Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   26  +16       6.58    92.97     8.83    75.78     8.00    37.27    21.65    42.49    61.97    78.91    96.15     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   25  +17       4.32    82.52     8.11    76.38     7.65    40.23    23.51    46.27    66.11    82.01    97.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   24  +15       1.35    60.89     2.25    77.27     7.69    41.88    28.96    51.31    69.99    84.59    97.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   24  +13       2.64    71.10     3.21    75.74     7.61    36.85    20.38    42.11    62.76    79.67    96.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   21   +9       1.89    65.50     2.91    68.94     7.73    25.51     4.47    13.33    26.57    45.58    84.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   18   +3       0.14    51.25    -0.96    62.96     7.75    14.82     0.80     3.30     8.52    17.96    58.54     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          11   18   +2       1.72    64.60     0.59    56.66     7.98     3.93     0.13     0.64     2.02     5.17    25.94     0.36R    0.04  
Watford          11   15   -4       2.88    74.78     1.00    45.94     7.62   -14.91     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.14     2.47     8.20R    1.30  
Burnley          11   14   -4       1.68    65.49     0.43    44.52     7.81   -14.29     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.91    11.98R    2.34  
Southampton      11   13   +0      -3.64    21.04    -2.20    55.53     7.91     8.01     0.08     0.39     1.39     3.89    21.87     0.58R    0.05  
West_Brom        11   13   -3       0.67    57.38     1.26    43.55     7.41   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.18    12.76R    2.20  
Stoke            11   13   -5      -0.10    50.45    -1.84    43.38     7.51   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.06    14.00R    2.50  
Bournemouth      11   12   -3      -0.48    47.20     1.76    39.25     7.42   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35    29.81R    7.71  
Leicester        11   12   -5      -3.30    23.51    -4.92    52.04     8.09    -0.87     0.01     0.12     0.50     1.53    11.34     2.08R    0.23  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -2      -1.66    36.43     1.68    41.28     7.65   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.79    20.52R    4.62  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   -3      -2.14    32.60     0.17    40.53     7.44   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.49    23.69R    5.41  
West_Ham         11   11   -9      -3.69    21.18    -7.72    43.86     7.88   -16.56     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.70    13.61R    2.81  
Hull             11   10  -14      -0.13    50.87    -5.75    35.95     7.47   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    49.25R   18.16  
Swansea          11    5  -11      -6.29     6.72    -4.67    36.25     7.59   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    44.55R   15.92  
Sunderland       11    5  -12      -5.59     8.55    -4.15    31.79     7.36   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.58R   36.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       16   37  +21       5.75    84.72     6.45    96.33     8.23    49.56    77.15    95.05    99.84    96.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34  +16       6.02    86.38     6.95    86.78     8.19    32.66    18.96    71.03    97.04    79.96P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   29   -1       9.44    95.36     2.59    67.08     8.31    -5.57     0.18     2.20    29.68     7.01P    1.18R    0.05  
Reading         16   28   +2       6.98    89.31     3.32    68.31     8.25     1.07     0.29     2.89    35.63     9.26P    0.66R    0.01  
Norwich         16   27   +1       1.51    59.89    -4.45    74.57     8.97    10.84     2.02    12.85    64.54    28.09P    0.16R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   26   +2       4.76    80.14     2.84    64.21     8.11    -1.84     0.09     1.02    19.69     4.88P    2.00R    0.06  
Birmingham      16   25   +3       2.06    64.41     1.32    64.98     8.24     1.53     0.13     1.43    23.02     6.31P    1.70R    0.05  
Fulham          16   24   +5       2.19    65.08     5.46    64.45     8.46     3.47     0.11     1.37    22.32     5.70P    2.19R    0.10  
Bristol_City    16   24   +4       2.79    68.73     5.28    64.06     8.37     2.25     0.08     1.11    20.84     5.23P    2.24R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   -2       1.31    59.56    -3.27    67.03     8.29     1.13     0.24     2.10    30.61     9.12P    1.02R    0.04  
Preston         16   23   +2       1.42    60.57     2.25    64.80     8.22     3.41     0.09     1.16    22.57     6.14P    1.83R    0.07  
Brentford       16   22   +5      -1.87    37.41     2.16    67.64     8.52    11.77     0.29     2.80    35.63    11.84P    0.96R    0.03  
Barnsley        16   21   +3       1.36    60.05     6.69    58.35     8.64    -3.55     0.03     0.29     8.02     1.82P   10.44R    0.83  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -1.48    40.05    -0.22    62.89     8.45     2.50     0.07     0.90    17.26     5.04P    3.36R    0.15  
Ipswich         16   21   -1      -0.95    43.73    -1.36    63.19     8.25     1.00     0.04     0.72    17.19     4.74P    2.95R    0.11  
Derby           16   20   -1      -4.52    21.59    -4.81    67.59     8.26     8.68     0.21     2.54    34.36    12.58P    0.85R    0.04  
QPR             16   20   -5      -1.65    39.50    -4.63    59.69     8.24    -6.96     0.01     0.27     8.54     2.25P    7.06R    0.45  
Burton_Albion   16   18   -2       0.24    52.98     3.50    51.39     8.06   -12.54     0.00     0.02     1.22     0.22P   31.15R    4.01  
Wolverhampton   16   17   -2      -4.50    21.35    -1.33    57.93     8.32    -2.06     0.01     0.18     6.44     1.64P   10.02R    0.73  
Nott'm_Forest   16   16   -5      -4.76    20.18    -3.08    53.40     8.29   -10.92     0.00     0.04     2.19     0.49P   23.31R    2.41  
Cardiff         16   15  -11      -5.00    18.81    -8.03    51.68     8.14   -17.01     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.25P   30.94R    3.56  
Wigan           16   14   -5      -6.13    13.93    -2.64    51.74     8.39    -9.39     0.00     0.02     1.57     0.39P   29.51R    4.08  
Blackburn       16   13   -9      -7.54     8.64    -7.34    49.33     8.14   -15.88     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P   41.74R    5.65  
Rotherham       16    7  -21      -7.17     7.63    -7.63    34.51     7.72   -44.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.71R   77.50  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       17   37  +21       7.17    88.60    11.01    85.89     8.27    34.88    44.68    66.74    95.36    74.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   32  +12       4.11    75.78     5.40    78.57     8.14    22.10    12.79    29.88    80.63    44.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   31  +11       5.32    81.88     5.34    81.02     8.55    24.43    20.45    42.59    86.31    54.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Bolton           17   31   +8       4.24    75.75     2.98    77.93     8.47    18.69    11.82    27.29    76.73    40.82P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   26   +8      -1.01    43.38     2.37    71.23     8.31    16.23     2.94     9.01    48.88    19.21P    0.55R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   17   26   -1       5.69    83.04     3.96    63.35     8.47    -4.92     0.28     1.26    15.52     3.63P    6.02R    0.48  
Port_Vale        17   25   -3       3.34    71.75    -0.38    63.74     8.18    -4.60     0.28     1.23    15.57     3.75P    4.95R    0.40  
Northampton      17   24   +3       1.61    60.90     4.83    61.20     8.52    -1.53     0.22     0.98    11.62     3.03P    9.02R    0.84  
Millwall         16   24   +2      -1.41    40.66    -3.15    72.95     8.55    14.15     4.46    12.54    56.45    24.51P    0.46R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon    17   24   +2       4.52    78.14     7.67    58.07     8.21    -6.85     0.07     0.25     5.49     1.07P   15.89R    1.80  
Rochdale         17   24   -3       0.81    56.00    -2.71    64.52     8.38    -2.01     0.44     1.74    19.06     5.42P    4.35R    0.33  
Southend         17   23   -4       2.24    65.44     0.01    59.49     8.12    -8.90     0.06     0.33     6.84     1.50P   12.44R    1.34  
Fleetwood_Town   17   22   +1       0.04    51.07     2.93    62.31     8.16     1.87     0.16     0.76    12.88     3.23P    6.33R    0.53  
Walsall          16   22   -1      -2.05    36.31    -4.13    66.52     8.36     4.09     0.81     2.92    26.59     8.93P    2.48R    0.15  
Charlton         16   20   +1      -3.54    27.25    -1.39    62.31     8.65     2.92     0.33     1.27    14.55     4.55P    7.26R    0.67  
Bury             17   20   -4      -0.35    48.61     1.10    53.25     8.13   -14.77     0.01     0.05     1.61     0.30P   34.82R    6.37  
Gillingham       17   20   -6      -3.73    27.29    -6.37    58.48     8.34    -8.61     0.06     0.33     6.15     1.62P   15.55R    1.76  
Coventry         17   19   -3      -5.54    17.18    -4.94    59.08     8.14    -2.27     0.04     0.32     6.62     1.88P   12.35R    1.26  
Swindon          17   19   -4      -4.48    23.04    -4.09    56.86     8.18    -7.16     0.03     0.15     4.15     1.05P   19.65R    2.58  
Oxford_Utd       17   19   -4      -1.57    40.63    -0.09    55.09     8.37    -9.42     0.02     0.10     2.67     0.60P   27.16R    4.47  
MK_Dons          17   17   -5      -6.78    13.29    -5.58    57.88     8.60    -3.48     0.06     0.25     5.87     1.73P   17.39R    2.51  
Oldham           17   16   -9      -3.39    27.91    -3.94    48.28     7.58   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   59.20R   16.12  
Shrewsbury       17   14  -11      -4.91    19.99    -4.09    45.02     7.89   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   74.32R   31.65  
Chesterfield     17   12  -11      -8.46     7.02    -6.74    45.86     8.00   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   69.70R   26.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   38  +14      10.05    96.35     5.19    90.93     8.39    31.55    56.18    89.64    99.37    92.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   31  +10       6.96    88.26     6.90    77.26     8.65    17.62     5.94    36.31    82.73    46.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   30  +10       1.49    59.24    -0.20    84.22     8.80    30.38    23.49    69.61    95.48    77.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   27  +11       0.13    50.68     3.58    79.22     8.40    27.56     8.77    47.45    89.31    60.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                16   27  +10       2.08    63.83     5.63    72.91     8.60    17.16     2.47    20.34    68.90    32.41P    0.10R    0.02  
Crewe                16   22   +0      -0.47    47.38    -0.74    65.42     8.88     3.36     0.41     5.29    34.42    11.68P    1.48R    0.54  
Grimsby              16   22   +0       1.57    61.14     2.06    56.68     8.44    -9.70     0.03     0.53     7.81     1.83P   10.06R    4.66  
Notts_County         16   22   -3       2.32    66.31     0.64    58.36     8.56   -11.07     0.02     0.79    10.72     2.51P    7.56R    3.35  
Blackpool            16   21   +8      -5.59    17.28     1.12    72.25     8.70    22.98     2.15    19.10    67.14    35.18P    0.21R    0.05  
Yeovil               16   21   -5       1.57    61.81    -1.65    57.06     8.22   -11.80     0.02     0.47     7.56     1.73P    9.11R    3.94  
Accrington_Stanley   16   20   -2      -2.81    31.89    -3.25    63.30     8.54     1.18     0.19     2.71    25.49     8.05P    2.16R    0.81  
Barnet               16   20   -3      -0.55    46.90    -0.59    58.12     8.53    -8.11     0.04     0.69    10.51     2.42P    7.77R    3.51  
Crawley_Town         16   20   -5       1.89    63.99     0.78    54.65     8.16   -14.55     0.01     0.19     4.40     0.79P   14.95R    7.11  
Morecambe            16   20  -11       2.59    68.26    -3.08    53.18     8.41   -25.02     0.00     0.14     3.43     0.57P   21.32R   11.56  
Hartlepool           16   19   -3       0.59    55.10     2.72    51.43     8.23   -17.21     0.00     0.10     2.27     0.42P   25.93R   14.17  
Wycombe              16   19   -3      -2.73    31.86    -2.93    60.27     8.30    -2.27     0.05     1.03    14.81     4.19P    4.24R    1.69  
Cambridge_Utd        16   19   -4      -1.92    37.57    -2.51    59.36     8.50    -5.01     0.04     0.98    13.03     3.49P    5.70R    2.41  
Mansfield            16   19   -4      -1.29    41.63    -1.88    56.45     8.36    -9.04     0.02     0.44     7.16     1.77P   10.48R    4.75  
Leyton_Orient        16   18   -1      -5.67    16.37    -3.53    61.05     8.42     1.92     0.07     1.56    18.30     5.63P    3.39R    1.34  
Stevenage            15   18   -2      -1.89    37.36    -0.95    56.76     8.66    -8.14     0.02     0.61     8.54     2.12P   10.62R    5.02  
Cheltenham           16   17   -3      -3.81    26.17    -1.46    56.50     8.68    -5.22     0.02     0.55     8.25     2.23P   10.70R    5.07  
Colchester           16   17   -5      -4.90    20.80    -4.70    58.98     8.99    -4.06     0.04     1.20    13.94     4.13P    7.24R    3.34  
Exeter               16   16   -5      -4.29    23.05    -2.44    54.50     8.43    -9.03     0.01     0.24     4.77     1.16P   15.51R    7.74  
Newport_County       15   14   -4      -2.97    29.85     1.29    50.01     8.40   -13.45     0.00     0.04     1.68     0.32P   31.43R   18.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       20   46  +24       7.78    89.64     7.60    94.34     7.23    43.42    65.62    98.20    76.49P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       19   37  +20       5.65    81.71    11.77    81.55     7.82    31.89     7.43    67.00    20.64P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           19   37  +14       2.77    67.00     1.91    83.75     7.43    28.17    10.03    76.33    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   36  +10       2.58    65.49    -1.01    83.69     7.80    26.51    10.09    74.70    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             19   35  +13       7.14    87.17    10.44    75.19     7.72    17.93     1.29    33.36     7.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     19   34   +4       4.58    76.03    -1.00    78.48     7.86    16.07     3.05    48.91    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          20   33   +6       6.15    83.56     6.74    69.78     7.53     7.81     0.16    12.24     2.23P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32  +16       2.11    63.21    10.27    74.04     7.81    23.81     1.05    29.87     7.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh          19   31  +10       0.06    50.30     2.34    73.68     7.82    18.38     0.86    27.46     7.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       19   30   +7       4.58    77.90     7.39    68.10     7.48     9.19     0.08     8.29     1.47P    0.13R    0.00  
Macclesfield       19   30   +6      -0.19    48.86    -0.12    70.57     7.60    11.51     0.27    15.06     3.69P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester            19   27   +5       1.12    57.48     5.34    65.62     7.81     7.10     0.06     5.55     1.04P    0.59R    0.01  
Sutton_United      19   26   +0       2.68    66.89     4.29    60.07     7.93    -4.26     0.01     1.39     0.25P    3.30R    0.07  
Wrexham            20   25   -8      -2.52    35.04    -8.37    60.70     7.32    -7.70     0.00     0.97     0.19P    2.29R    0.03  
Bromley            19   24   -6       0.56    54.45    -1.77    57.31     7.51   -12.48     0.00     0.37     0.05P    6.38R    0.16  
Solihull_Moors     19   22   -7       1.17    58.69     1.53    52.82     7.85   -17.62     0.00     0.10     0.02P   18.40R    1.21  
Maidstone_United   19   22  -10       1.77    62.32    -0.21    49.52     7.75   -26.99     0.00     0.04     0.00    33.03R    2.89  
Southport          19   19  -20       0.00    51.29    -8.28    45.41     7.16   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.34R    7.01  
Torquay            19   18  -11      -4.43    23.77    -5.71    48.94     7.28   -20.29     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.00R    2.43  
York               19   16  -12     -10.41     4.86   -12.52    54.15     7.87   -10.42     0.00     0.13     0.03P   13.57R    0.81  
Braintree_Town     19   16  -16      -8.08     9.31   -13.30    50.67     7.41   -19.03     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.09R    1.56  
Woking             19   14  -13     -10.39     4.50    -9.83    48.07     7.70   -19.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.54R    3.81  
Guiseley           19   13  -10      -7.55     9.74    -1.22    40.21     7.23   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00P   77.13R   19.88  
North_Ferriby      20   12  -22      -4.97    19.36    -6.28    34.32     6.82   -40.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R   60.13