Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          18   46  +27      11.17    97.92    10.88    84.74     6.08    45.51    60.95    82.74    92.73    97.59    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        18   40  +24       6.96    88.37     9.75    76.80     6.32    39.65    12.92    36.08    59.01    79.51    98.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   39  +19       3.29    71.01     0.56    77.55     6.07    37.96    14.03    39.61    63.57    82.85    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   37  +20       2.20    64.02     3.64    76.00     6.04    39.24     9.34    29.96    54.66    77.47    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   33  +17       1.97    63.31     4.56    70.84     6.47    30.68     2.38     9.29    22.47    42.65    92.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   33   +9       2.75    67.18     0.80    66.95     6.16    18.88     0.38     2.26     7.22    18.39    82.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          18   26   +2       0.29    52.11     0.75    55.65     6.32     4.98     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.62    11.62     0.06R    0.00  
Southampton      17   24   +1      -2.02    36.34    -2.86    56.14     6.45     5.95     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.87    13.34     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   23   +1       0.87    56.51     5.28    47.37     6.08    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.96     1.84R    0.08  
Watford          18   22   -8       1.66    62.02    -0.42    43.80     5.99   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.62R    0.64  
West_Ham         18   22   -9      -1.56    39.98    -5.99    48.00     6.43   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.30     2.38R    0.15  
Bournemouth      18   21   -8       1.97    64.34     2.77    42.88     6.05   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    10.20R    1.11  
Stoke            18   21   -8      -0.24    49.23    -2.08    43.57     6.05   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     7.69R    0.67  
Burnley          18   20  -11       0.66    55.63    -2.33    41.01     6.07   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    16.76R    2.21  
Middlesbrough    18   18   -4      -2.81    32.01     1.65    40.43     6.11   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    17.42R    2.22  
Leicester        18   17   -8      -8.15     8.28    -7.98    45.18     6.33    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     4.96R    0.45  
Crystal_Palace   18   16   -4      -5.19    19.40     1.87    38.80     5.95   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    24.41R    3.89  
Sunderland       18   14  -15      -3.85    25.14    -2.96    34.40     5.93   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.61R   15.33  
Swansea          18   12  -20      -6.35    12.53    -8.67    32.95     6.00   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.96R   22.91  
Hull             18   12  -25      -3.34    28.14    -9.22    29.50     5.68   -42.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.06R   50.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Brighton 3 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton        23   51  +24       9.16    91.48     8.74    92.28     6.78    38.08    39.02    88.30    99.73    92.36P    0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       23   49  +27       3.92    71.02     6.13    94.31     6.70    48.74    58.73    93.08    99.85    95.86P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         23   43   +3      11.92    95.51     3.89    73.90     6.83     2.17     0.35     2.80    53.76    12.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    23   42   +1      12.51    96.43     4.21    71.79     6.94    -1.66     0.18     1.57    41.24     8.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    23   41   +7       9.31    91.27     6.58    72.23     6.84     6.82     0.20     1.78    45.60    10.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   40   +4       5.69    79.46    -0.22    74.81     6.95     9.00     0.49     3.68    60.25    18.51P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           23   39   +9       0.79    54.29    -0.75    76.94     6.77    18.39     0.84     6.34    73.63    29.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          23   36  +12       2.50    63.72     9.12    69.04     7.12    13.85     0.05     0.84    31.18     7.77P    0.07R    0.00  
Barnsley        23   34   +5       4.11    71.97     7.83    63.29     7.09     0.81     0.01     0.12     9.82     1.97P    0.84R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   34   +3       1.15    56.96     0.64    67.11     6.99     5.51     0.03     0.35    20.88     5.59P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   -3       3.65    70.52    -1.37    63.94     6.80    -5.19     0.01     0.10     9.41     1.99P    0.61R    0.00  
Norwich         23   33   +1      -2.67    35.79    -5.21    69.15     7.20     8.11     0.08     0.90    31.40     9.83P    0.10R    0.00  
Preston         23   32   +0       1.00    56.13     0.56    62.69     6.78    -1.00     0.00     0.06     7.53     1.69P    0.85R    0.02  
Brentford       23   29   -1      -3.31    32.05    -1.84    61.59     7.02     0.59     0.00     0.03     6.21     1.58P    1.63R    0.03  
Wolverhampton   23   28   -1      -3.62    30.78    -1.08    59.91     6.91    -0.47     0.00     0.02     3.79     0.94P    2.47R    0.06  
Ipswich         23   28   -4      -3.39    31.24    -4.14    58.76     6.83    -4.81     0.00     0.01     2.51     0.62P    3.40R    0.09  
Bristol_City    23   27   +0      -2.18    38.71     3.82    56.96     6.86    -2.63     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.30P    5.53R    0.19  
Nott'm_Forest   23   26   -5      -3.70    30.20    -1.92    56.18     6.98    -7.41     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.29P    7.77R    0.36  
Cardiff         23   24  -12      -4.73    25.14    -7.63    52.38     6.82   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   18.87R    1.18  
QPR             23   23  -14      -5.32    22.42    -9.43    51.07     6.71   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   24.60R    1.74  
Burton_Albion   23   22   -8      -2.45    36.77     1.82    46.93     6.69   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   46.78R    5.38  
Blackburn       23   20  -12      -8.74     9.78    -7.90    48.17     6.82   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.13R    3.96  
Wigan           23   18  -10      -9.39     8.16    -4.35    46.10     6.76   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.34R    6.82  
Rotherham       23   13  -26      -7.74    10.95    -7.50    33.98     6.38   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.77R   80.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Bolton 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       23   48  +26       7.66    86.63    12.59    87.72     6.86    38.66    45.45    72.09    98.62    79.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        23   47  +19       7.83    87.24     7.25    85.26     6.97    29.12    27.44    56.47    96.44    67.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           23   46  +16       7.49    85.68     5.89    83.86     6.95    25.58    21.08    46.51    94.79    60.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         23   39   +7       4.29    72.54     2.22    73.48     6.98    11.43     1.50     5.94    55.59    16.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford         23   38   +9       2.30    63.40     2.80    73.81     6.78    15.41     1.43     5.95    58.96    20.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         23   37   +6       5.07    76.86     5.39    68.33     6.93     5.66     0.28     1.34    27.02     6.28P    0.21R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36  +12       0.44    52.44     3.60    73.98     7.22    19.66     2.15     7.90    60.88    21.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   23   34   +6       1.66    59.88     4.71    65.84     6.89     6.50     0.09     0.55    17.67     4.10P    0.61R    0.01  
Millwall         23   34   +1      -1.72    40.31    -5.29    70.00     7.00     7.93     0.41     2.02    36.41    10.82P    0.15R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   23   33   -3       4.95    75.96     3.16    60.67     6.97    -9.70     0.00     0.06     4.88     0.77P    4.81R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon    23   32   +6       3.39    68.99    10.46    61.00     6.96     1.92     0.02     0.13     6.01     1.14P    3.62R    0.14  
Charlton         23   31   +4      -3.02    33.66     0.23    65.26     7.09     8.16     0.08     0.54    16.81     4.65P    0.88R    0.02  
Northampton      23   30   +1       0.62    54.15     4.62    59.63     7.05    -2.42     0.01     0.08     4.09     0.76P    5.96R    0.40  
Oxford_Utd       23   30   +0      -0.21    49.43     1.94    59.34     6.94    -3.09     0.01     0.03     3.58     0.77P    6.21R    0.37  
Walsall          23   30   -5      -2.50    36.38    -6.57    63.35     6.85    -2.16     0.03     0.22     9.20     2.22P    1.86R    0.10  
Gillingham       23   30   -6      -1.45    42.26    -5.52    61.86     7.03    -5.75     0.02     0.12     6.86     1.50P    3.48R    0.17  
Port_Vale        23   27  -11      -0.72    46.67    -4.95    54.89     6.75   -16.79     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.12P   19.93R    2.03  
MK_Dons          23   24   -6      -7.85    13.39    -6.51    55.16     7.06    -6.58     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.24P   17.62R    2.01  
Swindon          23   24  -13      -4.24    27.37    -7.62    53.12     6.88   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   27.89R    3.71  
Bury             23   21  -13      -4.24    27.31    -1.87    46.38     6.75   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.26R   20.44  
Shrewsbury       23   21  -13      -4.34    26.69    -3.30    46.84     6.70   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   62.99R   17.96  
Chesterfield     23   21  -15      -5.48    21.71    -6.83    48.61     6.75   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   52.74R   12.30  
Coventry         23   19  -14     -10.43     6.04   -11.06    48.28     6.83   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   52.96R   12.86  
Oldham           22   18  -14      -5.73    18.21    -5.34    44.81     6.74   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.75R   27.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Cheltenham 1 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            22   45  +14       5.65    78.45    -0.26    88.06     7.40    29.69    45.56    83.63    98.88    88.08P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             22   45  +11       8.29    88.58     1.40    85.45     7.19    22.14    27.71    73.93    97.76    80.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             22   43  +15       8.58    88.64     8.66    81.19     7.41    23.01    13.10    52.24    92.47    61.28P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           22   38  +14       0.52    52.53     3.05    79.20     7.21    26.25     8.64    42.19    89.52    56.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   35  +11       1.34    57.70     5.80    71.92     7.23    16.96     1.15    11.29    60.04    23.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              22   35   +4       3.16    67.93     1.34    70.18     7.18     7.54     0.59     6.77    48.36    16.07P    0.03R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        22   34   +5       2.17    62.49     2.55    68.63     7.27     7.64     0.45     4.89    40.32    12.50P    0.07R    0.02  
Blackpool            22   33  +12      -4.38    26.63     1.36    74.04     7.35    24.02     2.40    18.63    71.71    36.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               22   33   +1       3.52    69.43     2.21    64.73     7.28    -0.98     0.12     1.69    21.37     5.24P    0.35R    0.07  
Colchester           22   30   +3      -2.78    35.07    -0.77    66.05     7.53     7.62     0.22     3.00    29.05     9.30P    0.34R    0.08  
Stevenage            22   30   -1       0.99    56.23     0.92    61.43     7.23    -3.49     0.02     0.51    11.13     2.33P    1.35R    0.38  
Grimsby              22   29   +2       0.60    54.13     4.59    59.25     7.32    -1.84     0.01     0.29     7.28     1.63P    2.59R    0.81  
Yeovil               22   29   -1       0.65    54.54     1.21    59.15     7.03    -4.50     0.01     0.18     6.06     1.36P    2.25R    0.68  
Crawley_Town         22   29   -8       3.99    72.87     0.13    55.92     7.00   -17.39     0.00     0.07     2.35     0.42P    6.80R    2.26  
Exeter               22   27   -1      -2.21    37.98     0.36    59.63     7.22    -1.44     0.01     0.28     7.59     1.75P    2.35R    0.73  
Crewe                22   27   -6      -1.99    39.65    -4.29    58.69     7.33    -7.80     0.01     0.20     5.94     1.34P    3.33R    1.14  
Mansfield            22   26   -7      -1.55    41.58    -3.54    55.08     7.00   -12.28     0.01     0.04     1.85     0.34P    8.05R    2.81  
Morecambe            21   26  -13       3.30    69.68    -2.66    54.29     7.32   -23.38     0.00     0.04     1.62     0.24P   12.18R    5.12  
Leyton_Orient        22   24   -4      -7.21    14.87    -5.58    57.75     7.23    -2.69     0.00     0.12     4.70     1.14P    3.92R    1.32  
Hartlepool           22   23  -10      -0.29    49.80     0.89    48.90     7.00   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   31.30R   15.66  
Notts_County         22   22  -12      -2.87    34.21    -3.57    48.57     7.04   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   33.25R   17.12  
Accrington_Stanley   22   21   -9      -8.38    10.93    -7.96    53.19     7.11    -9.95     0.00     0.02     1.09     0.24P   12.58R    5.13  
Cheltenham           22   21  -10      -5.72    20.65    -5.00    49.79     7.20   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P   26.31R   12.47  
Newport_County       21   17  -10      -5.72    19.05    -0.84    44.80     7.19   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   52.94R   34.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Eastleigh 2 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere           26   53  +18       7.07    83.53     3.03    88.99     6.13    30.41    32.82    95.16    52.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       25   52  +27       9.51    90.56    14.03    88.42     6.62    38.89    33.50    93.89    47.37P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   48  +20       2.69    63.84     3.16    86.01     6.32    34.29    19.71    89.55    41.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             24   46  +20       8.71    88.90    13.53    80.15     6.81    26.07     5.23    61.59    15.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          26   46   +9       1.82    59.07    -3.84    79.96     6.35    19.19     3.67    59.65    18.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     25   45  +13       3.49    68.06     1.62    80.32     6.63    23.37     4.74    62.68    17.69P    0.00     0.00  
Chester            26   39  +12       0.29    51.61     7.39    67.34     6.42    13.03     0.04     5.25     1.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   39   +6       3.74    69.54     6.51    67.11     6.35     7.11     0.03     4.10     0.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   38   +5       3.05    66.67     5.44    65.16     6.13     5.13     0.00     1.88     0.37P    0.12R    0.00  
Bromley            26   38   +0       3.39    67.76     1.87    64.13     6.18    -2.41     0.00     1.41     0.21P    0.21R    0.00  
Macclesfield       24   37   +8      -0.34    48.27     1.29    71.46     6.65    14.30     0.22    15.41     3.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          26   36  +11      -2.82    35.41     6.50    65.75     6.41    14.62     0.02     3.14     0.67P    0.14R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   36   +6      -2.92    34.39    -1.09    67.69     6.62    10.18     0.04     5.95     1.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Sutton_United      25   32   -6       3.24    67.84     2.49    56.21     6.48   -12.91     0.00     0.10     0.02P    6.72R    0.20  
Wrexham            26   32  -10      -2.93    34.91    -9.26    59.23     6.21   -10.27     0.00     0.14     0.04P    2.03R    0.02  
Solihull_Moors     25   30   -8       1.44    58.58     1.77    54.35     6.55   -15.86     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.49R    0.44  
Torquay            25   29   -7      -1.86    40.54    -2.00    55.55     6.41   -10.57     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.32R    0.23  
Braintree_Town     25   27  -14      -5.48    22.70   -11.36    55.06     6.37   -15.09     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.96R    0.29  
Maidstone_United   26   26  -18      -0.02    51.63    -1.71    45.14     6.02   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.06R    9.57  
Woking             25   24  -12      -8.98    11.23    -9.17    50.55     6.50   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00P   25.14R    1.98  
Southport          25   24  -23      -1.24    43.98    -7.66    44.44     6.02   -37.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.38R   13.01  
Guiseley           26   22  -12      -6.07    20.12    -0.02    43.44     5.94   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.50R   13.92  
York               26   21  -20     -12.32     4.86   -16.50    46.58     6.33   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.14R    6.74  
North_Ferriby      26   21  -25      -1.74    41.38    -5.99    37.94     5.68   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.62R   53.59