Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 25 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2016, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 12 28 +18 5.39 87.09 8.27 77.20 7.51 39.90 26.07 49.27 68.53 84.03 98.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 12 27 +16 6.30 90.78 8.98 75.20 7.65 36.72 18.14 38.39 58.76 77.40 96.61 0.00 0.00 Man_City 12 27 +16 2.43 69.32 2.43 78.33 7.41 42.07 32.53 55.85 73.90 87.44 98.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 25 +13 2.08 65.99 2.97 75.32 7.36 36.89 17.34 38.09 59.57 78.46 97.20 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 24 +10 2.75 71.19 2.67 70.16 7.47 25.97 5.31 15.47 30.29 50.52 89.34 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 12 19 +3 -0.26 47.67 -1.07 62.50 7.52 14.75 0.51 2.32 6.67 14.93 59.46 0.02R 0.00 Everton 12 19 +2 0.99 58.30 0.07 55.62 7.64 3.00 0.05 0.32 1.18 3.46 22.33 0.40R 0.04 Watford 12 18 -3 4.35 82.51 1.72 48.01 7.43 -13.23 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.31 3.87 4.72R 0.63 West_Brom 12 16 +1 1.40 62.63 3.92 46.73 7.25 -6.80 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 2.87 5.46R 0.75 Bournemouth 12 15 -2 1.16 60.74 2.70 41.99 7.23 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.68 18.02R 3.63 Southampton 12 14 +0 -3.96 20.38 -2.14 54.75 7.61 7.45 0.03 0.19 0.75 2.41 19.54 0.56R 0.04 Burnley 12 14 -8 1.13 61.27 -2.20 41.55 7.43 -21.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.68 21.17R 4.86 Stoke 12 13 -6 -1.44 38.77 -2.84 41.31 7.23 -18.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.53 20.13R 4.36 Leicester 12 12 -6 -4.63 16.64 -5.80 49.96 7.78 -2.93 0.01 0.05 0.19 0.66 7.16 3.15R 0.46 Middlesbrough 12 11 -3 -2.51 30.23 1.37 40.80 7.46 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.68 22.06R 5.48 Crystal_Palace 12 11 -4 -2.86 27.82 0.26 39.89 7.23 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.37 25.65R 6.66 West_Ham 12 11 -10 -4.35 17.84 -7.46 43.53 7.67 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08 1.45 14.32R 3.20 Hull 12 10 -17 -0.65 46.47 -7.37 33.54 7.04 -38.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 63.08R 29.30 Sunderland 12 8 -9 -4.56 15.56 -2.11 34.13 7.18 -25.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 57.13R 24.81 Swansea 12 6 -11 -6.43 7.04 -4.38 36.33 7.35 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 44.12R 15.78Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 November 2016, Barnsley 2 5 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 17 40 +23 6.59 87.36 7.25 97.88 7.98 51.47 84.17 97.34 99.92 98.32P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 17 35 +16 5.26 82.26 6.43 85.74 7.98 31.74 13.37 70.24 96.64 79.16P 0.00 0.00 Reading 17 31 +5 7.69 90.54 4.98 70.47 8.12 4.88 0.38 5.13 47.41 13.78P 0.32R 0.00 Huddersfield 17 29 -2 8.33 92.34 2.01 65.61 8.12 -6.91 0.10 1.58 24.67 5.51P 1.74R 0.03 Birmingham 17 28 +4 3.27 71.18 1.71 66.79 8.00 2.85 0.21 2.20 30.57 8.65P 0.95R 0.01 Norwich 17 27 +0 0.41 52.78 -5.01 72.73 8.71 9.18 0.98 9.70 58.77 23.64P 0.30R 0.01 Leeds_United 17 26 +0 4.15 76.43 1.95 62.79 7.92 -3.87 0.04 0.77 15.54 3.83P 3.15R 0.09 Fulham 17 25 +5 1.79 62.14 5.39 63.86 8.20 3.23 0.07 1.30 21.04 5.50P 2.60R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 17 25 -2 1.00 57.18 -3.19 66.94 8.02 1.58 0.13 1.97 31.21 9.29P 1.04R 0.03 Bristol_City 17 24 +3 1.96 63.44 5.04 62.47 8.14 0.93 0.03 0.68 16.22 3.77P 3.70R 0.13 Preston 17 24 +2 0.99 57.44 2.12 63.92 8.01 2.81 0.02 0.92 20.08 5.43P 2.42R 0.05 Derby 17 23 +2 -4.14 24.26 -3.72 68.81 8.05 10.94 0.28 3.66 41.77 15.68P 0.53R 0.00 QPR 17 23 -4 -0.23 48.82 -3.94 61.84 8.07 -5.14 0.02 0.60 13.32 3.61P 4.53R 0.19 Brentford 17 22 +4 -2.93 31.36 1.62 65.83 8.32 10.12 0.11 1.95 29.15 9.39P 1.56R 0.04 Aston_Villa 17 22 +1 -1.59 39.97 0.09 63.48 8.33 3.76 0.04 1.09 19.80 5.97P 3.18R 0.08 Nott'm_Forest 18 22 +0 -2.64 33.82 0.22 59.56 7.98 -1.53 0.01 0.28 8.93 2.33P 7.07R 0.29 Barnsley 18 22 +0 0.28 52.68 4.81 54.53 8.10 -9.89 0.00 0.05 2.87 0.57P 21.22R 1.44 Ipswich 17 21 -3 -2.10 35.95 -3.05 60.50 8.03 -2.80 0.01 0.29 10.62 2.75P 6.06R 0.21 Wolverhampton 17 18 -2 -4.83 20.45 -1.45 57.78 8.15 -1.73 0.01 0.17 6.43 1.68P 10.94R 0.51 Burton_Albion 17 18 -5 -0.16 50.17 1.96 49.55 7.90 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.11P 42.97R 5.34 Cardiff 17 18 -10 -3.67 26.85 -7.41 53.61 7.93 -15.68 0.00 0.03 1.89 0.45P 24.90R 1.69 Blackburn 17 16 -8 -6.16 14.44 -6.65 51.63 7.98 -14.03 0.00 0.03 1.17 0.26P 32.66R 2.82 Wigan 17 15 -5 -6.41 13.62 -2.60 51.69 8.11 -8.74 0.00 0.02 1.37 0.33P 31.46R 3.30 Rotherham 17 7 -24 -7.37 7.35 -8.59 33.38 7.51 -46.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.69R 83.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Bolton 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 19 43 +24 9.18 92.85 12.14 89.33 7.77 38.25 56.68 78.48 98.50 84.25P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 18 37 +13 7.31 88.72 5.24 82.58 8.06 23.72 18.54 44.74 90.33 56.94P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 19 37 +11 6.30 83.81 4.29 81.18 7.93 21.80 14.34 36.70 87.61 50.91P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 19 35 +10 4.67 77.49 3.70 77.00 7.65 17.46 5.73 18.43 74.67 33.30P 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 19 30 +5 1.68 60.63 1.68 70.11 7.90 9.59 1.06 4.60 41.43 12.84P 0.49R 0.01 Peterborough 19 29 +7 -0.61 46.19 1.61 70.74 7.84 14.10 1.22 5.30 45.11 15.36P 0.39R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 19 28 +6 4.80 77.81 10.26 61.76 7.90 1.00 0.08 0.50 10.87 2.34P 5.84R 0.34 Fleetwood_Town 19 28 +5 1.73 61.32 4.60 65.75 7.73 6.13 0.21 1.31 21.61 5.57P 1.83R 0.06 Southend 19 27 -1 2.66 67.11 1.69 61.68 7.65 -4.50 0.06 0.35 8.88 1.82P 5.97R 0.40 Bristol_Rovers 19 27 -5 5.18 79.78 1.89 59.53 7.90 -12.26 0.04 0.19 5.84 1.08P 11.44R 1.09 Charlton 18 26 +7 -2.28 35.82 1.64 68.10 8.24 12.62 0.78 3.55 33.52 11.52P 1.17R 0.04 Port_Vale 19 26 -5 2.21 64.39 -1.42 61.29 7.75 -7.68 0.05 0.29 8.28 1.71P 7.11R 0.52 Millwall 18 25 +0 -2.86 32.43 -4.68 69.70 8.15 9.77 1.05 4.37 39.51 14.01P 0.83R 0.05 Oxford_Utd 19 25 +0 0.44 53.43 2.04 59.78 7.91 -3.30 0.05 0.27 6.77 1.65P 9.82R 0.87 Northampton 19 24 +1 -0.31 48.64 3.98 58.35 7.97 -3.51 0.03 0.22 5.16 1.20P 13.28R 1.31 Gillingham 19 23 -6 -3.23 31.04 -6.01 59.34 7.83 -7.50 0.03 0.21 5.97 1.44P 10.83R 0.97 Walsall 18 22 -6 -3.66 28.08 -7.44 61.29 7.88 -4.65 0.04 0.36 9.13 2.42P 7.04R 0.48 Swindon 19 20 -8 -4.88 22.08 -6.03 54.66 7.68 -11.85 0.00 0.03 1.61 0.33P 25.78R 3.35 Bury 19 20 -9 -1.20 43.43 -0.69 50.38 7.61 -20.03 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.08P 47.61R 9.94 Coventry 19 19 -7 -6.91 12.89 -7.03 55.78 7.76 -7.12 0.00 0.04 2.39 0.61P 20.59R 2.52 MK_Dons 19 18 -6 -8.50 9.20 -6.57 54.64 8.08 -6.68 0.00 0.03 2.12 0.57P 25.85R 3.81 Oldham 19 17 -10 -4.22 23.62 -3.60 47.57 7.26 -18.19 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 61.33R 15.97 Chesterfield 19 15 -11 -7.74 10.61 -5.89 47.51 7.62 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 61.10R 17.29 Shrewsbury 19 14 -15 -6.05 15.78 -5.41 42.95 7.46 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 81.67R 40.96League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Cheltenham 0 3 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 18 38 +9 7.93 90.03 1.10 84.76 8.05 21.34 30.90 73.15 97.00 79.73P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 18 35 +11 7.55 88.39 6.94 78.09 8.24 17.96 9.69 42.03 85.69 51.91P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 17 33 +11 2.29 63.75 -0.43 85.24 8.66 30.33 37.12 75.12 96.43 81.75P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 18 31 +13 0.36 51.99 4.08 80.37 8.03 29.34 15.63 55.54 92.18 67.31P 0.00 0.00 Luton 18 30 +10 2.11 63.23 5.24 72.68 8.09 16.36 3.04 19.43 68.01 31.21P 0.07R 0.02 Grimsby 18 26 +3 2.35 64.85 4.43 60.82 8.19 -2.30 0.12 1.58 15.65 4.23P 3.81R 1.39 Crewe 18 26 +1 0.31 52.22 -0.56 66.16 8.33 3.68 0.54 5.50 35.67 12.61P 1.02R 0.35 Wycombe 18 25 -1 0.11 51.17 -1.60 64.35 7.91 0.81 0.23 2.93 26.82 8.26P 1.25R 0.41 Mansfield 18 25 -1 1.30 59.06 0.10 61.35 7.97 -3.68 0.10 1.42 16.18 4.44P 2.89R 1.10 Blackpool 18 24 +8 -5.73 18.17 0.57 71.27 8.26 21.10 2.22 16.18 62.65 31.87P 0.17R 0.06 Barnet 18 24 -1 0.90 56.36 1.54 60.96 8.19 -3.41 0.11 1.37 16.12 4.05P 3.90R 1.58 Yeovil 17 24 -4 3.14 71.09 -0.84 59.41 8.01 -9.79 0.03 0.80 11.12 2.55P 5.40R 2.15 Hartlepool 18 22 -2 1.24 59.30 4.34 53.56 7.88 -12.86 0.00 0.11 3.01 0.54P 18.46R 9.17 Cambridge_Utd 18 22 -4 -1.71 39.67 -2.64 59.65 7.99 -4.93 0.04 0.78 11.80 3.12P 4.91R 2.04 Notts_County 18 22 -7 0.73 55.73 -1.58 53.59 7.92 -18.12 0.01 0.16 3.03 0.60P 18.93R 9.48 Stevenage 16 21 -1 -0.35 48.21 -0.10 58.73 8.49 -6.45 0.06 0.99 11.52 2.92P 7.31R 3.21 Colchester 18 20 -3 -5.21 21.01 -3.58 59.73 8.50 -1.28 0.07 1.13 14.19 4.29P 5.79R 2.48 Accrington_Stanley 18 20 -5 -5.13 20.80 -5.63 58.63 8.10 -4.58 0.03 0.70 10.31 2.98P 6.36R 2.61 Crawley_Town 17 20 -7 1.00 58.06 -0.43 52.61 7.99 -17.58 0.00 0.09 2.36 0.50P 22.82R 11.99 Morecambe 18 20 -14 1.07 58.26 -4.10 50.40 7.89 -27.76 0.00 0.03 1.16 0.16P 33.17R 19.48 Exeter 18 19 -5 -3.71 27.82 -1.93 55.20 8.03 -8.31 0.01 0.22 4.74 1.12P 13.43R 6.45 Leyton_Orient 18 18 -3 -7.75 10.39 -4.65 57.55 8.06 -1.19 0.03 0.52 8.41 2.52P 7.65R 3.31 Cheltenham 18 18 -6 -4.49 23.74 -2.95 54.00 8.20 -9.22 0.01 0.17 3.91 0.96P 17.28R 8.58 Newport_County 17 17 -2 -3.03 30.96 2.68 51.59 8.06 -9.45 0.01 0.07 2.03 0.41P 25.37R 14.14National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 22 47 +23 5.69 80.35 5.96 91.32 6.86 40.62 40.78 94.48 57.57P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 21 43 +24 8.03 88.77 14.21 87.19 7.37 39.94 20.93 84.23 35.57P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 21 42 +13 4.51 74.59 0.04 86.93 7.28 29.37 17.70 82.08 36.83P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 21 41 +17 8.40 89.87 11.38 77.93 7.33 21.09 2.29 37.32 8.40P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 21 41 +15 3.77 72.02 2.49 85.47 7.03 29.81 12.15 77.78 31.88P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 21 40 +8 6.07 81.63 0.09 80.47 7.41 17.86 4.09 50.31 12.79P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 21 36 +10 6.52 84.73 8.55 71.06 7.16 11.73 0.20 9.99 1.96P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 21 35 +11 1.10 56.78 3.00 75.73 7.44 20.58 1.07 27.42 7.06P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 21 34 +16 0.81 54.87 9.43 72.90 7.39 23.17 0.48 17.23 3.82P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 21 34 +7 1.00 56.00 0.74 72.47 7.20 13.35 0.30 14.17 3.26P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 22 33 +4 3.87 72.17 5.42 66.33 7.14 4.79 0.01 2.78 0.46P 0.13R 0.00 Chester 21 29 +5 -0.21 49.03 4.40 63.30 7.35 4.55 0.01 1.47 0.26P 0.55R 0.01 Sutton_United 21 26 -2 0.79 55.57 3.56 56.71 7.46 -7.27 0.00 0.17 0.03P 5.04R 0.17 Bromley 21 26 -6 0.25 52.46 -1.10 57.74 7.16 -10.61 0.00 0.18 0.04P 3.62R 0.09 Wrexham 21 26 -8 -2.79 33.80 -8.21 60.27 7.16 -7.88 0.00 0.35 0.06P 1.70R 0.03 Torquay 21 22 -8 -4.16 26.61 -4.16 50.82 6.95 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.00P 18.44R 1.21 Solihull_Moors 21 22 -11 0.25 52.96 0.56 49.66 7.38 -22.29 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.50R 2.52 Maidstone_United 21 22 -14 0.45 54.15 -2.04 45.96 7.09 -32.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.70R 6.12 Southport 21 20 -22 -0.54 47.76 -8.30 44.83 6.78 -37.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.54R 7.84 Woking 21 17 -12 -10.08 6.36 -8.55 49.63 7.34 -15.64 0.00 0.01 0.00 23.90R 2.27 Braintree_Town 21 17 -17 -9.58 6.47 -14.00 48.52 7.02 -20.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.93R 2.63 York 21 16 -17 -11.60 4.03 -15.07 49.81 7.40 -18.05 0.00 0.01 0.00 23.82R 2.55 North_Ferriby 21 15 -21 -3.57 28.59 -5.61 36.93 6.80 -38.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.02R 42.13 Guiseley 21 13 -15 -8.23 8.52 -2.80 37.91 6.78 -29.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.10R 32.43