Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 19 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 12 27 +16 6.20 90.37 8.87 75.36 7.75 36.92 19.75 40.53 60.46 78.04 96.59 0.00 0.00 Man_City 12 27 +16 2.39 68.92 2.40 78.13 7.47 41.60 32.51 55.45 73.61 87.38 98.57 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 25 +17 4.33 82.62 8.11 76.15 7.69 39.84 23.02 44.98 64.73 81.20 97.50 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 25 +13 2.17 66.55 3.11 75.38 7.38 36.84 18.52 40.04 61.37 79.53 97.21 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 24 +10 2.78 71.49 2.73 69.97 7.55 25.69 5.47 15.74 30.52 50.46 88.77 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 12 19 +3 -0.13 48.83 -0.85 62.43 7.56 14.57 0.62 2.53 6.82 15.47 59.14 0.02R 0.00 Everton 12 19 +2 0.95 57.67 -0.02 55.61 7.70 2.98 0.06 0.44 1.30 3.75 23.05 0.45R 0.04 Watford 12 18 -3 4.37 82.59 1.79 48.17 7.44 -12.93 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.36 4.27 4.45R 0.54 Bournemouth 12 15 -2 1.14 60.55 2.61 41.87 7.30 -17.86 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.77 18.69R 3.88 Southampton 12 14 +0 -3.90 20.74 -2.02 54.88 7.59 7.59 0.04 0.23 0.86 2.76 20.11 0.57R 0.04 Burnley 11 14 -4 1.55 64.57 0.20 44.49 7.74 -14.24 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.12 1.80 12.38R 2.44 West_Brom 11 13 -3 0.66 57.09 1.21 43.75 7.39 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 1.41 12.60R 2.49 Stoke 12 13 -6 -1.42 39.19 -2.83 41.06 7.27 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.53 21.47R 4.81 Leicester 12 12 -6 -4.66 16.48 -5.89 50.17 7.78 -2.66 0.01 0.03 0.16 0.67 7.61 2.98R 0.40 Middlesbrough 11 11 -2 -1.67 36.30 1.70 41.52 7.67 -11.32 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.83 20.16R 4.93 Crystal_Palace 12 11 -4 -2.89 27.66 0.25 39.91 7.32 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.44 26.18R 6.86 West_Ham 12 11 -10 -4.35 17.65 -7.48 43.18 7.64 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.24 15.63R 3.50 Hull 12 10 -17 -0.67 46.46 -7.40 33.63 7.06 -37.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 62.50R 29.08 Sunderland 12 8 -9 -4.62 15.36 -2.19 33.98 7.16 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 58.23R 25.12 Swansea 12 6 -11 -6.36 7.32 -4.30 36.47 7.42 -19.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 43.70R 15.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Barnsley 0 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 16 37 +21 5.65 84.11 6.24 96.38 8.26 49.68 80.17 95.78 99.80 97.29P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 17 35 +16 5.19 81.83 6.36 85.76 7.99 31.74 16.50 70.34 96.74 79.45P 0.00 0.00 Reading 17 31 +5 7.73 90.53 5.08 70.41 8.03 4.78 0.52 5.07 46.76 13.63P 0.28R 0.00 Huddersfield 17 29 -2 8.40 92.74 2.14 65.65 8.13 -6.84 0.13 1.58 24.73 5.52P 1.74R 0.04 Birmingham 17 28 +4 3.32 71.56 1.78 66.58 7.98 2.57 0.20 2.27 29.38 8.47P 1.01R 0.02 Norwich 17 27 +0 0.44 52.75 -4.97 72.67 8.67 9.02 1.33 9.89 57.93 23.75P 0.28R 0.00 Leeds_United 16 26 +2 4.71 79.87 2.80 64.31 8.14 -1.65 0.14 1.33 20.71 5.11P 2.22R 0.05 Fulham 17 25 +5 1.70 61.68 5.27 63.98 8.14 3.32 0.07 1.26 21.03 5.39P 2.53R 0.09 Sheff_Wed 17 25 -2 0.94 56.88 -3.26 66.96 8.07 1.61 0.23 2.35 31.13 9.56P 1.02R 0.04 Bristol_City 17 24 +3 2.00 63.84 5.10 62.49 8.14 0.96 0.06 0.81 16.27 3.88P 3.73R 0.11 Preston 17 24 +2 1.00 57.32 2.14 64.00 7.98 2.85 0.06 0.94 20.20 5.49P 2.40R 0.09 Derby 17 23 +2 -4.13 24.16 -3.73 68.94 8.04 11.10 0.29 3.75 41.89 16.21P 0.56R 0.01 QPR 17 23 -4 -0.23 49.28 -3.92 61.68 8.01 -5.39 0.03 0.55 12.70 3.24P 4.66R 0.16 Brentford 17 22 +4 -2.90 31.38 1.74 65.77 8.33 10.05 0.15 2.10 28.74 9.21P 1.83R 0.06 Barnsley 17 22 +3 0.94 57.07 6.49 57.45 8.31 -4.14 0.01 0.24 6.36 1.39P 12.37R 0.63 Aston_Villa 17 22 +1 -1.59 39.84 0.09 63.44 8.21 3.70 0.06 1.07 19.22 5.69P 3.09R 0.10 Ipswich 17 21 -3 -2.13 36.01 -3.07 60.52 7.99 -2.77 0.02 0.33 10.58 2.73P 5.97R 0.21 Nott'm_Forest 17 19 -3 -3.39 28.86 -1.58 56.35 8.09 -6.89 0.00 0.11 4.49 1.06P 14.84R 0.84 Wolverhampton 17 18 -2 -4.73 21.20 -1.25 57.79 8.09 -1.69 0.01 0.15 6.30 1.67P 10.80R 0.55 Burton_Albion 17 18 -5 -0.09 50.67 2.06 49.46 7.83 -16.60 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.13P 43.75R 5.30 Cardiff 17 18 -10 -3.72 26.66 -7.53 53.58 7.96 -15.73 0.00 0.05 1.99 0.49P 25.14R 1.88 Blackburn 17 16 -8 -6.25 14.29 -6.76 51.48 7.91 -14.22 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.28P 33.20R 2.89 Wigan 17 15 -5 -6.32 13.98 -2.50 51.66 8.12 -8.83 0.00 0.01 1.37 0.36P 31.75R 3.35 Rotherham 17 7 -24 -7.44 6.95 -8.73 33.44 7.47 -46.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.83R 83.57League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 5 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 18 40 +22 8.11 90.93 11.05 86.69 8.01 34.75 47.22 69.83 96.45 77.22P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 34 +12 6.32 85.83 5.31 82.15 8.29 24.71 22.30 46.67 88.90 58.02P 0.01R 0.00 Bolton 18 34 +10 5.32 80.37 4.21 79.86 8.17 21.25 15.06 34.67 83.57 48.09P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 18 32 +9 3.60 72.37 3.54 75.99 7.88 17.41 6.44 18.30 70.24 32.37P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 18 29 +9 0.50 52.97 3.15 72.98 8.04 17.42 3.74 10.98 56.75 22.73P 0.27R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 18 27 +6 4.70 77.91 9.62 61.19 8.08 -0.77 0.14 0.62 10.18 2.31P 7.55R 0.46 Rochdale 18 27 +1 1.23 58.32 -0.60 67.41 8.11 3.90 0.76 3.00 28.33 8.69P 1.59R 0.08 Bristol_Rovers 18 27 -1 5.27 80.47 3.75 62.79 8.17 -5.08 0.22 0.83 12.79 2.91P 6.04R 0.44 Southend 18 26 -1 3.24 70.83 2.06 62.57 7.90 -3.80 0.14 0.65 11.61 2.67P 5.59R 0.34 Fleetwood_Town 18 25 +2 1.23 58.45 3.22 63.82 7.95 2.69 0.18 1.05 15.94 4.10P 3.76R 0.22 Port_Vale 18 25 -5 2.78 68.10 -1.18 61.95 7.96 -7.29 0.12 0.57 10.21 2.31P 7.01R 0.51 Northampton 18 24 +2 0.52 54.22 4.22 59.39 8.18 -3.14 0.07 0.40 7.20 1.72P 11.68R 1.02 Millwall 17 24 +0 -2.17 35.98 -4.21 71.37 8.44 11.83 2.68 8.29 48.15 19.29P 0.67R 0.04 Charlton 17 23 +3 -2.63 33.44 -0.44 64.15 8.42 5.24 0.43 1.76 18.48 6.01P 4.12R 0.28 Gillingham 18 23 -5 -2.20 36.60 -5.52 60.90 8.11 -6.34 0.10 0.55 9.02 2.40P 8.79R 0.70 Oxford_Utd 18 22 -1 -0.92 44.84 1.54 58.14 8.09 -4.45 0.05 0.24 5.20 1.28P 14.87R 1.46 Walsall 17 22 -2 -3.38 28.93 -5.09 63.85 8.20 1.18 0.28 1.22 16.52 5.07P 4.19R 0.26 Bury 18 20 -8 -0.59 47.02 -0.88 50.85 7.77 -20.85 0.00 0.02 0.57 0.11P 46.24R 9.14 Coventry 18 19 -6 -6.13 15.33 -6.80 56.57 7.90 -7.05 0.02 0.10 3.20 0.84P 18.90R 2.15 Swindon 18 19 -8 -4.69 22.41 -6.24 54.42 7.90 -12.82 0.01 0.05 1.72 0.39P 28.01R 3.95 MK_Dons 18 18 -5 -7.16 12.67 -5.64 57.57 8.27 -3.32 0.04 0.20 4.71 1.40P 16.65R 2.04 Oldham 18 16 -10 -4.06 24.12 -3.91 47.32 7.45 -18.98 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 63.57R 17.16 Shrewsbury 18 14 -12 -5.72 16.73 -4.05 44.57 7.68 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 76.08R 30.50 Chesterfield 18 12 -12 -9.45 5.35 -7.11 44.74 7.79 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03P 74.30R 29.24League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 17 38 +11 9.03 93.88 2.67 87.73 8.20 25.80 41.76 81.25 98.60 85.96P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 17 34 +11 7.96 90.42 6.93 78.96 8.49 18.73 9.71 43.03 87.42 52.81P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 17 33 +11 2.20 63.31 -0.65 85.21 8.58 30.32 31.32 72.87 96.49 79.96P 0.00 0.00 Luton 17 30 +12 2.99 68.64 6.54 74.72 8.36 19.39 4.20 25.58 75.63 38.14P 0.03R 0.01 Portsmouth 17 28 +11 -0.54 46.11 3.15 78.10 8.25 26.34 8.50 40.51 87.01 55.02P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 17 25 +3 2.59 67.02 4.18 60.75 8.39 -2.96 0.12 1.45 16.01 4.18P 3.89R 1.52 Blackpool 17 24 +9 -4.48 23.20 1.31 73.74 8.53 23.82 3.54 22.82 72.47 39.26P 0.06R 0.02 Yeovil 17 24 -4 3.05 70.59 -0.93 59.48 7.99 -9.62 0.04 0.68 11.17 2.48P 4.77R 1.92 Crewe 17 23 +0 -0.75 45.84 -0.74 64.86 8.60 3.17 0.35 3.84 31.05 10.15P 1.38R 0.50 Wycombe 17 22 -2 -1.23 42.22 -2.12 62.40 8.08 -0.62 0.11 1.62 20.09 5.70P 2.16R 0.82 Mansfield 17 22 -2 -0.35 47.94 -0.88 58.90 8.13 -5.89 0.04 0.69 10.62 2.51P 5.60R 2.32 Notts_County 17 22 -6 1.73 62.25 -1.06 55.37 8.23 -16.61 0.01 0.26 5.19 1.04P 13.48R 6.36 Stevenage 16 21 -1 -0.35 47.98 -0.10 59.14 8.44 -5.85 0.06 0.95 12.11 3.05P 6.02R 2.46 Barnet 17 21 -3 -0.75 45.70 -0.40 57.84 8.32 -7.76 0.03 0.61 9.08 2.21P 7.93R 3.54 Accrington_Stanley 17 20 -3 -4.05 25.25 -4.10 60.94 8.32 -1.23 0.10 1.29 16.83 4.91P 3.62R 1.41 Crawley_Town 17 20 -7 1.10 58.69 -0.26 52.30 7.93 -18.11 0.00 0.06 2.19 0.37P 22.37R 11.65 Morecambe 17 20 -13 2.10 64.98 -3.61 51.28 8.12 -27.76 0.00 0.07 1.73 0.27P 28.49R 16.15 Hartlepool 17 19 -4 -0.05 51.01 2.93 50.95 8.07 -16.55 0.00 0.04 1.82 0.28P 27.87R 15.78 Cambridge_Utd 17 19 -5 -2.99 31.00 -3.08 57.75 8.22 -6.41 0.03 0.36 8.66 1.94P 7.83R 3.35 Leyton_Orient 17 18 -2 -6.60 13.63 -3.97 59.69 8.28 0.87 0.03 0.85 13.23 3.98P 4.73R 2.01 Cheltenham 17 18 -3 -3.84 26.75 -1.03 56.62 8.50 -4.44 0.02 0.40 7.73 2.01P 10.44R 4.97 Newport_County 16 17 -1 -2.01 36.92 3.26 53.30 8.28 -7.99 0.00 0.15 3.55 0.77P 18.80R 9.76 Colchester 17 17 -6 -5.95 16.88 -5.16 56.72 8.66 -6.43 0.02 0.53 8.29 2.33P 10.74R 5.24 Exeter 17 16 -6 -5.36 18.56 -2.87 53.01 8.21 -10.21 0.01 0.11 3.01 0.68P 19.77R 10.21National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 November 2016, Aldershot 1 2 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 21 46 +23 6.23 83.06 6.34 92.00 7.03 40.94 48.51 95.85 63.78P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 40 +21 7.18 86.86 12.60 84.66 7.61 35.33 13.69 77.28 27.51P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 20 40 +15 3.93 73.22 2.30 85.65 7.23 29.51 14.64 80.59 34.99P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 20 39 +12 3.63 70.67 0.16 85.88 7.51 29.30 15.82 80.67 35.17P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 20 38 +14 8.10 89.59 10.43 76.21 7.56 17.93 1.64 33.16 7.05P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 20 37 +6 5.33 79.21 -0.42 79.23 7.64 16.57 3.48 48.13 12.40P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 20 33 +16 1.48 58.99 9.87 73.47 7.59 23.46 0.76 23.11 5.24P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 20 33 +9 5.33 80.72 8.18 69.57 7.30 10.96 0.12 9.13 1.78P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 20 33 +7 1.29 58.26 0.64 72.52 7.41 12.89 0.46 17.49 4.14P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 21 33 +5 5.04 78.37 6.10 67.89 7.35 6.02 0.06 6.03 1.02P 0.08R 0.00 Eastleigh 20 32 +10 -0.36 47.77 2.25 73.94 7.63 19.33 0.80 24.19 6.12P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 20 28 +5 0.54 53.82 4.95 64.62 7.58 6.02 0.02 3.03 0.57P 0.50R 0.00 Sutton_United 20 26 -1 1.49 59.78 3.68 58.00 7.76 -6.35 0.00 0.49 0.08P 4.39R 0.15 Wrexham 21 26 -8 -2.75 34.24 -8.18 60.27 7.16 -7.87 0.00 0.51 0.12P 1.80R 0.03 Bromley 20 25 -6 0.38 53.26 -1.47 57.71 7.31 -11.16 0.00 0.23 0.02P 4.46R 0.12 Solihull_Moors 20 22 -8 0.44 54.12 1.58 51.90 7.66 -17.78 0.00 0.05 0.01P 18.91R 1.57 Maidstone_United 20 22 -13 1.42 59.98 -1.55 46.67 7.29 -32.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.32R 5.93 Torquay 20 19 -11 -4.79 22.42 -5.70 48.64 7.15 -20.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.98R 3.08 Southport 20 19 -22 -0.54 47.69 -9.03 44.36 6.93 -38.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.81R 10.00 Woking 20 17 -10 -9.48 7.13 -8.05 50.58 7.49 -14.39 0.00 0.03 0.00P 22.27R 2.08 York 20 16 -14 -11.13 4.18 -13.51 52.06 7.66 -13.62 0.00 0.04 0.01P 17.55R 1.49 Braintree_Town 20 16 -17 -9.12 6.89 -13.92 49.29 7.23 -20.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.03R 2.62 North_Ferriby 21 15 -21 -3.40 29.26 -5.66 36.64 6.63 -38.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.32R 46.21 Guiseley 20 13 -12 -7.94 9.00 -1.57 39.22 6.97 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.50R 26.72