Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 31 October 2016 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 October 2016, Stoke 3 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 10 23 +15 2.56 72.35 3.60 79.14 7.80 44.26 40.05 63.98 80.06 90.19 98.18 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 10 23 +13 3.19 76.78 3.46 76.53 7.89 37.45 25.11 49.73 68.94 83.23 96.34 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 10 23 +11 6.32 93.05 6.33 73.12 8.30 30.00 14.26 32.22 51.32 69.23 91.06 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 10 22 +12 4.06 81.94 5.44 73.38 8.05 32.48 14.21 33.00 53.28 71.19 92.29 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 10 20 +9 2.03 67.29 2.59 68.74 7.98 24.60 5.11 15.26 29.54 47.56 81.17 0.00 0.00 Everton 10 18 +7 1.79 65.62 3.49 59.33 8.17 11.11 0.46 2.07 5.53 11.54 37.41 0.10R 0.00 Watford 10 15 +1 2.90 75.39 3.44 47.83 7.81 -8.75 0.00 0.03 0.16 0.57 3.99 4.66R 0.51 Man_Utd 10 15 +1 -0.88 42.21 -2.09 60.75 7.94 11.85 0.51 2.21 6.24 13.77 43.90 0.08R 0.00 Southampton 10 13 +1 -2.00 32.37 -0.82 57.93 8.05 10.55 0.22 1.06 3.34 8.24 30.87 0.24R 0.01 Bournemouth 10 12 -2 0.95 60.25 2.77 41.79 7.77 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.87 18.51R 3.36 Leicester 10 12 -4 -1.76 34.72 -3.80 54.53 8.21 1.88 0.07 0.40 1.38 3.67 17.47 0.87R 0.07 Stoke 10 12 -5 -0.00 51.16 -2.28 43.30 7.77 -17.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.22 13.59R 2.15 Crystal_Palace 10 11 -2 -1.03 41.61 0.70 41.93 7.60 -14.28 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.76 17.01R 2.79 Burnley 10 11 -5 0.40 55.18 -0.29 42.70 7.94 -15.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 1.12 16.17R 2.74 Middlesbrough 10 10 -2 -1.89 33.83 0.61 40.34 7.77 -13.81 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.58 22.97R 4.37 West_Brom 10 10 -4 -1.19 40.37 -0.15 40.83 7.55 -15.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.48 20.82R 3.58 West_Ham 10 10 -9 -2.99 24.52 -7.27 44.83 8.05 -15.59 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.29 2.02 10.88R 1.63 Hull 10 7 -15 -1.80 34.73 -6.87 32.92 7.52 -36.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 62.63R 25.76 Swansea 10 5 -9 -5.52 8.32 -3.76 37.79 7.77 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.22 34.52R 8.98 Sunderland 10 2 -13 -7.20 2.12 -5.08 29.27 7.50 -31.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.94R 44.04Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 October 2016, Birmingham 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 15 34 +20 4.87 81.28 6.60 95.78 8.39 50.69 78.03 93.65 99.74 95.99P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 15 31 +14 5.01 82.69 5.81 84.61 8.36 29.96 14.91 58.75 94.78 71.09P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 15 28 -1 9.76 96.64 2.53 67.51 8.46 -5.59 0.29 2.77 32.29 7.67P 1.28R 0.06 Norwich 15 27 +2 3.21 71.67 -2.97 77.21 8.98 13.88 4.17 21.52 75.18 37.26P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 15 25 -1 5.91 86.22 1.25 64.85 8.40 -4.52 0.15 1.48 22.32 5.30P 2.48R 0.14 Bristol_City 15 24 +6 3.76 75.33 6.72 65.89 8.51 4.97 0.23 2.24 28.18 7.43P 1.75R 0.08 Birmingham 15 24 +3 2.36 66.83 1.26 65.07 8.44 1.00 0.21 1.78 23.95 6.67P 2.09R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 15 24 -1 2.61 68.87 -2.38 69.45 8.43 3.65 0.62 4.50 41.92 13.62P 0.62R 0.02 Leeds_United 15 23 +1 3.07 71.86 1.64 61.22 8.21 -4.82 0.05 0.56 11.98 2.79P 5.20R 0.35 Brentford 15 22 +7 -0.56 46.12 4.08 70.66 8.73 16.41 0.89 6.84 50.00 18.68P 0.50R 0.02 Fulham 15 21 +3 0.76 55.82 3.72 61.19 8.55 -1.41 0.05 0.71 13.42 3.27P 5.95R 0.52 Barnsley 15 20 +3 1.55 61.89 6.51 58.30 8.86 -4.44 0.05 0.44 8.60 2.03P 12.22R 1.26 Preston 15 20 +0 0.46 54.15 1.19 62.32 8.39 0.29 0.05 0.80 15.66 4.08P 4.26R 0.32 QPR 15 19 -5 -1.38 40.80 -4.75 59.72 8.39 -7.49 0.02 0.37 9.34 2.46P 8.17R 0.70 Aston_Villa 15 18 +0 -2.70 31.42 -0.68 61.34 8.71 1.62 0.07 0.85 14.08 4.18P 5.98R 0.49 Ipswich 15 18 -2 -2.71 30.63 -2.48 60.83 8.36 -0.94 0.04 0.47 11.96 3.19P 6.07R 0.46 Wolverhampton 15 17 -1 -3.40 26.73 -0.76 59.89 8.49 -0.15 0.03 0.35 10.36 2.73P 7.81R 0.66 Burton_Albion 15 17 -2 0.59 55.71 3.64 52.18 8.30 -12.33 0.00 0.03 1.62 0.33P 30.60R 5.13 Derby 15 17 -2 -5.85 14.09 -5.37 65.12 8.32 6.51 0.12 1.68 24.93 8.83P 1.87R 0.11 Nott'm_Forest 15 15 -5 -4.36 21.64 -3.02 54.30 8.50 -10.17 0.01 0.06 3.10 0.69P 22.49R 3.09 Cardiff 15 15 -10 -4.37 21.35 -8.31 52.08 8.18 -17.72 0.00 0.03 1.40 0.33P 31.47R 4.79 Wigan 15 14 -2 -5.48 15.93 -0.65 55.16 8.58 -3.43 0.00 0.10 4.19 1.15P 19.07R 2.63 Blackburn 15 13 -8 -6.63 10.58 -6.94 50.54 8.25 -15.09 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.22P 37.86R 6.34 Rotherham 15 7 -19 -6.38 9.32 -6.64 36.58 7.87 -40.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 92.18R 72.73League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 16 34 +20 5.84 84.36 10.55 83.98 8.54 33.37 41.49 62.96 92.58 71.23P 0.01R 0.00 Bolton 16 31 +9 5.34 81.67 3.59 79.40 8.76 19.81 19.87 38.88 80.81 50.21P 0.03R 0.00 Bradford 16 29 +8 3.76 74.54 3.22 75.70 8.36 16.26 9.61 22.85 68.61 35.25P 0.11R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 15 28 +8 4.54 78.91 3.64 78.01 8.78 19.23 15.49 33.09 76.86 44.38P 0.08R 0.00 Northampton 16 24 +4 2.66 67.52 5.21 62.61 8.81 -0.41 0.59 1.98 15.92 4.66P 7.73R 0.66 Rochdale 16 24 +1 1.08 57.50 -0.41 66.90 8.56 3.57 1.45 4.54 28.55 9.95P 2.60R 0.15 Peterborough 16 23 +7 -2.28 34.72 1.91 69.10 8.58 14.37 2.64 7.71 39.95 16.22P 1.44R 0.06 Bristol_Rovers 15 23 +2 4.37 78.06 5.09 63.42 9.01 -1.41 0.69 2.28 18.18 5.20P 7.11R 0.72 AFC_Wimbledon 16 23 +2 4.72 79.72 7.57 58.37 8.47 -6.85 0.12 0.53 6.62 1.57P 16.71R 1.91 Fleetwood_Town 15 22 +3 2.15 65.37 3.93 65.46 8.62 4.55 0.88 3.19 24.05 7.68P 3.72R 0.26 Port_Vale 16 22 -4 2.13 64.98 -0.85 61.71 8.44 -6.14 0.28 1.08 11.89 3.13P 8.96R 0.86 Walsall 15 21 -1 -1.61 39.08 -4.05 66.66 8.68 3.75 1.41 4.31 28.21 10.48P 2.83R 0.20 Millwall 15 21 -2 -1.81 37.72 -5.21 70.42 8.86 8.59 3.56 9.76 44.82 19.45P 1.29R 0.10 Charlton 15 20 +4 -3.02 29.87 0.36 65.70 9.00 8.84 1.34 4.29 26.53 10.49P 3.96R 0.27 Bury 16 20 -1 0.52 54.58 3.17 56.12 8.42 -9.08 0.08 0.28 3.96 0.92P 23.63R 3.20 Southend 16 20 -7 1.09 58.54 -2.32 56.42 8.27 -13.90 0.04 0.20 3.65 0.82P 23.22R 3.20 Oxford_Utd 16 19 -2 -0.79 45.41 1.01 57.24 8.59 -6.22 0.10 0.38 5.41 1.43P 20.24R 2.78 Gillingham 16 17 -7 -5.00 19.80 -6.84 57.04 8.58 -9.28 0.06 0.33 5.10 1.40P 21.03R 2.92 Coventry 15 16 -4 -5.33 16.57 -5.26 58.88 8.56 -3.17 0.16 0.65 7.41 2.33P 14.81R 1.63 MK_Dons 16 16 -5 -6.38 13.99 -5.56 58.36 8.87 -3.24 0.12 0.57 7.41 2.35P 17.30R 2.36 Swindon 16 16 -7 -5.15 19.04 -5.64 54.00 8.39 -11.93 0.02 0.10 2.23 0.59P 32.16R 5.47 Oldham 16 15 -9 -2.87 30.56 -3.67 48.97 7.94 -18.29 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.06P 56.50R 14.46 Chesterfield 15 12 -6 -7.18 9.62 -3.95 49.58 8.56 -13.86 0.00 0.01 0.86 0.19P 52.19R 13.87 Shrewsbury 16 11 -13 -6.19 13.08 -5.49 42.65 8.06 -28.57 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 82.35R 44.91League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Accrington_Stanley 1 3 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Plymouth 15 35 +13 8.80 94.85 4.76 89.44 8.66 30.58 52.87 86.99 98.76 90.39P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 15 31 +12 8.00 92.29 8.36 79.98 8.84 21.64 12.76 52.15 88.81 60.54P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 15 27 +8 0.57 53.22 -1.01 82.39 9.12 27.95 21.55 64.37 92.45 73.25P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 15 24 +9 0.77 55.27 5.13 70.91 8.80 15.59 2.21 17.16 59.35 27.83P 0.22R 0.06 Portsmouth 15 24 +7 -0.32 47.74 1.40 76.58 8.69 21.86 6.80 37.39 81.33 50.66P 0.03R 0.01 Notts_County 15 22 +1 2.60 68.19 2.86 60.68 8.73 -5.36 0.14 2.00 16.79 4.63P 4.26R 1.66 Crewe 15 22 +1 0.33 52.66 -0.65 66.83 9.17 4.40 0.94 8.46 40.05 15.92P 1.01R 0.34 Grimsby 15 21 +0 1.95 64.19 2.04 57.02 8.69 -9.52 0.05 0.85 8.76 2.35P 9.36R 3.84 Accrington_Stanley 15 20 -1 -1.76 38.01 -2.72 64.95 8.78 2.59 0.47 5.14 31.91 11.54P 1.43R 0.47 Crawley_Town 15 20 -3 2.75 70.22 1.95 56.57 8.40 -11.46 0.02 0.57 7.21 1.63P 9.73R 4.08 Yeovil 15 20 -5 1.78 63.90 -1.95 57.20 8.42 -11.97 0.03 0.72 8.12 1.95P 8.59R 3.55 Morecambe 15 20 -9 3.45 74.14 -1.86 54.60 8.58 -22.79 0.03 0.36 4.85 1.03P 16.14R 7.71 Mansfield 15 19 +0 -1.16 42.42 0.34 58.92 8.54 -3.35 0.06 1.16 12.21 3.45P 5.65R 2.26 Barnet 15 19 -3 -0.10 50.03 -0.55 58.25 8.75 -8.36 0.07 0.97 11.12 2.85P 7.61R 3.27 Blackpool 15 18 +4 -5.66 16.42 -0.59 69.13 9.09 16.79 1.46 13.05 52.26 25.50P 0.52R 0.20 Cheltenham 15 17 -1 -2.75 31.96 0.09 59.23 9.05 -1.21 0.10 1.55 14.52 4.73P 6.50R 2.77 Stevenage 14 17 -2 -1.33 40.79 -0.72 57.47 8.91 -7.49 0.08 0.99 10.10 2.74P 9.04R 4.18 Colchester 15 17 -2 -4.38 22.79 -3.06 61.68 9.31 1.05 0.24 3.18 22.17 7.96P 4.28R 1.67 Exeter 15 16 -3 -3.58 26.46 -1.52 55.86 8.63 -7.08 0.02 0.57 6.99 1.87P 11.54R 5.22 Hartlepool 15 16 -5 -0.61 46.71 1.37 48.92 8.39 -20.58 0.00 0.06 1.23 0.24P 36.20R 20.69 Wycombe 15 16 -5 -3.68 25.46 -3.97 58.43 8.48 -4.58 0.03 0.79 10.83 3.16P 6.64R 2.73 Cambridge_Utd 15 16 -6 -2.99 30.05 -3.77 56.95 8.64 -8.05 0.03 0.59 8.42 2.22P 9.60R 4.08 Leyton_Orient 15 15 -4 -6.49 12.32 -5.41 58.05 8.70 -3.12 0.04 0.91 10.90 3.38P 7.35R 3.18 Newport_County 14 11 -6 -4.49 19.66 -0.52 47.03 8.59 -17.55 0.00 0.03 0.86 0.18P 44.29R 28.05National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 October 2016, Aldershot 1 0 Guiseley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Forest_Green 18 40 +22 5.54 82.98 6.99 91.34 7.57 41.83 44.19 94.69 60.41P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 36 +20 6.36 85.58 12.23 82.62 8.00 32.97 10.16 69.74 22.92P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 18 36 +15 3.00 68.30 2.51 87.93 7.88 35.97 25.18 87.42 45.27P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 18 36 +14 3.70 73.08 2.67 84.91 7.63 29.34 13.76 78.69 33.51P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 18 34 +13 7.39 88.74 10.31 75.71 7.96 18.22 1.68 34.24 7.08P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 18 32 +7 7.00 88.22 6.33 69.91 7.77 6.47 0.28 12.21 2.16P 0.08R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 18 31 +3 3.46 71.08 -1.24 76.61 8.03 14.65 2.20 37.84 9.22P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 18 30 +10 0.75 54.97 2.73 74.99 7.96 19.85 1.38 31.63 8.06P 0.01R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 18 30 +8 5.68 83.75 8.04 69.76 7.68 10.56 0.23 11.60 2.20P 0.07R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 30 +7 1.02 56.74 0.62 72.17 7.77 12.91 0.58 19.15 4.78P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 18 29 +11 1.34 58.78 6.59 69.66 7.96 14.51 0.27 13.21 2.71P 0.13R 0.00 Chester 18 26 +5 1.01 56.80 4.58 65.22 7.92 5.86 0.05 4.75 0.88P 0.75R 0.01 Sutton_United 18 25 +0 3.05 69.75 4.50 60.66 8.18 -4.16 0.01 1.59 0.23P 3.20R 0.04 Wrexham 18 24 -7 -0.63 46.38 -7.16 63.71 7.68 -4.94 0.03 2.51 0.48P 1.05R 0.01 Solihull_Moors 18 22 -6 2.20 65.25 1.84 54.26 8.03 -16.45 0.00 0.23 0.02P 14.15R 0.65 Maidstone_United 18 22 -9 2.61 67.75 -0.22 51.01 7.98 -25.52 0.00 0.07 0.01P 26.55R 1.58 Bromley 18 21 -7 -0.83 45.44 -2.30 55.58 7.67 -13.79 0.00 0.21 0.04P 9.82R 0.27 Torquay 18 18 -9 -3.57 28.07 -4.46 50.90 7.55 -17.46 0.00 0.04 0.00 23.64R 1.15 Southport 18 16 -21 -1.48 40.81 -9.07 43.82 7.28 -38.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.76R 8.05 York 18 15 -12 -10.45 4.27 -13.12 53.90 8.03 -11.43 0.00 0.15 0.03P 14.18R 0.67 Woking 18 13 -13 -9.45 5.80 -8.91 49.68 7.86 -17.19 0.00 0.02 0.01P 29.36R 2.27 Braintree_Town 18 13 -17 -9.73 4.44 -14.24 48.11 7.52 -21.36 0.00 0.01 0.00 36.62R 2.63 Guiseley 18 10 -12 -8.78 5.44 -2.56 38.16 7.38 -28.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.22R 23.96 North_Ferriby 18 10 -22 -4.80 18.15 -6.68 33.31 7.20 -44.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.38R 58.70