Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 13 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 11 26 +16 6.56 92.94 8.78 75.91 8.04 37.52 22.41 43.36 62.72 79.44 96.19 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 25 +17 4.34 82.78 8.13 76.28 7.68 40.06 22.95 45.12 65.68 81.97 97.24 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 24 +15 1.37 60.90 2.28 77.20 7.71 41.78 28.27 51.03 69.72 84.36 97.71 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 24 +13 2.56 70.51 3.08 75.87 7.61 37.08 20.77 42.79 63.19 80.12 96.72 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 21 +9 1.92 65.82 2.93 68.88 7.72 25.48 4.53 13.30 26.25 44.94 84.47 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 11 18 +3 0.10 50.92 -1.04 62.97 7.79 14.86 0.84 3.25 8.42 18.16 58.91 0.02R 0.00 Everton 11 18 +2 1.70 64.51 0.55 56.66 7.99 3.99 0.15 0.64 2.05 5.18 25.80 0.40R 0.03 Watford 11 15 -4 2.92 75.09 1.09 45.88 7.60 -15.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.15 2.29 8.33R 1.36 Burnley 11 14 -4 1.55 64.58 0.24 44.79 7.77 -13.88 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.17 1.95 11.24R 1.97 Southampton 11 13 +0 -3.53 21.67 -2.04 55.34 7.89 7.72 0.05 0.37 1.30 3.61 21.37 0.54R 0.04 West_Brom 11 13 -3 0.69 57.65 1.29 43.64 7.41 -13.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.14 12.59R 2.26 Stoke 11 13 -5 -0.07 50.71 -1.79 43.26 7.49 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 1.09 14.03R 2.48 Bournemouth 11 12 -3 -0.50 46.77 1.72 39.27 7.49 -20.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.27 30.13R 7.60 Leicester 11 12 -5 -3.29 23.66 -4.88 52.15 8.05 -0.70 0.02 0.12 0.49 1.54 11.69 1.99R 0.26 Middlesbrough 11 11 -2 -1.70 36.03 1.64 41.33 7.68 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.76 20.41R 4.63 Crystal_Palace 11 11 -3 -2.13 32.64 0.20 40.54 7.47 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.53 23.29R 5.39 West_Ham 11 11 -9 -3.73 20.70 -7.78 43.89 7.86 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.13 1.60 13.60R 2.59 Hull 11 10 -14 -0.03 51.86 -5.59 35.88 7.49 -33.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 49.38R 18.57 Swansea 11 5 -11 -6.31 6.50 -4.71 36.25 7.65 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 44.59R 15.63 Sunderland 11 5 -12 -5.57 8.68 -4.09 31.63 7.31 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 69.47R 37.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 16 37 +21 5.68 84.17 6.35 96.30 8.23 49.53 77.11 94.97 99.84 96.85P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 16 34 +16 6.04 86.19 7.04 86.76 8.21 32.61 19.00 70.99 97.04 79.88P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 16 29 -1 9.39 95.27 2.51 67.04 8.24 -5.63 0.18 2.05 29.47 6.65P 1.14R 0.04 Reading 16 28 +2 6.97 88.99 3.32 68.29 8.31 1.04 0.27 2.93 35.72 9.45P 0.70R 0.02 Norwich 16 27 +1 1.55 60.38 -4.36 74.47 8.95 10.74 1.89 12.49 64.14 27.68P 0.18R 0.00 Leeds_United 16 26 +2 4.73 79.87 2.82 64.23 8.15 -1.84 0.09 1.11 19.83 4.82P 1.97R 0.05 Birmingham 16 25 +3 1.97 63.83 1.20 65.18 8.25 1.83 0.16 1.54 23.89 6.63P 1.60R 0.07 Fulham 16 24 +5 2.09 64.21 5.32 64.60 8.44 3.78 0.10 1.46 22.93 6.01P 2.11R 0.11 Bristol_City 16 24 +4 3.01 70.41 5.63 63.66 8.32 1.58 0.07 0.94 19.43 4.68P 2.50R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 16 24 -2 1.23 59.04 -3.37 67.16 8.38 1.28 0.25 2.32 31.33 9.62P 1.04R 0.02 Preston 16 23 +2 1.53 60.84 2.40 64.71 8.31 3.27 0.14 1.19 22.49 6.05P 1.92R 0.06 Brentford 16 22 +5 -1.76 38.10 2.31 67.45 8.55 11.53 0.33 2.92 34.69 11.68P 1.08R 0.04 Barnsley 16 21 +3 1.38 60.23 6.70 58.27 8.67 -3.62 0.02 0.27 7.80 1.75P 10.97R 0.74 Aston_Villa 16 21 +1 -1.53 40.03 -0.30 63.01 8.45 2.68 0.07 0.96 17.54 5.25P 3.27R 0.16 Ipswich 16 21 -1 -1.01 43.22 -1.44 63.47 8.20 1.39 0.07 0.82 18.08 5.09P 2.78R 0.09 Derby 16 20 -1 -4.41 21.89 -4.69 67.42 8.26 8.40 0.24 2.50 33.49 12.18P 0.88R 0.02 QPR 16 20 -5 -1.56 39.78 -4.53 59.53 8.22 -7.11 0.01 0.27 8.50 2.17P 7.08R 0.49 Burton_Albion 16 18 -2 0.06 51.74 3.26 51.68 8.13 -12.16 0.00 0.03 1.29 0.28P 30.34R 3.61 Wolverhampton 16 17 -2 -4.52 21.38 -1.40 57.94 8.36 -2.06 0.01 0.17 6.70 1.89P 10.16R 0.71 Nott'm_Forest 16 16 -5 -4.85 19.84 -3.23 53.54 8.34 -10.74 0.00 0.04 2.46 0.59P 23.06R 2.35 Cardiff 16 15 -11 -4.95 19.07 -7.97 51.66 8.11 -17.06 0.00 0.02 1.23 0.27P 31.25R 3.55 Wigan 16 14 -5 -6.20 13.83 -2.74 51.74 8.36 -9.35 0.00 0.02 1.50 0.39P 29.85R 3.97 Blackburn 16 13 -9 -7.51 8.68 -7.28 49.36 8.12 -15.89 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.14P 41.17R 5.71 Rotherham 16 7 -21 -7.14 7.51 -7.59 34.43 7.66 -44.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.95R 78.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 17 37 +21 7.06 88.26 10.92 85.93 8.22 34.94 45.22 66.96 95.35 74.71P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 17 32 +12 4.22 76.27 5.53 78.47 8.11 21.92 12.31 29.19 80.12 43.48P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 16 31 +11 5.28 81.97 5.29 80.98 8.54 24.38 20.01 42.05 86.18 53.88P 0.02R 0.00 Bolton 17 31 +8 4.25 75.68 3.00 77.91 8.45 18.65 11.78 27.55 76.69 40.80P 0.07R 0.00 Peterborough 17 26 +8 -1.03 43.43 2.26 71.38 8.39 16.46 3.03 9.09 49.43 19.84P 0.60R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 17 26 -1 5.83 83.54 4.11 63.14 8.52 -5.23 0.33 1.27 15.05 3.58P 6.60R 0.58 Port_Vale 17 25 -3 3.34 71.75 -0.38 63.71 8.24 -4.66 0.33 1.26 15.61 3.89P 5.19R 0.42 Northampton 17 24 +3 1.64 61.18 4.85 61.16 8.52 -1.51 0.21 1.00 11.59 3.10P 8.92R 0.90 Millwall 16 24 +2 -1.40 40.76 -3.12 72.92 8.62 14.08 4.55 12.58 56.10 24.46P 0.49R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 17 24 +2 4.57 78.54 7.77 58.05 8.24 -6.86 0.05 0.31 5.66 1.17P 15.99R 1.73 Rochdale 17 24 -3 0.82 55.90 -2.68 64.59 8.39 -1.95 0.51 1.74 19.01 5.30P 4.43R 0.32 Southend 17 23 -4 2.12 64.93 -0.15 59.67 8.15 -8.60 0.08 0.38 7.10 1.53P 12.17R 1.18 Fleetwood_Town 17 22 +1 0.04 51.09 2.91 62.26 8.15 1.80 0.19 0.85 12.68 3.22P 6.42R 0.53 Walsall 16 22 -1 -2.08 36.25 -4.18 66.58 8.43 4.16 0.87 3.14 26.89 9.02P 2.39R 0.13 Charlton 16 20 +1 -3.56 27.47 -1.43 62.44 8.74 3.08 0.32 1.40 15.05 4.78P 7.20R 0.66 Bury 17 20 -4 -0.46 48.01 0.96 53.39 8.08 -14.59 0.00 0.03 1.61 0.30P 33.92R 6.24 Gillingham 17 20 -6 -3.76 27.11 -6.42 58.58 8.37 -8.39 0.06 0.33 6.19 1.68P 15.25R 1.75 Coventry 17 19 -3 -5.54 17.25 -4.94 59.03 8.08 -2.32 0.04 0.29 6.55 1.91P 12.28R 1.29 Swindon 17 19 -4 -4.46 22.88 -4.08 56.88 8.24 -7.10 0.02 0.18 4.20 1.00P 19.46R 2.69 Oxford_Utd 17 19 -4 -1.51 40.87 -0.04 54.89 8.35 -9.65 0.02 0.09 2.68 0.62P 27.79R 4.71 MK_Dons 17 17 -5 -6.73 13.15 -5.56 57.83 8.54 -3.53 0.06 0.29 5.73 1.64P 17.33R 2.46 Oldham 17 16 -9 -3.32 28.23 -3.85 48.16 7.63 -18.85 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.04P 59.65R 16.60 Shrewsbury 17 14 -11 -4.91 20.03 -4.10 45.12 7.91 -25.34 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 73.86R 31.00 Chesterfield 17 12 -11 -8.41 7.10 -6.65 45.77 7.99 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 69.91R 26.76League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 16 38 +14 10.15 96.57 5.31 90.94 8.39 31.50 55.76 89.58 99.38 92.39P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 31 +10 7.03 88.50 7.00 77.14 8.62 17.46 5.72 35.80 82.59 46.13P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 16 30 +10 1.43 58.80 -0.32 84.34 8.83 30.56 23.68 70.00 95.51 78.18P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 16 27 +11 0.10 50.51 3.57 79.25 8.49 27.55 9.13 47.66 89.16 60.61P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 16 27 +10 2.12 64.25 5.69 72.89 8.62 17.13 2.47 20.33 68.63 32.04P 0.12R 0.04 Crewe 16 22 +0 -0.59 46.61 -0.98 65.72 8.94 3.80 0.42 5.51 35.86 12.51P 1.38R 0.53 Grimsby 16 22 +0 1.55 61.09 2.08 56.65 8.55 -9.75 0.03 0.56 7.97 1.90P 10.31R 4.65 Notts_County 16 22 -3 2.33 66.33 0.69 58.25 8.47 -11.25 0.02 0.69 10.33 2.28P 7.59R 3.46 Blackpool 16 21 +8 -5.61 17.50 1.06 72.26 8.75 23.06 2.27 18.94 66.83 34.97P 0.16R 0.05 Yeovil 16 21 -5 1.46 61.06 -1.83 57.26 8.21 -11.51 0.01 0.51 7.72 1.78P 8.58R 3.73 Accrington_Stanley 16 20 -2 -2.79 32.03 -3.22 63.13 8.61 0.93 0.13 2.51 25.18 7.70P 2.42R 0.93 Barnet 16 20 -3 -0.48 47.35 -0.49 58.00 8.56 -8.28 0.03 0.76 10.20 2.52P 8.03R 3.55 Crawley_Town 16 20 -5 1.89 64.27 0.81 54.53 8.16 -14.71 0.01 0.19 4.23 0.80P 15.24R 7.38 Morecambe 16 20 -11 2.60 68.39 -3.06 53.13 8.37 -25.08 0.01 0.15 3.30 0.61P 21.25R 11.48 Hartlepool 16 19 -3 0.66 56.02 2.80 51.39 8.21 -17.24 0.00 0.11 2.25 0.40P 26.17R 14.30 Wycombe 16 19 -3 -2.74 32.11 -2.96 60.31 8.34 -2.24 0.05 1.14 14.99 4.24P 4.14R 1.69 Cambridge_Utd 16 19 -4 -2.04 36.68 -2.63 59.60 8.51 -4.69 0.05 1.04 13.70 3.81P 5.60R 2.35 Mansfield 16 19 -4 -1.38 41.06 -1.98 56.58 8.28 -8.84 0.01 0.38 7.04 1.66P 10.01R 4.53 Leyton_Orient 16 18 -1 -5.62 16.90 -3.52 61.07 8.48 1.87 0.08 1.60 18.46 5.70P 3.54R 1.44 Stevenage 15 18 -2 -1.92 37.32 -0.97 56.73 8.72 -8.22 0.03 0.64 8.64 2.15P 10.80R 5.11 Cheltenham 16 17 -3 -3.83 25.94 -1.49 56.50 8.70 -5.17 0.01 0.54 8.08 2.25P 10.96R 5.29 Colchester 16 17 -5 -4.76 21.66 -4.46 58.69 8.94 -4.46 0.06 1.07 13.17 3.89P 7.66R 3.42 Exeter 16 16 -5 -4.27 23.04 -2.39 54.47 8.39 -9.10 0.01 0.23 4.86 1.13P 15.11R 7.68 Newport_County 15 14 -4 -2.96 30.28 1.30 50.15 8.44 -13.32 0.00 0.06 1.90 0.35P 30.90R 18.39National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 20 46 +24 7.81 89.94 7.68 94.32 7.31 43.38 65.17 97.99 75.85P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 37 +20 5.66 81.65 11.76 81.55 7.81 31.90 7.51 67.15 20.73P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 19 37 +14 2.79 67.29 1.92 83.92 7.49 28.39 10.51 77.02 31.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 19 36 +10 2.64 65.83 -0.92 83.60 7.82 26.35 10.00 73.93 29.31P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 19 35 +13 7.10 87.24 10.41 75.15 7.72 17.84 1.34 32.85 6.88P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 19 34 +4 4.57 75.97 -1.02 78.47 7.86 16.06 2.93 49.02 12.54P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 20 33 +6 6.00 83.12 6.53 69.93 7.50 8.01 0.14 12.45 2.17P 0.06R 0.00 Gateshead 19 32 +16 2.00 62.61 10.06 74.19 7.81 24.04 1.10 30.56 7.51P 0.03R 0.00 Eastleigh 19 31 +10 0.01 50.20 2.23 73.73 7.81 18.50 0.89 27.37 7.10P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 19 30 +7 4.55 77.79 7.35 68.08 7.45 9.17 0.09 8.29 1.54P 0.17R 0.00 Macclesfield 19 30 +6 -0.10 49.60 -0.02 70.48 7.58 11.36 0.26 14.79 3.57P 0.05R 0.00 Chester 19 27 +5 1.14 57.62 5.33 65.81 7.76 7.32 0.06 5.62 1.05P 0.49R 0.01 Sutton_United 19 26 +0 2.75 67.44 4.40 59.94 7.97 -4.41 0.00 1.29 0.22P 3.62R 0.10 Wrexham 20 25 -8 -2.53 35.11 -8.38 60.70 7.36 -7.68 0.00 0.97 0.20P 2.29R 0.03 Bromley 19 24 -6 0.72 55.31 -1.59 57.22 7.56 -12.61 0.00 0.36 0.05P 6.62R 0.18 Solihull_Moors 19 22 -7 1.07 58.19 1.41 52.90 7.90 -17.49 0.00 0.12 0.02P 18.38R 1.12 Maidstone_United 19 22 -10 1.87 62.77 -0.02 49.37 7.70 -27.26 0.00 0.03 0.00P 33.33R 2.80 Southport 19 19 -20 -0.10 50.68 -8.36 45.45 7.15 -37.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.83R 6.87 Torquay 19 18 -11 -4.45 23.51 -5.72 48.98 7.35 -20.25 0.00 0.01 0.00P 32.85R 2.33 York 19 16 -12 -10.33 4.88 -12.42 54.06 7.89 -10.59 0.00 0.14 0.04P 13.55R 0.85 Braintree_Town 19 16 -16 -8.09 9.23 -13.32 50.70 7.45 -18.94 0.00 0.02 0.00P 25.14R 1.55 Woking 19 14 -13 -10.41 4.54 -9.83 48.06 7.73 -19.18 0.00 0.02 0.01P 37.42R 3.85 Guiseley 19 13 -10 -7.63 9.74 -1.38 40.29 7.18 -25.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.87R 19.38 North_Ferriby 20 12 -22 -4.88 19.79 -6.12 34.18 6.84 -41.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.30R 60.92