Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 16 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 December 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 16 40 +23 9.68 96.72 9.73 82.89 6.47 44.08 56.07 79.12 90.75 96.76 99.91 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 16 34 +20 5.19 82.64 8.25 74.09 6.79 36.63 10.35 28.88 51.29 73.01 97.48 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 16 34 +20 2.18 64.39 3.85 76.88 6.41 41.48 18.27 45.64 68.89 85.81 99.21 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 33 +15 1.64 60.82 -0.92 74.91 6.60 34.78 11.78 32.60 55.34 76.38 98.20 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 16 30 +16 1.20 58.37 4.98 70.24 6.64 31.39 3.21 11.91 27.28 50.46 93.24 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 16 27 +5 1.13 57.89 -0.68 64.00 6.56 15.34 0.32 1.74 5.78 14.98 71.88 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 16 23 +4 2.37 66.91 6.38 49.46 6.50 -1.92 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 4.23 1.45R 0.09 Everton 16 23 +1 0.05 50.46 -0.15 54.67 6.77 2.79 0.01 0.07 0.37 1.29 15.31 0.32R 0.02 Southampton 16 21 -1 -3.05 29.11 -3.98 54.06 6.72 3.30 0.00 0.04 0.24 0.98 13.22 0.31R 0.01 Bournemouth 16 21 -3 2.90 70.67 4.39 45.21 6.46 -14.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 1.02 7.28R 0.83 Watford 16 21 -7 3.16 72.51 0.31 46.10 6.52 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.35 5.86R 0.66 Stoke 16 20 -5 0.50 54.58 -1.02 44.74 6.43 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.75 7.71R 0.81 Burnley 16 17 -11 -0.02 51.37 -2.99 39.60 6.45 -23.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 28.47R 5.96 Leicester 16 16 -6 -6.60 11.72 -6.34 47.73 6.83 -4.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 2.76 3.69R 0.39 West_Ham 16 16 -13 -3.61 25.41 -7.87 44.49 6.85 -16.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.94 10.36R 1.72 Crystal_Palace 16 15 -3 -4.20 23.13 1.86 39.72 6.40 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 24.65R 4.80 Middlesbrough 16 15 -6 -2.57 32.27 0.54 39.84 6.52 -13.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 25.04R 5.02 Swansea 16 12 -14 -5.07 16.84 -5.25 36.98 6.61 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 42.65R 11.98 Hull 16 12 -21 -2.38 34.21 -8.09 31.36 6.09 -40.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 78.44R 42.51 Sunderland 16 11 -14 -4.76 18.02 -3.00 33.58 6.33 -26.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 63.76R 25.20Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 16 December 2016, Norwich 1 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 21 46 +27 4.53 75.10 7.18 95.79 7.09 51.58 74.55 96.23 99.93 97.72P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 21 45 +20 7.65 88.29 7.24 88.93 7.18 33.85 23.36 81.08 99.14 87.43P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 22 39 +0 11.19 95.23 3.77 70.15 7.10 -2.72 0.14 1.82 39.73 8.00P 0.11R 0.00 Reading 21 37 +0 9.41 92.18 1.94 69.42 7.21 -2.66 0.14 1.71 36.40 8.03P 0.17R 0.00 Derby 21 35 +8 0.32 51.91 -0.67 75.98 7.19 17.77 1.02 8.98 73.93 31.17P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 21 35 +3 7.02 86.05 4.02 67.74 7.19 1.14 0.06 1.03 29.06 6.34P 0.26R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 21 34 +2 3.17 68.68 -1.11 71.26 7.25 6.64 0.29 2.83 48.20 14.38P 0.08R 0.00 Birmingham 21 34 -1 5.23 78.94 -0.95 66.25 7.18 -3.66 0.04 0.76 21.95 4.95P 0.63R 0.00 Norwich 22 33 +3 -2.00 38.83 -4.34 71.36 7.42 11.41 0.28 3.30 50.24 17.27P 0.12R 0.00 Fulham 21 32 +10 1.63 59.79 7.79 66.89 7.43 10.31 0.05 1.01 28.17 6.93P 0.51R 0.00 Preston 21 29 +2 0.28 52.31 1.83 62.97 7.21 1.89 0.02 0.21 12.73 2.97P 1.79R 0.03 Barnsley 21 28 +2 2.00 62.33 6.52 58.83 7.43 -4.10 0.00 0.07 5.29 1.04P 7.24R 0.19 Aston_Villa 21 28 +1 -1.21 43.17 -0.15 63.85 7.34 3.50 0.01 0.30 15.65 4.28P 1.64R 0.02 Brentford 21 28 +0 -1.78 40.03 -1.12 64.20 7.47 2.92 0.02 0.41 17.16 4.32P 1.54R 0.01 Bristol_City 21 27 +2 0.03 50.80 4.92 60.08 7.23 0.04 0.00 0.09 6.66 1.45P 4.48R 0.08 Nott'm_Forest 21 26 -2 -1.80 39.77 -0.26 59.86 7.30 -2.94 0.00 0.08 6.27 1.40P 5.21R 0.11 Ipswich 21 25 -3 -3.68 28.71 -3.19 58.74 7.18 -3.35 0.00 0.05 4.50 1.21P 6.39R 0.20 QPR 21 23 -10 -4.15 27.09 -7.73 54.05 7.04 -14.72 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.20P 19.82R 0.79 Cardiff 21 23 -11 -3.36 30.76 -7.29 54.21 7.15 -15.36 0.00 0.01 1.10 0.25P 19.97R 0.86 Wolverhampton 21 22 -4 -5.92 18.81 -2.69 55.79 7.32 -4.75 0.00 0.01 2.14 0.53P 13.46R 0.49 Burton_Albion 21 22 -6 -0.88 45.88 2.11 48.64 6.96 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 47.28R 3.66 Blackburn 21 20 -9 -6.68 15.04 -5.98 51.37 7.17 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.06P 31.48R 1.99 Wigan 21 18 -8 -7.22 13.51 -3.43 49.76 7.26 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 39.55R 3.37 Rotherham 21 10 -26 -8.55 7.03 -8.42 32.68 6.74 -45.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.26R 88.19League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 15 December 2016, Coventry 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 21 44 +23 7.37 86.83 11.10 86.07 7.26 35.14 36.71 63.76 97.31 73.35P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 44 +17 7.10 85.17 6.56 84.09 7.19 27.76 24.40 51.22 95.27 63.33P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 21 43 +16 7.67 87.36 6.52 85.43 7.44 28.26 31.77 58.28 96.28 69.20P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 21 36 +9 3.05 68.14 2.89 74.54 7.26 15.48 2.83 9.53 65.14 24.29P 0.03R 0.00 Rochdale 21 33 +3 2.52 64.81 0.57 69.82 7.50 6.75 0.79 3.06 38.67 10.69P 0.42R 0.01 Peterborough 20 32 +10 0.04 50.24 3.01 72.25 7.66 16.97 1.86 6.60 53.62 18.64P 0.18R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 21 32 +6 2.70 66.03 5.16 67.25 7.31 7.51 0.30 1.48 26.63 6.69P 0.77R 0.01 Southend 21 31 +1 3.40 69.91 2.89 63.93 7.33 -1.06 0.11 0.47 13.97 2.91P 2.56R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 21 30 -4 4.97 77.32 2.44 60.31 7.45 -10.77 0.02 0.14 6.20 1.10P 7.98R 0.64 AFC_Wimbledon 21 29 +5 3.41 69.82 9.78 60.20 7.42 0.19 0.04 0.18 6.82 1.33P 7.01R 0.43 Charlton 20 28 +7 -3.07 32.33 1.50 67.52 7.79 12.85 0.51 2.09 30.63 9.89P 0.95R 0.03 Millwall 20 28 +0 -3.18 31.77 -5.65 68.67 7.70 7.70 0.55 2.49 34.52 10.83P 0.71R 0.02 Northampton 21 27 +1 0.25 51.90 4.41 59.10 7.53 -2.82 0.03 0.12 5.29 1.20P 9.62R 0.92 Oxford_Utd 21 27 +0 -0.27 49.12 2.20 59.52 7.49 -2.43 0.02 0.13 5.72 1.32P 8.74R 0.69 Port_Vale 21 27 -6 0.70 55.21 -2.04 58.75 7.29 -9.91 0.01 0.05 3.93 0.69P 10.91R 0.99 Walsall 21 26 -6 -3.55 30.21 -7.16 61.62 7.27 -3.84 0.02 0.19 8.11 1.91P 4.85R 0.31 Gillingham 21 26 -7 -2.47 36.13 -6.18 59.87 7.48 -8.11 0.03 0.13 5.94 1.29P 8.67R 0.72 MK_Dons 21 24 -4 -5.82 19.32 -5.51 58.31 7.51 -4.02 0.00 0.07 4.17 1.00P 11.67R 1.11 Swindon 21 23 -11 -3.45 30.69 -7.14 54.88 7.31 -14.89 0.00 0.01 1.26 0.23P 23.86R 3.19 Bury 21 20 -12 -2.93 33.46 -1.71 47.53 7.12 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00P 62.41R 18.81 Coventry 22 19 -11 -9.98 6.58 -9.44 50.29 7.10 -13.31 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 44.77R 9.13 Oldham 20 18 -10 -4.36 23.81 -3.30 47.66 7.07 -17.70 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 60.50R 16.80 Chesterfield 21 18 -13 -6.78 15.01 -6.41 47.53 7.16 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 61.27R 18.46 Shrewsbury 21 18 -14 -4.74 23.41 -4.47 45.53 7.06 -24.93 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 72.14R 27.62League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2016, Cheltenham 1 3 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 20 41 +10 7.59 87.86 1.21 84.44 7.59 21.44 26.77 69.43 96.74 76.78P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 20 39 +14 7.87 87.78 8.46 80.34 7.80 22.61 13.60 49.72 91.10 59.11P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 20 39 +12 3.41 68.81 -0.82 86.34 7.90 30.35 39.72 78.06 97.78 83.93P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 20 34 +13 0.12 50.56 3.36 79.47 7.63 27.64 11.76 46.27 90.21 60.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 20 32 +10 1.12 56.53 4.87 71.26 7.73 15.45 1.65 12.21 58.46 23.32P 0.04R 0.01 Wycombe 20 31 +3 2.00 62.44 0.52 68.45 7.57 5.94 0.61 5.78 42.17 14.15P 0.15R 0.04 Blackpool 20 30 +13 -4.44 25.15 2.60 75.56 7.76 27.73 5.22 28.19 78.80 45.35P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 20 30 +1 3.35 69.54 2.35 64.72 7.65 -0.66 0.16 2.30 24.35 6.16P 0.73R 0.21 Cambridge_Utd 20 28 +3 -0.52 47.19 1.41 65.20 7.61 5.33 0.20 2.59 27.49 7.92P 0.52R 0.11 Yeovil 20 28 +0 1.97 62.63 1.68 60.65 7.42 -3.95 0.03 0.57 11.00 2.38P 2.22R 0.72 Stevenage 20 27 -1 0.67 54.56 0.85 60.97 7.71 -3.85 0.06 0.79 12.79 2.99P 2.38R 0.78 Grimsby 20 26 +1 0.31 52.64 3.53 57.70 7.74 -5.02 0.02 0.37 6.59 1.53P 5.93R 2.28 Mansfield 20 26 -4 0.34 52.91 -1.69 59.02 7.52 -7.68 0.01 0.37 7.60 1.68P 3.86R 1.39 Crewe 20 26 -5 -0.73 46.44 -4.01 60.13 7.85 -7.30 0.03 0.73 10.92 2.85P 3.42R 1.19 Crawley_Town 20 26 -9 3.87 73.48 -0.73 54.95 7.37 -19.35 0.00 0.09 2.55 0.46P 11.52R 4.75 Colchester 20 24 +1 -5.38 21.42 -1.77 62.77 8.01 5.59 0.13 1.76 19.88 6.28P 1.62R 0.60 Exeter 20 23 -3 -2.81 33.95 -0.52 57.73 7.65 -4.42 0.01 0.28 6.25 1.40P 5.71R 2.07 Morecambe 19 23 -13 2.89 68.87 -2.73 53.70 7.75 -24.11 0.00 0.07 2.18 0.39P 16.96R 7.99 Hartlepool 20 22 -9 0.49 54.40 0.61 49.14 7.36 -22.92 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.04P 33.77R 18.36 Notts_County 20 22 -10 -1.21 43.59 -3.28 50.44 7.44 -22.05 0.00 0.02 0.76 0.11P 27.58R 14.00 Leyton_Orient 20 21 -4 -7.21 13.57 -5.13 57.71 7.60 -2.29 0.00 0.20 6.28 1.68P 5.45R 2.07 Accrington_Stanley 20 21 -6 -6.57 15.74 -6.23 56.55 7.65 -6.11 0.01 0.19 4.69 1.19P 7.51R 3.02 Cheltenham 20 18 -10 -5.83 18.87 -4.76 49.35 7.69 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.11P 31.86R 17.52 Newport_County 19 17 -7 -4.16 25.36 0.24 47.86 7.57 -16.10 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.08P 38.74R 22.88National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Wrexham 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 24 50 +18 6.83 83.68 2.96 89.10 6.50 30.96 25.39 90.59 45.24P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 49 +27 9.64 92.18 14.49 88.97 7.03 40.17 28.57 89.99 42.87P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 47 +21 4.52 74.12 4.30 89.22 6.71 37.42 28.01 91.29 47.19P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 24 45 +10 3.80 69.61 -2.29 83.25 6.72 22.49 6.57 67.03 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 22 44 +20 9.43 91.93 13.45 81.44 7.18 26.98 5.41 57.62 14.97P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 23 43 +13 4.44 73.15 1.95 81.86 6.93 24.90 5.18 59.97 16.94P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 22 37 +10 1.83 60.91 2.61 74.87 7.02 17.40 0.66 22.24 5.56P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 24 36 +11 0.56 53.27 7.19 67.39 6.83 12.48 0.04 3.80 0.74P 0.05R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 36 +6 4.87 76.75 6.05 67.32 6.72 6.26 0.02 3.00 0.50P 0.04R 0.00 Aldershot 24 36 +4 4.02 72.13 5.29 66.46 6.70 4.52 0.01 2.18 0.33P 0.09R 0.00 Eastleigh 23 35 +7 -1.07 43.82 0.02 70.68 7.00 13.06 0.11 8.99 2.15P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 24 34 +11 -1.95 39.57 6.64 66.51 6.77 14.64 0.01 2.81 0.58P 0.06R 0.00 Bromley 24 32 -2 0.68 54.29 0.70 60.41 6.57 -5.16 0.00 0.22 0.03P 0.95R 0.01 Sutton_United 23 29 -6 2.57 65.30 2.19 55.62 6.96 -13.54 0.00 0.06 0.01P 6.71R 0.17 Wrexham 24 29 -10 -2.93 34.29 -8.81 59.92 6.60 -8.85 0.00 0.15 0.04P 1.54R 0.03 Solihull_Moors 23 26 -9 0.67 55.05 1.03 51.04 6.87 -19.85 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.77R 1.17 Torquay 23 25 -8 -3.11 33.17 -3.00 53.08 6.74 -13.33 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.72R 0.53 Maidstone_United 24 25 -17 1.26 58.53 -1.72 46.35 6.41 -32.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.84R 5.42 Woking 23 23 -8 -8.13 12.63 -6.63 53.59 6.87 -10.36 0.00 0.04 0.02P 10.57R 0.51 Southport 23 21 -23 -2.09 38.71 -8.68 42.83 6.37 -39.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.93R 14.29 Braintree_Town 22 20 -16 -8.57 9.91 -13.59 50.75 6.89 -19.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.76R 1.42 Guiseley 24 18 -13 -7.48 13.13 -1.10 40.60 6.29 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.13R 20.26 North_Ferriby 24 18 -25 -2.41 36.78 -6.41 36.82 6.10 -41.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.99R 49.48 York 24 17 -21 -13.11 2.89 -16.64 45.76 6.76 -23.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.82R 6.71