Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 29 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 December 2016, Southampton 1 4 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 18 46 +27 11.09 97.78 10.79 84.81 6.05 45.55 59.57 81.15 91.66 97.11 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 40 +24 6.91 88.29 9.71 76.74 6.31 39.59 12.02 33.53 55.45 76.04 99.06 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 39 +19 3.18 70.09 0.36 77.76 6.09 38.23 14.32 38.94 61.58 80.63 99.40 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 37 +20 2.18 63.72 3.60 76.07 6.07 39.33 9.29 28.25 51.43 73.68 99.04 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 36 +20 2.82 68.01 6.20 73.40 6.22 35.28 4.42 16.11 33.32 56.05 97.36 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 33 +9 2.71 67.05 0.73 66.91 6.20 18.80 0.38 1.99 6.42 15.78 83.72 0.00 0.00 Everton 18 26 +2 0.32 52.52 0.79 55.67 6.27 5.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.46 11.10 0.05R 0.00 Southampton 18 24 -2 -2.66 32.99 -4.74 53.91 6.30 1.60 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.22 7.09 0.13R 0.00 West_Brom 18 23 +1 0.94 57.10 5.36 47.41 6.10 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.85 1.91R 0.10 Watford 18 22 -8 1.61 61.71 -0.46 43.77 6.01 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 7.39R 0.60 West_Ham 18 22 -9 -1.60 39.53 -6.05 48.09 6.44 -11.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.25 2.09R 0.12 Bournemouth 18 21 -8 2.05 64.99 2.89 42.78 6.09 -18.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 10.56R 1.16 Stoke 18 21 -8 -0.25 49.25 -2.11 43.54 6.06 -16.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 7.93R 0.70 Burnley 18 20 -11 0.74 56.41 -2.17 40.95 6.10 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 17.28R 2.14 Middlesbrough 18 18 -4 -2.84 31.84 1.63 40.52 6.11 -11.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 16.81R 2.23 Leicester 18 17 -8 -8.04 8.83 -7.78 45.03 6.36 -7.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 5.34R 0.54 Crystal_Palace 18 16 -4 -5.25 19.36 1.84 38.85 6.03 -12.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 24.34R 3.76 Sunderland 18 14 -15 -3.79 25.19 -2.77 34.37 5.94 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.82R 15.18 Swansea 18 12 -20 -6.33 12.78 -8.58 32.98 6.01 -32.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.37R 22.86 Hull 18 12 -25 -3.38 28.26 -9.25 29.49 5.71 -42.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.99R 50.60Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 December 2016, Aston_Villa 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 23 51 +24 9.18 91.70 8.75 92.26 6.79 38.05 38.71 88.22 99.74 92.35P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 23 49 +27 3.84 70.32 5.96 94.40 6.73 48.87 59.10 93.19 99.85 95.88P 0.00 0.00 Reading 23 43 +3 11.85 95.45 3.74 73.89 6.88 2.17 0.35 2.91 53.88 12.45P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 24 42 +7 8.98 89.59 6.59 72.37 6.68 7.48 0.18 1.81 46.67 10.88P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 42 +1 12.42 96.31 4.13 71.79 6.95 -1.66 0.16 1.61 41.58 8.16P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 23 40 +4 5.71 79.72 -0.17 74.80 6.88 9.00 0.49 3.71 60.71 18.52P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 23 39 +9 0.85 54.98 -0.65 76.84 6.74 18.27 0.82 6.25 73.44 29.69P 0.00 0.00 Fulham 23 36 +12 2.47 63.64 9.05 69.10 7.09 13.92 0.07 0.91 31.75 7.96P 0.07R 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 35 +3 0.76 54.83 0.56 66.28 6.78 4.90 0.02 0.21 17.27 4.54P 0.21R 0.00 Barnsley 23 34 +5 4.39 73.30 8.29 63.07 7.03 0.45 0.01 0.10 9.31 1.80P 0.98R 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -3 3.62 70.21 -1.39 63.94 6.87 -5.17 0.00 0.10 9.95 2.11P 0.68R 0.01 Norwich 23 33 +1 -2.63 35.75 -5.19 69.18 7.27 8.12 0.08 0.84 31.80 9.92P 0.12R 0.00 Preston 23 32 +0 0.95 56.12 0.51 62.64 6.83 -1.02 0.01 0.06 7.49 1.75P 0.98R 0.02 Brentford 23 29 -1 -3.46 31.31 -2.07 61.76 7.05 0.87 0.00 0.05 6.79 1.66P 1.64R 0.01 Wolverhampton 23 28 -1 -3.50 31.52 -0.91 59.79 6.97 -0.65 0.00 0.02 3.93 1.01P 2.74R 0.06 Ipswich 23 28 -4 -3.20 32.52 -3.88 58.75 6.85 -4.84 0.00 0.00 2.64 0.63P 3.74R 0.08 Bristol_City 23 27 +0 -2.17 38.41 3.78 57.08 6.87 -2.46 0.00 0.01 1.56 0.29P 6.01R 0.17 Nott'm_Forest 23 26 -5 -3.63 30.41 -1.88 56.05 6.91 -7.55 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.27P 8.42R 0.25 Burton_Albion 24 25 -7 -1.12 44.53 2.44 48.94 6.47 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 36.15R 1.60 Cardiff 23 24 -12 -4.82 24.58 -7.73 52.44 6.81 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 19.94R 0.87 QPR 23 23 -14 -5.38 21.94 -9.51 51.08 6.68 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 26.41R 1.22 Blackburn 23 20 -12 -8.70 9.91 -7.86 48.14 6.79 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 41.03R 3.11 Wigan 23 18 -10 -9.46 7.92 -4.47 46.11 6.79 -14.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 52.32R 5.26 Rotherham 24 13 -27 -8.90 8.12 -8.11 32.36 6.13 -45.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.53R 87.34League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Bolton 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 23 48 +26 7.75 86.72 12.72 87.68 6.87 38.60 45.25 71.98 98.49 79.91P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 23 47 +19 7.96 87.74 7.43 85.14 7.00 28.92 27.22 55.82 96.39 66.96P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 23 46 +16 7.45 85.43 5.78 83.94 6.95 25.70 21.28 47.04 94.85 60.98P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 23 39 +7 4.25 72.54 2.16 73.59 7.01 11.56 1.59 6.11 56.40 16.99P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 23 38 +9 2.28 63.02 2.80 73.79 6.78 15.39 1.51 5.94 58.58 19.79P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 23 37 +6 5.09 77.00 5.45 68.31 6.92 5.65 0.24 1.31 27.06 6.07P 0.22R 0.00 Peterborough 22 36 +12 0.49 52.53 3.63 74.04 7.17 19.77 2.22 7.94 61.14 21.90P 0.03R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 34 +6 1.81 60.60 4.91 65.70 6.81 6.32 0.07 0.51 16.65 3.82P 0.65R 0.01 Millwall 23 34 +1 -1.75 40.28 -5.31 70.03 7.01 7.94 0.43 2.14 36.61 11.17P 0.16R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 33 -3 4.96 76.15 3.13 60.72 7.01 -9.64 0.01 0.08 5.09 0.87P 4.93R 0.28 AFC_Wimbledon 23 32 +6 3.35 68.99 10.41 60.97 6.96 1.96 0.02 0.14 6.09 1.15P 3.50R 0.13 Charlton 23 31 +4 -2.97 34.11 0.27 65.19 7.10 8.06 0.09 0.55 16.70 4.60P 0.93R 0.03 Northampton 23 30 +1 0.41 53.04 4.33 59.88 7.05 -2.06 0.02 0.08 4.45 0.93P 5.74R 0.39 Oxford_Utd 23 30 +0 0.01 50.66 2.24 59.20 6.96 -3.32 0.01 0.04 3.58 0.71P 6.42R 0.38 Walsall 23 30 -5 -2.50 36.19 -6.50 63.31 6.86 -2.22 0.03 0.21 9.02 2.24P 1.89R 0.09 Gillingham 23 30 -6 -1.38 42.45 -5.38 61.76 7.00 -5.96 0.01 0.12 6.66 1.43P 3.61R 0.20 Port_Vale 23 27 -11 -0.69 46.94 -4.94 54.78 6.76 -16.93 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.11P 20.48R 2.22 MK_Dons 23 24 -6 -8.00 13.16 -6.69 55.25 7.07 -6.35 0.00 0.01 1.13 0.28P 17.29R 2.02 Swindon 23 24 -13 -4.29 27.00 -7.66 53.04 6.86 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 28.12R 3.95 Bury 23 21 -13 -4.30 26.94 -1.97 46.42 6.78 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 65.01R 20.44 Shrewsbury 23 21 -13 -4.41 26.25 -3.37 46.83 6.72 -22.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 63.20R 18.25 Chesterfield 23 21 -15 -5.53 21.32 -6.96 48.66 6.81 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 52.33R 12.48 Coventry 23 19 -14 -10.46 6.08 -11.09 48.35 6.80 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 52.65R 12.37 Oldham 22 18 -14 -5.73 18.22 -5.40 44.83 6.69 -21.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.81R 26.77League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Cheltenham 1 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 22 45 +14 5.46 77.77 -0.54 88.30 7.46 30.06 46.90 83.96 98.91 88.23P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 22 45 +11 8.24 88.30 1.33 85.42 7.18 22.12 26.89 73.59 97.66 80.21P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 43 +15 8.56 88.58 8.60 81.22 7.41 23.06 12.99 52.35 92.51 61.46P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 22 38 +14 0.51 52.55 3.06 79.22 7.20 26.30 8.23 42.01 89.47 56.55P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 35 +11 1.20 56.95 5.60 71.96 7.23 17.05 1.11 11.19 60.42 23.39P 0.02R 0.00 Wycombe 22 35 +4 3.12 67.68 1.26 70.23 7.20 7.61 0.59 7.01 48.57 16.33P 0.03R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 22 34 +5 2.03 61.66 2.36 68.79 7.29 7.84 0.41 5.15 41.15 12.90P 0.08R 0.02 Blackpool 22 33 +12 -4.41 26.43 1.35 74.06 7.34 24.07 2.48 18.56 71.62 35.55P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 22 33 +1 3.58 69.97 2.36 64.62 7.24 -1.19 0.09 1.51 20.80 4.93P 0.39R 0.11 Colchester 22 30 +3 -2.81 35.05 -0.88 66.07 7.57 7.67 0.23 2.82 28.97 9.19P 0.28R 0.07 Stevenage 22 30 -1 0.93 55.86 0.82 61.49 7.25 -3.43 0.03 0.52 11.18 2.51P 1.27R 0.36 Grimsby 22 29 +2 0.64 54.31 4.63 59.24 7.27 -1.85 0.01 0.32 7.03 1.57P 2.41R 0.75 Yeovil 22 29 -1 0.56 53.89 1.14 59.22 7.03 -4.42 0.00 0.24 6.16 1.37P 2.22R 0.69 Crawley_Town 22 29 -8 3.99 72.72 0.13 55.95 7.04 -17.35 0.00 0.06 2.39 0.38P 6.89R 2.24 Exeter 22 27 -1 -2.18 38.13 0.41 59.59 7.21 -1.51 0.01 0.29 7.37 1.74P 2.26R 0.68 Crewe 22 27 -6 -2.00 39.40 -4.33 58.68 7.39 -7.82 0.01 0.20 5.84 1.41P 3.50R 1.21 Mansfield 22 26 -7 -1.56 41.69 -3.55 55.08 7.04 -12.32 0.00 0.04 1.88 0.38P 8.10R 3.00 Morecambe 21 26 -13 3.35 70.28 -2.59 54.20 7.29 -23.49 0.00 0.04 1.62 0.26P 12.23R 4.98 Leyton_Orient 22 24 -4 -7.03 15.54 -5.35 57.56 7.22 -2.93 0.01 0.11 4.40 1.21P 4.20R 1.39 Hartlepool 22 23 -10 -0.30 49.68 0.88 48.97 7.00 -20.96 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.03P 30.80R 15.22 Notts_County 22 22 -12 -2.82 34.64 -3.50 48.55 7.00 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 32.87R 16.74 Accrington_Stanley 22 21 -9 -8.22 11.44 -7.68 53.03 7.16 -10.22 0.00 0.03 1.11 0.26P 13.22R 5.65 Cheltenham 22 21 -10 -5.46 21.81 -4.56 49.55 7.19 -16.33 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.08P 27.06R 13.34 Newport_County 21 17 -10 -5.78 18.55 -0.93 44.88 7.17 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 52.15R 33.53National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Eastleigh 2 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 26 53 +18 6.96 83.11 2.87 89.00 6.10 30.38 33.05 95.20 52.22P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 52 +27 9.57 90.74 14.06 88.46 6.60 38.95 33.50 93.80 47.63P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 48 +20 2.64 63.68 3.09 85.99 6.36 34.26 19.88 89.23 41.23P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 24 46 +20 8.57 88.68 13.31 80.23 6.77 26.20 5.05 62.09 15.71P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 46 +9 1.69 58.48 -4.03 80.09 6.33 19.40 3.64 60.28 18.42P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 25 45 +13 3.62 68.34 1.83 80.19 6.58 23.15 4.50 61.71 16.92P 0.00 0.00 Chester 26 39 +12 0.22 51.27 7.30 67.37 6.38 13.07 0.05 5.12 0.95P 0.04R 0.00 Aldershot 26 39 +6 3.67 69.39 6.39 67.13 6.31 7.17 0.01 4.05 0.70P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 26 38 +5 3.11 66.97 5.52 65.15 6.17 5.08 0.00 2.00 0.30P 0.10R 0.00 Bromley 26 38 +0 3.48 68.04 1.98 64.11 6.19 -2.42 0.00 1.34 0.18P 0.21R 0.00 Macclesfield 24 37 +8 -0.49 47.29 1.11 71.62 6.69 14.57 0.26 15.80 3.77P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 26 36 +11 -2.72 35.79 6.62 65.75 6.37 14.59 0.01 3.26 0.64P 0.15R 0.00 Eastleigh 25 36 +6 -2.92 34.65 -1.07 67.68 6.60 10.18 0.04 5.81 1.28P 0.04R 0.00 Sutton_United 25 32 -6 3.15 67.23 2.37 56.25 6.49 -12.84 0.00 0.06 0.01P 6.49R 0.22 Wrexham 26 32 -10 -3.02 34.46 -9.38 59.21 6.21 -10.25 0.00 0.15 0.02P 2.08R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 25 30 -8 1.67 59.81 2.21 54.19 6.59 -16.13 0.00 0.04 0.01P 11.67R 0.52 Torquay 25 29 -7 -1.74 41.26 -1.81 55.46 6.36 -10.73 0.00 0.04 0.00P 7.34R 0.26 Braintree_Town 25 27 -14 -5.60 22.19 -11.58 55.21 6.38 -14.85 0.00 0.04 0.01P 8.53R 0.31 Maidstone_United 26 26 -18 -0.05 51.09 -1.80 45.16 6.01 -31.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.01R 9.37 Woking 25 24 -12 -8.88 11.67 -8.98 50.54 6.44 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.93R 1.85 Southport 25 24 -23 -1.35 43.47 -7.81 44.47 6.04 -37.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.99R 13.09 Guiseley 26 22 -12 -5.92 20.22 0.19 43.34 5.94 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.09R 14.02 York 26 21 -20 -12.22 4.81 -16.36 46.48 6.32 -23.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.43R 6.97 North_Ferriby 26 21 -25 -1.70 41.43 -6.01 37.92 5.63 -39.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.86R 53.34