Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Hull 2 2 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          18   46  +27      11.12    97.66    10.85    84.86     6.08    45.64    59.63    80.87    91.56    96.97    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        18   40  +24       6.78    87.81     9.44    76.87     6.35    39.86    12.48    34.13    56.30    76.32    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   39  +19       3.18    70.18     0.32    77.77     6.08    38.30    14.02    38.69    61.27    80.33    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   37  +20       2.16    63.76     3.55    76.09     6.07    39.32     9.12    28.46    51.25    73.59    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   36  +20       2.84    68.34     6.24    73.38     6.24    35.29     4.37    15.74    32.96    55.84    97.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   33   +9       2.61    66.64     0.57    67.01     6.21    18.97     0.38     2.10     6.56    16.39    85.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton          19   27   +2      -0.24    48.66     0.59    54.75     6.05     4.15     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.31     8.64     0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      18   24   -2      -2.68    32.72    -4.80    53.96     6.26     1.69     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.21     7.00     0.11R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   23   +1       0.92    56.82     5.33    47.42     6.13    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.03     1.90R    0.11  
Watford          18   22   -8       1.57    61.34    -0.54    43.84     6.03   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.52R    0.59  
West_Ham         18   22   -9      -1.45    40.62    -5.73    47.84     6.43   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.11     2.30R    0.13  
Bournemouth      18   21   -8       1.90    63.85     2.62    42.95     6.10   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     9.92R    1.19  
Stoke            18   21   -8      -0.06    50.71    -1.78    43.44     6.09   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     8.12R    0.72  
Burnley          18   20  -11       0.76    56.50    -2.12    40.96     6.08   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    17.14R    2.29  
Middlesbrough    18   18   -4      -2.89    31.68     1.57    40.47     6.12   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    16.89R    2.23  
Leicester        18   17   -8      -8.07     8.64    -7.82    45.06     6.35    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     5.25R    0.50  
Crystal_Palace   18   16   -4      -5.23    19.53     1.89    38.80     6.03   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.29R    4.03  
Sunderland       18   14  -15      -3.84    25.01    -2.91    34.41     5.95   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.66R   15.38  
Hull             19   13  -25      -3.49    28.15    -8.76    29.59     5.50   -42.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.11R   49.47  
Swansea          18   12  -20      -6.31    12.97    -8.53    32.90     6.05   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.72R   23.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Ipswich 2 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       24   52  +29       4.68    74.27     6.63    95.09     6.49    49.39    61.84    94.69    99.91    96.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        23   51  +24       9.14    91.44     8.68    92.28     6.75    38.08    36.18    88.52    99.70    92.39P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         23   43   +3      11.87    95.37     3.78    73.89     6.86     2.15     0.36     2.61    54.12    12.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    24   42   +7       9.09    90.00     6.77    72.21     6.65     7.28     0.14     1.39    45.91    10.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    23   42   +1      12.48    96.31     4.23    71.79     6.91    -1.70     0.17     1.49    41.52     8.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   40   +4       5.60    79.35    -0.38    74.90     6.87     9.14     0.36     3.27    61.35    18.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           23   39   +9       0.94    55.25    -0.51    76.71     6.81    18.06     0.80     5.83    72.46    28.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          23   36  +12       2.51    63.96     9.17    69.07     7.03    13.93     0.07     0.83    31.54     7.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   35   +3       0.57    53.57     0.33    66.42     6.83     5.06     0.01     0.24    17.90     4.85P    0.19R    0.00  
Barnsley        23   34   +5       4.11    72.05     7.80    63.34     7.14     0.86     0.00     0.12    10.19     2.20P    1.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   -3       3.62    70.30    -1.43    63.97     6.82    -5.12     0.01     0.08     9.85     1.94P    0.64R    0.00  
Norwich         23   33   +1      -2.61    36.01    -5.17    69.23     7.22     8.20     0.07     0.82    31.90    10.09P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston         23   32   +0       0.99    56.26     0.57    62.66     6.82    -1.01     0.00     0.04     7.62     1.71P    1.04R    0.02  
Ipswich         24   31   -3      -2.10    38.86    -3.64    60.18     6.64    -4.12     0.00     0.02     3.48     0.82P    2.18R    0.02  
Brentford       23   29   -1      -3.37    31.94    -1.93    61.68     7.05     0.74     0.00     0.04     6.61     1.60P    1.65R    0.03  
Wolverhampton   23   28   -1      -3.50    31.34    -0.90    59.79     6.89    -0.64     0.00     0.01     3.79     0.95P    2.68R    0.05  
Bristol_City    24   27   -1      -3.02    34.07     3.60    55.70     6.67    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.20P    8.07R    0.19  
Nott'm_Forest   24   26   -7      -4.14    28.36    -2.26    55.41     6.75    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.17P    9.47R    0.27  
Burton_Albion   24   25   -7      -1.12    44.88     2.39    48.98     6.44   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    35.73R    1.72  
Cardiff         23   24  -12      -4.82    24.43    -7.74    52.46     6.80   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   20.04R    0.90  
QPR             23   23  -14      -5.50    21.76    -9.67    51.18     6.72   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   25.61R    1.23  
Blackburn       23   20  -12      -8.66    10.03    -7.79    48.11     6.81   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.16R    3.04  
Wigan           23   18  -10      -9.51     8.14    -4.53    46.14     6.84   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.79R    5.26  
Rotherham       24   13  -27      -8.88     8.13    -8.03    32.37     6.16   -45.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   87.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, MK_Dons 3 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       23   48  +26       7.76    86.79    12.78    87.59     6.90    38.44    44.40    70.81    98.42    78.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        23   47  +19       7.79    87.07     7.14    85.35     6.98    29.25    28.11    56.60    96.39    67.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           23   46  +16       7.43    85.41     5.81    83.97     6.91    25.70    21.19    46.89    94.76    60.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         24   42   +8       5.29    76.79     2.28    74.35     6.78    11.21     1.64     6.59    59.60    17.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         23   38   +9       2.34    63.48     2.86    73.76     6.84    15.38     1.49     5.92    57.85    19.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         23   37   +6       5.12    77.16     5.54    68.24     6.96     5.53     0.27     1.24    25.94     5.93P    0.23R    0.01  
Millwall         24   37   +2      -0.63    46.59    -5.12    71.23     6.84     8.26     0.62     2.83    41.56    12.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36  +12       0.52    52.68     3.70    73.98     7.19    19.66     2.05     7.54    59.84    21.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   23   34   +6       1.72    60.02     4.75    65.82     6.80     6.48     0.08     0.57    16.57     3.93P    0.55R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   23   33   -3       4.74    75.03     2.81    60.93     7.03    -9.27     0.01     0.11     5.16     0.88P    4.54R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon    23   32   +6       3.48    69.19    10.59    60.83     6.94     1.70     0.01     0.10     5.45     0.93P    3.68R    0.14  
Charlton         23   31   +4      -2.82    34.86     0.49    65.07     7.02     7.89     0.07     0.45    15.39     4.12P    1.01R    0.02  
Northampton      23   30   +1       0.56    53.77     4.49    59.71     7.01    -2.32     0.01     0.07     4.02     0.81P    5.74R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd       23   30   +0      -0.34    48.49     1.77    59.52     6.97    -2.86     0.00     0.05     3.65     0.72P    5.87R    0.30  
Walsall          23   30   -5      -2.38    37.06    -6.34    63.16     6.87    -2.43     0.03     0.18     8.38     2.03P    1.97R    0.07  
Gillingham       24   30   -7      -2.27    38.07    -5.62    60.90     6.79    -6.07     0.00     0.04     4.52     0.92P    3.95R    0.22  
Port_Vale        24   30  -10       0.43    53.11    -4.80    56.30     6.54   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P   13.46R    1.00  
MK_Dons          24   27   -5      -6.91    17.21    -6.41    56.56     6.85    -5.93     0.00     0.01     1.41     0.36P   12.20R    1.00  
Swindon          24   24  -14      -5.20    23.28    -7.89    52.15     6.68   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   31.17R    4.37  
Bury             23   21  -13      -4.21    27.36    -1.80    46.31     6.76   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.95R   20.05  
Shrewsbury       24   21  -14      -5.16    23.05    -3.34    46.20     6.54   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   65.77R   19.27  
Chesterfield     24   21  -16      -6.51    17.87    -7.39    47.55     6.57   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   58.62R   14.28  
Coventry         23   19  -14     -10.42     5.88   -11.06    48.22     6.80   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.07R   12.26  
Oldham           22   18  -14      -5.62    18.77    -5.22    44.69     6.70   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.11R   26.44  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Cheltenham 0 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            22   45  +14       5.55    78.25    -0.46    88.22     7.35    29.93    46.97    84.75    98.87    88.93P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             22   45  +11       8.18    88.25     1.23    85.50     7.22    22.24    28.18    73.99    97.55    80.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   43  +15       8.59    88.87     8.65    81.17     7.38    22.99    13.09    52.73    92.31    61.44P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           23   39  +14      -0.04    49.45     2.90    78.26     7.02    25.45     6.46    37.03    87.38    52.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   38   +5       4.23    72.82     1.53    71.94     6.95     8.71     0.91     9.63    57.21    20.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                22   35  +11       1.29    57.29     5.79    71.87     7.21    16.89     1.18    11.32    59.23    23.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        22   34   +5       2.12    62.41     2.46    68.69     7.28     7.70     0.40     5.06    39.78    12.64P    0.06R    0.02  
Blackpool            22   33  +12      -4.36    26.75     1.37    74.15     7.32    24.20     2.45    19.00    71.62    36.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               22   33   +1       3.51    69.79     2.20    64.79     7.26    -0.90     0.10     1.73    20.76     5.21P    0.37R    0.08  
Colchester           22   30   +3      -3.02    33.77    -1.18    66.30     7.49     8.01     0.21     3.01    29.15     9.46P    0.25R    0.05  
Stevenage            22   30   -1       1.05    56.44     1.00    61.41     7.28    -3.54     0.02     0.57    10.75     2.39P    1.33R    0.41  
Yeovil               23   30   -1       0.62    54.20     1.61    59.10     6.87    -3.98     0.01     0.17     5.28     1.13P    1.98R    0.55  
Grimsby              22   29   +2       0.60    53.89     4.50    59.32     7.29    -1.70     0.01     0.34     6.85     1.50P    2.54R    0.82  
Crawley_Town         22   29   -8       4.07    73.16     0.24    55.85     6.97   -17.54     0.00     0.06     2.17     0.36P    6.84R    2.46  
Exeter               22   27   -1      -2.12    38.27     0.51    59.53     7.24    -1.58     0.01     0.26     6.92     1.62P    2.38R    0.73  
Crewe                22   27   -6      -2.00    39.33    -4.37    58.61     7.38    -7.86     0.00     0.18     5.57     1.41P    3.53R    1.25  
Mansfield            22   26   -7      -1.56    41.68    -3.56    55.08     7.03   -12.28     0.00     0.04     1.74     0.39P    8.04R    2.98  
Hartlepool           23   26   -9       1.04    57.12     1.46    50.86     6.75   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   21.00R    8.98  
Morecambe            22   26  -14       2.18    63.55    -3.14    52.62     7.13   -24.98     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.12P   16.48R    7.31  
Leyton_Orient        22   24   -4      -7.03    15.60    -5.28    57.49     7.21    -3.01     0.00     0.11     4.11     1.02P    4.21R    1.39  
Notts_County         22   22  -12      -2.73    35.32    -3.39    48.47     7.03   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   33.38R   17.41  
Accrington_Stanley   22   21   -9      -8.28    11.36    -7.80    53.09     7.21   -10.08     0.00     0.02     1.08     0.23P   13.07R    5.57  
Cheltenham           23   21  -11      -6.49    18.16    -5.19    48.25     6.96   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   33.07R   16.99  
Newport_County       21   17  -10      -5.87    18.33    -1.08    45.03     7.19   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   51.46R   33.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Eastleigh 2 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere           26   53  +18       6.94    82.89     2.86    89.06     6.11    30.54    33.26    95.31    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       25   52  +27       9.50    90.86    13.94    88.53     6.63    39.06    33.77    93.96    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   48  +20       2.59    63.47     3.03    86.04     6.34    34.36    19.44    89.50    40.68P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             24   46  +20       8.65    88.67    13.41    80.27     6.78    26.18     5.14    62.37    15.59P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          26   46   +9       1.92    59.65    -3.72    79.95     6.32    19.15     3.46    59.37    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     25   45  +13       3.35    67.14     1.41    80.32     6.62    23.38     4.57    62.86    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chester            26   39  +12       0.11    50.70     7.13    67.38     6.35    13.10     0.02     5.15     0.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   39   +6       3.91    70.79     6.79    66.98     6.28     6.90     0.01     3.79     0.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   38   +5       3.13    67.14     5.58    65.18     6.19     5.09     0.01     1.98     0.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Bromley            26   38   +0       3.47    67.83     1.91    64.12     6.21    -2.40     0.01     1.35     0.22P    0.21R    0.00  
Macclesfield       24   37   +8      -0.35    48.10     1.27    71.49     6.63    14.38     0.24    15.12     3.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          26   36  +11      -2.78    35.71     6.57    65.78     6.34    14.62     0.00     3.21     0.66P    0.11R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   +6      -2.94    34.33    -1.13    67.62     6.64    10.11     0.07     5.72     1.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Sutton_United      25   32   -6       3.21    67.64     2.48    56.20     6.46   -12.88     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.63R    0.22  
Wrexham            26   32  -10      -3.00    34.61    -9.37    59.21     6.19   -10.25     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.17R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors     25   30   -8       1.66    59.62     2.16    54.20     6.55   -16.07     0.00     0.04     0.00P   11.80R    0.52  
Torquay            25   29   -7      -1.90    40.01    -2.07    55.48     6.35   -10.66     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.57R    0.28  
Braintree_Town     25   27  -14      -5.56    22.48   -11.49    55.08     6.38   -15.04     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.88R    0.33  
Maidstone_United   26   26  -18       0.15    52.31    -1.47    45.08     6.05   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.58R    9.87  
Woking             25   24  -12      -8.87    11.47    -8.97    50.52     6.43   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00P   25.06R    1.99  
Southport          25   24  -23      -1.30    43.75    -7.72    44.41     6.07   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.39R   13.31  
Guiseley           26   22  -12      -5.99    20.35     0.08    43.41     5.95   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.29R   13.88  
York               26   21  -20     -12.52     4.48   -16.70    46.69     6.32   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.28R    6.55  
North_Ferriby      26   21  -25      -1.72    41.40    -5.98    37.96     5.69   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   53.02