Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 November 2016, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   26  +16       6.56    92.94     8.78    75.91     8.04    37.52    22.41    43.36    62.72    79.44    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   25  +17       4.34    82.78     8.13    76.28     7.68    40.06    22.95    45.12    65.68    81.97    97.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   24  +15       1.37    60.90     2.28    77.20     7.71    41.78    28.27    51.03    69.72    84.36    97.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   24  +13       2.56    70.51     3.08    75.87     7.61    37.08    20.77    42.79    63.19    80.12    96.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   21   +9       1.92    65.82     2.93    68.88     7.72    25.48     4.53    13.30    26.25    44.94    84.47     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   18   +3       0.10    50.92    -1.04    62.97     7.79    14.86     0.84     3.25     8.42    18.16    58.91     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          11   18   +2       1.70    64.51     0.55    56.66     7.99     3.99     0.15     0.64     2.05     5.18    25.80     0.40R    0.03  
Watford          11   15   -4       2.92    75.09     1.09    45.88     7.60   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.15     2.29     8.33R    1.36  
Burnley          11   14   -4       1.55    64.58     0.24    44.79     7.77   -13.88     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.17     1.95    11.24R    1.97  
Southampton      11   13   +0      -3.53    21.67    -2.04    55.34     7.89     7.72     0.05     0.37     1.30     3.61    21.37     0.54R    0.04  
West_Brom        11   13   -3       0.69    57.65     1.29    43.64     7.41   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.14    12.59R    2.26  
Stoke            11   13   -5      -0.07    50.71    -1.79    43.26     7.49   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.09    14.03R    2.48  
Bournemouth      11   12   -3      -0.50    46.77     1.72    39.27     7.49   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    30.13R    7.60  
Leicester        11   12   -5      -3.29    23.66    -4.88    52.15     8.05    -0.70     0.02     0.12     0.49     1.54    11.69     1.99R    0.26  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -2      -1.70    36.03     1.64    41.33     7.68   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.76    20.41R    4.63  
Crystal_Palace   11   11   -3      -2.13    32.64     0.20    40.54     7.47   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.53    23.29R    5.39  
West_Ham         11   11   -9      -3.73    20.70    -7.78    43.89     7.86   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.13     1.60    13.60R    2.59  
Hull             11   10  -14      -0.03    51.86    -5.59    35.88     7.49   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    49.38R   18.57  
Swansea          11    5  -11      -6.31     6.50    -4.71    36.25     7.65   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    44.59R   15.63  
Sunderland       11    5  -12      -5.57     8.68    -4.09    31.63     7.31   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.47R   37.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 November 2016, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Newcastle       16   37  +21       5.68    84.17     6.35    96.30     8.23    49.53    77.11    94.97    99.84    96.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        16   34  +16       6.04    86.19     7.04    86.76     8.21    32.61    19.00    70.99    97.04    79.88P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    16   29   -1       9.39    95.27     2.51    67.04     8.24    -5.63     0.18     2.05    29.47     6.65P    1.14R    0.04  
Reading         16   28   +2       6.97    88.99     3.32    68.29     8.31     1.04     0.27     2.93    35.72     9.45P    0.70R    0.02  
Norwich         16   27   +1       1.55    60.38    -4.36    74.47     8.95    10.74     1.89    12.49    64.14    27.68P    0.18R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   26   +2       4.73    79.87     2.82    64.23     8.15    -1.84     0.09     1.11    19.83     4.82P    1.97R    0.05  
Birmingham      16   25   +3       1.97    63.83     1.20    65.18     8.25     1.83     0.16     1.54    23.89     6.63P    1.60R    0.07  
Fulham          16   24   +5       2.09    64.21     5.32    64.60     8.44     3.78     0.10     1.46    22.93     6.01P    2.11R    0.11  
Bristol_City    16   24   +4       3.01    70.41     5.63    63.66     8.32     1.58     0.07     0.94    19.43     4.68P    2.50R    0.08  
Sheff_Wed       16   24   -2       1.23    59.04    -3.37    67.16     8.38     1.28     0.25     2.32    31.33     9.62P    1.04R    0.02  
Preston         16   23   +2       1.53    60.84     2.40    64.71     8.31     3.27     0.14     1.19    22.49     6.05P    1.92R    0.06  
Brentford       16   22   +5      -1.76    38.10     2.31    67.45     8.55    11.53     0.33     2.92    34.69    11.68P    1.08R    0.04  
Barnsley        16   21   +3       1.38    60.23     6.70    58.27     8.67    -3.62     0.02     0.27     7.80     1.75P   10.97R    0.74  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -1.53    40.03    -0.30    63.01     8.45     2.68     0.07     0.96    17.54     5.25P    3.27R    0.16  
Ipswich         16   21   -1      -1.01    43.22    -1.44    63.47     8.20     1.39     0.07     0.82    18.08     5.09P    2.78R    0.09  
Derby           16   20   -1      -4.41    21.89    -4.69    67.42     8.26     8.40     0.24     2.50    33.49    12.18P    0.88R    0.02  
QPR             16   20   -5      -1.56    39.78    -4.53    59.53     8.22    -7.11     0.01     0.27     8.50     2.17P    7.08R    0.49  
Burton_Albion   16   18   -2       0.06    51.74     3.26    51.68     8.13   -12.16     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.28P   30.34R    3.61  
Wolverhampton   16   17   -2      -4.52    21.38    -1.40    57.94     8.36    -2.06     0.01     0.17     6.70     1.89P   10.16R    0.71  
Nott'm_Forest   16   16   -5      -4.85    19.84    -3.23    53.54     8.34   -10.74     0.00     0.04     2.46     0.59P   23.06R    2.35  
Cardiff         16   15  -11      -4.95    19.07    -7.97    51.66     8.11   -17.06     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.27P   31.25R    3.55  
Wigan           16   14   -5      -6.20    13.83    -2.74    51.74     8.36    -9.35     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.39P   29.85R    3.97  
Blackburn       16   13   -9      -7.51     8.68    -7.28    49.36     8.12   -15.89     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.14P   41.17R    5.71  
Rotherham       16    7  -21      -7.14     7.51    -7.59    34.43     7.66   -44.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.95R   78.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 November 2016, Chesterfield 1 4 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Scunthorpe       17   37  +21       7.06    88.26    10.92    85.93     8.22    34.94    45.22    66.96    95.35    74.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         17   32  +12       4.22    76.27     5.53    78.47     8.11    21.92    12.31    29.19    80.12    43.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        16   31  +11       5.28    81.97     5.29    80.98     8.54    24.38    20.01    42.05    86.18    53.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           17   31   +8       4.25    75.68     3.00    77.91     8.45    18.65    11.78    27.55    76.69    40.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough     17   26   +8      -1.03    43.43     2.26    71.38     8.39    16.46     3.03     9.09    49.43    19.84P    0.60R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   17   26   -1       5.83    83.54     4.11    63.14     8.52    -5.23     0.33     1.27    15.05     3.58P    6.60R    0.58  
Port_Vale        17   25   -3       3.34    71.75    -0.38    63.71     8.24    -4.66     0.33     1.26    15.61     3.89P    5.19R    0.42  
Northampton      17   24   +3       1.64    61.18     4.85    61.16     8.52    -1.51     0.21     1.00    11.59     3.10P    8.92R    0.90  
Millwall         16   24   +2      -1.40    40.76    -3.12    72.92     8.62    14.08     4.55    12.58    56.10    24.46P    0.49R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon    17   24   +2       4.57    78.54     7.77    58.05     8.24    -6.86     0.05     0.31     5.66     1.17P   15.99R    1.73  
Rochdale         17   24   -3       0.82    55.90    -2.68    64.59     8.39    -1.95     0.51     1.74    19.01     5.30P    4.43R    0.32  
Southend         17   23   -4       2.12    64.93    -0.15    59.67     8.15    -8.60     0.08     0.38     7.10     1.53P   12.17R    1.18  
Fleetwood_Town   17   22   +1       0.04    51.09     2.91    62.26     8.15     1.80     0.19     0.85    12.68     3.22P    6.42R    0.53  
Walsall          16   22   -1      -2.08    36.25    -4.18    66.58     8.43     4.16     0.87     3.14    26.89     9.02P    2.39R    0.13  
Charlton         16   20   +1      -3.56    27.47    -1.43    62.44     8.74     3.08     0.32     1.40    15.05     4.78P    7.20R    0.66  
Bury             17   20   -4      -0.46    48.01     0.96    53.39     8.08   -14.59     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.30P   33.92R    6.24  
Gillingham       17   20   -6      -3.76    27.11    -6.42    58.58     8.37    -8.39     0.06     0.33     6.19     1.68P   15.25R    1.75  
Coventry         17   19   -3      -5.54    17.25    -4.94    59.03     8.08    -2.32     0.04     0.29     6.55     1.91P   12.28R    1.29  
Swindon          17   19   -4      -4.46    22.88    -4.08    56.88     8.24    -7.10     0.02     0.18     4.20     1.00P   19.46R    2.69  
Oxford_Utd       17   19   -4      -1.51    40.87    -0.04    54.89     8.35    -9.65     0.02     0.09     2.68     0.62P   27.79R    4.71  
MK_Dons          17   17   -5      -6.73    13.15    -5.56    57.83     8.54    -3.53     0.06     0.29     5.73     1.64P   17.33R    2.46  
Oldham           17   16   -9      -3.32    28.23    -3.85    48.16     7.63   -18.85     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   59.65R   16.60  
Shrewsbury       17   14  -11      -4.91    20.03    -4.10    45.12     7.91   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   73.86R   31.00  
Chesterfield     17   12  -11      -8.41     7.10    -6.65    45.77     7.99   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   69.91R   26.76  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Blackpool 4 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Plymouth             16   38  +14      10.15    96.57     5.31    90.94     8.39    31.50    55.76    89.58    99.38    92.39P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             16   31  +10       7.03    88.50     7.00    77.14     8.62    17.46     5.72    35.80    82.59    46.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster            16   30  +10       1.43    58.80    -0.32    84.34     8.83    30.56    23.68    70.00    95.51    78.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth           16   27  +11       0.10    50.51     3.57    79.25     8.49    27.55     9.13    47.66    89.16    60.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                16   27  +10       2.12    64.25     5.69    72.89     8.62    17.13     2.47    20.33    68.63    32.04P    0.12R    0.04  
Crewe                16   22   +0      -0.59    46.61    -0.98    65.72     8.94     3.80     0.42     5.51    35.86    12.51P    1.38R    0.53  
Grimsby              16   22   +0       1.55    61.09     2.08    56.65     8.55    -9.75     0.03     0.56     7.97     1.90P   10.31R    4.65  
Notts_County         16   22   -3       2.33    66.33     0.69    58.25     8.47   -11.25     0.02     0.69    10.33     2.28P    7.59R    3.46  
Blackpool            16   21   +8      -5.61    17.50     1.06    72.26     8.75    23.06     2.27    18.94    66.83    34.97P    0.16R    0.05  
Yeovil               16   21   -5       1.46    61.06    -1.83    57.26     8.21   -11.51     0.01     0.51     7.72     1.78P    8.58R    3.73  
Accrington_Stanley   16   20   -2      -2.79    32.03    -3.22    63.13     8.61     0.93     0.13     2.51    25.18     7.70P    2.42R    0.93  
Barnet               16   20   -3      -0.48    47.35    -0.49    58.00     8.56    -8.28     0.03     0.76    10.20     2.52P    8.03R    3.55  
Crawley_Town         16   20   -5       1.89    64.27     0.81    54.53     8.16   -14.71     0.01     0.19     4.23     0.80P   15.24R    7.38  
Morecambe            16   20  -11       2.60    68.39    -3.06    53.13     8.37   -25.08     0.01     0.15     3.30     0.61P   21.25R   11.48  
Hartlepool           16   19   -3       0.66    56.02     2.80    51.39     8.21   -17.24     0.00     0.11     2.25     0.40P   26.17R   14.30  
Wycombe              16   19   -3      -2.74    32.11    -2.96    60.31     8.34    -2.24     0.05     1.14    14.99     4.24P    4.14R    1.69  
Cambridge_Utd        16   19   -4      -2.04    36.68    -2.63    59.60     8.51    -4.69     0.05     1.04    13.70     3.81P    5.60R    2.35  
Mansfield            16   19   -4      -1.38    41.06    -1.98    56.58     8.28    -8.84     0.01     0.38     7.04     1.66P   10.01R    4.53  
Leyton_Orient        16   18   -1      -5.62    16.90    -3.52    61.07     8.48     1.87     0.08     1.60    18.46     5.70P    3.54R    1.44  
Stevenage            15   18   -2      -1.92    37.32    -0.97    56.73     8.72    -8.22     0.03     0.64     8.64     2.15P   10.80R    5.11  
Cheltenham           16   17   -3      -3.83    25.94    -1.49    56.50     8.70    -5.17     0.01     0.54     8.08     2.25P   10.96R    5.29  
Colchester           16   17   -5      -4.76    21.66    -4.46    58.69     8.94    -4.46     0.06     1.07    13.17     3.89P    7.66R    3.42  
Exeter               16   16   -5      -4.27    23.04    -2.39    54.47     8.39    -9.10     0.01     0.23     4.86     1.13P   15.11R    7.68  
Newport_County       15   14   -4      -2.96    30.28     1.30    50.15     8.44   -13.32     0.00     0.06     1.90     0.35P   30.90R   18.39  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 November 2016, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Forest_Green       20   46  +24       7.81    89.94     7.68    94.32     7.31    43.38    65.17    97.99    75.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       19   37  +20       5.66    81.65    11.76    81.55     7.81    31.90     7.51    67.15    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere           19   37  +14       2.79    67.29     1.92    83.92     7.49    28.39    10.51    77.02    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          19   36  +10       2.64    65.83    -0.92    83.60     7.82    26.35    10.00    73.93    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             19   35  +13       7.10    87.24    10.41    75.15     7.72    17.84     1.34    32.85     6.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     19   34   +4       4.57    75.97    -1.02    78.47     7.86    16.06     2.93    49.02    12.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   33   +6       6.00    83.12     6.53    69.93     7.50     8.01     0.14    12.45     2.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32  +16       2.00    62.61    10.06    74.19     7.81    24.04     1.10    30.56     7.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          19   31  +10       0.01    50.20     2.23    73.73     7.81    18.50     0.89    27.37     7.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       19   30   +7       4.55    77.79     7.35    68.08     7.45     9.17     0.09     8.29     1.54P    0.17R    0.00  
Macclesfield       19   30   +6      -0.10    49.60    -0.02    70.48     7.58    11.36     0.26    14.79     3.57P    0.05R    0.00  
Chester            19   27   +5       1.14    57.62     5.33    65.81     7.76     7.32     0.06     5.62     1.05P    0.49R    0.01  
Sutton_United      19   26   +0       2.75    67.44     4.40    59.94     7.97    -4.41     0.00     1.29     0.22P    3.62R    0.10  
Wrexham            20   25   -8      -2.53    35.11    -8.38    60.70     7.36    -7.68     0.00     0.97     0.20P    2.29R    0.03  
Bromley            19   24   -6       0.72    55.31    -1.59    57.22     7.56   -12.61     0.00     0.36     0.05P    6.62R    0.18  
Solihull_Moors     19   22   -7       1.07    58.19     1.41    52.90     7.90   -17.49     0.00     0.12     0.02P   18.38R    1.12  
Maidstone_United   19   22  -10       1.87    62.77    -0.02    49.37     7.70   -27.26     0.00     0.03     0.00P   33.33R    2.80  
Southport          19   19  -20      -0.10    50.68    -8.36    45.45     7.15   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.83R    6.87  
Torquay            19   18  -11      -4.45    23.51    -5.72    48.98     7.35   -20.25     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.85R    2.33  
York               19   16  -12     -10.33     4.88   -12.42    54.06     7.89   -10.59     0.00     0.14     0.04P   13.55R    0.85  
Braintree_Town     19   16  -16      -8.09     9.23   -13.32    50.70     7.45   -18.94     0.00     0.02     0.00P   25.14R    1.55  
Woking             19   14  -13     -10.41     4.54    -9.83    48.06     7.73   -19.18     0.00     0.02     0.01P   37.42R    3.85  
Guiseley           19   13  -10      -7.63     9.74    -1.38    40.29     7.18   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.87R   19.38  
North_Ferriby      20   12  -22      -4.88    19.79    -6.12    34.18     6.84   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.30R   60.92