Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 5 January 2017 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2017, Tottenham 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 49 +27 10.86 96.53 9.98 84.02 5.71 44.06 56.85 77.92 89.35 95.57 99.95 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 44 +25 7.51 88.62 9.66 77.13 5.88 39.14 13.12 33.58 54.24 73.44 99.30 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 42 +25 4.52 76.67 8.52 76.80 5.73 40.80 10.83 31.45 52.54 72.71 99.31 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 42 +19 3.04 68.11 -0.19 76.59 5.68 35.68 10.20 28.87 49.32 70.10 99.21 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 41 +22 1.91 61.06 2.91 75.60 5.65 38.47 7.96 24.03 43.76 64.98 99.01 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 39 +12 4.64 76.38 1.75 69.82 5.76 21.46 1.04 4.15 10.72 22.83 92.20 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 30 +5 0.33 52.16 1.92 56.87 5.89 8.06 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.36 8.36 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 20 29 +4 3.31 70.91 7.07 51.21 5.72 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.37 0.11R 0.00 Bournemouth 20 25 -5 2.94 68.75 5.26 46.02 5.77 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 2.24R 0.08 Southampton 20 24 -6 -4.64 23.30 -7.61 50.02 5.86 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.47R 0.03 Stoke 20 24 -8 0.31 52.74 -1.28 44.58 5.74 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 3.84R 0.19 Burnley 20 23 -9 0.57 54.67 -0.48 42.89 5.81 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 7.29R 0.53 West_Ham 20 22 -12 -3.25 30.59 -7.31 45.24 6.01 -14.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 3.90R 0.24 Watford 20 22 -13 0.60 55.03 -2.67 41.08 5.55 -23.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.08R 1.04 Leicester 20 21 -7 -7.33 12.47 -7.66 46.04 5.91 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 2.32R 0.14 Middlesbrough 20 19 -5 -3.86 27.25 1.50 39.42 5.76 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.81R 2.20 Crystal_Palace 20 16 -7 -6.92 13.32 0.93 36.05 5.59 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 36.61R 6.24 Sunderland 20 15 -18 -4.40 23.33 -3.65 33.14 5.56 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.31R 16.85 Swansea 20 15 -22 -5.53 18.18 -9.57 32.94 5.58 -34.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.05R 18.57 Hull 20 13 -27 -3.92 26.15 -9.08 28.51 5.27 -44.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.95R 53.90Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2017, Birmingham 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 24 54 +25 10.41 93.61 9.16 93.90 6.52 39.07 51.90 93.42 99.89 95.67P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 25 52 +28 3.23 66.42 5.81 92.83 6.32 46.85 46.54 92.08 99.85 95.32P 0.00 0.00 Reading 24 46 +4 13.31 96.63 4.54 75.97 6.69 3.84 0.62 4.42 66.43 16.19P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 46 +2 13.39 96.73 4.56 73.14 6.50 -0.48 0.20 1.92 49.33 10.23P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 25 45 +10 9.50 90.53 7.88 73.56 6.51 9.81 0.23 2.17 54.01 13.39P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 42 +4 5.05 76.07 -0.21 73.56 6.45 8.26 0.20 2.02 54.17 15.98P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 25 40 +6 -0.17 48.96 -2.63 73.67 6.37 13.25 0.17 1.96 56.57 20.08P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 25 38 +6 5.11 75.30 8.41 64.74 6.67 2.25 0.01 0.11 12.28 2.56P 0.39R 0.00 Norwich 25 37 +4 -2.44 37.54 -3.86 71.31 6.74 12.53 0.10 1.27 42.75 14.34P 0.02R 0.00 Fulham 24 36 +11 1.61 58.93 8.88 67.61 6.95 12.73 0.02 0.41 24.65 6.22P 0.13R 0.00 Preston 25 36 +1 1.82 60.08 0.91 64.17 6.43 0.38 0.00 0.06 9.72 2.29P 0.31R 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 35 +2 -0.13 49.48 0.20 64.69 6.55 3.59 0.01 0.08 11.30 3.00P 0.34R 0.00 Birmingham 25 35 -5 2.40 63.48 -2.58 61.93 6.44 -7.57 0.00 0.02 4.87 1.07P 1.13R 0.01 Brentford 25 33 +1 -2.69 36.10 -0.92 63.49 6.63 3.63 0.00 0.05 9.08 2.43P 0.61R 0.00 Ipswich 25 31 -4 -3.13 33.52 -4.17 58.73 6.42 -5.28 0.00 0.00 1.90 0.45P 3.31R 0.03 Wolverhampton 25 29 -2 -4.87 25.41 -1.44 57.80 6.53 -2.01 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.40P 4.27R 0.06 QPR 25 29 -12 -2.63 36.54 -8.26 55.27 6.36 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.12P 9.86R 0.13 Bristol_City 25 27 -2 -4.23 28.68 2.93 53.91 6.40 -5.18 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.07P 12.44R 0.27 Cardiff 24 27 -11 -3.52 31.44 -7.32 54.34 6.63 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.11P 13.32R 0.29 Nott'm_Forest 25 26 -8 -5.31 23.74 -3.04 53.39 6.54 -10.17 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.07P 15.45R 0.34 Burton_Albion 25 25 -8 -1.97 40.13 2.01 47.26 6.22 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 48.39R 1.83 Blackburn 25 24 -11 -7.40 15.06 -6.91 50.72 6.43 -14.06 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 27.20R 0.75 Wigan 25 19 -11 -10.50 6.92 -4.73 44.54 6.40 -15.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.58R 5.52 Rotherham 25 13 -30 -9.14 7.63 -9.21 31.17 5.95 -48.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.25R 90.77League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2017, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Sheff_Utd 25 53 +22 9.70 91.21 8.11 87.83 6.59 31.04 41.56 68.69 98.62 77.11P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 25 50 +17 7.98 85.78 5.79 85.23 6.53 26.73 24.73 52.15 96.65 65.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 25 49 +25 6.24 80.35 12.15 85.26 6.48 36.45 27.52 55.46 97.39 68.12P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 25 45 +10 6.34 80.31 3.40 76.86 6.61 14.56 3.12 10.43 72.74 23.99P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 25 42 +10 3.09 66.68 3.06 74.15 6.43 15.01 1.30 5.07 59.15 18.88P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 40 +8 4.14 71.47 5.49 68.88 6.45 8.29 0.17 0.95 26.97 6.16P 0.04R 0.00 Southend 25 39 +6 4.50 73.23 5.62 67.42 6.45 5.51 0.08 0.49 19.75 4.06P 0.14R 0.00 Peterborough 24 38 +12 -0.27 48.56 3.69 72.94 6.85 19.22 1.09 4.36 53.24 16.82P 0.01R 0.00 Millwall 25 38 +2 -1.09 44.08 -5.26 70.80 6.58 8.17 0.32 1.77 37.45 10.80P 0.04R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 36 -4 5.56 77.52 2.73 61.24 6.59 -10.16 0.01 0.05 4.23 0.72P 2.57R 0.06 Charlton 25 35 +7 -2.92 34.92 1.45 66.69 6.60 11.33 0.10 0.49 19.11 5.31P 0.25R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 34 +1 0.88 55.31 2.57 61.12 6.49 -1.15 0.01 0.04 4.16 0.87P 2.03R 0.06 AFC_Wimbledon 25 33 +4 2.48 63.87 9.76 58.95 6.49 -0.38 0.00 0.02 2.34 0.43P 4.12R 0.16 Walsall 25 31 -7 -3.56 31.33 -7.66 60.79 6.41 -5.38 0.00 0.01 3.37 0.76P 2.68R 0.07 Port_Vale 25 31 -10 0.26 51.98 -4.68 56.16 6.34 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.11P 10.95R 0.58 Northampton 25 30 -1 -1.19 44.54 4.03 57.32 6.64 -3.64 0.00 0.01 1.32 0.25P 7.85R 0.45 Gillingham 25 30 -8 -3.47 32.20 -6.37 58.69 6.57 -8.37 0.00 0.01 1.86 0.39P 5.64R 0.33 MK_Dons 25 28 -5 -7.04 17.31 -6.10 56.19 6.62 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.20P 10.49R 0.64 Swindon 25 25 -14 -5.64 21.99 -8.14 51.49 6.44 -17.54 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 30.88R 3.93 Bury 25 22 -15 -4.84 25.18 -2.10 45.46 6.38 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.17R 19.39 Chesterfield 25 22 -16 -6.78 17.46 -7.40 46.87 6.31 -22.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 59.08R 13.80 Coventry 25 21 -14 -10.73 6.21 -10.39 48.49 6.48 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 47.02R 8.82 Shrewsbury 25 21 -15 -6.17 18.95 -3.89 44.62 6.33 -23.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.35R 22.56 Oldham 24 19 -15 -6.91 14.60 -5.83 43.29 6.31 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.69R 29.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 5 January 2017, Doncaster 3 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 25 52 +17 6.78 81.48 0.08 90.29 6.73 31.70 61.11 92.22 99.64 94.38P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 24 48 +12 7.66 85.50 1.13 84.63 6.72 21.55 21.47 72.05 97.28 78.74P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 24 46 +14 8.64 87.75 7.36 80.18 6.97 20.07 9.02 47.33 89.81 56.44P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 42 +13 0.67 53.18 2.46 78.20 6.59 23.95 4.56 36.41 86.42 51.50P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 24 41 +6 5.56 78.22 2.04 73.22 6.80 9.19 1.12 13.05 60.80 23.61P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 24 38 +12 1.20 56.66 6.21 72.34 6.76 18.21 0.90 11.41 58.91 23.34P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 38 +9 1.84 60.20 4.19 70.54 6.85 12.60 0.51 7.46 46.85 16.66P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 24 36 +7 -1.38 42.77 0.30 70.17 7.06 12.99 0.55 7.46 45.50 17.08P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 24 36 +0 4.42 73.09 2.21 65.46 6.91 -1.30 0.05 1.61 19.65 5.01P 0.10R 0.02 Blackpool 24 34 +11 -5.99 20.99 0.63 70.81 6.89 20.82 0.63 8.60 51.13 22.34P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 24 33 +6 -1.20 43.79 4.12 64.60 6.86 8.11 0.06 1.37 18.08 4.96P 0.14R 0.03 Grimsby 24 33 +4 1.53 58.96 6.01 62.13 6.93 2.61 0.02 0.59 10.35 2.60P 0.44R 0.07 Crawley_Town 24 32 -8 4.62 74.88 0.60 57.17 6.64 -15.80 0.00 0.05 2.14 0.36P 2.94R 0.68 Yeovil 24 30 -3 -0.29 49.05 0.22 57.04 6.58 -6.95 0.00 0.07 2.08 0.47P 2.42R 0.57 Stevenage 24 30 -4 -0.65 47.19 -0.31 58.88 6.87 -6.11 0.00 0.17 4.15 0.95P 1.77R 0.43 Mansfield 24 30 -6 -0.02 50.70 -2.24 57.70 6.65 -9.20 0.00 0.07 2.61 0.58P 2.23R 0.54 Crewe 24 28 -7 -3.24 33.59 -4.80 56.24 6.88 -9.66 0.00 0.06 1.86 0.44P 4.07R 1.18 Hartlepool 24 27 -9 0.86 55.79 1.90 50.81 6.63 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.03P 16.42R 5.90 Morecambe 23 27 -14 1.98 62.47 -3.05 52.44 6.81 -24.53 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.06P 12.74R 4.61 Leyton_Orient 24 25 -8 -7.67 14.42 -7.67 54.83 6.78 -8.38 0.00 0.02 1.07 0.24P 5.63R 1.68 Accrington_Stanley 24 25 -8 -7.44 15.33 -7.44 54.17 6.81 -9.34 0.00 0.01 0.85 0.20P 6.75R 2.15 Notts_County 24 22 -17 -3.59 31.21 -5.15 45.46 6.56 -27.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 45.26R 22.91 Cheltenham 24 21 -13 -7.18 15.96 -6.17 46.86 6.75 -19.18 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 34.62R 15.94 Newport_County 23 17 -14 -7.08 14.60 -2.63 41.90 6.74 -24.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.44R 43.27National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2017, Dag_&_Red 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Lincoln_City 26 55 +29 10.15 91.68 14.44 89.12 6.44 39.45 41.53 94.62 53.50P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 27 53 +16 6.35 80.22 1.80 87.24 5.99 27.86 24.17 91.39 44.06P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 26 49 +20 1.76 58.56 2.01 84.85 6.20 33.21 16.36 84.69 36.42P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 27 49 +12 1.98 59.52 -3.00 81.72 6.14 22.43 6.48 68.35 23.45P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 26 48 +16 4.02 69.77 2.82 81.88 6.35 26.33 7.38 69.98 21.45P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 25 46 +17 8.18 86.49 11.87 78.43 6.63 22.48 3.40 47.97 11.47P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 27 42 +7 5.04 74.95 7.06 69.06 6.11 8.59 0.06 5.71 0.99P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 40 +10 0.47 52.50 2.10 73.70 6.49 17.18 0.49 21.72 5.44P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 27 39 +14 -2.09 39.60 8.16 67.68 6.15 18.12 0.02 4.33 0.89P 0.02R 0.00 Chester 27 39 +9 -0.45 48.12 5.49 64.63 6.23 7.86 0.01 1.66 0.25P 0.14R 0.00 Eastleigh 26 39 +7 -1.56 41.98 -0.50 69.63 6.44 11.58 0.09 8.08 1.82P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 27 38 +4 2.06 61.48 4.96 63.41 5.99 3.51 0.00 0.75 0.12P 0.19R 0.01 Bromley 27 38 -2 2.76 64.53 1.02 62.42 5.97 -5.01 0.00 0.48 0.08P 0.33R 0.00 Sutton_United 26 35 -4 3.95 70.50 3.09 58.35 6.30 -10.11 0.00 0.11 0.02P 2.57R 0.05 Solihull_Moors 26 33 -5 2.04 61.06 3.15 57.76 6.43 -9.90 0.00 0.09 0.02P 3.62R 0.10 Wrexham 27 32 -11 -4.11 29.76 -9.87 57.57 5.99 -11.76 0.00 0.03 0.00P 2.90R 0.07 Torquay 26 30 -7 -1.85 40.83 -0.97 56.15 6.27 -9.29 0.00 0.03 0.01P 5.31R 0.24 Braintree_Town 26 27 -17 -5.78 21.80 -12.64 53.84 6.22 -17.93 0.00 0.01 0.00P 10.96R 0.66 Southport 26 27 -22 0.12 51.85 -6.90 46.66 5.90 -35.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.11R 7.95 Maidstone_United 27 26 -21 -0.05 51.15 -2.13 43.61 5.80 -35.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.34R 17.06 Woking 26 24 -13 -10.08 9.12 -9.61 48.70 6.23 -18.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.63R 3.95 North_Ferriby 27 24 -24 -0.13 51.08 -5.16 40.49 5.53 -37.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.45R 35.67 Guiseley 27 22 -14 -6.42 19.20 -0.11 42.55 5.83 -22.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.77R 20.00 York 27 21 -21 -13.54 3.45 -17.12 44.08 6.07 -25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.65R 14.24