Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 7 December 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2016, Middlesbrough 1 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 14 34 +21 7.86 94.23 9.86 81.46 6.92 45.00 43.14 68.80 84.78 94.26 99.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 14 31 +19 3.03 71.63 4.75 78.11 6.86 42.65 24.02 49.71 71.77 87.69 99.38 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 14 30 +17 5.24 84.64 7.65 73.60 7.29 34.74 9.61 25.03 45.25 68.75 96.82 0.00 0.00 Man_City 14 30 +15 2.14 65.36 0.55 76.77 6.98 38.33 18.44 41.18 63.51 82.94 99.05 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 14 27 +14 1.87 63.75 4.64 71.20 7.06 31.51 4.65 14.48 31.48 55.53 94.72 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 14 21 +3 -1.51 38.63 -1.78 60.51 7.12 12.84 0.12 0.66 2.50 7.78 56.48 0.04R 0.00 West_Brom 14 20 +3 2.08 66.03 5.14 48.07 6.87 -4.92 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18 4.83 3.52R 0.36 Everton 14 20 +1 -0.28 47.93 -0.28 54.16 7.25 2.32 0.01 0.09 0.40 1.50 19.63 0.58R 0.03 Stoke 14 19 -3 1.21 60.12 -0.81 45.55 6.82 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 2.06 7.70R 1.03 Bournemouth 14 18 -3 2.58 70.15 4.29 44.52 6.92 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.67 10.82R 1.66 Watford 14 18 -6 2.21 67.63 -0.22 44.25 6.86 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.52 11.58R 1.77 Southampton 14 17 -2 -3.73 23.43 -4.08 53.36 7.15 2.94 0.00 0.03 0.22 1.02 16.59 0.71R 0.05 Middlesbrough 14 15 -2 -1.41 40.03 2.32 42.84 7.02 -9.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.27 14.78R 2.78 Crystal_Palace 14 14 -2 -2.85 29.98 2.06 41.64 6.93 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.75 19.07R 4.05 Burnley 14 14 -11 -0.37 48.49 -3.17 38.77 6.93 -24.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 35.22R 9.58 Leicester 14 13 -7 -6.72 9.37 -7.15 46.92 7.30 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 3.96 6.25R 0.84 West_Ham 14 12 -14 -4.70 17.50 -8.91 42.37 7.29 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.00 19.18R 4.62 Sunderland 14 11 -10 -3.38 24.95 -1.27 36.10 6.84 -23.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 49.17R 17.11 Hull 14 11 -18 -1.85 37.12 -7.60 32.32 6.62 -38.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 72.80R 39.04 Swansea 14 9 -15 -5.13 14.82 -5.99 36.29 7.02 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 48.57R 17.07Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2016, Birmingham 0 3 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 19 40 +21 3.52 70.64 4.87 92.42 7.59 44.99 69.84 91.66 99.60 94.61P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 19 39 +17 5.74 82.81 6.26 85.84 7.50 31.00 23.78 70.36 97.33 79.54P 0.00 0.00 Reading 19 34 +1 8.84 91.90 2.39 69.01 7.65 -1.74 0.50 3.22 36.96 9.21P 0.51R 0.00 Leeds_United 19 32 +3 6.69 86.12 3.92 66.80 7.53 0.18 0.20 1.79 27.52 6.68P 0.98R 0.00 Birmingham 19 31 +2 4.10 74.39 0.56 65.97 7.57 -0.67 0.18 1.47 24.12 6.12P 1.34R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 19 31 +1 3.41 70.64 -1.37 71.36 7.67 6.24 0.97 5.62 50.63 16.71P 0.24R 0.00 Norwich 19 30 +4 -0.47 47.15 -2.91 74.62 8.20 15.72 2.74 13.17 67.17 29.90P 0.12R 0.00 Huddersfield 19 30 -3 6.83 86.61 1.39 63.36 7.66 -8.72 0.08 0.69 14.92 3.07P 3.39R 0.03 Derby 19 29 +4 -1.60 39.83 -2.78 72.21 7.63 13.12 1.15 6.98 56.47 22.68P 0.12R 0.00 Fulham 19 28 +9 1.16 57.47 8.06 66.19 7.84 10.50 0.24 1.73 27.92 7.48P 1.36R 0.02 Bristol_City 19 27 +4 2.23 64.41 6.10 63.46 7.71 3.06 0.08 0.71 16.75 3.84P 3.03R 0.04 Barnsley 19 25 +3 1.08 57.46 6.40 58.03 7.93 -3.95 0.01 0.19 5.98 1.28P 12.37R 0.22 Nott'm_Forest 19 25 +1 -0.81 45.79 1.53 62.11 7.77 0.94 0.05 0.50 13.32 3.27P 4.57R 0.07 Preston 19 25 +1 -0.69 46.07 1.23 61.45 7.59 0.68 0.03 0.31 10.89 2.65P 4.85R 0.05 Aston_Villa 19 25 +1 -1.50 41.03 -0.19 63.23 7.81 2.98 0.08 0.74 16.16 4.46P 3.44R 0.05 Ipswich 19 24 -2 -2.18 36.43 -2.57 61.14 7.58 -1.34 0.03 0.26 10.04 2.61P 5.43R 0.05 QPR 19 23 -8 -1.85 39.04 -6.29 57.66 7.55 -11.34 0.01 0.09 4.00 0.88P 12.78R 0.39 Brentford 19 22 -2 -4.28 25.03 -2.03 60.91 7.88 0.84 0.03 0.35 10.67 2.90P 6.28R 0.10 Burton_Albion 19 22 -4 0.92 57.20 2.69 51.55 7.47 -14.39 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.13P 37.46R 1.61 Wolverhampton 19 21 -3 -4.22 25.30 -1.95 57.66 7.73 -3.34 0.01 0.10 4.90 1.16P 12.60R 0.31 Blackburn 19 20 -7 -4.84 21.57 -5.48 54.18 7.57 -10.85 0.01 0.03 1.77 0.35P 24.42R 0.80 Cardiff 19 19 -12 -4.46 23.84 -8.12 52.26 7.61 -17.22 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.21P 34.50R 1.65 Wigan 19 18 -5 -5.93 17.25 -2.33 52.55 7.70 -7.90 0.00 0.02 1.21 0.27P 31.11R 1.50 Rotherham 19 7 -26 -9.40 3.71 -9.38 30.83 7.05 -48.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.10R 93.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2016, Sheff_Utd 0 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 20 44 +24 8.56 90.94 11.91 87.77 7.59 36.47 53.43 76.25 98.05 82.44P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 20 40 +12 7.61 87.66 4.83 83.02 7.65 23.06 23.50 50.61 92.95 62.29P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 20 38 +12 5.72 81.01 4.53 79.99 7.63 21.46 12.84 34.65 86.43 48.28P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 20 35 +9 3.41 70.43 2.89 75.42 7.49 16.14 4.76 15.24 69.78 30.07P 0.04R 0.00 Rochdale 20 30 +2 1.28 58.13 0.13 67.83 7.68 5.21 0.67 2.85 30.76 8.93P 1.09R 0.03 Peterborough 19 29 +7 -0.46 47.22 1.84 70.47 7.86 13.71 1.52 6.18 45.32 16.11P 0.46R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 20 29 +6 4.25 74.63 9.98 61.42 7.67 1.02 0.10 0.50 10.14 2.04P 6.12R 0.30 Fleetwood_Town 20 29 +5 1.42 59.18 4.64 65.54 7.55 6.35 0.27 1.37 21.64 5.63P 1.85R 0.04 Millwall 19 28 +1 -1.60 40.04 -4.31 71.29 7.85 10.70 1.82 6.82 48.78 17.93P 0.38R 0.01 Southend 20 28 -1 2.48 65.45 1.82 61.92 7.50 -3.55 0.07 0.38 9.83 2.14P 5.63R 0.32 Charlton 19 27 +7 -2.80 33.39 1.40 67.51 7.99 12.35 0.71 3.13 32.15 11.10P 1.24R 0.04 Port_Vale 20 27 -5 1.82 61.81 -1.54 60.97 7.55 -7.47 0.04 0.26 7.88 1.68P 7.62R 0.50 Bristol_Rovers 20 27 -6 4.30 74.86 1.75 58.26 7.63 -13.27 0.02 0.10 4.24 0.79P 14.60R 1.41 Oxford_Utd 20 26 +0 0.28 52.41 2.32 60.53 7.69 -1.49 0.06 0.32 8.14 1.91P 8.20R 0.53 Gillingham 20 26 -3 -2.39 36.35 -4.27 61.59 7.63 -3.43 0.08 0.50 9.83 2.55P 6.37R 0.44 Walsall 20 26 -5 -2.56 34.98 -6.74 62.98 7.49 -2.84 0.08 0.54 12.53 3.36P 4.09R 0.21 Northampton 20 24 +0 -1.16 43.70 3.72 56.61 7.79 -5.01 0.01 0.12 3.37 0.76P 18.74R 1.89 Swindon 20 23 -7 -3.37 30.79 -5.29 56.48 7.56 -10.49 0.01 0.07 2.70 0.60P 19.18R 2.07 MK_Dons 20 21 -5 -7.15 14.11 -6.06 57.06 7.82 -4.50 0.00 0.08 3.72 0.98P 17.20R 1.86 Bury 20 20 -10 -2.26 37.05 -1.10 49.01 7.41 -21.17 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 55.77R 13.33 Coventry 20 19 -8 -8.11 9.89 -7.78 53.68 7.50 -9.21 0.00 0.01 1.14 0.28P 29.81R 3.97 Chesterfield 20 18 -10 -6.47 15.94 -5.41 49.04 7.42 -17.79 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 54.82R 12.87 Oldham 19 17 -10 -4.29 23.79 -3.73 47.68 7.28 -18.02 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.04P 62.55R 15.90 Shrewsbury 20 15 -15 -6.39 15.32 -5.54 42.55 7.27 -28.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 84.24R 44.27League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Newport_County 0 2 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Doncaster 19 39 +14 4.28 73.68 0.28 88.43 8.10 33.66 52.39 85.61 98.76 89.59P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 19 38 +14 8.17 89.57 8.38 80.52 8.11 22.30 14.26 53.56 90.92 61.98P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 19 38 +8 6.36 83.97 -0.25 82.22 7.88 18.58 18.32 61.00 94.02 69.91P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 19 31 +12 -0.94 44.00 3.10 78.00 7.87 26.86 8.40 41.74 86.65 56.17P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 19 31 +10 1.50 59.24 4.93 71.83 7.87 15.70 1.92 15.97 62.27 27.29P 0.05R 0.02 Yeovil 19 28 +1 2.92 68.38 2.18 62.56 7.69 -2.24 0.10 1.60 17.92 4.55P 1.63R 0.51 Wycombe 19 28 +1 1.01 56.67 -0.53 66.47 7.74 3.43 0.36 4.41 33.72 10.97P 0.47R 0.12 Blackpool 19 27 +11 -5.50 20.03 1.44 73.80 8.00 25.63 3.49 23.76 72.31 40.14P 0.04R 0.01 Stevenage 19 27 +1 1.27 58.28 1.69 62.79 7.92 -1.26 0.14 1.92 19.80 5.31P 1.72R 0.57 Barnet 19 27 +0 1.93 62.19 1.78 62.52 7.89 -2.65 0.10 1.68 18.48 4.78P 2.00R 0.66 Grimsby 19 26 +2 1.33 58.63 4.05 58.72 7.97 -4.79 0.05 0.72 9.26 2.25P 5.24R 2.07 Crewe 19 26 -3 0.28 52.09 -2.51 63.09 8.07 -2.98 0.17 2.20 20.79 6.18P 1.80R 0.60 Cambridge_Utd 19 25 -2 -0.61 46.81 -1.31 61.93 7.84 -2.14 0.08 1.41 16.59 4.66P 2.19R 0.78 Mansfield 19 25 -4 0.72 55.09 -1.58 59.03 7.78 -8.38 0.03 0.51 8.86 1.94P 4.95R 1.83 Colchester 19 23 +1 -4.98 22.73 -1.73 63.40 8.27 5.93 0.17 2.81 24.08 8.24P 1.79R 0.60 Crawley_Town 19 23 -11 2.59 67.36 -2.04 52.22 7.51 -23.16 0.00 0.05 1.39 0.24P 22.26R 11.17 Morecambe 19 23 -13 2.82 68.19 -2.81 53.51 7.73 -24.57 0.00 0.09 2.16 0.35P 18.71R 9.36 Hartlepool 19 22 -4 0.54 54.55 3.50 51.91 7.65 -15.49 0.00 0.06 1.59 0.30P 22.82R 11.28 Notts_County 19 22 -8 -0.49 47.72 -2.22 52.02 7.70 -19.78 0.00 0.05 1.61 0.32P 23.09R 11.65 Accrington_Stanley 19 21 -5 -5.39 20.21 -5.45 57.93 7.88 -5.15 0.01 0.45 7.68 2.16P 6.47R 2.52 Exeter 19 20 -5 -3.88 27.39 -1.64 55.41 7.79 -7.49 0.01 0.19 4.01 0.90P 11.54R 5.17 Leyton_Orient 19 18 -5 -8.51 8.71 -5.61 56.03 7.84 -3.41 0.00 0.17 4.95 1.32P 9.76R 4.24 Cheltenham 19 18 -8 -5.17 20.98 -3.83 51.63 7.95 -12.93 0.00 0.04 1.68 0.38P 24.01R 12.92 Newport_County 19 17 -7 -4.24 24.97 0.17 48.18 7.61 -15.69 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.08P 39.45R 23.91National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2016, Wrexham 0 3 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 24 50 +18 6.76 83.52 2.90 89.19 6.50 31.08 25.62 90.92 45.73P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 49 +27 9.63 91.88 14.54 88.93 7.01 40.07 28.53 89.96 42.47P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 23 47 +21 4.64 74.75 4.45 89.09 6.75 37.23 27.72 90.70 47.01P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 24 45 +10 3.91 70.12 -2.14 83.23 6.72 22.40 6.64 66.91 22.56P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 22 44 +20 9.46 91.94 13.56 81.34 7.21 26.83 5.14 57.01 14.64P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 23 43 +13 4.45 73.10 1.92 81.92 6.97 24.92 5.45 60.36 17.50P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 22 37 +10 1.73 59.85 2.44 74.96 7.01 17.57 0.75 22.44 5.66P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 24 36 +11 0.47 52.83 7.06 67.35 6.79 12.45 0.01 3.49 0.69P 0.06R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 36 +6 4.78 76.25 5.97 67.38 6.74 6.29 0.01 3.19 0.62P 0.04R 0.00 Aldershot 24 36 +4 4.12 72.61 5.44 66.41 6.69 4.44 0.01 2.27 0.35P 0.07R 0.00 Eastleigh 23 35 +7 -1.14 43.45 -0.14 70.79 7.04 13.21 0.10 9.27 2.07P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 24 34 +11 -1.94 39.21 6.63 66.59 6.81 14.72 0.01 3.01 0.62P 0.07R 0.00 Bromley 24 32 -2 0.82 54.95 0.96 60.24 6.55 -5.46 0.00 0.22 0.03P 1.05R 0.02 Sutton_United 23 29 -6 2.55 65.11 2.07 55.69 6.95 -13.40 0.00 0.06 0.01P 6.68R 0.22 Wrexham 24 29 -10 -2.96 33.97 -8.86 59.87 6.59 -8.90 0.00 0.16 0.03P 1.49R 0.03 Solihull_Moors 23 26 -9 0.53 53.95 0.79 51.19 6.89 -19.60 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.45R 1.09 Torquay 23 25 -8 -3.14 32.92 -3.02 53.07 6.71 -13.28 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.90R 0.53 Maidstone_United 24 25 -17 1.21 58.21 -1.84 46.37 6.42 -32.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.88R 5.29 Woking 23 23 -8 -8.18 12.49 -6.70 53.61 6.89 -10.31 0.00 0.02 0.00P 10.54R 0.51 Southport 23 21 -23 -2.17 38.29 -8.82 43.00 6.41 -39.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.92R 13.64 Braintree_Town 22 20 -16 -8.38 10.38 -13.30 50.51 6.90 -19.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.70R 1.59 Guiseley 24 18 -13 -7.54 13.27 -1.21 40.67 6.31 -24.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.76R 19.81 North_Ferriby 24 18 -25 -2.24 37.56 -6.08 36.68 6.04 -41.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.50R 50.61 York 24 17 -21 -13.11 2.86 -16.62 45.74 6.70 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.86R 6.67