Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 15 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 11 26 +16 6.54 93.02 8.74 75.93 7.96 37.54 22.06 43.34 62.72 79.55 96.27 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 25 +17 4.30 82.30 8.11 76.30 7.69 40.09 23.28 45.57 65.56 81.83 97.27 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 24 +15 1.41 61.56 2.36 77.20 7.70 41.70 28.45 50.80 69.57 84.37 97.71 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 24 +13 2.62 71.18 3.16 75.78 7.62 36.95 20.34 42.00 62.58 79.76 96.63 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 21 +9 1.84 65.34 2.84 69.02 7.80 25.65 4.78 13.93 27.37 45.71 84.21 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 11 18 +3 0.20 51.63 -0.88 62.83 7.78 14.63 0.84 3.21 8.22 17.53 58.01 0.04R 0.00 Everton 11 18 +2 1.64 64.05 0.48 56.80 7.96 4.20 0.14 0.62 2.06 5.37 26.49 0.36R 0.03 Watford 11 15 -4 2.86 74.65 1.01 45.90 7.63 -14.97 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.19 2.45 8.29R 1.34 Burnley 11 14 -4 1.64 65.34 0.35 44.57 7.83 -14.22 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.84 11.91R 2.21 Southampton 11 13 +0 -3.59 21.60 -2.11 55.41 7.90 7.78 0.08 0.37 1.29 3.67 21.69 0.57R 0.06 West_Brom 11 13 -3 0.56 56.43 1.08 43.83 7.39 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06 1.28 11.98R 1.99 Stoke 11 13 -5 -0.07 50.77 -1.82 43.30 7.58 -16.62 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.09 1.16 14.37R 2.56 Bournemouth 11 12 -3 -0.50 46.99 1.72 39.26 7.44 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.29 30.15R 7.53 Leicester 11 12 -5 -3.29 23.70 -4.89 52.21 8.02 -0.58 0.02 0.13 0.45 1.50 11.57 1.77R 0.26 Middlesbrough 11 11 -2 -1.71 36.12 1.66 41.36 7.71 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.85 20.35R 4.55 Crystal_Palace 11 11 -3 -2.05 33.43 0.32 40.36 7.49 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.48 24.02R 5.81 West_Ham 11 11 -9 -3.70 20.76 -7.73 43.81 7.82 -16.66 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 1.55 13.72R 2.71 Hull 11 10 -14 -0.07 51.44 -5.68 36.00 7.43 -33.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 48.63R 17.68 Swansea 11 5 -11 -6.33 6.42 -4.73 36.25 7.62 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 44.49R 15.83 Sunderland 11 5 -12 -5.48 8.88 -4.00 31.56 7.37 -30.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.35R 37.45Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 16 37 +21 5.67 84.16 6.33 96.47 8.22 49.74 77.53 95.11 99.78 96.92P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +16 6.04 86.42 7.00 86.76 8.18 32.63 18.81 71.59 97.06 80.27P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 16 29 -1 9.44 95.41 2.57 67.03 8.30 -5.63 0.22 2.15 29.45 6.70P 1.15R 0.03 Reading 16 28 +2 7.15 89.69 3.58 68.06 8.22 0.66 0.23 2.62 34.75 8.97P 0.75R 0.03 Norwich 16 27 +1 1.73 61.78 -4.08 74.26 8.88 10.36 1.78 11.98 63.60 27.29P 0.18R 0.01 Leeds_United 16 26 +2 4.78 80.29 2.86 64.24 8.08 -1.79 0.12 1.17 19.71 4.75P 1.96R 0.08 Birmingham 16 25 +3 1.98 63.87 1.21 65.26 8.22 1.90 0.14 1.47 24.36 6.77P 1.58R 0.03 Fulham 16 24 +5 2.10 64.48 5.34 64.46 8.40 3.53 0.11 1.35 22.54 5.91P 2.17R 0.12 Bristol_City 16 24 +4 2.99 70.22 5.60 63.70 8.33 1.69 0.07 1.01 19.75 4.81P 2.62R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 16 24 -2 1.16 58.30 -3.51 67.26 8.27 1.46 0.24 2.23 31.70 9.73P 0.90R 0.03 Preston 16 23 +2 1.44 60.52 2.29 64.72 8.23 3.28 0.10 1.21 22.57 5.99P 1.91R 0.06 Brentford 16 22 +5 -1.85 37.48 2.18 67.64 8.54 11.83 0.32 3.07 35.87 12.05P 0.98R 0.04 Barnsley 16 21 +3 1.38 60.34 6.74 58.23 8.68 -3.74 0.01 0.29 8.03 1.77P 11.06R 0.82 Aston_Villa 16 21 +1 -1.57 39.69 -0.34 62.97 8.48 2.59 0.06 0.96 17.45 5.20P 3.48R 0.16 Ipswich 16 21 -1 -0.90 43.91 -1.28 63.11 8.25 0.90 0.05 0.72 17.19 4.79P 3.04R 0.13 Derby 16 20 -1 -4.44 21.68 -4.72 67.50 8.20 8.53 0.17 2.46 34.08 12.54P 0.84R 0.01 QPR 16 20 -5 -1.57 39.99 -4.56 59.60 8.25 -7.07 0.01 0.32 8.72 2.29P 7.19R 0.53 Burton_Albion 16 18 -2 0.19 52.70 3.46 51.46 8.08 -12.51 0.00 0.01 1.23 0.23P 31.46R 4.05 Wolverhampton 16 17 -2 -4.55 21.22 -1.44 58.02 8.30 -1.96 0.01 0.20 6.58 1.69P 9.73R 0.66 Nott'm_Forest 16 16 -5 -4.82 20.04 -3.21 53.53 8.24 -10.69 0.00 0.03 2.18 0.50P 23.31R 2.28 Cardiff 16 15 -11 -4.97 18.89 -8.04 51.72 8.15 -16.96 0.00 0.02 1.27 0.31P 30.98R 3.73 Wigan 16 14 -5 -6.23 13.64 -2.80 51.86 8.41 -9.23 0.00 0.02 1.54 0.38P 29.18R 3.97 Blackburn 16 13 -9 -7.58 8.42 -7.39 49.45 8.10 -15.65 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.14P 40.95R 5.89 Rotherham 16 7 -21 -7.23 7.40 -7.82 34.63 7.71 -43.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.58R 77.24League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 17 37 +21 7.07 88.33 10.87 86.08 8.25 35.14 45.90 67.52 95.66 75.34P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 17 32 +12 4.21 76.46 5.56 78.48 8.06 21.90 12.25 29.51 80.27 43.80P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 31 +11 5.18 81.40 5.14 81.17 8.47 24.65 20.54 43.12 86.73 54.92P 0.01R 0.00 Bolton 17 31 +8 4.34 76.41 3.13 77.68 8.41 18.32 10.99 26.22 76.04 39.97P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 17 26 +8 -0.98 43.49 2.39 71.20 8.37 16.24 2.85 8.94 48.66 19.12P 0.65R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 17 26 -1 5.73 83.09 4.03 63.26 8.52 -5.05 0.32 1.31 15.41 3.61P 6.36R 0.55 Port_Vale 17 25 -3 3.30 71.78 -0.47 63.83 8.19 -4.46 0.27 1.21 16.17 3.91P 4.80R 0.35 Northampton 17 24 +3 1.65 61.30 4.88 61.21 8.54 -1.47 0.23 0.98 11.56 2.88P 9.12R 0.91 Millwall 16 24 +2 -1.41 40.44 -3.13 72.99 8.61 14.16 4.52 12.60 56.63 24.56P 0.49R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 17 24 +2 4.51 78.27 7.68 58.08 8.19 -6.80 0.07 0.27 5.68 1.19P 16.19R 1.73 Rochdale 17 24 -3 0.83 56.08 -2.69 64.55 8.36 -2.02 0.43 1.64 18.89 5.26P 4.28R 0.36 Southend 17 23 -4 2.17 65.14 -0.09 59.63 8.05 -8.71 0.07 0.32 6.88 1.41P 11.96R 1.11 Fleetwood_Town 17 22 +1 0.06 51.04 2.95 62.11 8.19 1.59 0.17 0.78 12.55 3.28P 6.81R 0.67 Walsall 16 22 -1 -1.98 36.98 -4.03 66.47 8.40 4.04 0.83 2.97 26.48 8.73P 2.45R 0.15 Charlton 16 20 +1 -3.47 27.65 -1.33 62.19 8.62 2.72 0.30 1.22 14.32 4.52P 7.22R 0.66 Bury 17 20 -4 -0.37 48.47 1.08 53.28 8.06 -14.74 0.01 0.07 1.56 0.34P 34.67R 6.22 Gillingham 17 20 -6 -3.70 27.43 -6.38 58.58 8.35 -8.46 0.05 0.35 6.39 1.69P 15.25R 1.77 Coventry 17 19 -3 -5.52 17.23 -4.91 58.97 8.15 -2.42 0.07 0.32 6.59 1.90P 12.70R 1.31 Swindon 17 19 -4 -4.46 23.28 -4.05 56.82 8.24 -7.17 0.04 0.24 4.13 1.04P 19.83R 2.68 Oxford_Utd 17 19 -4 -1.51 40.75 -0.04 54.92 8.25 -9.65 0.02 0.10 2.56 0.56P 27.45R 4.52 MK_Dons 17 17 -5 -6.86 12.97 -5.74 58.03 8.63 -3.19 0.07 0.31 6.35 1.85P 17.09R 2.42 Oldham 17 16 -9 -3.43 27.63 -4.02 48.37 7.71 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 58.85R 16.32 Shrewsbury 17 14 -11 -5.02 19.71 -4.28 45.24 7.84 -25.04 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 73.38R 30.44 Chesterfield 17 12 -11 -8.37 7.28 -6.55 45.68 8.01 -21.04 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 70.38R 27.77League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 38 +14 10.05 96.39 5.18 91.03 8.41 31.63 56.07 89.70 99.35 92.50P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 31 +10 6.97 88.34 6.90 77.19 8.70 17.50 5.91 35.90 82.57 46.11P 0.03R 0.01 Doncaster 16 30 +10 1.39 58.44 -0.39 84.41 8.78 30.72 23.74 70.53 95.61 78.50P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 16 27 +11 0.07 50.20 3.54 79.25 8.42 27.52 8.96 47.39 89.30 60.52P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 16 27 +10 2.07 63.79 5.62 72.99 8.55 17.26 2.35 20.48 69.14 32.49P 0.08R 0.02 Crewe 16 22 +0 -0.41 47.67 -0.71 65.40 8.90 3.29 0.39 5.18 34.50 11.72P 1.48R 0.56 Grimsby 16 22 +0 1.62 61.47 2.14 56.61 8.49 -9.82 0.04 0.57 7.78 1.79P 10.36R 4.68 Notts_County 16 22 -3 2.38 66.62 0.78 58.27 8.47 -11.23 0.03 0.74 10.51 2.41P 7.55R 3.41 Blackpool 16 21 +8 -5.57 17.46 1.11 72.13 8.76 22.85 2.07 18.65 66.53 34.59P 0.20R 0.07 Yeovil 16 21 -5 1.55 61.74 -1.67 57.13 8.15 -11.66 0.01 0.41 7.76 1.69P 8.85R 3.78 Accrington_Stanley 16 20 -2 -2.79 32.32 -3.24 63.24 8.60 1.08 0.15 2.64 25.32 7.91P 2.29R 0.83 Barnet 16 20 -3 -0.50 47.48 -0.53 58.06 8.53 -8.21 0.02 0.70 10.27 2.48P 7.94R 3.53 Crawley_Town 16 20 -5 1.86 63.83 0.76 54.54 8.11 -14.69 0.00 0.16 4.26 0.82P 15.10R 7.25 Morecambe 16 20 -11 2.64 68.72 -3.01 52.99 8.31 -25.34 0.00 0.13 3.10 0.51P 21.77R 11.91 Hartlepool 16 19 -3 0.69 55.83 2.83 51.40 8.21 -17.30 0.00 0.09 2.31 0.43P 26.09R 14.47 Wycombe 16 19 -3 -2.72 31.90 -2.90 60.25 8.31 -2.35 0.07 1.08 14.86 4.19P 4.24R 1.65 Cambridge_Utd 16 19 -4 -1.91 37.48 -2.47 59.45 8.48 -4.90 0.03 0.91 13.42 3.56P 5.67R 2.35 Mansfield 16 19 -4 -1.45 40.71 -2.14 56.75 8.29 -8.58 0.01 0.45 7.45 1.82P 9.81R 4.42 Leyton_Orient 16 18 -1 -5.70 16.64 -3.62 61.18 8.51 2.10 0.08 1.72 18.66 5.98P 3.55R 1.52 Stevenage 15 18 -2 -1.83 38.03 -0.86 56.63 8.68 -8.35 0.02 0.62 8.40 2.08P 10.93R 5.15 Cheltenham 16 17 -3 -3.84 26.07 -1.54 56.53 8.68 -5.11 0.02 0.55 8.48 2.28P 10.77R 5.16 Colchester 16 17 -5 -4.86 21.11 -4.61 58.93 8.98 -4.07 0.03 1.11 13.81 4.04P 7.39R 3.46 Exeter 16 16 -5 -4.30 23.07 -2.40 54.36 8.39 -9.27 0.00 0.22 4.79 1.17P 15.66R 7.88 Newport_County 15 14 -4 -3.04 29.67 1.23 50.28 8.45 -13.08 0.00 0.08 1.85 0.40P 30.20R 17.89National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 20 46 +24 7.79 89.80 7.62 94.32 7.20 43.47 65.63 98.21 76.27P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 37 +20 5.58 81.46 11.66 81.68 7.76 32.10 7.44 67.59 20.76P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 19 37 +14 2.74 66.69 1.86 83.84 7.47 28.31 10.39 76.53 31.01P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 19 36 +10 2.64 65.67 -0.89 83.57 7.73 26.31 9.79 74.27 29.14P 0.00R 0.00 Barrow 19 35 +13 7.15 87.16 10.44 75.16 7.74 17.90 1.28 33.11 6.92P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 34 +4 4.53 75.80 -1.03 78.44 7.84 16.05 3.05 48.95 12.67P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 20 33 +6 6.12 83.70 6.67 69.72 7.51 7.75 0.13 11.79 1.98P 0.09R 0.00 Gateshead 19 32 +16 2.08 62.96 10.23 74.09 7.81 23.89 1.05 30.08 7.19P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 19 31 +10 0.05 50.09 2.30 73.72 7.83 18.44 0.86 27.76 7.27P 0.02R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 19 30 +7 4.64 78.22 7.47 68.03 7.49 9.09 0.08 8.34 1.52P 0.14R 0.00 Macclesfield 19 30 +6 -0.13 49.20 -0.06 70.52 7.59 11.40 0.24 14.87 3.70P 0.05R 0.00 Chester 19 27 +5 1.19 58.00 5.38 65.68 7.77 7.09 0.06 5.38 1.03P 0.55R 0.00 Sutton_United 19 26 +0 2.60 66.49 4.18 60.13 7.94 -4.13 0.00 1.38 0.23P 3.33R 0.10 Wrexham 20 25 -8 -2.51 35.13 -8.36 60.73 7.31 -7.70 0.00 0.91 0.18P 2.21R 0.02 Bromley 19 24 -6 0.46 53.79 -1.97 57.46 7.49 -12.23 0.00 0.41 0.04P 6.07R 0.14 Solihull_Moors 19 22 -7 1.19 58.66 1.58 52.74 7.87 -17.74 0.00 0.14 0.02P 18.92R 1.22 Maidstone_United 19 22 -10 1.78 62.34 -0.18 49.54 7.75 -27.03 0.00 0.05 0.01P 32.64R 2.80 Southport 19 19 -20 0.07 51.88 -8.13 45.30 7.11 -37.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.74R 7.15 Torquay 19 18 -11 -4.48 23.46 -5.77 49.04 7.37 -20.15 0.00 0.01 0.00 32.52R 2.62 York 19 16 -12 -10.36 5.10 -12.39 54.03 7.87 -10.67 0.00 0.18 0.03P 13.77R 0.82 Braintree_Town 19 16 -16 -8.21 8.85 -13.44 50.84 7.44 -18.76 0.00 0.03 0.01P 24.47R 1.55 Woking 19 14 -13 -10.32 4.55 -9.75 47.98 7.69 -19.28 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.80R 3.91 Guiseley 19 13 -10 -7.49 10.07 -1.12 40.10 7.20 -25.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.72R 20.11 North_Ferriby 20 12 -22 -4.98 19.25 -6.32 34.37 6.85 -40.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.95R 59.56