Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 1 November 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2016, Stoke 3 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 10 23 +15 2.54 72.26 3.53 79.26 7.82 44.49 40.65 64.06 79.81 90.02 98.36 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 10 23 +13 3.18 76.57 3.44 76.57 7.87 37.41 25.37 49.96 69.16 82.96 96.24 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 10 23 +11 6.38 93.09 6.39 73.05 8.25 29.91 13.83 31.58 51.11 68.95 90.99 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 10 22 +12 4.06 82.09 5.48 73.31 8.03 32.37 13.80 32.93 53.04 71.05 92.07 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 10 20 +9 2.01 67.33 2.55 68.82 7.92 24.70 4.99 15.26 29.67 47.96 81.19 0.00R 0.00
Everton 10 18 +7 1.74 64.84 3.40 59.45 8.21 11.24 0.45 2.03 5.46 11.87 37.90 0.10R 0.00
Watford 10 15 +1 2.87 75.36 3.39 47.87 7.83 -8.71 0.01 0.07 0.22 0.60 4.20 4.48R 0.53
Man_Utd 10 15 +1 -0.89 42.16 -2.10 60.77 8.03 11.88 0.58 2.48 6.47 13.93 43.79 0.09R 0.01
Southampton 10 13 +1 -2.01 32.03 -0.84 57.99 8.10 10.65 0.25 1.17 3.46 8.32 30.71 0.21R 0.01
Bournemouth 10 12 -2 0.93 59.97 2.74 41.84 7.79 -17.52 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.76 18.45R 3.32
Leicester 10 12 -4 -1.81 34.27 -3.88 54.58 8.23 1.93 0.06 0.42 1.43 3.66 17.59 0.86R 0.07
Stoke 10 12 -5 -0.01 51.12 -2.26 43.19 7.76 -17.24 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.09 1.09 13.84R 2.10
Crystal_Palace 10 11 -2 -0.97 42.18 0.79 41.86 7.65 -14.43 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.77 17.11R 2.89
Burnley 10 11 -5 0.41 55.65 -0.26 42.66 7.91 -15.23 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.94 16.06R 2.77
Middlesbrough 10 10 -2 -1.77 35.07 0.79 40.11 7.82 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.57 24.06R 4.74
West_Brom 10 10 -4 -1.23 39.84 -0.19 40.87 7.56 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.52 20.47R 3.54
West_Ham 10 10 -9 -3.03 24.23 -7.37 44.94 8.05 -15.40 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.23 2.04 10.52R 1.56
Hull 10 7 -15 -1.80 35.06 -6.91 32.93 7.60 -36.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 62.02R 25.44
Swansea 10 5 -9 -5.52 8.31 -3.68 37.77 7.84 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 34.50R 8.95
Sunderland 10 2 -13 -7.14 2.14 -5.01 29.21 7.48 -31.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 77.22R 44.08
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Newcastle 15 34 +20 4.94 81.54 6.72 95.59 8.33 50.33 77.58 93.43 99.71 95.84P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 15 31 +14 5.00 82.86 5.79 84.59 8.40 29.92 15.32 58.58 94.69 70.99P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 15 28 -1 9.76 96.46 2.54 67.53 8.48 -5.60 0.29 2.88 32.27 7.66P 1.25R 0.03
Norwich 15 27 +2 3.09 71.06 -3.15 77.40 9.08 14.15 4.44 22.36 75.45 37.82P 0.07R 0.00
Reading 15 25 -1 5.82 85.97 1.09 65.02 8.37 -4.32 0.15 1.53 22.87 5.58P 2.29R 0.14
Bristol_City 15 24 +6 3.79 75.33 6.79 65.85 8.59 4.89 0.18 2.31 28.09 7.57P 1.89R 0.13
Birmingham 15 24 +3 2.30 66.41 1.20 65.27 8.39 1.34 0.15 1.79 25.08 6.97P 1.98R 0.10
Sheff_Wed 15 24 -1 2.60 68.74 -2.41 69.55 8.42 3.78 0.61 4.41 42.50 13.79P 0.50R 0.03
Leeds_United 15 23 +1 3.05 71.89 1.64 61.20 8.18 -4.84 0.06 0.61 11.88 2.77P 5.15R 0.35
Brentford 15 22 +7 -0.42 46.97 4.26 70.44 8.74 16.07 0.83 6.72 49.12 18.40P 0.58R 0.02
Fulham 15 21 +3 0.72 55.62 3.69 61.19 8.55 -1.38 0.05 0.68 13.51 3.23P 6.11R 0.51
Barnsley 15 20 +3 1.52 61.58 6.46 58.29 8.87 -4.44 0.02 0.39 8.49 1.94P 12.36R 1.34
Preston 15 20 +0 0.45 54.25 1.17 62.38 8.32 0.32 0.04 0.67 15.55 4.00P 4.19R 0.32
QPR 15 19 -5 -1.37 40.92 -4.75 59.80 8.37 -7.37 0.03 0.41 9.33 2.38P 7.96R 0.71
Aston_Villa 15 18 +0 -2.66 31.98 -0.62 61.24 8.62 1.46 0.04 0.64 13.45 3.96P 6.11R 0.50
Ipswich 15 18 -2 -2.58 31.50 -2.31 60.66 8.33 -1.19 0.02 0.46 11.28 3.02P 6.23R 0.47
Wolverhampton 15 17 -1 -3.40 26.80 -0.75 59.90 8.49 -0.11 0.03 0.40 10.53 2.72P 7.67R 0.60
Burton_Albion 15 17 -2 0.54 55.43 3.54 52.40 8.30 -11.94 0.00 0.04 1.76 0.37P 29.59R 4.79
Derby 15 17 -2 -5.87 14.32 -5.42 65.12 8.36 6.51 0.13 1.53 25.10 8.69P 2.04R 0.13
Nott'm_Forest 15 15 -5 -4.28 21.89 -2.85 54.12 8.43 -10.46 0.01 0.06 2.78 0.62P 22.98R 3.00
Cardiff 15 15 -10 -4.33 21.40 -8.25 52.08 8.25 -17.74 0.00 0.02 1.46 0.30P 31.88R 4.74
Wigan 15 14 -2 -5.45 15.86 -0.63 55.02 8.64 -3.58 0.01 0.09 3.96 1.08P 19.59R 2.69
Blackburn 15 13 -8 -6.68 10.46 -7.06 50.75 8.25 -14.78 0.00 0.01 1.13 0.28P 37.22R 6.28
Rotherham 15 7 -19 -6.37 9.53 -6.67 36.45 7.90 -41.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 92.36R 73.14
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 November 2016, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Scunthorpe 16 34 +20 5.78 83.94 10.42 83.99 8.56 33.48 41.37 62.59 92.47 70.81P 0.00R 0.00
Bolton 16 31 +9 5.40 82.17 3.66 79.40 8.74 19.86 19.99 38.97 80.65 50.06P 0.05R 0.00
Bradford 16 29 +8 3.71 74.35 3.14 75.75 8.32 16.40 9.41 22.68 68.59 34.91P 0.15R 0.01
Sheff_Utd 15 28 +8 4.41 78.45 3.46 78.22 8.76 19.60 15.92 33.71 77.27 45.14P 0.09R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 16 26 +3 5.72 83.44 5.65 65.43 8.80 0.20 1.03 3.45 23.56 7.26P 4.17R 0.30
Northampton 16 24 +4 2.56 67.12 5.08 62.67 8.78 -0.35 0.56 2.04 15.73 4.73P 7.17R 0.54
Rochdale 16 24 +1 1.01 57.20 -0.50 67.05 8.57 3.79 1.46 4.62 28.91 10.22P 2.48R 0.14
Peterborough 16 23 +7 -2.37 34.50 1.79 69.33 8.64 14.78 2.80 8.06 40.88 16.77P 1.34R 0.06
AFC_Wimbledon 16 23 +2 4.91 80.84 7.85 58.04 8.52 -7.42 0.09 0.41 6.08 1.31P 17.52R 2.01
Fleetwood_Town 16 22 +2 1.15 58.38 3.50 63.78 8.36 3.06 0.45 1.78 17.64 5.16P 4.94R 0.37
Port_Vale 16 22 -4 2.07 64.97 -0.92 61.91 8.43 -5.86 0.25 1.06 12.15 3.19P 8.35R 0.76
Walsall 15 21 -1 -1.68 38.37 -4.13 66.70 8.69 3.83 1.33 4.39 28.03 10.43P 2.92R 0.16
Millwall 15 21 -2 -1.80 37.92 -5.17 70.33 8.81 8.46 3.52 9.57 43.89 18.99P 1.16R 0.08
Charlton 15 20 +4 -2.96 30.24 0.44 65.53 8.95 8.63 1.17 3.95 25.91 10.06P 3.94R 0.28
Bury 16 20 -1 0.62 55.36 3.31 55.97 8.37 -9.39 0.05 0.23 3.76 0.84P 23.86R 3.11
Southend 16 20 -7 1.20 59.35 -2.11 56.18 8.24 -14.28 0.04 0.16 3.29 0.73P 23.88R 3.23
Oxford_Utd 16 19 -2 -0.72 46.07 1.09 57.07 8.65 -6.46 0.08 0.36 5.17 1.44P 20.87R 2.95
Coventry 16 19 -2 -4.46 21.61 -4.36 60.94 8.42 -0.65 0.24 1.00 10.75 3.49P 9.32R 0.80
Gillingham 16 17 -7 -4.92 20.15 -6.73 56.94 8.59 -9.41 0.07 0.30 4.89 1.35P 21.34R 2.68
MK_Dons 16 16 -5 -6.37 14.07 -5.54 58.43 8.83 -3.18 0.14 0.56 7.23 2.34P 16.80R 2.16
Swindon 16 16 -7 -5.24 18.55 -5.80 54.23 8.34 -11.53 0.02 0.11 2.30 0.59P 30.78R 4.94
Oldham 16 15 -9 -2.85 30.78 -3.60 48.78 7.90 -18.60 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.08P 57.23R 14.46
Chesterfield 16 12 -8 -7.90 7.95 -5.00 47.87 8.34 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 59.73R 17.73
Shrewsbury 16 11 -13 -6.19 13.00 -5.53 42.70 8.05 -28.51 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 81.90R 43.22
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Plymouth 15 35 +13 8.88 95.10 4.89 89.17 8.65 30.23 52.04 86.56 98.61 90.01P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 15 31 +12 7.97 92.48 8.33 80.03 8.86 21.72 13.19 52.76 88.80 61.10P 0.01R 0.00
Doncaster 15 27 +8 0.60 53.47 -0.96 82.37 9.08 27.93 21.97 64.24 92.44 73.13P 0.01R 0.00
Luton 15 24 +9 0.70 54.97 4.98 71.17 8.82 15.98 2.29 17.84 60.30 28.66P 0.20R 0.05
Portsmouth 15 24 +7 -0.29 47.89 1.42 76.44 8.69 21.71 6.62 36.75 80.89 49.83P 0.03R 0.01
Notts_County 15 22 +1 2.57 68.01 2.82 60.75 8.75 -5.28 0.15 2.06 16.86 4.69P 4.41R 1.70
Crewe 15 22 +1 0.36 52.88 -0.60 66.76 9.17 4.36 1.01 8.31 39.91 15.95P 1.03R 0.33
Grimsby 15 21 +0 1.98 64.29 2.12 56.98 8.77 -9.55 0.04 0.88 8.95 2.39P 9.53R 4.07
Accrington_Stanley 15 20 -1 -1.77 38.17 -2.75 64.99 8.79 2.63 0.46 5.08 31.85 11.32P 1.48R 0.49
Crawley_Town 15 20 -3 2.73 69.79 1.94 56.60 8.39 -11.49 0.02 0.49 7.06 1.48P 9.97R 4.25
Yeovil 15 20 -5 1.82 63.85 -1.94 57.18 8.33 -11.95 0.03 0.63 7.78 1.94P 8.25R 3.38
Morecambe 15 20 -9 3.36 73.25 -2.02 54.83 8.62 -22.49 0.01 0.31 5.21 1.07P 15.66R 7.40
Mansfield 15 19 +0 -1.12 42.52 0.38 58.87 8.53 -3.42 0.05 1.17 11.92 3.38P 5.79R 2.26
Barnet 15 19 -3 -0.04 50.79 -0.47 58.12 8.79 -8.58 0.07 1.06 10.98 2.95P 7.78R 3.20
Blackpool 15 18 +4 -5.67 16.01 -0.58 69.20 9.05 16.90 1.52 13.11 52.60 25.61P 0.54R 0.16
Cheltenham 15 17 -1 -2.92 30.86 -0.17 59.53 9.08 -0.74 0.10 1.64 15.25 4.97P 6.24R 2.65
Stevenage 14 17 -2 -1.33 40.99 -0.69 57.44 8.90 -7.51 0.06 1.03 10.06 2.79P 8.93R 3.95
Colchester 15 17 -2 -4.42 22.39 -3.11 61.66 9.28 0.98 0.23 3.07 21.70 7.70P 4.18R 1.71
Exeter 15 16 -3 -3.61 26.33 -1.58 55.94 8.57 -6.91 0.03 0.52 6.86 1.85P 11.12R 4.93
Hartlepool 15 16 -5 -0.57 47.29 1.45 48.81 8.37 -20.81 0.00 0.03 1.24 0.20P 36.77R 20.90
Wycombe 15 16 -5 -3.66 25.39 -3.96 58.39 8.46 -4.65 0.04 0.83 10.58 3.05P 6.50R 2.67
Cambridge_Utd 15 16 -6 -2.95 30.50 -3.66 56.84 8.70 -8.25 0.03 0.64 8.31 2.25P 9.72R 4.22
Leyton_Orient 15 15 -4 -6.47 12.55 -5.41 58.06 8.74 -3.12 0.06 0.97 11.02 3.50P 7.28R 3.06
Newport_County 14 11 -6 -4.41 19.74 -0.43 46.92 8.61 -17.72 0.00 0.03 0.83 0.17P 44.57R 28.61
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Forest_Green 18 40 +22 5.50 82.53 6.93 91.49 7.57 42.09 44.64 94.73 61.12P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 18 36 +20 6.43 85.99 12.32 82.66 7.95 32.97 9.79 70.25 22.60P 0.00R 0.00
Dag_&_Red 18 36 +15 2.87 67.62 2.27 88.15 7.81 36.30 25.51 88.19 46.05P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 18 36 +14 3.66 73.31 2.61 84.97 7.66 29.44 13.73 78.86 33.39P 0.00 0.00
Barrow 18 34 +13 7.53 89.10 10.53 75.47 7.98 17.78 1.63 33.10 6.81P 0.01R 0.00
Aldershot 18 32 +7 6.97 87.81 6.24 69.96 7.79 6.57 0.24 12.24 2.19P 0.08R 0.00
Dover_Athletic 18 31 +3 3.45 71.23 -1.19 76.59 7.93 14.65 1.99 37.72 8.64P 0.01R 0.00
Eastleigh 18 30 +10 0.74 54.98 2.68 75.04 7.93 19.93 1.37 31.87 8.20P 0.01R 0.00
Boreham_Wood 18 30 +8 5.70 83.64 8.05 69.79 7.73 10.57 0.22 11.81 2.27P 0.11R 0.00
Macclesfield 18 30 +7 1.02 56.72 0.62 72.07 7.74 12.74 0.51 18.75 4.41P 0.03R 0.00
Gateshead 18 29 +11 1.30 58.56 6.52 69.65 7.88 14.50 0.28 12.94 2.72P 0.10R 0.00
Chester 18 26 +5 1.13 57.55 4.77 65.11 7.90 5.71 0.06 4.54 0.75P 0.74R 0.00
Sutton_United 18 25 +0 3.07 69.90 4.47 60.58 8.23 -4.20 0.01 1.69 0.29P 3.16R 0.06
Wrexham 18 24 -7 -0.68 45.95 -7.18 63.79 7.72 -4.86 0.02 2.55 0.46P 1.04R 0.01
Solihull_Moors 18 22 -6 1.98 63.85 1.50 54.52 8.11 -16.01 0.00 0.27 0.03P 13.57R 0.58
Maidstone_United 18 22 -9 2.65 67.91 -0.13 50.89 7.91 -25.74 0.00 0.08 0.01P 26.48R 1.38
Bromley 18 21 -7 -0.81 45.56 -2.29 55.62 7.68 -13.67 0.00 0.18 0.02P 9.73R 0.24
Torquay 18 18 -9 -3.61 27.60 -4.47 50.88 7.54 -17.50 0.00 0.03 0.01P 23.76R 1.19
Southport 18 16 -21 -1.42 41.63 -8.92 43.78 7.24 -38.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.63R 8.21
York 18 15 -12 -10.38 4.50 -13.01 53.70 8.02 -11.73 0.00 0.15 0.03P 14.63R 0.73
Woking 18 13 -13 -9.47 5.73 -8.96 49.77 7.84 -17.05 0.00 0.04 0.00P 29.05R 2.12
Braintree_Town 18 13 -17 -9.81 4.30 -14.32 48.21 7.55 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.07R 2.48
Guiseley 18 10 -12 -8.66 5.49 -2.35 37.92 7.32 -28.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.24R 24.89
North_Ferriby 18 10 -22 -4.82 18.47 -6.70 33.31 7.17 -44.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.54R 58.11
