Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 27 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Liverpool 4 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 18 46 +27 11.17 97.92 10.88 84.74 6.08 45.51 60.95 82.74 92.73 97.59 99.97 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 40 +24 6.96 88.37 9.75 76.80 6.32 39.65 12.92 36.08 59.01 79.51 98.90 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 39 +19 3.29 71.01 0.56 77.55 6.07 37.96 14.03 39.61 63.57 82.85 99.31 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 37 +20 2.20 64.02 3.64 76.00 6.04 39.24 9.34 29.96 54.66 77.47 98.83 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 17 33 +17 1.97 63.31 4.56 70.84 6.47 30.68 2.38 9.29 22.47 42.65 92.59 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 33 +9 2.75 67.18 0.80 66.95 6.16 18.88 0.38 2.26 7.22 18.39 82.06 0.00 0.00 Everton 18 26 +2 0.29 52.11 0.75 55.65 6.32 4.98 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.62 11.62 0.06R 0.00 Southampton 17 24 +1 -2.02 36.34 -2.86 56.14 6.45 5.95 0.00 0.03 0.18 0.87 13.34 0.03R 0.00 West_Brom 18 23 +1 0.87 56.51 5.28 47.37 6.08 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.96 1.84R 0.08 Watford 18 22 -8 1.66 62.02 -0.42 43.80 5.99 -17.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 7.62R 0.64 West_Ham 18 22 -9 -1.56 39.98 -5.99 48.00 6.43 -11.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.30 2.38R 0.15 Bournemouth 18 21 -8 1.97 64.34 2.77 42.88 6.05 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 10.20R 1.11 Stoke 18 21 -8 -0.24 49.23 -2.08 43.57 6.05 -16.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 7.69R 0.67 Burnley 18 20 -11 0.66 55.63 -2.33 41.01 6.07 -21.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 16.76R 2.21 Middlesbrough 18 18 -4 -2.81 32.01 1.65 40.43 6.11 -11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 17.42R 2.22 Leicester 18 17 -8 -8.15 8.28 -7.98 45.18 6.33 -7.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.42 4.96R 0.45 Crystal_Palace 18 16 -4 -5.19 19.40 1.87 38.80 5.95 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 24.41R 3.89 Sunderland 18 14 -15 -3.85 25.14 -2.96 34.40 5.93 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.61R 15.33 Swansea 18 12 -20 -6.35 12.53 -8.67 32.95 6.00 -32.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.96R 22.91 Hull 18 12 -25 -3.34 28.14 -9.22 29.50 5.68 -42.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.06R 50.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Brighton 3 0 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 23 51 +24 9.16 91.48 8.74 92.28 6.78 38.08 39.02 88.30 99.73 92.36P 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 23 49 +27 3.92 71.02 6.13 94.31 6.70 48.74 58.73 93.08 99.85 95.86P 0.00 0.00 Reading 23 43 +3 11.92 95.51 3.89 73.90 6.83 2.17 0.35 2.80 53.76 12.10P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 23 42 +1 12.51 96.43 4.21 71.79 6.94 -1.66 0.18 1.57 41.24 8.19P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 23 41 +7 9.31 91.27 6.58 72.23 6.84 6.82 0.20 1.78 45.60 10.47P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 23 40 +4 5.69 79.46 -0.22 74.81 6.95 9.00 0.49 3.68 60.25 18.51P 0.00 0.00 Derby 23 39 +9 0.79 54.29 -0.75 76.94 6.77 18.39 0.84 6.34 73.63 29.84P 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 23 36 +12 2.50 63.72 9.12 69.04 7.12 13.85 0.05 0.84 31.18 7.77P 0.07R 0.00 Barnsley 23 34 +5 4.11 71.97 7.83 63.29 7.09 0.81 0.01 0.12 9.82 1.97P 0.84R 0.01 Aston_Villa 23 34 +3 1.15 56.96 0.64 67.11 6.99 5.51 0.03 0.35 20.88 5.59P 0.20R 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 -3 3.65 70.52 -1.37 63.94 6.80 -5.19 0.01 0.10 9.41 1.99P 0.61R 0.00 Norwich 23 33 +1 -2.67 35.79 -5.21 69.15 7.20 8.11 0.08 0.90 31.40 9.83P 0.10R 0.00 Preston 23 32 +0 1.00 56.13 0.56 62.69 6.78 -1.00 0.00 0.06 7.53 1.69P 0.85R 0.02 Brentford 23 29 -1 -3.31 32.05 -1.84 61.59 7.02 0.59 0.00 0.03 6.21 1.58P 1.63R 0.03 Wolverhampton 23 28 -1 -3.62 30.78 -1.08 59.91 6.91 -0.47 0.00 0.02 3.79 0.94P 2.47R 0.06 Ipswich 23 28 -4 -3.39 31.24 -4.14 58.76 6.83 -4.81 0.00 0.01 2.51 0.62P 3.40R 0.09 Bristol_City 23 27 +0 -2.18 38.71 3.82 56.96 6.86 -2.63 0.00 0.01 1.56 0.30P 5.53R 0.19 Nott'm_Forest 23 26 -5 -3.70 30.20 -1.92 56.18 6.98 -7.41 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.29P 7.77R 0.36 Cardiff 23 24 -12 -4.73 25.14 -7.63 52.38 6.82 -16.68 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 18.87R 1.18 QPR 23 23 -14 -5.32 22.42 -9.43 51.07 6.71 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 24.60R 1.74 Burton_Albion 23 22 -8 -2.45 36.77 1.82 46.93 6.69 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 46.78R 5.38 Blackburn 23 20 -12 -8.74 9.78 -7.90 48.17 6.82 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 39.13R 3.96 Wigan 23 18 -10 -9.39 8.16 -4.35 46.10 6.76 -14.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 50.34R 6.82 Rotherham 23 13 -26 -7.74 10.95 -7.50 33.98 6.38 -43.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.77R 80.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Bolton 2 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 23 48 +26 7.66 86.63 12.59 87.72 6.86 38.66 45.45 72.09 98.62 79.95P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 23 47 +19 7.83 87.24 7.25 85.26 6.97 29.12 27.44 56.47 96.44 67.54P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 23 46 +16 7.49 85.68 5.89 83.86 6.95 25.58 21.08 46.51 94.79 60.46P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 23 39 +7 4.29 72.54 2.22 73.48 6.98 11.43 1.50 5.94 55.59 16.93P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 23 38 +9 2.30 63.40 2.80 73.81 6.78 15.41 1.43 5.95 58.96 20.15P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 23 37 +6 5.07 76.86 5.39 68.33 6.93 5.66 0.28 1.34 27.02 6.28P 0.21R 0.00 Peterborough 22 36 +12 0.44 52.44 3.60 73.98 7.22 19.66 2.15 7.90 60.88 21.46P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 34 +6 1.66 59.88 4.71 65.84 6.89 6.50 0.09 0.55 17.67 4.10P 0.61R 0.01 Millwall 23 34 +1 -1.72 40.31 -5.29 70.00 7.00 7.93 0.41 2.02 36.41 10.82P 0.15R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 33 -3 4.95 75.96 3.16 60.67 6.97 -9.70 0.00 0.06 4.88 0.77P 4.81R 0.26 AFC_Wimbledon 23 32 +6 3.39 68.99 10.46 61.00 6.96 1.92 0.02 0.13 6.01 1.14P 3.62R 0.14 Charlton 23 31 +4 -3.02 33.66 0.23 65.26 7.09 8.16 0.08 0.54 16.81 4.65P 0.88R 0.02 Northampton 23 30 +1 0.62 54.15 4.62 59.63 7.05 -2.42 0.01 0.08 4.09 0.76P 5.96R 0.40 Oxford_Utd 23 30 +0 -0.21 49.43 1.94 59.34 6.94 -3.09 0.01 0.03 3.58 0.77P 6.21R 0.37 Walsall 23 30 -5 -2.50 36.38 -6.57 63.35 6.85 -2.16 0.03 0.22 9.20 2.22P 1.86R 0.10 Gillingham 23 30 -6 -1.45 42.26 -5.52 61.86 7.03 -5.75 0.02 0.12 6.86 1.50P 3.48R 0.17 Port_Vale 23 27 -11 -0.72 46.67 -4.95 54.89 6.75 -16.79 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.12P 19.93R 2.03 MK_Dons 23 24 -6 -7.85 13.39 -6.51 55.16 7.06 -6.58 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.24P 17.62R 2.01 Swindon 23 24 -13 -4.24 27.37 -7.62 53.12 6.88 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 27.89R 3.71 Bury 23 21 -13 -4.24 27.31 -1.87 46.38 6.75 -23.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 65.26R 20.44 Shrewsbury 23 21 -13 -4.34 26.69 -3.30 46.84 6.70 -22.20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 62.99R 17.96 Chesterfield 23 21 -15 -5.48 21.71 -6.83 48.61 6.75 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 52.74R 12.30 Coventry 23 19 -14 -10.43 6.04 -11.06 48.28 6.83 -17.37 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 52.96R 12.86 Oldham 22 18 -14 -5.73 18.21 -5.34 44.81 6.74 -21.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 72.75R 27.22League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2016, Cheltenham 1 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 22 45 +14 5.65 78.45 -0.26 88.06 7.40 29.69 45.56 83.63 98.88 88.08P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 22 45 +11 8.29 88.58 1.40 85.45 7.19 22.14 27.71 73.93 97.76 80.16P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 22 43 +15 8.58 88.64 8.66 81.19 7.41 23.01 13.10 52.24 92.47 61.28P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 22 38 +14 0.52 52.53 3.05 79.20 7.21 26.25 8.64 42.19 89.52 56.48P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 35 +11 1.34 57.70 5.80 71.92 7.23 16.96 1.15 11.29 60.04 23.51P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 22 35 +4 3.16 67.93 1.34 70.18 7.18 7.54 0.59 6.77 48.36 16.07P 0.03R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 22 34 +5 2.17 62.49 2.55 68.63 7.27 7.64 0.45 4.89 40.32 12.50P 0.07R 0.02 Blackpool 22 33 +12 -4.38 26.63 1.36 74.04 7.35 24.02 2.40 18.63 71.71 36.43P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 22 33 +1 3.52 69.43 2.21 64.73 7.28 -0.98 0.12 1.69 21.37 5.24P 0.35R 0.07 Colchester 22 30 +3 -2.78 35.07 -0.77 66.05 7.53 7.62 0.22 3.00 29.05 9.30P 0.34R 0.08 Stevenage 22 30 -1 0.99 56.23 0.92 61.43 7.23 -3.49 0.02 0.51 11.13 2.33P 1.35R 0.38 Grimsby 22 29 +2 0.60 54.13 4.59 59.25 7.32 -1.84 0.01 0.29 7.28 1.63P 2.59R 0.81 Yeovil 22 29 -1 0.65 54.54 1.21 59.15 7.03 -4.50 0.01 0.18 6.06 1.36P 2.25R 0.68 Crawley_Town 22 29 -8 3.99 72.87 0.13 55.92 7.00 -17.39 0.00 0.07 2.35 0.42P 6.80R 2.26 Exeter 22 27 -1 -2.21 37.98 0.36 59.63 7.22 -1.44 0.01 0.28 7.59 1.75P 2.35R 0.73 Crewe 22 27 -6 -1.99 39.65 -4.29 58.69 7.33 -7.80 0.01 0.20 5.94 1.34P 3.33R 1.14 Mansfield 22 26 -7 -1.55 41.58 -3.54 55.08 7.00 -12.28 0.01 0.04 1.85 0.34P 8.05R 2.81 Morecambe 21 26 -13 3.30 69.68 -2.66 54.29 7.32 -23.38 0.00 0.04 1.62 0.24P 12.18R 5.12 Leyton_Orient 22 24 -4 -7.21 14.87 -5.58 57.75 7.23 -2.69 0.00 0.12 4.70 1.14P 3.92R 1.32 Hartlepool 22 23 -10 -0.29 49.80 0.89 48.90 7.00 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 31.30R 15.66 Notts_County 22 22 -12 -2.87 34.21 -3.57 48.57 7.04 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 33.25R 17.12 Accrington_Stanley 22 21 -9 -8.38 10.93 -7.96 53.19 7.11 -9.95 0.00 0.02 1.09 0.24P 12.58R 5.13 Cheltenham 22 21 -10 -5.72 20.65 -5.00 49.79 7.20 -15.98 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.08P 26.31R 12.47 Newport_County 21 17 -10 -5.72 19.05 -0.84 44.80 7.19 -19.86 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 52.94R 34.17National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2016, Eastleigh 2 2 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 26 53 +18 7.07 83.53 3.03 88.99 6.13 30.41 32.82 95.16 52.02P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 52 +27 9.51 90.56 14.03 88.42 6.62 38.89 33.50 93.89 47.37P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 48 +20 2.69 63.84 3.16 86.01 6.32 34.29 19.71 89.55 41.32P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 24 46 +20 8.71 88.90 13.53 80.15 6.81 26.07 5.23 61.59 15.78P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 26 46 +9 1.82 59.07 -3.84 79.96 6.35 19.19 3.67 59.65 18.01P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 25 45 +13 3.49 68.06 1.62 80.32 6.63 23.37 4.74 62.68 17.69P 0.00 0.00 Chester 26 39 +12 0.29 51.61 7.39 67.34 6.42 13.03 0.04 5.25 1.01P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 26 39 +6 3.74 69.54 6.51 67.11 6.35 7.11 0.03 4.10 0.67P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 26 38 +5 3.05 66.67 5.44 65.16 6.13 5.13 0.00 1.88 0.37P 0.12R 0.00 Bromley 26 38 +0 3.39 67.76 1.87 64.13 6.18 -2.41 0.00 1.41 0.21P 0.21R 0.00 Macclesfield 24 37 +8 -0.34 48.27 1.29 71.46 6.65 14.30 0.22 15.41 3.54P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 26 36 +11 -2.82 35.41 6.50 65.75 6.41 14.62 0.02 3.14 0.67P 0.14R 0.00 Eastleigh 25 36 +6 -2.92 34.39 -1.09 67.69 6.62 10.18 0.04 5.95 1.27P 0.05R 0.00 Sutton_United 25 32 -6 3.24 67.84 2.49 56.21 6.48 -12.91 0.00 0.10 0.02P 6.72R 0.20 Wrexham 26 32 -10 -2.93 34.91 -9.26 59.23 6.21 -10.27 0.00 0.14 0.04P 2.03R 0.02 Solihull_Moors 25 30 -8 1.44 58.58 1.77 54.35 6.55 -15.86 0.00 0.02 0.01P 11.49R 0.44 Torquay 25 29 -7 -1.86 40.54 -2.00 55.55 6.41 -10.57 0.00 0.05 0.01P 7.32R 0.23 Braintree_Town 25 27 -14 -5.48 22.70 -11.36 55.06 6.37 -15.09 0.00 0.03 0.01P 8.96R 0.29 Maidstone_United 26 26 -18 -0.02 51.63 -1.71 45.14 6.02 -31.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.06R 9.57 Woking 25 24 -12 -8.98 11.23 -9.17 50.55 6.50 -16.43 0.00 0.00 0.00P 25.14R 1.98 Southport 25 24 -23 -1.24 43.98 -7.66 44.44 6.02 -37.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.38R 13.01 Guiseley 26 22 -12 -6.07 20.12 -0.02 43.44 5.94 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.50R 13.92 York 26 21 -20 -12.32 4.86 -16.50 46.58 6.33 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.14R 6.74 North_Ferriby 26 21 -25 -1.74 41.38 -5.99 37.94 5.68 -39.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.62R 53.59