Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2016, Middlesbrough 1 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          14   34  +21       7.86    94.23     9.86    81.46     6.92    45.00    43.14    68.80    84.78    94.26    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          14   31  +19       3.03    71.63     4.75    78.11     6.86    42.65    24.02    49.71    71.77    87.69    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        14   30  +17       5.24    84.64     7.65    73.60     7.29    34.74     9.61    25.03    45.25    68.75    96.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         14   30  +15       2.14    65.36     0.55    76.77     6.98    38.33    18.44    41.18    63.51    82.94    99.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        14   27  +14       1.87    63.75     4.64    71.20     7.06    31.51     4.65    14.48    31.48    55.53    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          14   21   +3      -1.51    38.63    -1.78    60.51     7.12    12.84     0.12     0.66     2.50     7.78    56.48     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom        14   20   +3       2.08    66.03     5.14    48.07     6.87    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     4.83     3.52R    0.36  
Everton          14   20   +1      -0.28    47.93    -0.28    54.16     7.25     2.32     0.01     0.09     0.40     1.50    19.63     0.58R    0.03  
Stoke            14   19   -3       1.21    60.12    -0.81    45.55     6.82   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.06     7.70R    1.03  
Bournemouth      14   18   -3       2.58    70.15     4.29    44.52     6.92   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.67    10.82R    1.66  
Watford          14   18   -6       2.21    67.63    -0.22    44.25     6.86   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.52    11.58R    1.77  
Southampton      14   17   -2      -3.73    23.43    -4.08    53.36     7.15     2.94     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.02    16.59     0.71R    0.05  
Middlesbrough    14   15   -2      -1.41    40.03     2.32    42.84     7.02    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.27    14.78R    2.78  
Crystal_Palace   14   14   -2      -2.85    29.98     2.06    41.64     6.93   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.75    19.07R    4.05  
Burnley          14   14  -11      -0.37    48.49    -3.17    38.77     6.93   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    35.22R    9.58  
Leicester        14   13   -7      -6.72     9.37    -7.15    46.92     7.30    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     3.96     6.25R    0.84  
West_Ham         14   12  -14      -4.70    17.50    -8.91    42.37     7.29   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.00    19.18R    4.62  
Sunderland       14   11  -10      -3.38    24.95    -1.27    36.10     6.84   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    49.17R   17.11  
Hull             14   11  -18      -1.85    37.12    -7.60    32.32     6.62   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.80R   39.04  
Swansea          14    9  -15      -5.13    14.82    -5.99    36.29     7.02   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    48.57R   17.07  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2016, Birmingham 0 3 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       19   40  +21       3.52    70.64     4.87    92.42     7.59    44.99    69.84    91.66    99.60    94.61P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        19   39  +17       5.74    82.81     6.26    85.84     7.50    31.00    23.78    70.36    97.33    79.54P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         19   34   +1       8.84    91.90     2.39    69.01     7.65    -1.74     0.50     3.22    36.96     9.21P    0.51R    0.00  
Leeds_United    19   32   +3       6.69    86.12     3.92    66.80     7.53     0.18     0.20     1.79    27.52     6.68P    0.98R    0.00  
Birmingham      19   31   +2       4.10    74.39     0.56    65.97     7.57    -0.67     0.18     1.47    24.12     6.12P    1.34R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       19   31   +1       3.41    70.64    -1.37    71.36     7.67     6.24     0.97     5.62    50.63    16.71P    0.24R    0.00  
Norwich         19   30   +4      -0.47    47.15    -2.91    74.62     8.20    15.72     2.74    13.17    67.17    29.90P    0.12R    0.00  
Huddersfield    19   30   -3       6.83    86.61     1.39    63.36     7.66    -8.72     0.08     0.69    14.92     3.07P    3.39R    0.03  
Derby           19   29   +4      -1.60    39.83    -2.78    72.21     7.63    13.12     1.15     6.98    56.47    22.68P    0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          19   28   +9       1.16    57.47     8.06    66.19     7.84    10.50     0.24     1.73    27.92     7.48P    1.36R    0.02  
Bristol_City    19   27   +4       2.23    64.41     6.10    63.46     7.71     3.06     0.08     0.71    16.75     3.84P    3.03R    0.04  
Barnsley        19   25   +3       1.08    57.46     6.40    58.03     7.93    -3.95     0.01     0.19     5.98     1.28P   12.37R    0.22  
Nott'm_Forest   19   25   +1      -0.81    45.79     1.53    62.11     7.77     0.94     0.05     0.50    13.32     3.27P    4.57R    0.07  
Preston         19   25   +1      -0.69    46.07     1.23    61.45     7.59     0.68     0.03     0.31    10.89     2.65P    4.85R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     19   25   +1      -1.50    41.03    -0.19    63.23     7.81     2.98     0.08     0.74    16.16     4.46P    3.44R    0.05  
Ipswich         19   24   -2      -2.18    36.43    -2.57    61.14     7.58    -1.34     0.03     0.26    10.04     2.61P    5.43R    0.05  
QPR             19   23   -8      -1.85    39.04    -6.29    57.66     7.55   -11.34     0.01     0.09     4.00     0.88P   12.78R    0.39  
Brentford       19   22   -2      -4.28    25.03    -2.03    60.91     7.88     0.84     0.03     0.35    10.67     2.90P    6.28R    0.10  
Burton_Albion   19   22   -4       0.92    57.20     2.69    51.55     7.47   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.13P   37.46R    1.61  
Wolverhampton   19   21   -3      -4.22    25.30    -1.95    57.66     7.73    -3.34     0.01     0.10     4.90     1.16P   12.60R    0.31  
Blackburn       19   20   -7      -4.84    21.57    -5.48    54.18     7.57   -10.85     0.01     0.03     1.77     0.35P   24.42R    0.80  
Cardiff         19   19  -12      -4.46    23.84    -8.12    52.26     7.61   -17.22     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.21P   34.50R    1.65  
Wigan           19   18   -5      -5.93    17.25    -2.33    52.55     7.70    -7.90     0.00     0.02     1.21     0.27P   31.11R    1.50  
Rotherham       19    7  -26      -9.40     3.71    -9.38    30.83     7.05   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.10R   93.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2016, Sheff_Utd 0 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       20   44  +24       8.56    90.94    11.91    87.77     7.59    36.47    53.43    76.25    98.05    82.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           20   40  +12       7.61    87.66     4.83    83.02     7.65    23.06    23.50    50.61    92.95    62.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   38  +12       5.72    81.01     4.53    79.99     7.63    21.46    12.84    34.65    86.43    48.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         20   35   +9       3.41    70.43     2.89    75.42     7.49    16.14     4.76    15.24    69.78    30.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         20   30   +2       1.28    58.13     0.13    67.83     7.68     5.21     0.67     2.85    30.76     8.93P    1.09R    0.03  
Peterborough     19   29   +7      -0.46    47.22     1.84    70.47     7.86    13.71     1.52     6.18    45.32    16.11P    0.46R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon    20   29   +6       4.25    74.63     9.98    61.42     7.67     1.02     0.10     0.50    10.14     2.04P    6.12R    0.30  
Fleetwood_Town   20   29   +5       1.42    59.18     4.64    65.54     7.55     6.35     0.27     1.37    21.64     5.63P    1.85R    0.04  
Millwall         19   28   +1      -1.60    40.04    -4.31    71.29     7.85    10.70     1.82     6.82    48.78    17.93P    0.38R    0.01  
Southend         20   28   -1       2.48    65.45     1.82    61.92     7.50    -3.55     0.07     0.38     9.83     2.14P    5.63R    0.32  
Charlton         19   27   +7      -2.80    33.39     1.40    67.51     7.99    12.35     0.71     3.13    32.15    11.10P    1.24R    0.04  
Port_Vale        20   27   -5       1.82    61.81    -1.54    60.97     7.55    -7.47     0.04     0.26     7.88     1.68P    7.62R    0.50  
Bristol_Rovers   20   27   -6       4.30    74.86     1.75    58.26     7.63   -13.27     0.02     0.10     4.24     0.79P   14.60R    1.41  
Oxford_Utd       20   26   +0       0.28    52.41     2.32    60.53     7.69    -1.49     0.06     0.32     8.14     1.91P    8.20R    0.53  
Gillingham       20   26   -3      -2.39    36.35    -4.27    61.59     7.63    -3.43     0.08     0.50     9.83     2.55P    6.37R    0.44  
Walsall          20   26   -5      -2.56    34.98    -6.74    62.98     7.49    -2.84     0.08     0.54    12.53     3.36P    4.09R    0.21  
Northampton      20   24   +0      -1.16    43.70     3.72    56.61     7.79    -5.01     0.01     0.12     3.37     0.76P   18.74R    1.89  
Swindon          20   23   -7      -3.37    30.79    -5.29    56.48     7.56   -10.49     0.01     0.07     2.70     0.60P   19.18R    2.07  
MK_Dons          20   21   -5      -7.15    14.11    -6.06    57.06     7.82    -4.50     0.00     0.08     3.72     0.98P   17.20R    1.86  
Bury             20   20  -10      -2.26    37.05    -1.10    49.01     7.41   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   55.77R   13.33  
Coventry         20   19   -8      -8.11     9.89    -7.78    53.68     7.50    -9.21     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.28P   29.81R    3.97  
Chesterfield     20   18  -10      -6.47    15.94    -5.41    49.04     7.42   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   54.82R   12.87  
Oldham           19   17  -10      -4.29    23.79    -3.73    47.68     7.28   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   62.55R   15.90  
Shrewsbury       20   15  -15      -6.39    15.32    -5.54    42.55     7.27   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.24R   44.27  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Newport_County 0 2 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Doncaster            19   39  +14       4.28    73.68     0.28    88.43     8.10    33.66    52.39    85.61    98.76    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             19   38  +14       8.17    89.57     8.38    80.52     8.11    22.30    14.26    53.56    90.92    61.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             19   38   +8       6.36    83.97    -0.25    82.22     7.88    18.58    18.32    61.00    94.02    69.91P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           19   31  +12      -0.94    44.00     3.10    78.00     7.87    26.86     8.40    41.74    86.65    56.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                19   31  +10       1.50    59.24     4.93    71.83     7.87    15.70     1.92    15.97    62.27    27.29P    0.05R    0.02  
Yeovil               19   28   +1       2.92    68.38     2.18    62.56     7.69    -2.24     0.10     1.60    17.92     4.55P    1.63R    0.51  
Wycombe              19   28   +1       1.01    56.67    -0.53    66.47     7.74     3.43     0.36     4.41    33.72    10.97P    0.47R    0.12  
Blackpool            19   27  +11      -5.50    20.03     1.44    73.80     8.00    25.63     3.49    23.76    72.31    40.14P    0.04R    0.01  
Stevenage            19   27   +1       1.27    58.28     1.69    62.79     7.92    -1.26     0.14     1.92    19.80     5.31P    1.72R    0.57  
Barnet               19   27   +0       1.93    62.19     1.78    62.52     7.89    -2.65     0.10     1.68    18.48     4.78P    2.00R    0.66  
Grimsby              19   26   +2       1.33    58.63     4.05    58.72     7.97    -4.79     0.05     0.72     9.26     2.25P    5.24R    2.07  
Crewe                19   26   -3       0.28    52.09    -2.51    63.09     8.07    -2.98     0.17     2.20    20.79     6.18P    1.80R    0.60  
Cambridge_Utd        19   25   -2      -0.61    46.81    -1.31    61.93     7.84    -2.14     0.08     1.41    16.59     4.66P    2.19R    0.78  
Mansfield            19   25   -4       0.72    55.09    -1.58    59.03     7.78    -8.38     0.03     0.51     8.86     1.94P    4.95R    1.83  
Colchester           19   23   +1      -4.98    22.73    -1.73    63.40     8.27     5.93     0.17     2.81    24.08     8.24P    1.79R    0.60  
Crawley_Town         19   23  -11       2.59    67.36    -2.04    52.22     7.51   -23.16     0.00     0.05     1.39     0.24P   22.26R   11.17  
Morecambe            19   23  -13       2.82    68.19    -2.81    53.51     7.73   -24.57     0.00     0.09     2.16     0.35P   18.71R    9.36  
Hartlepool           19   22   -4       0.54    54.55     3.50    51.91     7.65   -15.49     0.00     0.06     1.59     0.30P   22.82R   11.28  
Notts_County         19   22   -8      -0.49    47.72    -2.22    52.02     7.70   -19.78     0.00     0.05     1.61     0.32P   23.09R   11.65  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -5      -5.39    20.21    -5.45    57.93     7.88    -5.15     0.01     0.45     7.68     2.16P    6.47R    2.52  
Exeter               19   20   -5      -3.88    27.39    -1.64    55.41     7.79    -7.49     0.01     0.19     4.01     0.90P   11.54R    5.17  
Leyton_Orient        19   18   -5      -8.51     8.71    -5.61    56.03     7.84    -3.41     0.00     0.17     4.95     1.32P    9.76R    4.24  
Cheltenham           19   18   -8      -5.17    20.98    -3.83    51.63     7.95   -12.93     0.00     0.04     1.68     0.38P   24.01R   12.92  
Newport_County       19   17   -7      -4.24    24.97     0.17    48.18     7.61   -15.69     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.08P   39.45R   23.91  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Wrexham 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Tranmere           24   50  +18       6.76    83.52     2.90    89.19     6.50    31.08    25.62    90.92    45.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       23   49  +27       9.63    91.88    14.54    88.93     7.01    40.07    28.53    89.96    42.47P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       23   47  +21       4.64    74.75     4.45    89.09     6.75    37.23    27.72    90.70    47.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          24   45  +10       3.91    70.12    -2.14    83.23     6.72    22.40     6.64    66.91    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             22   44  +20       9.46    91.94    13.56    81.34     7.21    26.83     5.14    57.01    14.64P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     23   43  +13       4.45    73.10     1.92    81.92     6.97    24.92     5.45    60.36    17.50P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       22   37  +10       1.73    59.85     2.44    74.96     7.01    17.57     0.75    22.44     5.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester            24   36  +11       0.47    52.83     7.06    67.35     6.79    12.45     0.01     3.49     0.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       23   36   +6       4.78    76.25     5.97    67.38     6.74     6.29     0.01     3.19     0.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          24   36   +4       4.12    72.61     5.44    66.41     6.69     4.44     0.01     2.27     0.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh          23   35   +7      -1.14    43.45    -0.14    70.79     7.04    13.21     0.10     9.27     2.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          24   34  +11      -1.94    39.21     6.63    66.59     6.81    14.72     0.01     3.01     0.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley            24   32   -2       0.82    54.95     0.96    60.24     6.55    -5.46     0.00     0.22     0.03P    1.05R    0.02  
Sutton_United      23   29   -6       2.55    65.11     2.07    55.69     6.95   -13.40     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.68R    0.22  
Wrexham            24   29  -10      -2.96    33.97    -8.86    59.87     6.59    -8.90     0.00     0.16     0.03P    1.49R    0.03  
Solihull_Moors     23   26   -9       0.53    53.95     0.79    51.19     6.89   -19.60     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.45R    1.09  
Torquay            23   25   -8      -3.14    32.92    -3.02    53.07     6.71   -13.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.90R    0.53  
Maidstone_United   24   25  -17       1.21    58.21    -1.84    46.37     6.42   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.88R    5.29  
Woking             23   23   -8      -8.18    12.49    -6.70    53.61     6.89   -10.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.54R    0.51  
Southport          23   21  -23      -2.17    38.29    -8.82    43.00     6.41   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.92R   13.64  
Braintree_Town     22   20  -16      -8.38    10.38   -13.30    50.51     6.90   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.70R    1.59  
Guiseley           24   18  -13      -7.54    13.27    -1.21    40.67     6.31   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.76R   19.81  
North_Ferriby      24   18  -25      -2.24    37.56    -6.08    36.68     6.04   -41.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.50R   50.61  
York               24   17  -21     -13.11     2.86   -16.62    45.74     6.70   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.86R    6.67