Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 December 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          16   40  +23       9.68    96.72     9.73    82.89     6.47    44.08    56.07    79.12    90.75    96.76    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        16   34  +20       5.19    82.64     8.25    74.09     6.79    36.63    10.35    28.88    51.29    73.01    97.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          16   34  +20       2.18    64.39     3.85    76.88     6.41    41.48    18.27    45.64    68.89    85.81    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   33  +15       1.64    60.82    -0.92    74.91     6.60    34.78    11.78    32.60    55.34    76.38    98.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        16   30  +16       1.20    58.37     4.98    70.24     6.64    31.39     3.21    11.91    27.28    50.46    93.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   27   +5       1.13    57.89    -0.68    64.00     6.56    15.34     0.32     1.74     5.78    14.98    71.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   23   +4       2.37    66.91     6.38    49.46     6.50    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     4.23     1.45R    0.09  
Everton          16   23   +1       0.05    50.46    -0.15    54.67     6.77     2.79     0.01     0.07     0.37     1.29    15.31     0.32R    0.02  
Southampton      16   21   -1      -3.05    29.11    -3.98    54.06     6.72     3.30     0.00     0.04     0.24     0.98    13.22     0.31R    0.01  
Bournemouth      16   21   -3       2.90    70.67     4.39    45.21     6.46   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.02     7.28R    0.83  
Watford          16   21   -7       3.16    72.51     0.31    46.10     6.52   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.35     5.86R    0.66  
Stoke            16   20   -5       0.50    54.58    -1.02    44.74     6.43   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.75     7.71R    0.81  
Burnley          16   17  -11      -0.02    51.37    -2.99    39.60     6.45   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    28.47R    5.96  
Leicester        16   16   -6      -6.60    11.72    -6.34    47.73     6.83    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.76     3.69R    0.39  
West_Ham         16   16  -13      -3.61    25.41    -7.87    44.49     6.85   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.94    10.36R    1.72  
Crystal_Palace   16   15   -3      -4.20    23.13     1.86    39.72     6.40   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    24.65R    4.80  
Middlesbrough    16   15   -6      -2.57    32.27     0.54    39.84     6.52   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    25.04R    5.02  
Swansea          16   12  -14      -5.07    16.84    -5.25    36.98     6.61   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    42.65R   11.98  
Hull             16   12  -21      -2.38    34.21    -8.09    31.36     6.09   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    78.44R   42.51  
Sunderland       16   11  -14      -4.76    18.02    -3.00    33.58     6.33   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.76R   25.20  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 16 December 2016, Norwich 1 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       21   46  +27       4.53    75.10     7.18    95.79     7.09    51.58    74.55    96.23    99.93    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        21   45  +20       7.65    88.29     7.24    88.93     7.18    33.85    23.36    81.08    99.14    87.43P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    22   39   +0      11.19    95.23     3.77    70.15     7.10    -2.72     0.14     1.82    39.73     8.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Reading         21   37   +0       9.41    92.18     1.94    69.42     7.21    -2.66     0.14     1.71    36.40     8.03P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby           21   35   +8       0.32    51.91    -0.67    75.98     7.19    17.77     1.02     8.98    73.93    31.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    21   35   +3       7.02    86.05     4.02    67.74     7.19     1.14     0.06     1.03    29.06     6.34P    0.26R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   34   +2       3.17    68.68    -1.11    71.26     7.25     6.64     0.29     2.83    48.20    14.38P    0.08R    0.00  
Birmingham      21   34   -1       5.23    78.94    -0.95    66.25     7.18    -3.66     0.04     0.76    21.95     4.95P    0.63R    0.00  
Norwich         22   33   +3      -2.00    38.83    -4.34    71.36     7.42    11.41     0.28     3.30    50.24    17.27P    0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          21   32  +10       1.63    59.79     7.79    66.89     7.43    10.31     0.05     1.01    28.17     6.93P    0.51R    0.00  
Preston         21   29   +2       0.28    52.31     1.83    62.97     7.21     1.89     0.02     0.21    12.73     2.97P    1.79R    0.03  
Barnsley        21   28   +2       2.00    62.33     6.52    58.83     7.43    -4.10     0.00     0.07     5.29     1.04P    7.24R    0.19  
Aston_Villa     21   28   +1      -1.21    43.17    -0.15    63.85     7.34     3.50     0.01     0.30    15.65     4.28P    1.64R    0.02  
Brentford       21   28   +0      -1.78    40.03    -1.12    64.20     7.47     2.92     0.02     0.41    17.16     4.32P    1.54R    0.01  
Bristol_City    21   27   +2       0.03    50.80     4.92    60.08     7.23     0.04     0.00     0.09     6.66     1.45P    4.48R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest   21   26   -2      -1.80    39.77    -0.26    59.86     7.30    -2.94     0.00     0.08     6.27     1.40P    5.21R    0.11  
Ipswich         21   25   -3      -3.68    28.71    -3.19    58.74     7.18    -3.35     0.00     0.05     4.50     1.21P    6.39R    0.20  
QPR             21   23  -10      -4.15    27.09    -7.73    54.05     7.04   -14.72     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.20P   19.82R    0.79  
Cardiff         21   23  -11      -3.36    30.76    -7.29    54.21     7.15   -15.36     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.25P   19.97R    0.86  
Wolverhampton   21   22   -4      -5.92    18.81    -2.69    55.79     7.32    -4.75     0.00     0.01     2.14     0.53P   13.46R    0.49  
Burton_Albion   21   22   -6      -0.88    45.88     2.11    48.64     6.96   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   47.28R    3.66  
Blackburn       21   20   -9      -6.68    15.04    -5.98    51.37     7.17   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   31.48R    1.99  
Wigan           21   18   -8      -7.22    13.51    -3.43    49.76     7.26   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   39.55R    3.37  
Rotherham       21   10  -26      -8.55     7.03    -8.42    32.68     6.74   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.26R   88.19  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 15 December 2016, Coventry 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       21   44  +23       7.37    86.83    11.10    86.07     7.26    35.14    36.71    63.76    97.31    73.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        22   44  +17       7.10    85.17     6.56    84.09     7.19    27.76    24.40    51.22    95.27    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           21   43  +16       7.67    87.36     6.52    85.43     7.44    28.26    31.77    58.28    96.28    69.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         21   36   +9       3.05    68.14     2.89    74.54     7.26    15.48     2.83     9.53    65.14    24.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale         21   33   +3       2.52    64.81     0.57    69.82     7.50     6.75     0.79     3.06    38.67    10.69P    0.42R    0.01  
Peterborough     20   32  +10       0.04    50.24     3.01    72.25     7.66    16.97     1.86     6.60    53.62    18.64P    0.18R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   21   32   +6       2.70    66.03     5.16    67.25     7.31     7.51     0.30     1.48    26.63     6.69P    0.77R    0.01  
Southend         21   31   +1       3.40    69.91     2.89    63.93     7.33    -1.06     0.11     0.47    13.97     2.91P    2.56R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers   21   30   -4       4.97    77.32     2.44    60.31     7.45   -10.77     0.02     0.14     6.20     1.10P    7.98R    0.64  
AFC_Wimbledon    21   29   +5       3.41    69.82     9.78    60.20     7.42     0.19     0.04     0.18     6.82     1.33P    7.01R    0.43  
Charlton         20   28   +7      -3.07    32.33     1.50    67.52     7.79    12.85     0.51     2.09    30.63     9.89P    0.95R    0.03  
Millwall         20   28   +0      -3.18    31.77    -5.65    68.67     7.70     7.70     0.55     2.49    34.52    10.83P    0.71R    0.02  
Northampton      21   27   +1       0.25    51.90     4.41    59.10     7.53    -2.82     0.03     0.12     5.29     1.20P    9.62R    0.92  
Oxford_Utd       21   27   +0      -0.27    49.12     2.20    59.52     7.49    -2.43     0.02     0.13     5.72     1.32P    8.74R    0.69  
Port_Vale        21   27   -6       0.70    55.21    -2.04    58.75     7.29    -9.91     0.01     0.05     3.93     0.69P   10.91R    0.99  
Walsall          21   26   -6      -3.55    30.21    -7.16    61.62     7.27    -3.84     0.02     0.19     8.11     1.91P    4.85R    0.31  
Gillingham       21   26   -7      -2.47    36.13    -6.18    59.87     7.48    -8.11     0.03     0.13     5.94     1.29P    8.67R    0.72  
MK_Dons          21   24   -4      -5.82    19.32    -5.51    58.31     7.51    -4.02     0.00     0.07     4.17     1.00P   11.67R    1.11  
Swindon          21   23  -11      -3.45    30.69    -7.14    54.88     7.31   -14.89     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.23P   23.86R    3.19  
Bury             21   20  -12      -2.93    33.46    -1.71    47.53     7.12   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P   62.41R   18.81  
Coventry         22   19  -11      -9.98     6.58    -9.44    50.29     7.10   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   44.77R    9.13  
Oldham           20   18  -10      -4.36    23.81    -3.30    47.66     7.07   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   60.50R   16.80  
Chesterfield     21   18  -13      -6.78    15.01    -6.41    47.53     7.16   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   61.27R   18.46  
Shrewsbury       21   18  -14      -4.74    23.41    -4.47    45.53     7.06   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   72.14R   27.62  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2016, Cheltenham 1 3 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             20   41  +10       7.59    87.86     1.21    84.44     7.59    21.44    26.77    69.43    96.74    76.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             20   39  +14       7.87    87.78     8.46    80.34     7.80    22.61    13.60    49.72    91.10    59.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            20   39  +12       3.41    68.81    -0.82    86.34     7.90    30.35    39.72    78.06    97.78    83.93P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           20   34  +13       0.12    50.56     3.36    79.47     7.63    27.64    11.76    46.27    90.21    60.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                20   32  +10       1.12    56.53     4.87    71.26     7.73    15.45     1.65    12.21    58.46    23.32P    0.04R    0.01  
Wycombe              20   31   +3       2.00    62.44     0.52    68.45     7.57     5.94     0.61     5.78    42.17    14.15P    0.15R    0.04  
Blackpool            20   30  +13      -4.44    25.15     2.60    75.56     7.76    27.73     5.22    28.19    78.80    45.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               20   30   +1       3.35    69.54     2.35    64.72     7.65    -0.66     0.16     2.30    24.35     6.16P    0.73R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd        20   28   +3      -0.52    47.19     1.41    65.20     7.61     5.33     0.20     2.59    27.49     7.92P    0.52R    0.11  
Yeovil               20   28   +0       1.97    62.63     1.68    60.65     7.42    -3.95     0.03     0.57    11.00     2.38P    2.22R    0.72  
Stevenage            20   27   -1       0.67    54.56     0.85    60.97     7.71    -3.85     0.06     0.79    12.79     2.99P    2.38R    0.78  
Grimsby              20   26   +1       0.31    52.64     3.53    57.70     7.74    -5.02     0.02     0.37     6.59     1.53P    5.93R    2.28  
Mansfield            20   26   -4       0.34    52.91    -1.69    59.02     7.52    -7.68     0.01     0.37     7.60     1.68P    3.86R    1.39  
Crewe                20   26   -5      -0.73    46.44    -4.01    60.13     7.85    -7.30     0.03     0.73    10.92     2.85P    3.42R    1.19  
Crawley_Town         20   26   -9       3.87    73.48    -0.73    54.95     7.37   -19.35     0.00     0.09     2.55     0.46P   11.52R    4.75  
Colchester           20   24   +1      -5.38    21.42    -1.77    62.77     8.01     5.59     0.13     1.76    19.88     6.28P    1.62R    0.60  
Exeter               20   23   -3      -2.81    33.95    -0.52    57.73     7.65    -4.42     0.01     0.28     6.25     1.40P    5.71R    2.07  
Morecambe            19   23  -13       2.89    68.87    -2.73    53.70     7.75   -24.11     0.00     0.07     2.18     0.39P   16.96R    7.99  
Hartlepool           20   22   -9       0.49    54.40     0.61    49.14     7.36   -22.92     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.04P   33.77R   18.36  
Notts_County         20   22  -10      -1.21    43.59    -3.28    50.44     7.44   -22.05     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.11P   27.58R   14.00  
Leyton_Orient        20   21   -4      -7.21    13.57    -5.13    57.71     7.60    -2.29     0.00     0.20     6.28     1.68P    5.45R    2.07  
Accrington_Stanley   20   21   -6      -6.57    15.74    -6.23    56.55     7.65    -6.11     0.01     0.19     4.69     1.19P    7.51R    3.02  
Cheltenham           20   18  -10      -5.83    18.87    -4.76    49.35     7.69   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P   31.86R   17.52  
Newport_County       19   17   -7      -4.16    25.36     0.24    47.86     7.57   -16.10     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.08P   38.74R   22.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Wrexham 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere           24   50  +18       6.83    83.68     2.96    89.10     6.50    30.96    25.39    90.59    45.24P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       23   49  +27       9.64    92.18    14.49    88.97     7.03    40.17    28.57    89.99    42.87P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       23   47  +21       4.52    74.12     4.30    89.22     6.71    37.42    28.01    91.29    47.19P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          24   45  +10       3.80    69.61    -2.29    83.25     6.72    22.49     6.57    67.03    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             22   44  +20       9.43    91.93    13.45    81.44     7.18    26.98     5.41    57.62    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     23   43  +13       4.44    73.15     1.95    81.86     6.93    24.90     5.18    59.97    16.94P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       22   37  +10       1.83    60.91     2.61    74.87     7.02    17.40     0.66    22.24     5.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester            24   36  +11       0.56    53.27     7.19    67.39     6.83    12.48     0.04     3.80     0.74P    0.05R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       23   36   +6       4.87    76.75     6.05    67.32     6.72     6.26     0.02     3.00     0.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          24   36   +4       4.02    72.13     5.29    66.46     6.70     4.52     0.01     2.18     0.33P    0.09R    0.00  
Eastleigh          23   35   +7      -1.07    43.82     0.02    70.68     7.00    13.06     0.11     8.99     2.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          24   34  +11      -1.95    39.57     6.64    66.51     6.77    14.64     0.01     2.81     0.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Bromley            24   32   -2       0.68    54.29     0.70    60.41     6.57    -5.16     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.95R    0.01  
Sutton_United      23   29   -6       2.57    65.30     2.19    55.62     6.96   -13.54     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.71R    0.17  
Wrexham            24   29  -10      -2.93    34.29    -8.81    59.92     6.60    -8.85     0.00     0.15     0.04P    1.54R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors     23   26   -9       0.67    55.05     1.03    51.04     6.87   -19.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.77R    1.17  
Torquay            23   25   -8      -3.11    33.17    -3.00    53.08     6.74   -13.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.72R    0.53  
Maidstone_United   24   25  -17       1.26    58.53    -1.72    46.35     6.41   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.84R    5.42  
Woking             23   23   -8      -8.13    12.63    -6.63    53.59     6.87   -10.36     0.00     0.04     0.02P   10.57R    0.51  
Southport          23   21  -23      -2.09    38.71    -8.68    42.83     6.37   -39.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.93R   14.29  
Braintree_Town     22   20  -16      -8.57     9.91   -13.59    50.75     6.89   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.76R    1.42  
Guiseley           24   18  -13      -7.48    13.13    -1.10    40.60     6.29   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.13R   20.26  
North_Ferriby      24   18  -25      -2.41    36.78    -6.41    36.82     6.10   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.99R   49.48  
York               24   17  -21     -13.11     2.89   -16.64    45.76     6.76   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.82R    6.71