Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   26  +16       6.54    93.02     8.74    75.93     7.96    37.54    22.06    43.34    62.72    79.55    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   25  +17       4.30    82.30     8.11    76.30     7.69    40.09    23.28    45.57    65.56    81.83    97.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   24  +15       1.41    61.56     2.36    77.20     7.70    41.70    28.45    50.80    69.57    84.37    97.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   24  +13       2.62    71.18     3.16    75.78     7.62    36.95    20.34    42.00    62.58    79.76    96.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   21   +9       1.84    65.34     2.84    69.02     7.80    25.65     4.78    13.93    27.37    45.71    84.21     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   18   +3       0.20    51.63    -0.88    62.83     7.78    14.63     0.84     3.21     8.22    17.53    58.01     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          11   18   +2       1.64    64.05     0.48    56.80     7.96     4.20     0.14     0.62     2.06     5.37    26.49     0.36R    0.03  
Watford          11   15   -4       2.86    74.65     1.01    45.90     7.63   -14.97     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     2.45     8.29R    1.34  
Burnley          11   14   -4       1.64    65.34     0.35    44.57     7.83   -14.22     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.84    11.91R    2.21  
Southampton      11   13   +0      -3.59    21.60    -2.11    55.41     7.90     7.78     0.08     0.37     1.29     3.67    21.69     0.57R    0.06  
West_Brom        11   13   -3       0.56    56.43     1.08    43.83     7.39   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     1.28    11.98R    1.99  
Stoke            11   13   -5      -0.07    50.77    -1.82    43.30     7.58   -16.62     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.09     1.16    14.37R    2.56  
Bournemouth      11   12   -3      -0.50    46.99     1.72    39.26     7.44   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.29    30.15R    7.53  
Leicester        11   12   -5      -3.29    23.70    -4.89    52.21     8.02    -0.58     0.02     0.13     0.45     1.50    11.57     1.77R    0.26  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -2      -1.71    36.12     1.66    41.36     7.71   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.85    20.35R    4.55  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   -3      -2.05    33.43     0.32    40.36     7.49   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.48    24.02R    5.81  
West_Ham         11   11   -9      -3.70    20.76    -7.73    43.81     7.82   -16.66     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     1.55    13.72R    2.71  
Hull             11   10  -14      -0.07    51.44    -5.68    36.00     7.43   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    48.63R   17.68  
Swansea          11    5  -11      -6.33     6.42    -4.73    36.25     7.62   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    44.49R   15.83  
Sunderland       11    5  -12      -5.48     8.88    -4.00    31.56     7.37   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.35R   37.45  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       16   37  +21       5.67    84.16     6.33    96.47     8.22    49.74    77.53    95.11    99.78    96.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34  +16       6.04    86.42     7.00    86.76     8.18    32.63    18.81    71.59    97.06    80.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   29   -1       9.44    95.41     2.57    67.03     8.30    -5.63     0.22     2.15    29.45     6.70P    1.15R    0.03  
Reading         16   28   +2       7.15    89.69     3.58    68.06     8.22     0.66     0.23     2.62    34.75     8.97P    0.75R    0.03  
Norwich         16   27   +1       1.73    61.78    -4.08    74.26     8.88    10.36     1.78    11.98    63.60    27.29P    0.18R    0.01  
Leeds_United    16   26   +2       4.78    80.29     2.86    64.24     8.08    -1.79     0.12     1.17    19.71     4.75P    1.96R    0.08  
Birmingham      16   25   +3       1.98    63.87     1.21    65.26     8.22     1.90     0.14     1.47    24.36     6.77P    1.58R    0.03  
Fulham          16   24   +5       2.10    64.48     5.34    64.46     8.40     3.53     0.11     1.35    22.54     5.91P    2.17R    0.12  
Bristol_City    16   24   +4       2.99    70.22     5.60    63.70     8.33     1.69     0.07     1.01    19.75     4.81P    2.62R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   -2       1.16    58.30    -3.51    67.26     8.27     1.46     0.24     2.23    31.70     9.73P    0.90R    0.03  
Preston         16   23   +2       1.44    60.52     2.29    64.72     8.23     3.28     0.10     1.21    22.57     5.99P    1.91R    0.06  
Brentford       16   22   +5      -1.85    37.48     2.18    67.64     8.54    11.83     0.32     3.07    35.87    12.05P    0.98R    0.04  
Barnsley        16   21   +3       1.38    60.34     6.74    58.23     8.68    -3.74     0.01     0.29     8.03     1.77P   11.06R    0.82  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -1.57    39.69    -0.34    62.97     8.48     2.59     0.06     0.96    17.45     5.20P    3.48R    0.16  
Ipswich         16   21   -1      -0.90    43.91    -1.28    63.11     8.25     0.90     0.05     0.72    17.19     4.79P    3.04R    0.13  
Derby           16   20   -1      -4.44    21.68    -4.72    67.50     8.20     8.53     0.17     2.46    34.08    12.54P    0.84R    0.01  
QPR             16   20   -5      -1.57    39.99    -4.56    59.60     8.25    -7.07     0.01     0.32     8.72     2.29P    7.19R    0.53  
Burton_Albion   16   18   -2       0.19    52.70     3.46    51.46     8.08   -12.51     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.23P   31.46R    4.05  
Wolverhampton   16   17   -2      -4.55    21.22    -1.44    58.02     8.30    -1.96     0.01     0.20     6.58     1.69P    9.73R    0.66  
Nott'm_Forest   16   16   -5      -4.82    20.04    -3.21    53.53     8.24   -10.69     0.00     0.03     2.18     0.50P   23.31R    2.28  
Cardiff         16   15  -11      -4.97    18.89    -8.04    51.72     8.15   -16.96     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.31P   30.98R    3.73  
Wigan           16   14   -5      -6.23    13.64    -2.80    51.86     8.41    -9.23     0.00     0.02     1.54     0.38P   29.18R    3.97  
Blackburn       16   13   -9      -7.58     8.42    -7.39    49.45     8.10   -15.65     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P   40.95R    5.89  
Rotherham       16    7  -21      -7.23     7.40    -7.82    34.63     7.71   -43.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.58R   77.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       17   37  +21       7.07    88.33    10.87    86.08     8.25    35.14    45.90    67.52    95.66    75.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         17   32  +12       4.21    76.46     5.56    78.48     8.06    21.90    12.25    29.51    80.27    43.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   31  +11       5.18    81.40     5.14    81.17     8.47    24.65    20.54    43.12    86.73    54.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           17   31   +8       4.34    76.41     3.13    77.68     8.41    18.32    10.99    26.22    76.04    39.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   26   +8      -0.98    43.49     2.39    71.20     8.37    16.24     2.85     8.94    48.66    19.12P    0.65R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   17   26   -1       5.73    83.09     4.03    63.26     8.52    -5.05     0.32     1.31    15.41     3.61P    6.36R    0.55  
Port_Vale        17   25   -3       3.30    71.78    -0.47    63.83     8.19    -4.46     0.27     1.21    16.17     3.91P    4.80R    0.35  
Northampton      17   24   +3       1.65    61.30     4.88    61.21     8.54    -1.47     0.23     0.98    11.56     2.88P    9.12R    0.91  
Millwall         16   24   +2      -1.41    40.44    -3.13    72.99     8.61    14.16     4.52    12.60    56.63    24.56P    0.49R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon    17   24   +2       4.51    78.27     7.68    58.08     8.19    -6.80     0.07     0.27     5.68     1.19P   16.19R    1.73  
Rochdale         17   24   -3       0.83    56.08    -2.69    64.55     8.36    -2.02     0.43     1.64    18.89     5.26P    4.28R    0.36  
Southend         17   23   -4       2.17    65.14    -0.09    59.63     8.05    -8.71     0.07     0.32     6.88     1.41P   11.96R    1.11  
Fleetwood_Town   17   22   +1       0.06    51.04     2.95    62.11     8.19     1.59     0.17     0.78    12.55     3.28P    6.81R    0.67  
Walsall          16   22   -1      -1.98    36.98    -4.03    66.47     8.40     4.04     0.83     2.97    26.48     8.73P    2.45R    0.15  
Charlton         16   20   +1      -3.47    27.65    -1.33    62.19     8.62     2.72     0.30     1.22    14.32     4.52P    7.22R    0.66  
Bury             17   20   -4      -0.37    48.47     1.08    53.28     8.06   -14.74     0.01     0.07     1.56     0.34P   34.67R    6.22  
Gillingham       17   20   -6      -3.70    27.43    -6.38    58.58     8.35    -8.46     0.05     0.35     6.39     1.69P   15.25R    1.77  
Coventry         17   19   -3      -5.52    17.23    -4.91    58.97     8.15    -2.42     0.07     0.32     6.59     1.90P   12.70R    1.31  
Swindon          17   19   -4      -4.46    23.28    -4.05    56.82     8.24    -7.17     0.04     0.24     4.13     1.04P   19.83R    2.68  
Oxford_Utd       17   19   -4      -1.51    40.75    -0.04    54.92     8.25    -9.65     0.02     0.10     2.56     0.56P   27.45R    4.52  
MK_Dons          17   17   -5      -6.86    12.97    -5.74    58.03     8.63    -3.19     0.07     0.31     6.35     1.85P   17.09R    2.42  
Oldham           17   16   -9      -3.43    27.63    -4.02    48.37     7.71   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   58.85R   16.32  
Shrewsbury       17   14  -11      -5.02    19.71    -4.28    45.24     7.84   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   73.38R   30.44  
Chesterfield     17   12  -11      -8.37     7.28    -6.55    45.68     8.01   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   70.38R   27.77  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   38  +14      10.05    96.39     5.18    91.03     8.41    31.63    56.07    89.70    99.35    92.50P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   31  +10       6.97    88.34     6.90    77.19     8.70    17.50     5.91    35.90    82.57    46.11P    0.03R    0.01  
Doncaster            16   30  +10       1.39    58.44    -0.39    84.41     8.78    30.72    23.74    70.53    95.61    78.50P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           16   27  +11       0.07    50.20     3.54    79.25     8.42    27.52     8.96    47.39    89.30    60.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   27  +10       2.07    63.79     5.62    72.99     8.55    17.26     2.35    20.48    69.14    32.49P    0.08R    0.02  
Crewe                16   22   +0      -0.41    47.67    -0.71    65.40     8.90     3.29     0.39     5.18    34.50    11.72P    1.48R    0.56  
Grimsby              16   22   +0       1.62    61.47     2.14    56.61     8.49    -9.82     0.04     0.57     7.78     1.79P   10.36R    4.68  
Notts_County         16   22   -3       2.38    66.62     0.78    58.27     8.47   -11.23     0.03     0.74    10.51     2.41P    7.55R    3.41  
Blackpool            16   21   +8      -5.57    17.46     1.11    72.13     8.76    22.85     2.07    18.65    66.53    34.59P    0.20R    0.07  
Yeovil               16   21   -5       1.55    61.74    -1.67    57.13     8.15   -11.66     0.01     0.41     7.76     1.69P    8.85R    3.78  
Accrington_Stanley   16   20   -2      -2.79    32.32    -3.24    63.24     8.60     1.08     0.15     2.64    25.32     7.91P    2.29R    0.83  
Barnet               16   20   -3      -0.50    47.48    -0.53    58.06     8.53    -8.21     0.02     0.70    10.27     2.48P    7.94R    3.53  
Crawley_Town         16   20   -5       1.86    63.83     0.76    54.54     8.11   -14.69     0.00     0.16     4.26     0.82P   15.10R    7.25  
Morecambe            16   20  -11       2.64    68.72    -3.01    52.99     8.31   -25.34     0.00     0.13     3.10     0.51P   21.77R   11.91  
Hartlepool           16   19   -3       0.69    55.83     2.83    51.40     8.21   -17.30     0.00     0.09     2.31     0.43P   26.09R   14.47  
Wycombe              16   19   -3      -2.72    31.90    -2.90    60.25     8.31    -2.35     0.07     1.08    14.86     4.19P    4.24R    1.65  
Cambridge_Utd        16   19   -4      -1.91    37.48    -2.47    59.45     8.48    -4.90     0.03     0.91    13.42     3.56P    5.67R    2.35  
Mansfield            16   19   -4      -1.45    40.71    -2.14    56.75     8.29    -8.58     0.01     0.45     7.45     1.82P    9.81R    4.42  
Leyton_Orient        16   18   -1      -5.70    16.64    -3.62    61.18     8.51     2.10     0.08     1.72    18.66     5.98P    3.55R    1.52  
Stevenage            15   18   -2      -1.83    38.03    -0.86    56.63     8.68    -8.35     0.02     0.62     8.40     2.08P   10.93R    5.15  
Cheltenham           16   17   -3      -3.84    26.07    -1.54    56.53     8.68    -5.11     0.02     0.55     8.48     2.28P   10.77R    5.16  
Colchester           16   17   -5      -4.86    21.11    -4.61    58.93     8.98    -4.07     0.03     1.11    13.81     4.04P    7.39R    3.46  
Exeter               16   16   -5      -4.30    23.07    -2.40    54.36     8.39    -9.27     0.00     0.22     4.79     1.17P   15.66R    7.88  
Newport_County       15   14   -4      -3.04    29.67     1.23    50.28     8.45   -13.08     0.00     0.08     1.85     0.40P   30.20R   17.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       20   46  +24       7.79    89.80     7.62    94.32     7.20    43.47    65.63    98.21    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       19   37  +20       5.58    81.46    11.66    81.68     7.76    32.10     7.44    67.59    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           19   37  +14       2.74    66.69     1.86    83.84     7.47    28.31    10.39    76.53    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   36  +10       2.64    65.67    -0.89    83.57     7.73    26.31     9.79    74.27    29.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             19   35  +13       7.15    87.16    10.44    75.16     7.74    17.90     1.28    33.11     6.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     19   34   +4       4.53    75.80    -1.03    78.44     7.84    16.05     3.05    48.95    12.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   33   +6       6.12    83.70     6.67    69.72     7.51     7.75     0.13    11.79     1.98P    0.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32  +16       2.08    62.96    10.23    74.09     7.81    23.89     1.05    30.08     7.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh          19   31  +10       0.05    50.09     2.30    73.72     7.83    18.44     0.86    27.76     7.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       19   30   +7       4.64    78.22     7.47    68.03     7.49     9.09     0.08     8.34     1.52P    0.14R    0.00  
Macclesfield       19   30   +6      -0.13    49.20    -0.06    70.52     7.59    11.40     0.24    14.87     3.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Chester            19   27   +5       1.19    58.00     5.38    65.68     7.77     7.09     0.06     5.38     1.03P    0.55R    0.00  
Sutton_United      19   26   +0       2.60    66.49     4.18    60.13     7.94    -4.13     0.00     1.38     0.23P    3.33R    0.10  
Wrexham            20   25   -8      -2.51    35.13    -8.36    60.73     7.31    -7.70     0.00     0.91     0.18P    2.21R    0.02  
Bromley            19   24   -6       0.46    53.79    -1.97    57.46     7.49   -12.23     0.00     0.41     0.04P    6.07R    0.14  
Solihull_Moors     19   22   -7       1.19    58.66     1.58    52.74     7.87   -17.74     0.00     0.14     0.02P   18.92R    1.22  
Maidstone_United   19   22  -10       1.78    62.34    -0.18    49.54     7.75   -27.03     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.64R    2.80  
Southport          19   19  -20       0.07    51.88    -8.13    45.30     7.11   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.74R    7.15  
Torquay            19   18  -11      -4.48    23.46    -5.77    49.04     7.37   -20.15     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.52R    2.62  
York               19   16  -12     -10.36     5.10   -12.39    54.03     7.87   -10.67     0.00     0.18     0.03P   13.77R    0.82  
Braintree_Town     19   16  -16      -8.21     8.85   -13.44    50.84     7.44   -18.76     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.47R    1.55  
Woking             19   14  -13     -10.32     4.55    -9.75    47.98     7.69   -19.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.80R    3.91  
Guiseley           19   13  -10      -7.49    10.07    -1.12    40.10     7.20   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.72R   20.11  
North_Ferriby      20   12  -22      -4.98    19.25    -6.32    34.37     6.85   -40.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.95R   59.56