Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 23 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2016, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 12 28 +18 5.38 87.16 8.27 77.24 7.47 39.96 25.93 49.38 69.17 84.47 98.37 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 12 27 +16 6.22 90.39 8.86 75.36 7.69 36.99 18.70 39.24 59.63 77.58 96.78 0.00 0.00 Man_City 12 27 +16 2.45 69.52 2.49 78.23 7.40 41.89 31.89 55.20 73.64 87.39 98.68 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 25 +13 2.10 66.06 2.95 75.28 7.35 36.80 17.70 38.12 59.21 78.26 97.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 24 +10 2.86 71.91 2.79 69.99 7.49 25.73 5.11 15.07 29.48 49.76 88.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 12 19 +3 -0.22 47.93 -1.00 62.46 7.56 14.68 0.56 2.36 6.58 15.09 59.08 0.03R 0.01 Everton 12 19 +2 1.00 58.22 0.09 55.48 7.67 2.80 0.07 0.34 1.15 3.31 21.79 0.39R 0.03 Watford 12 18 -3 4.32 81.99 1.70 48.06 7.40 -13.15 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.31 3.94 4.52R 0.64 West_Brom 12 16 +1 1.41 62.47 3.97 46.64 7.26 -6.97 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.19 2.89 5.64R 0.78 Bournemouth 12 15 -2 1.17 60.85 2.68 41.93 7.24 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.67 18.38R 3.73 Southampton 12 14 +0 -3.99 19.94 -2.19 54.96 7.62 7.71 0.03 0.23 0.84 2.80 20.45 0.48R 0.05 Burnley 12 14 -8 1.18 61.39 -2.16 41.51 7.41 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.70 21.33R 5.00 Stoke 12 13 -6 -1.43 39.37 -2.85 41.32 7.24 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.51 20.36R 4.43 Leicester 12 12 -6 -4.65 16.27 -5.87 50.09 7.76 -2.72 0.01 0.03 0.15 0.62 7.43 3.03R 0.44 Middlesbrough 12 11 -3 -2.45 30.52 1.51 40.58 7.38 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.57 22.79R 5.63 Crystal_Palace 12 11 -4 -2.87 27.82 0.28 39.84 7.28 -15.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.39 26.14R 6.93 West_Ham 12 11 -10 -4.38 17.42 -7.52 43.46 7.66 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 1.41 14.69R 3.14 Hull 12 10 -17 -0.68 46.16 -7.35 33.61 7.06 -38.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 62.82R 29.37 Sunderland 12 8 -9 -4.62 15.39 -2.19 34.27 7.20 -25.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 56.29R 24.25 Swansea 12 6 -11 -6.48 6.97 -4.45 36.56 7.37 -19.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 43.11R 15.59Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 November 2016, Leeds_United 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 17 40 +23 6.48 86.77 7.09 98.16 7.93 51.94 85.32 97.51 99.93 98.39P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 17 35 +16 5.35 82.53 6.55 85.56 8.01 31.50 12.49 69.63 96.45 78.54P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 17 31 +5 7.64 90.44 4.94 70.57 8.07 5.05 0.35 5.20 47.97 13.88P 0.30R 0.01 Huddersfield 17 29 -2 8.36 92.48 2.11 65.80 8.18 -6.58 0.08 1.72 25.73 5.81P 1.73R 0.06 Birmingham 17 28 +4 3.34 71.45 1.79 66.54 7.99 2.52 0.14 2.16 29.72 8.19P 0.91R 0.01 Norwich 17 27 +0 0.46 53.10 -4.87 72.53 8.68 8.78 0.88 9.45 57.98 23.32P 0.30R 0.01 Leeds_United 17 26 +0 4.14 76.63 1.92 62.83 7.94 -3.80 0.02 0.76 15.88 3.81P 3.10R 0.09 Fulham 17 25 +5 1.72 61.64 5.28 63.88 8.19 3.23 0.07 1.28 20.93 5.46P 2.56R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 17 25 -2 0.90 56.66 -3.34 66.99 8.02 1.60 0.15 2.21 31.53 9.64P 0.98R 0.02 Bristol_City 17 24 +3 2.02 63.78 5.15 62.35 8.10 0.68 0.02 0.78 15.93 3.90P 3.63R 0.10 Preston 17 24 +2 1.09 58.02 2.28 63.93 7.96 2.74 0.04 0.92 20.18 5.46P 2.22R 0.07 Derby 17 23 +2 -4.15 23.87 -3.72 69.02 8.06 11.17 0.22 3.76 42.70 16.55P 0.54R 0.01 QPR 17 23 -4 -0.21 49.23 -3.90 61.74 7.98 -5.31 0.02 0.58 12.93 3.33P 4.55R 0.18 Brentford 17 22 +4 -2.85 31.65 1.77 65.80 8.28 10.16 0.10 2.04 29.19 9.33P 1.56R 0.05 Barnsley 17 22 +3 0.91 56.93 6.44 57.54 8.40 -4.00 0.02 0.25 6.72 1.55P 12.59R 0.64 Aston_Villa 17 22 +1 -1.60 39.89 0.08 63.44 8.27 3.72 0.04 1.05 19.64 5.98P 3.05R 0.10 Ipswich 17 21 -3 -2.05 36.58 -2.99 60.44 7.94 -2.83 0.02 0.31 10.28 2.74P 5.79R 0.19 Nott'm_Forest 17 19 -3 -3.42 28.68 -1.60 56.35 8.22 -6.87 0.01 0.11 4.63 1.12P 15.12R 0.93 Wolverhampton 17 18 -2 -4.83 20.26 -1.37 57.90 8.15 -1.55 0.00 0.18 6.75 1.80P 10.65R 0.61 Burton_Albion 17 18 -5 -0.19 50.18 1.90 49.50 7.82 -16.54 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.14P 43.51R 5.21 Cardiff 17 18 -10 -3.73 26.54 -7.53 53.56 7.88 -15.76 0.00 0.03 1.90 0.44P 24.61R 1.96 Blackburn 17 16 -8 -6.14 14.30 -6.61 51.33 7.88 -14.49 0.00 0.02 1.03 0.23P 33.95R 2.96 Wigan 17 15 -5 -6.42 13.75 -2.64 51.67 8.09 -8.78 0.00 0.02 1.39 0.38P 31.47R 3.19 Rotherham 17 7 -24 -7.44 7.04 -8.74 33.47 7.49 -46.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.87R 83.52League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Bolton 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 19 43 +24 9.39 93.55 12.51 88.93 7.77 37.70 54.65 76.80 98.38 82.86P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 18 37 +13 7.26 88.53 5.17 82.65 8.02 23.87 18.89 44.74 90.46 56.79P 0.01R 0.00 Bolton 19 37 +11 6.34 83.91 4.30 81.35 7.90 22.01 15.14 37.48 88.10 51.39P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 19 35 +10 4.44 76.28 3.44 77.25 7.69 17.82 6.18 19.33 75.51 34.43P 0.03R 0.00 Rochdale 19 30 +5 1.72 60.83 1.69 70.20 7.92 9.74 1.20 4.54 41.02 12.69P 0.51R 0.02 Peterborough 19 29 +7 -0.54 46.70 1.72 70.69 7.95 13.99 1.32 5.51 44.83 15.44P 0.40R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 19 28 +6 4.72 77.51 10.13 61.82 7.85 1.12 0.07 0.46 10.81 2.24P 5.65R 0.30 Fleetwood_Town 19 28 +5 1.83 61.81 4.73 65.75 7.69 6.12 0.26 1.26 21.35 5.53P 1.70R 0.08 Southend 19 27 -1 2.65 66.88 1.64 61.78 7.73 -4.41 0.05 0.31 9.32 1.92P 6.08R 0.38 Bristol_Rovers 19 27 -5 5.16 79.59 1.85 59.55 7.89 -12.30 0.03 0.23 5.77 1.11P 11.26R 1.05 Charlton 18 26 +7 -2.29 35.70 1.64 68.07 8.22 12.60 0.86 3.55 32.77 11.57P 1.16R 0.04 Port_Vale 19 26 -5 2.17 64.02 -1.46 61.45 7.69 -7.51 0.04 0.28 8.35 1.68P 6.68R 0.44 Millwall 18 25 +0 -2.96 31.64 -4.85 69.84 8.09 9.97 1.15 4.35 40.04 14.18P 0.75R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 19 25 +0 0.42 53.31 2.02 59.93 7.80 -3.11 0.05 0.25 6.62 1.60P 9.20R 0.73 Northampton 19 24 +1 -0.12 50.18 4.28 57.97 7.99 -4.08 0.02 0.18 4.74 1.03P 14.23R 1.51 Gillingham 19 23 -6 -3.24 30.91 -6.05 59.38 7.84 -7.43 0.03 0.21 6.06 1.51P 10.81R 0.97 Walsall 18 22 -6 -3.66 27.90 -7.46 61.28 7.98 -4.62 0.07 0.40 9.38 2.58P 7.16R 0.57 Swindon 19 20 -8 -4.89 22.22 -5.99 54.55 7.73 -11.99 0.00 0.03 1.65 0.34P 26.16R 3.34 Bury 19 20 -9 -1.28 42.85 -0.80 50.26 7.61 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 47.98R 10.26 Coventry 19 19 -7 -6.90 12.96 -7.04 55.76 7.69 -7.14 0.00 0.05 2.18 0.57P 20.43R 2.30 MK_Dons 19 18 -6 -8.46 9.09 -6.50 54.60 8.02 -6.73 0.00 0.03 1.96 0.43P 25.74R 3.95 Oldham 19 17 -10 -4.29 23.42 -3.71 47.72 7.32 -18.02 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 60.46R 15.27 Chesterfield 19 15 -11 -7.68 10.78 -5.83 47.39 7.62 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 61.65R 17.59 Shrewsbury 19 14 -15 -6.07 15.55 -5.42 42.84 7.45 -28.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 81.95R 41.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Cheltenham 0 3 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 18 38 +9 7.84 89.85 0.99 84.84 8.03 21.44 31.70 73.81 96.92 80.27P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 18 35 +11 7.61 88.73 7.03 77.93 8.18 17.77 9.33 40.94 85.39 50.64P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 17 33 +11 2.27 63.43 -0.50 85.37 8.54 30.50 37.64 75.76 96.79 82.39P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 18 31 +13 0.53 53.08 4.32 80.14 8.00 29.01 14.56 54.73 91.68 66.44P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 18 30 +10 2.18 63.67 5.36 72.50 8.15 16.07 2.89 19.02 67.02 30.80P 0.06R 0.01 Grimsby 18 26 +3 2.32 64.92 4.39 60.94 8.15 -2.19 0.12 1.55 16.00 4.26P 3.55R 1.37 Crewe 18 26 +1 0.22 51.73 -0.71 66.33 8.37 3.82 0.61 5.72 36.54 13.03P 0.92R 0.31 Wycombe 18 25 -1 0.14 51.51 -1.53 64.27 7.93 0.72 0.21 2.88 26.42 8.03P 1.29R 0.47 Mansfield 18 25 -1 1.30 58.81 0.14 61.38 7.98 -3.63 0.11 1.47 16.26 4.27P 3.05R 1.07 Blackpool 18 24 +8 -5.76 18.23 0.51 71.29 8.36 21.16 2.37 16.53 62.44 31.98P 0.17R 0.04 Barnet 18 24 -1 0.85 55.97 1.47 61.01 8.12 -3.35 0.10 1.42 15.96 4.16P 3.78R 1.39 Yeovil 17 24 -4 3.13 71.00 -0.87 59.33 8.05 -9.81 0.06 0.86 10.99 2.73P 5.48R 2.10 Hartlepool 18 22 -2 1.21 58.63 4.27 53.63 7.90 -12.73 0.01 0.13 3.12 0.64P 18.08R 8.91 Cambridge_Utd 18 22 -4 -1.74 39.57 -2.72 59.68 8.08 -4.85 0.04 0.90 12.19 3.25P 5.03R 1.99 Notts_County 18 22 -7 0.72 55.66 -1.68 53.71 7.91 -17.95 0.00 0.14 3.10 0.69P 18.36R 8.94 Stevenage 16 21 -1 -0.45 47.40 -0.28 59.02 8.45 -6.00 0.08 1.08 11.81 3.12P 6.83R 2.96 Colchester 18 20 -3 -5.28 20.92 -3.66 59.87 8.60 -1.05 0.09 1.43 14.80 4.82P 5.62R 2.51 Accrington_Stanley 18 20 -5 -5.01 21.18 -5.48 58.37 8.10 -4.95 0.03 0.55 9.78 2.69P 6.79R 2.94 Crawley_Town 17 20 -7 1.13 58.89 -0.29 52.46 7.98 -17.82 0.00 0.10 2.43 0.47P 23.26R 12.33 Morecambe 18 20 -14 1.05 58.28 -4.05 50.40 7.92 -27.85 0.00 0.03 1.22 0.19P 33.40R 19.89 Exeter 18 19 -5 -3.74 27.63 -1.97 55.39 8.04 -8.07 0.01 0.23 5.13 1.28P 12.95R 6.11 Leyton_Orient 18 18 -3 -7.80 10.37 -4.73 57.57 8.03 -1.17 0.01 0.47 8.24 2.47P 7.48R 3.26 Cheltenham 18 18 -6 -4.40 24.45 -2.81 53.79 8.23 -9.51 0.01 0.18 3.75 0.93P 18.34R 9.27 Newport_County 17 17 -2 -2.95 31.36 2.81 51.49 8.01 -9.55 0.00 0.08 2.02 0.44P 25.54R 14.11National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 22 47 +23 5.67 80.07 6.00 91.28 6.87 40.48 40.77 94.45 57.76P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 21 43 +24 7.97 88.79 14.18 87.23 7.38 39.98 21.05 84.28 35.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 21 42 +13 4.64 75.10 0.26 86.84 7.27 29.21 17.31 81.45 36.07P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 21 41 +17 8.43 90.05 11.37 77.94 7.43 21.06 2.21 37.75 8.32P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 21 41 +15 3.87 72.34 2.63 85.46 7.07 29.80 12.36 77.61 32.40P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 21 40 +8 5.93 81.10 -0.11 80.67 7.39 18.19 4.25 51.69 13.38P 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 21 36 +10 6.43 84.39 8.44 71.12 7.09 11.87 0.15 10.03 1.84P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 21 35 +11 1.06 56.53 2.96 75.70 7.36 20.51 1.09 27.34 7.00P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 21 34 +16 0.94 55.48 9.71 72.73 7.35 22.93 0.44 16.44 3.76P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 21 34 +7 1.02 56.03 0.76 72.47 7.21 13.40 0.33 14.00 3.40P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 22 33 +4 3.84 72.21 5.38 66.31 7.10 4.77 0.02 2.79 0.47P 0.11R 0.00 Chester 21 29 +5 -0.36 48.21 4.19 63.50 7.36 4.85 0.01 1.51 0.29P 0.47R 0.01 Sutton_United 21 26 -2 0.86 56.09 3.63 56.63 7.47 -7.40 0.00 0.17 0.03P 4.97R 0.13 Bromley 21 26 -6 0.25 52.47 -1.11 57.82 7.07 -10.52 0.00 0.12 0.02P 3.40R 0.06 Wrexham 21 26 -8 -2.82 33.79 -8.29 60.41 7.10 -7.71 0.00 0.35 0.05P 1.49R 0.02 Torquay 21 22 -8 -4.12 26.89 -4.12 50.75 6.96 -16.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.60R 1.13 Solihull_Moors 21 22 -11 0.15 52.10 0.40 49.79 7.35 -22.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.90R 2.42 Maidstone_United 21 22 -14 0.65 55.30 -1.67 45.78 6.98 -32.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.43R 6.35 Southport 21 20 -22 -0.60 47.35 -8.36 44.89 6.78 -37.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.07R 7.60 Woking 21 17 -12 -10.10 6.29 -8.59 49.55 7.25 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.91R 2.03 Braintree_Town 21 17 -17 -9.51 6.67 -13.87 48.42 7.06 -20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.38R 2.95 York 21 16 -17 -11.51 4.07 -14.96 49.68 7.36 -18.26 0.00 0.01 0.00 24.38R 2.46 North_Ferriby 21 15 -21 -3.57 28.48 -5.85 36.91 6.75 -38.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.08R 42.61 Guiseley 21 13 -15 -8.34 8.23 -2.98 38.00 6.79 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.81R 32.21