -14 -10.78 5.92 -10.44 48.52 6.42 -15.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.27R 7.99 Oldham 24 19 -15 -6.94 14.49 -5.87 43.27 6.30 -22.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.99R 28.51League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Colchester 4 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 25 52 +17 6.83 81.67 0.09 90.27 6.70 31.70 62.73 92.27 99.54 94.29P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 24 48 +12 7.60 85.48 1.02 84.73 6.76 21.75 22.70 73.09 96.98 79.55P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 25 46 +11 8.35 86.39 6.12 78.20 6.75 16.21 5.15 35.98 82.75 45.50P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 42 +13 0.63 53.33 2.45 78.28 6.57 24.05 4.79 38.17 85.09 52.26P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 24 41 +6 5.44 77.69 1.90 73.25 6.76 9.26 1.09 13.43 58.33 23.82P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 25 39 +10 -0.77 45.88 1.71 72.41 6.86 17.00 1.11 12.28 56.27 23.83P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 25 39 +2 5.43 76.75 3.20 67.82 6.69 1.81 0.15 3.03 27.64 7.68P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 24 38 +12 1.15 56.17 6.15 72.42 6.78 18.29 1.01 12.10 56.28 23.62P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 38 +9 2.00 60.76 4.41 70.36 6.90 12.27 0.54 7.54 42.99 15.64P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 25 36 +5 2.74 64.57 6.35 63.71 6.66 3.62 0.04 0.92 12.29 3.22P 0.10R 0.02 Blackpool 24 34 +11 -6.13 20.46 0.46 70.97 6.89 21.07 0.64 9.23 49.26 22.39P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 24 33 +6 -1.19 44.02 4.06 64.63 6.86 8.17 0.06 1.41 16.75 4.86P 0.09R 0.02 Stevenage 25 33 -2 0.21 51.62 0.57 60.56 6.61 -4.06 0.01 0.23 5.42 1.27P 0.49R 0.06 Mansfield 25 33 -3 0.70 54.14 -0.52 59.97 6.50 -5.36 0.00 0.15 4.09 0.88P 0.57R 0.10 Crawley_Town 24 32 -8 4.55 74.47 0.51 57.23 6.67 -15.69 0.00 0.07 2.06 0.33P 2.17R 0.44 Yeovil 24 30 -3 -0.41 48.34 0.08 57.14 6.57 -6.83 0.00 0.04 1.74 0.34P 1.91R 0.37 Morecambe 24 30 -11 2.52 64.42 -1.71 54.60 6.69 -20.72 0.00 0.03 0.82 0.14P 5.34R 1.45 Crewe 25 28 -10 -3.42 32.78 -6.02 54.07 6.53 -13.98 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.12P 5.43R 1.39 Hartlepool 25 27 -10 0.00 51.13 1.61 49.33 6.35 -20.28 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 18.01R 6.12 Accrington_Stanley 24 25 -8 -7.44 15.26 -7.42 54.15 6.76 -9.39 0.00 0.02 0.74 0.18P 5.28R 1.45 Leyton_Orient 25 25 -10 -8.43 12.83 -8.72 52.72 6.59 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.07P 7.84R 2.23 Notts_County 25 22 -20 -4.13 28.92 -6.62 43.61 6.30 -31.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.61R 27.14 Cheltenham 24 21 -13 -7.18 16.04 -6.19 46.93 6.71 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 30.18R 12.69 Newport_County 24 17 -16 -7.84 12.64 -3.49 40.54 6.50 -26.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.95R 46.52National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2017, Aldershot 2 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 26 55 +29 10.10 91.30 14.42 89.30 6.49 39.70 38.58 94.08 51.25P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.03 78.79 1.38 87.45 6.01 28.16 22.30 90.85 42.35P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 52 +24 1.94 59.32 3.65 86.85 5.99 37.98 22.59 90.65 43.28P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 52 +16 1.86 58.63 -1.79 83.38 5.95 26.63 8.67 76.27 27.33P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 27 49 +16 3.16 65.64 2.06 80.84 6.23 25.26 4.47 61.42 16.85P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 25 46 +17 8.26 87.03 12.03 78.38 6.69 22.44 2.83 44.45 9.84P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 28 45 +8 6.10 78.61 7.23 70.11 5.95 8.71 0.04 6.09 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 42 +16 -1.25 43.75 8.98 69.52 5.96 20.42 0.02 6.30 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Chester 28 42 +10 0.96 55.00 6.12 66.56 5.98 9.32 0.01 2.26 0.35P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 28 41 +5 3.58 68.58 5.76 65.36 5.79 4.89 0.00 1.09 0.19P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 40 +10 0.58 53.29 2.27 73.56 6.51 16.97 0.40 19.06 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 39 +7 -1.69 40.98 -0.66 69.65 6.46 11.63 0.09 7.18 1.56P 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 28 38 -6 2.83 64.83 -0.57 60.64 5.76 -9.73 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.47R 0.00 Sutton_United 26 35 -4 3.80 69.81 2.87 58.51 6.25 -9.83 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.92R 0.04 Wrexham 28 35 -10 -2.93 35.63 -9.47 58.92 5.79 -11.11 0.00 0.07 0.01P 1.21R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 27 33 -7 1.82 60.33 2.95 55.73 6.20 -12.90 0.00 0.03 0.00P 5.05R 0.14 Torquay 27 30 -8 -2.84 36.01 -1.35 54.50 6.10 -10.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.84R 0.31 Braintree_Town 27 27 -18 -6.96 17.89 -13.42 52.30 6.03 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.84R 0.88 Southport 27 27 -23 -0.69 47.64 -6.91 45.82 5.73 -35.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.07R 8.37 Maidstone_United 28 26 -22 -1.10 45.70 -2.69 42.48 5.57 -35.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.61R 19.12 Guiseley 28 25 -13 -5.23 24.59 0.22 43.87 5.55 -21.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.89R 11.20 Woking 27 24 -14 -10.95 7.87 -9.87 47.49 6.09 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.54R 4.78 North_Ferriby 28 24 -28 0.20 52.96 -6.41 39.06 5.28 -41.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.59R 44.72 York 28 22 -21 -13.80 3.69 -16.79 44.57 5.92 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.92R 10.42