Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        12   27  +16       6.20    90.37     8.87    75.36     7.75    36.92    19.75    40.53    60.46    78.04    96.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   27  +16       2.39    68.92     2.40    78.13     7.47    41.60    32.51    55.45    73.61    87.38    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   25  +17       4.33    82.62     8.11    76.15     7.69    39.84    23.02    44.98    64.73    81.20    97.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   25  +13       2.17    66.55     3.11    75.38     7.38    36.84    18.52    40.04    61.37    79.53    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   24  +10       2.78    71.49     2.73    69.97     7.55    25.69     5.47    15.74    30.52    50.46    88.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          12   19   +3      -0.13    48.83    -0.85    62.43     7.56    14.57     0.62     2.53     6.82    15.47    59.14     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          12   19   +2       0.95    57.67    -0.02    55.61     7.70     2.98     0.06     0.44     1.30     3.75    23.05     0.45R    0.04  
Watford          12   18   -3       4.37    82.59     1.79    48.17     7.44   -12.93     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.36     4.27     4.45R    0.54  
Bournemouth      12   15   -2       1.14    60.55     2.61    41.87     7.30   -17.86     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.77    18.69R    3.88  
Southampton      12   14   +0      -3.90    20.74    -2.02    54.88     7.59     7.59     0.04     0.23     0.86     2.76    20.11     0.57R    0.04  
Burnley          11   14   -4       1.55    64.57     0.20    44.49     7.74   -14.24     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     1.80    12.38R    2.44  
West_Brom        11   13   -3       0.66    57.09     1.21    43.75     7.39   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.41    12.60R    2.49  
Stoke            12   13   -6      -1.42    39.19    -2.83    41.06     7.27   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    21.47R    4.81  
Leicester        12   12   -6      -4.66    16.48    -5.89    50.17     7.78    -2.66     0.01     0.03     0.16     0.67     7.61     2.98R    0.40  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -2      -1.67    36.30     1.70    41.52     7.67   -11.32     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.83    20.16R    4.93  
Crystal_Palace   12   11   -4      -2.89    27.66     0.25    39.91     7.32   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44    26.18R    6.86  
West_Ham         12   11  -10      -4.35    17.65    -7.48    43.18     7.64   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.24    15.63R    3.50  
Hull             12   10  -17      -0.67    46.46    -7.40    33.63     7.06   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    62.50R   29.08  
Sunderland       12    8   -9      -4.62    15.36    -2.19    33.98     7.16   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    58.23R   25.12  
Swansea          12    6  -11      -6.36     7.32    -4.30    36.47     7.42   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    43.70R   15.86  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Barnsley 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       16   37  +21       5.65    84.11     6.24    96.38     8.26    49.68    80.17    95.78    99.80    97.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        17   35  +16       5.19    81.83     6.36    85.76     7.99    31.74    16.50    70.34    96.74    79.45P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   31   +5       7.73    90.53     5.08    70.41     8.03     4.78     0.52     5.07    46.76    13.63P    0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield    17   29   -2       8.40    92.74     2.14    65.65     8.13    -6.84     0.13     1.58    24.73     5.52P    1.74R    0.04  
Birmingham      17   28   +4       3.32    71.56     1.78    66.58     7.98     2.57     0.20     2.27    29.38     8.47P    1.01R    0.02  
Norwich         17   27   +0       0.44    52.75    -4.97    72.67     8.67     9.02     1.33     9.89    57.93    23.75P    0.28R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   26   +2       4.71    79.87     2.80    64.31     8.14    -1.65     0.14     1.33    20.71     5.11P    2.22R    0.05  
Fulham          17   25   +5       1.70    61.68     5.27    63.98     8.14     3.32     0.07     1.26    21.03     5.39P    2.53R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed       17   25   -2       0.94    56.88    -3.26    66.96     8.07     1.61     0.23     2.35    31.13     9.56P    1.02R    0.04  
Bristol_City    17   24   +3       2.00    63.84     5.10    62.49     8.14     0.96     0.06     0.81    16.27     3.88P    3.73R    0.11  
Preston         17   24   +2       1.00    57.32     2.14    64.00     7.98     2.85     0.06     0.94    20.20     5.49P    2.40R    0.09  
Derby           17   23   +2      -4.13    24.16    -3.73    68.94     8.04    11.10     0.29     3.75    41.89    16.21P    0.56R    0.01  
QPR             17   23   -4      -0.23    49.28    -3.92    61.68     8.01    -5.39     0.03     0.55    12.70     3.24P    4.66R    0.16  
Brentford       17   22   +4      -2.90    31.38     1.74    65.77     8.33    10.05     0.15     2.10    28.74     9.21P    1.83R    0.06  
Barnsley        17   22   +3       0.94    57.07     6.49    57.45     8.31    -4.14     0.01     0.24     6.36     1.39P   12.37R    0.63  
Aston_Villa     17   22   +1      -1.59    39.84     0.09    63.44     8.21     3.70     0.06     1.07    19.22     5.69P    3.09R    0.10  
Ipswich         17   21   -3      -2.13    36.01    -3.07    60.52     7.99    -2.77     0.02     0.33    10.58     2.73P    5.97R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest   17   19   -3      -3.39    28.86    -1.58    56.35     8.09    -6.89     0.00     0.11     4.49     1.06P   14.84R    0.84  
Wolverhampton   17   18   -2      -4.73    21.20    -1.25    57.79     8.09    -1.69     0.01     0.15     6.30     1.67P   10.80R    0.55  
Burton_Albion   17   18   -5      -0.09    50.67     2.06    49.46     7.83   -16.60     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.13P   43.75R    5.30  
Cardiff         17   18  -10      -3.72    26.66    -7.53    53.58     7.96   -15.73     0.00     0.05     1.99     0.49P   25.14R    1.88  
Blackburn       17   16   -8      -6.25    14.29    -6.76    51.48     7.91   -14.22     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.28P   33.20R    2.89  
Wigan           17   15   -5      -6.32    13.98    -2.50    51.66     8.12    -8.83     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.36P   31.75R    3.35  
Rotherham       17    7  -24      -7.44     6.95    -8.73    33.44     7.47   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.83R   83.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 5 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       18   40  +22       8.11    90.93    11.05    86.69     8.01    34.75    47.22    69.83    96.45    77.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        17   34  +12       6.32    85.83     5.31    82.15     8.29    24.71    22.30    46.67    88.90    58.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           18   34  +10       5.32    80.37     4.21    79.86     8.17    21.25    15.06    34.67    83.57    48.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford         18   32   +9       3.60    72.37     3.54    75.99     7.88    17.41     6.44    18.30    70.24    32.37P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     18   29   +9       0.50    52.97     3.15    72.98     8.04    17.42     3.74    10.98    56.75    22.73P    0.27R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon    18   27   +6       4.70    77.91     9.62    61.19     8.08    -0.77     0.14     0.62    10.18     2.31P    7.55R    0.46  
Rochdale         18   27   +1       1.23    58.32    -0.60    67.41     8.11     3.90     0.76     3.00    28.33     8.69P    1.59R    0.08  
Bristol_Rovers   18   27   -1       5.27    80.47     3.75    62.79     8.17    -5.08     0.22     0.83    12.79     2.91P    6.04R    0.44  
Southend         18   26   -1       3.24    70.83     2.06    62.57     7.90    -3.80     0.14     0.65    11.61     2.67P    5.59R    0.34  
Fleetwood_Town   18   25   +2       1.23    58.45     3.22    63.82     7.95     2.69     0.18     1.05    15.94     4.10P    3.76R    0.22  
Port_Vale        18   25   -5       2.78    68.10    -1.18    61.95     7.96    -7.29     0.12     0.57    10.21     2.31P    7.01R    0.51  
Northampton      18   24   +2       0.52    54.22     4.22    59.39     8.18    -3.14     0.07     0.40     7.20     1.72P   11.68R    1.02  
Millwall         17   24   +0      -2.17    35.98    -4.21    71.37     8.44    11.83     2.68     8.29    48.15    19.29P    0.67R    0.04  
Charlton         17   23   +3      -2.63    33.44    -0.44    64.15     8.42     5.24     0.43     1.76    18.48     6.01P    4.12R    0.28  
Gillingham       18   23   -5      -2.20    36.60    -5.52    60.90     8.11    -6.34     0.10     0.55     9.02     2.40P    8.79R    0.70  
Oxford_Utd       18   22   -1      -0.92    44.84     1.54    58.14     8.09    -4.45     0.05     0.24     5.20     1.28P   14.87R    1.46  
Walsall          17   22   -2      -3.38    28.93    -5.09    63.85     8.20     1.18     0.28     1.22    16.52     5.07P    4.19R    0.26  
Bury             18   20   -8      -0.59    47.02    -0.88    50.85     7.77   -20.85     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.11P   46.24R    9.14  
Coventry         18   19   -6      -6.13    15.33    -6.80    56.57     7.90    -7.05     0.02     0.10     3.20     0.84P   18.90R    2.15  
Swindon          18   19   -8      -4.69    22.41    -6.24    54.42     7.90   -12.82     0.01     0.05     1.72     0.39P   28.01R    3.95  
MK_Dons          18   18   -5      -7.16    12.67    -5.64    57.57     8.27    -3.32     0.04     0.20     4.71     1.40P   16.65R    2.04  
Oldham           18   16  -10      -4.06    24.12    -3.91    47.32     7.45   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   63.57R   17.16  
Shrewsbury       18   14  -12      -5.72    16.73    -4.05    44.57     7.68   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   76.08R   30.50  
Chesterfield     18   12  -12      -9.45     5.35    -7.11    44.74     7.79   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   74.30R   29.24  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             17   38  +11       9.03    93.88     2.67    87.73     8.20    25.80    41.76    81.25    98.60    85.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             17   34  +11       7.96    90.42     6.93    78.96     8.49    18.73     9.71    43.03    87.42    52.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            17   33  +11       2.20    63.31    -0.65    85.21     8.58    30.32    31.32    72.87    96.49    79.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                17   30  +12       2.99    68.64     6.54    74.72     8.36    19.39     4.20    25.58    75.63    38.14P    0.03R    0.01  
Portsmouth           17   28  +11      -0.54    46.11     3.15    78.10     8.25    26.34     8.50    40.51    87.01    55.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby              17   25   +3       2.59    67.02     4.18    60.75     8.39    -2.96     0.12     1.45    16.01     4.18P    3.89R    1.52  
Blackpool            17   24   +9      -4.48    23.20     1.31    73.74     8.53    23.82     3.54    22.82    72.47    39.26P    0.06R    0.02  
Yeovil               17   24   -4       3.05    70.59    -0.93    59.48     7.99    -9.62     0.04     0.68    11.17     2.48P    4.77R    1.92  
Crewe                17   23   +0      -0.75    45.84    -0.74    64.86     8.60     3.17     0.35     3.84    31.05    10.15P    1.38R    0.50  
Wycombe              17   22   -2      -1.23    42.22    -2.12    62.40     8.08    -0.62     0.11     1.62    20.09     5.70P    2.16R    0.82  
Mansfield            17   22   -2      -0.35    47.94    -0.88    58.90     8.13    -5.89     0.04     0.69    10.62     2.51P    5.60R    2.32  
Notts_County         17   22   -6       1.73    62.25    -1.06    55.37     8.23   -16.61     0.01     0.26     5.19     1.04P   13.48R    6.36  
Stevenage            16   21   -1      -0.35    47.98    -0.10    59.14     8.44    -5.85     0.06     0.95    12.11     3.05P    6.02R    2.46  
Barnet               17   21   -3      -0.75    45.70    -0.40    57.84     8.32    -7.76     0.03     0.61     9.08     2.21P    7.93R    3.54  
Accrington_Stanley   17   20   -3      -4.05    25.25    -4.10    60.94     8.32    -1.23     0.10     1.29    16.83     4.91P    3.62R    1.41  
Crawley_Town         17   20   -7       1.10    58.69    -0.26    52.30     7.93   -18.11     0.00     0.06     2.19     0.37P   22.37R   11.65  
Morecambe            17   20  -13       2.10    64.98    -3.61    51.28     8.12   -27.76     0.00     0.07     1.73     0.27P   28.49R   16.15  
Hartlepool           17   19   -4      -0.05    51.01     2.93    50.95     8.07   -16.55     0.00     0.04     1.82     0.28P   27.87R   15.78  
Cambridge_Utd        17   19   -5      -2.99    31.00    -3.08    57.75     8.22    -6.41     0.03     0.36     8.66     1.94P    7.83R    3.35  
Leyton_Orient        17   18   -2      -6.60    13.63    -3.97    59.69     8.28     0.87     0.03     0.85    13.23     3.98P    4.73R    2.01  
Cheltenham           17   18   -3      -3.84    26.75    -1.03    56.62     8.50    -4.44     0.02     0.40     7.73     2.01P   10.44R    4.97  
Newport_County       16   17   -1      -2.01    36.92     3.26    53.30     8.28    -7.99     0.00     0.15     3.55     0.77P   18.80R    9.76  
Colchester           17   17   -6      -5.95    16.88    -5.16    56.72     8.66    -6.43     0.02     0.53     8.29     2.33P   10.74R    5.24  
Exeter               17   16   -6      -5.36    18.56    -2.87    53.01     8.21   -10.21     0.01     0.11     3.01     0.68P   19.77R   10.21  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       21   46  +23       6.23    83.06     6.34    92.00     7.03    40.94    48.51    95.85    63.78P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       20   40  +21       7.18    86.86    12.60    84.66     7.61    35.33    13.69    77.28    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           20   40  +15       3.93    73.22     2.30    85.65     7.23    29.51    14.64    80.59    34.99P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   39  +12       3.63    70.67     0.16    85.88     7.51    29.30    15.82    80.67    35.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             20   38  +14       8.10    89.59    10.43    76.21     7.56    17.93     1.64    33.16     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     20   37   +6       5.33    79.21    -0.42    79.23     7.64    16.57     3.48    48.13    12.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33  +16       1.48    58.99     9.87    73.47     7.59    23.46     0.76    23.11     5.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       20   33   +9       5.33    80.72     8.18    69.57     7.30    10.96     0.12     9.13     1.78P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       20   33   +7       1.29    58.26     0.64    72.52     7.41    12.89     0.46    17.49     4.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   33   +5       5.04    78.37     6.10    67.89     7.35     6.02     0.06     6.03     1.02P    0.08R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   32  +10      -0.36    47.77     2.25    73.94     7.63    19.33     0.80    24.19     6.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester            20   28   +5       0.54    53.82     4.95    64.62     7.58     6.02     0.02     3.03     0.57P    0.50R    0.00  
Sutton_United      20   26   -1       1.49    59.78     3.68    58.00     7.76    -6.35     0.00     0.49     0.08P    4.39R    0.15  
Wrexham            21   26   -8      -2.75    34.24    -8.18    60.27     7.16    -7.87     0.00     0.51     0.12P    1.80R    0.03  
Bromley            20   25   -6       0.38    53.26    -1.47    57.71     7.31   -11.16     0.00     0.23     0.02P    4.46R    0.12  
Solihull_Moors     20   22   -8       0.44    54.12     1.58    51.90     7.66   -17.78     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.91R    1.57  
Maidstone_United   20   22  -13       1.42    59.98    -1.55    46.67     7.29   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.32R    5.93  
Torquay            20   19  -11      -4.79    22.42    -5.70    48.64     7.15   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.98R    3.08  
Southport          20   19  -22      -0.54    47.69    -9.03    44.36     6.93   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.81R   10.00  
Woking             20   17  -10      -9.48     7.13    -8.05    50.58     7.49   -14.39     0.00     0.03     0.00P   22.27R    2.08  
York               20   16  -14     -11.13     4.18   -13.51    52.06     7.66   -13.62     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.55R    1.49  
Braintree_Town     20   16  -17      -9.12     6.89   -13.92    49.29     7.23   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.03R    2.62  
North_Ferriby      21   15  -21      -3.40    29.26    -5.66    36.64     6.63   -38.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.32R   46.21  
Guiseley           20   13  -12      -7.94     9.00    -1.57    39.22     6.97   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R   26.72