Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 30 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Hull 2 2 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 18 46 +27 11.12 97.66 10.85 84.86 6.08 45.64 59.63 80.87 91.56 96.97 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 40 +24 6.78 87.81 9.44 76.87 6.35 39.86 12.48 34.13 56.30 76.32 99.20 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 39 +19 3.18 70.18 0.32 77.77 6.08 38.30 14.02 38.69 61.27 80.33 99.50 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 37 +20 2.16 63.76 3.55 76.09 6.07 39.32 9.12 28.46 51.25 73.59 99.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 36 +20 2.84 68.34 6.24 73.38 6.24 35.29 4.37 15.74 32.96 55.84 97.67 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 33 +9 2.61 66.64 0.57 67.01 6.21 18.97 0.38 2.10 6.56 16.39 85.55 0.00 0.00 Everton 19 27 +2 -0.24 48.66 0.59 54.75 6.05 4.15 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.31 8.64 0.07R 0.00 Southampton 18 24 -2 -2.68 32.72 -4.80 53.96 6.26 1.69 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.21 7.00 0.11R 0.00 West_Brom 18 23 +1 0.92 56.82 5.33 47.42 6.13 -3.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.03 1.90R 0.11 Watford 18 22 -8 1.57 61.34 -0.54 43.84 6.03 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 7.52R 0.59 West_Ham 18 22 -9 -1.45 40.62 -5.73 47.84 6.43 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.11 2.30R 0.13 Bournemouth 18 21 -8 1.90 63.85 2.62 42.95 6.10 -18.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 9.92R 1.19 Stoke 18 21 -8 -0.06 50.71 -1.78 43.44 6.09 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 8.12R 0.72 Burnley 18 20 -11 0.76 56.50 -2.12 40.96 6.08 -21.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 17.14R 2.29 Middlesbrough 18 18 -4 -2.89 31.68 1.57 40.47 6.12 -11.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 16.89R 2.23 Leicester 18 17 -8 -8.07 8.64 -7.82 45.06 6.35 -7.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 5.25R 0.50 Crystal_Palace 18 16 -4 -5.23 19.53 1.89 38.80 6.03 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 24.29R 4.03 Sunderland 18 14 -15 -3.84 25.01 -2.91 34.41 5.95 -26.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.66R 15.38 Hull 19 13 -25 -3.49 28.15 -8.76 29.59 5.50 -42.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.11R 49.47 Swansea 18 12 -20 -6.31 12.97 -8.53 32.90 6.05 -32.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.72R 23.37Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Ipswich 2 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 24 52 +29 4.68 74.27 6.63 95.09 6.49 49.39 61.84 94.69 99.91 96.87P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 23 51 +24 9.14 91.44 8.68 92.28 6.75 38.08 36.18 88.52 99.70 92.39P 0.00 0.00 Reading 23 43 +3 11.87 95.37 3.78 73.89 6.86 2.15 0.36 2.61 54.12 12.13P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 24 42 +7 9.09 90.00 6.77 72.21 6.65 7.28 0.14 1.39 45.91 10.46P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 42 +1 12.48 96.31 4.23 71.79 6.91 -1.70 0.17 1.49 41.52 8.08P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 23 40 +4 5.60 79.35 -0.38 74.90 6.87 9.14 0.36 3.27 61.35 18.93P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 23 39 +9 0.94 55.25 -0.51 76.71 6.81 18.06 0.80 5.83 72.46 28.72P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 23 36 +12 2.51 63.96 9.17 69.07 7.03 13.93 0.07 0.83 31.54 7.79P 0.10R 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 35 +3 0.57 53.57 0.33 66.42 6.83 5.06 0.01 0.24 17.90 4.85P 0.19R 0.00 Barnsley 23 34 +5 4.11 72.05 7.80 63.34 7.14 0.86 0.00 0.12 10.19 2.20P 1.01R 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -3 3.62 70.30 -1.43 63.97 6.82 -5.12 0.01 0.08 9.85 1.94P 0.64R 0.00 Norwich 23 33 +1 -2.61 36.01 -5.17 69.23 7.22 8.20 0.07 0.82 31.90 10.09P 0.12R 0.00 Preston 23 32 +0 0.99 56.26 0.57 62.66 6.82 -1.01 0.00 0.04 7.62 1.71P 1.04R 0.02 Ipswich 24 31 -3 -2.10 38.86 -3.64 60.18 6.64 -4.12 0.00 0.02 3.48 0.82P 2.18R 0.02 Brentford 23 29 -1 -3.37 31.94 -1.93 61.68 7.05 0.74 0.00 0.04 6.61 1.60P 1.65R 0.03 Wolverhampton 23 28 -1 -3.50 31.34 -0.90 59.79 6.89 -0.64 0.00 0.01 3.79 0.95P 2.68R 0.05 Bristol_City 24 27 -1 -3.02 34.07 3.60 55.70 6.67 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.20P 8.07R 0.19 Nott'm_Forest 24 26 -7 -4.14 28.36 -2.26 55.41 6.75 -8.26 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.17P 9.47R 0.27 Burton_Albion 24 25 -7 -1.12 44.88 2.39 48.98 6.44 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 35.73R 1.72 Cardiff 23 24 -12 -4.82 24.43 -7.74 52.46 6.80 -16.54 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.06P 20.04R 0.90 QPR 23 23 -14 -5.50 21.76 -9.67 51.18 6.72 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 25.61R 1.23 Blackburn 23 20 -12 -8.66 10.03 -7.79 48.11 6.81 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 41.16R 3.04 Wigan 23 18 -10 -9.51 8.14 -4.53 46.14 6.84 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 51.79R 5.26 Rotherham 24 13 -27 -8.88 8.13 -8.03 32.37 6.16 -45.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.47R 87.25League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, MK_Dons 3 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 23 48 +26 7.76 86.79 12.78 87.59 6.90 38.44 44.40 70.81 98.42 78.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 23 47 +19 7.79 87.07 7.14 85.35 6.98 29.25 28.11 56.60 96.39 67.79P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 23 46 +16 7.43 85.41 5.81 83.97 6.91 25.70 21.19 46.89 94.76 60.98P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 24 42 +8 5.29 76.79 2.28 74.35 6.78 11.21 1.64 6.59 59.60 17.94P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 23 38 +9 2.34 63.48 2.86 73.76 6.84 15.38 1.49 5.92 57.85 19.71P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 23 37 +6 5.12 77.16 5.54 68.24 6.96 5.53 0.27 1.24 25.94 5.93P 0.23R 0.01 Millwall 24 37 +2 -0.63 46.59 -5.12 71.23 6.84 8.26 0.62 2.83 41.56 12.65P 0.07R 0.00 Peterborough 22 36 +12 0.52 52.68 3.70 73.98 7.19 19.66 2.05 7.54 59.84 21.19P 0.03R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 34 +6 1.72 60.02 4.75 65.82 6.80 6.48 0.08 0.57 16.57 3.93P 0.55R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 23 33 -3 4.74 75.03 2.81 60.93 7.03 -9.27 0.01 0.11 5.16 0.88P 4.54R 0.24 AFC_Wimbledon 23 32 +6 3.48 69.19 10.59 60.83 6.94 1.70 0.01 0.10 5.45 0.93P 3.68R 0.14 Charlton 23 31 +4 -2.82 34.86 0.49 65.07 7.02 7.89 0.07 0.45 15.39 4.12P 1.01R 0.02 Northampton 23 30 +1 0.56 53.77 4.49 59.71 7.01 -2.32 0.01 0.07 4.02 0.81P 5.74R 0.31 Oxford_Utd 23 30 +0 -0.34 48.49 1.77 59.52 6.97 -2.86 0.00 0.05 3.65 0.72P 5.87R 0.30 Walsall 23 30 -5 -2.38 37.06 -6.34 63.16 6.87 -2.43 0.03 0.18 8.38 2.03P 1.97R 0.07 Gillingham 24 30 -7 -2.27 38.07 -5.62 60.90 6.79 -6.07 0.00 0.04 4.52 0.92P 3.95R 0.22 Port_Vale 24 30 -10 0.43 53.11 -4.80 56.30 6.54 -15.95 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.14P 13.46R 1.00 MK_Dons 24 27 -5 -6.91 17.21 -6.41 56.56 6.85 -5.93 0.00 0.01 1.41 0.36P 12.20R 1.00 Swindon 24 24 -14 -5.20 23.28 -7.89 52.15 6.68 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 31.17R 4.37 Bury 23 21 -13 -4.21 27.36 -1.80 46.31 6.76 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 64.95R 20.05 Shrewsbury 24 21 -14 -5.16 23.05 -3.34 46.20 6.54 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 65.77R 19.27 Chesterfield 24 21 -16 -6.51 17.87 -7.39 47.55 6.57 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 58.62R 14.28 Coventry 23 19 -14 -10.42 5.88 -11.06 48.22 6.80 -17.45 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 53.07R 12.26 Oldham 22 18 -14 -5.62 18.77 -5.22 44.69 6.70 -21.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 73.11R 26.44League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 December 2016, Cheltenham 0 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 22 45 +14 5.55 78.25 -0.46 88.22 7.35 29.93 46.97 84.75 98.87 88.93P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 22 45 +11 8.18 88.25 1.23 85.50 7.22 22.24 28.18 73.99 97.55 80.11P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 43 +15 8.59 88.87 8.65 81.17 7.38 22.99 13.09 52.73 92.31 61.44P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 23 39 +14 -0.04 49.45 2.90 78.26 7.02 25.45 6.46 37.03 87.38 52.24P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 23 38 +5 4.23 72.82 1.53 71.94 6.95 8.71 0.91 9.63 57.21 20.53P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 22 35 +11 1.29 57.29 5.79 71.87 7.21 16.89 1.18 11.32 59.23 23.08P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 22 34 +5 2.12 62.41 2.46 68.69 7.28 7.70 0.40 5.06 39.78 12.64P 0.06R 0.02 Blackpool 22 33 +12 -4.36 26.75 1.37 74.15 7.32 24.20 2.45 19.00 71.62 36.07P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 22 33 +1 3.51 69.79 2.20 64.79 7.26 -0.90 0.10 1.73 20.76 5.21P 0.37R 0.08 Colchester 22 30 +3 -3.02 33.77 -1.18 66.30 7.49 8.01 0.21 3.01 29.15 9.46P 0.25R 0.05 Stevenage 22 30 -1 1.05 56.44 1.00 61.41 7.28 -3.54 0.02 0.57 10.75 2.39P 1.33R 0.41 Yeovil 23 30 -1 0.62 54.20 1.61 59.10 6.87 -3.98 0.01 0.17 5.28 1.13P 1.98R 0.55 Grimsby 22 29 +2 0.60 53.89 4.50 59.32 7.29 -1.70 0.01 0.34 6.85 1.50P 2.54R 0.82 Crawley_Town 22 29 -8 4.07 73.16 0.24 55.85 6.97 -17.54 0.00 0.06 2.17 0.36P 6.84R 2.46 Exeter 22 27 -1 -2.12 38.27 0.51 59.53 7.24 -1.58 0.01 0.26 6.92 1.62P 2.38R 0.73 Crewe 22 27 -6 -2.00 39.33 -4.37 58.61 7.38 -7.86 0.00 0.18 5.57 1.41P 3.53R 1.25 Mansfield 22 26 -7 -1.56 41.68 -3.56 55.08 7.03 -12.28 0.00 0.04 1.74 0.39P 8.04R 2.98 Hartlepool 23 26 -9 1.04 57.12 1.46 50.86 6.75 -19.59 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.06P 21.00R 8.98 Morecambe 22 26 -14 2.18 63.55 -3.14 52.62 7.13 -24.98 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.12P 16.48R 7.31 Leyton_Orient 22 24 -4 -7.03 15.60 -5.28 57.49 7.21 -3.01 0.00 0.11 4.11 1.02P 4.21R 1.39 Notts_County 22 22 -12 -2.73 35.32 -3.39 48.47 7.03 -22.40 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 33.38R 17.41 Accrington_Stanley 22 21 -9 -8.28 11.36 -7.80 53.09 7.21 -10.08 0.00 0.02 1.08 0.23P 13.07R 5.57 Cheltenham 23 21 -11 -6.49 18.16 -5.19 48.25 6.96 -17.24 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 33.07R 16.99 Newport_County 21 17 -10 -5.87 18.33 -1.08 45.03 7.19 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 51.46R 33.01National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Eastleigh 2 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 26 53 +18 6.94 82.89 2.86 89.06 6.11 30.54 33.26 95.31 52.64P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 52 +27 9.50 90.86 13.94 88.53 6.63 39.06 33.77 93.96 48.34P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 48 +20 2.59 63.47 3.03 86.04 6.34 34.36 19.44 89.50 40.68P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 24 46 +20 8.65 88.67 13.41 80.27 6.78 26.18 5.14 62.37 15.59P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 46 +9 1.92 59.65 -3.72 79.95 6.32 19.15 3.46 59.37 17.56P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 25 45 +13 3.35 67.14 1.41 80.32 6.62 23.38 4.57 62.86 17.39P 0.00 0.00 Chester 26 39 +12 0.11 50.70 7.13 67.38 6.35 13.10 0.02 5.15 0.96P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 26 39 +6 3.91 70.79 6.79 66.98 6.28 6.90 0.01 3.79 0.63P 0.04R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 26 38 +5 3.13 67.14 5.58 65.18 6.19 5.09 0.01 1.98 0.33P 0.10R 0.00 Bromley 26 38 +0 3.47 67.83 1.91 64.12 6.21 -2.40 0.01 1.35 0.22P 0.21R 0.00 Macclesfield 24 37 +8 -0.35 48.10 1.27 71.49 6.63 14.38 0.24 15.12 3.66P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 26 36 +11 -2.78 35.71 6.57 65.78 6.34 14.62 0.00 3.21 0.66P 0.11R 0.00 Eastleigh 25 36 +6 -2.94 34.33 -1.13 67.62 6.64 10.11 0.07 5.72 1.25P 0.06R 0.00 Sutton_United 25 32 -6 3.21 67.64 2.48 56.20 6.46 -12.88 0.00 0.06 0.02P 6.63R 0.22 Wrexham 26 32 -10 -3.00 34.61 -9.37 59.21 6.19 -10.25 0.00 0.17 0.03P 2.17R 0.03 Solihull_Moors 25 30 -8 1.66 59.62 2.16 54.20 6.55 -16.07 0.00 0.04 0.00P 11.80R 0.52 Torquay 25 29 -7 -1.90 40.01 -2.07 55.48 6.35 -10.66 0.00 0.03 0.00P 7.57R 0.28 Braintree_Town 25 27 -14 -5.56 22.48 -11.49 55.08 6.38 -15.04 0.00 0.01 0.01P 8.88R 0.33 Maidstone_United 26 26 -18 0.15 52.31 -1.47 45.08 6.05 -31.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.58R 9.87 Woking 25 24 -12 -8.87 11.47 -8.97 50.52 6.43 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00P 25.06R 1.99 Southport 25 24 -23 -1.30 43.75 -7.72 44.41 6.07 -37.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.39R 13.31 Guiseley 26 22 -12 -5.99 20.35 0.08 43.41 5.95 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.29R 13.88 York 26 21 -20 -12.52 4.48 -16.70 46.69 6.32 -22.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.28R 6.55 North_Ferriby 26 21 -25 -1.72 41.40 -5.98 37.96 5.69 -39.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.78R 53.02