Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 November 2016, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          12   28  +18       5.38    87.16     8.27    77.24     7.47    39.96    25.93    49.38    69.17    84.47    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   27  +16       6.22    90.39     8.86    75.36     7.69    36.99    18.70    39.24    59.63    77.58    96.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   27  +16       2.45    69.52     2.49    78.23     7.40    41.89    31.89    55.20    73.64    87.39    98.68     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   25  +13       2.10    66.06     2.95    75.28     7.35    36.80    17.70    38.12    59.21    78.26    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   24  +10       2.86    71.91     2.79    69.99     7.49    25.73     5.11    15.07    29.48    49.76    88.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          12   19   +3      -0.22    47.93    -1.00    62.46     7.56    14.68     0.56     2.36     6.58    15.09    59.08     0.03R    0.01  
Everton          12   19   +2       1.00    58.22     0.09    55.48     7.67     2.80     0.07     0.34     1.15     3.31    21.79     0.39R    0.03  
Watford          12   18   -3       4.32    81.99     1.70    48.06     7.40   -13.15     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     3.94     4.52R    0.64  
West_Brom        12   16   +1       1.41    62.47     3.97    46.64     7.26    -6.97     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.19     2.89     5.64R    0.78  
Bournemouth      12   15   -2       1.17    60.85     2.68    41.93     7.24   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.67    18.38R    3.73  
Southampton      12   14   +0      -3.99    19.94    -2.19    54.96     7.62     7.71     0.03     0.23     0.84     2.80    20.45     0.48R    0.05  
Burnley          12   14   -8       1.18    61.39    -2.16    41.51     7.41   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.70    21.33R    5.00  
Stoke            12   13   -6      -1.43    39.37    -2.85    41.32     7.24   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    20.36R    4.43  
Leicester        12   12   -6      -4.65    16.27    -5.87    50.09     7.76    -2.72     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.62     7.43     3.03R    0.44  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -3      -2.45    30.52     1.51    40.58     7.38   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57    22.79R    5.63  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -4      -2.87    27.82     0.28    39.84     7.28   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    26.14R    6.93  
West_Ham         12   11  -10      -4.38    17.42    -7.52    43.46     7.66   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.41    14.69R    3.14  
Hull             12   10  -17      -0.68    46.16    -7.35    33.61     7.06   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    62.82R   29.37  
Sunderland       12    8   -9      -4.62    15.39    -2.19    34.27     7.20   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.29R   24.25  
Swansea          12    6  -11      -6.48     6.97    -4.45    36.56     7.37   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    43.11R   15.59  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 November 2016, Leeds_United 0 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       17   40  +23       6.48    86.77     7.09    98.16     7.93    51.94    85.32    97.51    99.93    98.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35  +16       5.35    82.53     6.55    85.56     8.01    31.50    12.49    69.63    96.45    78.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading         17   31   +5       7.64    90.44     4.94    70.57     8.07     5.05     0.35     5.20    47.97    13.88P    0.30R    0.01  
Huddersfield    17   29   -2       8.36    92.48     2.11    65.80     8.18    -6.58     0.08     1.72    25.73     5.81P    1.73R    0.06  
Birmingham      17   28   +4       3.34    71.45     1.79    66.54     7.99     2.52     0.14     2.16    29.72     8.19P    0.91R    0.01  
Norwich         17   27   +0       0.46    53.10    -4.87    72.53     8.68     8.78     0.88     9.45    57.98    23.32P    0.30R    0.01  
Leeds_United    17   26   +0       4.14    76.63     1.92    62.83     7.94    -3.80     0.02     0.76    15.88     3.81P    3.10R    0.09  
Fulham          17   25   +5       1.72    61.64     5.28    63.88     8.19     3.23     0.07     1.28    20.93     5.46P    2.56R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   -2       0.90    56.66    -3.34    66.99     8.02     1.60     0.15     2.21    31.53     9.64P    0.98R    0.02  
Bristol_City    17   24   +3       2.02    63.78     5.15    62.35     8.10     0.68     0.02     0.78    15.93     3.90P    3.63R    0.10  
Preston         17   24   +2       1.09    58.02     2.28    63.93     7.96     2.74     0.04     0.92    20.18     5.46P    2.22R    0.07  
Derby           17   23   +2      -4.15    23.87    -3.72    69.02     8.06    11.17     0.22     3.76    42.70    16.55P    0.54R    0.01  
QPR             17   23   -4      -0.21    49.23    -3.90    61.74     7.98    -5.31     0.02     0.58    12.93     3.33P    4.55R    0.18  
Brentford       17   22   +4      -2.85    31.65     1.77    65.80     8.28    10.16     0.10     2.04    29.19     9.33P    1.56R    0.05  
Barnsley        17   22   +3       0.91    56.93     6.44    57.54     8.40    -4.00     0.02     0.25     6.72     1.55P   12.59R    0.64  
Aston_Villa     17   22   +1      -1.60    39.89     0.08    63.44     8.27     3.72     0.04     1.05    19.64     5.98P    3.05R    0.10  
Ipswich         17   21   -3      -2.05    36.58    -2.99    60.44     7.94    -2.83     0.02     0.31    10.28     2.74P    5.79R    0.19  
Nott'm_Forest   17   19   -3      -3.42    28.68    -1.60    56.35     8.22    -6.87     0.01     0.11     4.63     1.12P   15.12R    0.93  
Wolverhampton   17   18   -2      -4.83    20.26    -1.37    57.90     8.15    -1.55     0.00     0.18     6.75     1.80P   10.65R    0.61  
Burton_Albion   17   18   -5      -0.19    50.18     1.90    49.50     7.82   -16.54     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P   43.51R    5.21  
Cardiff         17   18  -10      -3.73    26.54    -7.53    53.56     7.88   -15.76     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.44P   24.61R    1.96  
Blackburn       17   16   -8      -6.14    14.30    -6.61    51.33     7.88   -14.49     0.00     0.02     1.03     0.23P   33.95R    2.96  
Wigan           17   15   -5      -6.42    13.75    -2.64    51.67     8.09    -8.78     0.00     0.02     1.39     0.38P   31.47R    3.19  
Rotherham       17    7  -24      -7.44     7.04    -8.74    33.47     7.49   -46.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.87R   83.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Bolton 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       19   43  +24       9.39    93.55    12.51    88.93     7.77    37.70    54.65    76.80    98.38    82.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   37  +13       7.26    88.53     5.17    82.65     8.02    23.87    18.89    44.74    90.46    56.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           19   37  +11       6.34    83.91     4.30    81.35     7.90    22.01    15.14    37.48    88.10    51.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         19   35  +10       4.44    76.28     3.44    77.25     7.69    17.82     6.18    19.33    75.51    34.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale         19   30   +5       1.72    60.83     1.69    70.20     7.92     9.74     1.20     4.54    41.02    12.69P    0.51R    0.02  
Peterborough     19   29   +7      -0.54    46.70     1.72    70.69     7.95    13.99     1.32     5.51    44.83    15.44P    0.40R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon    19   28   +6       4.72    77.51    10.13    61.82     7.85     1.12     0.07     0.46    10.81     2.24P    5.65R    0.30  
Fleetwood_Town   19   28   +5       1.83    61.81     4.73    65.75     7.69     6.12     0.26     1.26    21.35     5.53P    1.70R    0.08  
Southend         19   27   -1       2.65    66.88     1.64    61.78     7.73    -4.41     0.05     0.31     9.32     1.92P    6.08R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers   19   27   -5       5.16    79.59     1.85    59.55     7.89   -12.30     0.03     0.23     5.77     1.11P   11.26R    1.05  
Charlton         18   26   +7      -2.29    35.70     1.64    68.07     8.22    12.60     0.86     3.55    32.77    11.57P    1.16R    0.04  
Port_Vale        19   26   -5       2.17    64.02    -1.46    61.45     7.69    -7.51     0.04     0.28     8.35     1.68P    6.68R    0.44  
Millwall         18   25   +0      -2.96    31.64    -4.85    69.84     8.09     9.97     1.15     4.35    40.04    14.18P    0.75R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd       19   25   +0       0.42    53.31     2.02    59.93     7.80    -3.11     0.05     0.25     6.62     1.60P    9.20R    0.73  
Northampton      19   24   +1      -0.12    50.18     4.28    57.97     7.99    -4.08     0.02     0.18     4.74     1.03P   14.23R    1.51  
Gillingham       19   23   -6      -3.24    30.91    -6.05    59.38     7.84    -7.43     0.03     0.21     6.06     1.51P   10.81R    0.97  
Walsall          18   22   -6      -3.66    27.90    -7.46    61.28     7.98    -4.62     0.07     0.40     9.38     2.58P    7.16R    0.57  
Swindon          19   20   -8      -4.89    22.22    -5.99    54.55     7.73   -11.99     0.00     0.03     1.65     0.34P   26.16R    3.34  
Bury             19   20   -9      -1.28    42.85    -0.80    50.26     7.61   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P   47.98R   10.26  
Coventry         19   19   -7      -6.90    12.96    -7.04    55.76     7.69    -7.14     0.00     0.05     2.18     0.57P   20.43R    2.30  
MK_Dons          19   18   -6      -8.46     9.09    -6.50    54.60     8.02    -6.73     0.00     0.03     1.96     0.43P   25.74R    3.95  
Oldham           19   17  -10      -4.29    23.42    -3.71    47.72     7.32   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   60.46R   15.27  
Chesterfield     19   15  -11      -7.68    10.78    -5.83    47.39     7.62   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   61.65R   17.59  
Shrewsbury       19   14  -15      -6.07    15.55    -5.42    42.84     7.45   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    81.95R   41.15  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Cheltenham 0 3 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             18   38   +9       7.84    89.85     0.99    84.84     8.03    21.44    31.70    73.81    96.92    80.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             18   35  +11       7.61    88.73     7.03    77.93     8.18    17.77     9.33    40.94    85.39    50.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   33  +11       2.27    63.43    -0.50    85.37     8.54    30.50    37.64    75.76    96.79    82.39P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           18   31  +13       0.53    53.08     4.32    80.14     8.00    29.01    14.56    54.73    91.68    66.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                18   30  +10       2.18    63.67     5.36    72.50     8.15    16.07     2.89    19.02    67.02    30.80P    0.06R    0.01  
Grimsby              18   26   +3       2.32    64.92     4.39    60.94     8.15    -2.19     0.12     1.55    16.00     4.26P    3.55R    1.37  
Crewe                18   26   +1       0.22    51.73    -0.71    66.33     8.37     3.82     0.61     5.72    36.54    13.03P    0.92R    0.31  
Wycombe              18   25   -1       0.14    51.51    -1.53    64.27     7.93     0.72     0.21     2.88    26.42     8.03P    1.29R    0.47  
Mansfield            18   25   -1       1.30    58.81     0.14    61.38     7.98    -3.63     0.11     1.47    16.26     4.27P    3.05R    1.07  
Blackpool            18   24   +8      -5.76    18.23     0.51    71.29     8.36    21.16     2.37    16.53    62.44    31.98P    0.17R    0.04  
Barnet               18   24   -1       0.85    55.97     1.47    61.01     8.12    -3.35     0.10     1.42    15.96     4.16P    3.78R    1.39  
Yeovil               17   24   -4       3.13    71.00    -0.87    59.33     8.05    -9.81     0.06     0.86    10.99     2.73P    5.48R    2.10  
Hartlepool           18   22   -2       1.21    58.63     4.27    53.63     7.90   -12.73     0.01     0.13     3.12     0.64P   18.08R    8.91  
Cambridge_Utd        18   22   -4      -1.74    39.57    -2.72    59.68     8.08    -4.85     0.04     0.90    12.19     3.25P    5.03R    1.99  
Notts_County         18   22   -7       0.72    55.66    -1.68    53.71     7.91   -17.95     0.00     0.14     3.10     0.69P   18.36R    8.94  
Stevenage            16   21   -1      -0.45    47.40    -0.28    59.02     8.45    -6.00     0.08     1.08    11.81     3.12P    6.83R    2.96  
Colchester           18   20   -3      -5.28    20.92    -3.66    59.87     8.60    -1.05     0.09     1.43    14.80     4.82P    5.62R    2.51  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -5      -5.01    21.18    -5.48    58.37     8.10    -4.95     0.03     0.55     9.78     2.69P    6.79R    2.94  
Crawley_Town         17   20   -7       1.13    58.89    -0.29    52.46     7.98   -17.82     0.00     0.10     2.43     0.47P   23.26R   12.33  
Morecambe            18   20  -14       1.05    58.28    -4.05    50.40     7.92   -27.85     0.00     0.03     1.22     0.19P   33.40R   19.89  
Exeter               18   19   -5      -3.74    27.63    -1.97    55.39     8.04    -8.07     0.01     0.23     5.13     1.28P   12.95R    6.11  
Leyton_Orient        18   18   -3      -7.80    10.37    -4.73    57.57     8.03    -1.17     0.01     0.47     8.24     2.47P    7.48R    3.26  
Cheltenham           18   18   -6      -4.40    24.45    -2.81    53.79     8.23    -9.51     0.01     0.18     3.75     0.93P   18.34R    9.27  
Newport_County       17   17   -2      -2.95    31.36     2.81    51.49     8.01    -9.55     0.00     0.08     2.02     0.44P   25.54R   14.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 November 2016, Aldershot 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       22   47  +23       5.67    80.07     6.00    91.28     6.87    40.48    40.77    94.45    57.76P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       21   43  +24       7.97    88.79    14.18    87.23     7.38    39.98    21.05    84.28    35.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   42  +13       4.64    75.10     0.26    86.84     7.27    29.21    17.31    81.45    36.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             21   41  +17       8.43    90.05    11.37    77.94     7.43    21.06     2.21    37.75     8.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           21   41  +15       3.87    72.34     2.63    85.46     7.07    29.80    12.36    77.61    32.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     21   40   +8       5.93    81.10    -0.11    80.67     7.39    18.19     4.25    51.69    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       21   36  +10       6.43    84.39     8.44    71.12     7.09    11.87     0.15    10.03     1.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh          21   35  +11       1.06    56.53     2.96    75.70     7.36    20.51     1.09    27.34     7.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          21   34  +16       0.94    55.48     9.71    72.73     7.35    22.93     0.44    16.44     3.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   34   +7       1.02    56.03     0.76    72.47     7.21    13.40     0.33    14.00     3.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          22   33   +4       3.84    72.21     5.38    66.31     7.10     4.77     0.02     2.79     0.47P    0.11R    0.00  
Chester            21   29   +5      -0.36    48.21     4.19    63.50     7.36     4.85     0.01     1.51     0.29P    0.47R    0.01  
Sutton_United      21   26   -2       0.86    56.09     3.63    56.63     7.47    -7.40     0.00     0.17     0.03P    4.97R    0.13  
Bromley            21   26   -6       0.25    52.47    -1.11    57.82     7.07   -10.52     0.00     0.12     0.02P    3.40R    0.06  
Wrexham            21   26   -8      -2.82    33.79    -8.29    60.41     7.10    -7.71     0.00     0.35     0.05P    1.49R    0.02  
Torquay            21   22   -8      -4.12    26.89    -4.12    50.75     6.96   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.60R    1.13  
Solihull_Moors     21   22  -11       0.15    52.10     0.40    49.79     7.35   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.90R    2.42  
Maidstone_United   21   22  -14       0.65    55.30    -1.67    45.78     6.98   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.43R    6.35  
Southport          21   20  -22      -0.60    47.35    -8.36    44.89     6.78   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.07R    7.60  
Woking             21   17  -12     -10.10     6.29    -8.59    49.55     7.25   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.91R    2.03  
Braintree_Town     21   17  -17      -9.51     6.67   -13.87    48.42     7.06   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.38R    2.95  
York               21   16  -17     -11.51     4.07   -14.96    49.68     7.36   -18.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.38R    2.46  
North_Ferriby      21   15  -21      -3.57    28.48    -5.85    36.91     6.75   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.08R   42.61  
Guiseley           21   13  -15      -8.34     8.23    -2.98    38.00     6.79   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.81R   32.21