Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2016, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          12   28  +18       5.39    87.09     8.27    77.20     7.51    39.90    26.07    49.27    68.53    84.03    98.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   27  +16       6.30    90.78     8.98    75.20     7.65    36.72    18.14    38.39    58.76    77.40    96.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   27  +16       2.43    69.32     2.43    78.33     7.41    42.07    32.53    55.85    73.90    87.44    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   25  +13       2.08    65.99     2.97    75.32     7.36    36.89    17.34    38.09    59.57    78.46    97.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   24  +10       2.75    71.19     2.67    70.16     7.47    25.97     5.31    15.47    30.29    50.52    89.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          12   19   +3      -0.26    47.67    -1.07    62.50     7.52    14.75     0.51     2.32     6.67    14.93    59.46     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          12   19   +2       0.99    58.30     0.07    55.62     7.64     3.00     0.05     0.32     1.18     3.46    22.33     0.40R    0.04  
Watford          12   18   -3       4.35    82.51     1.72    48.01     7.43   -13.23     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.31     3.87     4.72R    0.63  
West_Brom        12   16   +1       1.40    62.63     3.92    46.73     7.25    -6.80     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.17     2.87     5.46R    0.75  
Bournemouth      12   15   -2       1.16    60.74     2.70    41.99     7.23   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.68    18.02R    3.63  
Southampton      12   14   +0      -3.96    20.38    -2.14    54.75     7.61     7.45     0.03     0.19     0.75     2.41    19.54     0.56R    0.04  
Burnley          12   14   -8       1.13    61.27    -2.20    41.55     7.43   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.68    21.17R    4.86  
Stoke            12   13   -6      -1.44    38.77    -2.84    41.31     7.23   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    20.13R    4.36  
Leicester        12   12   -6      -4.63    16.64    -5.80    49.96     7.78    -2.93     0.01     0.05     0.19     0.66     7.16     3.15R    0.46  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -3      -2.51    30.23     1.37    40.80     7.46   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.68    22.06R    5.48  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -4      -2.86    27.82     0.26    39.89     7.23   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    25.65R    6.66  
West_Ham         12   11  -10      -4.35    17.84    -7.46    43.53     7.67   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     1.45    14.32R    3.20  
Hull             12   10  -17      -0.65    46.47    -7.37    33.54     7.04   -38.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    63.08R   29.30  
Sunderland       12    8   -9      -4.56    15.56    -2.11    34.13     7.18   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    57.13R   24.81  
Swansea          12    6  -11      -6.43     7.04    -4.38    36.33     7.35   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    44.12R   15.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 November 2016, Barnsley 2 5 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       17   40  +23       6.59    87.36     7.25    97.88     7.98    51.47    84.17    97.34    99.92    98.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35  +16       5.26    82.26     6.43    85.74     7.98    31.74    13.37    70.24    96.64    79.16P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   31   +5       7.69    90.54     4.98    70.47     8.12     4.88     0.38     5.13    47.41    13.78P    0.32R    0.00  
Huddersfield    17   29   -2       8.33    92.34     2.01    65.61     8.12    -6.91     0.10     1.58    24.67     5.51P    1.74R    0.03  
Birmingham      17   28   +4       3.27    71.18     1.71    66.79     8.00     2.85     0.21     2.20    30.57     8.65P    0.95R    0.01  
Norwich         17   27   +0       0.41    52.78    -5.01    72.73     8.71     9.18     0.98     9.70    58.77    23.64P    0.30R    0.01  
Leeds_United    17   26   +0       4.15    76.43     1.95    62.79     7.92    -3.87     0.04     0.77    15.54     3.83P    3.15R    0.09  
Fulham          17   25   +5       1.79    62.14     5.39    63.86     8.20     3.23     0.07     1.30    21.04     5.50P    2.60R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   -2       1.00    57.18    -3.19    66.94     8.02     1.58     0.13     1.97    31.21     9.29P    1.04R    0.03  
Bristol_City    17   24   +3       1.96    63.44     5.04    62.47     8.14     0.93     0.03     0.68    16.22     3.77P    3.70R    0.13  
Preston         17   24   +2       0.99    57.44     2.12    63.92     8.01     2.81     0.02     0.92    20.08     5.43P    2.42R    0.05  
Derby           17   23   +2      -4.14    24.26    -3.72    68.81     8.05    10.94     0.28     3.66    41.77    15.68P    0.53R    0.00  
QPR             17   23   -4      -0.23    48.82    -3.94    61.84     8.07    -5.14     0.02     0.60    13.32     3.61P    4.53R    0.19  
Brentford       17   22   +4      -2.93    31.36     1.62    65.83     8.32    10.12     0.11     1.95    29.15     9.39P    1.56R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     17   22   +1      -1.59    39.97     0.09    63.48     8.33     3.76     0.04     1.09    19.80     5.97P    3.18R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest   18   22   +0      -2.64    33.82     0.22    59.56     7.98    -1.53     0.01     0.28     8.93     2.33P    7.07R    0.29  
Barnsley        18   22   +0       0.28    52.68     4.81    54.53     8.10    -9.89     0.00     0.05     2.87     0.57P   21.22R    1.44  
Ipswich         17   21   -3      -2.10    35.95    -3.05    60.50     8.03    -2.80     0.01     0.29    10.62     2.75P    6.06R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   17   18   -2      -4.83    20.45    -1.45    57.78     8.15    -1.73     0.01     0.17     6.43     1.68P   10.94R    0.51  
Burton_Albion   17   18   -5      -0.16    50.17     1.96    49.55     7.90   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.11P   42.97R    5.34  
Cardiff         17   18  -10      -3.67    26.85    -7.41    53.61     7.93   -15.68     0.00     0.03     1.89     0.45P   24.90R    1.69  
Blackburn       17   16   -8      -6.16    14.44    -6.65    51.63     7.98   -14.03     0.00     0.03     1.17     0.26P   32.66R    2.82  
Wigan           17   15   -5      -6.41    13.62    -2.60    51.69     8.11    -8.74     0.00     0.02     1.37     0.33P   31.46R    3.30  
Rotherham       17    7  -24      -7.37     7.35    -8.59    33.38     7.51   -46.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R   83.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Bolton 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       19   43  +24       9.18    92.85    12.14    89.33     7.77    38.25    56.68    78.48    98.50    84.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   37  +13       7.31    88.72     5.24    82.58     8.06    23.72    18.54    44.74    90.33    56.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton           19   37  +11       6.30    83.81     4.29    81.18     7.93    21.80    14.34    36.70    87.61    50.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   35  +10       4.67    77.49     3.70    77.00     7.65    17.46     5.73    18.43    74.67    33.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         19   30   +5       1.68    60.63     1.68    70.11     7.90     9.59     1.06     4.60    41.43    12.84P    0.49R    0.01  
Peterborough     19   29   +7      -0.61    46.19     1.61    70.74     7.84    14.10     1.22     5.30    45.11    15.36P    0.39R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon    19   28   +6       4.80    77.81    10.26    61.76     7.90     1.00     0.08     0.50    10.87     2.34P    5.84R    0.34  
Fleetwood_Town   19   28   +5       1.73    61.32     4.60    65.75     7.73     6.13     0.21     1.31    21.61     5.57P    1.83R    0.06  
Southend         19   27   -1       2.66    67.11     1.69    61.68     7.65    -4.50     0.06     0.35     8.88     1.82P    5.97R    0.40  
Bristol_Rovers   19   27   -5       5.18    79.78     1.89    59.53     7.90   -12.26     0.04     0.19     5.84     1.08P   11.44R    1.09  
Charlton         18   26   +7      -2.28    35.82     1.64    68.10     8.24    12.62     0.78     3.55    33.52    11.52P    1.17R    0.04  
Port_Vale        19   26   -5       2.21    64.39    -1.42    61.29     7.75    -7.68     0.05     0.29     8.28     1.71P    7.11R    0.52  
Millwall         18   25   +0      -2.86    32.43    -4.68    69.70     8.15     9.77     1.05     4.37    39.51    14.01P    0.83R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd       19   25   +0       0.44    53.43     2.04    59.78     7.91    -3.30     0.05     0.27     6.77     1.65P    9.82R    0.87  
Northampton      19   24   +1      -0.31    48.64     3.98    58.35     7.97    -3.51     0.03     0.22     5.16     1.20P   13.28R    1.31  
Gillingham       19   23   -6      -3.23    31.04    -6.01    59.34     7.83    -7.50     0.03     0.21     5.97     1.44P   10.83R    0.97  
Walsall          18   22   -6      -3.66    28.08    -7.44    61.29     7.88    -4.65     0.04     0.36     9.13     2.42P    7.04R    0.48  
Swindon          19   20   -8      -4.88    22.08    -6.03    54.66     7.68   -11.85     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.33P   25.78R    3.35  
Bury             19   20   -9      -1.20    43.43    -0.69    50.38     7.61   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P   47.61R    9.94  
Coventry         19   19   -7      -6.91    12.89    -7.03    55.78     7.76    -7.12     0.00     0.04     2.39     0.61P   20.59R    2.52  
MK_Dons          19   18   -6      -8.50     9.20    -6.57    54.64     8.08    -6.68     0.00     0.03     2.12     0.57P   25.85R    3.81  
Oldham           19   17  -10      -4.22    23.62    -3.60    47.57     7.26   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   61.33R   15.97  
Chesterfield     19   15  -11      -7.74    10.61    -5.89    47.51     7.62   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   61.10R   17.29  
Shrewsbury       19   14  -15      -6.05    15.78    -5.41    42.95     7.46   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   81.67R   40.96  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Cheltenham 0 3 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             18   38   +9       7.93    90.03     1.10    84.76     8.05    21.34    30.90    73.15    97.00    79.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             18   35  +11       7.55    88.39     6.94    78.09     8.24    17.96     9.69    42.03    85.69    51.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   33  +11       2.29    63.75    -0.43    85.24     8.66    30.33    37.12    75.12    96.43    81.75P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           18   31  +13       0.36    51.99     4.08    80.37     8.03    29.34    15.63    55.54    92.18    67.31P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                18   30  +10       2.11    63.23     5.24    72.68     8.09    16.36     3.04    19.43    68.01    31.21P    0.07R    0.02  
Grimsby              18   26   +3       2.35    64.85     4.43    60.82     8.19    -2.30     0.12     1.58    15.65     4.23P    3.81R    1.39  
Crewe                18   26   +1       0.31    52.22    -0.56    66.16     8.33     3.68     0.54     5.50    35.67    12.61P    1.02R    0.35  
Wycombe              18   25   -1       0.11    51.17    -1.60    64.35     7.91     0.81     0.23     2.93    26.82     8.26P    1.25R    0.41  
Mansfield            18   25   -1       1.30    59.06     0.10    61.35     7.97    -3.68     0.10     1.42    16.18     4.44P    2.89R    1.10  
Blackpool            18   24   +8      -5.73    18.17     0.57    71.27     8.26    21.10     2.22    16.18    62.65    31.87P    0.17R    0.06  
Barnet               18   24   -1       0.90    56.36     1.54    60.96     8.19    -3.41     0.11     1.37    16.12     4.05P    3.90R    1.58  
Yeovil               17   24   -4       3.14    71.09    -0.84    59.41     8.01    -9.79     0.03     0.80    11.12     2.55P    5.40R    2.15  
Hartlepool           18   22   -2       1.24    59.30     4.34    53.56     7.88   -12.86     0.00     0.11     3.01     0.54P   18.46R    9.17  
Cambridge_Utd        18   22   -4      -1.71    39.67    -2.64    59.65     7.99    -4.93     0.04     0.78    11.80     3.12P    4.91R    2.04  
Notts_County         18   22   -7       0.73    55.73    -1.58    53.59     7.92   -18.12     0.01     0.16     3.03     0.60P   18.93R    9.48  
Stevenage            16   21   -1      -0.35    48.21    -0.10    58.73     8.49    -6.45     0.06     0.99    11.52     2.92P    7.31R    3.21  
Colchester           18   20   -3      -5.21    21.01    -3.58    59.73     8.50    -1.28     0.07     1.13    14.19     4.29P    5.79R    2.48  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -5      -5.13    20.80    -5.63    58.63     8.10    -4.58     0.03     0.70    10.31     2.98P    6.36R    2.61  
Crawley_Town         17   20   -7       1.00    58.06    -0.43    52.61     7.99   -17.58     0.00     0.09     2.36     0.50P   22.82R   11.99  
Morecambe            18   20  -14       1.07    58.26    -4.10    50.40     7.89   -27.76     0.00     0.03     1.16     0.16P   33.17R   19.48  
Exeter               18   19   -5      -3.71    27.82    -1.93    55.20     8.03    -8.31     0.01     0.22     4.74     1.12P   13.43R    6.45  
Leyton_Orient        18   18   -3      -7.75    10.39    -4.65    57.55     8.06    -1.19     0.03     0.52     8.41     2.52P    7.65R    3.31  
Cheltenham           18   18   -6      -4.49    23.74    -2.95    54.00     8.20    -9.22     0.01     0.17     3.91     0.96P   17.28R    8.58  
Newport_County       17   17   -2      -3.03    30.96     2.68    51.59     8.06    -9.45     0.01     0.07     2.03     0.41P   25.37R   14.14  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       22   47  +23       5.69    80.35     5.96    91.32     6.86    40.62    40.78    94.48    57.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       21   43  +24       8.03    88.77    14.21    87.19     7.37    39.94    20.93    84.23    35.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   42  +13       4.51    74.59     0.04    86.93     7.28    29.37    17.70    82.08    36.83P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             21   41  +17       8.40    89.87    11.38    77.93     7.33    21.09     2.29    37.32     8.40P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           21   41  +15       3.77    72.02     2.49    85.47     7.03    29.81    12.15    77.78    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     21   40   +8       6.07    81.63     0.09    80.47     7.41    17.86     4.09    50.31    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       21   36  +10       6.52    84.73     8.55    71.06     7.16    11.73     0.20     9.99     1.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          21   35  +11       1.10    56.78     3.00    75.73     7.44    20.58     1.07    27.42     7.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          21   34  +16       0.81    54.87     9.43    72.90     7.39    23.17     0.48    17.23     3.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   34   +7       1.00    56.00     0.74    72.47     7.20    13.35     0.30    14.17     3.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          22   33   +4       3.87    72.17     5.42    66.33     7.14     4.79     0.01     2.78     0.46P    0.13R    0.00  
Chester            21   29   +5      -0.21    49.03     4.40    63.30     7.35     4.55     0.01     1.47     0.26P    0.55R    0.01  
Sutton_United      21   26   -2       0.79    55.57     3.56    56.71     7.46    -7.27     0.00     0.17     0.03P    5.04R    0.17  
Bromley            21   26   -6       0.25    52.46    -1.10    57.74     7.16   -10.61     0.00     0.18     0.04P    3.62R    0.09  
Wrexham            21   26   -8      -2.79    33.80    -8.21    60.27     7.16    -7.88     0.00     0.35     0.06P    1.70R    0.03  
Torquay            21   22   -8      -4.16    26.61    -4.16    50.82     6.95   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.44R    1.21  
Solihull_Moors     21   22  -11       0.25    52.96     0.56    49.66     7.38   -22.29     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.50R    2.52  
Maidstone_United   21   22  -14       0.45    54.15    -2.04    45.96     7.09   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.70R    6.12  
Southport          21   20  -22      -0.54    47.76    -8.30    44.83     6.78   -37.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.54R    7.84  
Woking             21   17  -12     -10.08     6.36    -8.55    49.63     7.34   -15.64     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.90R    2.27  
Braintree_Town     21   17  -17      -9.58     6.47   -14.00    48.52     7.02   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.93R    2.63  
York               21   16  -17     -11.60     4.03   -15.07    49.81     7.40   -18.05     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.82R    2.55  
North_Ferriby      21   15  -21      -3.57    28.59    -5.61    36.93     6.80   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.02R   42.13  
Guiseley           21   13  -15      -8.23     8.52    -2.80    37.91     6.78   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.10R   32.43