Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 16 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 11 26 +16 6.58 92.97 8.83 75.78 8.00 37.27 21.65 42.49 61.97 78.91 96.15 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 25 +17 4.32 82.52 8.11 76.38 7.65 40.23 23.51 46.27 66.11 82.01 97.35 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 24 +15 1.35 60.89 2.25 77.27 7.69 41.88 28.96 51.31 69.99 84.59 97.77 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 24 +13 2.64 71.10 3.21 75.74 7.61 36.85 20.38 42.11 62.76 79.67 96.61 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 21 +9 1.89 65.50 2.91 68.94 7.73 25.51 4.47 13.33 26.57 45.58 84.23 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 11 18 +3 0.14 51.25 -0.96 62.96 7.75 14.82 0.80 3.30 8.52 17.96 58.54 0.02R 0.00 Everton 11 18 +2 1.72 64.60 0.59 56.66 7.98 3.93 0.13 0.64 2.02 5.17 25.94 0.36R 0.04 Watford 11 15 -4 2.88 74.78 1.00 45.94 7.62 -14.91 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.14 2.47 8.20R 1.30 Burnley 11 14 -4 1.68 65.49 0.43 44.52 7.81 -14.29 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.15 1.91 11.98R 2.34 Southampton 11 13 +0 -3.64 21.04 -2.20 55.53 7.91 8.01 0.08 0.39 1.39 3.89 21.87 0.58R 0.05 West_Brom 11 13 -3 0.67 57.38 1.26 43.55 7.41 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.18 12.76R 2.20 Stoke 11 13 -5 -0.10 50.45 -1.84 43.38 7.51 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.06 14.00R 2.50 Bournemouth 11 12 -3 -0.48 47.20 1.76 39.25 7.42 -20.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.35 29.81R 7.71 Leicester 11 12 -5 -3.30 23.51 -4.92 52.04 8.09 -0.87 0.01 0.12 0.50 1.53 11.34 2.08R 0.23 Middlesbrough 11 11 -2 -1.66 36.43 1.68 41.28 7.65 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.79 20.52R 4.62 Crystal_Palace 11 11 -3 -2.14 32.60 0.17 40.53 7.44 -15.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.49 23.69R 5.41 West_Ham 11 11 -9 -3.69 21.18 -7.72 43.86 7.88 -16.56 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.70 13.61R 2.81 Hull 11 10 -14 -0.13 50.87 -5.75 35.95 7.47 -33.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 49.25R 18.16 Swansea 11 5 -11 -6.29 6.72 -4.67 36.25 7.59 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 44.55R 15.92 Sunderland 11 5 -12 -5.59 8.55 -4.15 31.79 7.36 -29.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 68.58R 36.70Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 16 37 +21 5.75 84.72 6.45 96.33 8.23 49.56 77.15 95.05 99.84 96.92P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +16 6.02 86.38 6.95 86.78 8.19 32.66 18.96 71.03 97.04 79.96P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 16 29 -1 9.44 95.36 2.59 67.08 8.31 -5.57 0.18 2.20 29.68 7.01P 1.18R 0.05 Reading 16 28 +2 6.98 89.31 3.32 68.31 8.25 1.07 0.29 2.89 35.63 9.26P 0.66R 0.01 Norwich 16 27 +1 1.51 59.89 -4.45 74.57 8.97 10.84 2.02 12.85 64.54 28.09P 0.16R 0.00 Leeds_United 16 26 +2 4.76 80.14 2.84 64.21 8.11 -1.84 0.09 1.02 19.69 4.88P 2.00R 0.06 Birmingham 16 25 +3 2.06 64.41 1.32 64.98 8.24 1.53 0.13 1.43 23.02 6.31P 1.70R 0.05 Fulham 16 24 +5 2.19 65.08 5.46 64.45 8.46 3.47 0.11 1.37 22.32 5.70P 2.19R 0.10 Bristol_City 16 24 +4 2.79 68.73 5.28 64.06 8.37 2.25 0.08 1.11 20.84 5.23P 2.24R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 16 24 -2 1.31 59.56 -3.27 67.03 8.29 1.13 0.24 2.10 30.61 9.12P 1.02R 0.04 Preston 16 23 +2 1.42 60.57 2.25 64.80 8.22 3.41 0.09 1.16 22.57 6.14P 1.83R 0.07 Brentford 16 22 +5 -1.87 37.41 2.16 67.64 8.52 11.77 0.29 2.80 35.63 11.84P 0.96R 0.03 Barnsley 16 21 +3 1.36 60.05 6.69 58.35 8.64 -3.55 0.03 0.29 8.02 1.82P 10.44R 0.83 Aston_Villa 16 21 +1 -1.48 40.05 -0.22 62.89 8.45 2.50 0.07 0.90 17.26 5.04P 3.36R 0.15 Ipswich 16 21 -1 -0.95 43.73 -1.36 63.19 8.25 1.00 0.04 0.72 17.19 4.74P 2.95R 0.11 Derby 16 20 -1 -4.52 21.59 -4.81 67.59 8.26 8.68 0.21 2.54 34.36 12.58P 0.85R 0.04 QPR 16 20 -5 -1.65 39.50 -4.63 59.69 8.24 -6.96 0.01 0.27 8.54 2.25P 7.06R 0.45 Burton_Albion 16 18 -2 0.24 52.98 3.50 51.39 8.06 -12.54 0.00 0.02 1.22 0.22P 31.15R 4.01 Wolverhampton 16 17 -2 -4.50 21.35 -1.33 57.93 8.32 -2.06 0.01 0.18 6.44 1.64P 10.02R 0.73 Nott'm_Forest 16 16 -5 -4.76 20.18 -3.08 53.40 8.29 -10.92 0.00 0.04 2.19 0.49P 23.31R 2.41 Cardiff 16 15 -11 -5.00 18.81 -8.03 51.68 8.14 -17.01 0.00 0.01 1.17 0.25P 30.94R 3.56 Wigan 16 14 -5 -6.13 13.93 -2.64 51.74 8.39 -9.39 0.00 0.02 1.57 0.39P 29.51R 4.08 Blackburn 16 13 -9 -7.54 8.64 -7.34 49.33 8.14 -15.88 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.14P 41.74R 5.65 Rotherham 16 7 -21 -7.17 7.63 -7.63 34.51 7.72 -44.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.71R 77.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 17 37 +21 7.17 88.60 11.01 85.89 8.27 34.88 44.68 66.74 95.36 74.55P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 17 32 +12 4.11 75.78 5.40 78.57 8.14 22.10 12.79 29.88 80.63 44.13P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 31 +11 5.32 81.88 5.34 81.02 8.55 24.43 20.45 42.59 86.31 54.39P 0.03R 0.00 Bolton 17 31 +8 4.24 75.75 2.98 77.93 8.47 18.69 11.82 27.29 76.73 40.82P 0.05R 0.00 Peterborough 17 26 +8 -1.01 43.38 2.37 71.23 8.31 16.23 2.94 9.01 48.88 19.21P 0.55R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 17 26 -1 5.69 83.04 3.96 63.35 8.47 -4.92 0.28 1.26 15.52 3.63P 6.02R 0.48 Port_Vale 17 25 -3 3.34 71.75 -0.38 63.74 8.18 -4.60 0.28 1.23 15.57 3.75P 4.95R 0.40 Northampton 17 24 +3 1.61 60.90 4.83 61.20 8.52 -1.53 0.22 0.98 11.62 3.03P 9.02R 0.84 Millwall 16 24 +2 -1.41 40.66 -3.15 72.95 8.55 14.15 4.46 12.54 56.45 24.51P 0.46R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 17 24 +2 4.52 78.14 7.67 58.07 8.21 -6.85 0.07 0.25 5.49 1.07P 15.89R 1.80 Rochdale 17 24 -3 0.81 56.00 -2.71 64.52 8.38 -2.01 0.44 1.74 19.06 5.42P 4.35R 0.33 Southend 17 23 -4 2.24 65.44 0.01 59.49 8.12 -8.90 0.06 0.33 6.84 1.50P 12.44R 1.34 Fleetwood_Town 17 22 +1 0.04 51.07 2.93 62.31 8.16 1.87 0.16 0.76 12.88 3.23P 6.33R 0.53 Walsall 16 22 -1 -2.05 36.31 -4.13 66.52 8.36 4.09 0.81 2.92 26.59 8.93P 2.48R 0.15 Charlton 16 20 +1 -3.54 27.25 -1.39 62.31 8.65 2.92 0.33 1.27 14.55 4.55P 7.26R 0.67 Bury 17 20 -4 -0.35 48.61 1.10 53.25 8.13 -14.77 0.01 0.05 1.61 0.30P 34.82R 6.37 Gillingham 17 20 -6 -3.73 27.29 -6.37 58.48 8.34 -8.61 0.06 0.33 6.15 1.62P 15.55R 1.76 Coventry 17 19 -3 -5.54 17.18 -4.94 59.08 8.14 -2.27 0.04 0.32 6.62 1.88P 12.35R 1.26 Swindon 17 19 -4 -4.48 23.04 -4.09 56.86 8.18 -7.16 0.03 0.15 4.15 1.05P 19.65R 2.58 Oxford_Utd 17 19 -4 -1.57 40.63 -0.09 55.09 8.37 -9.42 0.02 0.10 2.67 0.60P 27.16R 4.47 MK_Dons 17 17 -5 -6.78 13.29 -5.58 57.88 8.60 -3.48 0.06 0.25 5.87 1.73P 17.39R 2.51 Oldham 17 16 -9 -3.39 27.91 -3.94 48.28 7.58 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 59.20R 16.12 Shrewsbury 17 14 -11 -4.91 19.99 -4.09 45.02 7.89 -25.46 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 74.32R 31.65 Chesterfield 17 12 -11 -8.46 7.02 -6.74 45.86 8.00 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 69.70R 26.67League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 38 +14 10.05 96.35 5.19 90.93 8.39 31.55 56.18 89.64 99.37 92.41P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 31 +10 6.96 88.26 6.90 77.26 8.65 17.62 5.94 36.31 82.73 46.62P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 16 30 +10 1.49 59.24 -0.20 84.22 8.80 30.38 23.49 69.61 95.48 77.65P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 27 +11 0.13 50.68 3.58 79.22 8.40 27.56 8.77 47.45 89.31 60.69P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 16 27 +10 2.08 63.83 5.63 72.91 8.60 17.16 2.47 20.34 68.90 32.41P 0.10R 0.02 Crewe 16 22 +0 -0.47 47.38 -0.74 65.42 8.88 3.36 0.41 5.29 34.42 11.68P 1.48R 0.54 Grimsby 16 22 +0 1.57 61.14 2.06 56.68 8.44 -9.70 0.03 0.53 7.81 1.83P 10.06R 4.66 Notts_County 16 22 -3 2.32 66.31 0.64 58.36 8.56 -11.07 0.02 0.79 10.72 2.51P 7.56R 3.35 Blackpool 16 21 +8 -5.59 17.28 1.12 72.25 8.70 22.98 2.15 19.10 67.14 35.18P 0.21R 0.05 Yeovil 16 21 -5 1.57 61.81 -1.65 57.06 8.22 -11.80 0.02 0.47 7.56 1.73P 9.11R 3.94 Accrington_Stanley 16 20 -2 -2.81 31.89 -3.25 63.30 8.54 1.18 0.19 2.71 25.49 8.05P 2.16R 0.81 Barnet 16 20 -3 -0.55 46.90 -0.59 58.12 8.53 -8.11 0.04 0.69 10.51 2.42P 7.77R 3.51 Crawley_Town 16 20 -5 1.89 63.99 0.78 54.65 8.16 -14.55 0.01 0.19 4.40 0.79P 14.95R 7.11 Morecambe 16 20 -11 2.59 68.26 -3.08 53.18 8.41 -25.02 0.00 0.14 3.43 0.57P 21.32R 11.56 Hartlepool 16 19 -3 0.59 55.10 2.72 51.43 8.23 -17.21 0.00 0.10 2.27 0.42P 25.93R 14.17 Wycombe 16 19 -3 -2.73 31.86 -2.93 60.27 8.30 -2.27 0.05 1.03 14.81 4.19P 4.24R 1.69 Cambridge_Utd 16 19 -4 -1.92 37.57 -2.51 59.36 8.50 -5.01 0.04 0.98 13.03 3.49P 5.70R 2.41 Mansfield 16 19 -4 -1.29 41.63 -1.88 56.45 8.36 -9.04 0.02 0.44 7.16 1.77P 10.48R 4.75 Leyton_Orient 16 18 -1 -5.67 16.37 -3.53 61.05 8.42 1.92 0.07 1.56 18.30 5.63P 3.39R 1.34 Stevenage 15 18 -2 -1.89 37.36 -0.95 56.76 8.66 -8.14 0.02 0.61 8.54 2.12P 10.62R 5.02 Cheltenham 16 17 -3 -3.81 26.17 -1.46 56.50 8.68 -5.22 0.02 0.55 8.25 2.23P 10.70R 5.07 Colchester 16 17 -5 -4.90 20.80 -4.70 58.98 8.99 -4.06 0.04 1.20 13.94 4.13P 7.24R 3.34 Exeter 16 16 -5 -4.29 23.05 -2.44 54.50 8.43 -9.03 0.01 0.24 4.77 1.16P 15.51R 7.74 Newport_County 15 14 -4 -2.97 29.85 1.29 50.01 8.40 -13.45 0.00 0.04 1.68 0.32P 31.43R 18.89National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 20 46 +24 7.78 89.64 7.60 94.34 7.23 43.42 65.62 98.20 76.49P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 37 +20 5.65 81.71 11.77 81.55 7.82 31.89 7.43 67.00 20.64P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 19 37 +14 2.77 67.00 1.91 83.75 7.43 28.17 10.03 76.33 30.55P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 19 36 +10 2.58 65.49 -1.01 83.69 7.80 26.51 10.09 74.70 29.58P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 19 35 +13 7.14 87.17 10.44 75.19 7.72 17.93 1.29 33.36 7.01P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 34 +4 4.58 76.03 -1.00 78.48 7.86 16.07 3.05 48.91 12.54P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 20 33 +6 6.15 83.56 6.74 69.78 7.53 7.81 0.16 12.24 2.23P 0.07R 0.00 Gateshead 19 32 +16 2.11 63.21 10.27 74.04 7.81 23.81 1.05 29.87 7.13P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 19 31 +10 0.06 50.30 2.34 73.68 7.82 18.38 0.86 27.46 7.07P 0.02R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 19 30 +7 4.58 77.90 7.39 68.10 7.48 9.19 0.08 8.29 1.47P 0.13R 0.00 Macclesfield 19 30 +6 -0.19 48.86 -0.12 70.57 7.60 11.51 0.27 15.06 3.69P 0.04R 0.00 Chester 19 27 +5 1.12 57.48 5.34 65.62 7.81 7.10 0.06 5.55 1.04P 0.59R 0.01 Sutton_United 19 26 +0 2.68 66.89 4.29 60.07 7.93 -4.26 0.01 1.39 0.25P 3.30R 0.07 Wrexham 20 25 -8 -2.52 35.04 -8.37 60.70 7.32 -7.70 0.00 0.97 0.19P 2.29R 0.03 Bromley 19 24 -6 0.56 54.45 -1.77 57.31 7.51 -12.48 0.00 0.37 0.05P 6.38R 0.16 Solihull_Moors 19 22 -7 1.17 58.69 1.53 52.82 7.85 -17.62 0.00 0.10 0.02P 18.40R 1.21 Maidstone_United 19 22 -10 1.77 62.32 -0.21 49.52 7.75 -26.99 0.00 0.04 0.00 33.03R 2.89 Southport 19 19 -20 0.00 51.29 -8.28 45.41 7.16 -37.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.34R 7.01 Torquay 19 18 -11 -4.43 23.77 -5.71 48.94 7.28 -20.29 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.00R 2.43 York 19 16 -12 -10.41 4.86 -12.52 54.15 7.87 -10.42 0.00 0.13 0.03P 13.57R 0.81 Braintree_Town 19 16 -16 -8.08 9.31 -13.30 50.67 7.41 -19.03 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.09R 1.56 Woking 19 14 -13 -10.39 4.50 -9.83 48.07 7.70 -19.10 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.54R 3.81 Guiseley 19 13 -10 -7.55 9.74 -1.22 40.21 7.23 -25.76 0.00 0.00 0.00P 77.13R 19.88 North_Ferriby 20 12 -22 -4.97 19.36 -6.28 34.32 6.82 -40.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.07R 60.13